STEEM

Steem · native · gru_s5

token id: #558
symbol: STEEM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-04-22
predictions: 4,902

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0226

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0010

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.055155	0.054829	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-20	oos	0.054815	0.054513	-0.55%	0.055155	+0.62%	0.0137	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.052715	0.052528	-0.36%	0.054815	+3.98%	0.0337	✗	0.67
2026-10-18	oos	0.05174	0.051592	-0.29%	0.052715	+1.88%	0.0229	✗	0.67
2026-10-17	oos	0.0532	0.053021	-0.34%	0.05174	-2.74%	0.0296	✓	0.68
2026-10-16	oos	0.054185	0.053984	-0.37%	0.0532	-1.82%	0.0137	✓	0.68
2026-10-15	oos	0.05433	0.054103	-0.42%	0.054185	-0.27%	0.0066	✗	0.67
2026-10-14	oos	0.05566	0.055385	-0.49%	0.05433	-2.39%	0.0238	✓	0.68
2026-10-13	oos	0.05768	0.057323	-0.62%	0.05566	-3.50%	0.0170	✓	0.67
2026-10-12	oos	0.05655	0.056219	-0.59%	0.05768	+2.00%	0.0147	✗	0.66
2026-10-11	oos	0.06134	0.060872	-0.76%	0.05655	-7.81%	0.0596	✓	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.061395	0.060941	-0.74%	0.06134	-0.09%	0.0009	✓	0.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.061355	0.06092	-0.71%	0.061395	+0.07%	0.0050	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.060125	0.059701	-0.71%	0.061355	+2.05%	0.0210	✗	0.61
2026-10-07	oos	0.05929	0.058878	-0.69%	0.060125	+1.41%	0.0329	✗	0.62
2026-10-06	oos	0.06176	0.06129	-0.76%	0.05929	-4.00%	0.0171	✓	0.60
2026-10-05	oos	0.063135	0.062629	-0.80%	0.06176	-2.18%	0.0125	✓	0.60
2026-10-04	oos	0.06396	0.063433	-0.82%	0.063135	-1.29%	0.0006	✓	0.61
2026-10-03	oos	0.063865	0.063309	-0.87%	0.06396	+0.15%	0.0024	✓	0.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.06368	0.063131	-0.86%	0.063865	+0.29%	0.0099	✗	0.61
2026-10-01	oos	0.06397	0.063434	-0.84%	0.06368	-0.45%	0.0064	✓	0.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.06506	0.064528	-0.82%	0.06397	-1.68%	0.0183	✓	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.06396	0.06346	-0.78%	0.06506	+1.72%	0.0255	✗	0.62
2026-09-28	oos	0.06367	0.063193	-0.75%	0.06396	+0.46%	0.0107	✗	0.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.06753	0.066916	-0.91%	0.06367	-5.72%	0.0424	✓	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.069305	0.068519	-1.13%	0.06753	-2.56%	0.0149	✓	0.61
2026-09-25	oos	0.06483	0.064186	-0.99%	0.069305	+6.90%	0.0744	✗	0.61
2026-09-24	oos	0.06295	0.06203	-1.46%	0.06483	+2.99%	0.0463	✗	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.05789	0.057421	-0.81%	0.06295	+8.74%	0.0919	✗	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.05947	0.058967	-0.85%	0.05789	-2.66%	0.0051	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.058035	0.057549	-0.84%	0.05947	+2.47%	0.0357	✗	0.64
2026-09-20	oos	0.05707	0.056627	-0.78%	0.058035	+1.69%	0.0207	✓	0.70
2026-09-19	oos	0.05797	0.057416	-0.96%	0.05707	-1.55%	0.0054	✓	0.69
2026-09-18	oos	0.056635	0.056029	-1.07%	0.05797	+2.36%	0.0310	✗	0.69
2026-09-17	oos	0.05423	0.053855	-0.69%	0.056635	+4.43%	0.0108	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.05836	0.057605	-1.29%	0.05423	-7.08%	0.0622	✓	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.057465	0.056705	-1.32%	0.05836	+1.56%	0.0235	✗	0.71
2026-09-14	oos	0.05571	0.055021	-1.24%	0.057465	+3.15%	0.0693	✗	0.77
2026-09-13	oos	0.06011	0.058762	-2.24%	0.05571	-7.32%	0.0678	✓	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.04948	0.049164	-0.64%	0.06011	+21.48%	0.2062	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.044845	0.044859	+0.03%	0.04948	+10.34%	0.0974	✓	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.04404	0.044099	+0.13%	0.044845	+1.83%	0.0093	✓	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.04676	0.046811	+0.11%	0.04404	-5.82%	0.0423	✗	0.83
2026-09-08	oos	0.04577	0.045897	+0.28%	0.04676	+2.16%	0.0204	✓	0.84
2026-09-07	oos	0.04536	0.04551	+0.33%	0.04577	+0.90%	0.0126	✓	0.85
2026-09-06	oos	0.04602	0.046139	+0.26%	0.04536	-1.43%	0.0036	✗	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.04626	0.046346	+0.19%	0.04602	-0.52%	0.0125	✗	0.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.044815	0.044923	+0.24%	0.04626	+3.22%	0.0277	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.044555	0.044641	+0.19%	0.044815	+0.58%	0.0209	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.04263	0.042661	+0.07%	0.044555	+4.52%	0.0017	✗	0.91
2026-09-01	oos	0.042745	0.042751	+0.02%	0.04263	-0.27%	0.0018	✗	0.91
2026-08-31	oos	0.04312	0.043122	+0.00%	0.042745	-0.87%	0.0039	✓	0.85
2026-08-30	oos	0.0429	0.042872	-0.07%	0.04312	+0.51%	0.0042	✓	0.87
2026-08-29	oos	0.04576	0.045663	-0.21%	0.0429	-6.25%	0.0562	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	0.04582	0.045693	-0.28%	0.04576	-0.13%	0.0028	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	0.04507	0.044903	-0.37%	0.04582	+1.66%	0.0475	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.045655	0.045414	-0.53%	0.04507	-1.28%	0.0216	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.04334	0.043115	-0.52%	0.045655	+5.34%	0.0516	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.04452	0.044134	-0.87%	0.04334	-2.65%	0.0131	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.04415	0.043777	-0.85%	0.04452	+0.84%	0.0026	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.04412	0.043513	-1.38%	0.04415	+0.07%	0.0068	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.04245	0.041979	-1.11%	0.04412	+3.93%	0.0646	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.03886	0.038617	-0.62%	0.04245	+9.24%	0.0329	✗	0.88
2026-08-19	oos	0.03661	0.036445	-0.45%	0.03886	+6.15%	0.0190	✗	0.87
2026-08-18	oos	0.034745	0.034639	-0.31%	0.03661	+5.37%	0.0051	✓	0.88
2026-08-17	oos	0.034945	0.034789	-0.45%	0.034745	-0.57%	0.0040	✓	0.87
2026-08-16	oos	0.03495	0.034853	-0.28%	0.034945	-0.01%	0.0203	✓	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.03522	0.0351	-0.34%	0.03495	-0.77%	0.0017	✓	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.035005	0.034877	-0.36%	0.03522	+0.61%	0.0092	✗	0.89
2026-08-13	oos	0.03621	0.035944	-0.73%	0.035005	-3.33%	0.0201	✓	0.89
2026-08-12	oos	0.035705	0.035615	-0.25%	0.03621	+1.41%	0.0164	✗	0.88
2026-08-11	oos	0.03619	0.03611	-0.22%	0.035705	-1.34%	0.0096	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.036795	0.036699	-0.26%	0.03619	-1.64%	0.0087	✓	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.03712	0.037008	-0.30%	0.036795	-0.88%	0.0071	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.036595	0.03649	-0.29%	0.03712	+1.43%	0.0179	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.036145	0.036025	-0.33%	0.036595	+1.24%	0.0155	✗	0.88
2026-08-06	oos	0.03644	0.036246	-0.53%	0.036145	-0.81%	0.0113	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.036075	0.035987	-0.24%	0.03644	+1.01%	0.0172	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.03611	0.036019	-0.25%	0.036075	-0.10%	0.0061	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.03682	0.036694	-0.34%	0.03611	-1.93%	0.0242	✓	0.89
2026-08-02	oos	0.03635	0.036255	-0.26%	0.03682	+1.29%	0.0159	✗	0.93
2026-08-01	oos	0.03682	0.036717	-0.28%	0.03635	-1.28%	0.0209	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.03668	0.03658	-0.27%	0.03682	+0.38%	0.0074	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.03654	0.036445	-0.26%	0.03668	+0.38%	0.0351	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.03593	0.035847	-0.23%	0.03654	+1.70%	0.0069	✗	0.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.037405	0.03731	-0.26%	0.03593	-3.94%	0.0384	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.0374	0.037301	-0.27%	0.037405	+0.01%	0.0005	✓	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.04009	0.039973	-0.29%	0.0374	-6.71%	0.0435	✓	0.90
2026-07-25	oos	0.03937	0.039265	-0.27%	0.04009	+1.83%	0.0062	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.039155	0.039047	-0.28%	0.03937	+0.55%	0.0053	✗	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.039225	0.039128	-0.25%	0.039155	-0.18%	0.0142	✗	0.90
2026-07-22	oos	0.03986	0.039762	-0.25%	0.039225	-1.59%	0.0006	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.04037	0.040258	-0.28%	0.03986	-1.26%	0.0041	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.03972	0.039614	-0.27%	0.04037	+1.64%	0.0016	✓	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.03926	0.039164	-0.24%	0.03972	+1.17%	0.0070	✗	0.87
2026-07-18	oos	0.039965	0.039857	-0.27%	0.03926	-1.76%	0.0135	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.040115	0.04	-0.29%	0.039965	-0.37%	0.0133	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.03988	0.039769	-0.28%	0.040115	+0.59%	0.0069	✗	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.04051	0.040381	-0.32%	0.03988	-1.56%	0.0005	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.04028	0.040147	-0.33%	0.04051	+0.57%	0.0127	✗	0.89
2026-07-13	oos	0.03952	0.039384	-0.34%	0.04028	+1.92%	0.0165	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.040685	0.04043	-0.63%	0.03952	-2.86%	0.0015	✓	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	0.041745	0.04159	-0.37%	0.040685	-2.54%	0.0215	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.04083	0.040717	-0.28%	0.041745	+2.24%	0.0297	✗	0.86
2026-07-09	oos	0.04022	0.040115	-0.26%	0.04083	+1.52%	0.0049	✗	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.03999	0.039888	-0.25%	0.04022	+0.58%	0.0044	✓	0.85
2026-07-07	oos	0.040365	0.040259	-0.26%	0.03999	-0.93%	0.0080	✗	0.85
2026-07-06	oos	0.04201	0.041876	-0.32%	0.040365	-3.92%	0.0277	✓	0.85
2026-07-05	oos	0.0425	0.042353	-0.35%	0.04201	-1.15%	0.0137	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.042585	0.042425	-0.38%	0.0425	-0.20%	0.0049	✓	0.85
2026-07-03	oos	0.04211	0.041947	-0.39%	0.042585	+1.13%	0.0076	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.04088	0.040737	-0.35%	0.04211	+3.01%	0.0194	✗	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.04059	0.04045	-0.34%	0.04088	+0.71%	0.0103	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.03974	0.039613	-0.32%	0.04059	+2.14%	0.0040	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.04106	0.040912	-0.36%	0.03974	-3.21%	0.0061	✓	0.83
2026-06-28	oos	0.04065	0.040516	-0.33%	0.04106	+1.01%	0.0040	✗	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	0.0402	0.04006	-0.35%	0.04065	+1.12%	0.0209	✗	0.82
2026-06-26	oos	0.03971	0.039625	-0.21%	0.0402	+1.23%	0.0153	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.03852	0.038473	-0.12%	0.03971	+3.09%	0.0276	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.0397	0.039627	-0.18%	0.03852	-2.97%	0.0111	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.04059	0.040508	-0.20%	0.0397	-2.19%	0.0021	✗	0.83
2026-06-22	oos	0.04213	0.042036	-0.22%	0.04059	-3.66%	0.0184	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.042895	0.042799	-0.22%	0.04213	-1.78%	0.0249	✓	0.81
2026-06-20	oos	0.04333	0.043234	-0.22%	0.042895	-1.00%	0.0044	✗	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.042835	0.042754	-0.19%	0.04333	+1.16%	0.0041	✗	0.79
2026-06-18	oos	0.04292	0.042842	-0.18%	0.042835	-0.20%	0.0077	✓	0.79
2026-06-17	oos	0.04516	0.045031	-0.29%	0.04292	-4.96%	0.0288	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.04539	0.045282	-0.24%	0.04516	-0.51%	0.0120	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.04584	0.045724	-0.25%	0.04539	-0.98%	0.0011	✓	0.84
2026-06-14	oos	0.04489	0.044792	-0.22%	0.04584	+2.12%	0.0161	✗	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.04466	0.044567	-0.21%	0.04489	+0.52%	0.0086	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.04422	0.044137	-0.19%	0.04466	+1.00%	0.0007	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.04449	0.044393	-0.22%	0.04422	-0.61%	0.0036	✓	0.81
2026-06-10	oos	0.04313	0.043059	-0.16%	0.04449	+3.15%	0.0057	✗	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.04445	0.04439	-0.13%	0.04313	-2.97%	0.0257	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.04614	0.046049	-0.20%	0.04445	-3.66%	0.0179	✓	0.79
2026-06-07	oos	0.04556	0.045477	-0.18%	0.04614	+1.27%	0.0174	✗	0.77
2026-06-06	oos	0.04468	0.044638	-0.09%	0.04556	+1.97%	0.0088	✓	0.74
2026-06-05	oos	0.04436	0.044326	-0.08%	0.04468	+0.72%	0.0100	✗	0.69
2026-06-04	oos	0.04793	0.047827	-0.21%	0.04436	-7.45%	0.0474	✓	0.63
2026-06-03	oos	0.04904	0.048905	-0.28%	0.04793	-2.26%	0.0178	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.04824	0.048095	-0.30%	0.04904	+1.66%	0.0476	✗	0.70
2026-06-01	oos	0.05192	0.051658	-0.51%	0.04824	-7.09%	0.0254	✓	0.64
2026-05-31	oos	0.05316	0.052654	-0.95%	0.05192	-2.33%	0.0061	✓	0.65
2026-05-30	oos	0.05059	0.050406	-0.36%	0.05316	+5.08%	0.0547	✗	0.56
2026-05-29	oos	0.05057	0.050388	-0.36%	0.05059	+0.04%	0.0013	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.051145	0.050947	-0.39%	0.05057	-1.12%	0.0065	✓	0.45
2026-05-27	oos	0.05224	0.052018	-0.42%	0.051145	-2.10%	0.0103	✓	0.61
2026-05-26	oos	0.05245	0.052219	-0.44%	0.05224	-0.40%	0.0114	✗	0.54
2026-05-25	oos	0.05441	0.054118	-0.54%	0.05245	-3.60%	0.0184	✓	0.69
2026-05-24	oos	0.05319	0.052931	-0.49%	0.05441	+2.29%	0.0252	✗	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.05515	0.054649	-0.91%	0.05319	-3.55%	0.0300	✓	0.70
2026-05-22	oos	0.05186	0.0517	-0.31%	0.05515	+6.34%	0.0538	✗	0.68
2026-05-21	oos	0.054185	0.05401	-0.32%	0.05186	-4.29%	0.0224	✓	0.66
2026-05-20	oos	0.05406	0.053881	-0.33%	0.054185	+0.23%	0.0050	✗	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.05444	0.054267	-0.32%	0.05406	-0.70%	0.0097	✓	0.64
2026-05-18	oos	0.05526	0.055058	-0.37%	0.05444	-1.48%	0.0099	✓	0.61
2026-05-17	oos	0.05578	0.055488	-0.52%	0.05526	-0.93%	0.0005	✓	0.61
2026-05-16	oos	0.057255	0.057045	-0.37%	0.05578	-2.58%	0.0170	✓	0.60
2026-05-15	oos	0.05763	0.057375	-0.44%	0.057255	-0.65%	0.0054	✗	0.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.059	0.058738	-0.44%	0.05763	-2.32%	0.0036	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.058195	0.057953	-0.42%	0.059	+1.38%	0.0040	✓	0.62
2026-05-12	oos	0.05911	0.058836	-0.46%	0.058195	-1.55%	0.0018	✓	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.06026	0.059858	-0.67%	0.05911	-1.91%	0.0036	✓	0.59
2026-05-10	oos	0.06032	0.059965	-0.59%	0.06026	-0.10%	0.0084	✗	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.05928	0.058946	-0.56%	0.06032	+1.75%	0.0116	✗	0.60
2026-05-08	oos	0.06016	0.05962	-0.90%	0.05928	-1.46%	0.0091	✓	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.05847	0.057998	-0.81%	0.06016	+2.89%	0.0353	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.05928	0.058688	-1.00%	0.05847	-1.37%	0.0074	✓	0.63
2026-05-05	oos	0.06141	0.060646	-1.24%	0.05928	-3.47%	0.0275	✓	0.72
2026-05-04	oos	0.05632	0.056167	-0.27%	0.06141	+9.04%	0.0800	✗	0.70
2026-05-03	oos	0.05611	0.055974	-0.24%	0.05632	+0.37%	0.0051	✓	0.69
2026-05-02	oos	0.05647	0.05634	-0.23%	0.05611	-0.64%	0.0030	✓	0.69
2026-05-01	oos	0.05674	0.056597	-0.25%	0.05647	-0.48%	0.0061	✓	0.68
2026-04-30	oos	0.05608	0.055933	-0.26%	0.05674	+1.18%	0.0032	✓	0.70
2026-04-29	oos	0.05712	0.05695	-0.30%	0.05608	-1.82%	0.0205	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.05747	0.057299	-0.30%	0.05712	-0.61%	0.0023	✓	0.73
2026-04-27	oos	0.05707	0.056909	-0.28%	0.05747	+0.70%	0.0197	✗	0.73
2026-04-26	oos	0.058385	0.058224	-0.28%	0.05707	-2.25%	0.0078	✓	0.73
2026-04-25	oos	0.05857	0.058391	-0.31%	0.058385	-0.32%	0.0097	✓	0.73
2026-04-24	oos	0.0585	0.058315	-0.32%	0.05857	+0.12%	0.0026	✓	0.74
2026-04-23	oos	0.05819	0.058017	-0.30%	0.0585	+0.53%	0.0160	✗	0.74
2026-04-22	oos	0.0583	0.058108	-0.33%	0.05819	-0.19%	0.0007	✓	0.74
2026-04-21	oos	0.05854	0.058309	-0.39%	0.0583	-0.41%	0.0180	✓	0.74
2026-04-20	oos	0.05884	0.058622	-0.37%	0.05854	-0.51%	0.0061	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	0.057255	0.057048	-0.36%	0.05884	+2.77%	0.0104	✗	0.75
2026-04-18	oos	0.05909	0.0589	-0.32%	0.057255	-3.11%	0.0091	✓	0.75
2026-04-17	oos	0.060225	0.060043	-0.30%	0.05909	-1.88%	0.0026	✓	0.75
2026-04-16	oos	0.05955	0.059317	-0.39%	0.060225	+1.13%	0.0040	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	0.057685	0.057486	-0.34%	0.05955	+3.23%	0.0320	✗	0.75
2026-04-14	oos	0.05739	0.057185	-0.36%	0.057685	+0.51%	0.0020	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	0.05874	0.058515	-0.38%	0.05739	-2.30%	0.0167	✓	0.75
2026-04-12	oos	0.05736	0.057115	-0.43%	0.05874	+2.41%	0.0119	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	0.057815	0.057595	-0.38%	0.05736	-0.79%	0.0215	✗	0.79
2026-04-10	oos	0.05853	0.058296	-0.40%	0.057815	-1.22%	0.0092	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	0.05886	0.058611	-0.42%	0.05853	-0.56%	0.0145	✓	0.79
2026-04-08	oos	0.058485	0.058245	-0.41%	0.05886	+0.64%	0.0026	✓	0.79
2026-04-07	oos	0.06026	0.060002	-0.43%	0.058485	-2.95%	0.0165	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	0.05834	0.058096	-0.42%	0.06026	+3.29%	0.0024	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	0.05847	0.058231	-0.41%	0.05834	-0.22%	0.0036	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	0.05871	0.058458	-0.43%	0.05847	-0.41%	0.0199	✓	0.80
2026-04-03	oos	0.05933	0.059055	-0.46%	0.05871	-1.05%	0.0098	✓	0.80
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.056985	-0.38%	0.05933	+3.72%	0.0395	✗	0.80
2026-04-01	oos	0.05917	0.058923	-0.42%	0.0572	-3.33%	0.0152	✓	0.80
2026-03-31	oos	0.05845	0.058221	-0.39%	0.05917	+1.23%	0.0174	✗	0.80
2026-03-30	oos	0.05936	0.059095	-0.45%	0.05845	-1.53%	0.0289	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	0.05845	0.058096	-0.61%	0.05936	+1.56%	0.0121	✗	0.80
2026-03-28	oos	0.05739	0.057174	-0.38%	0.05845	+1.85%	0.0265	✗	0.80
2026-03-27	oos	0.05606	0.055917	-0.26%	0.05739	+2.37%	0.0264	✗	0.80
2026-03-26	oos	0.05837	0.058214	-0.27%	0.05606	-3.96%	0.0090	✓	0.80
2026-03-25	oos	0.06112	0.060942	-0.29%	0.05837	-4.50%	0.0144	✓	0.79
2026-03-24	oos	0.062585	0.062377	-0.33%	0.06112	-2.34%	0.0290	✓	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	0.05997	0.059822	-0.25%	0.062585	+4.36%	0.0490	✗	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	0.05921	0.059075	-0.23%	0.05997	+1.28%	0.0205	✓	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.06062	0.060476	-0.24%	0.05921	-2.33%	0.0085	✓	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.06216	0.061984	-0.28%	0.06062	-2.48%	0.0039	✓	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.06104	0.060906	-0.22%	0.06216	+1.83%	0.0137	✗	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.065885	0.065655	-0.35%	0.06104	-7.35%	0.0578	✓	0.80
2026-03-17	oos	0.07013	0.069692	-0.63%	0.065885	-6.05%	0.0269	✓	0.79
2026-03-16	oos	0.06463	0.064419	-0.33%	0.07013	+8.51%	0.0953	✗	0.81
2026-03-15	oos	0.06408	0.06384	-0.37%	0.06463	+0.86%	0.0104	✓	0.82
2026-03-14	oos	0.06369	0.063326	-0.57%	0.06408	+0.61%	0.0064	✓	0.82
2026-03-13	oos	0.05895	0.058816	-0.23%	0.06369	+8.04%	0.0763	✗	0.82
2026-03-12	oos	0.0603	0.060098	-0.34%	0.05895	-2.24%	0.0241	✓	0.83
2026-03-11	oos	0.05837	0.058241	-0.22%	0.0603	+3.31%	0.0310	✗	0.82
2026-03-10	oos	0.0595	0.059331	-0.28%	0.05837	-1.90%	0.0192	✓	0.82
2026-03-09	oos	0.0609	0.060665	-0.39%	0.0595	-2.30%	0.0378	✓	0.83
2026-03-08	oos	0.06144	0.061058	-0.62%	0.0609	-0.88%	0.0340	✓	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.0565	0.056332	-0.30%	0.06144	+8.74%	0.1038	✗	0.88
2026-03-06	oos	0.05531	0.055208	-0.18%	0.0565	+2.15%	0.0341	✗	0.87
2026-03-05	oos	0.05819	0.058011	-0.31%	0.05531	-4.95%	0.0131	✓	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.0597	0.059483	-0.36%	0.05819	-2.53%	0.0004	✓	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.0579	0.057653	-0.43%	0.0597	+3.11%	0.0195	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.0607	0.060322	-0.62%	0.0579	-4.61%	0.0346	✓	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.0638	0.063075	-1.14%	0.0607	-4.86%	0.0807	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0564	0.056119	-0.50%	0.0638	+13.12%	0.1456	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.0614	0.060913	-0.79%	0.0564	-8.14%	0.0934	✓	0.99
2026-02-26	oos	0.0793	0.077075	-2.81%	0.0614	-22.57%	0.2048	✓	0.92
2026-02-25	oos	0.059	0.058363	-1.08%	0.0793	+34.41%	0.3135	✗	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.0511	0.050706	-0.77%	0.059	+15.46%	0.0999	✗	0.87
2026-02-23	oos	0.046	0.045973	-0.06%	0.0511	+11.09%	0.1132	✗	0.86
2026-02-22	oos	0.0487	0.048627	-0.15%	0.046	-5.54%	0.0173	✓	0.84
2026-02-21	oos	0.0491	0.049017	-0.17%	0.0487	-0.81%	0.0023	✓	0.85
2026-02-20	oos	0.0503	0.050155	-0.29%	0.0491	-2.39%	0.0209	✓	0.85
2026-02-19	oos	0.0511	0.050944	-0.31%	0.0503	-1.57%	0.0255	✓	0.85
2026-02-18	oos	0.0559	0.055366	-0.96%	0.0511	-8.59%	0.0874	✓	0.87
2026-02-17	oos	0.052	0.051949	-0.10%	0.0559	+7.50%	0.0870	✗	0.88
2026-02-16	oos	0.0528	0.052729	-0.14%	0.052	-1.52%	0.0040	✗	0.88
2026-02-15	oos	0.05245	0.052389	-0.12%	0.0528	+0.67%	0.0070	✗	0.88
2026-02-14	oos	0.05455	0.05445	-0.18%	0.05245	-3.85%	0.0249	✓	0.87
2026-02-13	oos	0.0534	0.053316	-0.16%	0.05455	+2.15%	0.0106	✗	0.87
2026-02-12	oos	0.0517	0.051656	-0.08%	0.0534	+3.29%	0.0004	✓	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0507	0.050667	-0.06%	0.0517	+1.97%	0.0305	✗	0.84
2026-02-10	oos	0.0503	0.050265	-0.07%	0.0507	+0.80%	0.0313	✗	0.87
2026-02-09	oos	0.0526	0.052524	-0.14%	0.0503	-4.37%	0.0272	✓	0.86
2026-02-08	oos	0.0515	0.051453	-0.09%	0.0526	+2.14%	0.0242	✗	0.85
2026-02-07	oos	0.05305	0.052974	-0.14%	0.0515	-2.92%	0.0410	✓	0.86
2026-02-06	oos	0.0523	0.052276	-0.05%	0.05305	+1.43%	0.0305	✗	0.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.0477	0.047886	+0.39%	0.0523	+9.64%	0.0131	✗	0.87
2026-02-04	oos	0.0549	0.054854	-0.08%	0.0477	-13.11%	0.0046	✓	0.90
2026-02-03	oos	0.0559	0.055822	-0.14%	0.0549	-1.79%	0.0152	✗	0.89
2026-02-02	oos	0.0559	0.055786	-0.20%	0.0559	+0.00%	0.0386	✗	0.94
2026-02-01	oos	0.05635	0.056201	-0.27%	0.0559	-0.80%	0.0270	✓	0.95
2026-01-31	oos	0.0561	0.056035	-0.12%	0.05635	+0.45%	0.0286	✗	1.02
2026-01-30	oos	0.06015	0.060015	-0.22%	0.0561	-6.73%	0.0011	✓	1.02
2026-01-29	oos	0.0598	0.059684	-0.19%	0.06015	+0.59%	0.0127	✗	1.02
2026-01-28	oos	0.06475	0.064519	-0.36%	0.0598	-7.64%	0.0227	✓	0.99
2026-01-27	oos	0.066	0.065629	-0.56%	0.06475	-1.89%	0.0140	✓	1.01
2026-01-26	oos	0.0657	0.065459	-0.37%	0.066	+0.46%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.0637	0.063483	-0.34%	0.0657	+3.14%	0.0151	✗	0.99
2026-01-24	oos	0.0656	0.065382	-0.33%	0.0637	-2.90%	0.0025	✓	0.99
2026-01-23	oos	0.06565	0.065434	-0.33%	0.0656	-0.08%	0.0069	✗	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.0646	0.064406	-0.30%	0.06565	+1.63%	0.0190	✗	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.06535	0.065144	-0.32%	0.0646	-1.15%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.0637	0.06352	-0.28%	0.06535	+2.59%	0.0169	✗	0.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.0672	0.066974	-0.34%	0.0637	-5.21%	0.0046	✓	0.97
2026-01-18	oos	0.0685	0.068274	-0.33%	0.0672	-1.90%	0.0047	✓	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0712	0.070946	-0.36%	0.0685	-3.79%	0.0202	✓	0.95
2026-01-16	oos	0.0718	0.071542	-0.36%	0.0712	-0.84%	0.0008	✓	0.95
2026-01-15	oos	0.071	0.070755	-0.34%	0.0718	+1.13%	0.0155	✗	0.95
2026-01-14	oos	0.07465	0.074352	-0.40%	0.071	-4.89%	0.0328	✓	0.94
2026-01-13	oos	0.07535	0.074971	-0.50%	0.07465	-0.93%	0.0200	✓	0.96
2026-01-12	oos	0.06985	0.069594	-0.37%	0.07535	+7.87%	0.0380	✗	0.92
2026-01-11	oos	0.0719	0.071618	-0.39%	0.06985	-2.85%	0.0282	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.07405	0.073713	-0.46%	0.0719	-2.90%	0.0301	✓	0.95
2026-01-09	oos	0.07605	0.075642	-0.54%	0.07405	-2.63%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.07755	0.076891	-0.85%	0.07605	-1.93%	0.0055	✓	0.98
2026-01-07	oos	0.0741	0.07368	-0.57%	0.07755	+4.66%	0.0549	✗	1.33
2026-01-06	oos	0.0745	0.074134	-0.49%	0.0741	-0.54%	0.0351	✗	1.35
2026-01-05	oos	0.0732	0.072872	-0.45%	0.0745	+1.78%	0.0242	✗	1.35
2026-01-04	oos	0.0707	0.070425	-0.39%	0.0732	+3.54%	0.0039	✗	1.35
2026-01-03	oos	0.0695	0.069224	-0.40%	0.0707	+1.73%	0.0078	✗	1.35
2026-01-02	oos	0.0678	0.067525	-0.41%	0.0695	+2.51%	0.0193	✗	1.35
2026-01-01	oos	0.0667	0.066434	-0.40%	0.0678	+1.65%	0.0020	✓	1.34
2025-12-31	oos	0.0654	0.065151	-0.38%	0.0667	+1.99%	0.0046	✗	1.34
2025-12-30	oos	0.0689	0.068534	-0.53%	0.0654	-5.08%	0.0332	✓	1.33
2025-12-29	oos	0.0722	0.071606	-0.82%	0.0689	-4.57%	0.0585	✓	1.36
2025-12-28	oos	0.07	0.069364	-0.91%	0.0722	+3.14%	0.0520	✗	1.37
2025-12-27	oos	0.0685	0.068121	-0.55%	0.07	+2.19%	0.0261	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.06445	0.064211	-0.37%	0.0685	+6.28%	0.0569	✗	1.33
2025-12-25	oos	0.0647	0.064327	-0.58%	0.06445	-0.39%	0.0000	✓	1.33
2025-12-24	oos	0.0644	0.064224	-0.27%	0.0647	+0.47%	0.0141	✗	1.33
2025-12-23	oos	0.06405	0.063873	-0.28%	0.0644	+0.55%	0.0055	✗	1.34
2025-12-22	oos	0.06415	0.063939	-0.33%	0.06405	-0.16%	0.0190	✗	1.34
2025-12-21	oos	0.0632	0.063033	-0.26%	0.06415	+1.50%	0.0188	✗	1.34
2025-12-20	oos	0.0645	0.064326	-0.27%	0.0632	-2.02%	0.0225	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.0646	0.064368	-0.36%	0.0645	-0.15%	0.0015	✓	1.36
2025-12-18	oos	0.0611	0.060862	-0.39%	0.0646	+5.73%	0.0188	✗	1.35
2025-12-17	oos	0.06245	0.062366	-0.14%	0.0611	-2.16%	0.0087	✓	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	0.06615	0.066043	-0.16%	0.06245	-5.59%	0.0306	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	0.066	0.0659	-0.15%	0.06615	+0.23%	0.0184	✓	1.35
2025-12-14	oos	0.06825	0.068139	-0.16%	0.066	-3.30%	0.0049	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	0.07075	0.07062	-0.18%	0.06825	-3.53%	0.0028	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	0.0698	0.069678	-0.17%	0.07075	+1.36%	0.0156	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	0.07115	0.071016	-0.19%	0.0698	-1.90%	0.0162	✗	1.35
2025-12-10	oos	0.07295	0.072797	-0.21%	0.07115	-2.47%	0.0303	✓	1.36
2025-12-09	oos	0.0745	0.074322	-0.24%	0.07295	-2.08%	0.0090	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	0.0725	0.072358	-0.20%	0.0745	+2.76%	0.0007	✓	1.34
2025-12-07	oos	0.0723	0.072159	-0.19%	0.0725	+0.28%	0.0010	✓	1.34
2025-12-06	oos	0.07495	0.074776	-0.23%	0.0723	-3.54%	0.0508	✓	1.36
2025-12-05	oos	0.0741	0.073909	-0.26%	0.07495	+1.15%	0.0152	✗	1.36
2025-12-04	oos	0.07555	0.0754	-0.20%	0.0741	-1.92%	0.0243	✗	1.38
2025-12-03	oos	0.0772	0.077032	-0.22%	0.07555	-2.14%	0.0008	✓	1.38
2025-12-02	oos	0.0759	0.075748	-0.20%	0.0772	+1.71%	0.0132	✓	1.39
2025-12-01	oos	0.0728	0.072689	-0.15%	0.0759	+4.26%	0.0383	✓	1.44
2025-11-30	oos	0.0765	0.076357	-0.19%	0.0728	-4.84%	0.0198	✗	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.0779	0.077727	-0.22%	0.0765	-1.80%	0.0086	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.0773	0.077152	-0.19%	0.0779	+0.78%	0.0108	✗	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.0784	0.078237	-0.21%	0.0773	-1.40%	0.0055	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.07625	0.076103	-0.19%	0.0784	+2.82%	0.0164	✗	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.0766	0.076433	-0.22%	0.07625	-0.46%	0.0549	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.0744	0.074253	-0.20%	0.0766	+2.96%	0.0471	✗	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.0723	0.072181	-0.16%	0.0744	+2.90%	0.0054	✗	1.49
2025-11-22	oos	0.0716	0.071518	-0.11%	0.0723	+0.98%	0.0265	✓	1.51
2025-11-21	oos	0.07155	0.071468	-0.12%	0.0716	+0.07%	0.0087	✗	1.50
2025-11-20	oos	0.0737	0.073597	-0.14%	0.07155	-2.92%	0.0025	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.0766	0.076439	-0.21%	0.0737	-3.79%	0.0508	✗	1.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.0769	0.076736	-0.21%	0.0766	-0.39%	0.0232	✗	1.58
2025-11-17	oos	0.0759	0.075763	-0.18%	0.0769	+1.32%	0.0009	✓	1.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.077	0.076847	-0.20%	0.0759	-1.43%	0.0235	✗	1.60
2025-11-15	oos	0.07925	0.07907	-0.23%	0.077	-2.84%	0.0035	✓	1.60
2025-11-14	oos	0.07825	0.078073	-0.23%	0.07925	+1.28%	0.0026	✓	1.60
2025-11-13	oos	0.07785	0.077656	-0.25%	0.07825	+0.51%	0.0994	✗	1.74
2025-11-12	oos	0.0851	0.084648	-0.53%	0.07785	-8.52%	0.0494	✓	1.71
2025-11-11	oos	0.0839	0.083407	-0.59%	0.0851	+1.43%	0.0432	✗	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	0.0852	0.084945	-0.30%	0.0839	-1.53%	0.0367	✗	1.73
2025-11-09	oos	0.08535	0.085079	-0.32%	0.0852	-0.18%	0.0198	✓	1.74
2025-11-08	oos	0.08555	0.085237	-0.37%	0.08535	-0.23%	0.0400	✓	1.78
2025-11-07	oos	0.0872	0.086778	-0.48%	0.08555	-1.89%	0.0026	✓	1.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.07805	0.077859	-0.24%	0.0872	+11.72%	0.0804	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.077	0.076831	-0.22%	0.07805	+1.36%	0.0591	✗	1.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.07335	0.073231	-0.16%	0.077	+4.98%	0.0099	✗	1.72
2025-11-03	oos	0.0765	0.076369	-0.17%	0.07335	-4.12%	0.0472	✗	1.79
2025-11-02	oos	0.0856	0.085413	-0.22%	0.0765	-10.63%	0.0463	✓	1.74
2025-11-01	oos	0.08575	0.085549	-0.23%	0.0856	-0.17%	0.0071	✓	1.75
2025-10-31	oos	0.08415	0.084	-0.18%	0.08575	+1.90%	0.0127	✗	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.0826	0.082452	-0.18%	0.08415	+1.88%	0.0004	✓	1.74
2025-10-29	oos	0.08805	0.087878	-0.20%	0.0826	-6.19%	0.0348	✓	1.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.088	0.08784	-0.18%	0.08805	+0.06%	0.0479	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.0911	0.090909	-0.21%	0.088	-3.40%	0.0142	✓	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.09295	0.092727	-0.24%	0.0911	-1.99%	0.0106	✓	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.0902	0.089986	-0.24%	0.09295	+3.05%	0.0130	✓	1.78
2025-10-24	oos	0.0905	0.090252	-0.27%	0.0902	-0.33%	0.0106	✓	1.79
2025-10-23	oos	0.08985	0.089565	-0.32%	0.0905	+0.72%	0.0046	✓	1.79
2025-10-22	oos	0.09025	0.089995	-0.28%	0.08985	-0.44%	0.0438	✓	1.81
2025-10-21	oos	0.0916	0.091328	-0.30%	0.09025	-1.47%	0.0012	✓	1.82
2025-10-20	oos	0.09385	0.093525	-0.35%	0.0916	-2.40%	0.0163	✗	1.84
2025-10-19	oos	0.09405	0.093728	-0.34%	0.09385	-0.21%	0.0306	✓	1.85
2025-10-18	oos	0.09235	0.092061	-0.31%	0.09405	+1.84%	0.0038	✓	1.85
2025-10-17	oos	0.09185	0.091582	-0.29%	0.09235	+0.54%	0.0045	✓	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.0938	0.093491	-0.33%	0.09185	-2.08%	0.0122	✗	1.85
2025-10-15	oos	0.0974	0.09709	-0.32%	0.0938	-3.70%	0.0095	✗	1.85
2025-10-14	oos	0.1006	0.100252	-0.35%	0.0974	-3.18%	0.0086	✗	1.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.1041	0.103773	-0.31%	0.1006	-3.36%	0.0049	✗	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.0988	0.09858	-0.22%	0.1041	+5.36%	0.0512	✗	1.82
2025-10-11	oos	0.0914	0.091278	-0.13%	0.0988	+8.10%	0.0105	✗	1.80
2025-10-10	oos	0.0898	0.089764	-0.04%	0.0914	+1.78%	0.0546	✗	1.84
2025-10-09	oos	0.11885	0.118608	-0.20%	0.0898	-24.44%	0.1778	✓	1.35
2025-10-08	oos	0.12145	0.121194	-0.21%	0.11885	-2.14%	0.0015	✓	1.35
2025-10-07	oos	0.11815	0.117908	-0.20%	0.12145	+2.79%	0.0089	✗	1.30
2025-10-06	oos	0.1242	0.123909	-0.23%	0.11815	-4.87%	0.0129	✓	1.28
2025-10-05	oos	0.12215	0.121872	-0.23%	0.1242	+1.68%	0.0065	✗	1.28
2025-10-04	oos	0.12205	0.121757	-0.24%	0.12215	+0.08%	0.0078	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.12595	0.125509	-0.35%	0.12205	-3.10%	0.0294	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1248	0.124383	-0.33%	0.12595	+0.92%	0.0053	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.12445	0.123974	-0.38%	0.1248	+0.28%	0.0146	✓	1.30
2025-09-30	oos	0.1172	0.116889	-0.27%	0.12445	+6.19%	0.0123	✗	1.28
2025-09-29	oos	0.11775	0.117427	-0.27%	0.1172	-0.47%	0.0015	✓	1.33
2025-09-28	oos	0.1185	0.118163	-0.28%	0.11775	-0.63%	0.0299	✓	1.38
2025-09-27	oos	0.1174	0.117113	-0.24%	0.1185	+0.94%	0.0200	✓	1.40
2025-09-26	oos	0.11805	0.117721	-0.28%	0.1174	-0.55%	0.0025	✓	1.41
2025-09-25	oos	0.1149	0.114638	-0.23%	0.11805	+2.74%	0.0208	✗	1.41
2025-09-24	oos	0.12285	0.122534	-0.26%	0.1149	-6.47%	0.0107	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.12205	0.121746	-0.25%	0.12285	+0.66%	0.0074	✓	1.39
2025-09-22	oos	0.12175	0.121401	-0.29%	0.12205	+0.25%	0.0141	✗	1.38
2025-09-21	oos	0.1298	0.129415	-0.30%	0.12175	-6.20%	0.0311	✓	1.34
2025-09-20	oos	0.1324	0.131961	-0.33%	0.1298	-1.96%	0.0109	✓	1.38
2025-09-19	oos	0.13165	0.131178	-0.36%	0.1324	+0.57%	0.0085	✗	1.38
2025-09-18	oos	0.1366	0.136096	-0.37%	0.13165	-3.62%	0.0162	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.1358	0.135282	-0.38%	0.1366	+0.59%	0.0022	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.