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2022-08-01 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1148
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1075-2.84%0.9875-13.36%0.1526✓1.65205k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.77450.754986-2.52%0.6064-21.70%0.2460✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.7755-2.34%30.04+5.63%0.0463✗1.39641k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4821-1.98%1.899+25.60%0.2022✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000102791-1.91%0.00009929-5.25%0.0794✓1.94592k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.816381-1.76%0.841+1.20%0.0045✓1.493,6872022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4217-1.66%5.62-13.94%0.1476✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.8877-1.63%21.84+13.75%0.1254✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2386-1.42%3.4773+5.85%0.0506✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.5408-1.37%38.06+8.68%0.0646✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,454.45-1.35%11,448.81-1.40%0.0326✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.03633-1.28%0.03513-4.54%0.0686✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0159-1.07%5.02-0.99%0.0155✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5666-1.07%4.095+13.59%0.0984✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.852036-1.04%0.898+4.30%0.0128✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.75-1.03%5.71-1.72%0.0210✓0.61732k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.293-1.01%1.4281+9.33%0.0647✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083375-0.97%0.08557+1.64%0.0049✓1.3429k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8729-0.94%6.031+22.61%0.2005✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0681-0.91%1.1739+8.90%0.0708✗1.0313k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1893-0.82%1.1648-2.87%0.0461✓1.1010k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46102.6849-0.75%128.79+24.48%0.2032✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5495-0.68%1.55-0.64%0.0046✓0.22268k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3741-0.66%2.74+14.64%0.1187✗1.07301k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041034-0.64%0.0454+9.93%0.0729✗1.2371k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.948968-0.63%0.944-1.15%0.0460✓1.77513k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.4013-0.61%2.498+3.39%0.0070✗1.41177k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.14851-0.60%0.1526+2.14%0.0017✓1.11698k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8423-0.58%3.0082+5.22%0.0207✗1.5612k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9282-0.57%3.2115+9.05%0.0745✗0.77978k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.304182-0.56%0.3126+2.19%0.0014✓1.12300k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516239-0.53%0.553+6.55%0.0424✗1.1513k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.537496-0.48%0.561+3.87%0.0103✗1.41234k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.708314-0.46%0.69895-1.77%0.0481✓1.5188k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3042-0.43%8.259-0.97%0.0341✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.344131-0.39%0.36941+6.92%0.0406✗1.3112k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.8118-0.39%8.84-10.25%0.1163✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209791-0.38%0.2677+27.11%0.2125✗1.361,6972022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4888-0.33%6.92+6.30%0.0321✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8646-0.32%3.99+2.91%0.0116✗0.88754k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6237-0.31%7.314+10.08%0.0593✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3412-0.28%8.791+5.09%0.0203✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092118-0.26%0.08629-6.57%0.0710✓0.241.1M2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.7536-0.25%8.73-0.52%0.0272✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9816-0.23%10.19+27.37%0.2128✗1.37263k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.08034-0.20%0.11272+40.02%0.3041✗1.50773k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.192154-0.18%0.19653+2.09%0.0307✓2.311,2222022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067284-0.17%0.0737+9.35%0.0690✗0.96229k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.01787-0.17%0.01763-1.51%0.0315✓0.78229k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0783-0.16%1.084+0.37%0.0109✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.29e-7-0.14%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0017✗0.96178k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.844-0.13%4.125+7.17%0.0569✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.5768-0.13%45.63+35.72%0.2620✗1.94229k2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0302-0.13%1.0662+3.36%0.0075✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.486532-0.12%0.48293-0.86%0.0255✓0.7863k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9294-0.12%4.04+2.69%0.0112✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.8315-0.12%62.01+5.28%0.0206✗1.3932k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.164-0.11%16.74+18.05%0.1347✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.00937-0.10%0.00911-2.88%0.0572✓1.26359k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3597-0.10%4.707+7.86%0.0633✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001095-0.08%0.001192+8.77%0.0553✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9454-0.05%2.9-1.59%0.0483✓1.4349k2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.02361-0.05%0.023579-0.18%0.0238✓0.989,6292022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002429-0.02%0.00224-7.78%0.1039✓1.001.8M2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.177574-0.01%0.1804+1.58%0.0131✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.171996-0.00%0.1759+2.27%0.0063✓1.25491k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.022+0.00%2.141+5.89%0.0278✓1.28637k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.471032+0.01%0.4659-1.08%0.0448✗1.47273k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.5924+0.01%27.92+18.36%0.1317✓1.6027.5M2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051458+0.02%0.052476+2.00%0.0077✗1.1938k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7955+0.03%2.06+14.76%0.1227✓0.64189k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8909+0.05%2.058+8.89%0.0519✓1.42234k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.046207+0.06%0.04665+1.02%0.0126✗0.962,3002022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.719+0.06%1.875+9.14%0.0535✓1.45327k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.496922+0.06%0.5796+16.71%0.1281✓1.1247k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.939477+0.07%1.1662+24.22%0.1956✓0.903.2M2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.079038+0.07%0.08965+13.51%0.1092✓0.731,1722022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0252.027+0.10%3.023+49.28%0.3704✓1.27415k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4247+0.12%1.438+1.05%0.0200✗1.272.5M2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.262125+0.12%0.2614-0.15%0.0030✗0.0128k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.155+0.14%19.4666+28.63%0.2233✓1.1868k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.414+0.14%11.817+13.64%0.0948✓1.3714.4M2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.2665+0.15%11.72+4.18%0.0115✓1.21243k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.9071+0.15%18.67+4.42%0.0107✓1.351.3M2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5693+0.17%2.889+12.63%0.0769✓1.7595k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.020032+0.17%0.018974-5.12%0.0661✗0.51165k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.363417+0.18%0.363104+0.09%0.0307✗1.301.0M2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.1119+0.19%6.04-0.98%0.0271✗0.66623k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.7526+0.20%42.2+1.27%0.0206✗1.3681.1M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.207435+0.21%0.2282+10.24%0.0633✓1.401,1792022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0812+0.22%1.2133+12.46%0.0827✓1.411.4M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.154434+0.22%0.1674+8.63%0.0579✓0.993.5M2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.266318+0.23%0.2624-1.24%0.0408✗1.13768k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3261+0.24%1.351+2.12%0.0100✗1.241.2M2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3389+0.27%3.05-8.41%0.1018✗0.4994k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004793+0.27%0.00474-0.84%0.0414✗1.32112k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.8342+0.27%31.49+2.41%0.0009✓0.9510.2M2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.06137+0.28%0.068+11.11%0.0726✓1.30799k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5956+0.28%8.607+13.64%0.0959✓1.2616.9M2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057408+0.30%0.05725+0.03%0.0165✗0.6022k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.621532+0.31%0.6657+7.44%0.0421✓1.16642k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4245+0.31%1.56+9.86%0.0578✓1.441.1M2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.63e-7+0.32%0.000001+4.17%0.0146✓1.0025k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.053376+0.33%0.0543+2.07%0.0116✗1.25269k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.02+0.36%1.0855+6.81%0.0319✓1.32525k2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8703+0.36%3.02+5.59%0.0159✓1.52192k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.9372+0.37%102.58+6.21%0.0183✓1.6610.2M2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.121163+0.38%0.1267+4.97%0.0200✓1.07352k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.032165+0.39%0.0332+3.62%0.0031✓1.2414k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.648548+0.39%0.697+7.89%0.0398✓1.4088k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.8082+0.41%2.9975+7.18%0.0428✓0.981.0M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.4977+0.42%64.6+0.58%0.0257✗1.18354k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.086161+0.42%0.0896+4.43%0.0120✓1.18137k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.06438+0.44%0.1545+141.03%0.8567✓0.81155k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.278271+0.46%0.2733-1.34%0.0428✗1.0867k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000012025+0.46%0.00001229+2.67%0.0066✗1.23986k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010257+0.46%0.01044+2.25%0.0045✓0.974.7M2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.421315+0.46%0.42996+2.52%0.0076✗1.21118k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9739+0.47%3.052+3.11%0.0002✓1.12619k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2793+0.49%2.385+5.15%0.0169✓1.2329k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051945+0.49%0.05269+1.93%0.0065✗0.9015k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.797149+0.52%0.894+12.74%0.0863✓1.23218k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.00004538+0.53%0.00004589+1.66%0.0155✗1.161.9M2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.166291+0.53%0.17585+6.31%0.0204✓1.54212k2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2527+0.53%1.2304-1.25%0.0424✗1.0643k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67661.0008+0.54%62.317+2.70%0.0019✓0.85345k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.337819+0.54%0.3474+3.39%0.0007✓1.183.1M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,639.71+0.55%1,777.36+8.99%0.0517✓1.26387.0M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.222257+0.57%0.23+4.07%0.0006✓1.51821k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8305+0.58%1.894+4.07%0.0051✓1.26492k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003275+0.59%0.003433+5.44%0.0237✓1.021.0M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.144657+0.60%0.1447+0.63%0.0293✗1.2859k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.76e-7+0.60%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0047✓0.836.4M2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021691+0.61%0.029+34.51%0.2666✓1.03159k2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.11691+0.61%0.1199+3.18%0.0047✓1.30472k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6401+0.62%1.85+13.50%0.0889✓1.37114k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,320.53+0.64%23,846.60+2.91%0.0003✓0.9814k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.23223+0.66%0.2285-0.95%0.0503✗1.4897k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4513+0.67%2.626+7.84%0.0477✓0.92105k2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001708+0.67%0.001764+3.95%0.0085✓1.0211k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015121+0.69%0.016131+7.42%0.0444✓0.881.6M2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.344845+0.71%0.3629+5.99%0.0248✓1.147.7M2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060641+0.73%0.0607+0.83%0.0313✗1.40339k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.265071+0.75%0.2624-0.27%0.0384✗1.23101k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69161.8976+0.75%167.1+3.99%0.0061✓1.111.3M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003778+0.76%0.00377+0.53%0.0324✗1.31559k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.124555+0.77%0.1491+20.63%0.1481✓1.382.8M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5869+0.77%1.6087+2.16%0.0194✗1.44589k2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.304+0.79%19.15+5.45%0.0136✓1.37116k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.069285+0.82%0.070056+1.94%0.0154✗1.151.7M2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.166061+0.83%0.163-1.03%0.0472✗1.2494k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.326525+0.84%0.5111+57.84%0.4217✓1.1576k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0273+0.86%1.0843+6.46%0.0320✓0.9660k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.517274+0.87%0.5372+4.76%0.0090✓1.2541.9M2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.311872+0.89%0.33107+7.10%0.0328✓1.17398k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.778887+0.89%0.835+8.16%0.0469✓0.99377k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.126625+0.90%0.1317+4.94%0.0165✓0.994,9522022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.2365+0.90%4.8-7.51%0.0919✗0.21210k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.119372+0.90%0.130156+10.02%0.0636✓0.996.8M2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006711+0.91%0.0063-5.26%0.0756✗0.5438k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.065393+0.91%0.062-4.32%0.0864✗1.44154k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1853+0.95%4.1656+0.47%0.0299✗1.0939k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048767+0.97%0.0517+7.04%0.0275✓1.347,6872022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.071187+0.97%0.0826+17.16%0.1239✓1.08567k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,503.96+0.99%23,815.65+2.33%0.0098✗1.00414.2M2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.416894+0.99%0.42203+2.24%0.0198✗1.39583k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.2611+0.99%9.276+13.40%0.0873✓1.2410.0M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.461+1.01%4.9055+11.07%0.0782✓0.73916k2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.338427+1.02%0.339+1.19%0.0220✗1.03959k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4760.0822+1.03%62.61+5.28%0.0146✓1.1613.6M2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.788076+1.04%0.79+1.28%0.0115✗0.6179k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.42845+1.07%0.4704+10.97%0.0628✓1.33127k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070761+1.13%0.070047+0.11%0.0280✗0.78373k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7550.3141+1.13%56.22+13.01%0.0855✓1.11574k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.030351+1.14%0.03333+11.06%0.0636✓1.311,2932022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8763.6072+1.17%77.53+23.32%0.1691✓1.251.5M2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87139.5724+1.23%143.54+4.11%0.0006✓1.194.3M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.740795+1.34%0.767+4.92%0.0005✓1.4980k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.96310.097+1.35%10.767+8.07%0.0393✓1.082.1M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.467727+1.39%0.5085+10.23%0.0549✓1.25778k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008539+1.41%0.00837-0.59%0.0410✗0.911.6M2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.739151+1.67%0.774+6.46%0.0181✓1.21806k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006436+1.82%0.006716+6.25%0.0218✓0.909,1592022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.096923+1.92%0.1038+9.15%0.0408✓1.216,7862022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.569567+2.18%0.6088+9.22%0.0404✓1.14341k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.