OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s5

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0727

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0076

actual -0.0150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.129435	0.126949	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.12882	0.126548	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.127319	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.122294	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.123346	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.126907	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.135308	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.134769	-1.88%	0.129435	-5.76%	0.0809	✓	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.137809	-2.10%	0.12882	-8.48%	0.1154	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.153793	-2.91%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1669	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.128579	-1.58%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0359	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.140769	-1.99%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0878	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.136246	-2.09%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0283	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.129978	-1.78%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0772	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.117461	-1.25%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1491	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.121314	-1.37%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1774	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.128628	-1.30%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2479	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.136399	-1.53%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0220	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.132485	-1.30%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1269	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.134026	-1.72%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0683	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.125353	-1.45%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.0872	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.126254	-1.42%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0062	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.127343	-1.72%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0298	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.126549	-1.71%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0031	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.131692	-1.87%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0123	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.145992	-2.25%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.1168	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.140555	-2.28%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0355	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.142698	-2.55%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.1217	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.129121	-1.73%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0158	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.121184	-1.36%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.0806	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.132854	-1.80%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0088	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.125446	-1.57%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1152	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.122122	-2.41%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1462	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.118838	-2.30%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1378	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.117776	-2.31%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1635	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100366	-0.53%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1477	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.096201	+0.45%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1213	✓	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.094557	+1.01%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.2049	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.102254	+0.04%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.1077	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.095725	+1.07%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.2091	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.096834	+1.19%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1746	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.096934	+1.48%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1688	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.095364	+1.68%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0591	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.100808	+1.37%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0221	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.106319	+0.97%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.0875	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.111252	+0.73%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.0723	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.111182	+0.89%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1126	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.108551	+0.90%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.0915	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.099379	+1.26%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0065	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.102609	+1.40%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0268	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.099703	+0.48%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0178	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.095553	+0.39%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0806	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.094118	+0.61%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1526	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.087009	+0.69%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.1998	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.089268	+0.65%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1662	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.090436	+0.41%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0581	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.097706	+0.50%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0230	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.099129	+0.13%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0229	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.101307	-0.18%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0478	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.10726	-0.46%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1314	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.111026	-1.03%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2498	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.107553	-1.26%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.2083	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.105817	-1.24%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1547	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.096359	-1.67%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.088341	-1.80%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0119	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.080387	-1.96%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0612	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.082635	-1.82%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0828	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.081893	-1.75%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1210	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.083316	-1.77%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0854	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.084812	-1.78%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0343	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.087019	-1.86%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0103	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.084517	-1.64%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0209	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.089799	-1.86%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.1073	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.089723	-1.94%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0720	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.086472	-1.74%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0068	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.086901	-1.81%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0040	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.084909	-1.84%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0450	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.084905	-1.84%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0556	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.085809	-1.93%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0191	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.086695	-2.04%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0615	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.086731	-2.00%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0468	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.084515	-1.73%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0199	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.081267	-1.49%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0532	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.083821	-1.39%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0006	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.086599	-1.03%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0057	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.088619	-0.98%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0233	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.088801	-0.78%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0065	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.087025	-0.54%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0203	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.094946	-0.58%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0728	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.092173	-0.35%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0890	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.092271	-0.25%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0642	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092401	-0.11%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0499	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096334	-0.17%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0438	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097771	-0.23%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0523	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094325	-0.19%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0555	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094298	-0.21%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0042	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095281	-0.23%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0231	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.096225	-0.28%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0421	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.098137	-0.37%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0770	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.102027	-0.46%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0742	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.10105	-0.44%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0516	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.098028	-0.48%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0800	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.100014	-0.48%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0705	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.100982	-0.51%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0719	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.102894	-0.59%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0603	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.101393	-0.60%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0387	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.098939	-0.56%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0051	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.101359	-0.63%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0253	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106157	-0.79%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0467	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.107537	-0.89%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0703	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.106521	-0.91%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0599	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.10595	-0.98%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0502	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098239	-0.77%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0098	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.09435	-0.68%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0154	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.09624	-0.78%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0252	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.099534	-0.96%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0072	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.098541	-0.96%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0249	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.099455	-1.04%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0225	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.103697	-1.24%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0130	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.104568	-1.35%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0865	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.103017	-1.42%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0623	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.100118	-1.36%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0470	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.099074	-1.42%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0857	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.098134	-1.37%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0856	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.101833	-1.61%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0621	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.101855	-1.59%	0.105	+1.45%	0.0921	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.107483	-1.84%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0447	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.106904	-1.92%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0409	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.106323	-2.01%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0080	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.106151	-2.17%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0116	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.105716	-2.12%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0144	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.104253	-2.11%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0033	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.097982	-1.53%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0560	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.094871	-1.18%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1567	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.09002	-0.53%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1336	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.095731	-0.80%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0508	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.095625	-0.39%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0654	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.096778	-0.23%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0647	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.094781	+0.83%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0473	✓	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.098721	+0.74%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0407	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.111103	-0.80%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1419	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.121095	-1.55%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2457	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.11444	-0.49%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0759	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.121755	-1.81%	0.096	-22.58%	0.0969	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.1172	-1.10%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0062	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.119229	-1.05%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0097	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.117963	-0.45%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0310	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.118183	-0.27%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1129	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.122792	-0.97%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1719	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.125283	-1.35%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0625	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.127594	-1.47%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0615	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.124675	-1.05%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0003	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.128869	-1.25%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0257	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.125135	-0.69%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0242	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.130783	-1.30%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0415	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.127633	-1.06%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0144	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.124542	-0.76%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0320	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.128175	-1.02%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0061	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.127191	-1.02%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0036	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.130949	-1.17%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0162	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.134638	-1.36%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0173	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.142283	-1.53%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0249	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.144028	-1.69%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0858	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.149377	-1.73%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1253	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.154429	-1.64%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1142	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.160753	-1.68%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1624	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.160879	-1.90%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1609	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.167931	-2.37%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1927	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.145271	-1.84%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0189	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.140141	-1.66%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0707	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.126913	-1.24%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1858	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.122433	-1.26%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2255	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.121535	-1.19%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2506	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.124487	-1.20%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2505	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.119691	-1.08%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3376	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.118867	-1.35%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1697	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.117807	-1.42%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1147	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.120036	-1.20%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0055	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.121136	-1.11%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0106	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.124267	-0.98%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0087	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.123996	-1.20%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0017	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.123932	-1.25%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0347	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.120351	-0.95%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0292	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.1199	-0.91%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0315	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.121997	-1.22%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0036	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.121905	-1.29%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0168	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.118313	-1.41%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0115	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.123859	-1.31%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0144	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.132497	-1.49%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0595	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.130112	-1.80%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.1134	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.11823	-1.06%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0252	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.110596	-0.81%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0790	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.115435	-0.91%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0472	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.105522	-0.92%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0809	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.113503	-0.87%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0609	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.114517	-0.85%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.1001	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113004	-0.87%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1083	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.11344	-0.93%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0051	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.117291	-1.02%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0851	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.108455	-0.95%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0137	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.109422	-0.98%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0544	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.109382	-1.01%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0454	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.109432	-0.97%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0416	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.105729	-0.72%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0029	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.1096	-0.81%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0037	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.109617	-0.80%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0186	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.104934	-0.54%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0077	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101189	-0.31%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0377	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.102183	-0.31%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0621	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103681	-0.31%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0536	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.108076	-0.39%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0162	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.113116	-0.34%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0280	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113266	-0.21%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0128	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.113357	-0.13%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0042	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.114322	-0.16%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0865	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117445	-0.05%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0920	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123655	+0.13%	0.104	-15.79%	0.1038	✗	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121747	+0.20%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0963	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126853	+0.28%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1121	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136886	+0.28%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1333	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.137807	+0.22%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1302	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.128865	+0.28%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0372	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123817	+0.26%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0148	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.123173	+0.14%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0098	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119708	+0.17%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0248	✓	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.121141	+0.12%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0267	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118585	+0.07%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0783	✓	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118527	+0.02%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0461	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.115102	+0.09%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0038	✗	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.117385	+0.33%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0156	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.121408	+0.34%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0338	✗	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125947	+0.36%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0467	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.129412	+0.32%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0268	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.126426	+0.34%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0930	✗	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.125437	+0.35%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0498	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121991	+0.40%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0628	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.123017	+0.42%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0557	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.12059	+0.49%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0393	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.120129	+0.53%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0193	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124625	+0.50%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0510	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118961	+0.81%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0265	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.122505	+0.83%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0607	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.123473	+0.79%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0203	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.129488	+0.77%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0361	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.130066	+0.83%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0390	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.141066	+0.76%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1762	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.165672	+0.41%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3221	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.187477	-0.01%	0.118	-37.07%	0.3938	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190312	-0.10%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3637	✓	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.189382	-0.06%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4125	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.196478	-0.26%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3888	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189032	+0.02%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3659	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.183324	+0.45%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2851	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.178675	+0.66%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0676	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.183499	+0.55%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0477	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.18936	+0.46%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0298	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.191654	+0.61%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0175	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.197963	+0.74%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0155	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.199753	+0.89%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0219	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.187946	+3.55%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.1083	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.22027	+0.81%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0713	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.215583	+1.45%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0002	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.232004	+1.09%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0039	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.231412	+1.72%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0399	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.238061	+1.74%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0386	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.262514	+0.01%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0385	✓	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.268937	-0.21%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1493	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.297649	-1.11%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0504	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.298171	-1.10%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0405	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.294379	-1.05%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0434	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.28429	-0.77%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0109	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.299988	-1.16%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0259	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.300366	-1.20%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0246	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.303002	-1.30%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0159	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.304039	-1.45%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0060	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.295514	-1.33%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0039	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.314207	-1.66%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0313	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.317703	-1.64%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0382	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.340493	-1.73%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0016	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.334215	-1.70%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0216	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.334976	-1.77%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0310	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.345536	-1.70%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0317	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.358651	-2.28%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0394	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.30406	-1.44%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0239	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.311309	-1.33%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0147	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.31361	-1.23%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0114	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.311197	-1.05%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0044	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.310508	-0.95%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0077	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.314185	-0.89%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0162	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.32883	-0.95%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0723	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.327008	-0.91%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0036	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.316097	-0.91%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0128	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.307372	-0.85%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0377	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.302374	-0.86%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0260	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.293606	-0.81%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0110	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.266137	-0.51%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0861	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.27029	-0.45%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0819	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.267792	-0.45%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0524	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.272736	-0.46%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0722	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.276521	-0.53%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0495	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.266411	-0.41%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0737	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251534	-0.18%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1264	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.262734	-0.29%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0206	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.269497	-0.37%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0150	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.270096	-0.33%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0294	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.271577	-0.34%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0265	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.277434	-0.38%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0141	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.278389	-0.40%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0212	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.259609	-0.15%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0704	✓	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.272198	-0.29%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0655	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.292064	-0.49%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0668	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.290966	-0.52%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1214	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.298849	-0.55%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.1033	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.313436	-0.65%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0734	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.305641	-0.60%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0387	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.312531	-0.63%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0177	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.321074	-0.75%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0251	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.335296	-0.95%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0210	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.315882	-0.82%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0220	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.302734	-0.74%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0441	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.311768	-0.87%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0110	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.298257	-0.75%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0089	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.316029	-0.93%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0150	✓	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.324064	-1.05%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0303	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.313448	-0.96%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0453	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.285639	-0.65%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0035	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.315486	-0.95%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0346	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.323145	-1.03%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0098	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.32839	-1.09%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0519	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.32978	-1.12%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0513	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.322038	-1.06%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0517	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.321291	-0.99%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1128	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.31547	-0.95%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0428	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.299379	-0.70%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0261	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.300812	-0.56%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0768	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.306076	-0.62%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0692	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.356507	-1.11%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.1855	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.36996	-1.21%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.1024	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.375703	-1.26%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0005	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.360528	-1.09%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0238	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.377683	-1.13%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0343	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.385001	-1.16%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0428	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.373765	-1.12%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0539	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.386066	-1.14%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2824	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.394922	-1.15%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2121	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.401319	-1.15%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2114	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.436856	-1.61%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1822	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.421976	-1.41%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1748	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.417735	-1.48%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1094	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.416953	-1.66%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1306	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.361977	-0.83%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1177	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.369719	-0.88%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1324	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.343175	-0.53%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1300	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.350457	-0.58%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2512	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.416859	-0.87%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1679	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.413847	-0.76%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2161	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.396122	-0.60%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2222	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.398427	-0.52%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0885	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.437339	-0.72%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0103	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.43371	-0.53%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0546	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.44868	-0.62%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0602	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.46107	-0.74%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0025	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.443658	-0.64%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0234	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.445712	-0.62%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0762	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.431752	-0.40%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0313	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.419282	-0.05%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0105	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.432791	-0.16%	0.436	+0.58%	0.1018	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.445773	-0.39%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0722	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.439048	+0.01%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0845	✗	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.429898	+0.56%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0713	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.424449	+1.06%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0575	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.431696	+0.98%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0431	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.457607	+0.24%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0084	✗	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.484078	-0.29%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0029	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.499716	-0.65%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0010	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.485439	-0.52%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0479	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.457444	+0.32%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0185	✓	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.495081	-0.59%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0098	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.699581	-1.12%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2517	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.722955	-1.17%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2425	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.703447	-1.20%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2227	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.748518	-1.32%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2324	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.709622	-1.24%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2268	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.715557	-1.30%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2418	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.734232	-1.45%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2231	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.738631	-1.71%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0620	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.694276	-1.52%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0298	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.661067	-1.41%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0617	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.664091	-1.47%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0564	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.6727	-1.51%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1517	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.663711	-1.45%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1681	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.660036	-1.49%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1358	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.632107	-1.39%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0647	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.672264	-1.50%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0628	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.6725	-1.47%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0470	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.692955	-1.57%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0620	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.766121	-1.65%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0517	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.794957	-1.74%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0388	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.779107	-1.69%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0250	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.815424	-1.87%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0704	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.