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2022-07-26 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1349
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.9%
in alpha space · 16.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.4769-6.53%2.46-7.17%0.0924✓1.10157k2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.781982-3.72%1.0822+33.24%0.1984✗1.62209k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.280054-3.46%0.3039+4.76%0.0128✓1.21337k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7821.0379-3.41%27.79+27.59%0.1585✗1.53454k2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.4594-3.27%6.51+41.21%0.3320✗0.59713k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.115.5849-3.20%21.17+31.49%0.2366✗0.892.2M2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.921827-2.91%0.9732+2.50%0.0199✓0.953.5M2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.878544-2.86%1.0569+16.86%0.1071✗0.9910k2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.730702-2.83%0.816+8.51%0.0101✓1.543,6872022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000089594-2.68%0.00010013+8.77%0.0359✓1.88715k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum92.9690.5182-2.63%103.43+11.26%0.0526✗1.033.7M2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.50060.487639-2.59%0.5942+18.70%0.1046✗1.191.5M2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.033.9261-2.58%5.05+25.31%0.1950✗0.73612k2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1624.5306-2.50%36.59+45.43%0.2985✗1.301.3M2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.805452-2.49%1.635+97.94%0.5686✗1.781.1M2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.661158-2.48%0.823+21.39%0.0813✗1.765.2M2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.8183-2.37%3.951+1.02%0.0403✓0.95638k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.2161-2.34%2.7482+21.10%0.0923✗1.579,1162022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.461174-2.29%0.519+9.96%0.0257✗1.1811k2022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.44739-2.27%0.381-16.78%0.2588✓1.263902022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.881028-2.22%0.908+0.78%0.1095✓1.79551k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.018195-2.21%0.021484+15.47%0.1284✗0.48163k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.6096-2.21%5.16+39.80%0.3157✗0.531.9M2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum27.7627.1674-2.13%33.21+19.63%0.1227✗1.00164k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.944202-2.12%1.126+16.73%0.0875✗1.139,1202022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.111-2.11%3.883+22.18%0.1741✗0.611.5M2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.5342-2.08%14.94+16.72%0.0651✗1.411.3M2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0772.0339-2.07%2.285+10.01%0.0028✓1.45132k2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.088549-2.05%0.08996-0.49%0.0623✓1.00722k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.06448-2.01%0.08676+31.85%0.1959✗1.2927k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.159218-1.98%0.18917+16.46%0.0192✓2.451,1272022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.9132-1.91%3.801+27.98%0.1342✗1.693.7M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1122-1.82%3.18+0.32%0.0198✓0.5377k2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.043704-1.80%0.048695+9.42%0.0142✓1.2022k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3752-1.77%1.55+10.71%0.1011✗0.24319k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.181737-1.76%0.225+21.62%0.1014✗1.431,6202022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.415085-1.75%0.5474+29.56%0.1986✗1.00224k2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration58.1357.1358-1.71%60.95+4.85%0.0297✓1.21231k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.061069-1.66%0.068+9.50%0.0300✗0.99156k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.819-1.65%6.03+23.06%0.1733✗0.65514k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.024663-1.62%0.03854+53.73%0.3220✗1.5912.6M2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.4807-1.61%8+21.45%0.1103✗1.285.3M2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.597732-1.57%0.65971+8.63%0.0239✓1.5780k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.1696-1.56%2.716+23.23%0.1138✗1.4237k2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.57e-7-1.55%0.00000101+16.09%0.0867✗1.0025k2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.027588-1.54%0.0314+12.06%0.0233✗1.361,2882022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2121-1.50%3.985+22.20%0.1616✗0.69488k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.01398-1.47%0.015628+10.14%0.0408✗0.901.2M2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.634-1.47%3.9681+7.59%0.0039✓1.0826k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.428776-1.45%0.4841+11.26%0.0338✗1.1242k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.5632-1.38%8.248+23.94%0.1231✗1.355.7M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.6805-1.35%6.638+15.28%0.0218✗1.7111.5M2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.5242-1.35%1.796+16.25%0.1140✗0.64223k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.839624-1.34%1.218+43.13%0.3135✗0.751.1M2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.067806-1.29%0.0777+13.12%0.0791✗0.731,5492022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.258433-1.29%0.2618+0.00%0.0119✓0.0131k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.5607-1.28%1.966+24.35%0.1304✗1.29619k2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.032678-1.28%0.0396+19.64%0.0957✗1.2368k2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.289117-1.27%0.34832+18.94%0.0809✗1.359,6072022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2279.1101-1.27%9.92+7.51%0.0217✓1.3713.2M2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.2861-1.25%2.8083+21.31%0.1280✗0.99806k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.046717-1.23%0.0531+12.26%0.0322✗1.23256k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2566-1.21%1.364+7.23%0.0212✓1.322.4M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.043776-1.21%0.04946+11.62%0.0494✗0.9315k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7120.4623-1.20%22.85+10.33%0.0149✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.410454-1.19%0.4462+7.41%0.0339✓1.50220k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,780.58-1.18%10,752.27+56.70%0.3548✗1.364.0M2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.177.0863-1.17%9.54+33.05%0.2607✗0.47704k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.141142-1.16%0.1716+20.17%0.0943✗1.292.8M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.54659-1.16%0.608+9.95%0.0060✓1.4483k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.017209-1.15%0.01794+3.04%0.0183✓0.77324k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.7086-1.13%4.526+20.66%0.1519✗0.601.1M2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.399481-1.12%0.3926-2.82%0.1332✓1.48592k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.504-1.12%2.017+32.61%0.1801✗1.45212k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.019929-1.10%0.024372+20.94%0.1232✗1.006,9032022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3749-1.08%1.57+12.95%0.0217✗1.42122k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.0901-1.08%3.3336+57.78%0.3972✗0.89971k2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.19489-1.07%0.212+7.61%0.0371✓1.55834k2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.178315-1.05%0.202+12.10%0.0149✗1.411,0652022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9281-1.04%6.57+31.93%0.1753✗1.44939k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3372-1.04%1.4894+10.23%0.0056✓1.45540k2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.051916-1.00%0.05605+6.88%0.0281✗0.6218k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.157-0.99%1.3359+14.32%0.0283✗1.485.1M2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.106536-0.99%0.1155+7.34%0.0047✓1.09362k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1447.6796-0.96%56.33+17.01%0.0585✗1.3932k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.019701-0.95%0.02154+8.30%0.0066✓1.06136k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.078079-0.92%0.0857+8.76%0.0035✓1.24162k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero151.3149.9209-0.91%156.99+3.76%0.0412✓1.121.2M2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.147362-0.90%0.1596+7.33%0.0208✓1.29379k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.039048-0.89%0.044+11.68%0.0427✗0.981,9372022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58554.1031-0.88%60.953+11.67%0.0535✗0.84369k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.841417-0.88%0.9992+17.71%0.0774✗1.211.2M2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1795-0.87%3.0467+38.57%0.2743✗0.78884k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.8491-0.86%8.1+37.29%0.2226✗1.32248k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010778-0.84%0.00001175+8.10%0.0126✓1.271.0M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.3095-0.84%2.6+11.64%0.0181✓1.7592k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008609-0.82%0.00965+11.18%0.0368✗0.994.2M2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.809315-0.79%1.0451+28.11%0.1431✗1.441.4M2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3259-0.78%5.73+31.42%0.2335✗0.61555k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.143331-0.74%0.1626+12.60%0.0024✓1.58176k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.657125-0.74%0.774+16.92%0.0658✗1.25149k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2613-0.68%1.36+7.09%0.0384✓1.46912k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.873072-0.65%0.95943+9.18%0.0120✓1.36392k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.118737-0.64%0.1378+15.31%0.0450✗1.3354k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.096606-0.61%0.1168+20.16%0.0834✗1.362.4M2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006853-0.60%0.006716-2.58%0.0640✓0.5642k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5467-0.60%1.7139+10.14%0.0024✓1.28492k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.363982-0.59%0.39795+8.68%0.0073✓1.24113k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.278173-0.58%0.318+13.65%0.0436✗1.1570k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1515.0625-0.58%17.22+13.66%0.0257✗1.381.3M2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.232154-0.58%0.2502+7.15%0.0167✓1.17768k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.102908-0.57%0.1359+31.30%0.1922✗1.10617k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.28781-0.57%0.34061+17.68%0.0670✗1.301.0M2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.396078-0.54%0.45527+14.33%0.0800✗0.7651k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.235687-0.51%0.2636+11.27%0.0250✗1.1162k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.41e-7-0.51%3.39e-7-1.10%0.0830✓0.99229k2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.064971-0.50%0.0745+14.09%0.0523✗1.08264k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum27.0726.9363-0.49%29.4+8.61%0.0132✗0.9510.5M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.534569-0.49%0.6132+14.15%0.0440✗1.19642k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.026706-0.46%0.03144+17.18%0.0638✗1.2715k2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.1349-0.46%14.5774+19.58%0.0896✗1.2073k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.11209-0.45%0.1238+9.95%0.0205✗1.015,4502022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.00299-0.45%0.003157+5.09%0.0252✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046407-0.41%0.0581+24.68%0.1201✗1.34765k2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000039038-0.41%0.00004282+9.23%0.0003✓1.191.8M2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.466372-0.41%0.4966+6.04%0.0367✓1.2741.4M2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.105147-0.41%0.115136+9.05%0.0120✗1.016.7M2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.3186-0.40%7.179+13.16%0.0278✗1.2816.2M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.36534-0.40%0.4029+9.84%0.0082✓1.3673k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana36.2936.1488-0.39%39.81+9.70%0.0102✓1.3781.1M2022-08-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.02420.024109-0.38%0.025+3.31%0.0043✓0.5245k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.309859-0.37%0.3267+5.05%0.0395✓1.187.5M2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.67e-7-0.35%9.70e-7+11.49%0.0466✗0.845.9M2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.586-0.35%2.934+13.06%0.0386✗1.12597k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8567-0.32%2.1689+16.44%0.0594✗1.2324k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000969482-0.31%0.001085+11.56%0.0106✗1.301.7M2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.275445-0.31%0.3198+15.74%0.0553✗1.202.7M2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2533-0.30%2.72+20.35%0.0697✗1.52184k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.27523-0.28%0.328+18.84%0.0928✗1.06620k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.09464-0.27%0.1134+19.49%0.0763✗1.34491k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006273-0.27%0.00928+47.54%0.3126✗1.01352k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.894781-0.25%1.0235+14.10%0.0577✗0.9857k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040507-0.23%0.0463+14.04%0.0266✗1.377,5232022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.7668-0.22%7.928+16.90%0.0609✗1.258.7M2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5927-0.21%1.874+17.42%0.0640✗1.26379k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.2636-0.20%11.02+33.09%0.1976✗1.15241k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003952-0.20%0.00462+16.67%0.0510✗1.35106k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.208109-0.19%0.2308+10.70%0.0140✓1.5099k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.082952-0.18%0.073-12.15%0.1946✓0.85148k2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.065244-0.15%0.06831+4.55%0.0164✓0.80382k2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003420.003415-0.14%0.00371+8.48%0.0225✓1.35539k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.058522-0.13%0.0612+4.44%0.0681✓1.44342k2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2681.1577-0.13%93.42+14.96%0.0112✗1.668.1M2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,447.89-0.12%1,631.28+12.53%0.0219✗1.25354.3M2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.4064-0.11%1.635+16.12%0.0369✗1.45303k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.2985-0.11%2.419+5.13%0.0211✓0.92105k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.0902-0.09%5.0698-0.49%0.0194✓0.20219k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.650454-0.08%0.709+8.91%0.0331✓1.5372k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.635518-0.08%0.744+16.98%0.0819✗0.97360k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.317221-0.05%0.30205-4.83%0.1438✓1.21400k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.1825-0.04%1.27+7.35%0.0257✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.6619-0.02%9.938+2.84%0.0591✓1.122.1M2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3021,129.71-0.02%23,023.60+8.94%0.0096✗0.9819k2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.062591+0.04%0.066529+6.33%0.0296✗1.161.8M2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5721,270.41+0.04%22,989.40+8.13%0.0004✓1.00395.4M2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.760.760439+0.06%0.76+0.00%0.0476✗0.6083k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0575+0.06%1.163+10.05%0.0094✓1.1045k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.224648+0.07%0.2502+11.45%0.0090✓1.26119k2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.3254+0.08%8.196+54.03%0.3443✓1.111.9M2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.047748+0.10%0.0595+24.74%0.1043✓1.48109k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash43.9944.0377+0.11%48.53+10.32%0.0106✓1.11517k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.120661+0.13%0.1435+19.09%0.0947✓1.013.1M2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.049165+0.23%0.08648+76.31%0.4504✓1.46747k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.39480.395743+0.24%0.4398+11.40%0.0055✓1.28606k2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.01664.0273+0.27%4.3491+8.28%0.0204✓0.72919k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.0084+0.36%0.00839+0.24%0.0739✗0.931.4M2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.954.1231+0.41%58.09+7.77%0.0193✗1.1513.5M2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.134982+0.43%0.1674+24.55%0.1163✓1.2784k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94119.4587+0.44%133.77+12.47%0.0227✓1.164.0M2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001438+0.44%0.001664+16.20%0.0634✓1.0520k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase15.1715.2386+0.45%17.17+13.18%0.0108✓1.3997k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash55.7556.0221+0.49%61.49+10.30%0.0075✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.652787+0.58%0.742+14.33%0.0335✓1.21758k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005905+0.64%0.006204+5.75%0.0215✗0.913,1552022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.49193+0.66%0.5396+10.42%0.0031✓1.14350k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.077021+0.94%0.0936+22.67%0.0991✓1.236,3652022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.