STEEM

Steem · native · gru_s5

token id: #558
symbol: STEEM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-04-22
predictions: 4,902

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1109

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0305

actual -0.0149

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.055155	0.050609	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-20	oos	0.054815	0.050626	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.052715	0.048828	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-18	oos	0.05174	0.048093	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-17	oos	0.0532	0.049463	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-16	oos	0.054185	0.050544	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-15	oos	0.05433	0.050757	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-14	oos	0.05566	0.051996	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-13	oos	0.05768	0.053726	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-12	oos	0.05655	0.052544	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-11	oos	0.06134	0.0566	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.061395	0.056777	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.061355	0.057083	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.060125	0.055866	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-07	oos	0.05929	0.05489	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-06	oos	0.06176	0.057353	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-05	oos	0.063135	0.058304	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-04	oos	0.06396	0.058963	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-03	oos	0.063865	0.059123	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.06368	0.058739	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-01	oos	0.06397	0.059034	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.06506	0.060505	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.06396	0.059711	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-28	oos	0.06367	0.059587	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.06753	0.063563	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.069305	0.065308	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-25	oos	0.06483	0.061159	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-24	oos	0.06295	0.059332	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.05789	0.054531	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.05947	0.056107	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.058035	0.055041	-5.16%	0.055155	-4.96%	0.0313	✓	0.64
2026-09-20	oos	0.05707	0.054071	-5.26%	0.054815	-3.95%	0.0015	✓	0.70
2026-09-19	oos	0.05797	0.055037	-5.06%	0.052715	-9.07%	0.0482	✓	0.69
2026-09-18	oos	0.056635	0.053784	-5.03%	0.05174	-8.64%	0.0483	✓	0.69
2026-09-17	oos	0.05423	0.051501	-5.03%	0.0532	-1.90%	0.0113	✓	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.05836	0.055007	-5.75%	0.054185	-7.15%	0.0616	✓	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.057465	0.054128	-5.81%	0.05433	-5.46%	0.0554	✓	0.71
2026-09-14	oos	0.05571	0.052764	-5.29%	0.05566	-0.09%	0.0208	✓	0.77
2026-09-13	oos	0.06011	0.055962	-6.90%	0.05768	-4.04%	0.0339	✓	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.04948	0.047188	-4.63%	0.05655	+14.29%	0.1323	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.044845	0.043283	-3.48%	0.06134	+36.78%	0.2793	✗	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.04404	0.042733	-2.97%	0.061395	+39.41%	0.2936	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.04676	0.045497	-2.70%	0.061355	+31.21%	0.2551	✗	0.83
2026-09-08	oos	0.04577	0.044698	-2.34%	0.060125	+31.36%	0.2626	✗	0.84
2026-09-07	oos	0.04536	0.04464	-1.59%	0.05929	+30.71%	0.2401	✗	0.85
2026-09-06	oos	0.04602	0.045379	-1.39%	0.06176	+34.20%	0.2542	✗	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.04626	0.045783	-1.03%	0.063135	+36.48%	0.2600	✗	0.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.044815	0.04479	-0.06%	0.06396	+42.72%	0.2867	✗	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.044555	0.044827	+0.61%	0.063865	+43.34%	0.3179	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.04263	0.042357	-0.64%	0.06368	+49.38%	0.3272	✗	0.91
2026-09-01	oos	0.042745	0.042523	-0.52%	0.06397	+49.65%	0.3249	✗	0.91
2026-08-31	oos	0.04312	0.043174	+0.13%	0.06506	+50.88%	0.3580	✓	0.85
2026-08-30	oos	0.0429	0.042975	+0.17%	0.06396	+49.09%	0.3332	✓	0.87
2026-08-29	oos	0.04576	0.045853	+0.20%	0.06367	+39.14%	0.2731	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	0.04582	0.046316	+1.08%	0.06753	+47.38%	0.3077	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	0.04507	0.046677	+3.56%	0.069305	+53.77%	0.3508	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.045655	0.046986	+2.92%	0.06483	+42.00%	0.2663	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.04334	0.045052	+3.95%	0.06295	+45.25%	0.2705	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.04452	0.04644	+4.31%	0.05789	+30.03%	0.1623	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.04415	0.045616	+3.32%	0.05947	+34.70%	0.1733	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.04412	0.045453	+3.02%	0.058035	+31.54%	0.1403	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.04245	0.04439	+4.57%	0.05707	+34.44%	0.2189	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.03886	0.039342	+1.24%	0.05797	+49.18%	0.2939	✓	0.88
2026-08-19	oos	0.03661	0.036357	-0.69%	0.056635	+54.70%	0.3096	✗	0.87
2026-08-18	oos	0.034745	0.033921	-2.37%	0.05423	+56.08%	0.3240	✗	0.88
2026-08-17	oos	0.034945	0.0341	-2.42%	0.05836	+67.01%	0.3923	✗	0.87
2026-08-16	oos	0.03495	0.033938	-2.90%	0.057465	+64.42%	0.3620	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.03522	0.034215	-2.85%	0.05571	+58.18%	0.2953	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.035005	0.034046	-2.74%	0.06011	+71.72%	0.3910	✗	0.89
2026-08-13	oos	0.03621	0.035124	-3.00%	0.04948	+36.65%	0.1675	✗	0.89
2026-08-12	oos	0.035705	0.03464	-2.98%	0.044845	+25.60%	0.0841	✗	0.88
2026-08-11	oos	0.03619	0.035123	-2.95%	0.04404	+21.69%	0.0620	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.036795	0.035708	-2.95%	0.04676	+27.08%	0.0910	✗	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.03712	0.036039	-2.91%	0.04577	+23.30%	0.0705	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.036595	0.035506	-2.98%	0.04536	+23.95%	0.0704	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.036145	0.035129	-2.81%	0.04602	+27.32%	0.0812	✗	0.88
2026-08-06	oos	0.03644	0.035301	-3.13%	0.04626	+26.95%	0.0784	✗	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.036075	0.034952	-3.11%	0.044815	+24.23%	0.0616	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.03611	0.03497	-3.16%	0.044555	+23.39%	0.0301	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.03682	0.035529	-3.51%	0.04263	+15.78%	0.0068	✓	0.89
2026-08-02	oos	0.03635	0.035092	-3.46%	0.042745	+17.59%	0.0134	✓	0.93
2026-08-01	oos	0.03682	0.03544	-3.75%	0.04312	+17.11%	0.0134	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.03668	0.035297	-3.77%	0.0429	+16.96%	0.0027	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.03654	0.035247	-3.54%	0.04576	+25.23%	0.0785	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.03593	0.03461	-3.67%	0.04582	+27.53%	0.0930	✗	0.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.037405	0.036046	-3.63%	0.04507	+20.49%	0.0066	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.0374	0.036052	-3.60%	0.045655	+22.07%	0.0321	✓	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.04009	0.038581	-3.76%	0.04334	+8.11%	0.0497	✓	0.90
2026-07-25	oos	0.03937	0.03793	-3.66%	0.04452	+13.08%	0.0255	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.039155	0.03782	-3.41%	0.04415	+12.76%	0.0180	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.039225	0.037937	-3.28%	0.04412	+12.48%	0.0017	✓	0.90
2026-07-22	oos	0.03986	0.038579	-3.21%	0.04245	+6.50%	0.0568	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.04037	0.039102	-3.14%	0.03886	-3.74%	0.0897	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.03972	0.038452	-3.19%	0.03661	-7.83%	0.1023	✓	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.03926	0.037989	-3.24%	0.034745	-11.50%	0.0893	✓	0.87
2026-07-18	oos	0.039965	0.03868	-3.22%	0.034945	-12.56%	0.0972	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.040115	0.038795	-3.29%	0.03495	-12.88%	0.0895	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.03988	0.038576	-3.27%	0.03522	-11.69%	0.0805	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.04051	0.039211	-3.21%	0.035005	-13.59%	0.0894	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.04028	0.039011	-3.15%	0.03621	-10.10%	0.0529	✓	0.89
2026-07-13	oos	0.03952	0.038246	-3.22%	0.035705	-9.65%	0.0854	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.040685	0.039324	-3.35%	0.03619	-11.05%	0.0801	✓	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	0.041745	0.040229	-3.63%	0.036795	-11.86%	0.0911	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.04083	0.039354	-3.61%	0.03712	-9.09%	0.0680	✓	0.86
2026-07-09	oos	0.04022	0.038791	-3.55%	0.036595	-9.01%	0.0814	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.03999	0.038594	-3.49%	0.036145	-9.61%	0.1010	✓	0.85
2026-07-07	oos	0.040365	0.038949	-3.51%	0.03644	-9.72%	0.0792	✓	0.85
2026-07-06	oos	0.04201	0.040476	-3.65%	0.036075	-14.13%	0.1231	✓	0.85
2026-07-05	oos	0.0425	0.040872	-3.83%	0.03611	-15.04%	0.1301	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.042585	0.040954	-3.83%	0.03682	-13.54%	0.1115	✓	0.85
2026-07-03	oos	0.04211	0.040485	-3.86%	0.03635	-13.68%	0.1207	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.04088	0.039301	-3.86%	0.03682	-9.93%	0.0822	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.04059	0.03902	-3.87%	0.03668	-9.63%	0.1007	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.03974	0.038283	-3.67%	0.03654	-8.05%	0.1309	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.04106	0.039428	-3.98%	0.03593	-12.49%	0.1430	✓	0.83
2026-06-28	oos	0.04065	0.039094	-3.83%	0.037405	-7.98%	0.1016	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	0.0402	0.038682	-3.78%	0.0374	-6.97%	0.0834	✓	0.82
2026-06-26	oos	0.03971	0.038294	-3.57%	0.04009	+0.96%	0.0235	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.03852	0.037299	-3.17%	0.03937	+2.21%	0.0059	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.0397	0.038379	-3.33%	0.039155	-1.37%	0.0202	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.04059	0.039227	-3.36%	0.039225	-3.36%	0.0312	✓	0.83
2026-06-22	oos	0.04213	0.040699	-3.40%	0.03986	-5.39%	0.0474	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.042895	0.041423	-3.43%	0.04037	-5.89%	0.0668	✓	0.81
2026-06-20	oos	0.04333	0.04187	-3.37%	0.03972	-8.33%	0.0648	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.042835	0.041465	-3.20%	0.03926	-8.35%	0.0695	✓	0.79
2026-06-18	oos	0.04292	0.041586	-3.11%	0.039965	-6.88%	0.0636	✓	0.79
2026-06-17	oos	0.04516	0.04368	-3.28%	0.040115	-11.17%	0.0784	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.04539	0.043945	-3.18%	0.03988	-12.14%	0.0738	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.04584	0.044381	-3.18%	0.04051	-11.63%	0.0712	✓	0.84
2026-06-14	oos	0.04489	0.043497	-3.10%	0.04028	-10.27%	0.0680	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.04466	0.043287	-3.07%	0.03952	-11.51%	0.0636	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.04422	0.0429	-2.99%	0.040685	-7.99%	0.0555	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.04449	0.043119	-3.08%	0.041745	-6.17%	0.0350	✓	0.81
2026-06-10	oos	0.04313	0.041939	-2.76%	0.04083	-5.33%	0.0609	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.04445	0.043163	-2.90%	0.04022	-9.52%	0.0897	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.04614	0.044647	-3.24%	0.03999	-13.33%	0.0998	✓	0.79
2026-06-07	oos	0.04556	0.044104	-3.20%	0.040365	-11.40%	0.0888	✓	0.77
2026-06-06	oos	0.04468	0.043443	-2.77%	0.04201	-5.98%	0.0709	✓	0.74
2026-06-05	oos	0.04436	0.04315	-2.73%	0.0425	-4.19%	0.0435	✓	0.69
2026-06-04	oos	0.04793	0.046218	-3.57%	0.042585	-11.15%	0.0748	✓	0.63
2026-06-03	oos	0.04904	0.047192	-3.77%	0.04211	-14.13%	0.0983	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.04824	0.046348	-3.92%	0.04088	-15.26%	0.0687	✓	0.70
2026-06-01	oos	0.05192	0.049548	-4.57%	0.04059	-21.82%	0.0889	✓	0.64
2026-05-31	oos	0.05316	0.05056	-4.89%	0.03974	-25.24%	0.0932	✓	0.65
2026-05-30	oos	0.05059	0.048227	-4.67%	0.04106	-18.84%	0.0473	✓	0.56
2026-05-29	oos	0.05057	0.048275	-4.54%	0.04065	-19.62%	0.0698	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.051145	0.048761	-4.66%	0.0402	-21.40%	0.1017	✓	0.45
2026-05-27	oos	0.05224	0.049798	-4.67%	0.03971	-23.99%	0.0964	✓	0.61
2026-05-26	oos	0.05245	0.050228	-4.24%	0.03852	-26.56%	0.1352	✓	0.54
2026-05-25	oos	0.05441	0.052452	-3.60%	0.0397	-27.04%	0.1145	✓	0.69
2026-05-24	oos	0.05319	0.051355	-3.45%	0.04059	-23.69%	0.0985	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.05515	0.05305	-3.81%	0.04213	-23.61%	0.1043	✓	0.70
2026-05-22	oos	0.05186	0.049838	-3.90%	0.042895	-17.29%	0.0300	✓	0.68
2026-05-21	oos	0.054185	0.052267	-3.54%	0.04333	-20.03%	0.0625	✓	0.66
2026-05-20	oos	0.05406	0.052152	-3.53%	0.042835	-20.76%	0.0662	✓	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.05444	0.05241	-3.73%	0.04292	-21.16%	0.0716	✓	0.64
2026-05-18	oos	0.05526	0.053206	-3.72%	0.04516	-18.28%	0.0564	✓	0.61
2026-05-17	oos	0.05578	0.053744	-3.65%	0.04539	-18.63%	0.0686	✓	0.61
2026-05-16	oos	0.057255	0.05518	-3.62%	0.04584	-19.94%	0.0865	✓	0.60
2026-05-15	oos	0.05763	0.055734	-3.29%	0.04489	-22.11%	0.1028	✓	0.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.059	0.057409	-2.70%	0.04466	-24.31%	0.1103	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.058195	0.056365	-3.14%	0.04422	-24.01%	0.1054	✓	0.62
2026-05-12	oos	0.05911	0.057559	-2.62%	0.04449	-24.73%	0.1139	✓	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.06026	0.058949	-2.18%	0.04313	-28.43%	0.1444	✓	0.59
2026-05-10	oos	0.06032	0.059129	-1.97%	0.04445	-26.31%	0.1115	✓	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.05928	0.057872	-2.37%	0.04614	-22.17%	0.0786	✓	0.60
2026-05-08	oos	0.06016	0.058499	-2.76%	0.04556	-24.27%	0.1102	✓	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.05847	0.056897	-2.69%	0.04468	-23.58%	0.0831	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.05928	0.058001	-2.16%	0.04436	-25.17%	0.0873	✓	0.63
2026-05-05	oos	0.06141	0.059453	-3.19%	0.04793	-21.95%	0.0447	✓	0.72
2026-05-04	oos	0.05632	0.054592	-3.07%	0.04904	-12.93%	0.0480	✗	0.70
2026-05-03	oos	0.05611	0.054105	-3.57%	0.04824	-14.03%	0.0011	✓	0.69
2026-05-02	oos	0.05647	0.054497	-3.49%	0.05192	-8.06%	0.0189	✓	0.69
2026-05-01	oos	0.05674	0.054717	-3.57%	0.05316	-6.31%	0.0129	✓	0.68
2026-04-30	oos	0.05608	0.053738	-4.18%	0.05059	-9.79%	0.0367	✓	0.70
2026-04-29	oos	0.05712	0.054569	-4.47%	0.05057	-11.47%	0.0536	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.05747	0.054928	-4.42%	0.051145	-11.01%	0.0441	✓	0.73
2026-04-27	oos	0.05707	0.054736	-4.09%	0.05224	-8.46%	0.0174	✓	0.73
2026-04-26	oos	0.058385	0.056173	-3.79%	0.05245	-10.17%	0.0418	✓	0.73
2026-04-25	oos	0.05857	0.056139	-4.15%	0.05441	-7.10%	0.0275	✓	0.73
2026-04-24	oos	0.0585	0.056004	-4.27%	0.05319	-9.08%	0.0469	✓	0.74
2026-04-23	oos	0.05819	0.05596	-3.83%	0.05515	-5.22%	0.0009	✓	0.74
2026-04-22	oos	0.0583	0.055927	-4.07%	0.05186	-11.05%	0.0490	✓	0.74
2026-04-21	oos	0.05854	0.055599	-5.02%	0.054185	-7.44%	0.0373	✓	0.74
2026-04-20	oos	0.05884	0.056033	-4.77%	0.05406	-8.12%	0.0515	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	0.057255	0.05434	-5.09%	0.05444	-4.92%	0.0276	✓	0.75
2026-04-18	oos	0.05909	0.056678	-4.08%	0.05526	-6.48%	0.0372	✓	0.75
2026-04-17	oos	0.060225	0.058299	-3.20%	0.05578	-7.38%	0.0472	✓	0.75
2026-04-16	oos	0.05955	0.057129	-4.06%	0.057255	-3.85%	0.0269	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	0.057685	0.055169	-4.36%	0.05763	-0.10%	0.0022	✓	0.75
2026-04-14	oos	0.05739	0.054772	-4.56%	0.059	+2.81%	0.0068	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	0.05874	0.055996	-4.67%	0.058195	-0.93%	0.0091	✓	0.75
2026-04-12	oos	0.05736	0.054205	-5.50%	0.05911	+3.05%	0.0147	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	0.057815	0.055056	-4.77%	0.06026	+4.23%	0.0020	✓	0.79
2026-04-10	oos	0.05853	0.055691	-4.85%	0.06032	+3.06%	0.0137	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	0.05886	0.055849	-5.12%	0.05928	+0.71%	0.0324	✓	0.79
2026-04-08	oos	0.058485	0.05559	-4.95%	0.06016	+2.86%	0.0164	✓	0.79
2026-04-07	oos	0.06026	0.05744	-4.68%	0.05847	-2.97%	0.0665	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	0.05834	0.055399	-5.04%	0.05928	+1.61%	0.0643	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	0.05847	0.055639	-4.84%	0.06141	+5.03%	0.0265	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	0.05871	0.05574	-5.06%	0.05632	-4.07%	0.1265	✓	0.80
2026-04-03	oos	0.05933	0.056345	-5.03%	0.05611	-5.43%	0.1324	✓	0.80
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.054511	-4.70%	0.05647	-1.28%	0.0950	✓	0.80
2026-04-01	oos	0.05917	0.05642	-4.65%	0.05674	-4.11%	0.1052	✓	0.80
2026-03-31	oos	0.05845	0.055858	-4.43%	0.05608	-4.05%	0.0858	✓	0.80
2026-03-30	oos	0.05936	0.056753	-4.39%	0.05712	-3.77%	0.0968	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	0.05845	0.055909	-4.35%	0.05747	-1.68%	0.0895	✓	0.80
2026-03-28	oos	0.05739	0.055091	-4.01%	0.05707	-0.56%	0.0880	✓	0.80
2026-03-27	oos	0.05606	0.054037	-3.61%	0.058385	+4.15%	0.0589	✓	0.80
2026-03-26	oos	0.05837	0.056417	-3.35%	0.05857	+0.34%	0.0599	✓	0.80
2026-03-25	oos	0.06112	0.059211	-3.12%	0.0585	-4.29%	0.0779	✓	0.79
2026-03-24	oos	0.062585	0.060611	-3.15%	0.05819	-7.02%	0.1240	✓	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	0.05997	0.058268	-2.84%	0.0583	-2.78%	0.0783	✓	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	0.05921	0.057476	-2.93%	0.05854	-1.13%	0.0776	✓	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.06062	0.058946	-2.76%	0.05884	-2.94%	0.0798	✓	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.06216	0.060561	-2.57%	0.057255	-7.89%	0.0933	✓	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.06104	0.059613	-2.34%	0.05909	-3.19%	0.0732	✓	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.065885	0.064083	-2.74%	0.060225	-8.59%	0.1256	✓	0.80
2026-03-17	oos	0.07013	0.068065	-2.94%	0.05955	-15.09%	0.1467	✓	0.79
2026-03-16	oos	0.06463	0.063118	-2.34%	0.057685	-10.75%	0.0895	✓	0.81
2026-03-15	oos	0.06408	0.062625	-2.27%	0.05739	-10.44%	0.1022	✓	0.82
2026-03-14	oos	0.06369	0.062199	-2.34%	0.05874	-7.77%	0.0935	✓	0.82
2026-03-13	oos	0.05895	0.057938	-1.72%	0.05736	-2.70%	0.0078	✓	0.82
2026-03-12	oos	0.0603	0.059145	-1.92%	0.057815	-4.12%	0.0521	✓	0.83
2026-03-11	oos	0.05837	0.057298	-1.84%	0.05853	+0.27%	0.0108	✓	0.82
2026-03-10	oos	0.0595	0.058406	-1.84%	0.05886	-1.08%	0.0135	✓	0.82
2026-03-09	oos	0.0609	0.059685	-2.00%	0.058485	-3.97%	0.0521	✓	0.83
2026-03-08	oos	0.06144	0.060111	-2.16%	0.06026	-1.92%	0.0715	✓	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.0565	0.055715	-1.39%	0.05834	+3.26%	0.0255	✗	0.88
2026-03-06	oos	0.05531	0.054612	-1.26%	0.05847	+5.71%	0.0568	✗	0.87
2026-03-05	oos	0.05819	0.057335	-1.47%	0.05871	+0.89%	0.0687	✗	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.0597	0.058713	-1.65%	0.05933	-0.62%	0.0811	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.0579	0.056925	-1.68%	0.0572	-1.21%	0.0236	✗	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.0607	0.059462	-2.04%	0.05917	-2.52%	0.0043	✓	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.0638	0.061923	-2.94%	0.05845	-8.39%	0.0918	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0564	0.055503	-1.59%	0.05936	+5.25%	0.0705	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.0614	0.06003	-2.23%	0.05845	-4.80%	0.0281	✓	0.99
2026-02-26	oos	0.0793	0.07489	-5.56%	0.05739	-27.63%	0.2500	✓	0.92
2026-02-25	oos	0.059	0.057726	-2.16%	0.05606	-4.98%	0.0063	✓	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.0511	0.050616	-0.95%	0.05837	+14.23%	0.0811	✗	0.87
2026-02-23	oos	0.046	0.045869	-0.28%	0.06112	+32.87%	0.2028	✗	0.86
2026-02-22	oos	0.0487	0.048331	-0.76%	0.062585	+28.51%	0.2228	✗	0.84
2026-02-21	oos	0.0491	0.048669	-0.88%	0.05997	+22.14%	0.1731	✗	0.85
2026-02-20	oos	0.0503	0.049755	-1.08%	0.05921	+17.71%	0.1757	✗	0.85
2026-02-19	oos	0.0511	0.050589	-1.00%	0.06062	+18.63%	0.1566	✗	0.85
2026-02-18	oos	0.0559	0.054743	-2.07%	0.06216	+11.20%	0.0753	✗	0.87
2026-02-17	oos	0.052	0.051168	-1.60%	0.06104	+17.38%	0.1451	✗	0.88
2026-02-16	oos	0.0528	0.051848	-1.80%	0.065885	+24.78%	0.2098	✗	0.88
2026-02-15	oos	0.05245	0.051552	-1.71%	0.07013	+33.71%	0.2446	✗	0.88
2026-02-14	oos	0.05455	0.053337	-2.22%	0.06463	+18.48%	0.1307	✗	0.87
2026-02-13	oos	0.0534	0.052282	-2.09%	0.06408	+20.00%	0.1541	✗	0.87
2026-02-12	oos	0.0517	0.050884	-1.58%	0.06369	+23.19%	0.1608	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0507	0.049915	-1.55%	0.05895	+16.27%	0.1185	✗	0.84
2026-02-10	oos	0.0503	0.049443	-1.70%	0.0603	+19.88%	0.1771	✗	0.87
2026-02-09	oos	0.0526	0.051427	-2.23%	0.05837	+10.97%	0.1254	✗	0.86
2026-02-08	oos	0.0515	0.050484	-1.97%	0.0595	+15.53%	0.1682	✗	0.85
2026-02-07	oos	0.05305	0.051948	-2.08%	0.0609	+14.80%	0.1692	✗	0.86
2026-02-06	oos	0.0523	0.051247	-2.01%	0.06144	+17.48%	0.2388	✗	0.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.0477	0.047916	+0.45%	0.0565	+18.45%	0.1049	✓	0.87
2026-02-04	oos	0.0549	0.053401	-2.73%	0.05531	+0.75%	0.0973	✗	0.90
2026-02-03	oos	0.0559	0.05404	-3.33%	0.05819	+4.10%	0.1320	✗	0.89
2026-02-02	oos	0.0559	0.053782	-3.79%	0.0597	+6.80%	0.1786	✗	0.94
2026-02-01	oos	0.05635	0.054198	-3.82%	0.0579	+2.75%	0.1784	✗	0.95
2026-01-31	oos	0.0561	0.05386	-3.99%	0.0607	+8.20%	0.2558	✗	1.02
2026-01-30	oos	0.06015	0.057399	-4.57%	0.0638	+6.07%	0.3568	✗	1.02
2026-01-29	oos	0.0598	0.057158	-4.42%	0.0564	-5.69%	0.2249	✗	1.02
2026-01-28	oos	0.06475	0.061924	-4.36%	0.0614	-5.17%	0.2925	✗	0.99
2026-01-27	oos	0.066	0.062997	-4.55%	0.0793	+20.15%	0.5115	✗	1.01
2026-01-26	oos	0.0657	0.062719	-4.54%	0.059	-10.20%	0.1988	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.0637	0.060891	-4.41%	0.0511	-19.78%	0.1239	✗	0.99
2026-01-24	oos	0.0656	0.062752	-4.34%	0.046	-29.88%	0.0087	✓	0.99
2026-01-23	oos	0.06565	0.062838	-4.28%	0.0487	-25.82%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.0646	0.061905	-4.17%	0.0491	-23.99%	0.0423	✓	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.06535	0.062588	-4.23%	0.0503	-23.03%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.0637	0.061017	-4.21%	0.0511	-19.78%	0.0921	✗	0.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.0672	0.064438	-4.11%	0.0559	-16.82%	0.1790	✗	0.97
2026-01-18	oos	0.0685	0.065633	-4.19%	0.052	-24.09%	0.0843	✗	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0712	0.068411	-3.92%	0.0528	-25.84%	0.0479	✗	0.95
2026-01-16	oos	0.0718	0.069029	-3.86%	0.05245	-26.95%	0.0380	✓	0.95
2026-01-15	oos	0.071	0.06837	-3.70%	0.05455	-23.17%	0.0740	✗	0.95
2026-01-14	oos	0.07465	0.072196	-3.29%	0.0534	-28.47%	0.0214	✓	0.94
2026-01-13	oos	0.07535	0.072713	-3.50%	0.0517	-31.39%	0.0101	✓	0.96
2026-01-12	oos	0.06985	0.066971	-4.12%	0.0507	-27.42%	0.0055	✓	0.92
2026-01-11	oos	0.0719	0.069015	-4.01%	0.0503	-30.04%	0.0564	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.07405	0.071048	-4.05%	0.0526	-28.97%	0.0597	✓	0.95
2026-01-09	oos	0.07605	0.072948	-4.08%	0.0515	-32.28%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.07755	0.074454	-3.99%	0.05305	-31.59%	0.0718	✓	0.98
2026-01-07	oos	0.0741	0.071379	-3.67%	0.0523	-29.42%	0.0314	✓	1.33
2026-01-06	oos	0.0745	0.071943	-3.43%	0.0477	-35.97%	0.1279	✗	1.35
2026-01-05	oos	0.0732	0.070659	-3.47%	0.0549	-25.00%	0.0867	✗	1.35
2026-01-04	oos	0.0707	0.068147	-3.61%	0.0559	-20.93%	0.0591	✗	1.35
2026-01-03	oos	0.0695	0.067078	-3.48%	0.0559	-19.57%	0.0089	✓	1.35
2026-01-02	oos	0.0678	0.065526	-3.35%	0.05635	-16.89%	0.0604	✗	1.35
2026-01-01	oos	0.0667	0.064466	-3.35%	0.0561	-15.89%	0.0232	✓	1.34
2025-12-31	oos	0.0654	0.063289	-3.23%	0.06015	-8.03%	0.0020	✓	1.34
2025-12-30	oos	0.0689	0.066594	-3.35%	0.0598	-13.21%	0.0481	✓	1.33
2025-12-29	oos	0.0722	0.069486	-3.76%	0.06475	-10.32%	0.1023	✓	1.36
2025-12-28	oos	0.07	0.067497	-3.58%	0.066	-5.71%	0.0416	✓	1.37
2025-12-27	oos	0.0685	0.066176	-3.39%	0.0657	-4.09%	0.0140	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.06445	0.062494	-3.04%	0.0637	-1.16%	0.0303	✓	1.33
2025-12-25	oos	0.0647	0.062715	-3.07%	0.0656	+1.39%	0.0162	✓	1.33
2025-12-24	oos	0.0644	0.062529	-2.90%	0.06565	+1.94%	0.0206	✓	1.33
2025-12-23	oos	0.06405	0.062264	-2.79%	0.0646	+0.86%	0.0060	✓	1.34
2025-12-22	oos	0.06415	0.062496	-2.58%	0.06535	+1.87%	0.0324	✗	1.34
2025-12-21	oos	0.0632	0.061687	-2.39%	0.0637	+0.79%	0.0371	✗	1.34
2025-12-20	oos	0.0645	0.062909	-2.47%	0.0672	+4.19%	0.0023	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.0646	0.062939	-2.57%	0.0685	+6.04%	0.0018	✓	1.36
2025-12-18	oos	0.0611	0.05947	-2.67%	0.0712	+16.53%	0.0360	✗	1.35
2025-12-17	oos	0.06245	0.060729	-2.76%	0.0718	+14.97%	0.0294	✗	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	0.06615	0.064321	-2.77%	0.071	+7.33%	0.0142	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	0.066	0.064186	-2.75%	0.07465	+13.11%	0.0039	✓	1.35
2025-12-14	oos	0.06825	0.066419	-2.68%	0.07535	+10.40%	0.0206	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	0.07075	0.068862	-2.67%	0.06985	-1.27%	0.0005	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	0.0698	0.067994	-2.59%	0.0719	+3.01%	0.0471	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	0.07115	0.069372	-2.50%	0.07405	+4.08%	0.0973	✗	1.35
2025-12-10	oos	0.07295	0.071041	-2.62%	0.07605	+4.25%	0.0908	✗	1.36
2025-12-09	oos	0.0745	0.072527	-2.65%	0.07755	+4.09%	0.0915	✗	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	0.0725	0.070556	-2.68%	0.0741	+2.21%	0.0398	✗	1.34
2025-12-07	oos	0.0723	0.070366	-2.67%	0.0745	+3.04%	0.0087	✓	1.34
2025-12-06	oos	0.07495	0.072855	-2.79%	0.0732	-2.33%	0.0636	✓	1.36
2025-12-05	oos	0.0741	0.072129	-2.66%	0.0707	-4.59%	0.0523	✓	1.36
2025-12-04	oos	0.07555	0.073556	-2.64%	0.0695	-8.01%	0.0342	✓	1.38
2025-12-03	oos	0.0772	0.075237	-2.54%	0.0678	-12.18%	0.0515	✓	1.38
2025-12-02	oos	0.0759	0.074024	-2.47%	0.0667	-12.12%	0.0646	✓	1.39
2025-12-01	oos	0.0728	0.071183	-2.22%	0.0654	-10.16%	0.1049	✓	1.44
2025-11-30	oos	0.0765	0.074796	-2.23%	0.0689	-9.93%	0.0499	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.0779	0.076196	-2.19%	0.0722	-7.32%	0.0067	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.0773	0.075652	-2.13%	0.07	-9.44%	0.0287	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.0784	0.076673	-2.20%	0.0685	-12.63%	0.0560	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.07625	0.074608	-2.15%	0.06445	-15.48%	0.0953	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.0766	0.074855	-2.28%	0.0647	-15.54%	0.1432	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.0744	0.072734	-2.24%	0.0644	-13.44%	0.1105	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.0723	0.070785	-2.09%	0.06405	-11.41%	0.1106	✓	1.49
2025-11-22	oos	0.0716	0.070249	-1.89%	0.06415	-10.41%	0.1583	✓	1.51
2025-11-21	oos	0.07155	0.07023	-1.84%	0.0632	-11.67%	0.1673	✓	1.50
2025-11-20	oos	0.0737	0.072248	-1.97%	0.0645	-12.48%	0.1441	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.0766	0.074767	-2.39%	0.0646	-15.67%	0.0870	✓	1.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.0769	0.075026	-2.44%	0.0611	-20.55%	0.0730	✓	1.58
2025-11-17	oos	0.0759	0.074175	-2.27%	0.06245	-17.72%	0.0667	✓	1.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.077	0.075154	-2.40%	0.06615	-14.09%	0.0160	✓	1.60
2025-11-15	oos	0.07925	0.077211	-2.57%	0.066	-16.72%	0.0040	✓	1.60
2025-11-14	oos	0.07825	0.076341	-2.44%	0.06825	-12.78%	0.0009	✓	1.60
2025-11-13	oos	0.07785	0.075961	-2.43%	0.07075	-9.12%	0.1008	✗	1.74
2025-11-12	oos	0.0851	0.082681	-2.84%	0.0698	-17.98%	0.0329	✗	1.71
2025-11-11	oos	0.0839	0.081543	-2.81%	0.07115	-15.20%	0.0484	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	0.0852	0.082847	-2.76%	0.07295	-14.38%	0.1166	✗	1.73
2025-11-09	oos	0.08535	0.082874	-2.90%	0.0745	-12.71%	0.1058	✗	1.74
2025-11-08	oos	0.08555	0.082899	-3.10%	0.0725	-15.25%	0.0803	✗	1.78
2025-11-07	oos	0.0872	0.084268	-3.36%	0.0723	-17.09%	0.0783	✗	1.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.07805	0.075704	-3.01%	0.07495	-3.97%	0.2035	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.077	0.074723	-2.96%	0.0741	-3.77%	0.2515	✗	1.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.07335	0.071392	-2.67%	0.07555	+3.00%	0.2235	✗	1.72
2025-11-03	oos	0.0765	0.074361	-2.80%	0.0772	+0.92%	0.2722	✗	1.79
2025-11-02	oos	0.0856	0.083154	-2.86%	0.0759	-11.33%	0.2420	✗	1.74
2025-11-01	oos	0.08575	0.083327	-2.83%	0.0728	-15.10%	0.2912	✗	1.75
2025-10-31	oos	0.08415	0.081794	-2.80%	0.0765	-9.09%	0.2687	✗	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.0826	0.080293	-2.79%	0.0779	-5.69%	0.2764	✗	1.74
2025-10-29	oos	0.08805	0.085497	-2.90%	0.0773	-12.21%	0.2273	✗	1.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.088	0.085601	-2.73%	0.0784	-10.91%	0.2868	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.0911	0.088392	-2.97%	0.07625	-16.30%	0.2608	✗	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.09295	0.089988	-3.19%	0.0766	-17.59%	0.3166	✗	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.0902	0.087193	-3.33%	0.0744	-17.52%	0.2600	✗	1.78
2025-10-24	oos	0.0905	0.087325	-3.51%	0.0723	-20.11%	0.2507	✗	1.79
2025-10-23	oos	0.08985	0.086485	-3.75%	0.0716	-20.31%	0.2799	✗	1.79
2025-10-22	oos	0.09025	0.08685	-3.77%	0.07155	-20.72%	0.2322	✗	1.81
2025-10-21	oos	0.0916	0.088028	-3.90%	0.0737	-19.54%	0.2309	✗	1.82
2025-10-20	oos	0.09385	0.089971	-4.13%	0.0766	-18.38%	0.1885	✗	1.84
2025-10-19	oos	0.09405	0.090164	-4.13%	0.0769	-18.23%	0.1303	✗	1.85
2025-10-18	oos	0.09235	0.0886	-4.06%	0.0759	-17.81%	0.1263	✗	1.85
2025-10-17	oos	0.09185	0.088265	-3.90%	0.077	-16.17%	0.0896	✗	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.0938	0.090204	-3.83%	0.07925	-15.51%	0.1009	✗	1.85
2025-10-15	oos	0.0974	0.093957	-3.54%	0.07825	-19.66%	0.1112	✗	1.85
2025-10-14	oos	0.1006	0.097419	-3.16%	0.07785	-22.61%	0.0104	✓	1.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.1041	0.101192	-2.79%	0.0851	-18.25%	0.0608	✗	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.0988	0.096253	-2.58%	0.0839	-15.08%	0.0646	✗	1.82
2025-10-11	oos	0.0914	0.088903	-2.73%	0.0852	-6.78%	0.0372	✗	1.80
2025-10-10	oos	0.0898	0.087762	-2.27%	0.08535	-4.96%	0.1127	✗	1.84
2025-10-09	oos	0.11885	0.11688	-1.66%	0.08555	-28.02%	0.0773	✓	1.35
2025-10-08	oos	0.12145	0.119816	-1.35%	0.0872	-28.20%	0.0775	✓	1.35
2025-10-07	oos	0.11815	0.116261	-1.60%	0.07805	-33.94%	0.1633	✓	1.30
2025-10-06	oos	0.1242	0.122923	-1.03%	0.077	-38.00%	0.2331	✓	1.28
2025-10-05	oos	0.12215	0.120683	-1.20%	0.07335	-39.95%	0.2458	✓	1.28
2025-10-04	oos	0.12205	0.12033	-1.41%	0.0765	-37.32%	0.2757	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.12595	0.123833	-1.68%	0.0856	-32.04%	0.2403	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1248	0.122205	-2.08%	0.08575	-31.29%	0.2371	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.12445	0.121256	-2.57%	0.08415	-32.38%	0.2617	✓	1.30
2025-09-30	oos	0.1172	0.113695	-2.99%	0.0826	-29.52%	0.2534	✓	1.28
2025-09-29	oos	0.11775	0.114144	-3.06%	0.08805	-25.22%	0.2082	✓	1.33
2025-09-28	oos	0.1185	0.114449	-3.42%	0.088	-25.74%	0.2715	✓	1.38
2025-09-27	oos	0.1174	0.113128	-3.64%	0.0911	-22.40%	0.2717	✓	1.40
2025-09-26	oos	0.11805	0.113655	-3.72%	0.09295	-21.26%	0.2621	✓	1.41
2025-09-25	oos	0.1149	0.110686	-3.67%	0.0902	-21.50%	0.2382	✓	1.41
2025-09-24	oos	0.12285	0.118239	-3.75%	0.0905	-26.33%	0.2389	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.12205	0.117472	-3.75%	0.08985	-26.38%	0.2443	✓	1.39
2025-09-22	oos	0.12175	0.117218	-3.72%	0.09025	-25.87%	0.1971	✓	1.38
2025-09-21	oos	0.1298	0.124577	-4.02%	0.0916	-29.43%	0.2244	✓	1.34
2025-09-20	oos	0.1324	0.126676	-4.32%	0.09385	-29.12%	0.2367	✓	1.38
2025-09-19	oos	0.13165	0.1259	-4.37%	0.09405	-28.56%	0.2052	✓	1.38
2025-09-18	oos	0.1366	0.130567	-4.42%	0.09235	-32.39%	0.2240	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.1358	0.12984	-4.39%	0.09185	-32.36%	0.2211	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.