XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s5

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1170

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0289

actual -0.0280

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.294646	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.294739	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.291015	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.281579	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.282422	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.283312	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.296116	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.294402	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.291423	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.30253	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.285938	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.303883	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.284968	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.283993	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.276241	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.297023	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.316633	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.31953	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.314233	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.305215	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.29927	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.307838	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.29828	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.293862	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.294499	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.301859	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.308025	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.310986	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.311415	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.306828	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.327131	-5.88%	0.31645	-8.95%	0.0091	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.321047	-5.50%	0.31537	-7.17%	0.0136	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.323572	-7.47%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0594	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.329672	-10.16%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1013	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.279453	-5.44%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0564	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.245402	-3.64%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1367	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.245548	-3.19%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1789	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.242872	-2.64%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1617	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.265141	-2.82%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1102	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.271231	-4.40%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0912	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.259533	-2.34%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.0944	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.247786	-1.21%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1802	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.248823	-1.74%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1034	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.257481	-2.35%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0918	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.247601	-0.81%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1115	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.237328	+0.92%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2187	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.244419	+1.47%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2414	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.242359	+1.48%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2508	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.234914	+2.01%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2537	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.236027	+3.23%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2664	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.218973	+0.53%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2613	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.216347	+0.92%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.3003	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.21736	+2.12%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3056	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.21538	+2.12%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2868	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.226268	+3.01%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2529	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.226561	+2.66%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2584	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.24009	+4.01%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2580	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.234829	+3.02%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2771	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.230392	+3.03%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2816	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.237186	+3.06%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2395	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.239856	+2.03%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2539	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.23634	+1.68%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2310	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.246496	+2.20%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.3099	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.21955	-0.92%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3954	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.208375	-2.95%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1716	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.191057	-4.52%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0940	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.190509	-4.45%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0914	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.185929	-4.55%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0770	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.188971	-4.53%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1147	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.187875	-4.42%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1781	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.188412	-4.23%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1107	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.186504	-4.01%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0637	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.186635	-4.06%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0874	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.189942	-4.33%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0906	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.193691	-4.23%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0300	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.198364	-4.65%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0622	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.192604	-4.39%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0294	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.191602	-4.55%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0357	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.187982	-4.42%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0469	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.188887	-4.63%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.0931	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.193208	-5.01%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1192	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.190467	-4.85%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1239	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.189143	-4.82%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1542	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.191855	-4.60%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1625	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.197923	-3.67%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1289	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.197069	-3.43%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1256	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.199957	-3.37%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1322	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.200842	-3.16%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1342	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.216734	-2.91%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1825	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.217691	-2.72%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1816	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.222512	-2.53%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1675	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.230052	-2.19%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1839	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.22513	-0.98%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1298	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.227631	-0.44%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1361	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.226612	-0.69%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1254	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.22205	-0.58%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.1040	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.224128	-0.52%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.1112	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.221188	-0.49%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.1075	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.219503	-0.44%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0894	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.226173	-0.60%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.1087	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.229848	-0.88%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1272	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.218401	-1.01%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1384	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.22468	-0.97%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1403	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.228436	-1.05%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1427	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.233114	-1.14%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1547	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.232617	-1.18%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1427	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.237738	-1.59%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2143	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.248967	-2.05%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2323	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.246722	-1.55%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2375	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.248528	-2.04%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2356	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.236612	-1.05%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1582	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.240895	-1.81%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.2029	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.215162	+0.36%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.1017	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.211009	+0.60%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0987	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.204193	+0.90%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.1019	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.212895	+0.55%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.1065	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.211919	+0.73%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0993	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.214083	+0.68%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0967	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.217586	+0.74%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0656	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.214731	+0.93%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0378	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.21653	+0.68%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0012	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.221616	+0.28%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0181	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.227636	-0.29%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0369	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.228695	-0.12%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0553	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.235483	-0.68%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0479	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.241655	-1.17%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.0994	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.229915	-0.50%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0528	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.241873	-1.32%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0753	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.241317	-1.42%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0597	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.237976	-1.38%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0198	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.236467	-1.28%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0081	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.235688	-1.07%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0298	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.232088	-0.83%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0261	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.232214	-0.93%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0094	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.226898	-0.19%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0070	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.236037	-0.74%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0281	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.242405	-1.33%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0106	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.242043	-1.40%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0486	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.242625	-0.75%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0213	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.241606	-0.68%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0057	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.271407	-2.38%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1158	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.288107	-2.80%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1380	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.286117	-2.78%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2086	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.306012	-3.77%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2153	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.314307	-4.16%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2262	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.31646	-4.71%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2182	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.29476	-3.25%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1484	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.299567	-3.30%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1600	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.307837	-3.38%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1644	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.320129	-3.50%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.1989	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.323	-3.25%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1878	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.324823	-3.10%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1946	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.333361	-3.43%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2142	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.323835	-3.20%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1871	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.339625	-2.87%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1912	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.333094	-2.32%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1303	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.327464	-1.94%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1705	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.334136	-2.29%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1512	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.332562	-2.23%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1590	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.348124	-2.60%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2216	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.35555	-2.58%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2290	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.370694	-1.91%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2352	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.365404	-2.53%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2484	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.377654	-1.90%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2700	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.391323	-1.52%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2958	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.395042	-1.37%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2583	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.380512	-1.63%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2259	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.386218	-2.10%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2517	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.370012	-1.45%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1814	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.379086	-1.03%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2028	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.371072	-1.05%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0707	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.358101	-1.05%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0101	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.35642	-1.76%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0449	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.359389	-1.89%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0341	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.358888	-1.97%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0353	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.355489	-2.69%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0372	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.359609	-3.08%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1366	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.373007	-3.09%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1514	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.3702	-2.17%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1132	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.366712	-1.08%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0661	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.363862	-1.51%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0813	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.366071	-1.69%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0823	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.369689	-1.27%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0490	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.367867	-1.20%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0616	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.359788	-1.87%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0430	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.358748	-2.09%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0704	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.345156	-2.53%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0705	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.358117	-1.91%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0613	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.373263	-1.73%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.0967	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.366948	-2.58%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0631	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.353151	-2.15%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0195	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.339766	-1.86%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0222	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.347435	-2.13%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0170	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.33235	-2.79%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0237	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.344454	-2.64%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0362	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.348632	-2.81%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0257	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.342459	-3.08%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0110	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.340377	-3.27%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0328	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.348234	-3.59%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0263	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.328845	-3.75%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0068	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.331057	-3.99%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0267	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.333821	-4.29%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0843	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.334163	-4.46%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0723	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.327939	-4.25%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0462	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.336198	-4.43%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0493	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.33695	-4.38%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0281	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.333098	-3.95%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0159	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.328154	-3.43%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0161	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.335333	-3.11%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0306	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.339073	-3.04%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0786	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.361373	-2.33%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0967	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.382517	-1.64%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.1078	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.391907	-2.05%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1479	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.38737	-1.57%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1362	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.371176	-1.96%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1284	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.382564	-1.53%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1375	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.398564	-1.19%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1632	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.386294	-0.80%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1342	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.391075	-0.59%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.1060	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.395932	-0.22%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0662	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.399073	-0.41%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0999	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.38497	-0.50%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1242	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.376	-0.56%	0.355	-6.11%	0.1011	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.371879	-0.38%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0814	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.366606	-0.41%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0709	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.363546	-0.40%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0521	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.362354	-0.23%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0510	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.362034	-0.35%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.357225	-0.52%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0762	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.360532	-0.32%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0776	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.369374	-0.41%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0821	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.381332	-0.80%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0365	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.385976	-1.18%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0151	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.373686	-0.67%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0650	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.37329	-0.67%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0483	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.368227	-0.77%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0822	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.381178	-0.86%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0910	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.380073	-0.84%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.1135	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.387045	-1.26%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0937	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.389774	-1.57%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0832	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.364331	-0.48%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0567	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.367416	-0.42%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.375394	-0.96%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0211	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.38314	-1.42%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0158	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.386122	-1.60%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0176	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.378478	-1.12%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0026	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.380583	-1.10%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0019	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.388919	-1.54%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.391894	-1.84%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0304	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.39092	-1.78%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0578	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.411168	-2.84%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0968	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.397575	-2.17%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0842	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.394523	-1.41%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1172	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.388948	-1.32%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0981	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.394896	-1.88%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0952	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.401431	-2.26%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0967	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.403358	-2.17%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.1003	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.412748	-2.13%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1156	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.417898	-2.78%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0849	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.393392	-0.03%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1566	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.45082	-3.60%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1201	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.45501	-3.82%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.1014	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.460812	-3.76%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0816	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.449144	-2.74%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0560	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.453995	-2.62%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0464	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.486499	-3.78%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0122	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.489693	-3.72%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0023	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.512635	-4.36%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0294	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.541425	-5.13%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0250	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.536239	-5.16%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0270	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.534647	-4.90%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0565	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.552721	-5.49%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0629	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.554585	-5.87%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0860	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.548095	-5.47%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0551	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.559135	-5.92%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0660	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.521992	-5.49%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0262	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.568873	-6.80%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0724	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.547701	-6.23%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0071	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.564734	-6.17%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0364	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.580128	-6.26%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0618	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.547496	-5.94%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0448	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.546527	-5.45%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0381	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.556273	-6.07%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0334	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.522623	-5.80%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0181	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.536478	-5.72%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0112	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.548242	-5.75%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.546238	-5.80%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0148	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.552815	-5.82%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0111	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.540111	-4.79%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0854	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.566745	-5.35%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1168	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.535703	-4.27%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1647	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.519477	-4.47%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1365	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.508008	-4.53%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1109	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.503787	-4.66%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.1029	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.484573	-4.29%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1057	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.472567	-4.49%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1146	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.491988	-4.93%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0863	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.473392	-3.63%	0.536	+9.12%	0.0970	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.481605	-3.64%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1534	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.468698	-3.32%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1818	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.457775	-3.71%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2151	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.433523	-2.36%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2748	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.433181	-2.35%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2836	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.433123	-2.47%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2652	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.431818	-2.50%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3090	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.428078	-2.44%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2591	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.439412	-2.70%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2738	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.431236	-2.74%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2321	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.419629	-2.57%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2353	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.427782	-3.02%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2488	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.4445	-3.56%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1710	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.44538	-3.58%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1250	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.459454	-3.86%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1612	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.480775	-4.15%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1312	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.472282	-4.05%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1786	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.483992	-4.39%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.2116	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.474255	-3.94%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2206	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.478868	-3.94%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2249	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.472469	-4.11%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1748	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.455696	-3.74%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2306	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.461803	-3.83%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1322	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.460019	-3.72%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1390	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.476962	-3.78%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1289	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.484313	-3.68%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1326	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.468881	-3.46%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.1108	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.454756	-3.22%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0671	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.467363	-3.39%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1301	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.475882	-3.41%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0847	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.486842	-3.55%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0693	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.492233	-3.58%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0346	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.491548	-3.60%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0125	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.490232	-3.55%	0.444	-12.65%	0.0967	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.486736	-3.47%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0829	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.47362	-3.09%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0738	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.472738	-2.79%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1258	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.482052	-3.21%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1498	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.491726	-3.17%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1129	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.513378	-3.95%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0930	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.521672	-4.38%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0721	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.507075	-4.24%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0445	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.525991	-4.60%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0323	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.543294	-5.15%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0182	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.528895	-4.87%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0022	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.537201	-5.31%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0809	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.551689	-5.47%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0655	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.560905	-5.44%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0596	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.591008	-5.73%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0307	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.591888	-5.68%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0129	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.605756	-6.92%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0167	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.635327	-8.81%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.0924	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.554529	-7.38%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0380	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.512092	-4.32%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1625	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.497014	-4.17%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1471	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.515194	-3.27%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1887	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.561533	-3.19%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1602	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.559821	-3.20%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2152	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.561264	-3.27%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1612	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.546723	-3.27%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1788	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.569494	-3.44%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1838	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.572619	-3.19%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2349	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.579133	-3.53%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2554	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.591407	-3.75%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2959	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.581255	-4.05%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2525	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.578153	-4.18%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2437	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.568038	-4.41%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2835	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.556178	-4.56%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2834	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.560626	-4.36%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2786	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.57006	-4.72%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2607	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.56997	-4.50%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2199	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.562405	-4.12%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1946	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.55563	-3.83%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1968	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.573046	-3.91%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2072	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.584632	-3.91%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2148	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.604096	-3.94%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1486	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.630046	-4.25%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1321	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.604783	-4.18%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1606	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.557954	-3.83%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1868	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.53867	-4.44%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2776	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.643581	-5.06%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2574	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.64952	-5.31%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3213	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.642837	-5.39%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1855	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.675013	-5.88%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0259	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.672497	-5.90%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0190	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.657564	-5.20%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0144	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.680506	-5.39%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0171	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.672656	-5.58%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0214	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.66151	-5.92%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0163	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.630123	-5.76%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0336	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.629638	-5.98%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0083	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.632749	-6.09%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0770	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.62943	-6.13%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1089	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.637303	-6.32%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1043	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.614853	-6.47%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0521	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.655777	-6.07%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0512	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.656008	-6.22%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0720	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.653372	-6.53%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0417	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.701861	-6.47%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0870	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.710889	-6.57%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1029	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.703704	-6.90%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0695	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.735372	-7.13%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.0930	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.