OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s5

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1558

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0198

actual -0.0523

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.124122	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.123024	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.11768	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.118649	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.122023	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.130559	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.130341	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.133348	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.150115	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.123884	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.136903	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.132419	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.125802	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.112694	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.116731	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.123676	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.131896	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.127993	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.129789	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.120591	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.120837	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.121768	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.120078	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.125314	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.140221	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.136217	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.138983	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.125286	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.118111	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.130569	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.123293	-3.26%	0.131675	+3.32%	0.1254	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.119321	-4.65%	0.12975	+3.68%	0.0539	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.116512	-4.21%	0.124265	+2.16%	0.0542	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.11574	-4.00%	0.125295	+3.92%	0.0600	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.09685	-4.01%	0.129015	+27.86%	0.2091	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.092351	-3.56%	0.13792	+44.02%	0.3195	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.090622	-3.20%	0.13735	+46.72%	0.3190	✗	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.099328	-2.82%	0.14076	+37.72%	0.3019	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.092283	-2.57%	0.158405	+67.24%	0.4563	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.093598	-2.19%	0.130645	+36.52%	0.2735	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.093918	-1.68%	0.14363	+50.36%	0.3393	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.092483	-1.39%	0.13915	+48.36%	0.3220	✗	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.098489	-0.96%	0.13233	+33.07%	0.2395	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.104155	-1.09%	0.11895	+12.96%	0.0895	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.109445	-0.91%	0.123	+11.36%	0.0617	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.110288	+0.08%	0.130325	+18.26%	0.1006	✓	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.107934	+0.33%	0.138525	+28.76%	0.1740	✓	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.099604	+1.49%	0.134225	+36.77%	0.2119	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.103731	+2.51%	0.136365	+34.76%	0.2295	✓	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.099934	+0.71%	0.1272	+28.19%	0.1337	✓	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.096473	+1.36%	0.12807	+34.56%	0.1705	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.095683	+2.28%	0.129565	+38.50%	0.2352	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.088656	+2.60%	0.128755	+49.00%	0.2932	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.091549	+3.22%	0.1342	+51.31%	0.3171	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.09326	+3.54%	0.14935	+65.82%	0.3881	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.102051	+4.97%	0.14384	+47.95%	0.2938	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.102553	+3.59%	0.146435	+47.91%	0.2944	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.104798	+3.26%	0.1314	+29.47%	0.1538	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.111227	+3.23%	0.12285	+14.01%	0.0333	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.114645	+2.20%	0.135295	+20.61%	0.0601	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.111918	+2.74%	0.12745	+17.00%	0.0112	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.112041	+4.56%	0.12514	+16.79%	0.0740	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.098525	+0.54%	0.121635	+24.12%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.088466	-1.66%	0.120565	+34.02%	0.1616	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.079289	-3.29%	0.1009	+23.06%	0.0940	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.081288	-3.42%	0.095765	+13.78%	0.0142	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.080222	-3.75%	0.093615	+12.32%	0.0138	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.081611	-3.78%	0.10221	+20.50%	0.0293	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.08304	-3.83%	0.094715	+9.69%	0.0500	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.085138	-3.98%	0.095695	+7.92%	0.0642	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.08249	-4.00%	0.095525	+11.17%	0.0381	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.087539	-4.33%	0.09379	+2.50%	0.1010	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.087405	-4.48%	0.099445	+8.68%	0.0580	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.084099	-4.43%	0.1053	+19.66%	0.0436	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.084318	-4.73%	0.11045	+24.80%	0.0812	✗	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.08228	-4.88%	0.1102	+27.40%	0.0913	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.082283	-4.87%	0.10758	+24.37%	0.0666	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.083173	-4.94%	0.09814	+12.16%	0.0343	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.084008	-5.08%	0.10119	+14.34%	0.0351	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.083897	-5.20%	0.09923	+12.12%	0.0221	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.081677	-5.03%	0.09518	+10.67%	0.0397	✓	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.07857	-4.76%	0.09355	+13.39%	0.0398	✓	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.0812	-4.47%	0.08641	+1.66%	0.1404	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.084298	-3.66%	0.08869	+1.36%	0.1325	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.08628	-3.60%	0.09007	+0.64%	0.1478	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.086639	-3.20%	0.09722	+8.63%	0.1063	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.085029	-2.82%	0.099	+13.14%	0.0561	✓	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.093293	-2.31%	0.10149	+6.27%	0.0838	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.090378	-2.29%	0.10775	+16.49%	0.0107	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.090641	-2.01%	0.11218	+21.28%	0.0392	✗	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.091138	-1.47%	0.10893	+17.76%	0.0246	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.095315	-1.23%	0.10715	+11.04%	0.0330	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.096977	-1.04%	0.098	+0.00%	0.0717	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.093492	-1.07%	0.08996	-4.80%	0.0891	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.093394	-1.17%	0.08199	-13.24%	0.1302	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.094279	-1.28%	0.08417	-11.86%	0.1093	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.095168	-1.38%	0.08335	-13.63%	0.1181	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.097128	-1.39%	0.08482	-13.89%	0.1249	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.100822	-1.64%	0.08635	-15.76%	0.1309	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.099959	-1.52%	0.08867	-12.64%	0.0979	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.096976	-1.55%	0.085925	-12.77%	0.1381	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.098862	-1.63%	0.0915	-8.96%	0.0743	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.099945	-1.53%	0.0915	-9.85%	0.0905	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.101903	-1.54%	0.088	-14.98%	0.1583	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.100363	-1.60%	0.0885	-13.24%	0.1540	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.097999	-1.51%	0.0865	-13.07%	0.1681	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.100321	-1.65%	0.0865	-15.20%	0.1634	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.105064	-1.81%	0.0875	-18.22%	0.1925	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.106589	-1.76%	0.0885	-18.43%	0.1938	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.105872	-1.51%	0.0885	-17.67%	0.1857	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.105464	-1.44%	0.086	-19.63%	0.2204	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.097858	-1.15%	0.0825	-16.67%	0.1918	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094017	-1.03%	0.085	-10.53%	0.1481	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.095839	-1.20%	0.0875	-9.79%	0.1975	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.099023	-1.47%	0.0895	-10.95%	0.1645	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.098011	-1.50%	0.0895	-10.05%	0.1667	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.098865	-1.63%	0.0875	-12.94%	0.1877	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.103061	-1.85%	0.0955	-9.05%	0.1681	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.103954	-1.93%	0.0925	-12.74%	0.1969	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.102444	-1.97%	0.0925	-11.48%	0.1570	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.099407	-2.06%	0.0925	-8.87%	0.1156	✓	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.09822	-2.27%	0.0965	-3.98%	0.0561	✓	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.097235	-2.28%	0.098	-1.51%	0.0514	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.100816	-2.59%	0.0945	-8.70%	0.0814	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.1008	-2.61%	0.0945	-8.70%	0.0852	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.106397	-2.83%	0.0955	-12.79%	0.1420	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.105633	-3.09%	0.0965	-11.47%	0.0805	✓	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.104932	-3.29%	0.0985	-9.22%	0.0298	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.104748	-3.46%	0.1025	-5.53%	0.0071	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.104272	-3.45%	0.1015	-6.02%	0.0137	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.102912	-3.37%	0.0985	-7.51%	0.0015	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.096666	-2.85%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0350	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.093444	-2.66%	0.1015	+5.73%	0.0787	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.088816	-1.86%	0.1035	+14.36%	0.1013	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.094122	-2.46%	0.102	+5.70%	0.0516	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.093459	-2.65%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.0788	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.094227	-2.86%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0789	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.092035	-2.09%	0.107	+13.83%	0.0895	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.09551	-2.54%	0.1085	+10.71%	0.0781	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.107242	-4.25%	0.1075	-4.02%	0.0150	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.116849	-5.00%	0.107	-13.01%	0.0616	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.109489	-4.79%	0.099	-13.91%	0.0021	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.117123	-5.55%	0.095	-23.39%	0.0108	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.112534	-5.03%	0.097	-18.14%	0.1299	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.114511	-4.97%	0.1005	-16.60%	0.1110	✗	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.112829	-4.79%	0.0995	-16.03%	0.1210	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.113041	-4.61%	0.1005	-15.19%	0.1227	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.118171	-4.70%	0.105	-15.32%	0.1265	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.121136	-4.62%	0.106	-16.54%	0.1414	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.123618	-4.54%	0.1045	-19.31%	0.0983	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.120591	-4.29%	0.1015	-19.44%	0.0605	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.124769	-4.39%	0.1005	-22.99%	0.0201	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.12056	-4.32%	0.0995	-21.03%	0.0008	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.126691	-4.38%	0.1035	-21.89%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.123505	-4.26%	0.1035	-19.77%	0.0304	✓	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.120228	-4.20%	0.1095	-12.75%	0.1077	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.123817	-4.39%	0.109	-15.83%	0.0586	✗	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.12246	-4.70%	0.1085	-15.56%	0.0520	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.1262	-4.76%	0.1085	-18.11%	0.0202	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.12972	-4.97%	0.108	-20.88%	0.0104	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.137308	-4.98%	0.1065	-26.30%	0.0151	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.139237	-4.96%	0.0995	-32.08%	0.1024	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.144587	-4.88%	0.096	-36.84%	0.1657	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.151048	-3.79%	0.0905	-42.36%	0.2196	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.158671	-2.95%	0.0965	-40.98%	0.2030	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.159165	-2.95%	0.096	-41.46%	0.2514	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.166519	-3.19%	0.097	-43.60%	0.2980	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.144286	-2.51%	0.094	-36.49%	0.1506	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.14007	-1.71%	0.098	-31.23%	0.0732	✓	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127081	-1.10%	0.112	-12.84%	0.1202	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.122196	-1.45%	0.123	-0.81%	0.2275	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.120537	-2.00%	0.115	-6.50%	0.1199	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.123378	-2.08%	0.124	-1.59%	0.1047	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.118533	-2.04%	0.1185	-2.07%	0.0618	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.117079	-2.84%	0.1205	+0.00%	0.0641	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.115838	-3.06%	0.1185	-0.84%	0.0562	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.117611	-3.20%	0.1185	-2.47%	0.0477	✗	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.118965	-2.89%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0846	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.122119	-2.69%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0788	✗	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.121937	-2.84%	0.1295	+3.19%	0.0658	✗	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.121819	-2.93%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0406	✗	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.118296	-2.64%	0.1305	+7.41%	0.1212	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.117899	-2.56%	0.126	+4.13%	0.1058	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.11963	-3.13%	0.1325	+7.29%	0.0850	✗	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.119577	-3.18%	0.129	+4.45%	0.0526	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.115595	-3.67%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0389	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.121588	-3.12%	0.1295	+3.19%	0.0456	✗	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.13096	-2.63%	0.1285	-4.46%	0.0234	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.128471	-3.04%	0.1325	+0.00%	0.0115	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.11616	-2.80%	0.1365	+14.23%	0.1012	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.108334	-2.84%	0.1445	+29.60%	0.1913	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.113368	-2.69%	0.1465	+25.75%	0.1885	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.103046	-3.24%	0.152	+42.72%	0.2441	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.11143	-2.68%	0.157	+37.12%	0.2186	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.11262	-2.49%	0.1635	+41.56%	0.2408	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.111169	-2.48%	0.164	+43.86%	0.2596	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.111678	-2.46%	0.172	+50.22%	0.2979	✗	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.115611	-2.44%	0.148	+24.89%	0.1286	✗	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.106629	-2.62%	0.1425	+30.14%	0.1068	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.10761	-2.62%	0.1285	+16.29%	0.0037	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.107462	-2.75%	0.124	+12.22%	0.0456	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.107538	-2.68%	0.123	+11.31%	0.0424	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.10384	-2.50%	0.126	+18.31%	0.0139	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.107784	-2.46%	0.121	+9.50%	0.0380	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.107859	-2.39%	0.1205	+9.05%	0.0154	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.103008	-2.36%	0.1195	+13.27%	0.0068	✓	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.099231	-2.24%	0.1215	+19.70%	0.0401	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.100194	-2.25%	0.1225	+19.51%	0.0295	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.101661	-2.25%	0.1255	+20.67%	0.0211	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.106071	-2.24%	0.1255	+15.67%	0.0323	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.111223	-2.01%	0.1255	+10.57%	0.0277	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.111679	-1.60%	0.1215	+7.05%	0.0329	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.111928	-1.39%	0.121	+6.61%	0.0327	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.112665	-1.60%	0.1235	+7.86%	0.0440	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.116066	-1.22%	0.1235	+5.11%	0.0485	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.12374	+0.19%	0.12	-2.83%	0.0835	✗	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.122401	+0.74%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0663	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.12877	+1.79%	0.1345	+6.32%	0.0479	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.140758	+3.12%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0794	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.142629	+3.73%	0.1195	-13.09%	0.1762	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.132896	+3.42%	0.1115	-13.23%	0.1965	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.127524	+3.26%	0.1165	-5.67%	0.1405	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.127029	+3.28%	0.1065	-13.41%	0.1732	✗	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.123116	+3.03%	0.1145	-4.18%	0.1130	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.124616	+2.99%	0.1155	-4.55%	0.1201	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.121979	+2.94%	0.114	-3.80%	0.0969	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.121489	+2.52%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.1024	✗	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.117085	+1.81%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0873	✗	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.119265	+1.94%	0.1095	-6.41%	0.1125	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.124072	+2.54%	0.1105	-8.68%	0.1309	✗	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.129742	+3.38%	0.1105	-11.95%	0.1003	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.133923	+3.82%	0.1105	-14.34%	0.0966	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.129738	+2.97%	0.1065	-15.48%	0.1717	✗	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.128892	+3.11%	0.1105	-11.60%	0.1413	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.124375	+2.37%	0.1105	-9.05%	0.1640	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.125703	+2.61%	0.1055	-13.88%	0.1708	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.122814	+2.35%	0.1015	-15.42%	0.1925	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.12254	+2.54%	0.1025	-14.23%	0.1561	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.127164	+2.55%	0.104	-16.13%	0.1698	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.120455	+2.08%	0.1085	-8.05%	0.1968	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.124069	+2.11%	0.1135	-6.58%	0.2152	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.125283	+2.27%	0.1135	-7.35%	0.1542	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.131592	+2.41%	0.1135	-11.67%	0.2035	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.132501	+2.71%	0.1145	-11.24%	0.1433	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.14346	+2.47%	0.1175	-16.07%	0.2377	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.167383	+1.44%	0.1235	-25.15%	0.3865	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.188433	+0.50%	0.1215	-35.20%	0.4866	✗	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.191153	+0.34%	0.1265	-33.60%	0.4585	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.190162	+0.35%	0.1365	-27.97%	0.4285	✗	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.196918	-0.04%	0.1375	-30.20%	0.4541	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189292	+0.15%	0.1285	-32.01%	0.4634	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.183468	+0.53%	0.1235	-32.33%	0.4946	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.178624	+0.63%	0.123	-30.70%	0.4487	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182898	+0.22%	0.1195	-34.52%	0.4586	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.188167	-0.18%	0.121	-35.81%	0.4435	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.189893	-0.32%	0.1185	-37.80%	0.4654	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.195438	-0.54%	0.1185	-39.69%	0.4842	✓	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.19635	-0.83%	0.115	-41.92%	0.4442	✓	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.183515	+1.11%	0.117	-35.54%	0.5525	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.214358	-1.90%	0.121	-44.62%	0.4544	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.20833	-1.96%	0.1255	-40.94%	0.3927	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.223455	-2.63%	0.129	-43.79%	0.4096	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.222022	-2.41%	0.126	-44.62%	0.3636	✓	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.227905	-2.60%	0.125	-46.58%	0.3593	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.25416	-3.18%	0.1215	-53.71%	0.2903	✓	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.260735	-3.25%	0.1225	-54.55%	0.3305	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.290386	-3.53%	0.12	-60.13%	0.3393	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.290678	-3.59%	0.1195	-60.36%	0.3825	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.28667	-3.64%	0.124	-58.32%	0.3717	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.276097	-3.63%	0.118	-58.81%	0.3114	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.291504	-3.95%	0.1215	-59.97%	0.3019	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.292052	-3.93%	0.1225	-59.70%	0.3698	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.294763	-3.99%	0.1285	-58.14%	0.3410	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.296069	-4.03%	0.129	-58.18%	0.3426	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.287047	-4.16%	0.14	-53.26%	0.2267	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.307049	-3.90%	0.165	-48.36%	0.0227	✓	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.310098	-3.99%	0.1875	-41.95%	0.0879	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.333751	-3.68%	0.1905	-45.02%	0.0145	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.32825	-3.46%	0.1895	-44.26%	0.0359	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.330227	-3.16%	0.197	-42.23%	0.0451	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.342369	-2.60%	0.189	-46.23%	0.0158	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.356252	-2.93%	0.1825	-50.27%	0.0014	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.296898	-3.76%	0.1775	-42.46%	0.0145	✓	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.303797	-3.71%	0.1825	-42.16%	0.0302	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.306803	-3.37%	0.1885	-40.63%	0.0475	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.305453	-2.88%	0.1905	-39.43%	0.0337	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.305756	-2.47%	0.1965	-37.32%	0.0389	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.309696	-2.30%	0.198	-37.54%	0.1018	✗	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.326159	-1.76%	0.1815	-45.33%	0.2695	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.324589	-1.64%	0.2185	-33.79%	0.1409	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.313387	-1.76%	0.2125	-33.39%	0.0197	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.304705	-1.71%	0.2295	-25.97%	0.0211	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.299845	-1.69%	0.2275	-25.41%	0.0609	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.290603	-1.82%	0.234	-20.95%	0.0422	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.263127	-1.63%	0.2625	-1.87%	0.0804	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.267478	-1.48%	0.2695	-0.74%	0.1026	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.264562	-1.65%	0.301	+11.90%	0.0803	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.269588	-1.61%	0.3015	+10.04%	0.0825	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.273247	-1.71%	0.2975	+7.01%	0.0746	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.263184	-1.61%	0.2865	+7.10%	0.1022	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.248661	-1.33%	0.3035	+20.44%	0.1550	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.259902	-1.37%	0.304	+15.37%	0.1135	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.26668	-1.41%	0.307	+13.49%	0.0940	✗	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.267711	-1.21%	0.3085	+13.84%	0.1234	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.269327	-1.16%	0.2995	+9.91%	0.1138	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.274916	-1.29%	0.3195	+14.72%	0.0538	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.275677	-1.37%	0.323	+15.56%	0.0327	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.25674	-1.25%	0.3465	+33.27%	0.0803	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.269347	-1.34%	0.34	+24.54%	0.0228	✗	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.289053	-1.52%	0.341	+16.18%	0.0073	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.288034	-1.53%	0.3515	+20.17%	0.0376	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.29584	-1.55%	0.367	+22.13%	0.0525	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.310488	-1.59%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0277	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.303037	-1.45%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0267	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.310466	-1.28%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0719	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.319065	-1.37%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0205	✗	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.333351	-1.52%	0.3135	-7.39%	0.0235	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.31366	-1.52%	0.317	-0.47%	0.0036	✓	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.299945	-1.66%	0.332	+8.85%	0.0272	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.308262	-1.98%	0.33	+4.93%	0.0367	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.295016	-1.82%	0.319	+6.16%	0.0286	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.312808	-1.94%	0.31	-2.82%	0.0252	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.321229	-1.91%	0.305	-6.87%	0.0280	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.310537	-1.88%	0.296	-6.48%	0.0121	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.283229	-1.49%	0.2675	-6.96%	0.0870	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.313001	-1.73%	0.2715	-14.76%	0.0950	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.321044	-1.67%	0.269	-17.61%	0.0879	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.32639	-1.69%	0.274	-17.47%	0.1029	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.327715	-1.73%	0.278	-16.64%	0.0810	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.319532	-1.83%	0.2675	-17.82%	0.1024	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.318201	-1.94%	0.252	-22.34%	0.2294	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.312033	-2.03%	0.2635	-17.27%	0.1526	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.296057	-1.81%	0.2705	-10.28%	0.1059	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.297813	-1.55%	0.271	-10.41%	0.1957	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.303148	-1.58%	0.2725	-11.53%	0.1999	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.352702	-2.16%	0.2785	-22.75%	0.2814	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.365651	-2.36%	0.2795	-25.37%	0.1804	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.371265	-2.43%	0.26	-31.67%	0.1595	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.356087	-2.31%	0.273	-25.10%	0.1100	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.372745	-2.42%	0.2935	-23.17%	0.0761	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.379891	-2.47%	0.2925	-24.90%	0.0252	✓	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.369194	-2.33%	0.3005	-20.50%	0.0427	✓	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.381578	-2.28%	0.3155	-19.21%	0.0559	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.390285	-2.31%	0.3075	-23.03%	0.0595	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.396308	-2.39%	0.3145	-22.54%	0.0438	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.431804	-2.75%	0.3235	-27.14%	0.0763	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.416432	-2.70%	0.3385	-20.91%	0.1085	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.412006	-2.83%	0.3185	-24.88%	0.0602	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.410955	-3.08%	0.305	-28.07%	0.0447	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.356041	-2.45%	0.3145	-13.84%	0.1932	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.363618	-2.52%	0.3005	-19.44%	0.1904	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.337627	-2.14%	0.319	-7.54%	0.1882	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.345131	-2.09%	0.3275	-7.09%	0.2998	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.411649	-2.10%	0.3165	-24.73%	0.2354	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.408602	-2.01%	0.2875	-31.06%	0.2862	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.390767	-1.94%	0.3185	-20.08%	0.2993	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.393356	-1.78%	0.3265	-18.48%	0.2765	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.432753	-1.76%	0.332	-24.63%	0.2280	✗	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.430038	-1.37%	0.3335	-23.51%	0.3089	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.444862	-1.47%	0.3255	-27.91%	0.3029	✗	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.456916	-1.63%	0.3245	-30.14%	0.3774	✗	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.43866	-1.76%	0.3185	-28.67%	0.3036	✗	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.440438	-1.80%	0.3015	-32.78%	0.2748	✗	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.425947	-1.74%	0.3025	-30.22%	0.3539	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.412393	-1.69%	0.308	-26.58%	0.3330	✗	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.425223	-1.91%	0.3605	-16.84%	0.4325	✗	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.437985	-2.13%	0.3745	-16.31%	0.3577	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.429454	-2.17%	0.3805	-13.33%	0.2984	✗	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.418279	-2.16%	0.3645	-14.74%	0.2697	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.410775	-2.20%	0.382	-9.05%	0.2551	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.417417	-2.36%	0.3895	-8.89%	0.2652	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.443884	-2.76%	0.378	-17.20%	0.2636	✗	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.471343	-2.92%	0.3905	-19.57%	0.1494	✗	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.487404	-3.10%	0.3995	-20.58%	0.1376	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.472503	-3.18%	0.406	-16.80%	0.1360	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.441789	-3.12%	0.444	-2.63%	0.1216	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.482171	-3.18%	0.428	-14.06%	0.0790	✗	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.683173	-3.44%	0.424	-40.07%	0.1212	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.708264	-3.18%	0.424	-42.04%	0.1534	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.688441	-3.31%	0.365	-48.74%	0.2572	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.737564	-2.76%	0.373	-50.82%	0.2982	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.697611	-2.91%	0.345	-51.98%	0.2946	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.701771	-3.20%	0.3525	-51.38%	0.3991	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.722606	-3.01%	0.4205	-43.56%	0.3306	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.72676	-3.29%	0.417	-44.51%	0.3626	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.679822	-3.57%	0.3985	-43.48%	0.3650	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.643282	-4.06%	0.4005	-40.27%	0.3607	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.646131	-4.13%	0.4405	-34.64%	0.2987	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.652835	-4.42%	0.436	-36.16%	0.4179	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.643275	-4.49%	0.4515	-32.96%	0.4456	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.639764	-4.51%	0.4645	-30.67%	0.4222	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.612031	-4.52%	0.4465	-30.34%	0.3715	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.652163	-4.45%	0.4485	-34.29%	0.3249	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.651594	-4.53%	0.4335	-36.48%	0.3660	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.672413	-4.49%	0.4195	-40.41%	0.3601	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.741357	-4.83%	0.4335	-44.35%	0.3926	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.770169	-4.80%	0.4475	-44.68%	0.4350	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.757404	-4.43%	0.439	-44.61%	0.3974	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.795451	-4.28%	0.4275	-48.56%	0.4104	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.777357	-4.27%	0.42	-48.28%	0.4009	✓	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.