OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s5

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0288

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0025

actual -0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.129435	0.128753	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.12882	0.128263	-0.43%	0.129435	+0.48%	0.0054	✗	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.129145	-0.47%	0.12882	-0.72%	0.0236	✓	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.12385	-0.33%	0.12975	+4.41%	0.0250	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.124913	-0.31%	0.124265	-0.82%	0.0019	✓	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.128622	-0.30%	0.125295	-2.88%	0.0386	✓	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.137385	-0.39%	0.129015	-6.46%	0.0605	✓	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.136805	-0.40%	0.13792	+0.41%	0.0204	✗	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.140078	-0.48%	0.13735	-2.42%	0.0307	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.15695	-0.92%	0.14076	-11.14%	0.0796	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.130229	-0.32%	0.158405	+21.25%	0.1711	✗	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.142853	-0.54%	0.130645	-9.04%	0.0561	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.138326	-0.59%	0.14363	+3.22%	0.0247	✗	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.131717	-0.46%	0.13915	+5.15%	0.0487	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.11863	-0.27%	0.13233	+11.25%	0.0949	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.122581	-0.34%	0.11895	-3.29%	0.0035	✓	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.129856	-0.36%	0.123	-5.62%	0.0175	✓	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.137899	-0.45%	0.130325	-5.92%	0.0532	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.133709	-0.38%	0.138525	+3.20%	0.0476	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.135674	-0.51%	0.134225	-1.57%	0.0398	✓	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.126697	-0.40%	0.136365	+7.21%	0.0696	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.12758	-0.38%	0.1272	-0.68%	0.0027	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.129005	-0.43%	0.12807	-1.15%	0.0294	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.128228	-0.41%	0.129565	+0.63%	0.0118	✗	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.13358	-0.46%	0.128755	-4.06%	0.0399	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.148388	-0.64%	0.1342	-10.14%	0.0841	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.142869	-0.67%	0.14935	+3.83%	0.0436	✗	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.145237	-0.82%	0.14384	-1.77%	0.0149	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.13074	-0.50%	0.146435	+11.44%	0.1182	✗	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.122377	-0.38%	0.1314	+6.96%	0.0710	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.134454	-0.62%	0.12285	-9.20%	0.0618	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.126738	-0.56%	0.135295	+6.16%	0.0713	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.124173	-0.77%	0.12745	+1.85%	0.0634	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.120657	-0.80%	0.12514	+2.88%	0.0377	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.119526	-0.86%	0.121635	+0.89%	0.0113	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100725	-0.17%	0.120565	+19.49%	0.1097	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095805	+0.04%	0.1009	+5.36%	0.0486	✓	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093747	+0.14%	0.095765	+2.30%	0.0127	✓	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.10206	-0.15%	0.093615	-8.41%	0.0493	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.094805	+0.09%	0.10221	+7.91%	0.0563	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.095793	+0.10%	0.094715	-1.02%	0.0049	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.095676	+0.16%	0.095695	+0.18%	0.0005	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.093989	+0.21%	0.095525	+1.85%	0.0068	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.09957	+0.13%	0.09379	-5.69%	0.0360	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105327	+0.03%	0.099445	-5.56%	0.0552	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.110378	-0.07%	0.1053	-4.66%	0.0384	✓	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.110103	-0.09%	0.11045	+0.23%	0.0197	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.107509	-0.07%	0.1102	+2.44%	0.0180	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.098185	+0.05%	0.10758	+9.62%	0.0893	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.101207	+0.02%	0.09814	-3.01%	0.0100	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.099109	-0.12%	0.10119	+1.98%	0.0395	✓	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.095014	-0.17%	0.09923	+4.26%	0.0449	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.093443	-0.11%	0.09518	+1.74%	0.0349	✗	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.086401	-0.01%	0.09355	+8.26%	0.0671	✗	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.088669	-0.02%	0.08641	-2.57%	0.0184	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.089991	-0.09%	0.08869	-1.53%	0.0197	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.097055	-0.17%	0.09007	-7.35%	0.0444	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.098818	-0.18%	0.09722	-1.80%	0.0319	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.101226	-0.26%	0.099	-2.45%	0.0286	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.107334	-0.39%	0.10149	-5.81%	0.0502	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.111508	-0.60%	0.10775	-3.95%	0.0506	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.10814	-0.73%	0.11218	+2.98%	0.0278	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.10625	-0.84%	0.10893	+1.66%	0.0417	✗	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.097302	-0.71%	0.10715	+9.34%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.08944	-0.58%	0.098	+8.94%	0.0414	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.081609	-0.47%	0.08996	+9.72%	0.0363	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.083822	-0.41%	0.08199	-2.59%	0.0249	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.083053	-0.36%	0.08417	+0.98%	0.0101	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.084497	-0.38%	0.08335	-1.73%	0.0110	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.085996	-0.41%	0.08482	-1.77%	0.0144	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.088254	-0.47%	0.08635	-2.62%	0.0153	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.08561	-0.37%	0.08867	+3.19%	0.0349	✗	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.091064	-0.48%	0.085925	-6.09%	0.0564	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.091029	-0.51%	0.0915	+0.00%	0.0107	✗	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.087654	-0.39%	0.0915	+3.98%	0.0568	✗	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.088145	-0.40%	0.088	-0.56%	0.0008	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.086157	-0.40%	0.0885	+2.31%	0.0266	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.086159	-0.39%	0.0865	+0.00%	0.0050	✓	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.087129	-0.42%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0023	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.08808	-0.47%	0.0875	-1.13%	0.0146	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.08809	-0.46%	0.0885	+0.00%	0.0042	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.085695	-0.35%	0.0885	+2.91%	0.0327	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.082268	-0.28%	0.086	+4.24%	0.0332	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.084753	-0.29%	0.0825	-2.94%	0.0260	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.087301	-0.23%	0.085	-2.86%	0.0020	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.089288	-0.24%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0326	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.089296	-0.23%	0.0895	+0.00%	0.0015	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.087348	-0.17%	0.0895	+2.29%	0.0220	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.095266	-0.25%	0.0875	-8.38%	0.0617	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.092361	-0.15%	0.0955	+3.24%	0.0188	✗	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.09239	-0.12%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0018	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092412	-0.09%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0146	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096371	-0.13%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0271	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097836	-0.17%	0.0965	-1.53%	0.0080	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094372	-0.14%	0.098	+3.70%	0.0213	✗	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094371	-0.14%	0.0945	+0.00%	0.0054	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095372	-0.13%	0.0945	-1.05%	0.0077	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.096365	-0.14%	0.0955	-1.04%	0.0212	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.098337	-0.17%	0.0965	-2.03%	0.0206	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.102301	-0.19%	0.0985	-3.90%	0.0249	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.101311	-0.19%	0.1025	+0.99%	0.0155	✗	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.09831	-0.19%	0.1015	+3.05%	0.0081	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.10031	-0.19%	0.0985	-1.99%	0.0038	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.101307	-0.19%	0.1005	-0.99%	0.0075	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.103281	-0.21%	0.1015	-1.93%	0.0116	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.101785	-0.21%	0.1035	+1.47%	0.0011	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.099302	-0.20%	0.102	+2.51%	0.0113	✗	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.101779	-0.22%	0.0995	-2.45%	0.0049	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106713	-0.27%	0.102	-4.67%	0.0342	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.108174	-0.30%	0.107	-1.38%	0.0179	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.107169	-0.31%	0.1085	+0.93%	0.0039	✗	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.10664	-0.34%	0.1075	+0.47%	0.0015	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098741	-0.26%	0.107	+8.08%	0.0632	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094777	-0.23%	0.099	+4.21%	0.0182	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096739	-0.27%	0.095	-2.06%	0.0438	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.100186	-0.31%	0.097	-3.48%	0.0033	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.099194	-0.31%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0008	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100186	-0.31%	0.0995	-1.00%	0.0015	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.104621	-0.36%	0.1005	-4.29%	0.0390	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105572	-0.40%	0.105	-0.94%	0.0108	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.104058	-0.42%	0.106	+1.44%	0.0420	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.101121	-0.37%	0.1045	+2.96%	0.0639	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.100126	-0.37%	0.1015	+1.00%	0.0378	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.099157	-0.34%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0003	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.103082	-0.40%	0.0995	-3.86%	0.0185	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.1031	-0.39%	0.1035	+0.00%	0.0090	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.108982	-0.47%	0.1035	-5.48%	0.0623	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.108478	-0.48%	0.1095	+0.46%	0.0378	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.107964	-0.49%	0.109	+0.46%	0.0307	✗	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.107894	-0.56%	0.1085	+0.00%	0.0177	✗	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.107417	-0.54%	0.1085	+0.46%	0.0004	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.105892	-0.57%	0.108	+1.41%	0.0046	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.099131	-0.37%	0.1065	+7.04%	0.0546	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095753	-0.26%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.0389	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.090377	-0.14%	0.096	+6.08%	0.0193	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.096319	-0.19%	0.0905	-6.22%	0.0576	✓	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.095962	-0.04%	0.0965	+0.52%	0.0326	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.096998	-0.00%	0.096	-1.03%	0.0058	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.0942	+0.21%	0.097	+3.19%	0.0186	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.098194	+0.20%	0.094	-4.08%	0.0401	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.111879	-0.11%	0.098	-12.50%	0.0829	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.122663	-0.27%	0.112	-8.94%	0.0869	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.114998	-0.00%	0.123	+6.96%	0.1162	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.123587	-0.33%	0.115	-7.26%	0.0053	✗	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.118315	-0.16%	0.124	+4.64%	0.0849	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.120323	-0.15%	0.1185	-1.66%	0.0121	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.11848	-0.02%	0.1205	+1.69%	0.0105	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.118511	+0.01%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0022	✓	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.123786	-0.17%	0.1185	-4.44%	0.0312	✓	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.126611	-0.31%	0.124	-2.36%	0.0023	✓	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.129026	-0.37%	0.127	-1.93%	0.0051	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.125674	-0.26%	0.1295	+2.78%	0.0260	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.130063	-0.33%	0.126	-3.45%	0.0363	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.125761	-0.19%	0.1305	+3.57%	0.0198	✗	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.132004	-0.37%	0.126	-4.91%	0.0171	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.128587	-0.32%	0.1325	+2.71%	0.0290	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.125196	-0.24%	0.129	+2.79%	0.0207	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.129095	-0.31%	0.1255	-3.09%	0.0258	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.128133	-0.29%	0.1295	+0.78%	0.0169	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.1321	-0.30%	0.1285	-3.02%	0.0183	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.13604	-0.34%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0137	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.143931	-0.39%	0.1365	-5.54%	0.0268	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.145878	-0.42%	0.1445	-1.37%	0.0331	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.151321	-0.45%	0.1465	-3.62%	0.0169	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.156295	-0.45%	0.152	-3.18%	0.0122	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.162679	-0.50%	0.157	-3.98%	0.0296	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.16306	-0.57%	0.1635	-0.30%	0.0169	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.170575	-0.83%	0.164	-4.65%	0.0453	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.147179	-0.55%	0.172	+16.22%	0.1535	✗	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.141672	-0.58%	0.148	+3.86%	0.0612	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.128018	-0.38%	0.1425	+10.89%	0.1004	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.123539	-0.37%	0.1285	+3.63%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.122625	-0.31%	0.124	+0.81%	0.0054	✓	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.125567	-0.34%	0.123	-2.38%	0.0191	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.12064	-0.30%	0.126	+4.13%	0.0377	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.12008	-0.35%	0.121	+0.41%	0.0184	✓	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.11906	-0.37%	0.1205	+0.84%	0.0044	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.121159	-0.28%	0.1195	-1.65%	0.0058	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.122156	-0.28%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0092	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.125163	-0.27%	0.1225	-2.39%	0.0034	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.125082	-0.33%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0108	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.125058	-0.35%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0009	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.121186	-0.26%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0465	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.120696	-0.25%	0.1215	+0.41%	0.0056	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.12311	-0.32%	0.121	-2.02%	0.0438	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.12308	-0.34%	0.1235	+0.00%	0.0036	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.119619	-0.32%	0.1235	+2.92%	0.0017	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.125057	-0.35%	0.12	-4.38%	0.0130	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.133814	-0.51%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0445	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.131651	-0.64%	0.1345	+1.51%	0.0067	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.119095	-0.34%	0.1325	+10.88%	0.1019	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.111247	-0.23%	0.1195	+7.17%	0.0620	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.116174	-0.28%	0.1115	-4.29%	0.0372	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.106267	-0.22%	0.1165	+9.39%	0.0349	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.114211	-0.25%	0.1065	-6.99%	0.0339	✓	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.115203	-0.26%	0.1145	-0.87%	0.0075	✓	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113703	-0.26%	0.1155	+1.32%	0.0027	✓	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.114176	-0.28%	0.114	-0.44%	0.0126	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.118106	-0.33%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.0182	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.109193	-0.28%	0.1185	+8.22%	0.0344	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.110176	-0.29%	0.1095	-0.90%	0.0038	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.110165	-0.30%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0247	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.110167	-0.30%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0024	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.106253	-0.23%	0.1105	+3.76%	0.0381	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.1102	-0.27%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0141	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.110186	-0.28%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0047	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.105287	-0.20%	0.1105	+4.74%	0.0237	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101354	-0.14%	0.1055	+3.94%	0.0270	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.102354	-0.14%	0.1015	-0.98%	0.0023	✓	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103847	-0.15%	0.1025	-1.44%	0.0125	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.108311	-0.17%	0.104	-4.15%	0.0006	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.113303	-0.17%	0.1085	-4.41%	0.0027	✓	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113326	-0.15%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0106	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.113336	-0.14%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0069	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.114308	-0.17%	0.1135	-0.87%	0.0573	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117316	-0.16%	0.1145	-2.55%	0.0063	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123327	-0.14%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0224	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121359	-0.12%	0.1235	+1.65%	0.0081	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126343	-0.12%	0.1215	-3.95%	0.0173	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136257	-0.18%	0.1265	-7.33%	0.0318	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.137186	-0.23%	0.1365	-0.73%	0.0098	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.12829	-0.16%	0.1375	+7.00%	0.0375	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123301	-0.16%	0.1285	+4.05%	0.0161	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122712	-0.23%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0018	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.119265	-0.20%	0.123	+2.93%	0.0242	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120717	-0.23%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0153	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.118203	-0.25%	0.121	+2.11%	0.0194	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.118187	-0.26%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0224	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.11477	-0.20%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0102	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116919	-0.07%	0.115	-1.71%	0.0059	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120898	-0.08%	0.117	-3.31%	0.0184	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.12539	-0.09%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0107	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.128861	-0.11%	0.1255	-2.71%	0.0027	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.12588	-0.10%	0.129	+2.38%	0.0497	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.124882	-0.09%	0.126	+0.80%	0.0177	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121418	-0.07%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0278	✓	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122419	-0.07%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0155	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.119947	-0.04%	0.1225	+2.08%	0.0002	✓	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119467	-0.03%	0.12	+0.42%	0.0358	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.12394	-0.05%	0.1195	-3.63%	0.0270	✓	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118041	+0.03%	0.124	+5.08%	0.0282	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.121545	+0.04%	0.118	-2.88%	0.0185	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122566	+0.05%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0506	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.128559	+0.05%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0417	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129074	+0.06%	0.1285	-0.39%	0.0039	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140048	+0.03%	0.129	-7.86%	0.1022	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.164926	-0.04%	0.14	-15.15%	0.1753	✓	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.187245	-0.14%	0.165	-12.00%	0.1055	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190223	-0.15%	0.1875	-1.57%	0.0129	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.189251	-0.13%	0.1905	+0.53%	0.0053	✗	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.196642	-0.18%	0.1895	-3.81%	0.0177	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.188803	-0.10%	0.197	+4.23%	0.0236	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182471	-0.02%	0.189	+3.56%	0.0170	✓	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.177566	+0.04%	0.1825	+2.82%	0.0437	✓	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182559	+0.03%	0.1775	-2.74%	0.0068	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.188552	+0.03%	0.1825	-3.18%	0.0078	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.190624	+0.07%	0.1885	-1.05%	0.0078	✗	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.196668	+0.09%	0.1905	-3.05%	0.0521	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.19822	+0.11%	0.1965	-0.76%	0.0162	✓	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.182552	+0.58%	0.198	+9.09%	0.0918	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.218788	+0.13%	0.1815	-16.93%	0.0683	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.21308	+0.27%	0.2185	+2.82%	0.0879	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.229993	+0.21%	0.2125	-7.41%	0.0102	✗	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.228273	+0.34%	0.2295	+0.88%	0.0338	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.234808	+0.35%	0.2275	-2.78%	0.0092	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.262456	-0.02%	0.234	-10.86%	0.0075	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.269286	-0.08%	0.2625	-2.60%	0.0168	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.300068	-0.31%	0.2695	-10.47%	0.0112	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.30059	-0.30%	0.301	-0.17%	0.0004	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.296653	-0.28%	0.3015	+1.34%	0.0013	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.285924	-0.20%	0.2975	+3.84%	0.0051	✗	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.302639	-0.28%	0.2865	-5.60%	0.0035	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.30318	-0.27%	0.3035	-0.16%	0.0089	✗	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.306111	-0.29%	0.304	-0.98%	0.0071	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.30746	-0.34%	0.307	-0.49%	0.0035	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.298698	-0.27%	0.3085	+3.01%	0.0112	✗	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.318271	-0.38%	0.2995	-6.26%	0.0239	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.321822	-0.36%	0.3195	-1.08%	0.0136	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.344993	-0.43%	0.323	-6.78%	0.0380	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.338589	-0.42%	0.3465	+1.91%	0.0305	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.339421	-0.46%	0.34	-0.29%	0.0033	✓	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.349677	-0.52%	0.341	-2.99%	0.0001	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.363912	-0.84%	0.3515	-4.22%	0.0646	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.307402	-0.36%	0.367	+18.96%	0.0999	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.314423	-0.34%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0250	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.316451	-0.33%	0.3155	-0.63%	0.0125	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.313545	-0.30%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0152	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.312561	-0.30%	0.3145	+0.32%	0.0161	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.316093	-0.29%	0.3135	-1.10%	0.0023	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.330782	-0.37%	0.317	-4.52%	0.0139	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.328847	-0.35%	0.332	+0.61%	0.0129	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.317924	-0.34%	0.33	+3.45%	0.0178	✓	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.309029	-0.31%	0.319	+2.90%	0.0105	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.303983	-0.33%	0.31	+1.64%	0.0044	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.295079	-0.31%	0.305	+3.04%	0.0038	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.266996	-0.19%	0.296	+10.65%	0.0736	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.271026	-0.17%	0.2675	-1.47%	0.0085	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.268533	-0.17%	0.2715	+0.93%	0.0197	✓	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.273478	-0.19%	0.269	-1.82%	0.0018	✓	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.277368	-0.23%	0.274	-1.44%	0.0138	✓	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.267019	-0.18%	0.278	+3.93%	0.0283	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251766	-0.09%	0.2675	+6.15%	0.0577	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.263166	-0.13%	0.252	-4.36%	0.0331	✓	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.270081	-0.15%	0.2635	-2.59%	0.0288	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.270626	-0.14%	0.2705	-0.18%	0.0256	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.272114	-0.14%	0.271	-0.55%	0.0022	✓	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.278084	-0.15%	0.2725	-2.15%	0.0276	✓	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.279056	-0.16%	0.2785	-0.36%	0.0074	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.25979	-0.08%	0.2795	+7.50%	0.0109	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.272688	-0.11%	0.26	-4.76%	0.0297	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.293002	-0.17%	0.273	-6.98%	0.0321	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.291965	-0.18%	0.2935	+0.34%	0.0287	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.299963	-0.18%	0.2925	-2.66%	0.0165	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.314824	-0.21%	0.3005	-4.75%	0.0018	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.306905	-0.19%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0281	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.313857	-0.20%	0.3075	-2.23%	0.0313	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.322697	-0.25%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0372	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.337404	-0.32%	0.3235	-4.43%	0.0273	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.317652	-0.27%	0.3385	+6.28%	0.0176	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.304306	-0.23%	0.3185	+4.43%	0.0399	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.313665	-0.27%	0.305	-3.02%	0.0544	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.29985	-0.22%	0.3145	+4.66%	0.0495	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.318135	-0.27%	0.3005	-5.80%	0.0063	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.326479	-0.31%	0.319	-2.60%	0.0075	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.315603	-0.28%	0.3275	+3.48%	0.0118	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.286961	-0.19%	0.3165	+10.09%	0.0227	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.317644	-0.27%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0005	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.325573	-0.28%	0.3185	-2.45%	0.0112	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.331017	-0.30%	0.3265	-1.66%	0.0120	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.332498	-0.30%	0.332	-0.45%	0.0082	✗	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.324615	-0.27%	0.3335	+2.46%	0.0073	✗	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.323703	-0.25%	0.3255	+0.31%	0.0720	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.317801	-0.22%	0.3245	+1.88%	0.0445	✗	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.301082	-0.14%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0198	✗	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.302183	-0.10%	0.3015	-0.33%	0.0584	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.307607	-0.13%	0.3025	-1.79%	0.0065	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.359516	-0.27%	0.308	-14.56%	0.1168	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.373349	-0.31%	0.3605	-3.74%	0.0952	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.379237	-0.33%	0.3745	-1.58%	0.0245	✗	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.363532	-0.27%	0.3805	+4.39%	0.0249	✗	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.380945	-0.28%	0.3645	-4.58%	0.0083	✗	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.388404	-0.28%	0.382	-1.93%	0.0171	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.376984	-0.27%	0.3895	+3.04%	0.0069	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.389363	-0.29%	0.378	-3.20%	0.1017	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.398316	-0.30%	0.3905	-2.25%	0.0307	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.404798	-0.30%	0.3995	-1.60%	0.0212	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.441893	-0.47%	0.406	-8.56%	0.0112	✓	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.426352	-0.39%	0.444	+3.74%	0.0089	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.422252	-0.41%	0.428	+0.94%	0.0477	✓	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.421748	-0.53%	0.424	+0.00%	0.0303	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.36433	-0.18%	0.424	+16.16%	0.1027	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.37224	-0.20%	0.365	-2.14%	0.0439	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.344679	-0.09%	0.373	+8.12%	0.0199	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.352159	-0.10%	0.345	-2.13%	0.1108	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.419488	-0.24%	0.3525	-16.17%	0.0784	✓	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.416143	-0.21%	0.4205	+0.84%	0.0011	✓	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.397909	-0.15%	0.417	+4.64%	0.0350	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.39997	-0.13%	0.3985	-0.50%	0.0338	✓	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.439492	-0.23%	0.4005	-9.08%	0.0521	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.435218	-0.18%	0.4405	+1.03%	0.0805	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.45052	-0.22%	0.436	-3.43%	0.0052	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.463313	-0.26%	0.4515	-2.80%	0.0151	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.445561	-0.21%	0.4645	+4.03%	0.0260	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.447589	-0.20%	0.4465	-0.45%	0.0173	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.432903	-0.14%	0.4485	+3.46%	0.0132	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.419299	-0.05%	0.4335	+3.34%	0.0285	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.433178	-0.07%	0.4195	-3.23%	0.0130	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.446948	-0.12%	0.4335	-3.13%	0.0241	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.438876	-0.03%	0.4475	+1.94%	0.0267	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.427906	+0.09%	0.439	+2.69%	0.0109	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.42083	+0.20%	0.4275	+1.79%	0.0029	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.428341	+0.20%	0.42	-1.75%	0.0238	✓	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.456833	+0.07%	0.4275	-6.35%	0.0029	✗	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.485374	-0.03%	0.4565	-5.97%	0.0074	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.502453	-0.11%	0.4855	-3.48%	0.0173	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.487791	-0.04%	0.503	+3.07%	0.0261	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.456708	+0.16%	0.488	+7.02%	0.0342	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.497894	-0.02%	0.456	-8.43%	0.0363	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.705486	-0.28%	0.498	-29.61%	0.1960	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.729239	-0.31%	0.7075	-3.28%	0.0033	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.709841	-0.30%	0.7315	+2.74%	0.0031	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.755626	-0.38%	0.712	-6.13%	0.0028	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.716145	-0.33%	0.7585	+5.57%	0.0373	✗	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.722554	-0.34%	0.7185	-0.90%	0.0236	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.742031	-0.40%	0.725	-2.68%	0.0256	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.747582	-0.52%	0.745	-0.86%	0.0329	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.702133	-0.41%	0.7515	+6.60%	0.0332	✗	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.668293	-0.33%	0.705	+5.15%	0.0327	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.671717	-0.34%	0.6705	-0.52%	0.0039	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.680697	-0.34%	0.674	-1.32%	0.0532	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.671466	-0.30%	0.683	+1.41%	0.0358	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.667961	-0.30%	0.6735	+0.52%	0.0086	✗	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.63933	-0.26%	0.67	+4.52%	0.0326	✗	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.680449	-0.30%	0.641	-6.08%	0.0337	✗	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.680604	-0.28%	0.6825	+0.00%	0.0259	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.701689	-0.33%	0.6825	-3.05%	0.0124	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.776081	-0.37%	0.704	-9.63%	0.0455	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.80575	-0.40%	0.779	-3.71%	0.0242	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.789418	-0.39%	0.809	+2.08%	0.0232	✗	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.82698	-0.48%	0.7925	-4.63%	0.0134	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.