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2022-08-12 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1134
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.8%
in alpha space · 81.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.66%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.00696+0.97%0.005861-14.97%0.0570✗0.723,4592022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.104846+0.81%0.0848-18.46%0.0513✗1.019,1182022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.8287+0.66%5.2071+8.54%0.0962✓0.13307k2022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.330992+0.61%0.272-17.33%0.0616✗0.851.1M2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008422+0.50%0.00703-16.11%0.0781✗0.651.6M2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.61031+0.48%0.4754-21.73%0.0710✗1.13332k2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.50990.512049+0.42%0.3909-23.34%0.0851✗1.17808k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.830.833244+0.39%0.74-10.84%0.0476✗0.4591k2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001033+0.32%8.70e-7-15.53%0.0497✗0.7721k2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.262074+0.26%0.2612-0.08%0.0012✓0.0144k2022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.033704+0.22%0.02581-23.25%0.0616✗1.292,7512022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.175502+0.17%0.1502-14.27%0.0079✓1.03131k2022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.054024+0.12%0.04452-17.49%0.0748✗0.7516k2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.070545+0.08%0.063977-9.24%0.0017✗0.61182k2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.066041+0.06%0.0532-19.39%0.0426✗1.09207k2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.139075+0.05%0.1065-23.38%0.1289✗0.874,5542022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.466354+0.00%0.36149-22.49%0.0916✗1.03107k2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.291-0.03%3.3477-22.01%0.0880✓1.0153k2022-08-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001705-0.04%0.001479-13.31%0.0162✓0.809,0932022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2869-0.07%1.068-17.07%0.0380✓0.9456k2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.9969-0.10%2.75-8.33%0.0031✓0.5296k2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.050142-0.12%0.0398-20.72%0.0771✓0.9711k2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.072237-0.12%0.067937-6.06%0.1025✗1.031.7M2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.153184-0.21%0.1221-20.46%0.0551✓1.0850k2022-08-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.049427-0.21%0.03963-19.99%0.0901✓0.822,5822022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1142.7921-0.22%114.49-19.99%0.0427✓1.125.1M2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9562.7879-0.26%54.02-14.19%0.0162✗1.0513.7M2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.056265-0.26%0.04825-14.47%0.0717✓0.5233k2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8024,091.01-0.26%21,334.30-11.67%0.0318✗0.9711k2022-08-19
DASHDashDash56.1656.0108-0.27%44.86-20.12%0.0647✓0.99544k2022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.5852-0.30%1.38-13.21%0.1322✓0.04143k2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025387-0.31%0.021066-17.28%0.0539✓0.8413k2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.00681-0.32%0.006691-2.06%0.0614✗0.5053k2022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.938823-0.34%0.834-11.46%0.0712✗1.201.1M2022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.19783-0.34%0.16055-19.12%0.1453✗2.238742022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.6137-0.38%9.359-12.16%0.0329✗1.002.0M2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53663.293-0.38%51.302-19.26%0.0956✓0.72344k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.738151-0.38%0.609-17.81%0.0185✗1.33135k2022-08-19
GTGateEthereum5.0445.0244-0.39%4.373-13.30%0.0252✓0.72911k2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.29443-0.40%0.2516-14.88%0.0062✓0.9570k2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0131.0089-0.41%0.847-16.39%0.0880✓0.554.2M2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.2098-0.41%2.82-12.50%0.0077✗0.86587k2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.082965-0.41%0.06643-20.26%0.1002✓0.779772022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.425175-0.42%0.33831-20.76%0.0636✓1.04502k2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero166.92166.2069-0.43%142.31-14.74%0.0069✗1.021.1M2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.055456-0.44%0.045265-18.73%0.0435✓1.0144k2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.091496-0.44%0.0618-32.75%0.2604✓0.83127k2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.277447-0.45%0.2209-20.74%0.0680✓1.0191k2022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum31.2231.0786-0.45%26.41-15.41%0.0159✓0.9310.8M2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.08686-0.46%0.08741+0.17%0.0431✗0.231.1M2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1824,299.62-0.47%20,834.94-14.66%0.0047✓1.00472.7M2022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.23483-0.50%0.186-21.19%0.0384✓1.23657k2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase21.3521.2427-0.50%16.17-24.26%0.0840✓1.19118k2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.125748-0.53%0.108067-14.51%0.0062✓0.927.2M2022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.3854-0.53%1.8825-21.50%0.0649✓1.0838k2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.537803-0.54%0.4497-16.83%0.0064✓1.0942.0M2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.1502-0.54%1.0221-11.61%0.0039✓0.723.9M2022-08-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.300764-0.54%0.2054-32.08%0.2228✓1.00108k2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.019979-0.55%0.025967+29.26%0.2905✗0.18223k2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.026491-0.56%0.02251-15.50%0.0351✓0.81186k2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.722305-0.59%0.5697-21.59%0.0219✓1.3659k2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.276029-0.60%0.2304-17.03%0.0380✓0.90629k2022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.221034-0.61%0.1722-22.57%0.0238✓1.421,3132022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.36086-0.62%0.2828-22.12%0.0807✓1.033.6M2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.000012621-0.62%0.00001317+3.70%0.1984✗0.98744k2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash77.3476.8514-0.63%62.23-19.54%0.0254✓1.172.2M2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.9126-0.64%1.5782-18.01%0.0114✓1.14467k2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01682.9975-0.64%3.7255+23.49%0.3032✗0.541.3M2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.1012-0.64%0.884025-20.23%0.0951✓0.7963k2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003920.003894-0.65%0.0032-18.37%0.0202✓1.11534k2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.42-0.67%7.303-23.00%0.0827✓1.0813.2M2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010317-0.70%0.00905-12.90%0.0147✓0.735.5M2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.181708-0.70%0.13844-24.35%0.0629✓1.32236k2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.005073-0.72%0.00412-19.37%0.0334✓1.10112k2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.694861-0.73%0.562-19.71%0.0194✓1.22100k2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.389888-0.74%0.29551-24.76%0.1345✓0.90439k2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.136.0848-0.74%7.02+14.52%0.1986✗0.351.0M2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.173188-0.75%0.1279-26.70%0.1922✓0.704.4M2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017675-0.76%0.01707-4.15%0.0774✗0.71159k2022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.2198-0.77%1.1177-9.08%0.0876✗1.1013k2022-08-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002174-0.78%0.001717-21.63%0.0774✓1.001.0M2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.36272-0.79%0.303-17.12%0.0246✓0.988.4M2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4842-0.79%1.206-19.39%0.0367✓1.082.6M2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.251672-0.80%0.2125-16.24%0.0485✗1.37116k2022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.016149-0.80%0.01381-15.17%0.0447✓0.702.1M2022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.082022-0.82%0.0657-20.56%0.0428✓1.131.4M2022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9227-0.83%2.151-27.01%0.1155✓1.2059k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.872715-0.83%0.678-22.95%0.1034✓0.94377k2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.6711-0.83%1.7825+5.78%0.2663✗1.27540k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.472054-0.83%0.3724-21.76%0.0533✓1.16174k2022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.8841-0.84%1.32-30.53%0.1894✓1.05190k2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000047429-0.86%0.00003843-19.67%0.0754✓0.852.0M2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.2212-0.86%0.94175-23.54%0.1062✓0.9714k2022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.552571-0.87%0.4043-27.47%0.1327✓1.1358k2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.17e-7-0.88%6.08e-7+89.86%0.7573✗0.68150k2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.129252-0.88%0.1085-16.79%0.0382✓0.86350k2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.63480.629195-0.88%0.5569-12.27%0.0373✗1.002.4M2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.056392-0.89%0.0447-21.44%0.0692✓1.03254k2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.059-0.90%0.84451-20.97%0.0649✓1.02543k2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7847-0.90%1.325-26.43%0.0854✓1.34432k2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.072038-0.91%0.0562-22.70%0.1202✓0.81128k2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration61.1460.5697-0.93%48.63-20.46%0.0508✓1.06551k2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008836-0.94%0.00743-16.70%0.0054✓1.13463k2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.073198-0.95%0.0635-14.07%0.0510✗1.22367k2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.194101-0.97%0.1513-22.81%0.0751✓1.10570k2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum2.0752.0546-0.98%1.87-9.88%0.0631✗0.99261k2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.63764-0.99%0.4967-22.87%0.1189✓0.83755k2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1764.1347-0.99%4.972+19.06%0.2250✗0.262.3M2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.1351-1.01%0.879-23.35%0.0580✓1.252.3M2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.122444-1.02%0.0975-21.18%0.0566✓1.08529k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.36715-1.03%0.29333-20.93%0.0514✓1.0913k2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001019-1.04%8.70e-7-15.53%0.0351✓0.785.9M2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.477404-1.05%0.38673-19.84%0.1307✓0.5070k2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.4002-1.06%1.914-21.10%0.0712✓0.98588k2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.6575-1.07%6.466-26.11%0.1514✓0.896.2M2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.440041-1.09%0.3103-30.25%0.1711✓1.1295k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.3192-1.11%1.045-21.66%0.0373✓1.231.1M2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.547787-1.12%0.429-22.56%0.0864✓1.0015k2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.7603-1.13%9.57+8.01%0.1139✗0.161.8M2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana45.544.9854-1.13%35.82-21.27%0.0305✓1.2481.1M2022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.3145-1.13%1.661-29.05%0.1496✓1.15172k2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.47099-1.14%0.36-24.43%0.0559✓1.34242k2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0342.0108-1.14%1.506-25.96%0.1026✓1.18220k2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.2128-1.14%2.3-29.23%0.1336✓1.27269k2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.546593-1.18%0.3796-31.37%0.1548✓1.32232k2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum9.219.0939-1.26%6.895-25.14%0.0673✓1.3210.0M2022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.926-1.28%2.112-28.74%0.0489✓1.75143k2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004464-1.31%0.003321-26.58%0.1585✓0.87994k2022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1514.0966-1.31%4.701+13.25%0.1914✗0.341.7M2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.925645-1.32%0.708-24.52%0.1112✓0.99280k2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.043908-1.33%0.0347-22.02%0.0700✓1.0476k2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.5705-1.34%5.8-12.91%0.0477✗1.091.4M2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.174.1132-1.36%3-28.06%0.1985✓0.741.3M2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.178437-1.36%0.1293-28.52%0.1573✓1.042.7M2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1264.2312-1.36%49.91-23.36%0.0489✓1.2838k2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.145184-1.37%0.1055-28.33%0.1382✓1.143.8M2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.090333-1.38%0.07429-18.90%0.0186✓1.1229k2022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.8076-1.38%13.488+176.68%1.0705✗0.251.1M2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.382839-1.42%0.302298-22.16%0.0615✓1.10916k2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.239913-1.43%0.1767-27.40%0.1308✓1.101,7402022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79113.1324-1.44%83.37-27.37%0.0563✓1.577.9M2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5373-1.46%1.18-24.36%0.0571✓1.311.2M2022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.187-1.50%2.3044-28.78%0.1141✓1.3313k2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.8782-1.52%10.759-10.80%0.0942✗1.2214.4M2022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,929.85-1.53%1,608.72-17.92%0.0271✗1.32522.8M2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.929517-1.53%0.676-28.39%0.0857✓1.474.4M2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.161423-1.57%0.1961+19.57%0.3362✗0.891.1M2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124116.851-1.59%12.9755-24.23%0.0980✓1.0359k2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.412.2015-1.60%9.77-21.21%0.0396✓1.15313k2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.124961-1.61%0.1096-13.70%0.0033✓0.85209k2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5476-1.64%2.29-11.58%0.0412✗0.93636k2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.072094-1.65%0.051-30.42%0.1687✓1.12877k2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3339.1779-1.66%6.899-26.08%0.1062✓1.1319.3M2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.214-1.68%6.87+8.70%0.1564✗0.351.2M2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6618.3438-1.69%14.23-23.74%0.0596✓1.231.4M2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.032066-1.70%0.0224-31.33%0.1971✓1.0213.8M2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.304064-1.72%0.2715-12.25%0.0585✗1.08203k2022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.966035-1.73%0.776-21.06%0.0149✓1.48440k2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum49.0748.1762-1.82%32.4-33.97%0.0917✓1.92385k2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum128.24125.8706-1.85%99.28-22.58%0.0981✓0.884.0M2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.9029-1.88%5.106-27.42%0.0832✓1.3811.9M2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9845-1.88%5.39+6.10%0.1429✗0.411.3M2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.098559-1.90%0.07173-28.61%0.1161✓1.272.0M2022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.423-1.94%6.23+12.66%0.1878✗0.312.1M2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.776487-1.96%0.574-27.53%0.1020✓1.262,9182022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0315.7142-1.97%12.8-20.15%0.0136✓1.212.6M2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.3977-1.98%1.2326-13.56%0.0341✗1.01907k2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001479-2.01%0.001441-4.55%0.1117✗0.871.4M2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.2423-2.07%5.0422+52.29%0.4969✗0.351.5M2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.3709-2.13%6.7571+96.18%0.7713✗0.481.9M2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.472-2.13%7.67-28.32%0.1364✓1.10638k2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000095958-2.17%0.00008591-12.42%0.0131✓0.78353k2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.4473-2.23%6.927+5.05%0.0954✗0.153.5M2022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3948.203-2.28%6.409-23.65%0.0783✓1.065.5M2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3528.6559-2.36%22.44-23.54%0.0224✓1.4030.7M2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5711,226.32-2.45%8,613.21-25.16%0.0535✓1.336.2M2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative2.9452.8714-2.50%2.121-27.98%0.1008✓1.27711k2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.9463-2.58%3.13-22.74%0.0955✓0.86102k2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.5948-2.63%17.46-17.45%0.0519✓0.712.4M2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.154.04-2.65%2.801-32.51%0.1098✓1.625.3M2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4142.2417-2.69%32.98-24.03%0.0288✓1.3816.2M2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.047035-2.88%0.0386-20.30%0.0353✓1.0219k2022-08-19
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.6035-2.88%1.222-25.98%0.0325✗1.923.6M2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3838.2444-2.88%41.75+6.02%0.2746✗1.181.5M2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02480.992896-3.11%0.8698-15.12%0.1215✗1.60296k2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.3787-3.12%1.0504-26.19%0.0433✓1.446.7M2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.