8=======>

2022-07-07 · +7d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1187
181 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.0%
in alpha space · 43.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50720.517804+2.09%0.467-7.93%0.0476✗1.13212k2022-07-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08020.081552+1.69%0.0769-4.11%0.0031✓1.267,2862022-07-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.676483+1.42%0.611-8.40%0.0421✗1.21952k2022-07-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.48112.9858+1.35%102.99-7.62%0.0367✗1.145.7M2022-07-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001590.00161+1.24%–pending––1.0212k2022-07-14
KCSKuCoinnative8.9449.0481+1.16%9.1+1.74%0.0605✓1.113.1M2022-07-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.99663.0306+1.14%2.733-8.80%0.0485✗1.1232k2022-07-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6430.650152+1.11%0.615-4.35%0.0100✓0.93396k2022-07-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.696655+1.11%0.609-11.61%0.0560✗1.59242k2022-07-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,237.131,248.91+0.95%1,192.70-3.59%0.0115✓1.17339.3M2022-07-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061190.006176+0.94%0.005687-7.06%0.0331✗1.003,9102022-07-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42171.435+0.94%1.3201-7.15%0.0186✗1.32728k2022-07-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.103539+0.92%0.0961-6.34%0.0083✓1.352.9M2022-07-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25830.260622+0.90%0.2569-0.54%0.0433✓1.1729k2022-07-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.054176+0.89%0.0519-3.35%0.0045✓0.78209k2022-07-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1152.5681+0.88%51.32-1.52%0.0339✓1.1818.8M2022-07-14
ZECZcashZcash59.8360.3532+0.87%57.59-3.74%0.0190✓1.341.8M2022-07-14
XMRMoneroMonero130.4131.5111+0.85%133.62+2.47%0.0730✓1.161.3M2022-07-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.598412.7047+0.84%12.3534-1.94%0.0314✓1.21316k2022-07-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.292364+0.82%0.284-2.07%0.0221✓1.04639k2022-07-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.05260.053004+0.77%0.04956-5.78%0.0060✓1.49976k2022-07-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.05710.057531+0.75%0.0496-13.13%0.0743✗1.50136k2022-07-14
STXStacksnative0.41060.413685+0.75%0.3802-7.40%0.0216✗1.28317k2022-07-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002720.00274+0.75%0.002749+1.07%0.0544✓1.041.4M2022-07-14
GTGateEthereum4.03254.0621+0.73%4.0091-0.58%0.0223✓0.721.2M2022-07-14
AAVEAaveEthereum71.1271.6145+0.70%91.22+28.26%0.3226✓1.647.7M2022-07-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20250.203907+0.69%0.1891-6.62%0.0025✓1.48155k2022-07-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,614.6021,764.17+0.69%20,577.02-4.80%0.0069✗1.00493.8M2022-07-14
TRXTRONTron0.0686330.069102+0.68%0.066934-2.48%0.0095✓0.84531k2022-07-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.574.6002+0.66%4.43-3.06%0.0053✓0.66880k2022-07-14
XVGVergenative0.003310.003332+0.65%0.00349+5.44%0.1139✓1.37708k2022-07-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01240.01248+0.65%0.012052-2.81%0.0061✓0.831.4M2022-07-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.37.3464+0.64%6.722-7.92%0.0274✗1.2512.5M2022-07-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.8326+0.63%5.354-7.63%0.0281✗1.172.3M2022-07-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09470.095269+0.60%0.0919-2.96%0.0319✓1.38746k2022-07-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132750.133503+0.57%0.12964-2.34%0.0507✓1.63169k2022-07-14
PROPropyEthereum0.850.854741+0.56%0.82-3.53%0.0062✗0.72150k2022-07-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,662.9021,780.30+0.54%20,493.50-5.40%0.0122✗0.9946k2022-07-14
FLOWFlownative1.6661.675+0.54%1.562-6.24%0.0110✗1.20297k2022-07-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.049765+0.54%0.0443-10.51%0.0493✗1.36950k2022-07-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029610.029763+0.52%0.02709-8.51%0.0297✗1.3123k2022-07-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.1858+0.49%1.39+17.80%0.2336✓1.52749k2022-07-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.9115.9877+0.49%14.74-7.35%0.0230✗1.181.8M2022-07-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum99.0437+0.49%8.33-7.44%0.0245✗1.17353k2022-07-14
KSMKusamaHydration52.6852.9302+0.47%51.51-2.22%0.0312✓1.19444k2022-07-14
ADACardanoCardano0.47740.479646+0.47%0.4414-7.54%0.0196✗1.2957.5M2022-07-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.131498+0.46%0.1256-4.05%0.0213✓1.3632k2022-07-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.24780.248891+0.44%0.235-5.17%0.0012✓1.1465k2022-07-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22990.230898+0.43%0.2286-0.57%0.0536✓1.29220k2022-07-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10020.100634+0.43%0.0888-11.38%0.0852✗0.81180k2022-07-14
DODODODOEthereum0.13560.136167+0.42%0.1478+9.00%0.1449✓1.282.9M2022-07-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0706190.070911+0.41%0.062392-11.65%0.0682✗1.222.2M2022-07-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.045485+0.41%0.0423-6.62%0.0037✓1.4011k2022-07-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57191.5783+0.41%1.5601-0.75%0.0510✓1.27628k2022-07-14
DASHDashDash46.0946.2776+0.41%43.62-5.36%0.0050✗1.10698k2022-07-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4310.4714+0.40%9.18-11.98%0.0603✗1.451.2M2022-07-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.406+0.37%13.96-9.06%0.0315✗1.361.5M2022-07-14
XECeCashnative0.000043040.000043196+0.36%0.00003899-9.41%0.0412✗1.252.6M2022-07-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.456820.458443+0.36%0.45-1.49%0.0588✓1.571.6M2022-07-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009320.009353+0.35%0.00899-3.54%0.0075✓0.961.2M2022-07-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3149840.316088+0.35%0.290712-7.71%0.0213✗1.272.2M2022-07-14
XLMStellarStellar0.113640.114033+0.35%0.107137-5.72%0.0125✗1.019.3M2022-07-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.1820.2496+0.34%19.74-2.18%0.0492✓1.5229.4M2022-07-14
NANOnanopayBase0.9147280.917865+0.34%0.88517-3.23%0.0152✓1.05100k2022-07-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51630.518062+0.34%0.5071-1.78%0.0393✓1.23634k2022-07-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32240.323489+0.34%0.3297+2.26%0.0777✓1.199.6M2022-07-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41920.420607+0.34%0.3837-8.47%0.0238✗1.3896k2022-07-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.291450.292423+0.33%0.28941-0.70%0.0525✓1.28465k2022-07-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.220223+0.33%0.2025-7.74%0.0256✗1.18682k2022-07-14
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.004013+0.32%0.00388-3.00%0.0340✓1.37167k2022-07-14
ZENHorizenBase16.8616.9106+0.30%15.41-8.60%0.0229✗1.4269k2022-07-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8421.8473+0.29%1.7856-3.06%0.0074✓0.841.0M2022-07-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006850.00687+0.29%0.00641-6.42%0.0199✗1.00417k2022-07-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4481.452+0.28%1.442-0.41%0.0658✓1.48170k2022-07-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10370.103986+0.28%0.105+1.25%0.0657✓1.14551k2022-07-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7110.712767+0.25%0.668-6.05%0.0001✓1.32169k2022-07-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28760.288313+0.25%0.2688-6.54%0.0108✗1.213.0M2022-07-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.47232.4779+0.23%2.3359-5.52%0.0071✗1.061.4M2022-07-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1055.1163+0.22%4.685-8.23%0.0008✓1.7716.6M2022-07-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.286.2922+0.19%6.2-1.27%0.0097✓0.50883k2022-07-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86155.9577+0.17%52.204-6.55%0.0282✗0.84627k2022-07-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04950.049585+0.17%0.0465-6.06%0.0033✗1.24255k2022-07-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6952.6993+0.16%2.576-4.42%0.0116✓1.191.0M2022-07-14
QNTQuantEthereum64.3664.4611+0.16%97.54+51.55%0.4620✓0.972.2M2022-07-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045610.045673+0.14%0.04502-1.29%0.0321✓0.956,4892022-07-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0156670.015684+0.11%0.017379+10.93%0.1297✓0.55345k2022-07-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6366.643+0.11%6.27-5.52%0.0055✓1.2925.4M2022-07-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,584.146,591.00+0.10%6,010.90-8.71%0.0272✗1.324.5M2022-07-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.551.5516+0.10%1.43-7.74%0.0088✗1.48374k2022-07-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.01e-7+0.10%3.70e-7-7.62%0.0260✗1.10590k2022-07-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.147145+0.10%0.1368-6.94%0.0096✗1.29106k2022-07-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2456.2508+0.09%6.832+9.40%0.1548✓1.345.5M2022-07-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10730.107386+0.08%0.1067-0.56%0.0481✓1.11401k2022-07-14
SOLSolanaSolana38.4338.4598+0.08%37.12-3.41%0.0296✓1.3290.8M2022-07-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011310.000011318+0.07%0.0000106-6.28%0.0034✗1.261.1M2022-07-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9539+0.06%5.72-3.87%0.0252✓1.33300k2022-07-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.08691.0873+0.04%1.0253-5.66%0.0042✗1.1159k2022-07-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5560.5562+0.04%0.501-9.89%0.0355✗1.4099k2022-07-14
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.30e-7+0.03%8.60e-7-7.53%0.0365✗0.865.6M2022-07-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041370.041383+0.03%–pending––0.982,9412022-07-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.369.361+0.01%8.981-4.05%0.0249✓1.3516.0M2022-07-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069630.006963+0.00%0.006757-2.96%0.0000✗0.61105k2022-07-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12560.125572-0.02%0.114-9.24%0.0476✓1.004.0M2022-07-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9112.91-0.04%2.795-3.98%0.0018✓0.78663k2022-07-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2831.2821-0.07%1.205-6.08%0.0046✓1.171.8M2022-07-14
XEMNEMnative0.0416320.041601-0.07%0.039902-4.16%0.0163✗1.1814k2022-07-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010010.000999848-0.09%0.0009545-4.62%0.0183✗1.322.7M2022-07-14
UNIUniswapEthereum5.735.7249-0.09%7.013+22.39%0.2695✗1.355.4M2022-07-14
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6548.6043-0.09%54.97+12.99%0.1926✗1.4127k2022-07-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91781.916-0.09%1.7704-7.69%0.0172✓1.2659k2022-07-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.822.817-0.11%2.683-4.86%0.0058✗1.11567k2022-07-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.1253-0.11%3.99-3.39%0.0016✓0.65742k2022-07-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4262.4232-0.11%2.178-10.22%0.0371✓1.4168k2022-07-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01110.011086-0.12%0.00948-14.59%0.1041✓1.075.9M2022-07-14
FTTFTXEthereum27.4327.3955-0.13%25.89-5.61%0.0102✓0.9412.9M2022-07-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11170.111552-0.13%0.1077-3.58%0.0146✗1.016,6852022-07-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7176-0.14%1.65-4.07%0.0161✗1.14125k2022-07-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.935170.93381-0.15%0.83504-10.71%0.0451✓1.36557k2022-07-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06250.062403-0.15%0.0661+5.76%0.1290✗1.45325k2022-07-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2750.274555-0.16%0.211-23.27%0.1856✓1.581.1M2022-07-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3812.3769-0.17%2.232-6.26%0.0198✗1.6897k2022-07-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15720.156929-0.17%0.1515-3.63%0.0309✗1.34363k2022-07-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00441.0026-0.18%0.9164-8.76%0.0170✓1.482.1M2022-07-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0533730.053273-0.19%0.050899-4.64%0.0137✓0.6517k2022-07-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.561.5569-0.20%1.458-6.54%0.0165✓1.00172k2022-07-14
HIVEHivenative0.46590.464902-0.21%0.4244-8.91%0.0283✓1.281.1M2022-07-14
DIADIAEthereum0.415540.414627-0.22%0.40703-2.05%0.0166✗0.7156k2022-07-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.572.5641-0.23%2.26-12.06%0.0484✓1.58282k2022-07-14
BANDBandEthereum1.4221.4183-0.26%1.354-4.78%0.0253✗1.46453k2022-07-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42580.424668-0.27%0.4047-4.96%0.0322✗1.63205k2022-07-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3922.3855-0.27%2.216-7.36%0.0284✓0.92154k2022-07-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029070.028987-0.29%0.02601-10.53%0.0592✓1.002,1122022-07-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.245.2232-0.32%5.19-0.95%0.0671✗1.491.5M2022-07-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80890.806274-0.32%0.8049-0.49%0.0502✗1.064.5M2022-07-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3321.3276-0.33%1.226-7.96%0.0118✓1.383.3M2022-07-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.261122-0.33%0.2616-0.15%0.0510✗1.0065k2022-07-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8920.888855-0.35%0.799-10.43%0.0661✓0.821.7M2022-07-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4030.401558-0.36%0.408+1.24%0.0703✗1.1111k2022-07-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7733.7594-0.36%3.698-1.99%0.0155✗0.652.0M2022-07-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071420.071145-0.38%0.07424+3.95%0.0819✗0.802,5182022-07-14
METISMetisEthereum21.7721.6826-0.40%22.33+2.57%0.0786✗1.0086k2022-07-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058940.058703-0.40%0.05693-3.41%0.0369✗1.3728k2022-07-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.452680.450803-0.41%0.38756-14.39%0.0894✓1.26155k2022-07-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10080.100379-0.42%0.0862-14.48%0.0874✓1.32171k2022-07-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18512.1757-0.43%2.125-2.75%0.0174✗0.831.4M2022-07-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01051.006-0.45%0.9309-7.88%0.0159✓1.25252k2022-07-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.187637-0.46%0.1866-1.01%0.0616✗1.373,2472022-07-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211680.021068-0.47%0.020526-3.03%0.0250✗1.048952022-07-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7845.7564-0.48%5.3999-6.64%0.0536✓0.21291k2022-07-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.30560.304127-0.48%0.28803-5.75%0.0132✗1.372,9402022-07-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020470.020366-0.51%0.01788-12.65%0.0929✓0.76414k2022-07-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.143.123-0.54%3.12-0.64%0.0482✗1.0078k2022-07-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.1022.0904-0.55%1.817-13.56%0.0736✓1.351.1M2022-07-14
OPTIMOptimism0.5770.573793-0.56%0.491-14.90%0.0722✓1.701.5M2022-07-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6662.6511-0.56%2.709+1.61%0.1086✗1.773.4M2022-07-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.848410.843636-0.56%0.79254-6.59%0.0206✓0.852472022-07-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0533.0352-0.58%2.891-5.31%0.0174✓0.643.6M2022-07-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05051.0442-0.60%1.168+11.19%0.1806✗1.394.5M2022-07-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5190.515266-0.72%0.4625-10.89%0.0540✓1.1088k2022-07-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.853.8218-0.73%3.64-5.45%0.0180✓0.63930k2022-07-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08910.088432-0.75%0.09536+7.03%0.1246✗1.00297k2022-07-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.243.2151-0.77%3.14-3.09%0.0104✗0.69812k2022-07-14
GMTGMTEthereum1.0141.0062-0.77%0.942-7.10%0.0234✗1.81718k2022-07-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9321.9169-0.78%2.036+5.38%0.1326✗1.47117k2022-07-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02520.024998-0.80%0.02364-6.19%0.0277✗1.7019.6M2022-07-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19150.189959-0.80%0.1749-8.67%0.0334✓1.002,7992022-07-14
FISStafiEthereum0.35790.354638-0.91%0.3735+4.36%0.1010✗1.006002022-07-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.970430.961331-0.94%0.97016-0.03%0.0665✗1.161,9162022-07-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.53982.5143-1.00%2.2614-10.96%0.0248✓1.654,8022022-07-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.039103-1.01%0.0362-8.35%0.0147✓1.27168k2022-07-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5043.4609-1.23%3.458-1.31%0.0282✗0.592.3M2022-07-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025310.024983-1.29%0.01974-22.01%0.1823✓1.0894k2022-07-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4497-1.38%1.49+1.36%0.0415✗0.29637k2022-07-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6516.4169-1.40%14.59-12.37%0.0676✓1.03409k2022-07-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.1814.9482-1.53%17.16+13.04%0.2201✗1.67463k2022-07-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.24580.241992-1.55%0.25+1.71%0.0818✗1.00649k2022-07-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.805640.792684-1.61%0.65046-19.26%0.1160✓1.66104k2022-07-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.860455-1.66%0.781-10.74%0.0029✓1.9114.7M2022-07-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0820.080474-1.86%0.069-15.85%0.1002✓1.0994k2022-07-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.2010.196701-2.14%0.17485-13.01%0.0686✓1.008432022-07-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7270.711358-2.15%0.647-11.00%0.0214✓1.493,0312022-07-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.00011260.000109496-2.76%0.0000921-18.21%0.0769✓1.95822k2022-07-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84030.814501-3.07%0.7889-6.12%0.0484✗1.63127k2022-07-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.