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2022-08-26 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0845
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.1%
in alpha space · 37.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.367734-0.15%0.3771+2.39%0.0389✗0.9753k2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.337888-0.53%0.3489+2.71%0.0498✗1.24191k2022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.160958-0.58%0.1768+9.20%0.1136✗1.382,1742022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.513336-0.71%0.479-7.35%0.0517✓1.232,6092022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.6601-0.78%2.96+10.41%0.1163✗0.66653k2022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7152.2967-0.78%61.02+15.77%0.1684✗0.9913.1M2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.154942-0.81%0.1524-2.43%0.0010✓1.091,8902022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.206449-0.84%0.2088+0.29%0.0259✗1.0266k2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana31.7431.4389-0.95%31.24-1.58%0.0102✗1.1670.1M2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005483-0.99%0.005767+4.13%0.0600✗0.672,6192022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7281.885-1.01%88.39+6.85%0.0986✗1.556.7M2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.126004-1.02%0.1232-3.22%0.0087✓0.971.9M2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.550668-1.03%0.53972-3.00%0.0017✓1.2945k2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.087784-1.03%0.0931+4.96%0.0724✗0.95430k2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash61.160.4617-1.04%60.36-1.21%0.0145✗1.132.0M2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.0877-1.05%3.1377+0.55%0.0305✗1.0128k2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020504-1.07%0.020785+0.28%0.0255✗0.8313k2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.4325-1.10%6.93+6.55%0.0898✗1.0719.5M2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.123227-1.10%0.1352+8.51%0.1009✗0.584.1M2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.044086-1.11%0.04476+0.40%0.0251✗0.7016k2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7220,016.24-1.11%19,953.74-1.42%0.0112✓1.00485.5M2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.327917-1.11%0.35346+6.59%0.0892✗0.99418k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.100071-1.12%0.1-1.19%0.0095✓0.723,6712022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.218821-1.12%0.2233+0.90%0.0333✗0.91528k2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.36120.357124-1.13%0.3635+0.64%0.0344✗1.17450k2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.7195-1.14%4.706-1.42%0.0166✗1.379.8M2022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.065478-1.16%0.0671+1.28%0.0362✗0.829142022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.2084-1.20%1.31+7.11%0.0984✗1.24534k2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.03537-1.20%0.035-2.23%0.0028✓0.9386k2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.332008-1.20%0.33413-0.57%0.0204✗0.9870k2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.9729-1.21%12.8342+5.89%0.0832✗0.9639k2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.869278-1.23%0.876412-0.42%0.0197✗0.8184k2022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.137876-1.23%0.1381-1.07%0.0156✗0.98638k2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14751.5012-1.24%53.741+3.06%0.0532✗0.75340k2022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.3276-1.24%15.53+0.06%0.0290✗1.12130k2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3429-1.26%1.48+8.82%0.0967✗-0.04124k2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.945553-1.28%0.93-2.90%0.0008✓1.221.0M2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003030.002991-1.29%0.00313+3.30%0.0602✗1.03537k2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.021577-1.30%0.02024-7.41%0.0519✓0.8513.4M2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.49e-7-1.33%8.90e-7+3.49%0.0594✗0.8217k2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3675-1.33%1.488+7.36%0.1013✗1.18130k2022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.653157-1.34%0.713+7.70%0.1011✗0.94304k2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.5952-1.34%5.831+2.82%0.0536✗0.8710.1M2022-09-02
FLOWFlownative1.8511.8263-1.34%1.965+6.16%0.0922✗1.331.2M2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.1308-1.35%2.19+1.39%0.0451✗1.24299k2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.425854-1.35%0.4544+5.26%0.0798✗1.0440.7M2022-09-02
OPTIMOptimism1.0191.0051-1.36%1.234+21.10%0.2300✗1.743.5M2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.27714-1.37%0.29376+4.54%0.0732✗1.0512k2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.767414-1.38%0.77622-0.25%0.0245✗0.92523k2022-09-02
DASHDashDash44.343.6884-1.38%45.69+3.14%0.0588✗0.98504k2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.855485-1.39%0.87122+0.43%0.0322✗0.9813k2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.056603-1.39%0.0568-1.05%0.0164✗0.90104k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008362-1.39%0.00875+3.18%0.0564✗0.776.4M2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,487.01-1.39%1,575.69+4.49%0.0771✗1.34608.4M2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.059061-1.40%0.0558-6.84%0.0405✓1.14258k2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.6849-1.40%3.028+11.20%0.1429✗1.594.0M2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.013142-1.41%0.01333+0.00%0.0233✗0.641.4M2022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14945.0763-1.42%5.402+4.91%0.0642✗0.14158k2022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.275227-1.42%0.281+0.64%0.0344✗0.963.4M2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7488-1.42%1.788+0.79%0.0376✗1.0838k2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.424827-1.43%0.423-1.86%0.0098✓0.998,3142022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.069142-1.44%0.07182+2.38%0.0550✗1.1929k2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.454-1.45%1.98-20.48%0.2073✓0.5193k2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.37994.3162-1.46%4.2655-2.61%0.0008✓0.77827k2022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero142.81140.7267-1.46%153.67+7.60%0.1023✗1.001.2M2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.591-1.46%26.31+1.31%0.0414✗0.967.5M2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.6639-1.46%6.292+9.46%0.1185✗0.935.2M2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.239734-1.47%0.2409-0.99%0.0185✗0.9683k2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.042659-1.48%0.0438+1.15%0.0404✗0.98180k2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006473-1.48%0.00602-8.37%0.0632✓0.651.2M2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.2114-1.48%7.59+3.69%0.0671✗1.11638k2022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum5.135.0537-1.49%4.86-5.26%0.0268✓0.861.6M2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.269891-1.50%0.27-1.46%0.0108✓0.73826k2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.442312-1.51%0.466+3.76%0.0682✗1.12400k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003851-1.52%0.00396+1.28%0.0422✗1.00158k2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.062248-1.52%0.06497+2.78%0.0588✗1.122.4M2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7458-1.53%1.76-0.73%0.0216✗0.94145k2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.118841-1.54%0.1218+0.91%0.0392✗1.0233k2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0365-1.56%1.0939+3.89%0.0752✗1.494.9M2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000036108-1.56%0.00004622+26.01%0.2597✗0.901.7M2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024215-1.56%0.0246+0.00%0.0341✗1.283,4352022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.694192-1.57%0.6722-4.69%0.0117✓1.44258k2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,262.42-1.58%20,019.30-2.76%0.0014✓0.9513k2022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.060576-1.59%0.062628+1.75%0.0418✗0.59151k2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0341-1.59%1.0393-1.10%0.0173✗0.8653k2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.101255-1.60%0.1007-2.14%0.0069✓0.87238k2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.6567-1.60%2.743+1.59%0.0442✗0.86749k2022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.084324-1.61%0.0821-4.20%0.0134✓0.9414k2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.06236-1.64%0.057-10.09%0.0769✓0.91116k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4585-1.64%1.4907+0.53%0.0376✗1.10355k2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9245.1668-1.64%45.81-0.24%0.0318✗1.2414k2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.044745-1.65%0.043204-5.04%0.0276✓0.5233k2022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.2329.0789-1.66%9.161-0.77%0.0226✗0.951.8M2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.151611-1.67%0.15905+3.16%0.0776✗2.086042022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0507-1.67%1.1131+4.17%0.0755✗1.25981k2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1295-1.69%2.2074+1.90%0.0534✗1.2313k2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001539-1.69%0.001603+2.36%0.0545✗0.98558k2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.046397-1.70%0.0486+2.97%0.0604✗0.98843k2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2216.9251-1.71%17.08-0.81%0.0193✗0.711.2M2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.043043-1.74%0.044071+0.61%0.0358✗0.8632k2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1546.0466-1.74%6.406+4.09%0.0764✗1.3110.3M2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16114.1277-1.75%116.4+0.21%0.0359✗1.134.9M2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6535-1.75%1.701+1.07%0.0418✗0.95782k2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.2269-1.76%1.1047-11.55%0.0915✓0.941.5M2022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.003065-1.76%0.002989-4.20%0.0124✓0.891.1M2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.00146-1.76%0.001528+2.83%0.0559✗0.729,9742022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.00001221-1.77%0.00001218-2.01%0.0110✓0.94948k2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9074-1.78%1.899-2.21%0.0201✗1.72106k2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6820.312-1.78%18.87-8.75%0.0552✓1.2923.6M2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.278056-1.78%0.3024+6.82%0.0972✗0.937.6M2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.256414-1.79%0.1972-24.47%0.2625✓0.0191k2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1302-1.81%1.181+2.61%0.0581✗0.992.1M2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.1575-1.83%9.58+15.28%0.1672✗0.452.3M2022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.061447-1.84%0.0619-1.12%0.0248✗1.221.0M2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.166868-1.84%0.168-1.18%0.0222✗1.08464k2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.037102-1.85%0.0367-2.91%0.0011✓0.8411k2022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.14034-1.86%0.141-1.40%0.0192✗1.01190k2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.386-1.88%4.95+10.74%0.1276✗0.461.3M2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006538-1.90%0.006468-2.96%0.0046✓0.4457k2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.760317-1.91%0.829+6.95%0.1020✗1.092.1M2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.259453-1.91%0.2313-12.55%0.1015✓0.94106k2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.28356-1.91%0.292616+1.22%0.0470✗1.09696k2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.657198-1.91%0.668-0.30%0.0346✗1.285.2M2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.380448-1.92%0.436+12.40%0.1523✗1.1289k2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.6345-1.93%0.657+1.55%0.0476✗0.89253k2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1494.0678-1.96%4.612+11.16%0.1275✗0.142.4M2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.1289-1.96%0.13722+4.37%0.0800✗1.22210k2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.94021-1.98%0.9679+0.91%0.0370✗0.563.6M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.730.715431-2.00%0.72-1.37%0.0114✓0.35105k2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum98.2396.2628-2.00%92.78-5.55%0.0247✓0.853.5M2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.062255-2.01%0.061662-2.94%0.0053✓1.041.9M2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.7821-2.02%7.3+5.46%0.0883✗1.0314.0M2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.5768-2.02%6.365+11.82%0.1376✗0.385.3M2022-09-02
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.193285-2.03%0.1986+0.66%0.0414✗1.00152k2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.9934-2.05%2.034-0.05%0.0367✗1.1655k2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum31.130.4616-2.05%31.7+1.93%0.0667✗1.88348k2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.100269-2.08%0.103+0.59%0.0425✗1.103.9M2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2712.0142-2.09%13.76+12.14%0.1518✗1.131.9M2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.048757-2.09%0.0499+0.20%0.0375✗1.00251k2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.101678-2.10%0.104596+0.71%0.0405✗0.867.8M2022-09-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.02590.025356-2.10%0.0274+5.79%0.0863✗0.6144k2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.5977-2.10%1.534-6.00%0.0234✓1.2196k2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.2027-2.10%2.25+0.00%0.0326✗0.79451k2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015524-2.12%0.01324-16.52%0.1496✓0.67171k2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.313.0171-2.13%14.03+5.49%0.0925✗1.231.2M2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.53434-2.14%0.538-1.47%0.0225✗1.0996k2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.53430.522838-2.15%0.5541+3.71%0.0707✗0.881.6M2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.498022-2.16%0.508-0.20%0.0362✗1.1488k2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration44.5243.5412-2.20%47.83+7.43%0.1081✗0.99610k2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2615-2.21%1.31+1.55%0.0515✗0.96182k2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001344-2.21%0.001355-1.44%0.0193✓0.802.0M2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.219483-2.23%0.2219-1.16%0.0300✗1.33133k2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.50e-7-2.28%8.90e-7+2.30%0.0572✗0.802.4M2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.466324-2.30%0.4979+4.32%0.0773✗0.82625k2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.903502-2.32%1.084+17.19%0.1995✗1.221.4M2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1244.0271-2.35%4.42+7.18%0.0984✗0.371.9M2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.235.1062-2.37%5.99+14.53%0.1654✗0.402.8M2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007467-2.39%0.00814+6.41%0.1023✗1.13503k2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.324176-2.44%0.3031-8.79%0.0507✓1.16112k2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.346716-2.50%0.3535-0.59%0.0352✗1.11175k2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.2641-2.53%10.18-3.32%0.0087✓1.19466k2022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.8169-2.56%6.91+15.75%0.1783✗0.432.5M2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55411.257-2.57%12.614+9.17%0.1298✗1.1210.4M2022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.097969-2.62%0.1196+18.89%0.2102✗0.75247k2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,742.03-2.67%10,076.20+12.19%0.1614✗1.367.3M2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.8782-2.68%7.11+17.72%0.1963✗0.422.1M2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.6759-2.76%1.798+4.32%0.0852✗1.041.2M2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.777695-2.80%0.889+11.11%0.1542✗1.43193k2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.5849-2.85%5.1574+39.77%0.3721✗0.593.5M2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.022654-2.94%0.02248-3.68%0.0034✓0.78444k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.035777-3.02%0.03437-6.83%0.0258✓1.0031k2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.036689-3.02%0.03809+0.69%0.0492✗0.822,8422022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.329663-3.04%0.34352+1.04%0.0547✗0.95321k2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.082649-3.06%0.0801-6.05%0.0304✓0.07637k2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.201129-3.16%0.2187+5.30%0.0954✗0.822.8M2022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9132.8107-3.24%32.45-4.31%0.0095✓1.4416.0M2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.896265-3.42%1.008+8.62%0.1234✗0.414.2M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.02237-3.57%0.025779+11.13%0.1435✗0.12250k2022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3936.0484-3.59%19.34-48.27%0.6103✓0.871.8M2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000118617-3.61%0.00024148+96.23%0.7232✗0.86340k2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.6088-3.74%7.9584+66.21%0.5498✗0.254.2M2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74411.3-3.78%14.875+26.66%0.2817✗0.484.8M2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.8923-3.82%7.5477+48.38%0.4366✗0.215.1M2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.382554-3.95%0.3186-20.01%0.1671✓1.11152k2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2254.0578-3.96%3.82-9.59%0.0464✓0.98269k2022-09-02
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.1036-4.63%5.0427+17.20%0.2204✗1.00169k2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-77.20e-7-4.92%8.64e-7+14.14%0.1944✗0.82192k2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.