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2022-08-13 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1119
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.3%
in alpha space · 85.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001019+0.91%8.80e-7-12.87%0.0342✗0.7721k2022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008341+0.74%0.00713-13.89%0.0633✗0.641.6M2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.89224.9279+0.73%5.0769+3.78%0.0497✓0.14246k2022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054670.055005+0.61%0.04516-17.40%0.0895✗0.7416k2022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.261718+0.28%0.2613+0.11%0.0004✓0.0151k2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.820.821267+0.15%0.73-10.98%0.0556✗0.4391k2022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0069940.007+0.09%0.005866-16.12%0.0696✗0.733,2222022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.0569880.057018+0.05%0.049123-13.80%0.0740✗0.5136k2022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21950.219569+0.03%0.1673-23.78%0.0644✗1.421,3132022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.22e-73.22e-7+0.02%7.06e-7+119.51%0.8799✓0.64146k2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.37360.373146-0.12%0.3666-1.87%0.1144✗0.911382022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0699030.069816-0.12%0.065857-5.79%0.0311✗0.61182k2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068240.006806-0.27%0.006855+0.45%0.0787✗0.4953k2022-08-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10280.102519-0.27%0.0849-17.41%0.0400✓1.029,3472022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.17430.173744-0.32%0.147-15.66%0.0157✓1.04131k2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.331882-0.34%0.29-12.91%0.0126✓0.841.1M2022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.28860.287422-0.41%0.2549-11.68%0.0171✗0.9470k2022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0258530.025743-0.43%0.02156-16.61%0.0564✓0.8313k2022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13410.133438-0.49%0.1064-20.66%0.1052✓0.834,2082022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27450.273113-0.51%0.2207-19.60%0.0662✓1.0197k2022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.371150.368908-0.60%0.29724-19.91%0.0559✓1.1013k2022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,547.2024,398.55-0.61%21,129.20-13.92%0.0031✓0.977,5932022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.033.0116-0.61%2.74-9.57%0.0182✓0.52100k2022-08-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017480.001737-0.63%0.001446-17.28%0.0731✓0.769,2532022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.460970.458017-0.64%0.35603-22.77%0.1016✓1.03107k2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4620.458989-0.65%0.3699-19.94%0.0205✓1.34242k2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.50950.506159-0.66%0.3896-23.53%0.0944✓1.15808k2022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.34662.9099-0.69%53.04-16.27%0.0648✓0.73344k2022-08-20
GTGateEthereum5.10955.0742-0.69%4.4355-13.19%0.0287✓0.73882k2022-08-20
SGBSongbirdnative0.0290.028799-0.69%0.0257-11.38%0.0295✓0.5836k2022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010238-0.70%0.00924-10.38%0.0019✓0.725.5M2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.29161.2823-0.72%1.0708-17.09%0.0452✓0.9356k2022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,456.4924,274.82-0.74%21,139.23-13.56%0.0075✓1.00455.4M2022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5379-0.78%1.39-10.32%0.1013✓-0.00139k2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9910.983208-0.79%0.843-14.93%0.0736✓0.554.2M2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7330.727192-0.79%0.611-16.64%0.0154✗1.30135k2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027410.027186-0.82%0.02244-18.13%0.0763✓0.79197k2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19080.189238-0.82%0.1493-21.75%0.0752✓1.11586k2022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017734-0.82%0.0177-1.01%0.0965✗0.68159k2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0729060.072292-0.84%0.069428-4.77%0.1103✗1.031.7M2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0544660.054-0.86%0.045083-17.23%0.0397✓0.9744k2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative10.69710.6054-0.86%9.372-12.39%0.0188✗0.982.0M2022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.003890.003856-0.86%0.00328-15.68%0.0029✓1.09517k2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase1.08281.0733-0.87%0.896517-17.20%0.0652✓0.7970k2022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.8663.2878-0.90%54.1-15.28%0.0034✓1.0513.7M2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2350.232877-0.90%0.181-22.98%0.0723✓1.23657k2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05010.049618-0.96%0.0403-19.56%0.0654✓0.9811k2022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033260.032936-0.97%0.02642-20.57%0.0319✓1.292,7512022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07160.070883-1.00%0.0602-15.92%0.0465✓0.80122k2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.22650.224225-1.00%0.1683-25.70%0.1267✓1.101,7402022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15120.149663-1.02%0.1223-19.11%0.0449✓1.0846k2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414770.410371-1.06%0.37019-10.75%0.0425✗1.00502k2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.090621-1.07%0.0659-28.06%0.2001✓0.81123k2022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.005040.004984-1.10%0.00415-17.66%0.0258✓1.08126k2022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.27590.272812-1.12%0.2331-15.51%0.0270✓0.89576k2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.07840.077498-1.15%0.0617-21.30%0.0528✓1.20367k2022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087550.086541-1.15%0.09157+4.59%0.0902✗0.231.1M2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.720520.712194-1.16%0.56747-21.24%0.0303✓1.3554k2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.00004740.000046847-1.17%0.00003899-17.74%0.0583✓0.862.0M2022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero168.13166.1446-1.18%149.22-11.25%0.0383✗1.001.1M2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04420.043653-1.24%0.0394-10.86%0.0491✗1.0476k2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.41592.3859-1.24%1.8646-22.82%0.0877✓1.0938k2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash76.2175.2536-1.25%62.92-17.44%0.0093✓1.162.3M2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum31.3330.9333-1.27%26.69-14.81%0.0123✓0.9310.0M2022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4851.4662-1.27%1.22-17.85%0.0339✓1.032.6M2022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.201970.199398-1.27%0.15686-22.34%0.0856✗2.236712022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082810.081741-1.29%0.06888-16.82%0.0591✓0.779072022-08-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.7504-1.32%10.894+126.30%0.8650✗0.241.1M2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35950.354692-1.34%0.2842-20.95%0.0730✓1.023.6M2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.06720.066295-1.35%0.0523-22.17%0.0757✓1.11215k2022-08-20
DASHDashDash57.0756.2935-1.36%45.75-19.84%0.0624✓0.99552k2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9992.9582-1.36%3.4859+16.24%0.2420✗0.531.3M2022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase20.8220.5349-1.37%15.84-23.92%0.0856✓1.19118k2022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.12290.121215-1.37%0.0956-22.21%0.0824✓1.06529k2022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.23111.2142-1.37%0.94144-23.53%0.1141✓0.9613k2022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012620.000012444-1.40%0.00001291+2.30%0.1802✗0.98679k2022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.818.6853-1.42%8.89+0.91%0.0443✗0.141.8M2022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.8231.7971-1.42%1.299-28.74%0.1282✓1.35435k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1268360.125017-1.43%0.109019-14.05%0.0038✓0.917.2M2022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61530.606314-1.46%0.4742-22.93%0.0821✓1.12345k2022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62710.617879-1.47%0.5172-17.53%0.0614✓0.80784k2022-08-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049220.048496-1.47%0.03956-19.63%0.0843✓0.822,5642022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1381.1209-1.50%0.8617-24.28%0.0838✓1.232.3M2022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3061-1.50%1.04-21.57%0.0480✓1.231.1M2022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.243.1908-1.52%2.36-27.16%0.1133✓1.29269k2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17170.169051-1.54%0.1226-28.60%0.2207✓0.694.4M2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration61.1860.2304-1.55%48.54-20.66%0.0625✓1.05551k2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016240.015986-1.56%0.014688-9.56%0.0138✓0.682.1M2022-08-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096740.000095208-1.58%0.00008807-8.96%0.0729✗1.03336k2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49390.485918-1.62%0.3713-24.82%0.1014✓1.15175k2022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55840.549357-1.62%0.4104-26.50%0.1264✓1.1358k2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.55980.550631-1.64%0.4513-19.38%0.0432✓1.0742.0M2022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum65.4464.3566-1.66%49.23-24.77%0.0806✓1.2938k2022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.548761-1.66%0.463-17.03%0.0242✓1.0014k2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05540.054483-1.66%0.0458-17.33%0.0296✓0.99248k2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana46.6345.8503-1.67%35.29-24.32%0.0835✓1.2281.1M2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.5141-1.68%1.17-24.03%0.0674✓1.311.2M2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.538-1.68%5.88-11.58%0.0507✗1.081.4M2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.17590.172936-1.69%0.131-25.53%0.1274✓1.032.6M2022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash144.43141.9698-1.70%114.78-20.53%0.0480✓1.135.1M2022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9170.901187-1.72%0.708-22.79%0.0982✓0.98280k2022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08230.080874-1.73%0.0668-18.83%0.0258✓1.131.4M2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3748.2289-1.73%6.249-25.38%0.1465✓0.886.9M2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0265-1.77%5.051+23.23%0.2636✗0.252.3M2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.91041.8763-1.78%1.5629-18.19%0.0165✓1.14467k2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36860.36202-1.79%0.3003-18.53%0.0450✓0.978.3M2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12960.127261-1.80%0.1097-15.35%0.0248✓0.85328k2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06141.0422-1.81%0.83183-21.63%0.0753✓1.03543k2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8672.815-1.81%2.152-24.94%0.0957✓1.1959k2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204810.020106-1.83%0.022499+9.85%0.1368✗0.17226k2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.065.9482-1.84%6.52+7.59%0.1451✗0.371.0M2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.319.1382-1.85%7.228-22.36%0.0766✓1.0813.2M2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8154-1.87%1.34-27.57%0.1494✓1.06190k2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.005-1.88%6.33+3.43%0.1039✗0.351.4M2022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum2.4082.3624-1.89%1.86-22.76%0.0963✓0.98588k2022-08-20
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.7158-1.90%13.7071-19.55%0.0526✓1.0059k2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0653.9874-1.91%3.057-24.80%0.1606✓0.721.1M2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.181160.177701-1.91%0.13909-23.22%0.0553✓1.30236k2022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52160.511569-1.92%0.3838-26.42%0.0938✓1.33217k2022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9022.8447-1.97%2.096-27.77%0.0498✓1.75144k2022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031260.030641-1.98%0.02152-31.16%0.2031✓1.0313.8M2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2431.2183-1.99%1.06-14.72%0.0209✗1.1013k2022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.9740.954591-1.99%0.799-17.97%0.0373✗1.48407k2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091270.089417-2.03%0.07704-15.59%0.0139✓1.1229k2022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9120.893452-2.03%0.722-20.83%0.0007✓1.474.3M2022-08-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.775582-2.07%0.569-28.16%0.1276✓1.252,7912022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum6.666.5206-2.09%5.036-24.38%0.0579✓1.3811.9M2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.2792-2.10%1.596-31.44%0.1882✓1.15172k2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum4.29174.2008-2.12%3.3461-22.03%0.0799✓1.0153k2022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN3.21413.1458-2.12%2.314-28.00%0.1115✓1.3413k2022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.63340.61984-2.14%0.5428-14.30%0.0136✓1.002.4M2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8720.853154-2.16%0.676-22.48%0.0958✓0.94377k2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.1498.9501-2.17%6.902-24.56%0.0973✓1.1219.3M2022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3876930.379225-2.18%0.301686-22.18%0.0690✓1.10916k2022-08-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001029.98e-7-2.19%8.70e-7-14.71%0.0239✓0.785.7M2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0863.9961-2.20%4.487+9.81%0.1671✗0.351.7M2022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.4191.3869-2.27%1.3649-3.81%0.1327✗1.02907k2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,984.751,938.99-2.31%1,575.76-20.61%0.0145✓1.32528.6M2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70291.6636-2.31%1.7871+4.94%0.2575✗1.28619k2022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07140.069742-2.32%0.0503-29.55%0.1643✓1.12877k2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9941.9477-2.32%1.525-23.52%0.0773✓1.15212k2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum110.5107.8823-2.37%82.79-25.08%0.0357✓1.577.6M2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.842-2.38%5.07+2.22%0.1038✗0.401.3M2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.38170.372587-2.39%0.30514-20.06%0.0697✓0.89439k2022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1978.001-2.39%6.305-23.08%0.0851✓1.055.5M2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11760.114786-2.39%0.1034-12.07%0.0288✗0.91215k2022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.26990.26336-2.42%0.239-11.45%0.0991✗1.35117k2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14410.14048-2.51%0.1029-28.59%0.1445✓1.143.9M2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008860.008635-2.54%0.00725-18.17%0.0119✓1.12463k2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014730.001435-2.58%0.001507+2.32%0.1751✗0.861.4M2022-08-20
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2910.283467-2.59%0.2023-30.48%0.1916✓1.00105k2022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.45.2599-2.59%5.82+7.78%0.1441✗0.292.1M2022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum2.662.5896-2.65%2.41-9.40%0.0635✗0.93636k2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.16160.157264-2.68%0.1832+13.37%0.2813✗0.881.1M2022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42283.3309-2.69%4.3606+27.40%0.3203✗0.351.6M2022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16271.1313-2.70%1.0652-8.39%0.0410✗0.693.9M2022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7020.68292-2.72%0.557-20.66%0.0260✓1.22100k2022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.90611.578-2.76%10.236-14.03%0.0501✗1.1913.7M2022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum2.1072.0488-2.76%1.857-11.87%0.0462✗0.99219k2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1811.841-2.78%10.01-17.82%0.0005✓1.15305k2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0381.0083-2.86%0.869-16.28%0.0268✓1.201.3M2022-08-20
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021970.002134-2.87%0.001726-21.44%0.0664✓1.001.0M2022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0046330.004499-2.90%0.003393-26.76%0.1633✓0.811.0M2022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.30840.299448-2.90%0.2676-13.23%0.0455✗1.08194k2022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.533950.518183-2.95%0.39983-25.12%0.1883✓0.4970k2022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.2418.6586-3.02%14.13-26.56%0.1004✓1.221.5M2022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9878.706-3.13%7.004-22.07%0.0246✓1.329.9M2022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1928.2631-3.18%22.3-23.60%0.0336✓1.4030.5M2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.386.177-3.18%6.408+0.44%0.0570✗0.143.5M2022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3914.8967-3.21%12.68-17.61%0.0139✓1.202.6M2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.43123.3145-3.40%5.6922+65.90%0.6112✗0.481.9M2022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43481.3853-3.45%0.9995-30.34%0.1163✓1.446.4M2022-08-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3420.5977-3.48%18.41-13.73%0.0100✓0.702.2M2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.045140.043555-3.51%0.03745-17.04%0.0015✓1.0320k2022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum126.57122.0643-3.56%104.84-17.17%0.0242✓0.883.9M2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01210.975914-3.58%0.8612-14.91%0.1065✗1.59309k2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum3.7463.6119-3.58%2.824-24.61%0.1197✓0.87613k2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9723.8282-3.62%2.746-30.87%0.0982✓1.615.3M2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative2.9232.8119-3.80%2.124-27.33%0.0948✓1.27712k2022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.4610.0601-3.82%8.12-22.37%0.0544✓1.10638k2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum47.7645.9099-3.87%32.45-32.06%0.0662✓1.93385k2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.096980.093195-3.90%0.06829-29.58%0.1304✓1.242.0M2022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.5841.8334-4.01%32.83-24.67%0.0405✓1.3816.5M2022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43750.419761-4.05%0.3105-29.03%0.1374✓1.13100k2022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1353.9646-4.12%3.919-5.22%0.1150✗0.87114k2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,424.4810,933.09-4.30%8,539.61-25.25%0.0517✓1.346.4M2022-08-20
OPTIMOptimism1.5421.4749-4.35%1.131-26.65%0.0137✓1.923.7M2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.1538.0329-5.27%41.66+3.76%0.2622✗1.171.5M2022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.