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2022-08-03 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3271
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.5%
in alpha space · 30.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008345+1.89%0.00837+2.20%0.0409✗0.901.6M2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0814+1.32%4.7-6.28%0.0864✗0.17219k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.552066+1.24%0.6134+12.49%0.0502✓1.14335k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7135.3131+1.21%142.18+6.34%0.0087✓1.204.5M2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1521+1.19%1.2251+7.61%0.0104✓1.0547k2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.3284+1.04%21.93+27.87%0.1688✓1.37116k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066835+0.96%0.071244+7.62%0.0069✓1.171.7M2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006262+0.88%0.006634+6.87%0.0168✓0.848,9962022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.750084+0.82%0.884+18.82%0.1051✓1.22895k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8562.3481+0.81%78.7+27.24%0.1721✓1.251.5M2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7858.2405+0.80%61.61+6.63%0.0001✓1.1513.7M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7749.1573+0.79%54.6+11.95%0.0517✓1.10574k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.469972+0.79%0.4979+6.78%0.0026✓1.24892k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.5426+0.74%4.9377+9.50%0.0471✓0.75920k2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.691051+0.74%0.766+11.66%0.0313✓1.47106k2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.156075+0.56%0.1652+6.44%0.0030✓1.23102k2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.0833+0.55%10.779+7.49%0.0130✓1.102.0M2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.743598+0.49%0.77+4.05%0.0060✓0.5983k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.310376+0.34%0.37799+22.20%0.1423✓1.13398k2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.062181+0.29%0.1362+119.68%0.7483✓0.74159k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.05886+0.27%0.0607+3.41%0.0386✗1.43350k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,882.96+0.25%23,962.18+4.98%0.0025✓1.00427.9M2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.145124+0.22%0.1704+17.68%0.1145✓0.953.6M2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0038.0186+0.19%9.529+19.07%0.1132✓1.2211.0M2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.62e-7+0.19%0.00000101+5.21%0.0082✓0.846.4M2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.097365+0.17%0.1008+3.70%0.0239✗1.206,5342022-08-10
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.025042+0.17%0.026+4.00%0.0106✓0.5545k2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.05838+0.14%0.0635+8.92%0.0164✓1.39167k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1786+0.12%2.3862+9.66%0.0327✓1.2032k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.326945+0.08%0.3644+11.54%0.0538✓1.138.1M2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114255+0.06%0.125982+10.33%0.0496✓0.997.0M2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067833+0.05%0.070307+3.70%0.0025✓0.69364k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001704+0.03%0.001757+3.11%0.0198✗1.039,4962022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.320058+0.02%0.3479+8.72%0.0267✓1.173.5M2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11157.0868-0.01%167.53+6.63%0.0107✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.394139-0.02%0.46429+17.77%0.1059✗1.19118k2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,618.06-0.05%1,854.12+14.54%0.0741✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.0823-0.06%31.37+7.80%0.0296✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.245885-0.09%0.2649+7.64%0.0151✗1.22110k2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.317833-0.12%0.4951+55.59%0.3883✗1.1377k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045745-0.12%0.0495+8.08%0.0156✗1.309,0132022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8938-0.12%4.1947+7.59%0.0217✗1.0945k2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021268-0.15%0.02661+24.93%0.1747✗1.02159k2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006686-0.17%0.006078-9.26%0.1205✓0.5239k2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003133-0.24%0.003961+26.11%0.1863✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0878.0643-0.28%8.306+2.71%0.0212✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.4382-0.29%42.5+10.25%0.0340✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.8344-0.31%3.057+66.14%0.4486✗1.28430k2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.956995-0.31%1.072+11.67%0.0503✗1.30532k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0209-0.33%1.0722+4.67%0.0033✗0.9460k2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2544-0.37%1.348+7.07%0.0115✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042277-0.38%0.00004643+9.40%0.0375✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.400596-0.40%0.4648+15.56%0.0847✗1.32127k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.76e-7-0.40%0.00000103+5.10%0.0051✗1.0025k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003713-0.44%0.00383+2.68%0.0320✓1.29551k2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9501-0.47%3.098+4.52%0.0052✓1.11597k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004538-0.48%0.00485+6.36%0.0029✓1.31112k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.498479-0.48%0.5376+7.33%0.0171✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.198912-0.49%0.2383+19.21%0.1127✗1.401,1742022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.2471-0.52%9.062+24.39%0.1627✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.229891-0.52%0.2326+0.65%0.0598✓1.4789k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.21187-0.53%0.229+7.51%0.0042✓1.51786k2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.11031-0.53%0.1219+9.92%0.0390✗1.25505k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.248167-0.53%0.266+6.61%0.0127✗1.17768k2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.259794-0.54%0.2616+0.15%0.0064✗0.0129k2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.05542-0.56%0.057508+3.19%0.0088✗0.5824k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.162126-0.56%0.17975+10.25%0.0286✗1.53212k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011763-0.57%0.0000124+4.82%0.0079✓1.25986k2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.04806-0.58%0.05257+8.75%0.0466✗0.8915k2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.762489-0.59%0.883+15.12%0.0973✗1.02377k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.462893-0.59%0.48951+5.13%0.0187✗0.7668k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31159.9453-0.61%62.292+3.28%0.0021✓0.83330k2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.599878-0.62%0.6574+8.91%0.0361✗1.14690k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009699-0.62%0.01031+5.64%0.0183✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008625-0.64%0.00896+3.23%0.0241✓1.28375k2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.3561-0.65%111.17+17.06%0.0835✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4494-0.65%1.6203+11.06%0.0434✗1.40675k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.329805-0.66%0.34+2.41%0.0200✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.25801-0.69%0.2716+4.54%0.0030✓1.1265k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01781.0105-0.72%1.4709+44.52%0.3196✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.436744-0.72%0.4553+3.50%0.0302✓1.48278k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.333472-0.72%0.369005+9.86%0.0395✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.132813-0.74%0.1532+14.50%0.0900✗1.09779k2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7074-0.76%1.8733+8.89%0.0311✗1.27530k2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.133873-0.76%0.1428+5.86%0.0028✓1.2761k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6756-0.79%1.849+9.47%0.0289✗1.43341k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.087303-0.80%0.08979+2.02%0.0154✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.0309-0.81%18.55+8.04%0.0219✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.058022-0.82%0.0686+17.26%0.1050✗1.28799k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.402583-0.82%0.41642+2.59%0.0333✓1.38583k2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.536594-0.83%0.537-0.76%0.0674✓1.40222k2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7864-0.84%3.04+8.19%0.0133✗1.52198k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.115023-0.84%0.1265+9.05%0.0429✗1.07370k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.157421-0.87%0.1861+17.19%0.1070✗1.24508k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,643.82-0.88%23,919.30+4.71%0.0072✓0.9814k2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.116947-0.89%0.1462+23.90%0.1566✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.127629-0.91%0.1324+2.80%0.0117✓1.004,9522022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4524-0.91%2.734+10.46%0.0654✗0.89110k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.46e-7-0.95%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0826✓0.99170k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.642518-1.00%0.71796+10.63%0.0375✗1.5188k2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4152-1.04%1.58+10.49%0.0416✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.113-1.07%1.046-7.02%0.0938✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.085177-1.07%0.0919+6.74%0.0200✗1.15128k2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.781424-1.09%0.976+23.54%0.1639✗1.20225k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7655.1442-1.10%65.2+16.93%0.0999✗1.3934k2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022795-1.13%0.024212+5.01%0.0135✗0.9611k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.6112-1.14%62.92+2.63%0.0196✓1.17379k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.625689-1.15%0.697+10.11%0.0399✗1.4088k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7781-1.16%2.108+17.18%0.1393✗0.64189k2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6932-1.17%12.16+12.38%0.0702✗1.20259k2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030439-1.17%0.03249+5.49%0.0019✓1.301,3502022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.4495-1.18%17.7+21.05%0.1470✗1.1563k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1324-1.19%3.02-4.73%0.0605✓0.49102k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.204533-1.19%0.2472+19.42%0.1260✗1.311,6972022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030886-1.23%0.03518+12.50%0.0702✗1.2314k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3489-1.26%6.71+4.35%0.0122✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4212-1.27%4.752+6.12%0.0447✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.468377-1.27%0.5471+15.32%0.1009✗1.1246k2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001072-1.31%0.001521+39.94%0.2890✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076253-1.35%0.0827+6.99%0.0274✗1.11952k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.01744-1.35%0.01893+7.07%0.0419✗0.82207k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.4204-1.36%8.75-8.38%0.0974✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048621-1.36%0.052134+5.77%0.0116✓1.2035k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5782-1.36%1.82+13.75%0.0783✗1.32122k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.635-1.38%2.928+9.58%0.0202✗1.75109k2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4987-1.40%1.52+0.00%0.0007✓0.30221k2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015555-1.46%0.015766-0.12%0.0300✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.080011-1.48%0.10427+28.40%0.1925✗1.49786k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3389-1.48%1.444+6.25%0.0135✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.168248-1.49%0.1819+6.50%0.0187✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0671-1.51%1.133+4.58%0.0068✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.343884-1.53%0.36767+5.28%0.0034✓1.3113k2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042776-1.55%0.04665+7.36%0.0410✗0.942,3002022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077058-1.56%0.08525+8.90%0.0655✗0.731,0202022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8035-1.58%2.9592+3.89%0.0063✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2105-1.58%2.452+9.17%0.0364✗1.38177k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.067107-1.60%0.0739+8.36%0.0508✗0.94229k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.7349-1.60%8.348+6.20%0.0169✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.0014-1.61%11.986+17.91%0.1151✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6514-1.62%2.856+5.97%0.0048✓1.4349k2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.6663-1.62%29.18+26.65%0.1757✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7203-1.71%5.68-2.41%0.0358✓0.59873k2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040581-1.74%0.0441+6.78%0.0236✗1.2376k2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3107-1.75%1.3894+4.15%0.0144✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019598-1.76%0.020275+1.63%0.0134✓0.42165k2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8359-1.77%4.198+7.50%0.0485✗0.86922k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.4213-1.77%38.83+7.68%0.0236✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053626-1.78%0.0548+0.37%0.0406✓1.28284k2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.7576-1.79%4.079+6.61%0.0535✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.184586-1.84%0.19756+5.06%0.0446✓2.311,1512022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.6434-1.86%47.24+33.82%0.2168✗1.92251k2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.8777-1.88%5.97-0.33%0.0174✓0.68725k2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002212-1.90%0.002157-4.35%0.0738✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9589-1.91%2.075+3.91%0.0042✓1.27626k2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9004-1.95%4.046+1.71%0.0029✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.584052-2.00%0.6261+5.05%0.0120✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.886678-2.02%0.98+8.29%0.0141✓1.77513k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0827-2.07%1.145+3.56%0.0021✓1.1111k2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.506162-2.10%0.532+2.90%0.0060✓1.1513k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.798763-2.11%0.88+7.84%0.0123✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6281-2.21%4.199+13.18%0.0615✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.08572-2.27%0.08743-0.32%0.0466✓1.3629k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1908-2.29%3.2108-1.67%0.0308✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.762138-2.29%0.79+1.28%0.0348✓1.453,6872022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.8669-2.29%6.395+28.39%0.2474✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9771-2.32%2.049+1.24%0.0329✓1.41255k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.0018-2.32%7.116-0.73%0.0681✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2784-2.36%3.3964+1.15%0.0078✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000097595-2.38%0.00009856-1.41%0.0892✓2.04536k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.6727-2.39%3.0285+10.61%0.0490✗1.5612k2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.03656-2.48%0.03296-12.08%0.1736✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,458.85-2.48%11,510.60+7.32%0.0266✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2638-2.59%5.43-15.55%0.1725✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4053-2.62%2.59+4.86%0.0216✓1.08398k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0068-2.66%1.1615+12.30%0.1003✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0094-2.68%1.1836+14.12%0.1080✗1.0513k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.666-2.71%9.22+3.51%0.0056✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6426.8886-2.72%38.68+39.94%0.2976✗1.36773k2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9409-2.74%4.92-3.15%0.0383✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.309253-2.84%0.3078-3.30%0.0587✓1.11294k2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18102.061-2.97%126.64+20.40%0.1677✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4415.9018-3.27%16.17-1.64%0.0516✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.966873-3.57%0.9791-2.35%0.0708✓1.72211k2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.0995-4.01%21.15-3.78%0.0389✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8852-5.41%1.569-21.27%0.2794✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.0151-6.66%10.61-1.12%0.0095✓1.38334k2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.