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2022-09-14 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2616
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.2%
in alpha space · 87.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.44583+0.64%0.302-31.83%0.3264✗1.184,5592022-10-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1218.0836-0.20%14.99-17.27%0.1484✓0.741.4M2022-10-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.130109-0.30%0.1129-13.49%0.1141✓0.5283k2022-10-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,625.63-0.82%1,296.36-20.91%0.1575✓1.29569.9M2022-10-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.505109-1.83%0.40748-20.80%0.1350✓1.5039k2022-10-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.185396-1.85%0.1475-21.92%0.1742✓1.0286k2022-10-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.069503-1.97%0.05883-17.02%0.1154✓0.9625k2022-10-14
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.060375-2.06%0.064+3.82%0.0811✗0.43129k2022-10-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.01211-2.10%0.00989-20.05%0.1702✓0.61233k2022-10-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7713-2.14%2.25+24.31%0.2636✗0.4656k2022-10-14
QNTQuantEthereum99.0596.9218-2.15%165.76+67.35%0.5834✗0.883.5M2022-10-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.056882-2.26%0.0541-7.04%0.0092✓0.7782k2022-10-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.022708-2.29%0.02065-11.14%0.0381✓1.072,9142022-10-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.09308-2.33%0.1617+69.67%0.5928✗0.762,9132022-10-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.368779-2.34%0.3071-18.67%0.1318✓0.96202k2022-10-14
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9281.8549-2.46%72.83-13.21%0.0398✓1.446.2M2022-10-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.035668-2.55%0.0315-13.93%0.0709✓1.0093k2022-10-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.5476-2.62%4.51-3.43%0.0352✗0.82808k2022-10-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.790404-2.63%0.74011-8.83%0.0251✓0.7613k2022-10-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.6253-2.64%15.67-18.09%0.1016✓1.3317.5M2022-10-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.213705-2.64%0.2237+1.91%0.0936✗0.90504k2022-10-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.206121-2.73%0.1796-15.24%0.0890✓0.9257k2022-10-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.102314-2.75%0.112512+6.94%0.1406✗0.866.5M2022-10-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001512-2.81%0.001483-4.69%0.0202✓0.75340k2022-10-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0019,680.03-2.86%19,147.40-5.49%0.0210✓0.9113k2022-10-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.2496-2.98%3.43-21.69%0.1869✓0.511.4M2022-10-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.01182-2.98%0.01404+15.24%0.2185✗0.87851k2022-10-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.203478-3.06%0.1539-26.68%0.2497✓0.5666k2022-10-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.4884-3.10%1.501-2.28%0.0454✗0.6929k2022-10-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7719,594.86-3.13%19,178.00-5.19%0.0318✓1.00480.9M2022-10-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.0741-3.14%9.765+4.24%0.1185✗0.851.2M2022-10-14
XMRMoneroMonero149.8145.0994-3.14%140.46-6.23%0.0199✓0.981.5M2022-10-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.09632.998-3.18%2.6157-15.52%0.0830✓1.0019k2022-10-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.312553-3.18%0.34725+7.57%0.1464✗0.77326k2022-10-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.417256-3.19%0.386-10.44%0.0204✓1.087,9852022-10-14
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.51e-7-3.27%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0252✓0.691.7M2022-10-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.886739-3.30%0.866-5.56%0.0335✓1.071.5M2022-10-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.392785-3.30%0.3242-20.19%0.1313✓1.1466k2022-10-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035107-3.31%0.03213-11.51%0.0507✓0.712,2982022-10-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.158209-3.35%0.1465-10.51%0.0179✓1.111,5602022-10-14
SOLSolanaSolana34.1232.9564-3.41%29.99-12.10%0.0315✓1.1852.2M2022-10-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.867899-3.42%0.7535-16.15%0.0778✓1.19874k2022-10-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005417-3.43%0.00482-14.08%0.0836✓0.62911k2022-10-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.041613-3.45%0.03705-14.04%0.0747✓0.7814k2022-10-14
GTGateEthereum4.30854.1594-3.46%4.3878+1.84%0.0903✗0.69696k2022-10-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.064352-3.58%0.05449-18.35%0.1159✓0.958692022-10-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.258.0058-3.64%51.32-14.75%0.0724✓0.9414.4M2022-10-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1825.955-3.67%6.285+1.67%0.1251✗1.346.9M2022-10-14
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.041141-3.68%0.037936-11.19%0.0330✓0.9028k2022-10-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.97967-3.70%0.9771-3.95%0.0213✓0.452.8M2022-10-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.091469-3.72%0.0968+1.89%0.1094✗0.99319k2022-10-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.6021-3.72%1.533-7.87%0.0022✓0.87578k2022-10-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.71637-3.76%0.62338-16.25%0.0826✓1.06584k2022-10-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.019808-3.84%0.01992-3.30%0.0552✗0.939.2M2022-10-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.1673-3.90%6.89-7.62%0.0179✓1.0818.0M2022-10-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.189733-3.93%0.17-13.92%0.0590✓0.95130k2022-10-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.45e-7-3.95%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0180✓0.7015k2022-10-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3542-3.96%1.7+20.57%0.2174✗-0.19113k2022-10-14
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.1676-3.98%0.719-40.87%0.4014✓1.572.7M2022-10-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005737-3.99%0.0079+32.21%0.3522✗0.611,9622022-10-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.038832-4.01%0.035376-12.55%0.0624✓0.5824k2022-10-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044632-4.02%0.0313-32.69%0.3104✓0.83142k2022-10-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.0552-4.05%4.86-22.99%0.1696✓0.944.3M2022-10-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.119819-4.07%0.1189-4.80%0.0509✗1.101.4M2022-10-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.25.9472-4.08%5.59-9.84%0.0390✓0.432.1M2022-10-14
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.461162-4.12%0.3667-23.76%0.1787✓0.9536.8M2022-10-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.601532-4.21%0.523-16.72%0.0840✓1.053.2M2022-10-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1033-4.25%3.92-26.45%0.2393✓0.462.4M2022-10-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.467486-4.26%0.4145-15.11%0.0669✓1.00366k2022-10-14
KSMKusamaHydration47.5845.5351-4.30%39.92-16.10%0.0808✓0.95363k2022-10-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99114.8101-4.32%107.52-10.39%0.0065✓1.114.3M2022-10-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.256422-4.32%0.229-14.55%0.0730✓0.75512k2022-10-14
ZENHorizenBase15.114.4473-4.32%12.32-18.41%0.0973✓1.1675k2022-10-14
HIVEHivenative0.55510.531061-4.33%0.4831-12.97%0.0645✓0.57836k2022-10-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6011-4.33%2.07-23.87%0.1481✓1.512.9M2022-10-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.289998-4.35%0.3174+4.68%0.1400✗0.935.9M2022-10-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4019-4.38%1.404-4.23%0.0609✗1.1168k2022-10-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002745-4.41%0.002103-26.78%0.2180✓0.911.2M2022-10-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.8343-4.45%3.032-24.45%0.2165✓0.342.0M2022-10-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.05797-4.50%0.0667+9.88%0.1970✗1.0677k2022-10-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.7314-4.55%1.454-19.85%0.0889✓1.6160k2022-10-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001459-4.62%0.001262-17.52%0.1039✓0.785,8832022-10-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.6524-4.64%4.4399-8.99%0.0411✓0.11135k2022-10-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.052718-4.67%0.0532-3.80%0.0465✓0.70234k2022-10-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.119351-4.67%0.1172-6.39%0.0370✓1.032.6M2022-10-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.532-4.68%8.44-15.60%0.0529✓1.29288k2022-10-14
ZECZcashZcash61.9659.0544-4.69%49.94-19.40%0.1108✓1.071.1M2022-10-14
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.305765-4.72%0.292-9.01%0.0048✓0.957782022-10-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1119-4.72%0.961-17.65%0.0980✓0.901.1M2022-10-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.032784-4.75%0.02697-21.64%0.1387✓1.0629k2022-10-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.102483-4.76%0.0958-10.97%0.0233✓0.83188k2022-10-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.133243-4.76%0.1151-17.73%0.0933✓1.00119k2022-10-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.582842-4.76%0.56-8.50%0.0136✓1.01178k2022-10-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.019446-4.77%0.01711-16.21%0.0982✓0.56173k2022-10-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0195-4.77%0.814-23.97%0.1466✓1.474.5M2022-10-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.271362-4.79%0.2031-28.74%0.2357✓1.0172k2022-10-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.4794-4.79%9.9729-17.29%0.0910✓0.9321k2022-10-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.06545-4.81%0.06559-4.61%0.0127✓0.20351k2022-10-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7216-4.82%1.5603-13.74%0.0406✓1.0928k2022-10-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.046348-4.83%0.0366-24.85%0.1804✓1.05177k2022-10-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.843-4.90%0.9248-52.28%0.6537✓0.671.5M2022-10-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.827788-4.93%0.741825-14.80%0.0655✓0.8347k2022-10-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.966931-4.93%0.909812-10.55%0.0183✓0.8039k2022-10-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.258454-4.95%0.2484-8.64%0.0122✓0.972.7M2022-10-14
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.2919-5.00%3.003-33.53%0.3038✓1.001.4M2022-10-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000011579-5.01%0.00001019-16.41%0.0767✓0.96951k2022-10-14
DASHDashDash45.5843.2881-5.03%40.19-11.83%0.0186✓1.04299k2022-10-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.7236-5.03%5.78-18.36%0.0956✓1.04210k2022-10-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.129448-5.04%0.12084-11.36%0.0085✓1.13146k2022-10-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2086.8433-5.06%6.044-16.15%0.0686✓1.049.9M2022-10-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.524.2054-5.08%23.45-8.04%0.0219✓1.016.8M2022-10-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9257-5.09%1.522-24.99%0.1748✓1.1327k2022-10-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.255304-5.10%0.21178-21.27%0.1420✓0.8415k2022-10-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.019631-5.13%0.017637-14.77%0.0724✓0.6512k2022-10-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9205-5.13%1.5821-21.85%0.1353✓1.1013k2022-10-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.086698-5.14%0.0798-12.69%0.0385✓0.8310k2022-10-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36649.6594-5.17%49.267-5.92%0.0374✓0.85221k2022-10-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6913.9299-5.17%19.69+34.04%0.3922✗0.871.9M2022-10-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.4368-5.27%3.784-34.07%0.3354✓0.513.1M2022-10-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.8327-5.28%4.517-11.47%0.0022✓1.236.4M2022-10-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.040707-5.33%0.0338-21.40%0.1246✓1.15546k2022-10-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.056867-5.38%0.0525-12.65%0.0148✓1.22608k2022-10-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.057795-5.45%0.058661-4.03%0.0644✗0.931.1M2022-10-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.7226-5.47%3.062-22.24%0.1690✓0.492.1M2022-10-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,461.98-5.50%1,258.83-18.63%0.0963✓1.003.3M2022-10-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003674-5.54%0.00322-17.22%0.0829✓0.9289k2022-10-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011067-5.66%0.009888-15.71%0.0593✓1.007452022-10-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,669.31-5.71%7,558.88-17.78%0.0663✓1.334.0M2022-10-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.277094-5.71%0.244239-16.89%0.0716✓1.02430k2022-10-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1206-5.74%1.4654+23.26%0.3246✗1.061.2M2022-10-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.874281-5.79%0.827-10.88%0.0307✓0.472.5M2022-10-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.358011-5.79%0.38981+2.57%0.1359✗0.9529k2022-10-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.478516-5.80%0.42-17.32%0.0678✓1.1870k2022-10-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.2199-5.91%3.7821-15.67%0.0395✓1.31118k2022-10-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.036778-5.94%0.0348-11.00%0.0165✓0.739,5132022-10-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001152-5.95%0.0008958-26.87%0.2105✓0.772.1M2022-10-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.773908-6.01%0.6293-23.57%0.1488✓1.09920k2022-10-14
XVGVergenative0.003370.003167-6.03%0.00305-9.50%0.0096✓0.88483k2022-10-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.515-6.05%4.45-24.19%0.1875✓0.512.1M2022-10-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016107-6.06%0.013974-18.50%0.0888✓1.001,0682022-10-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007561-6.08%0.00585-27.33%0.1962✓1.13463k2022-10-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.2071-6.08%1.93-17.87%0.1024✓0.60200k2022-10-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.007983-6.08%0.00513-39.65%0.3947✓0.893.3M2022-10-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.180689-6.09%0.1801-6.39%0.0447✓0.903.1M2022-10-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.005937-6.13%0.0058-8.30%0.0061✓0.3229k2022-10-14
STXStacksnative0.35220.330336-6.21%0.2998-14.88%0.0406✓1.06298k2022-10-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.315664-6.22%0.2521-25.10%0.1669✓1.0972k2022-10-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.139432-6.23%0.1493+0.40%0.1280✗1.128922022-10-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.290083-6.30%0.2572-16.93%0.0714✓0.9289k2022-10-14
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.5085-6.33%1.3651-15.23%0.0461✓1.01236k2022-10-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.797458-6.35%0.8303-2.49%0.1131✗1.3789k2022-10-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.0807-6.39%11.643-16.68%0.0513✓1.2220.3M2022-10-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.305157-6.43%0.29045-10.93%0.0050✓1.0233k2022-10-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.9088-6.43%1.59-22.06%0.1146✓1.28226k2022-10-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1495-6.44%1.0714-12.80%0.0147✓1.04844k2022-10-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.427.8709-6.52%6.54-22.33%0.1570✓0.532.4M2022-10-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.175-6.52%1.054-16.15%0.0452✓1.19303k2022-10-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.152682-6.60%0.13698-16.21%0.0541✓1.02262k2022-10-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.385684-6.61%0.3101-24.91%0.1657✓0.98379k2022-10-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.316665-6.70%0.2801-17.47%0.0696✓1.0079k2022-10-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1092.8983-6.78%2.739-11.90%0.0396✓0.32676k2022-10-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.024192-6.80%0.024857-4.24%0.0247✓-0.04485k2022-10-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.138057-6.84%0.1319-11.00%0.0044✓0.94322k2022-10-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.451882-6.89%0.3733-23.08%0.1484✓0.80396k2022-10-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.104977-6.94%0.0853-24.38%0.1396✓1.272.4M2022-10-14
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000042877-7.11%0.00003692-20.02%0.1055✓0.833.5M2022-10-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.105659-7.15%0.0686-39.72%0.4070✓0.47182k2022-10-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9815.7406-7.30%14.25-16.08%0.0704✓0.55384k2022-10-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.47515-7.38%0.431-15.98%0.0380✓1.1266k2022-10-14
METISMetisEthereum27.5825.4658-7.67%24.63-10.70%0.0485✓1.54155k2022-10-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.4103-7.79%2.169-17.02%0.0610✓0.83464k2022-10-14
FLOWFlownative1.8681.7196-7.94%1.48-20.77%0.0783✓1.35967k2022-10-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.2439-8.01%10.81-18.78%0.0664✓1.09874k2022-10-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.0937-8.12%4.1388-25.34%0.2024✓0.109.6M2022-10-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.2729-8.22%1.532+10.45%0.2471✗1.1643k2022-10-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.5172-8.25%2.9723-22.47%0.1354✓0.626.3M2022-10-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.579662-8.28%0.528-16.46%0.0401✓1.00114k2022-10-14
PROPropyEthereum0.720.659712-8.37%0.54-25.00%0.1887✓0.2242k2022-10-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.055382-8.45%0.05442-10.03%0.0456✓1.181.1M2022-10-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3735.9859-8.60%23.13-41.25%0.3615✓1.5110.6M2022-10-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.4521-9.13%4.5087-24.85%0.1766✓0.2512.5M2022-10-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.611848-9.37%0.5741-14.96%0.0165✓1.50194k2022-10-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.184999-9.54%0.1348-34.08%0.2754✓0.7730k2022-10-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-75.94e-7-9.78%4.84e-7-26.38%0.1611✓0.792.1M2022-10-14
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0954.1227-9.93%54.51-9.29%0.0647✓1.088,4972022-10-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.0625-9.93%12.749+14.12%0.2554✗0.3515.8M2022-10-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.3624-9.95%5.068-14.90%0.0050✓0.975.9M2022-10-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.33.8703-9.99%3.774-12.23%0.0238✓0.92223k2022-10-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.1887-10.62%1.04-21.80%0.0816✓0.9856k2022-10-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000262132-12.74%0.00027202-9.45%0.0378✓0.012.4M2022-10-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.