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2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2426
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.7%
in alpha space · 86.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000305013-14.82%0.00027827-22.28%0.0879✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09210.7672-10.96%13.225+9.37%0.2204✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.1592-10.83%1.06-18.46%0.0485✓1.0258k2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.23e-7-10.44%4.93e-7-29.22%0.2007✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8350.0717-10.31%54.83-1.79%0.1364✗1.138,6412022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.2678-10.27%5.141-12.43%0.0147✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.7883-10.06%3.817-9.38%0.0446✓0.92245k2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.5157-9.94%4.5312-37.37%0.3516✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.599031-9.32%0.5935-10.16%0.0508✓1.49210k2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.178497-9.07%0.1351-31.18%0.2477✓0.7730k2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.585.9914-8.95%3.9876-39.40%0.4006✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.7745-8.66%2.9712-28.09%0.2129✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.2892-8.57%1.531+8.58%0.2200✗1.1943k2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.054415-8.56%0.05517-7.29%0.0621✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.649913-8.46%0.52-26.76%0.2132✓0.2442k2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.558873-8.38%0.536-12.13%0.0002✓1.04114k2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.1193-8.05%11.09-15.86%0.0435✓1.12925k2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.316863-8.00%0.2499-27.44%0.2015✓0.8989k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7187-7.80%1.511-18.94%0.0728✓1.39967k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.925.7311-7.77%24.71-11.43%0.0214✓1.54159k2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4151-7.75%2.208-15.66%0.0573✓0.80523k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.480001-7.69%0.439-15.58%0.0446✓1.1166k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2932.6837-7.39%23.01-34.80%0.2904✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.815.5771-7.28%14.34-14.64%0.0600✓0.57396k2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.452471-6.99%0.3679-24.38%0.1742✓0.81422k2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.13434-6.97%0.1342-7.06%0.0382✓0.97336k2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.390845-6.94%0.35148-16.32%0.0685✓0.93392k2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.1428-6.94%6.57-24.91%0.1921✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.037516-6.91%0.0342-15.14%0.0609✓0.799,5132022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.102775-6.91%0.0666-39.67%0.4112✓0.56182k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.145391-6.86%0.153-1.99%0.0985✗1.189132022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.151685-6.85%0.13775-15.41%0.0546✓1.04271k2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.8486-6.76%2.773-9.23%0.0112✓0.39759k2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000041-6.71%0.00003711-15.56%0.0662✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.100973-6.68%0.0879-18.76%0.0869✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023068-6.58%0.024977+1.15%0.0812✗0.04471k2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89712.9883-6.54%11.342-18.39%0.0853✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1618-6.52%1.0884-12.43%0.0214✓1.09922k2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1632-6.50%1.068-14.15%0.0363✓1.22323k2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.300545-6.49%0.29812-7.24%0.0334✓1.0333k2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.791654-6.46%0.8267-2.32%0.1028✗1.4894k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.8993-6.44%1.6-21.18%0.1227✓1.21227k2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.729-6.39%4.46-27.12%0.2295✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.327666-6.30%0.3005-14.07%0.0440✓1.06313k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016127-6.30%0.013771-19.99%0.1177✓1.001,0292022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.181229-6.29%0.1844-4.65%0.0545✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.309998-6.29%0.2586-21.83%0.1369✓1.1072k2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003159-6.27%0.00306-9.20%0.0060✓0.94483k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.3181-6.19%3.7246-19.08%0.0947✓1.32118k2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005833-6.16%0.00599-3.64%0.0399✓0.3330k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007472-6.13%0.00571-28.27%0.2246✓1.10463k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.757339-6.11%0.6504-19.37%0.1074✓1.11946k2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.357918-6.10%0.39142+2.69%0.1278✗0.9531k2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.007993-6.08%0.00533-37.37%0.3689✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4423-6.03%1.3832-9.88%0.0006✓1.02246k2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1803-6.02%1.85-20.26%0.1398✓0.61247k2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001162-6.02%0.0008937-27.71%0.2300✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.7655-6.01%3.961-35.43%0.3528✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.866359-5.93%0.836-9.23%0.0172✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1028-5.77%1.2571+7.42%0.1750✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.272717-5.76%0.246962-14.66%0.0600✓0.97487k2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.8472-5.75%3.097-24.13%0.1964✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,504.27-5.69%7,725.27-14.33%0.0418✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.041628-5.60%0.0344-22.00%0.1440✓1.16546k2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.465524-5.57%0.426-13.59%0.0411✓1.1877k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.8567-5.44%4.551-11.39%0.0123✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.056396-5.43%0.059662+0.04%0.0949✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,392.24-5.38%1,248.14-15.17%0.0690✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.01041-5.35%0.009275-15.67%0.0752✓1.006682022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.5057-5.35%23.44-9.46%0.0043✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.293909-5.34%0.277-10.79%0.0192✓0.9982k2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9249-5.31%1.5924-21.67%0.1469✓1.0613k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003609-5.28%0.00324-14.96%0.0702✓0.9495k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.857-5.19%0.9616-50.90%0.6289✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.4253-5.15%3.81-33.39%0.3324✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.055962-5.15%0.053-10.17%0.0061✓1.20568k2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9182-5.14%1.535-24.09%0.1747✓1.1930k2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.7838-5.14%19.43+33.72%0.3807✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.253314-5.10%0.20766-22.20%0.1632✓0.8815k2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.282915-5.06%0.2072-30.47%0.2726✓0.9774k2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.6174-5.06%6.09-12.63%0.0407✓1.05224k2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56648.9714-5.03%50.036-2.97%0.0557✗0.85246k2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.1961-5.02%3.04-31.19%0.2820✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.7153-5.02%6.113-13.54%0.0494✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011495-4.92%0.00001039-14.06%0.0621✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019197-4.92%0.01784-11.64%0.0480✓0.6312k2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.332846-4.90%0.319-8.86%0.0039✓0.961,1592022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.254827-4.88%0.2551-4.78%0.0408✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.953852-4.88%0.905877-9.66%0.0206✓0.7741k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.128222-4.85%0.12034-10.70%0.0175✓1.14151k2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.102382-4.85%0.0911-15.33%0.0827✓0.84188k2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.065778-4.85%0.071+2.71%0.0844✗0.20354k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.132457-4.84%0.1172-15.80%0.0830✓0.98128k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7005-4.82%1.5752-11.84%0.0325✓1.1025k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.0965-4.81%0.978-15.10%0.0768✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7741.6641-4.81%40.41-7.68%0.0109✓1.03312k2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.7312-4.80%4.2295-14.90%0.1086✓0.09119k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9438-4.79%3.061-26.10%0.2386✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.032066-4.76%0.02754-18.21%0.1099✓1.0532k2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0033-4.68%0.8006-23.93%0.1664✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.045671-4.65%0.0379-20.88%0.1421✓1.10177k2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.3808-4.63%10.1346-15.08%0.0766✓0.9821k2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.567492-4.62%0.563-5.38%0.0321✓1.00178k2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.118563-4.62%0.1168-6.03%0.0274✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001461-4.59%0.001276-16.66%0.1080✓0.676,5532022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7031-4.59%1.495-16.25%0.0652✓1.6265k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019163-4.52%0.01727-13.95%0.0803✓0.59173k2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.5982-4.44%2.183-19.71%0.1147✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.1829-4.44%5.61-13.29%0.0777✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.2991-4.43%8.67-10.89%0.0165✓1.33288k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.081076-4.39%0.082-3.30%0.0502✗0.9711k2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9256.3337-4.39%50.94-13.54%0.0562✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.526318-4.38%0.4902-10.94%0.0468✓0.60871k2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.809558-4.34%0.761919-9.97%0.0268✓0.8446k2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002705-4.31%0.002098-25.79%0.2178✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.283831-4.30%0.3194+7.69%0.1565✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6112.6051-4.25%108.8-7.48%0.0119✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.3933-4.24%1.407-3.30%0.0529✗1.0771k2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.056887-4.23%0.0671+12.96%0.2075✗1.0578k2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.4377-4.19%40.69-12.27%0.0471✓1.02363k2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.252069-4.16%0.23-12.55%0.0620✓0.74534k2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.596345-4.12%0.53-14.79%0.0740✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.1362-4.12%5.03-21.41%0.1598✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.229-4.12%12.53-15.57%0.0782✓1.2275k2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.190933-4.05%0.1711-14.02%0.0689✓1.01132k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.120241-4.04%0.1164-7.10%0.0123✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019618-3.97%0.0198-3.08%0.0506✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.038297-3.95%0.035845-10.10%0.0443✓0.5423k2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.445406-3.95%0.3769-18.72%0.1281✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6138-3.94%1.553-7.56%0.0004✓0.94627k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.982243-3.92%0.9674-5.37%0.0044✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3551-3.89%1.66+17.73%0.1986✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005675-3.80%0.005472-7.24%0.0107✓0.641,9622022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1375-3.76%0.732-38.07%0.3764✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043529-3.70%0.0333-26.33%0.2336✓0.85142k2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.38e-7-3.67%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0568✓0.6915k2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.161252-3.66%0.14863-11.20%0.0533✓0.703542022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.156.9419-3.65%51.09-13.55%0.0695✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040624-3.65%0.038379-8.97%0.0207✓0.9028k2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.7692-3.64%7.028+0.04%0.0820✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.70517-3.60%0.63573-13.09%0.0603✓1.08624k2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047829-3.57%0.0541+9.07%0.1580✗0.86234k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005429-3.57%0.0048-14.74%0.0966✓0.66911k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.446183-3.53%0.4211-8.95%0.0128✓1.12366k2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.8228-3.50%6.15+1.92%0.1089✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.089166-3.50%0.0998+8.01%0.1534✗1.01336k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035229-3.43%0.03232-11.40%0.0576✓0.712,2982022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.04129-3.37%0.03722-12.89%0.0762✓0.6814k2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.850124-3.35%0.7636-13.19%0.0585✓1.21899k2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.882466-3.34%0.847-7.23%0.0043✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.159514-3.32%0.1439-12.79%0.0577✓1.131,7442022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.3518-3.29%3.53-21.56%0.1865✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.388431-3.23%0.3269-18.56%0.1264✓1.1467k2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.33e-7-3.19%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0496✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.9563-3.19%30.49-7.63%0.0013✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0114-3.18%4.3617+5.27%0.1129✗0.72696k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.420277-3.16%0.38-12.44%0.0588✓1.047,9852022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.5041-3.15%1.479-4.76%0.0111✓0.6929k2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.203756-3.11%0.1528-27.34%0.2580✓0.7467k2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2548.9664-3.11%9.399+1.57%0.0804✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,550.90-3.09%19,378.65-3.95%0.0314✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.9306-3.07%2.6695-11.70%0.0526✓1.0120k2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44141.0721-3.00%142.89-1.75%0.0527✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.388853-2.98%0.3093-22.83%0.1889✓0.99202k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.062764-2.96%0.05314-17.84%0.1307✓0.897802022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011794-2.95%0.010334-14.96%0.0987✓0.83882k2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1019,649.74-2.90%19,353.70-4.37%0.0218✓0.9215k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.301051-2.78%0.327+5.60%0.1084✗0.64326k2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.801933-2.76%0.73564-10.80%0.0567✓0.7313k2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.101769-2.76%0.1121+7.11%0.1317✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.20281-2.73%0.1796-13.86%0.0849✓0.9159k2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.5369-2.64%4.61-1.07%0.0496✗0.83839k2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.094256-2.63%0.0743-23.24%0.2091✓0.722,9132022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.210622-2.54%0.225+4.12%0.1010✗0.87527k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.3918-2.53%15.65-17.06%0.1072✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001481-2.52%0.001497-1.45%0.0408✗0.74353k2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9780.9445-2.44%70.96-14.48%0.0727✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035245-2.37%0.0319-11.63%0.0592✓1.0190k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022653-2.23%0.02101-9.32%0.0344✓1.022,9582022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8795.828-2.09%160.75+64.25%0.5545✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7727-2.06%2.79+54.14%0.4721✗0.4656k2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012263-2.05%0.01008-19.49%0.1711✓0.62233k2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.059448-2.03%0.060975+0.48%0.0434✗0.45123k2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.056056-2.00%0.0499-12.76%0.0839✓0.8090k2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.500169-1.54%0.41049-19.19%0.1453✓1.3041k2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.066869-1.52%0.06122-9.84%0.0497✓0.9625k2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.18698-1.49%0.141-25.71%0.2411✓1.02101k2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.134652-1.35%0.1133-17.00%0.1516✓0.5283k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,563.73-0.70%1,286.96-18.27%0.1421✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.205+0.03%14.3-5.92%0.0298✗0.781.4M2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.450469+0.33%0.319-28.95%0.2984✗1.164,5592022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.