STX

Stacks · native · gru_s5

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,166

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0726

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0147

actual +0.0035

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.351718	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.348615	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.350952	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.347807	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.359349	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.381397	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.416392	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.409909	-3.28%	0.35975	-15.11%	0.1512	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.419828	-3.35%	0.35575	-18.11%	0.1627	✓	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.395828	-3.48%	0.3583	-12.63%	0.1013	✓	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.385258	-3.30%	0.35505	-10.88%	0.0519	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.387784	-3.31%	0.3681	-8.22%	0.0247	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.381804	-3.38%	0.3924	-0.70%	0.0461	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.368617	-3.41%	0.43015	+12.71%	0.1467	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.357484	-3.55%	0.4238	+14.34%	0.2012	✗	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.370682	-3.59%	0.4344	+12.98%	0.2017	✗	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.366208	-3.46%	0.4101	+8.11%	0.1837	✗	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.375913	-3.45%	0.3984	+2.32%	0.1072	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.371024	-3.45%	0.40105	+4.36%	0.1103	✗	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.355169	-3.43%	0.39515	+7.44%	0.1415	✗	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.360589	-3.50%	0.38165	+2.14%	0.1128	✗	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.356264	-3.93%	0.37065	-0.05%	0.0446	✗	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.305116	-3.69%	0.3845	+21.37%	0.1978	✗	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.302697	-3.57%	0.37935	+20.85%	0.1855	✗	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.32637	-3.58%	0.38935	+15.02%	0.1416	✗	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.330717	-3.50%	0.3843	+12.14%	0.1446	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.315064	-3.43%	0.3678	+12.74%	0.1477	✗	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.302774	-3.39%	0.37365	+19.22%	0.2023	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.297603	-3.41%	0.37085	+20.37%	0.2344	✗	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.324679	-3.33%	0.3168	-5.67%	0.0188	✓	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.330373	-3.23%	0.3139	-8.06%	0.0017	✓	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.3248	-3.38%	0.3385	+0.70%	0.0210	✓	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.30474	-3.32%	0.3427	+8.72%	0.0571	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.276166	-2.79%	0.32625	+14.84%	0.1054	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.24834	-1.10%	0.3134	+24.81%	0.0812	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.241238	-0.54%	0.3081	+27.03%	0.0901	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.234485	-0.13%	0.33585	+43.04%	0.1626	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.25875	-1.88%	0.3414	+29.47%	0.1322	✗	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.260292	-1.87%	0.33615	+26.73%	0.1768	✗	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.263225	-1.84%	0.3152	+17.55%	0.1088	✗	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.249817	-1.16%	0.2841	+12.40%	0.0618	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.250305	-1.12%	0.2511	-0.81%	0.0067	✓	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.269777	-1.49%	0.24255	-11.43%	0.0673	✓	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.26822	-1.21%	0.2348	-13.52%	0.0806	✓	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.273616	-1.29%	0.2637	-4.87%	0.0204	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.266599	-0.97%	0.26525	-1.47%	0.0595	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.266603	-1.00%	0.26815	-0.43%	0.0528	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.261946	-1.00%	0.25275	-4.48%	0.0089	✓	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.270804	-1.49%	0.25315	-7.91%	0.0169	✗	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.256832	-1.63%	0.27385	+4.88%	0.0458	✗	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.251224	-1.60%	0.2715	+6.35%	0.0577	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.247452	-1.45%	0.2772	+10.39%	0.1039	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.232054	-0.96%	0.2692	+14.90%	0.1003	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.24044	-1.22%	0.2693	+10.64%	0.0850	✗	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.254261	-2.32%	0.2646	+1.65%	0.0070	✓	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.251097	-2.37%	0.2749	+6.88%	0.0728	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.259812	-3.34%	0.2611	-2.86%	0.0374	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.252721	-4.05%	0.2553	-3.08%	0.0314	✓	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.224046	-3.01%	0.2511	+8.70%	0.1219	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.225306	-3.72%	0.2343	+0.13%	0.0404	✗	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.211066	-3.75%	0.2434	+10.99%	0.1198	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.18444	-2.82%	0.2603	+37.14%	0.3542	✗	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.14463	-1.01%	0.2572	+76.04%	0.4563	✗	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.127276	-0.88%	0.2688	+109.35%	0.5964	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.118493	-1.21%	0.2634	+119.59%	0.5721	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.119358	-1.28%	0.231	+91.07%	0.4205	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.120483	-1.41%	0.234	+91.49%	0.4047	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.119932	-1.41%	0.2193	+80.27%	0.3593	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.120466	-1.42%	0.1898	+55.32%	0.1895	✗	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.122697	-1.45%	0.1461	+17.35%	0.0023	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.121165	-1.41%	0.1284	+4.48%	0.0531	✓	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.125739	-1.46%	0.11995	-6.00%	0.0693	✓	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.128985	-1.46%	0.1209	-7.64%	0.0756	✓	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.127854	-1.50%	0.1222	-5.86%	0.0063	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.130578	-1.52%	0.12165	-8.26%	0.0343	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.127232	-1.52%	0.1222	-5.42%	0.0035	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.128075	-1.56%	0.1245	-4.30%	0.0120	✓	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.131748	-1.53%	0.1229	-8.15%	0.0464	✓	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.132595	-1.56%	0.1276	-5.27%	0.0284	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.136205	-1.73%	0.1309	-5.56%	0.0484	✓	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.136608	-1.79%	0.1298	-6.69%	0.0785	✓	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.136831	-1.77%	0.1326	-4.81%	0.0749	✓	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.135104	-1.74%	0.1292	-6.04%	0.0865	✓	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.137793	-1.68%	0.1301	-7.17%	0.0482	✓	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.132769	-1.51%	0.1338	-0.74%	0.0064	✓	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.135869	-1.51%	0.1347	-2.36%	0.0127	✓	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.132469	-1.29%	0.1386	+3.28%	0.0498	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.145066	-1.25%	0.1391	-5.31%	0.0068	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.135446	-0.99%	0.1393	+1.83%	0.0569	✗	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.143528	-0.95%	0.1375	-5.11%	0.0189	✓	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.163106	-0.82%	0.14015	-14.78%	0.1458	✓	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.168046	-0.74%	0.1348	-20.38%	0.1815	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.16634	-0.63%	0.13795	-17.59%	0.1397	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.164408	-0.66%	0.1342	-18.91%	0.1759	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.162662	-0.63%	0.1469	-10.26%	0.1136	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.164194	-0.64%	0.1368	-17.22%	0.1737	✓	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.163468	-0.69%	0.1449	-11.97%	0.1240	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.165894	-0.72%	0.16445	-1.59%	0.0320	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.167191	-0.72%	0.1693	+0.53%	0.0115	✓	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.167524	-0.73%	0.1674	-0.80%	0.0275	✓	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.164695	-0.79%	0.1655	-0.30%	0.0517	✓	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.16762	-0.79%	0.1637	-3.11%	0.0417	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.170422	-0.80%	0.16525	-3.81%	0.0507	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.170403	-0.76%	0.1646	-4.14%	0.0301	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.16771	-0.76%	0.1671	-1.12%	0.0153	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.165655	-0.75%	0.1684	+0.90%	0.0318	✓	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.163595	-0.67%	0.16875	+2.46%	0.0015	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.169664	-0.78%	0.166	-2.92%	0.0125	✗	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.17118	-0.82%	0.16895	-2.11%	0.0162	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.171452	-0.95%	0.1718	-0.75%	0.0114	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.171978	-0.93%	0.1717	-1.09%	0.0327	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.164975	-0.86%	0.169	+1.56%	0.0088	✓	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.163944	-0.76%	0.1669	+1.03%	0.0279	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.15987	-0.58%	0.1647	+2.43%	0.0679	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.165471	-0.68%	0.171	+2.64%	0.0438	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.164084	-0.62%	0.1726	+4.54%	0.0322	✓	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.166363	-0.68%	0.1731	+3.34%	0.0240	✓	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.168328	-0.75%	0.1736	+2.36%	0.0204	✓	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.163315	-0.60%	0.1664	+1.28%	0.0177	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.170602	-0.76%	0.1652	-3.90%	0.0116	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.175822	-0.89%	0.1608	-9.36%	0.0069	✓	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.177899	-0.95%	0.1666	-7.24%	0.0085	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.17552	-0.89%	0.1651	-6.78%	0.0132	✗	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.18151	-1.08%	0.1675	-8.72%	0.0032	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.178946	-1.03%	0.1696	-6.19%	0.0146	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.182345	-1.06%	0.1643	-10.85%	0.0410	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.18777	-1.23%	0.1719	-9.57%	0.0210	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.190478	-1.31%	0.1774	-8.08%	0.0145	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.190917	-1.39%	0.1796	-7.23%	0.0172	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.192298	-1.44%	0.1771	-9.23%	0.0351	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.182456	-1.21%	0.1835	-0.65%	0.0097	✓	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.177249	-1.06%	0.1808	+0.92%	0.0211	✗	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.18117	-1.22%	0.1843	+0.49%	0.0303	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.173971	-0.64%	0.1901	+8.57%	0.0310	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.180389	-0.80%	0.193	+6.13%	0.0071	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.183554	-0.94%	0.1936	+4.48%	0.0070	✓	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.185901	-0.85%	0.1951	+4.05%	0.0032	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.180165	-0.02%	0.1847	+2.50%	0.0429	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.176693	+0.45%	0.17915	+1.85%	0.0339	✗	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.190398	-0.47%	0.1834	-4.13%	0.0331	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.208221	-1.08%	0.1751	-16.82%	0.1274	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.209358	-1.43%	0.18185	-14.38%	0.0523	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.228852	-2.20%	0.1853	-20.81%	0.0789	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.234217	-2.25%	0.1875	-21.74%	0.0595	✓	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.230489	-2.13%	0.1802	-23.48%	0.0446	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.22959	-2.09%	0.1759	-24.99%	0.0724	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.22865	-2.08%	0.1913	-18.07%	0.0295	✓	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.228302	-2.02%	0.2105	-9.66%	0.0738	✗	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.237486	-2.07%	0.2124	-12.41%	0.0215	✗	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.242496	-2.06%	0.234	-5.49%	0.0530	✗	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.239093	-2.01%	0.2396	-1.80%	0.0520	✗	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.242802	-2.06%	0.2355	-5.00%	0.0110	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.235817	-1.99%	0.2345	-2.54%	0.0247	✗	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.245835	-2.02%	0.2335	-6.94%	0.0062	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.23742	-1.85%	0.233	-3.68%	0.0263	✗	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.229405	-1.71%	0.2425	+3.90%	0.0688	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.233781	-1.81%	0.2476	+3.99%	0.0532	✗	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.230097	-1.58%	0.244	+4.36%	0.0647	✗	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.234285	-1.56%	0.2479	+4.16%	0.0768	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.245643	-1.59%	0.2406	-3.61%	0.0297	✗	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.263629	-1.67%	0.2509	-6.42%	0.0025	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.26133	-1.87%	0.2419	-9.16%	0.0529	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.265585	-1.74%	0.2334	-13.65%	0.0799	✓	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.267099	-1.55%	0.2381	-12.24%	0.0532	✓	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.26447	-1.46%	0.2338	-12.89%	0.0610	✓	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.260359	-1.57%	0.238	-10.02%	0.0564	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.261308	-1.62%	0.2496	-6.02%	0.0311	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.24812	-1.56%	0.2681	+6.37%	0.0635	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.247915	-1.46%	0.2663	+5.84%	0.0992	✗	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.248099	-1.98%	0.2703	+6.80%	0.0907	✗	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.221584	-0.81%	0.2713	+21.44%	0.1802	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.221717	-0.97%	0.2684	+19.87%	0.1499	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.224386	-0.98%	0.2645	+16.73%	0.1412	✗	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.220466	-1.00%	0.2656	+19.26%	0.1631	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.217701	-1.29%	0.25205	+14.28%	0.1006	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.218898	-1.33%	0.2516	+13.41%	0.0690	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.221682	-1.28%	0.2531	+12.71%	0.0761	✗	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.224258	-1.12%	0.2234	-1.50%	0.0344	✓	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.229384	-1.00%	0.2239	-3.37%	0.0228	✓	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.225036	-1.08%	0.2266	-0.40%	0.0059	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.225873	-1.15%	0.2227	-2.54%	0.0239	✓	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.225166	-1.03%	0.22055	-3.05%	0.0045	✓	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.223866	-1.03%	0.22185	-1.92%	0.0224	✗	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.221594	-1.25%	0.22455	+0.07%	0.0136	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.220979	-1.30%	0.2268	+1.30%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.216271	-1.47%	0.2317	+5.56%	0.0046	✓	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.227646	-1.37%	0.2275	-1.43%	0.0258	✓	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.238242	-1.39%	0.2285	-5.42%	0.0465	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.238779	-1.68%	0.2275	-6.32%	0.0898	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.231306	-1.61%	0.2262	-3.79%	0.0672	✓	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.216863	-1.38%	0.2244	+2.05%	0.0050	✓	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.224625	-1.44%	0.2239	-1.76%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.208737	-1.54%	0.2195	+3.54%	0.0082	✓	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.215553	-1.39%	0.2308	+5.58%	0.0330	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.219929	-1.42%	0.2416	+8.29%	0.0397	✗	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.218334	-1.47%	0.24285	+9.59%	0.0609	✗	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.217396	-1.54%	0.2351	+6.48%	0.0272	✗	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.223633	-1.57%	0.2199	-3.21%	0.0476	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.213657	-1.68%	0.2279	+4.88%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.210138	-1.62%	0.212	-0.75%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.210561	-1.61%	0.2186	+2.15%	0.0466	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.210591	-1.64%	0.2231	+4.20%	0.0323	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.210696	-1.61%	0.2216	+3.48%	0.0240	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.220211	-1.65%	0.2208	-1.38%	0.0424	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.220973	-1.57%	0.2272	+1.20%	0.0283	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.21589	-1.42%	0.2173	-0.78%	0.0268	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.211466	-1.18%	0.2136	-0.19%	0.0380	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.217983	-1.10%	0.214	-2.90%	0.0339	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.223224	-1.03%	0.2141	-5.08%	0.0514	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.231776	-0.93%	0.21415	-8.46%	0.0496	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.240093	-0.83%	0.2239	-7.52%	0.0208	✓	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.240669	-0.84%	0.2245	-7.50%	0.0338	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.241711	-0.82%	0.219	-10.14%	0.0340	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.22972	-0.73%	0.214	-7.52%	0.0406	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.237426	-0.74%	0.2204	-7.86%	0.0334	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.244077	-0.78%	0.22555	-8.31%	0.0143	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.244083	-0.82%	0.23395	-4.94%	0.0247	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.249498	-0.84%	0.2421	-3.78%	0.0310	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.262837	-0.93%	0.2427	-8.52%	0.0292	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.266992	-0.97%	0.2437	-9.61%	0.0319	✓	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.254808	-0.81%	0.2314	-9.93%	0.0207	✓	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.248444	-0.78%	0.2392	-4.47%	0.0023	✓	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.253485	-0.85%	0.246	-3.77%	0.0231	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.25368	-0.83%	0.2461	-3.79%	0.0209	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.253416	-0.85%	0.2516	-1.56%	0.0231	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.256574	-0.90%	0.2653	+2.47%	0.0263	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.25096	-0.85%	0.2696	+6.52%	0.0260	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.248275	-0.81%	0.2569	+2.64%	0.0753	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.254415	-0.85%	0.2504	-2.42%	0.0794	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.258088	-0.93%	0.25565	-1.86%	0.0544	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.261898	-0.98%	0.2558	-3.29%	0.0180	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.266317	-1.07%	0.2556	-5.05%	0.0021	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.253521	-0.97%	0.2589	+1.13%	0.0059	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.253871	-0.99%	0.2531	-1.29%	0.0037	✓	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.250179	-0.92%	0.2503	-0.87%	0.0032	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.258681	-1.08%	0.2566	-1.87%	0.0133	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.256861	-1.06%	0.2605	+0.35%	0.0265	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.258134	-1.17%	0.2645	+1.26%	0.0353	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.261457	-1.34%	0.2692	+1.58%	0.0518	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.235278	-0.68%	0.256	+8.06%	0.0083	✗	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.23472	-0.67%	0.2564	+8.51%	0.0150	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.242074	-0.91%	0.2525	+3.36%	0.0747	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.251348	-1.04%	0.2615	+2.95%	0.0568	✗	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.253288	-1.10%	0.2596	+1.37%	0.0617	✗	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.247732	-0.95%	0.2612	+4.44%	0.0440	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.250379	-0.94%	0.265	+4.85%	0.0292	✗	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.257814	-1.11%	0.2369	-9.13%	0.0247	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.263981	-1.24%	0.2363	-11.60%	0.0374	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.263439	-1.22%	0.2443	-8.40%	0.0555	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.273072	-1.45%	0.254	-8.34%	0.0416	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.266207	-1.30%	0.2561	-5.04%	0.0247	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.259476	-0.93%	0.2501	-4.51%	0.0502	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.253021	-0.82%	0.25275	-0.92%	0.0095	✗	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.25097	-0.84%	0.2607	+3.00%	0.0613	✗	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.260556	-1.08%	0.2673	+1.48%	0.0468	✗	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.265878	-1.12%	0.2667	-0.82%	0.0285	✗	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.265718	-0.78%	0.2771	+3.47%	0.0326	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.2751	-1.04%	0.2697	-2.99%	0.0096	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.252544	+1.46%	0.2619	+5.22%	0.0300	✗	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.275635	-0.82%	0.2551	-8.20%	0.0583	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.301476	-2.18%	0.2531	-17.88%	0.0281	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.285287	-1.46%	0.2634	-9.02%	0.1087	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.256399	+0.61%	0.2689	+5.51%	0.1868	✓	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.262169	+0.26%	0.2678	+2.41%	0.2263	✓	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.284998	-1.45%	0.278	-3.87%	0.2605	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.282518	-1.36%	0.2489	-13.09%	0.3560	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.294514	-1.80%	0.2779	-7.34%	0.2778	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.294766	-1.78%	0.3082	+2.70%	0.3227	✗	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.292588	-1.75%	0.2895	-2.79%	0.1821	✗	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.278403	-1.38%	0.25485	-9.72%	0.1091	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.296901	-1.82%	0.2615	-13.53%	0.0790	✗	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.30367	-1.92%	0.2892	-6.59%	0.0537	✗	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.30784	-2.06%	0.2864	-8.88%	0.0221	✗	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.308312	-2.06%	0.2999	-4.73%	0.0239	✓	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.294937	-1.93%	0.3001	-0.22%	0.0024	✓	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.316638	-2.03%	0.2978	-7.86%	0.0174	✓	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.335258	-2.14%	0.2823	-17.60%	0.0430	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.354314	-2.15%	0.3024	-16.49%	0.0522	✓	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.364211	-2.12%	0.3096	-16.80%	0.0564	✓	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.358974	-2.03%	0.3143	-14.22%	0.0255	✓	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.376501	-2.07%	0.3148	-18.12%	0.0472	✓	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.385749	-2.37%	0.30075	-23.88%	0.1221	✓	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.367503	-2.53%	0.3232	-14.28%	0.1536	✓	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.373105	-2.51%	0.3426	-10.48%	0.1360	✓	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.37537	-2.80%	0.3621	-6.24%	0.1230	✓	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.363546	-2.61%	0.3721	-0.32%	0.0693	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.346088	-2.23%	0.3664	+3.50%	0.0272	✓	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.340021	-2.18%	0.38445	+10.60%	0.0013	✓	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.362502	-2.61%	0.3951	+6.15%	0.0501	✗	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.364168	-3.02%	0.37705	+0.41%	0.0941	✗	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.344919	-3.06%	0.3827	+7.56%	0.1179	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.295911	-2.08%	0.3862	+27.80%	0.2713	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.271668	-1.57%	0.3733	+35.25%	0.3055	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.259268	-1.49%	0.354	+34.50%	0.2612	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.240784	-1.26%	0.3476	+42.55%	0.2851	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.250594	-1.15%	0.3722	+46.82%	0.2823	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.251757	-1.16%	0.3755	+47.43%	0.2554	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.261476	-1.18%	0.3558	+34.47%	0.2302	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.262352	-1.22%	0.3022	+13.78%	0.0816	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.248372	-1.03%	0.276	+9.98%	0.0487	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.24205	-0.92%	0.2632	+7.74%	0.0501	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.24646	-0.94%	0.24385	-1.99%	0.0082	✓	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.241552	-0.84%	0.2535	+4.06%	0.0277	✗	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.245665	-0.82%	0.2547	+2.83%	0.0668	✗	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.247272	-0.79%	0.2646	+6.16%	0.0838	✗	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.253838	-0.88%	0.2656	+3.71%	0.0563	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.25178	-0.95%	0.25095	-1.28%	0.0137	✗	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.239195	-0.60%	0.2443	+1.52%	0.0161	✓	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.249161	-0.69%	0.2488	-0.84%	0.0317	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.261381	-0.88%	0.2436	-7.62%	0.0614	✓	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.26168	-0.80%	0.2477	-6.10%	0.1011	✓	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.275845	-0.95%	0.24925	-10.50%	0.1114	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.285983	-1.08%	0.2561	-11.41%	0.0695	✓	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.284949	-1.09%	0.2542	-11.77%	0.0679	✓	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.29389	-1.18%	0.24065	-19.08%	0.0486	✓	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.302989	-1.26%	0.2509	-18.23%	0.0639	✓	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.311444	-1.41%	0.2637	-16.52%	0.0640	✓	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.297009	-1.19%	0.2638	-12.24%	0.0277	✓	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.290094	-1.06%	0.2785	-5.01%	0.0066	✓	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.293565	-1.06%	0.2891	-2.56%	0.0363	✓	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.289217	-1.02%	0.2881	-1.40%	0.0237	✓	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.304133	-1.22%	0.2974	-3.41%	0.0317	✓	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.316261	-1.32%	0.30685	-4.26%	0.0010	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.30439	-1.17%	0.3159	+2.56%	0.0083	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.280558	-0.65%	0.3006	+6.44%	0.0271	✓	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.304605	-0.96%	0.2932	-4.67%	0.0389	✓	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.309834	-0.98%	0.2967	-5.18%	0.0097	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.313963	-0.99%	0.2922	-7.85%	0.0383	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.320014	-1.03%	0.3079	-4.78%	0.0550	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.319176	-1.00%	0.3205	-0.59%	0.0583	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.316632	-0.84%	0.308	-3.54%	0.1160	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.318087	-0.91%	0.2824	-12.02%	0.0739	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.306079	-0.56%	0.30755	-0.08%	0.0750	✓	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.306587	-0.30%	0.3129	+1.76%	0.1221	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.311158	-0.30%	0.3171	+1.60%	0.1158	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.325966	-0.53%	0.32335	-1.33%	0.1168	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.338657	-0.98%	0.3224	-5.73%	0.0260	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.342766	-1.02%	0.3193	-7.80%	0.0617	✗	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.334945	-0.76%	0.321	-4.89%	0.0486	✗	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.344259	-0.88%	0.3078	-11.37%	0.0633	✗	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.356823	-0.99%	0.3075	-14.68%	0.1107	✗	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.356443	-0.85%	0.3121	-13.18%	0.0941	✗	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.378459	-1.17%	0.3277	-14.43%	0.1709	✗	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.397352	-1.34%	0.342	-15.08%	0.0858	✗	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.405583	-1.46%	0.3463	-15.86%	0.0739	✗	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.422527	-1.58%	0.3375	-21.38%	0.0933	✗	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.415138	-1.63%	0.3473	-17.70%	0.0626	✗	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.396825	-1.43%	0.3604	-10.48%	0.0594	✗	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.404353	-1.67%	0.3595	-12.57%	0.0824	✗	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.348887	-0.97%	0.38295	+8.70%	0.1296	✗	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.357248	-1.12%	0.40275	+11.47%	0.1677	✗	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.351931	-0.89%	0.4116	+15.91%	0.1228	✗	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.367526	-1.07%	0.4293	+15.56%	0.1681	✗	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.419678	-1.28%	0.422	-0.73%	0.1302	✗	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.418997	-1.25%	0.4026	-5.11%	0.1287	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.407729	-1.20%	0.4112	-0.36%	0.1440	✗	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.401468	-1.16%	0.3523	-13.27%	0.0236	✗	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.435339	-1.23%	0.3613	-18.03%	0.0557	✓	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.436611	-1.15%	0.3551	-19.61%	0.0421	✗	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.452308	-1.24%	0.3715	-18.89%	0.0380	✓	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.462928	-1.32%	0.4251	-9.38%	0.0023	✓	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.44065	-1.35%	0.4243	-5.01%	0.0036	✓	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.442908	-1.48%	0.4127	-8.20%	0.0387	✓	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.42579	-1.46%	0.4062	-5.99%	0.0080	✓	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.415797	-1.38%	0.44075	+4.54%	0.0049	✓	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.421375	-1.39%	0.4417	+3.37%	0.0505	✓	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.435776	-1.54%	0.458	+3.48%	0.0260	✓	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.429866	-1.56%	0.4691	+7.42%	0.0396	✓	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.416241	-1.32%	0.4467	+5.90%	0.0275	✓	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.416734	-1.35%	0.44955	+6.41%	0.0255	✓	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.430485	-1.36%	0.4321	-0.99%	0.0386	✓	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.448971	-1.41%	0.4216	-7.42%	0.0085	✓	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.463378	-1.49%	0.4273	-9.16%	0.0229	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.481343	-1.64%	0.4426	-9.55%	0.0182	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.454294	-1.35%	0.4367	-5.17%	0.0978	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.41823	-0.89%	0.4218	-0.05%	0.0869	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.425373	-0.89%	0.42245	-1.57%	0.1385	✗	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.584429	-1.59%	0.4364	-26.52%	0.0620	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.602604	-1.61%	0.4554	-25.64%	0.0724	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.58582	-1.79%	0.4704	-21.14%	0.0824	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.620107	-1.52%	0.48935	-22.29%	0.0839	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.589688	-1.47%	0.4605	-23.06%	0.1105	✓	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.593621	-1.52%	0.422	-29.99%	0.1473	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.609978	-1.62%	0.4292	-30.78%	0.1979	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.612885	-1.73%	0.5939	-4.78%	0.0491	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.59459	-1.75%	0.61245	+1.20%	0.0468	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.562253	-1.70%	0.5965	+4.28%	0.0657	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.573936	-1.82%	0.6297	+7.72%	0.0836	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.574242	-1.84%	0.5985	+2.31%	0.1577	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.5645	-1.73%	0.6028	+4.94%	0.1671	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.569326	-1.77%	0.62005	+6.98%	0.1455	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.555183	-1.70%	0.6237	+10.43%	0.0974	✓	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.583578	-1.88%	0.6052	+1.76%	0.0636	✓	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.585756	-1.86%	0.572	-4.16%	0.0637	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.592558	-1.95%	0.58455	-3.28%	0.0451	✓	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.631889	-2.14%	0.585	-9.40%	0.0177	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.644393	-2.14%	0.57445	-12.76%	0.0055	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.641718	-2.14%	0.5796	-11.61%	0.0174	✓	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.674922	-2.21%	0.5648	-18.17%	0.0179	✓	2.24
2025-09-17	oos	0.6744	0.65951	-2.21%	0.59475	-11.81%	0.0424	✓	2.23

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.