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2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2547
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.443586-1.21%0.319-28.95%0.2830✓1.164,5592022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.0095-1.25%14.3-5.92%0.0168✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7782-1.76%2.79+54.14%0.4690✗0.4656k2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059419-2.08%0.060975+0.48%0.0439✗0.45123k2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.055839-2.38%0.0499-12.76%0.0800✓0.8090k2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.184955-2.55%0.141-25.71%0.2302✓1.02101k2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.16068-2.62%0.1439-12.79%0.0649✓1.131,7442022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,625.29-2.72%19,378.65-3.95%0.0276✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.389783-2.75%0.3093-22.83%0.1912✓0.99202k2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.094075-2.82%0.0743-23.24%0.2072✓0.722,9132022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035452-2.82%0.03232-11.40%0.0639✓0.712,2982022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.45e-7-2.83%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0654✓0.6915k2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.065965-2.85%0.06122-9.84%0.0361✓0.9625k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,528.94-2.91%1,286.96-18.27%0.1196✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.493025-2.94%0.41049-19.19%0.1309✓1.3041k2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039095-2.99%0.0342-15.14%0.1021✓0.799,5132022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8209-3.00%4.2295-14.90%0.1274✓0.09119k2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.203913-3.04%0.1528-27.34%0.2588✓0.7467k2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.157.3-3.05%51.09-13.55%0.0758✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.057566-3.09%0.0671+12.96%0.1956✗1.0578k2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.132239-3.12%0.1133-17.00%0.1335✓0.5283k2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.9781-3.13%30.49-7.63%0.0006✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8794.7427-3.20%160.75+64.25%0.5659✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.057726-3.20%0.059662+0.04%0.0716✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,576.21-3.27%19,353.70-4.37%0.0256✓0.9215k2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.120235-3.27%0.1168-6.03%0.0134✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9256.9902-3.28%50.94-13.54%0.0678✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44140.6099-3.32%142.89-1.75%0.0560✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9780.2139-3.32%70.96-14.48%0.0637✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.299338-3.33%0.327+5.60%0.1141✗0.64326k2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.101164-3.33%0.1121+7.11%0.1377✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.208648-3.45%0.225+4.12%0.1104✗0.87527k2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.447534-3.49%0.3769-18.72%0.1329✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.034841-3.49%0.0319-11.63%0.0477✓1.0190k2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.01208-3.51%0.01008-19.49%0.1561✓0.62233k2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.191962-3.54%0.1711-14.02%0.0743✓1.01132k2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040662-3.56%0.038379-8.97%0.0216✓0.9028k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001465-3.58%0.001497-1.45%0.0518✗0.74353k2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.4915-3.62%4.61-1.07%0.0597✗0.83839k2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011711-3.63%0.010334-14.96%0.0917✓0.83882k2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14323.9905-3.68%4.3617+5.27%0.1181✗0.72696k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.417896-3.71%0.38-12.44%0.0532✓1.047,9852022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.2818-3.76%12.53-15.57%0.0819✓1.2275k2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.572316-3.81%0.563-5.38%0.0237✓1.00178k2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047695-3.84%0.0541+9.07%0.1608✗0.86234k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.12954-3.87%0.12034-10.70%0.0277✓1.14151k2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2548.8944-3.89%9.399+1.57%0.0884✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7153-3.91%1.495-16.25%0.0724✓1.6265k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022259-3.93%0.02101-9.32%0.0168✓1.022,9582022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.612-3.94%2.183-19.71%0.1200✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7742.0355-3.96%40.41-7.68%0.0020✓1.03312k2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.597336-3.97%0.53-14.79%0.0756✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.2425-3.97%3.04-31.19%0.2930✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.1166-3.99%15.65-17.06%0.0921✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.365934-3.99%0.39142+2.69%0.1057✗0.9531k2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.8486-4.02%23.44-9.46%0.0182✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.932-4.03%2.773-9.23%0.0400✓0.39759k2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.160619-4.04%0.14863-11.20%0.0494✓0.703542022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019604-4.04%0.0198-3.08%0.0513✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000042149-4.10%0.00003711-15.56%0.0939✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1919-4.10%1.0884-12.43%0.0470✓1.09922k2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.252189-4.11%0.23-12.55%0.0625✓0.74534k2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6105-4.14%1.553-7.56%0.0016✓0.94627k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.081267-4.17%0.082-3.30%0.0478✗0.9711k2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003229-4.18%0.00306-9.20%0.0161✓0.94483k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.979444-4.19%0.9674-5.37%0.0072✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.4292-4.23%10.1346-15.08%0.0808✓0.9821k2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.874219-4.25%0.847-7.23%0.0137✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.1276-4.26%5.03-21.41%0.1584✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.7761-4.27%6.15+1.92%0.1169✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.11993-4.29%0.1164-7.10%0.0148✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005387-4.31%0.0048-14.74%0.0889✓0.66911k2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56649.3423-4.31%50.036-2.97%0.0482✗0.85246k2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043246-4.32%0.0333-26.33%0.2271✓0.85142k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.102-4.34%0.978-15.10%0.0818✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3488-4.34%1.66+17.73%0.2033✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.04218-4.35%0.0344-22.00%0.1572✓1.16546k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.442307-4.37%0.4211-8.95%0.0041✓1.12366k2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.3677-4.37%6.57-24.91%0.2194✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088339-4.39%0.0998+8.01%0.1627✗1.01336k2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.699305-4.40%0.63573-13.09%0.0519✓1.08624k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.061831-4.40%0.05314-17.84%0.1158✓0.897802022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005942-4.41%0.00599-3.64%0.0215✓0.3330k2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9323-4.43%1.535-24.09%0.1821✓1.1930k2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.276554-4.43%0.246962-14.66%0.0739✓0.97487k2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.21e-7-4.48%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0362✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.899-4.48%3.097-24.13%0.2098✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.8876-4.49%2.6695-11.70%0.0378✓1.0120k2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.254912-4.50%0.20766-22.20%0.1694✓0.8815k2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.102753-4.50%0.0911-15.33%0.0864✓0.84188k2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005633-4.51%0.005472-7.24%0.0033✓0.641,9622022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.255791-4.52%0.2551-4.78%0.0370✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.839483-4.56%0.7636-13.19%0.0459✓1.21899k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.2944-4.57%3.53-21.56%0.1732✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6112.1826-4.61%108.8-7.48%0.0156✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.00146-4.64%0.001276-16.66%0.1076✓0.676,5532022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.807037-4.64%0.8267-2.32%0.0835✗1.4894k2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019253-4.64%0.01784-11.64%0.0509✓0.6312k2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010486-4.66%0.009275-15.67%0.0824✓1.006682022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.198773-4.67%0.1796-13.86%0.0648✓0.9159k2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.8484-4.69%19.43+33.72%0.3760✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.6944-4.71%7.028+0.04%0.0931✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.806354-4.72%0.761919-9.97%0.0228✓0.8446k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,401.81-4.73%1,248.14-15.17%0.0758✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.955118-4.75%0.905877-9.66%0.0219✓0.7741k2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.282492-4.76%0.3194+7.69%0.1612✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.306061-4.77%0.29812-7.24%0.0152✓1.0333k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7012-4.78%1.5752-11.84%0.0329✓1.1025k2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8273-4.78%4.46-27.12%0.2466✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.2645-4.78%8.67-10.89%0.0128✓1.33288k2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.327449-4.92%0.2499-27.44%0.2344✓0.8989k2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1125-4.94%1.2571+7.42%0.1663✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1235-4.95%0.732-38.07%0.3640✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0003-4.96%0.8006-23.93%0.1634✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.037889-4.97%0.035845-10.10%0.0336✓0.5423k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.01635-5.00%0.013771-19.99%0.1314✓1.001,0292022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.332168-5.01%0.3005-14.07%0.0577✓1.06313k2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3814-5.06%1.407-3.30%0.0614✗1.0771k2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.43-5.07%3.81-33.39%0.3333✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008076-5.10%0.00533-37.37%0.3792✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.467747-5.12%0.426-13.59%0.0458✓1.1877k2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.782241-5.15%0.73564-10.80%0.0319✓0.7313k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011465-5.17%0.00001039-14.06%0.0595✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.8156-5.19%3.961-35.43%0.3615✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3843.9317-5.28%40.69-12.27%0.0357✓1.02363k2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.313297-5.29%0.2586-21.83%0.1475✓1.1072k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.763432-5.35%0.6504-19.37%0.1155✓1.11946k2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002674-5.42%0.002098-25.79%0.2060✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.6855-5.44%6.113-13.54%0.0450✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001168-5.49%0.0008937-27.71%0.2356✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.29336-5.52%0.277-10.79%0.0174✓0.9982k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007519-5.54%0.00571-28.27%0.2309✓1.10463k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.147449-5.54%0.153-1.99%0.0844✗1.189132022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023319-5.56%0.024977+1.15%0.0704✗0.04471k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,513.59-5.58%7,725.27-14.33%0.0429✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.04034-5.59%0.03722-12.89%0.0529✓0.6814k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.131343-5.64%0.1172-15.80%0.0746✓0.98128k2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.281172-5.65%0.2072-30.47%0.2664✓0.9774k2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.065225-5.65%0.071+2.71%0.0928✗0.20354k2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.045185-5.67%0.0379-20.88%0.1314✓1.10177k2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.4324-5.67%11.09-15.86%0.0690✓1.12925k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.575142-5.71%0.536-12.13%0.0285✓1.04114k2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.622469-5.77%0.5935-10.16%0.0124✓1.49210k2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.5672-5.78%6.09-12.63%0.0331✓1.05224k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003589-5.79%0.00324-14.96%0.0647✓0.9495k2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.103997-5.80%0.0666-39.67%0.4230✓0.56182k2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.458141-5.83%0.3679-24.38%0.1866✓0.81422k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.018894-5.86%0.01727-13.95%0.0662✓0.59173k2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.518126-5.86%0.4902-10.94%0.0311✓0.60871k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.8891-5.88%2.9712-28.09%0.2428✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4631-5.92%2.208-15.66%0.0770✓0.80523k2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.055502-5.93%0.053-10.17%0.0021✓1.20568k2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.0721-5.94%11.342-18.39%0.0917✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.135778-5.97%0.1342-7.06%0.0275✓0.97336k2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9113-5.98%1.5924-21.67%0.1398✓1.0613k2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.0827-5.99%5.61-13.29%0.0614✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.3265-6.00%3.7246-19.08%0.0966✓1.32118k2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.15293-6.09%0.13775-15.41%0.0628✓1.04271k2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.376781-6.13%0.3269-18.56%0.0959✓1.1467k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8381-6.15%0.9616-50.90%0.6187✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.328395-6.17%0.319-8.86%0.0095✓0.961,1592022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.031583-6.20%0.02754-18.21%0.0948✓1.0532k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.926.1596-6.24%24.71-11.43%0.0049✓1.54159k2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.101368-6.31%0.0879-18.76%0.0908✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.486708-6.40%0.439-15.58%0.0585✓1.1166k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.8755-6.43%3.061-26.10%0.2211✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.8048-6.45%4.551-11.39%0.0016✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.392584-6.53%0.35148-16.32%0.0730✓0.93392k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.6992-6.55%14.34-14.64%0.0678✓0.57396k2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4503-6.61%1.479-4.76%0.0475✓0.6929k2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.2138-6.63%1.06-18.46%0.0945✓1.0258k2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.2893-6.64%13.225+9.37%0.1731✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1602-6.73%1.068-14.15%0.0338✓1.22323k2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.858543-6.78%0.836-9.23%0.0081✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.661696-6.80%0.52-26.76%0.2311✓0.2442k2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4296-6.85%1.3832-9.88%0.0082✓1.02246k2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8351.9862-6.88%54.83-1.79%0.0989✗1.138,6412022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.179761-7.05%0.1844-4.65%0.0626✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.8868-7.05%1.6-21.18%0.1161✓1.21227k2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.9118-7.13%3.817-9.38%0.0125✓0.92245k2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3078-7.25%1.531+8.58%0.2056✗1.1943k2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1506-7.30%1.85-20.26%0.1260✓0.61247k2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.4106-7.84%5.141-12.43%0.0121✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.180185-8.21%0.1351-31.18%0.2571✓0.7730k2022-10-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000328427-8.28%0.00027827-22.28%0.1619✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7082-8.36%1.511-18.94%0.0666✓1.39967k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2932.3267-8.40%23.01-34.80%0.2794✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.0061-8.72%3.9876-39.40%0.4030✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.053857-9.50%0.05517-7.29%0.0724✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.29e-7-9.57%4.93e-7-29.22%0.2104✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.4749-10.50%4.5312-37.37%0.3454✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.