8=======>

2022-09-14 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1559
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.73%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.441756-0.28%0.35-20.99%0.1248✓1.184,5592022-09-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.129564-0.72%0.1218-6.67%0.0142✓0.5283k2022-09-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,625.89-0.81%1,245.65-24.01%0.1484✓1.29569.9M2022-09-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.023027-0.92%0.02131-8.30%0.0200✗1.072,9142022-09-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.9537-0.92%13.34-26.38%0.2298✓0.741.4M2022-09-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.793-0.94%2.02+11.60%0.1610✗0.4656k2022-09-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012251-0.96%0.01042-15.76%0.1066✓0.61233k2022-09-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.187047-0.98%0.169-10.53%0.0082✓1.0286k2022-09-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.509376-1.00%0.44504-13.50%0.0017✓1.5039k2022-09-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.9366-1.01%16.54-13.54%0.0134✓1.3317.5M2022-09-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.070169-1.03%0.06177-12.88%0.0396✓0.9625k2022-09-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.373557-1.07%0.3067-18.78%0.1094✓0.96202k2022-09-21
QNTQuantEthereum99.0597.9737-1.09%100.7+1.67%0.1075✗0.883.5M2022-09-21
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9283.0054-1.09%71.58-14.70%0.0162✓1.446.2M2022-09-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.094253-1.10%0.09-5.56%0.0233✗0.762,9132022-09-21
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.060957-1.12%0.059212-3.95%0.0101✓0.43129k2022-09-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.802409-1.15%0.75889-6.51%0.0138✗0.7613k2022-09-21
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.216961-1.16%0.208-5.24%0.0398✗0.90504k2022-09-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.103986-1.16%0.110695+5.21%0.1406✗0.866.5M2022-09-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.036172-1.17%0.0323-11.75%0.0217✓1.0093k2022-09-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0020,017.41-1.19%18,203.70-10.15%0.0120✓0.9113k2022-09-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.161688-1.23%0.1377-15.88%0.0596✓1.111,5602022-09-21
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.6125-1.23%4.4-5.78%0.0273✗0.82808k2022-09-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.905583-1.25%0.871-5.02%0.0589✗1.071.5M2022-09-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.425618-1.25%0.397-7.89%0.0289✗1.087,9852022-09-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.209199-1.27%0.1888-10.90%0.0190✓0.9257k2022-09-21
SOLSolanaSolana34.1233.6842-1.28%30.68-10.08%0.0141✗1.1852.2M2022-09-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3239-1.28%4.2-4.11%0.0178✗0.511.4M2022-09-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.19496-1.29%0.1706-13.62%0.0465✓0.95130k2022-09-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035842-1.29%0.03345-7.88%0.0040✓0.712,2982022-09-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.8147.8539-1.30%135.48-9.56%0.0023✓0.981.5M2022-09-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.065848-1.34%0.06031-9.63%0.0015✓0.958692022-09-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3911-1.34%1.39-1.42%0.0181✓-0.19113k2022-09-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0548-1.34%2.7487-11.23%0.0141✓1.0019k2022-09-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.012019-1.35%0.011185-8.19%0.0075✓0.87851k2022-09-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.2414-1.35%8.775-6.33%0.0256✗0.851.2M2022-09-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.057405-1.37%0.0524-9.97%0.0210✓0.7782k2022-09-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.400613-1.38%0.3588-11.67%0.0065✓1.1466k2022-09-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005532-1.39%0.00487-13.19%0.0705✓0.62911k2022-09-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7719,945.98-1.39%18,462.64-8.73%0.0140✓1.00480.9M2022-09-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.2226-1.40%5.909-6.37%0.0345✗0.944.3M2022-09-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.885998-1.40%0.8154-9.26%0.0259✗1.19874k2022-09-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9567-1.40%3.59-10.54%0.0660✓0.342.0M2022-09-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.5143-1.41%1.458-5.08%0.0254✗0.6929k2022-09-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.094-1.42%5.338-13.65%0.0104✓1.346.9M2022-09-21
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.67e-7-1.43%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0560✓0.691.7M2022-09-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001534-1.44%0.001531-1.61%0.0664✗0.75340k2022-09-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.206856-1.45%0.172-18.06%0.1338✓0.5666k2022-09-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.1096-1.46%5.89-5.00%0.0028✓0.432.1M2022-09-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.7874-1.47%1.583-12.73%0.0255✗1.6160k2022-09-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.618773-1.47%0.542-13.69%0.0366✓1.053.2M2022-09-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.045807-1.49%0.0411-11.61%0.0323✓0.83142k2022-09-21
GTGateEthereum4.30854.2441-1.49%4.1321-4.09%0.0364✗0.69696k2022-09-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.733189-1.50%0.68363-8.15%0.0267✗1.06584k2022-09-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.042455-1.50%0.03911-9.26%0.0110✓0.7814k2022-09-21
KSMKusamaHydration47.5846.8615-1.51%40.18-15.55%0.0667✓0.95363k2022-09-21
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.123013-1.51%0.1199-4.00%0.0748✗1.101.4M2022-09-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.473664-1.53%0.4389-8.75%0.0104✓0.9536.8M2022-09-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.31771-1.58%0.38128+18.11%0.2528✗0.77326k2022-09-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.66e-7-1.58%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0412✓0.7015k2022-09-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.259.2463-1.58%51.08-15.15%0.0625✓0.9414.4M2022-09-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.093472-1.61%0.0964+1.47%0.1212✗0.99319k2022-09-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.039803-1.61%0.036939-8.69%0.0219✓0.5824k2022-09-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.059721-1.61%0.0569-6.26%0.0488✗1.0677k2022-09-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020268-1.61%0.02112+2.52%0.1260✗0.939.2M2022-09-21
ZENHorizenBase15.114.856-1.62%13.3-11.92%0.0044✓1.1675k2022-09-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.675-1.62%2.286-15.92%0.0196✓1.512.9M2022-09-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4421-1.63%1.311-10.57%0.0063✓1.1168k2022-09-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.7988-1.64%4.3216-11.42%0.0951✓0.11135k2022-09-21
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.042013-1.64%0.038758-9.26%0.0017✓0.9028k2022-09-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01731.0006-1.65%0.8937-12.15%0.0719✓0.452.8M2022-09-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.020083-1.65%0.01932-5.39%0.0123✓0.56173k2022-09-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.480233-1.65%0.4173-14.54%0.0490✓1.00366k2022-09-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.263541-1.66%0.246-8.21%0.0002✓0.75512k2022-09-21
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.1956-1.68%0.892-26.64%0.1499✓1.572.7M2022-09-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.067601-1.69%0.0672-2.27%0.0122✓0.20351k2022-09-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.03384-1.69%0.02917-15.25%0.0518✓1.0629k2022-09-21
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.8527-1.70%10.5504-12.50%0.0313✓0.9321k2022-09-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005874-1.70%0.004956-17.06%0.1146✓0.611,9622022-09-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.2389-1.71%4.93-7.50%0.0189✓0.462.4M2022-09-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.8286-1.71%8.8-12.00%0.0073✓1.29288k2022-09-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.6353-1.73%1.487-10.64%0.0157✓0.87578k2022-09-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1468-1.73%1.03-11.74%0.0255✓0.901.1M2022-09-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.105729-1.74%0.098-8.92%0.0003✓0.83188k2022-09-21
ZECZcashZcash61.9660.8822-1.74%53.54-13.59%0.0311✓1.071.1M2022-09-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.089785-1.77%0.0794-13.13%0.0469✓0.8310k2022-09-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36651.4378-1.77%47.682-8.94%0.0019✓0.85221k2022-09-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.85522-1.78%0.785702-9.76%0.0091✓0.8347k2022-09-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.998999-1.78%0.916656-9.88%0.0130✓0.8039k2022-09-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0513-1.80%0.8625-19.44%0.0635✓1.474.5M2022-09-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.600962-1.80%0.563-8.01%0.0266✗1.01178k2022-09-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.8666-1.81%3.588-8.89%0.0296✓0.492.1M2022-09-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.297701-1.81%0.3352+10.55%0.2039✗0.935.9M2022-09-21
DASHDashDash45.5844.7491-1.82%39.84-12.59%0.0208✓1.04299k2022-09-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001502-1.83%0.001377-10.00%0.0161✓0.785,8832022-09-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99117.7884-1.83%108.98-9.18%0.0235✗1.114.3M2022-09-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.133817-1.84%0.12-11.97%0.0057✓1.13146k2022-09-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.9495-1.84%6.28-11.30%0.0060✓1.04210k2022-09-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7755-1.84%1.6506-8.75%0.0262✗1.0928k2022-09-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.122877-1.86%0.1083-13.50%0.0318✓1.032.6M2022-09-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.047794-1.86%0.0405-16.84%0.0701✓1.05177k2022-09-21
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.314909-1.87%0.3328+3.71%0.1424✗0.957782022-09-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.042197-1.87%0.0371-13.72%0.0237✓1.15546k2022-09-21
HIVEHivenative0.55510.544729-1.87%0.4905-11.64%0.0532✓0.57836k2022-09-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.279658-1.87%0.2521-11.54%0.0112✓1.0172k2022-09-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.3177-1.88%6.682-10.40%0.0074✓1.0818.0M2022-09-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.266783-1.88%0.2516-7.47%0.0303✗0.972.7M2022-09-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002818-1.88%0.002142-25.42%0.1911✓0.911.2M2022-09-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.137262-1.89%0.1248-10.79%0.0043✓1.00119k2022-09-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1025.0053-1.90%5.793+13.54%0.2582✗1.236.4M2022-09-21
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,517.54-1.91%1,207.28-21.96%0.1374✓1.003.3M2022-09-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000011956-1.92%0.00001039-14.77%0.0529✓0.96951k2022-09-21
FTTFTXEthereum25.525.008-1.93%22.71-10.94%0.0046✓1.016.8M2022-09-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.7561-1.94%5.55-5.45%0.0100✓0.512.1M2022-09-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.05893-1.95%0.055-8.49%0.0425✗1.22608k2022-09-21
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.429-1.97%3.64-19.43%0.1049✓1.001.4M2022-09-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9845-1.97%1.7738-12.38%0.0119✓1.1013k2022-09-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.020285-1.97%0.019175-7.34%0.0031✓0.6512k2022-09-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2087.0654-1.98%6.125-15.02%0.0476✓1.049.9M2022-09-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.188593-1.98%0.2287+18.87%0.2751✗0.903.1M2022-09-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9888-1.98%1.682-17.10%0.0639✓1.1327k2022-09-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8994-1.98%1.216-37.25%0.3846✓0.671.5M2022-09-21
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.372379-2.01%0.37235-2.02%0.0869✗0.9529k2022-09-21
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003811-2.02%0.00342-12.08%0.0242✓0.9289k2022-09-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.6227-2.03%4.929-14.11%0.0854✓0.513.1M2022-09-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.287819-2.06%0.260294-11.42%0.0070✓1.02430k2022-09-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.263404-2.08%0.23945-10.99%0.0184✓0.8415k2022-09-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.3838-2.08%13.46-8.37%0.0127✓0.871.9M2022-09-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.3009-2.09%1.92-18.30%0.1265✓0.60200k2022-09-21
STXStacksnative0.35220.344822-2.09%0.3221-8.55%0.0284✗1.06298k2022-09-21
XVGVergenative0.003370.003299-2.11%0.00321-4.75%0.0533✗0.88483k2022-09-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,999.42-2.12%7,985.43-13.15%0.0018✓1.334.0M2022-09-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006191-2.12%0.006319-0.09%0.0500✗0.3229k2022-09-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.908068-2.15%0.868-6.47%0.0024✓0.472.5M2022-09-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.05981-2.15%0.057369-6.14%0.0432✗0.931.1M2022-09-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007877-2.15%0.00702-12.80%0.0117✓1.13463k2022-09-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.49703-2.16%0.455-10.43%0.0190✓1.1870k2022-09-21
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.5754-2.17%1.4095-12.48%0.0192✓1.01236k2022-09-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001198-2.18%0.001013-17.27%0.0973✓0.772.1M2022-09-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.6677-2.19%13.395-4.14%0.0914✗1.2220.3M2022-09-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.054081-2.20%0.0454-17.90%0.1109✓0.70234k2022-09-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.805173-2.21%0.7438-9.67%0.0202✓1.09920k2022-09-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.145393-2.22%0.13-12.58%0.0097✓1.128922022-09-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.31882-2.24%0.28908-11.36%0.0047✓1.0233k2022-09-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.3842-2.24%5.3357+18.97%0.3164✗1.31118k2022-09-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.329047-2.24%0.2926-13.07%0.0182✓1.0972k2022-09-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.201-2.24%1.2073-1.73%0.1005✗1.04844k2022-09-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.228-2.28%7.72-8.31%0.0154✓0.532.4M2022-09-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.831766-2.32%0.8507-0.09%0.1472✗1.3789k2022-09-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1612-2.33%1.0124-14.85%0.0405✓1.061.2M2022-09-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.473918-2.35%0.4207-13.31%0.0460✓0.80396k2022-09-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.111083-2.39%0.0951-16.43%0.1126✓0.47182k2022-09-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008296-2.39%0.00682-19.76%0.1147✓0.893.3M2022-09-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.331241-2.40%0.2884-15.03%0.0475✓1.0079k2022-09-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.9908-2.41%1.8-11.76%0.0160✓1.28226k2022-09-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.0333-2.43%2.88-7.37%0.0228✓0.32676k2022-09-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.402725-2.48%0.3965-3.99%0.0742✗0.98379k2022-09-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.025308-2.50%0.026042+0.33%0.0245✓-0.04485k2022-09-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.2255-2.51%1.098-12.65%0.0010✓1.19303k2022-09-21
METISMetisEthereum27.5826.8886-2.51%23.03-16.50%0.0146✓1.54155k2022-09-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.5482-2.52%2.296-12.17%0.0280✓0.83464k2022-09-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.144451-2.53%0.1316-11.20%0.0074✓0.94322k2022-09-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.159337-2.53%0.13996-14.39%0.0364✓1.02262k2022-09-21
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011433-2.54%0.010823-7.74%0.0365✗1.007452022-09-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.301647-2.57%0.273-11.82%0.0159✓0.9289k2022-09-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.109894-2.58%0.0932-17.38%0.0484✓1.272.4M2022-09-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.5425-2.58%15.17-10.66%0.0367✓0.55384k2022-09-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.499728-2.59%0.445-13.26%0.0139✓1.1266k2022-09-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.038087-2.59%0.035-10.49%0.0181✓0.739,5132022-09-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.3978-2.63%5.2376-5.52%0.0212✓0.109.6M2022-09-21
PROPropyEthereum0.720.700644-2.69%0.63-12.50%0.0866✓0.2242k2022-09-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.9434-2.75%11.82-11.19%0.0088✓1.09874k2022-09-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.7256-2.81%3.3008-13.90%0.0646✓0.626.3M2022-09-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.614166-2.82%0.573-9.34%0.0218✓1.00114k2022-09-21
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016662-2.83%0.01435-16.31%0.0581✓1.001,0682022-09-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.3472-2.87%1.186-14.49%0.0215✓1.1643k2022-09-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.058721-2.92%0.05474-9.51%0.0379✗1.181.1M2022-09-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.842-2.95%12.016+7.55%0.1349✗0.3515.8M2022-09-21
FLOWFlownative1.8681.8127-2.96%1.622-13.17%0.0117✓1.35967k2022-09-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.38e-7-2.98%5.15e-7-21.67%0.1416✓0.792.1M2022-09-21
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000044715-3.13%0.00003771-18.31%0.0948✓0.833.5M2022-09-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.8119-3.14%5.7947-3.42%0.0201✓0.2512.5M2022-09-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3738.1105-3.20%27.69-29.67%0.1816✓1.5110.6M2022-09-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.65346-3.21%0.598-11.42%0.0487✗1.50194k2022-09-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.1524-3.43%3.91-9.07%0.0239✓0.92223k2022-09-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.7349-3.70%5.248-11.87%0.0006✓0.975.9M2022-09-21
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0957.7858-3.83%58.27-3.03%0.1070✗1.088,4972022-09-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2764-4.03%1.14-14.29%0.0239✓0.9856k2022-09-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000285961-4.81%0.0002847-5.23%0.0031✓0.012.4M2022-09-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.194153-5.06%0.1289-36.97%0.3391✓0.7730k2022-09-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.