8=======>

2022-08-09 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3709
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.4%
in alpha space · 41.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3537.8233-3.88%40.61+3.20%0.0348✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.923106-3.15%0.967+1.46%0.0014✓1.61296k2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001433-3.09%0.001587+7.27%0.0754✗0.881.3M2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.9972.9123-2.83%2.685-10.41%0.1197✓1.29587k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2562-2.81%1.2853-0.56%0.0199✓1.446.8M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.5733-2.76%1.454-10.14%0.1371✓1.953.1M2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5720.006-2.74%20.32-1.22%0.0058✓0.722.6M2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.435.4801-2.53%39.88+9.56%0.0759✗1.3813.5M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.13023-2.52%0.1024-23.35%0.2658✓0.85203k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000094402-2.46%0.0000971+0.33%0.0097✓0.62421k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.3108-2.32%6.018-6.86%0.0529✓0.183.4M2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.724-2.31%3.68-3.46%0.0599✓1.615.2M2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.745574-2.28%0.71-6.95%0.0863✓1.262,7022022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,933.61-2.27%11,010.19-1.59%0.0328✓1.345.4M2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.3110.0964-2.07%10.19-1.16%0.0246✓1.14482k2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.6666-2.02%7.773-0.66%0.0175✓1.055.9M2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.2158-2.01%3.7239+13.48%0.1317✗0.501.8M2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.930769-1.92%1.072+12.96%0.0966✗1.50469k2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.3028-1.92%3.62-17.48%0.1957✓0.771.1M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7275-1.92%4.95+2.70%0.0338✗0.411.3M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4326.9106-1.89%27.11-1.17%0.0344✓1.4030.7M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0085-1.87%3.514+14.62%0.1441✗0.381.4M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum125.81123.4636-1.87%116.11-7.71%0.0877✓0.884.2M2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.100938-1.86%0.08996-12.53%0.1535✓1.291.6M2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.1624-1.86%5.44+3.42%0.0428✗0.322.1M2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.840256-1.84%0.87+1.64%0.0095✓1.494.4M2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5824-1.81%2.36-10.27%0.1186✓0.96726k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.8999-1.77%6.197-11.77%0.1489✓1.3911.9M2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.7388-1.76%15.0779-11.51%0.1351✓1.0358k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.23e-7-1.76%7.44e-7+125.94%0.8126✗0.68150k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.93745-1.73%0.84-11.95%0.1397✓1.01263k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.298545-1.73%0.3019-0.63%0.0212✓1.09294k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2968-1.72%2.016-13.74%0.1649✓1.16172k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.312-1.66%15-3.66%0.0566✓1.212.6M2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8508-1.55%3.3012+14.01%0.1070✗1.3313k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.3152-1.51%17.95+2.10%0.0010✓1.241.4M2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum42.6542.009-1.50%38.9-8.79%0.1327✓1.88328k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.084692-1.50%0.09121+6.08%0.0405✗1.1329k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.031672-1.49%0.02789-13.25%0.1577✓1.0313.9M2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.655487-1.46%0.69252+4.11%0.0140✓1.3857k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.232611-1.44%0.207-12.29%0.1501✓1.121,5612022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.6258-1.42%8.453-3.39%0.0539✓1.1318.6M2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7421-1.41%1.675-5.21%0.0793✓1.35383k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6643-1.40%2.651-1.89%0.0568✓1.74131k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.063311-1.39%0.0642+0.00%0.0196✓1.13827k2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017265-1.34%0.01753+0.17%0.0053✓0.69167k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.2099-1.32%12.36+8.80%0.0638✗1.14306k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042235-1.32%0.0426-0.47%0.0227✓1.0577k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.47521-1.32%0.47192-2.00%0.0223✓0.5268k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.8758-1.30%4.19+6.70%0.0670✗0.371.6M2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2458.4671-1.30%61.09+3.12%0.0059✓1.2835k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0322.0057-1.29%1.924-5.31%0.0773✓1.20234k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.169197-1.29%0.1676-2.22%0.0406✓1.042.8M2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.350546-1.28%0.35527+0.05%0.0205✓1.1413k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.43962-1.28%0.3985-10.51%0.1309✓1.1080k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.509715-1.28%0.4749-8.02%0.1104✓1.33245k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.512417-1.27%0.545+5.01%0.0316✗1.0113k2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4121-1.25%1.41-1.40%0.0399✓1.291.2M2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.167581-1.25%0.1798+5.95%0.0374✗1.11548k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.247-1.25%11.396+0.06%0.0232✓1.2214.4M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.5074-1.24%5.889+29.03%0.2600✗0.251.1M2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.174331-1.23%0.1546-12.41%0.1414✓0.713.9M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4304-1.22%5.96-8.45%0.1093✓1.121.4M2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3487-1.20%1.425+4.40%0.0224✗1.102.5M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.3382-1.19%8.346-1.10%0.0381✓1.319.9M2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.18867-1.18%0.1883-1.37%0.0692✓2.261,0642022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,683.73-1.15%1,876.57+10.17%0.0697✗1.30453.9M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0263-1.15%1.4706+41.65%0.3315✗0.95907k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2792-1.14%1.271-1.78%0.0433✓1.241.1M2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.138009-1.14%0.1301-6.81%0.0947✓1.203.1M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.088445-1.13%0.08578-4.11%0.0376✓0.231.1M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0773-1.13%2.061-1.90%0.0384✓1.03261k2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.4488-1.11%6.29+14.16%0.1330✗0.361.1M2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.144084-1.11%0.2097+43.93%0.3487✗0.891.1M2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.340401-1.10%0.362039+5.19%0.0283✗1.12875k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.426968-1.10%0.4464+3.41%0.0044✓1.35207k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.662704-1.09%0.672+0.30%0.0232✓1.2591k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.616641-1.08%0.5897-5.41%0.0714✓0.90755k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.419-1.07%8.89+4.47%0.0494✗0.171.8M2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration60.2659.617-1.07%56.07-6.95%0.0931✓1.07489k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002117-1.06%0.00202-5.61%0.0768✓1.001.2M2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.445129-1.06%0.4559+1.33%0.0110✓1.17165k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8596-1.05%3.26+12.80%0.0928✗1.28227k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.070454-1.05%0.0688-3.37%0.0478✓0.81151k2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008621-1.02%0.00854-1.95%0.0432✓1.14457k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.972-1.02%4.038+0.62%0.0083✓0.272.2M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.60670.600532-1.02%0.6115+0.79%0.0127✓1.042.4M2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8409-1.02%2.94+2.44%0.0193✗0.50110k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.081674-1.00%0.08258+0.10%0.0120✓0.779072022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0945-0.98%1.1561+4.59%0.0255✗0.9812k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.080325-0.96%0.0784-3.33%0.0579✓1.131.4M2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.0101-0.95%1.0299+0.99%0.0134✓1.10543k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.61e-7-0.95%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0134✓0.776.0M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash79.8179.0558-0.94%75.95-4.84%0.0764✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.122049-0.93%0.1265+2.68%0.0096✗0.88370k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0971-0.93%1.0221-7.70%0.1082✓1.262.0M2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.512334-0.92%0.5047-2.40%0.0486✓1.1350k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9697.0646-0.91%109.79+12.08%0.0770✗1.558.2M2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.216308-0.91%0.2113-3.21%0.0657✓1.421,2802022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1346-0.91%1.1875+3.71%0.0128✗1.1013k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.053321-0.89%0.0539+0.19%0.0203✓1.04248k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.172304-0.87%0.16955-2.46%0.0555✓1.32216k2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0288-0.86%1.0226-1.45%0.0298✓0.8056k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.026099-0.84%0.02539-3.53%0.0523✓0.83159k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.3540.0111-0.84%43.09+6.79%0.0369✗1.2579.4M2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009789-0.82%0.01154+16.92%0.1427✗0.745.3M2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.111979-0.82%0.1138+0.80%0.0158✓1.07566k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.054844-0.81%0.054802-0.89%0.0161✓0.5229k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.9787-0.81%8.426+4.75%0.0283✗0.885.7M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.047119-0.80%0.0445-6.32%0.0862✓0.9810k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.722-0.80%2.752+0.29%0.0252✓1.2254k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2773-0.80%2.2701-1.11%0.0357✓1.0938k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015221-0.79%0.015966+4.07%0.0268✗0.712.1M2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.342555-0.77%0.3526+2.14%0.0003✓0.988.4M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71959.2793-0.74%61.168+2.43%0.0099✗0.72321k2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9238-0.72%3.334+13.21%0.1055✗0.87585k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000043096-0.70%0.00004498+3.64%0.0172✗0.861.9M2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.6737-0.69%30.67+2.64%0.0055✓0.929.4M2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.8174-0.69%3.1212+10.03%0.0851✗0.581.2M2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.4661-0.66%10.39-1.39%0.0376✓1.021.9M2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011971-0.66%0.00001581+31.20%0.2488✗0.99864k2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.52-0.66%1.47-3.92%0.0356✓0.07173k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.031358-0.64%0.05113+62.01%0.4580✗1.0414k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.8451-0.64%8.839-0.71%0.0335✓1.1011.8M2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.0115-0.64%0.967-5.01%0.0612✓0.543.7M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0958-0.63%1.1489+4.19%0.0263✗0.714.4M2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004482-0.61%0.00476+5.54%0.0268✗1.1299k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.5167-0.60%1.635+7.16%0.0364✗1.30698k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.34681-0.60%0.35342+1.30%0.0079✓0.90396k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6998-0.59%1.75+2.34%0.0026✓1.06140k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003680.003658-0.59%0.00401+8.97%0.0584✗1.12517k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.2248-0.57%0.2556+13.05%0.0870✗1.3997k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.8064-0.57%20.12+1.00%0.0197✓1.19118k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.249796-0.56%0.2645+5.29%0.0264✗1.0491k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.121371-0.55%0.12178-0.22%0.0243✓0.937.1M2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.02005-0.55%0.025638+27.17%0.2408✗0.17215k2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.8179-0.55%6.14+4.96%0.0429✗0.37894k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.80369-0.53%0.818+1.24%0.0101✓0.93377k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.510439-0.50%0.5571+8.60%0.0550✗1.0940.5M2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.049062-0.50%0.051969+5.40%0.0274✗1.0137k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.217932-0.49%0.244+11.42%0.0758✗1.25716k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7972-0.47%1.8887+4.60%0.0155✗1.15530k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006152-0.47%0.006937+12.23%0.1053✗0.5050k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.087693-0.46%0.0811-7.95%0.1045✓0.89127k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003341-0.45%0.004101+22.20%0.1790✗0.87988k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.403225-0.45%0.40858+0.87%0.0181✓1.05481k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.249714-0.43%0.27+7.66%0.0502✗0.94681k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9516-0.43%2.409+22.91%0.1812✗0.99588k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022735-0.41%0.024604+7.78%0.0536✗0.8512k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.327247-0.41%0.3392+3.23%0.0049✗1.043.5M2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5291-0.39%3.876+52.66%0.4019✗0.8486k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash52.9752.7657-0.39%52.46-0.96%0.0357✓1.00552k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7554-0.38%4.8932+2.50%0.0074✗0.71887k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2723,069.24-0.38%23,857.93+3.02%0.0039✓1.00455.4M2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.433625-0.37%0.42922-1.39%0.0412✓1.04124k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.0688-0.33%0.087041+26.09%0.2043✗1.041.6M2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero158.78158.2699-0.32%169.61+6.82%0.0386✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068254-0.31%0.069764+1.90%0.0039✗0.60216k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260551-0.29%0.2612-0.04%0.0021✓0.0135k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058731-0.29%0.0734+24.62%0.1856✗1.25339k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.050626-0.28%0.05205+2.52%0.0049✗0.7717k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6023,144.40-0.28%23,861.50+2.81%0.0017✓0.9712k2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.044523-0.26%0.04681+4.86%0.0251✗0.842,3482022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1659-0.25%1.2535+7.24%0.0442✗0.9552k2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.714336-0.23%0.7-2.23%0.0598✓1.33137k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.68e-7-0.23%0.000001+3.09%0.0111✗0.7322k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059775-0.21%0.0696+16.19%0.1188✗1.12185k2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001654-0.19%0.001761+6.28%0.0390✗0.808,9342022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.01454.0073-0.18%4.0127-0.04%0.0290✓1.0257k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7134.4721-0.17%136.34+1.22%0.0197✓1.135.0M2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1859.0834-0.16%61.33+3.63%0.0060✗1.0513.7M2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.136313-0.14%0.1437+5.27%0.0198✗1.1155k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.809026-0.12%0.959+18.40%0.1348✗1.18968k2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779188-0.10%0.81+3.85%0.0249✗0.4783k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008244-0.07%0.00828+0.36%0.0153✓0.661.6M2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.259912-0.07%0.3001+15.38%0.1146✗0.9865k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031775-0.05%0.03136-1.35%0.0518✓1.301,7322022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.127+0.00%0.123-3.15%0.0576✗0.864,5002022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.154863+0.04%0.1861+20.22%0.1518✓1.07110k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.329004+0.31%0.316-3.66%0.0654✗0.841.1M2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.47780.479442+0.34%0.4762-0.33%0.0418✗1.18892k2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0435+0.43%5.2507+4.56%0.0360✓0.14367k2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.594451+0.45%0.5677-4.07%0.0796✗1.13318k2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006525+0.61%0.006767+4.35%0.0148✓0.734,4282022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.098363+0.68%0.1069+9.42%0.0533✓1.017,6272022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.