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2022-08-01 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1186
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.4%
in alpha space · 35.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008591+2.03%0.00837-0.59%0.0471✗0.911.6M2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006417+1.52%0.006716+6.25%0.0248✓0.909,1592022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87139.9207+1.49%143.54+4.11%0.0019✓1.194.3M2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.313566+1.44%0.33107+7.10%0.0274✓1.17398k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.737301+1.42%0.774+6.46%0.0206✓1.21806k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.259+1.33%4.8-7.51%0.0961✗0.21210k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8763.6816+1.29%77.53+23.32%0.1680✓1.251.5M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4724+1.27%4.9055+11.07%0.0757✓0.73916k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7550.3685+1.24%56.22+13.01%0.0844✓1.11574k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4760.1943+1.22%62.61+5.28%0.0127✓1.1613.6M2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.0799+1.17%10.767+8.07%0.0410✓1.082.1M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.466052+1.03%0.5085+10.23%0.0585✓1.25778k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.096056+1.01%0.1038+9.15%0.0498✓1.216,7862022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.3414+1.00%19.15+5.45%0.0116✓1.37116k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.562966+1.00%0.6088+9.22%0.0520✓1.14341k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.738162+0.98%0.767+4.92%0.0040✓1.4980k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.069349+0.91%0.070056+1.94%0.0163✗1.151.7M2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.787078+0.91%0.79+1.28%0.0102✗0.6179k2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001712+0.89%0.001764+3.95%0.0063✓1.0211k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060709+0.84%0.0607+0.83%0.0324✗1.40339k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064607+0.79%0.1545+141.03%0.8532✓0.81155k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006701+0.77%0.0063-5.26%0.0741✗0.5438k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.2408+0.74%9.276+13.40%0.0898✓1.2410.0M2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,434.45+0.69%23,815.65+2.33%0.0069✗1.00414.2M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,638.40+0.46%1,777.36+8.99%0.0525✓1.26387.0M2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.343971+0.46%0.3629+5.99%0.0273✓1.147.7M2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.74e-7+0.45%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0032✓0.836.4M2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2778+0.42%2.385+5.15%0.0176✓1.2329k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.443+0.33%2.626+7.84%0.0511✓0.92105k2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2501+0.33%1.2304-1.25%0.0403✗1.0643k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.11866+0.30%0.130156+10.02%0.0696✓0.996.8M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0214+0.28%1.0843+6.46%0.0377✓0.9660k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.07013+0.23%0.070047+0.11%0.0191✗0.78373k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.231218+0.22%0.2285-0.95%0.0460✗1.4897k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.513569+0.15%0.5372+4.76%0.0162✓1.2541.9M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.154284+0.12%0.1674+8.63%0.0588✓0.993.5M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003753+0.09%0.00377+0.53%0.0256✗1.31559k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3237+0.05%1.351+2.12%0.0082✗1.241.2M2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.164781+0.05%0.163-1.03%0.0395✗1.2494k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9601+0.00%3.052+3.11%0.0049✓1.12619k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021557-0.01%0.029+34.51%0.2728✗1.03159k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.6461-0.03%167.1+3.99%0.0138✗1.111.3M2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,162.72-0.04%23,846.60+2.91%0.0065✗0.9814k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.423603-0.07%0.4704+10.97%0.0742✗1.33127k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.29e-7-0.11%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0015✗0.96178k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.716-0.11%1.875+9.14%0.0552✗1.45327k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261349-0.17%0.2614-0.15%0.0001✓0.0128k2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8551-0.17%3.02+5.59%0.0212✗1.52192k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125262-0.19%0.1317+4.94%0.0273✗0.994,9522022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.418579-0.19%0.42996+2.52%0.0011✓1.21118k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.00325-0.19%0.003433+5.44%0.0314✗1.021.0M2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.5505-0.21%62.317+2.70%0.0093✗0.85345k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.5788-0.22%42.2+1.27%0.0164✓1.3681.1M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.6798-0.23%31.49+2.41%0.0042✗0.9510.2M2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.770227-0.23%0.835+8.16%0.0580✗0.99377k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048183-0.24%0.0517+7.04%0.0395✗1.347,6872022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.33516-0.25%0.3474+3.39%0.0086✗1.183.1M2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.32295-0.26%0.5111+57.84%0.4327✗1.1576k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029928-0.27%0.03333+11.06%0.0776✗1.311,2932022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4161-0.27%1.56+9.86%0.0637✗1.441.1M2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.3105-0.28%102.58+6.21%0.0248✗1.6610.2M2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045008-0.29%0.00004589+1.66%0.0073✓1.161.9M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206366-0.31%0.2282+10.24%0.0684✗1.401,1792022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5498-0.32%8.607+13.64%0.1020✗1.2616.9M2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.34%0.000001+4.17%0.0213✗1.0025k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.41132-0.36%0.42203+2.24%0.0064✓1.39583k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.164814-0.36%0.17585+6.31%0.0293✗1.54212k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220172-0.37%0.23+4.07%0.0088✗1.51821k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092006-0.38%0.08629-6.57%0.0698✓0.241.1M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.262068-0.39%0.2624-0.27%0.0270✓1.23101k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.537949-0.40%0.561+3.87%0.0095✗1.41234k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011921-0.41%0.00001229+2.67%0.0021✓1.23986k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070202-0.42%0.0826+17.16%0.1379✗1.08567k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.616934-0.43%0.6657+7.44%0.0495✗1.16642k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0118-0.45%1.0855+6.81%0.0399✗1.32525k2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.333347-0.49%0.339+1.19%0.0069✓1.03959k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.264385-0.50%0.2624-1.24%0.0335✓1.13768k2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115595-0.52%0.1199+3.18%0.0067✗1.30472k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010156-0.52%0.01044+2.25%0.0053✗0.974.7M2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056929-0.53%0.05725+0.03%0.0082✓0.6022k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1232-0.55%4.1656+0.47%0.0149✓1.0939k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0134-0.57%3.023+49.28%0.3771✗1.27415k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5502-0.58%2.889+12.63%0.0843✗1.7595k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.06083-0.60%0.068+11.11%0.0814✗1.30799k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064376-0.65%0.062-4.32%0.0707✓1.44154k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8079-0.66%1.894+4.07%0.0175✗1.26492k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014917-0.66%0.016131+7.42%0.0579✗0.881.6M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.360285-0.68%0.363104+0.09%0.0221✓1.301.0M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.483756-0.69%0.48293-0.86%0.0198✓0.7863k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.7546-0.70%18.67+4.42%0.0193✗1.351.3M2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085197-0.70%0.0896+4.43%0.0233✗1.18137k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7823-0.71%2.06+14.76%0.1301✗0.64189k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119827-0.72%0.1267+4.97%0.0311✗1.07352k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.786999-0.76%0.894+12.74%0.0991✗1.23218k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.122633-0.78%0.1491+20.63%0.1636✗1.382.8M2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0232-0.81%1.0662+3.36%0.0143✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004741-0.81%0.00474-0.84%0.0306✓1.32112k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5617-0.82%1.6087+2.16%0.0034✓1.44589k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.466913-0.87%0.4659-1.08%0.0360✓1.47273k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017741-0.89%0.01763-1.51%0.0243✓0.78229k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.274443-0.92%0.2733-1.34%0.0289✓1.0867k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.639836-0.95%0.697+7.89%0.0533✗1.4088k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001086-0.96%0.001192+8.77%0.0641✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.142-0.96%11.72+4.18%0.0226✗1.21243k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.068-1.01%1.2133+12.46%0.0951✗1.411.4M2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4086-1.01%1.438+1.05%0.0086✓1.272.5M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6134-1.02%1.85+13.50%0.1053✗1.37114k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.170213-1.04%0.1759+2.27%0.0041✓1.25491k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031697-1.07%0.0332+3.62%0.0178✗1.2414k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.05113-1.08%0.05269+1.93%0.0093✓0.9015k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.2542-1.09%45.63+35.72%0.2717✗1.94229k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.506-1.13%64.6+0.58%0.0102✓1.18354k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052595-1.14%0.0543+2.07%0.0031✓1.25269k2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.2231-1.15%62.01+5.28%0.0310✗1.3932k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.208111-1.18%0.2677+27.11%0.2205✗1.361,6972022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2903-1.19%3.05-8.41%0.0871✓0.4994k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.4906-1.21%0.5796+16.71%0.1409✗1.1247k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3107-1.22%4.707+7.86%0.0745✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.9495-1.22%19.4666+28.63%0.2370✗1.1868k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2901-1.23%1.4281+9.33%0.0670✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009262-1.26%0.00911-2.88%0.0456✓1.26359k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.702556-1.27%0.69895-1.77%0.0400✓1.5188k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.2886-1.28%27.92+18.36%0.1446✗1.6027.5M2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.2657-1.28%11.817+13.64%0.1091✗1.3714.4M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0659-1.30%1.084+0.37%0.0007✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4237-1.33%6.92+6.30%0.0422✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8646-1.34%2.058+8.89%0.0659✗1.42234k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.077906-1.36%0.08965+13.51%0.1236✗0.731,1722022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066466-1.39%0.0737+9.35%0.0813✗0.96229k2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002395-1.39%0.00224-7.78%0.0900✓1.001.8M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023279-1.45%0.023579-0.18%0.0097✓0.989,6292022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.537-1.48%1.55-0.64%0.0035✓0.22268k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7544-1.52%2.9975+7.18%0.0621✗0.981.0M2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.6428-1.52%8.73-0.52%0.0144✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019694-1.52%0.018974-5.12%0.0491✓0.51165k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.2121-1.53%8.259-0.97%0.0229✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.141575-1.55%0.1447+0.63%0.0077✓1.2859k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.174799-1.58%0.1804+1.58%0.0026✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.5368-1.61%7.314+10.08%0.0725✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050614-1.62%0.052476+2.00%0.0088✓1.1938k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8142-1.62%3.99+2.91%0.0247✗0.88754k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.079161-1.66%0.11272+40.02%0.3189✗1.50773k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9883-1.67%2.141+5.89%0.0446✗1.28637k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.6828-1.70%8.84-10.25%0.1031✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040556-1.80%0.0454+9.93%0.0846✗1.2371k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7788-1.82%4.125+7.17%0.0740✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.921653-1.83%1.1662+24.22%0.2147✗0.903.2M2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.188942-1.85%0.19653+2.09%0.0139✓2.311,2222022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.936922-1.89%0.944-1.15%0.0333✓1.77513k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.9084-1.92%16.74+18.05%0.1529✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8884-1.92%3.2115+9.05%0.0882✗0.77978k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.508829-1.96%0.553+6.55%0.0569✗1.1513k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3422-2.00%2.74+14.64%0.1323✗1.07301k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8878-2.01%2.9-1.59%0.0286✓1.4349k2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.1966-2.01%8.791+5.09%0.0378✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.338529-2.01%0.36941+6.92%0.0570✗1.3112k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8544-2.02%4.04+2.69%0.0305✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.8377-2.03%10.19+27.37%0.2310✗1.37263k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.08248-2.03%0.08557+1.64%0.0059✓1.3429k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.84286-2.11%0.898+4.30%0.0237✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5272-2.16%4.095+13.59%0.1095✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7972-2.16%3.0082+5.22%0.0367✗1.5612k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3632-2.18%2.498+3.39%0.0230✗1.41177k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.958-2.33%6.04-0.98%0.0016✓0.66623k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045104-2.33%0.04665+1.02%0.0116✓0.962,3002022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8033-2.35%6.031+22.61%0.2149✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.1851-2.38%38.06+8.68%0.0749✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.297788-2.65%0.3126+2.19%0.0227✓1.12300k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46100.7004-2.67%128.79+24.48%0.2227✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1658-2.78%1.1648-2.87%0.0262✓1.1010k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.145235-2.79%0.1526+2.14%0.0240✓1.11698k2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000101792-2.86%0.00009929-5.25%0.0696✓1.94592k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.807169-2.87%0.841+1.20%0.0068✓1.493,6872022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035737-2.89%0.03513-4.54%0.0522✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0467-2.90%1.1739+8.90%0.0910✗1.0313k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4681-2.90%1.899+25.60%0.2117✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.5456-3.14%30.04+5.63%0.0546✗1.39641k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9085-3.18%5.02-0.99%0.0061✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1765-3.31%3.4773+5.85%0.0699✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6159-3.34%5.71-1.72%0.0026✓0.61732k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3084-3.39%5.62-13.94%0.1298✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,193.31-3.60%11,448.81-1.40%0.0096✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.5054-3.62%21.84+13.75%0.1458✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0682-6.28%0.9875-13.36%0.1165✓1.65205k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.77450.720596-6.96%0.6064-21.70%0.1994✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.