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2022-08-16 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1005
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-9.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.8%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.052306+0.49%0.04645-10.76%0.0465✗0.7016k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.2505-0.00%5.389+2.63%0.0400✗0.14225k2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.02536-0.12%0.02359-7.09%0.0156✗0.86271k2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.99e-7-0.13%9.00e-7-10.00%0.0256✓0.7621k2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008266-0.17%0.00708-14.49%0.0896✓0.641.6M2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.210931-0.17%0.1727-18.27%0.0538✓1.421,3972022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.024549-0.22%0.021625-12.11%0.0439✓0.8113k2022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006751-0.24%0.005889-12.97%0.0639✓0.713,2222022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.054654-0.27%0.048516-11.47%0.0687✓0.4936k2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.47620.474701-0.31%0.3899-18.12%0.0837✓1.10808k2022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.4703-0.34%0.4051-14.16%0.0708✓0.7670k2022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.810.807211-0.34%0.74-8.64%0.0459✓0.40105k2022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260264-0.36%0.2605-0.27%0.0022✓0.0159k2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.314762-0.39%0.287-9.18%0.0157✓0.751.0M2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.353651-0.46%0.29912-15.80%0.0600✓1.0514k2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044292-0.47%0.0408-8.31%0.0116✗0.9111k2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.443817-0.58%0.3844-13.89%0.0149✓1.25255k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.122263-0.60%0.1087-11.63%0.0398✓0.764,2082022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase1.02261.0162-0.63%0.943427-7.75%0.0017✓0.7477k2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.42637-0.66%0.37206-13.32%0.0353✓0.9896k2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.080544-0.69%0.0678-16.40%0.0876✓0.82134k2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.262571-0.73%0.2228-15.77%0.0614✓1.0091k2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.069249-0.74%0.066225-5.07%0.0180✗0.61182k2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.89324.8567-0.75%4.5224-7.58%0.0029✓0.72912k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.178432-0.76%0.1575-12.40%0.0147✓1.07616k2022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006884-0.76%0.006696-3.47%0.0191✗0.4655k2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3360.8566-0.77%57.1-6.90%0.0409✗1.0213.5M2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.205397-0.77%0.1725-16.67%0.0656✓1.061,7402022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9323,636.04-0.93%21,528.34-9.76%0.0093✗1.00482.6M2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.142362-0.93%0.124-13.71%0.0308✓1.0443k2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004716-0.93%0.00408-14.29%0.0403✓1.02158k2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.051482-0.94%0.046576-10.38%0.0084✓0.8943k2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2415-0.96%1.1311-9.77%0.0041✓0.8756k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.9021-0.97%5.74-3.69%0.0793✗1.041.5M2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,621.03-1.01%21,511.10-9.85%0.0061✓0.977,5932022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.451276-1.01%0.3851-15.53%0.0451✓1.10190k2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.072646-1.03%0.0652-11.17%0.0110✗1.16331k2022-08-23
SGBSongbirdnative0.02950.029192-1.04%0.0252-14.58%0.0812✓0.6436k2022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.031032-1.05%0.02647-15.59%0.0260✓1.293,2032022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.068078-1.05%0.0622-9.59%0.0083✓0.80119k2022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001742-1.06%0.001585-9.99%0.0184✓0.749,4152022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.335559-1.07%0.2977-12.23%0.0205✓0.973.6M2022-08-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.186223-1.10%0.16294-13.47%0.0959✗2.236712022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16860.4808-1.12%56.254-8.03%0.0011✓0.69365k2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.5787-1.14%3.142-13.20%0.0594✓0.69976k2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.2703-1.15%9.713-6.52%0.0446✗0.982.0M2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.112458-1.18%0.1008-11.42%0.0070✓1.00456k2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.498715-1.19%0.41-18.76%0.0791✓1.1460k2022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4525-1.19%1.43-2.72%0.0171✓-0.01124k2022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000044980.000044442-1.20%0.00003947-12.25%0.0290✓0.872.0M2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.9048-1.20%2.79-5.10%0.0134✗0.5296k2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017319-1.20%0.01736-0.97%0.0840✗0.79153k2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.691567-1.20%0.617-11.86%0.0100✓1.21135k2022-08-23
DASHDashDash52.4651.8278-1.21%48.5-7.55%0.0333✗0.97595k2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.270.266692-1.23%0.2343-13.22%0.0407✓0.86550k2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2552-1.24%1.067-16.05%0.0355✓1.241.1M2022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02211.0093-1.25%0.8686-15.02%0.0281✓1.192.3M2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.084689-1.27%0.08526-0.61%0.0307✗0.231.1M2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3921-1.27%1.2121-14.04%0.0092✓1.261.2M2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.042057-1.27%0.0382-10.33%0.0034✓0.9776k2022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.105531-1.28%0.0914-14.50%0.0396✓1.0110k2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.954618-1.28%0.893-7.65%0.0172✓0.484.4M2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1413-1.28%0.94089-18.62%0.0973✓0.9312k2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.004010.003958-1.28%0.00324-19.20%0.0944✓1.03554k2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana43.0942.5232-1.32%35.67-17.22%0.0547✓1.1881.1M2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.683388-1.32%0.57919-16.36%0.0332✓1.2951k2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4062-1.32%1.242-12.84%0.0214✓1.002.5M2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.24-1.33%1.9643-13.47%0.0231✓1.0538k2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.9887-1.36%1.817-9.87%0.0309✗1.18157k2022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6521-1.37%1.373-18.03%0.0520✓1.30520k2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.167235-1.37%0.14275-15.81%0.0301✓1.25250k2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.295924-1.39%0.2559-14.73%0.0510✓0.9281k2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.7645-1.41%9.49+6.75%0.1125✗0.321.8M2022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.152417-1.41%0.1294-16.30%0.1005✓0.624.4M2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase20.1219.8356-1.41%17.42-13.42%0.0136✓1.13121k2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0960.2221-1.42%50.74-16.94%0.0452✓1.2323k2022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.559414-1.46%0.4933-13.11%0.0117✓1.11388k2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.580858-1.50%0.5139-12.85%0.0384✓0.82784k2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.402382-1.52%0.39145-4.19%0.0658✗0.91446k2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.202-1.53%27.78-9.42%0.0114✓0.929.2M2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.164973-1.57%0.1397-16.65%0.0678✓0.962.3M2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.119867-1.57%0.110676-9.12%0.0106✓0.887.8M2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.826582-1.60%0.733-12.74%0.0248✓0.93280k2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.053038-1.60%0.047-12.80%0.0195✓0.99220k2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.251496-1.61%0.2192-14.24%0.0000✓1.34131k2022-08-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1682-1.62%0.04351-96.34%3.1744✓1.1313k2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.081232-1.63%0.07069-14.40%0.0600✓0.778802022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.046039-1.65%0.039-16.68%0.0844✓0.792,5822022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.6068-1.67%2.153-18.79%0.0135✓1.73144k2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.3206-1.67%2.3-2.54%0.0853✗0.92520k2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015699-1.67%0.01447-9.37%0.0180✓0.622.1M2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34134.0351-1.69%133.41-2.15%0.1083✗1.105.1M2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero169.61166.7393-1.69%154.81-8.73%0.0246✗0.961.2M2022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.027407-1.73%0.02356-15.53%0.0536✓0.9514.3M2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash75.9574.6339-1.73%66.35-12.64%0.0047✓1.102.1M2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration56.0755.0971-1.74%49.54-11.65%0.0019✓1.02645k2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.8159-1.74%13.7842-8.58%0.0261✗0.9658k2022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.9428-1.74%3.5261-12.13%0.0117✓0.9750k2022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000095397-1.75%0.00010583+8.99%0.2015✗0.95336k2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.803619-1.76%0.725-11.37%0.0077✓0.93357k2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02991.0117-1.76%0.83469-18.95%0.0952✓0.95623k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.69745-1.77%0.592-16.62%0.0419✓1.192,7912022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.346291-1.79%0.3076-12.76%0.0236✓0.928.3M2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.466332-1.80%0.39-17.88%0.0399✓1.35211k2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.0641-1.83%4.3642+39.82%0.4073✗0.521.3M2022-08-23
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.443125-1.83%0.301-33.32%0.2973✓0.871922022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.076958-1.84%0.0673-14.16%0.0144✓1.171.4M2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.9636-1.84%5.147+27.46%0.2863✗0.242.1M2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.7012-1.85%2.25-18.24%0.0641✓1.1564k2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.124154-1.85%0.1117-11.70%0.0169✓0.86317k2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.2717-1.87%2.977-10.71%0.0085✓0.84696k2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.546691-1.87%0.466-16.35%0.0545✓1.0243.6M2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.2937-1.88%7.241-14.34%0.0251✓1.0820.0M2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.534658-1.90%0.444-18.53%0.0851✓0.9811k2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.51e-7-1.93%9.10e-7-6.19%0.0360✗0.785.4M2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8518-1.96%1.5941-15.60%0.0360✓1.11488k2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.6661-1.96%7.635-13.62%0.0218✓1.0214.8M2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011314-1.96%0.00923-20.02%0.1266✓0.755.8M2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.940187-1.96%0.973+1.46%0.1594✗1.221.3M2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.3617-1.96%1.962-18.56%0.0891✓0.94680k2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7155-1.97%1.4-20.00%0.1003✓1.00190k2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.239182-1.97%0.185-24.18%0.1394✓1.14696k2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.068222-1.98%0.0546-21.55%0.1168✓1.03253k2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1976.0738-1.99%5.245-15.36%0.0100✓1.3312.6M2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.0174-2.00%7.16+16.61%0.2156✗0.411.1M2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.062903-2.02%0.0517-19.47%0.0898✓1.04877k2022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.194-2.02%2.44-25.15%0.1438✓1.22269k2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4268.2528-2.06%6.378-24.31%0.1729✓0.839.5M2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.6008-2.09%1.9086+16.73%0.3063✗1.27598k2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.354379-2.12%0.310587-14.21%0.0250✓1.04962k2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.4386-2.17%1.3042-11.32%0.0005✓0.961.0M2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.100163-2.18%0.1015-0.88%0.0988✗0.83220k2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.0978-2.20%5.224+24.68%0.2793✗0.361.6M2022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.850772-2.21%0.722-17.01%0.0183✓1.424.6M2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.181964-2.22%0.1488-20.04%0.0977✓1.01140k2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.1497-2.23%7.04+11.92%0.1737✗0.371.4M2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,834.64-2.23%1,665.93-11.22%0.0390✗1.32534.1M2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.345506-2.24%0.32919-6.86%0.0416✗0.88402k2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.5981-2.25%6.378-17.95%0.0745✓0.985.4M2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.8385-2.25%5.38+8.69%0.1506✗0.431.2M2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.127162-2.26%0.1138-12.53%0.0003✓1.083.9M2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79107.2458-2.32%89.48-18.50%0.0237✓1.536.4M2022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.2246-2.32%2.4359-26.21%0.1528✓1.2413k2022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.089069-2.35%0.07645-16.18%0.0351✓1.1529k2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.61150.596947-2.38%0.5572-8.88%0.0275✗0.942.1M2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9517.5227-2.38%14.66-18.33%0.0553✓1.201.7M2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.878-2.39%1.57-18.40%0.0637✓1.12170k2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.1414-2.45%7.109-14.82%0.0033✓1.2910.1M2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.655409-2.47%0.569-15.33%0.0215✓1.17115k2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.5882-2.49%3.05-17.12%0.0023✓1.565.3M2022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.003997-2.53%0.003625-11.61%0.0171✓0.781.0M2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.388355-2.55%0.3902-2.08%0.1173✗1.10101k2022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3219.7976-2.57%18.01-11.37%0.0252✓0.682.2M2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008317-2.61%0.00808-5.39%0.0824✗1.08463k2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000015395-2.62%0.00001332-15.75%0.0480✓0.94827k2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum2.0612.0066-2.64%1.847-10.38%0.0188✓0.99181k2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.4211-2.64%5.9126+68.26%0.5808✗0.331.7M2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0436-2.64%0.7906-26.25%0.1320✓1.42469k2022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39611.094-2.65%12.135+6.48%0.2067✗1.1413.2M2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.084724-2.66%0.068797-20.96%0.1044✓1.011.8M2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.1183-2.66%1.0251-10.78%0.0227✓0.633.9M2022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2507-2.69%1.1837-7.90%0.0903✗1.416.4M2022-08-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.256435-2.72%0.2209-16.20%0.0464✓1.00111k2022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum116.11112.91-2.76%109.96-5.30%0.0578✗0.823.6M2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.2898-2.76%6.39+17.46%0.2266✗0.372.0M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.7256-2.77%13.538+129.89%0.8887✗0.271.2M2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.293492-2.78%0.2756-8.71%0.0475✗1.07178k2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1126.3454-2.82%23.51-13.28%0.0239✓1.3430.5M2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum38.937.7898-2.85%34.76-10.64%0.1199✗1.98408k2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.5442-3.04%13.6-9.33%0.0517✗1.162.6M2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3611.9781-3.09%10.63-14.00%0.0045✓1.12313k2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.8296-3.13%6.803+13.04%0.1648✗0.103.4M2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.936477-3.16%0.8205-15.15%0.0277✓1.56244k2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.049447-3.29%0.03743-26.79%0.1791✓0.9721k2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001534-3.34%0.001591+0.28%0.1196✗0.811.6M2022-08-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.001951-3.40%0.001746-13.56%0.0084✓1.00901k2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative2.6852.5931-3.42%2.143-20.19%0.0595✓1.28873k2022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.7423-3.45%4.429+14.27%0.2555✗0.85124k2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.086816-3.50%0.07289-18.98%0.0578✓1.142.4M2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.5935-3.50%6.0884+63.50%0.5770✗0.481.9M2022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.4002-3.70%1.335-8.18%0.1491✗1.923.7M2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,588.89-3.83%9,225.54-16.21%0.0019✓1.326.5M2022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.201563-3.88%0.2505+19.46%0.3053✗0.861.2M2022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8838.3196-3.91%34.36-13.84%0.0320✓1.3716.5M2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.7894-3.93%7.88-22.67%0.1052✓1.09592k2022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.024448-4.64%0.02313-9.78%0.0362✓0.19232k2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6138.5064-5.18%41.17+1.38%0.1785✗1.091.8M2022-08-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.7559-6.72%4.6501-8.80%0.0803✗1.00111k2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-76.88e-7-7.47%8.22e-7+10.50%0.2439✗0.65164k2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.