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2022-07-24 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0734
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.0%
in alpha space · 27.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.21%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058640.005948+1.42%0.006284+7.15%0.0259✓0.922,9222022-07-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001620.001638+1.13%0.001751+8.09%0.0337✓1.0417k2022-07-31
ZECZcashZcash5959.5571+0.94%64.39+9.14%0.0371✓1.301.4M2022-07-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.1440.145136+0.79%0.1508+4.72%0.0014✓1.2681k2022-07-31
GTGateEthereum4.16274.1889+0.63%4.4515+6.94%0.0384✓0.71919k2022-07-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.085026+0.62%0.0967+14.44%0.0899✓1.236,7862022-07-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008960.009015+0.61%0.0091+1.56%0.0195✗0.921.3M2022-07-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6930.697077+0.59%0.71+2.45%0.0205✗1.23729k2022-07-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.784547+0.58%0.76-2.56%0.0544✗0.7289k2022-07-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052690.052986+0.56%0.08402+59.46%0.4149✓1.46712k2022-07-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.8739.923+0.51%10.05+1.79%0.0224✗1.112.1M2022-07-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6750.677874+0.43%0.762+12.89%0.0863✓0.97405k2022-07-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5290.531136+0.40%0.5627+6.37%0.0217✓1.14340k2022-07-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.053213+0.40%0.057+7.55%0.0220✓1.48135k2022-07-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6415.662+0.37%9.789+73.53%0.5125✓1.111.9M2022-07-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.21175.2306+0.36%5.0103-3.86%0.0491✗0.19214k2022-07-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24030.241159+0.36%0.2499+4.00%0.0040✗1.26119k2022-07-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7790.781725+0.35%0.986+26.57%0.2074✓0.791.1M2022-07-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.3758.5732+0.35%59.76+2.38%0.0160✗1.1413.7M2022-07-31
TRXTRONTron0.0668460.067058+0.32%0.068934+3.12%0.0024✓0.80369k2022-07-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13020.130528+0.25%0.1437+10.37%0.0637✓1.033.1M2022-07-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067290.006746+0.25%0.00677+0.61%0.0146✗0.5848k2022-07-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09060.090779+0.20%0.0716-20.97%0.2629✗0.81148k2022-07-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,583.4322,618.45+0.16%23,307.44+3.21%0.0015✗1.00368.3M2022-07-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.4536+0.15%3.2+30.61%0.2177✓1.52205k2022-07-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0677480.067832+0.12%0.06814+0.58%0.0324✗1.171.8M2022-07-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2860.286304+0.11%0.342+19.58%0.1442✓1.06589k2022-07-31
DASHDashDash48.9148.9576+0.10%51.17+4.62%0.0095✓1.10570k2022-07-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3997.4057+0.09%8.633+16.68%0.1142✓1.248.5M2022-07-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06450.064557+0.09%0.0629-2.48%0.0705✗1.41325k2022-07-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.025718+0.07%0.0262+1.95%0.0028✓0.5043k2022-07-31
ZENHorizenBase17.0117.0182+0.05%18.95+11.41%0.0636✓1.39100k2022-07-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.13411.1345+0.04%1.1785+3.92%0.0036✓1.0945k2022-07-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,846.4022,852.42+0.03%23,400.00+2.42%0.0072✗0.9820k2022-07-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash131.93131.9629+0.02%139.37+5.64%0.0186✓1.144.2M2022-07-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5292.5289-0.00%2.366-6.45%0.0954✓0.91105k2022-07-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.728959-0.01%0.8+9.74%0.0449✗1.5294k2022-07-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9464270.946194-0.02%1.0136+7.10%0.0371✗1.0157k2022-07-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1132070.113153-0.05%0.117624+3.90%0.0070✗1.016.7M2022-07-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.19.0915-0.09%11.52+26.59%0.1997✗1.17252k2022-07-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004276-0.09%0.00456+6.54%0.0219✗1.34115k2022-07-31
STXStacksnative0.4370.436472-0.12%0.4389+0.43%0.0347✓1.27606k2022-07-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04390.043847-0.12%0.048+9.34%0.0474✗1.377,6872022-07-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3086010.308156-0.14%0.388402+25.86%0.1922✗1.241.1M2022-07-31
XECeCashnative0.000041650.000041588-0.15%0.00004384+5.26%0.0151✗1.191.9M2022-07-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.104734-0.16%0.128+22.02%0.1576✗1.362.4M2022-07-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028970.028922-0.17%0.03029+4.56%0.0059✗1.2818k2022-07-31
XVGVergenative0.003680.003673-0.19%0.00371+0.82%0.0324✓1.35577k2022-07-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.10590.105686-0.20%0.1096+3.49%0.0053✓1.32502k2022-07-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34060.339909-0.20%0.3361-1.32%0.0483✓1.177.5M2022-07-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58080.579583-0.21%0.6248+7.58%0.0373✗1.20642k2022-07-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006775-0.21%0.0096+41.38%0.3164✗1.02355k2022-07-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008960.008941-0.22%0.01031+15.07%0.1110✗1.004.7M2022-07-31
ADACardanoCardano0.5120.510804-0.23%0.5165+0.88%0.0290✓1.2741.5M2022-07-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3020.301281-0.24%0.3175+5.13%0.0147✗1.202.7M2022-07-31
STEEMSteemnative0.24090.24029-0.25%0.2563+6.39%0.0270✗1.19628k2022-07-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0530.052865-0.25%0.0587+10.75%0.0624✗1.34798k2022-07-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40350.402431-0.26%0.4187+3.77%0.0030✓1.3570k2022-07-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.10850.108208-0.27%0.1219+12.35%0.0841✗1.11617k2022-07-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.25360.252899-0.28%0.2633+3.82%0.0058✗1.0961k2022-07-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.334.3176-0.29%5.07+17.09%0.1403✗0.64504k2022-07-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010620.001059-0.30%0.001087+2.32%0.0152✓1.301.7M2022-07-31
BANDBandEthereum1.5691.5642-0.31%1.681+7.14%0.0264✗1.44317k2022-07-31
XMRMoneroMonero151.27150.7761-0.33%155.01+2.47%0.0077✓1.121.1M2022-07-31
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.37e-7-0.33%9.80e-7+4.26%0.0188✗0.835.9M2022-07-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020210.02014-0.35%0.02121+4.95%0.0182✗1.06129k2022-07-31
SOLSolanaSolana40.9440.7918-0.36%42.38+3.52%0.0042✓1.3478.7M2022-07-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.210.209229-0.37%0.214+1.90%0.0268✓1.56881k2022-07-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031150.003103-0.37%0.003129+0.45%0.0249✓1.051.0M2022-07-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.41753.4047-0.38%4.0689+19.06%0.1442✗1.0825k2022-07-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.389760.388217-0.40%0.40065+2.79%0.0075✓1.24105k2022-07-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23480.233829-0.41%0.2339-0.38%0.0469✓1.50106k2022-07-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04260.042419-0.42%0.04419+3.73%0.0105✗0.962,0302022-07-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0937.0599-0.47%7.66+7.99%0.0415✗1.2716.7M2022-07-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.04672.0369-0.47%2.1962+7.30%0.0367✗1.2224k2022-07-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV58.10357.8224-0.48%61.179+5.29%0.0302✗0.83383k2022-07-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15970.158922-0.49%0.1674+4.82%0.0112✗1.29361k2022-07-31
FLOWFlownative1.8341.8249-0.50%1.924+4.91%0.0138✗1.24332k2022-07-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12270.122078-0.51%0.1284+4.65%0.0190✗1.006,3742022-07-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27172.2602-0.51%2.7752+22.16%0.1797✗0.81941k2022-07-31
DIADIAEthereum0.430170.427895-0.53%0.462+7.40%0.0532✗0.7451k2022-07-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,597.721,589.27-0.53%1,679.31+5.11%0.0163✗1.23339.7M2022-07-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.866.8228-0.54%9.1+32.65%0.2721✗0.50670k2022-07-31
FTTFTXEthereum29.1228.9571-0.56%30.39+4.36%0.0183✗0.9510.6M2022-07-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.8622.8457-0.57%2.87+0.28%0.0266✓1.11621k2022-07-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.130223-0.59%0.1356+3.51%0.0015✓1.3344k2022-07-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3371.329-0.60%1.308-2.17%0.0545✓1.221.3M2022-07-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.96450.958636-0.61%0.97648+1.24%0.0242✓1.35423k2022-07-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91830.912676-0.61%1.0822+17.85%0.1253✗1.431.3M2022-07-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.259771-0.62%0.2612-0.08%0.0051✓0.0135k2022-07-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4509-0.63%1.69+15.75%0.1072✗1.44127k2022-07-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41651.4073-0.65%1.5422+8.87%0.0468✗1.42561k2022-07-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.351.3412-0.65%1.44+6.67%0.0239✗1.50809k2022-07-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29990.297889-0.67%0.3059+2.00%0.0091✓1.1359k2022-07-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0142210.014125-0.68%0.015954+12.19%0.0926✗0.931.2M2022-07-31
XTZTezosTezos1.68161.6698-0.70%1.7408+3.52%0.0015✓1.27485k2022-07-31
AAVEAaveEthereum90.5389.8855-0.71%97.63+7.84%0.0307✗1.658.3M2022-07-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0548520.054443-0.75%0.057068+4.04%0.0273✗0.6317k2022-07-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.3540.35135-0.75%0.31269-11.67%0.1553✓1.23398k2022-07-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42290.419701-0.76%0.464+9.72%0.0520✗1.53208k2022-07-31
MOVRMoonriverBase13.606513.5029-0.76%14.8335+9.02%0.0559✗1.2182k2022-07-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011521-0.76%0.00001172+0.95%0.0224✓1.251.1M2022-07-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08640.085739-0.77%0.0884+2.31%0.0092✓1.26188k2022-07-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.441050.437617-0.78%0.42666-3.26%0.0719✓1.47615k2022-07-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.1594-0.81%7.77+25.12%0.1907✗1.32256k2022-07-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3751.3638-0.82%1.38+0.36%0.0293✓1.302.5M2022-07-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027520.027286-0.85%0.03056+11.05%0.0704✗1.361,3182022-07-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7470.740607-0.86%0.773+3.48%0.0028✓1.27149k2022-07-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9040.896153-0.87%0.9949+10.06%0.0663✗1.211.2M2022-07-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8733.8392-0.87%4.198+8.39%0.0693✗0.631.3M2022-07-31
XVSVenusEthereum5.345.2932-0.88%6.38+19.48%0.1417✗1.43959k2022-07-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19610.194367-0.88%0.207+5.56%0.0183✗1.421,1672022-07-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.6081.5934-0.91%1.793+11.50%0.0974✗0.65219k2022-07-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.217.0437-0.91%18.06+5.00%0.0146✗1.371.3M2022-07-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047160.04673-0.91%0.04906+4.03%0.0197✗0.9214k2022-07-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.021579-0.95%0.022614+3.80%0.0154✗1.005,9912022-07-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6056.5416-0.96%8.978+35.93%0.2762✗1.285.0M2022-07-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.23452.2128-0.97%3.0397+36.03%0.2885✗0.92933k2022-07-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4642.44-0.98%2.7236+10.54%0.0785✗1.00863k2022-07-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11820.117039-0.98%0.1207+2.12%0.0036✓1.09380k2022-07-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2633.2302-1.01%3.71+13.70%0.1138✗0.78488k2022-07-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.854.8006-1.02%5.68+17.11%0.1467✗0.68514k2022-07-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5840.578051-1.02%0.614+5.14%0.0152✗1.4384k2022-07-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018990.018796-1.02%0.01841-3.05%0.0448✓0.76354k2022-07-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.642.6129-1.02%2.597-1.63%0.0612✓1.7587k2022-07-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,980.966,908.58-1.04%10,863.90+55.62%0.4105✗1.344.1M2022-07-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.20e-7-1.07%9.70e-7+4.30%0.0214✗1.0025k2022-07-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6141.5964-1.09%1.981+22.74%0.1696✗1.46217k2022-07-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.989.8706-1.10%10.357+3.78%0.0051✓1.3612.9M2022-07-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05030.049747-1.10%0.0542+7.75%0.0474✗1.22263k2022-07-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07220.071378-1.14%0.0678-6.09%0.0842✓1.04226k2022-07-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3622.3349-1.15%2.873+21.63%0.1627✗1.4243k2022-07-31
DODODODOEthereum0.15580.153987-1.16%0.1732+11.17%0.0768✗1.292.8M2022-07-31
COMPCompoundEthereum56.2855.6241-1.17%57.04+1.35%0.0182✓1.3733k2022-07-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.31040.306778-1.17%0.32317+4.11%0.0095✓1.358,9972022-07-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158710.156847-1.17%0.16605+4.62%0.0070✓1.58176k2022-07-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03590.035473-1.19%0.0386+7.52%0.0453✗1.2476k2022-07-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.7621.7409-1.20%1.948+10.56%0.0721✗1.28603k2022-07-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.76e-7-1.20%3.41e-7-10.27%0.1279✓1.00234k2022-07-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017490.01728-1.20%0.021381+22.25%0.1975✗0.49163k2022-07-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.657260.649361-1.20%0.68545+4.29%0.0047✓1.5794k2022-07-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026260.025925-1.28%0.03423+30.35%0.2270✗1.6113.7M2022-07-31
HIVEHivenative0.45870.452836-1.28%0.5301+15.57%0.1177✗1.261.4M2022-07-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48280.476531-1.30%0.5044+4.47%0.0222✗1.1041k2022-07-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.19660.193953-1.35%0.227+15.46%0.1125✗1.421,7562022-07-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45950.453248-1.36%0.565+22.96%0.1888✗1.00224k2022-07-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095440.094133-1.37%0.09625+0.85%0.0093✓1.00690k2022-07-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4436.3419-1.57%6.733+4.50%0.0056✓1.7211.7M2022-07-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.8223.4441-1.58%23.75-0.29%0.0366✓1.5727.0M2022-07-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073820.07262-1.63%0.08091+9.60%0.0850✗0.731,8342022-07-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1103-1.64%3.679+16.35%0.1478✗0.641.6M2022-07-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.4552-1.67%1.54+4.05%0.0493✗0.23366k2022-07-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06840.067254-1.68%0.0669-2.19%0.0361✓0.98156k2022-07-31
XEMNEMnative0.0486820.047852-1.70%0.049408+1.49%0.0058✓1.2019k2022-07-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.7163.6028-1.71%63.8-1.41%0.0344✓1.19227k2022-07-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37571.3509-1.80%1.3179-4.20%0.0713✓1.484.7M2022-07-31
FISStafiEthereum0.44150.433483-1.82%0.3858-12.62%0.1516✓1.113902022-07-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1522.1104-1.93%2.503+16.31%0.1249✗1.45128k2022-07-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87330.856228-1.95%0.9212+5.48%0.0420✗0.993.5M2022-07-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06910.067745-1.96%0.0836+20.98%0.1690✗1.3128k2022-07-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1712.9109-1.97%14.33+8.81%0.0577✗1.481.2M2022-07-31
METISMetisEthereum30.5429.9383-1.97%34.61+13.33%0.1134✗1.00138k2022-07-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.45392.4055-1.97%3.1688+29.13%0.2259✗1.578,0962022-07-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.513.4394-2.01%3.39-3.42%0.0302✓0.5086k2022-07-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.970.949673-2.10%0.955-1.55%0.0514✓1.80601k2022-07-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.05691.0342-2.15%1.1203+6.00%0.0443✗1.137,7462022-07-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.573.4932-2.15%3.811+6.75%0.0530✗1.08584k2022-07-31
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8391-2.18%2.59+37.77%0.3076✗1.10157k2022-07-31
UNIUniswapEthereum7.257.079-2.36%8.327+14.86%0.1193✗1.375.5M2022-07-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.750.731921-2.41%0.861+14.80%0.1065✗1.775.4M2022-07-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.506332-2.44%0.528+1.73%0.0041✓1.2011k2022-07-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.5724.9124-2.57%36.5+42.75%0.3413✗1.291.2M2022-07-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8163.7171-2.59%4.72+23.69%0.2208✗0.572.2M2022-07-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.983.876-2.61%4.79+20.35%0.1871✗0.78597k2022-07-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099510.000096902-2.62%0.00009807-1.45%0.0481✓1.90735k2022-07-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.4223.3323-2.62%3.563+4.12%0.0137✓1.693.7M2022-07-31
QNTQuantEthereum97.7395.1003-2.69%102.61+4.99%0.0441✗1.013.2M2022-07-31
OPTIMOptimism0.9190.89415-2.70%1.583+72.25%0.5158✗1.761.1M2022-07-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8120.787771-2.98%0.875+7.76%0.0556✗1.564,1662022-07-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.1615.6743-3.01%21.07+30.38%0.2661✗0.942.1M2022-07-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.244.1082-3.11%5.75+35.61%0.3161✗0.64694k2022-07-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.01060.978948-3.13%1.0792+6.79%0.0666✗0.987,6782022-07-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.28580.276783-3.16%0.294+2.87%0.0203✓1.27343k2022-07-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.6119.8621-3.63%26.37+27.95%0.2343✗1.56431k2022-07-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90820.872296-3.95%0.9266+2.03%0.0100✓1.60241k2022-07-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.