8=======>

2022-09-11 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2548
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.9%
in alpha space · 97.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.126842-0.12%0.1131-10.94%0.1141✓0.0183k2022-09-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.5511-0.17%14.09-15.02%0.0689✓0.791.5M2022-09-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,750.42-0.94%1,334.72-24.46%0.1104✓1.37575.8M2022-09-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.509655-1.04%0.384-25.44%0.1390✓1.234,2692022-09-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8803-1.04%2.25+18.42%0.2355✗0.4861k2022-09-18
TRXTRONTron0.064190.0635-1.07%0.060789-5.30%0.0138✗0.49123k2022-09-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.025189-1.22%0.02202-13.65%0.0021✓1.132,9142022-09-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012772-1.22%0.01153-10.83%0.0250✓0.66233k2022-09-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.074518-1.25%0.06225-17.51%0.0611✓1.0124k2022-09-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038804-1.26%0.0332-15.52%0.0364✓1.0288k2022-09-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.112901-1.30%0.1072-6.28%0.0519✗0.896.4M2022-09-18
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.5509-1.31%31.1-11.17%0.0363✗1.2154.5M2022-09-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.4035-1.38%16.72-19.19%0.0384✓1.3718.0M2022-09-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.20765-1.40%0.1768-16.05%0.0257✓1.15108k2022-09-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.5744-1.41%4.22-9.05%0.0082✓0.621.4M2022-09-18
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6390.3249-1.42%73.06-20.27%0.0324✓1.535.6M2022-09-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.959821-1.46%0.879-9.75%0.0527✗1.201.5M2022-09-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.326541-1.46%0.43553+31.43%0.3703✗0.70326k2022-09-18
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2667-1.46%4.1187-4.88%0.0506✗0.73690k2022-09-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.6308-1.46%1.531-7.49%0.0244✗0.7536k2022-09-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3992-1.47%1.42+0.00%0.0019✓-0.14124k2022-09-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.609-1.50%8.956-8.19%0.0309✗0.861.2M2022-09-18
QNTQuantEthereum108.82107.1678-1.52%104.08-4.36%0.0824✗0.953.5M2022-09-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038999-1.52%0.03461-12.60%0.0385✓0.692,1832022-09-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.418983-1.53%0.3151-25.95%0.1552✓1.11202k2022-09-18
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.913527-1.54%0.785842-15.30%0.0486✓0.8749k2022-09-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.838406-1.57%0.78032-8.39%0.0208✗0.7913k2022-09-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.101083-1.57%0.0931-9.35%0.0078✓0.772,6892022-09-18
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.96e-7-1.58%7.90e-7-13.19%0.0382✓0.741.7M2022-09-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.3433-1.60%5.19-4.42%0.0484✗0.662.0M2022-09-18
XMRMoneroMonero159.22156.6758-1.60%140.49-11.76%0.0060✓0.981.3M2022-09-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006208-1.60%0.0063-0.14%0.0598✗0.3830k2022-09-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,317.10-1.60%19,440.70-10.26%0.0153✓0.9213k2022-09-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0108-1.62%0.9352-8.98%0.0108✓0.572.6M2022-09-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0171-1.63%4.63-9.22%0.0210✗0.86859k2022-09-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9794-1.65%4.6704-7.75%0.0567✓0.06117k2022-09-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.210576-1.65%0.1831-14.48%0.0122✓1.09138k2022-09-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.95874-1.65%0.8289-14.97%0.0033✓1.27899k2022-09-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.95e-7-1.65%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0243✓0.7515k2022-09-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.2517-1.66%2.8489-13.84%0.0098✓1.0419k2022-09-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012973-1.67%0.011882-9.94%0.0112✓0.85920k2022-09-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049952-1.67%0.0491-3.35%0.0933✗0.94234k2022-09-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.6165-1.69%6.01-10.70%0.0373✓0.502.1M2022-09-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2805-1.69%3.731-14.31%0.0938✓0.372.2M2022-09-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,463.05-1.69%19,417.64-11.06%0.0170✗1.00473.4M2022-09-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.1287-1.69%52.65-15.33%0.0270✓1.0413.5M2022-09-18
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.231024-1.69%0.2197-6.51%0.0516✗0.87503k2022-09-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.503292-1.70%0.4415-13.77%0.0071✓1.18384k2022-09-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.545598-1.70%0.4662-16.01%0.0001✓1.3439k2022-09-18
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.501341-1.72%0.4478-12.21%0.0052✓1.0138.3M2022-09-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020933-1.72%0.01968-7.61%0.0086✓0.60206k2022-09-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001531-1.74%0.001548-0.64%0.1011✗0.77353k2022-09-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.66399-1.78%0.552-18.34%0.0505✓1.153.5M2022-09-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.097914-1.79%0.0912-8.53%0.0470✗1.01336k2022-09-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.1797-1.80%0.1496-18.25%0.0464✓1.171,7442022-09-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.4619-1.82%48.437-11.05%0.0028✓0.87275k2022-09-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.436327-1.84%0.3859-13.18%0.0143✓1.1781k2022-09-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.226051-1.85%0.1954-15.15%0.0409✓0.8957k2022-09-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.092346-1.86%0.0811-13.82%0.0139✓0.9914k2022-09-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.059961-1.86%0.0557-8.84%0.0267✗0.8682k2022-09-18
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.1603-1.88%13.34-19.00%0.0450✓1.2584k2022-09-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.045754-1.90%0.04034-13.51%0.0504✓0.6414k2022-09-18
DASHDashDash48.3547.4286-1.91%40.12-17.02%0.0410✓1.08321k2022-09-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.3672-1.91%5.466-15.79%0.0113✓1.406.9M2022-09-18
KSMKusamaHydration51.950.9091-1.91%39.58-23.74%0.1327✓1.02395k2022-09-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.063254-1.93%0.0619-4.03%0.0993✗1.0379k2022-09-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.041503-1.94%0.039181-7.42%0.0043✓0.5323k2022-09-18
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.130709-1.94%0.1208-9.38%0.0602✗1.191.4M2022-09-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048729-1.95%0.0427-14.08%0.0324✓0.85138k2022-09-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002847-1.96%0.002574-11.36%0.0045✓0.901.2M2022-09-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2264-1.97%1.065-14.87%0.0316✓0.931.1M2022-09-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.787823-1.98%0.70221-12.63%0.0183✓1.14584k2022-09-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.226529-2.02%0.1846-20.16%0.1148✓0.7766k2022-09-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.037046-2.02%0.03069-18.83%0.0628✓1.0745k2022-09-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.062401-2.05%0.0573-10.05%0.0331✗1.011.3M2022-09-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.148694-2.05%0.129-15.02%0.0245✓1.00110k2022-09-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.635674-2.05%0.572-11.86%0.0150✓1.03178k2022-09-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001602-2.06%0.001429-12.65%0.0346✓0.686,5532022-09-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.170547-2.06%0.16044-7.87%0.0307✗0.783512022-09-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.050915-2.09%0.042-19.23%0.0555✓1.17190k2022-09-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.319589-2.09%0.293-10.23%0.0288✗0.995.9M2022-09-18
ZECZcashZcash64.2762.9278-2.09%53.33-17.02%0.0273✓1.181.2M2022-09-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.286179-2.09%0.2517-13.89%0.0094✓1.022.6M2022-09-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.07258-2.10%0.06377-13.99%0.1135✓0.14378k2022-09-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.134874-2.12%0.1145-16.91%0.0326✓1.122.9M2022-09-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.113144-2.12%0.0991-14.27%0.0298✓0.88169k2022-09-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1737.0203-2.13%5.851-18.43%0.0638✓1.014.3M2022-09-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.3112-2.13%3.699-16.03%0.0898✓0.542.3M2022-09-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0631-2.13%0.954978-12.09%0.0171✓0.7734k2022-09-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.8588-2.13%7.523-6.31%0.0887✗1.1317.5M2022-09-18
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,621.37-2.14%1,293.99-21.90%0.1084✓1.003.4M2022-09-18
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.6101-2.15%11.3049-12.27%0.0106✓1.0222k2022-09-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8987-2.17%2.44-17.65%0.0113✓1.572.9M2022-09-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.9467-2.18%1.646-17.29%0.0337✗1.7260k2022-09-18
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.2825-2.18%23.45-15.92%0.0319✓1.026.8M2022-09-18
HIVEHivenative0.57920.566573-2.18%0.512-11.60%0.0284✓0.62826k2022-09-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012706-2.19%0.00001061-18.32%0.0610✓1.021.0M2022-09-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9638-2.19%1.4393-28.31%0.2110✓0.851.4M2022-09-18
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.3712-2.20%0.929-33.74%0.1870✓1.732.7M2022-09-18
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.045757-2.20%0.039656-15.24%0.0384✓0.8928k2022-09-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.023445-2.20%0.026132+9.01%0.1170✗0.07455k2022-09-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8815-2.21%1.6754-12.93%0.0152✓1.1223k2022-09-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35127.4499-2.22%111.83-14.21%0.0082✓1.194.4M2022-09-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.4231-2.24%5.56-15.37%0.0807✓0.542.1M2022-09-18
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.396201-2.24%0.37245-8.10%0.0570✗1.0132k2022-09-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7969-2.24%1.433-22.03%0.1062✓1.02627k2022-09-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.978-2.24%8.65-22.97%0.0787✓1.36298k2022-09-18
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.7861-2.24%3.918-19.98%0.0830✓1.001.4M2022-09-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.140592-2.24%0.12379-13.93%0.0148✓1.21151k2022-09-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004095-2.26%0.00356-15.04%0.0292✓0.95103k2022-09-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4825-2.28%1.336-11.93%0.0276✗1.1271k2022-09-18
PROPropyEthereum0.720.703589-2.28%0.69-4.17%0.0077✓0.2346k2022-09-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.28617-2.30%0.2612-10.82%0.0352✗1.0883k2022-09-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.5239-2.31%6.443-16.35%0.0182✓1.1710.0M2022-09-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1555-2.32%0.935-20.96%0.0290✓1.564.4M2022-09-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.343486-2.33%0.30461-13.39%0.0062✓1.0834k2022-09-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.203436-2.34%0.2313+11.04%0.2457✗1.003.2M2022-09-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.7168-2.34%2.396-13.87%0.0336✓0.79586k2022-09-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006381-2.38%0.005544-15.18%0.0619✓0.672,0442022-09-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.9919-2.40%5.554-9.53%0.0015✓0.663.1M2022-09-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.278148-2.40%0.254-10.88%0.0008✓0.78563k2022-09-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2825-2.44%1.2237-6.91%0.0787✗1.071.0M2022-09-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.317-2.44%12.84-18.22%0.0575✓1.011.8M2022-09-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021349-2.46%0.020014-8.56%0.0082✓0.6212k2022-09-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022744-2.47%0.01917-17.80%0.0464✓1.069.7M2022-09-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.048862-2.47%0.037-26.15%0.1415✓1.17536k2022-09-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001334-2.47%0.001075-21.36%0.1166✓0.842.2M2022-09-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.7548-2.51%7.93-11.69%0.0286✓0.602.4M2022-09-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.4369-2.53%6.16-19.27%0.0590✓1.10230k2022-09-18
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6428-2.53%1.4386-14.65%0.0081✓1.06241k2022-09-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.305774-2.55%0.266614-15.03%0.0215✓0.99471k2022-09-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009197-2.57%0.00752-20.34%0.0884✓0.963.2M2022-09-18
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.341097-2.57%0.3429-2.06%0.1285✗1.057782022-09-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036235-2.59%0.0363-2.42%0.1043✗0.877,8252022-09-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.1448-2.60%1.808-17.89%0.0206✓1.2832k2022-09-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.997349-2.60%0.864-15.62%0.0959✓0.412.7M2022-09-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.064473-2.61%0.0565-14.65%0.0119✓1.23555k2022-09-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.528826-2.61%0.468-13.81%0.0212✓1.2274k2022-09-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.150357-2.68%0.1381-10.61%0.0341✗1.02336k2022-09-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.121964-2.74%0.1002-20.10%0.1238✓0.62191k2022-09-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.323681-2.74%0.299-10.16%0.0434✗1.0575k2022-09-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.173013-2.74%0.14138-20.52%0.0771✓1.07268k2022-09-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.864088-2.75%0.8499-4.34%0.1672✗1.5794k2022-09-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.7129-2.77%4.9458+2.04%0.2279✗1.53129k2022-09-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.501338-2.78%0.4395-14.78%0.0315✓0.85418k2022-09-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.351819-2.79%0.3025-16.41%0.0126✓1.1872k2022-09-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,910.73-2.79%8,342.07-18.17%0.0036✓1.444.2M2022-09-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.2409-2.81%1.7772-22.92%0.0986✓1.1413k2022-09-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69915.2538-2.84%14.707-6.32%0.1154✗1.3018.7M2022-09-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.3302-2.84%1.165-14.90%0.0163✓1.27343k2022-09-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.163214-2.85%0.1415-15.77%0.0125✓1.321,0012022-09-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.00642-2.87%0.00503-23.90%0.1690✓0.64911k2022-09-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.841337-2.88%0.7498-13.45%0.0230✓1.18946k2022-09-18
STXStacksnative0.39030.378969-2.90%0.3266-16.32%0.0224✓1.08324k2022-09-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5536-2.90%2.09-20.53%0.1275✓0.62262k2022-09-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.070942-2.91%0.06413-12.23%0.0131✓0.977022022-09-18
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000044289-2.92%0.00003918-14.12%0.0190✓0.882.5M2022-09-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2645-2.95%1.0284-21.07%0.0719✓1.151.1M2022-09-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008186-3.01%0.00744-11.85%0.0426✗1.18406k2022-09-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.28265-3.02%0.25124-13.80%0.0127✓0.9015k2022-09-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.5085-3.05%5.086-10.49%0.0853✗1.416.4M2022-09-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.113122-3.07%0.1-14.31%0.0217✓1.242.5M2022-09-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5637.3673-3.09%29.61-23.21%0.0469✓1.5910.6M2022-09-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2576-3.11%1.79-23.18%0.0809✓1.29227k2022-09-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.442574-3.11%0.38485-15.75%0.0219✓1.01379k2022-09-18
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017704-3.15%0.015-17.94%0.0485✓1.008742022-09-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.1728-3.21%2.925-10.77%0.0374✓0.38720k2022-09-18
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2553.4301-3.29%47.61-13.83%0.0356✗1.298,9662022-09-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.495803-3.35%0.426-16.96%0.0272✓1.067,7812022-09-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.662544-3.42%0.592-13.70%0.0137✓1.08111k2022-09-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.709683-3.46%0.6036-17.89%0.0180✓1.53226k2022-09-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9318.2708-3.48%15.52-18.01%0.0992✓0.55384k2022-09-18
METISMetisEthereum31.9830.859-3.51%23.19-27.49%0.0861✓1.70168k2022-09-18
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010917-3.51%0.011219-0.84%0.1445✗1.006302022-09-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.0481-3.52%12.03-17.38%0.0155✓1.19925k2022-09-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.341-3.55%3.847-14.53%0.0100✓0.95286k2022-09-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.508-3.65%3.63-22.42%0.1457✓0.618.1M2022-09-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.8842-3.67%5.6084-21.53%0.1927✓0.109.1M2022-09-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.572789-3.73%0.473-20.50%0.0557✓1.1664k2022-09-18
FLOWFlownative2.1162.0328-3.93%1.653-21.88%0.0397✓1.43967k2022-09-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.062617-3.98%0.05724-12.22%0.0569✗1.251.3M2022-09-18
XVGVergenative0.003810.003658-3.98%0.00322-15.49%0.0091✓1.01481k2022-09-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.579-4.19%1.197-27.37%0.1315✓1.2443k2022-09-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59412.0555-4.28%12.26-2.65%0.0608✗0.3816.0M2022-09-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.99e-7-4.28%5.65e-7-22.56%0.1108✓0.862.3M2022-09-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.2837-4.28%6.0254-20.82%0.1601✓0.2511.9M2022-09-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.316233-4.40%0.2724-17.65%0.0598✓0.7684k2022-09-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3942-4.51%1.17-19.86%0.0499✓1.0779k2022-09-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4176.0867-5.15%5.265-17.95%0.0320✓0.966.2M2022-09-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000403194-6.53%0.00027312-36.69%0.3460✓0.372.1M2022-09-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.239414-8.31%0.1267-51.47%0.5422✓0.8024k2022-09-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.