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2022-09-10 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2825
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.2367-1.34%15.09-13.62%0.0490✓0.681.6M2022-10-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.063348-1.92%0.06275-2.84%0.0666✗0.62129k2022-10-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.853-1.96%2.42+28.04%0.3295✗0.5161k2022-10-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.058578-2.04%0.048-19.73%0.0908✓0.8881k2022-10-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.505109-2.11%0.347-32.75%0.2335✓1.154,5592022-10-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.8329-2.28%4.0725-17.65%0.1595✓0.09115k2022-10-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.127459-2.48%0.1201-8.11%0.0586✓0.0183k2022-10-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.03684-2.80%0.0363-4.22%0.0770✗0.747,8252022-10-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.204103-2.81%0.1511-28.05%0.1581✓1.15108k2022-10-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,106.21-2.88%19,152.00-11.87%0.0193✓0.9413k2022-10-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.038628-2.90%0.03408-14.33%0.0315✓0.762,2982022-10-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,015.33-2.94%19,132.83-11.63%0.0298✓1.00473.4M2022-10-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.062803-2.98%0.059392-8.25%0.0680✗1.001.3M2022-10-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.407793-3.00%0.3127-25.62%0.1380✓1.03209k2022-10-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.063761-3.10%0.0602-8.51%0.0419✗0.8081k2022-10-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.111053-3.19%0.123692+7.83%0.2106✗0.836.5M2022-10-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3261.2789-3.22%52.63-16.88%0.0345✓0.9513.5M2022-10-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,717.31-3.23%1,290.06-27.31%0.1248✓1.30591.2M2022-10-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.53827-3.26%0.4444-20.13%0.0405✓1.2239k2022-10-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.180019-3.27%0.1562-16.07%0.0238✓1.341,5202022-10-10
SOLSolanaSolana35.0733.9028-3.33%31.95-8.90%0.0690✗1.0458.3M2022-10-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.80e-7-3.35%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0402✓0.7515k2022-10-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.100107-3.37%0.0821-20.75%0.1110✓0.712,6892022-10-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.01261-3.45%0.01132-13.32%0.0191✓0.72228k2022-10-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.073333-3.48%0.06087-19.89%0.0488✓1.1125k2022-10-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.3207-3.49%0.34896+5.01%0.1731✗0.72327k2022-10-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.037983-3.60%0.0329-16.50%0.0390✓0.8584k2022-10-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.003103-3.63%0.00326+1.24%0.1656✗0.94481k2022-10-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.47101.6023-3.67%151.15+43.31%0.4907✗0.763.4M2022-10-10
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7489.3292-3.68%73.6-20.64%0.0178✓1.425.6M2022-10-10
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.6358-3.68%3.218-33.14%0.2414✓1.001.2M2022-10-10
GTGateEthereum4.3244.1635-3.71%4.3574+0.77%0.1383✗0.75702k2022-10-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.493192-3.75%0.4012-21.70%0.0995✓0.8637.9M2022-10-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.203627-3.77%0.1844-12.85%0.0448✗1.16139k2022-10-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.271163-3.77%0.2643-6.21%0.0718✗0.7984k2022-10-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.51151.5349-3.79%142.31-9.65%0.0621✗1.011.3M2022-10-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.133759-3.84%0.1217-12.51%0.0348✓0.482.9M2022-10-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.005989-3.85%0.006179-0.79%0.0857✗0.4433k2022-10-10
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.388133-3.85%0.38835-3.79%0.1163✗0.9431k2022-10-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.024476-3.90%0.02272-10.80%0.0993✗1.412,9582022-10-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012553-3.92%0.010998-15.83%0.0568✓0.61929k2022-10-10
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000042798-3.95%0.00003879-12.95%0.0012✓0.792.5M2022-10-10
ZECZcashZcash65.3362.7369-3.97%52.65-19.41%0.0300✓1.171.2M2022-10-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.114.9034-4.04%4.88-4.50%0.0957✗0.81943k2022-10-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.219974-4.07%0.2229-2.79%0.1178✗0.85503k2022-10-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.3768-4.08%8.752-10.47%0.0445✗0.921.2M2022-10-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7157-4.10%1.635-8.61%0.0569✗0.85627k2022-10-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.164208-4.13%–pending––1.712952022-10-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.27-4.15%1.1707-11.65%0.0309✓0.911.1M2022-10-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048687-4.16%0.0551+8.46%0.2462✗0.99234k2022-10-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.06619-4.22%0.06086-11.94%0.0310✓0.936022022-10-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.6926.5156-4.24%23.56-14.92%0.0016✓0.976.8M2022-10-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.220132-4.25%0.161-29.97%0.2181✓0.7767k2022-10-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.650656-4.32%0.559-17.79%0.0120✓1.133.7M2022-10-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.169-4.34%1.035-15.30%0.0049✓0.941.1M2022-10-10
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.043746-4.35%0.040114-12.29%0.0110✓0.7928k2022-10-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.628077-4.40%0.576-12.33%0.0267✓0.92178k2022-10-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.01049-4.41%0.010135-7.65%0.0892✗1.006082022-10-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.1065-4.41%3.324-22.63%0.1576✓0.442.1M2022-10-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.6212-4.42%7.19-20.29%0.1267✓0.442.2M2022-10-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.1032-4.43%13.12-22.14%0.0714✓1.0885k2022-10-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03410.988001-4.46%0.9327-9.81%0.0052✓0.512.7M2022-10-10
DASHDashDash48.7746.5924-4.47%41.83-14.23%0.0097✓0.95328k2022-10-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23652.7511-4.50%48-13.10%0.0044✓0.73284k2022-10-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001478-4.51%0.00151-2.45%0.1160✗0.77343k2022-10-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.4209-4.52%3.91-15.55%0.0609✓0.501.3M2022-10-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.1654-4.52%4.35-19.59%0.1207✓0.412.0M2022-10-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.094995-4.53%0.0801-19.50%0.0647✓0.8613k2022-10-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3652-4.53%1.59+11.19%0.1462✗-0.05124k2022-10-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.93324-4.58%0.844-13.70%0.0489✗1.211.5M2022-10-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,591.17-4.74%1,251.04-25.11%0.1168✓1.003.4M2022-10-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.893731-4.75%0.772633-17.66%0.0489✓0.7849k2022-10-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018045-4.75%0.014562-23.14%0.0908✓1.006792022-10-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.1525-4.76%5.09-21.21%0.1362✓0.432.2M2022-10-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.136861-4.77%0.12369-13.94%0.0369✓1.12157k2022-10-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.210157-4.82%0.1907-13.63%0.0171✓0.9257k2022-10-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.005996-4.84%0.006061-3.80%0.0957✗0.692,0442022-10-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.939702-4.84%0.8062-18.36%0.0131✓1.13899k2022-10-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.306642-4.86%0.3195-0.87%0.1475✗0.865.9M2022-10-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.481316-4.86%0.4416-12.71%0.0492✓1.09384k2022-10-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467612.8113-4.87%10.738-20.27%0.0672✓0.8822k2022-10-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.8752-4.92%2.119-29.93%0.1285✓1.433.0M2022-10-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.280257-4.97%0.2601-11.80%0.0386✓0.922.7M2022-10-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.297145-4.97%0.258723-17.26%0.0158✓0.99514k2022-10-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.093971-4.98%0.1072+8.39%0.2419✗0.89336k2022-10-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005633-5.02%0.00482-18.72%0.0783✓0.63911k2022-10-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.7188-5.02%4.65-22.77%0.1549✓0.423.3M2022-10-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001521-5.02%0.001375-14.12%0.0196✓0.666,5532022-10-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.1117-5.05%1.602-27.97%0.1404✓1.1033k2022-10-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0155-5.07%0.956518-10.58%0.0391✓0.8034k2022-10-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.414-5.07%16.22-20.68%0.0349✓1.1718.5M2022-10-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.944-5.08%1.526-25.49%0.0413✓1.6260k2022-10-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.045436-5.14%0.0397-17.12%0.0255✓0.88132k2022-10-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.108596-5.16%0.0951-16.94%0.0371✓0.77169k2022-10-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.771353-5.20%0.66749-17.97%0.0418✓0.83584k2022-10-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.854944-5.22%0.8294-8.05%0.1381✗1.3694k2022-10-10
BTTCBTTC9.30e-78.81e-7-5.24%7.70e-7-17.20%0.0402✓0.771.7M2022-10-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.008889-5.24%0.00578-38.38%0.3410✓0.723.3M2022-10-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.126586-5.25%0.1203-9.96%0.0803✗1.061.4M2022-10-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.0999-5.26%2.91-11.06%0.0019✓0.50653k2022-10-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.021834-5.28%0.02172-5.77%0.0971✗0.839.2M2022-10-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000012574-5.32%0.00001021-23.12%0.0973✓0.90951k2022-10-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.040262-5.34%0.036464-14.27%0.0357✓0.5123k2022-10-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.335079-5.36%0.2881-18.63%0.0339✓0.9534k2022-10-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.7466-5.36%5.318-25.40%0.1338✓0.844.3M2022-10-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.048256-5.38%0.0369-27.65%0.1518✓0.94546k2022-10-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.3585-5.40%9.1-16.89%0.0211✓1.22298k2022-10-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.3117-5.43%6.391-4.24%0.1660✗1.246.9M2022-10-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.4742-5.46%7.34-7.16%0.1010✗0.9618.0M2022-10-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.487797-5.47%0.4-22.48%0.0760✓0.997,7812022-10-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8329-5.47%1.644-15.21%0.0209✓1.0523k2022-10-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.140905-5.50%0.125-16.16%0.0020✓0.95117k2022-10-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64125.244-5.58%111.62-15.85%0.0225✓1.114.4M2022-10-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.2603-5.60%1.2607-5.57%0.1371✗1.111.1M2022-10-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002748-5.61%0.002108-27.59%0.1602✓0.851.2M2022-10-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.274051-5.61%0.2216-23.68%0.0931✓0.9614k2022-10-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.268055-5.61%0.242-14.79%0.0136✓0.72563k2022-10-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.6938-5.63%16.13+3.60%0.2011✗0.871.7M2022-10-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.020354-5.66%0.018973-12.06%0.0228✓0.7512k2022-10-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.003895-5.69%0.00343-16.95%0.0159✓0.90103k2022-10-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.019851-5.74%0.01855-11.92%0.0230✓0.73223k2022-10-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.022798-5.76%0.025041+3.51%0.0993✗0.04454k2022-10-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.043468-5.79%0.03912-15.21%0.0177✓0.7114k2022-10-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007404-5.80%0.00625-20.48%0.0417✓1.03389k2022-10-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.15301-5.84%0.1577-2.95%0.1434✗0.921,0012022-10-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.800093-5.89%0.78289-7.91%0.0884✗0.8913k2022-10-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.519334-5.92%0.435-21.20%0.0431✓1.0877k2022-10-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.6403-5.94%2.188-22.05%0.0886✓0.80630k2022-10-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.0447-5.94%12.445-22.19%0.0486✓1.1418.7M2022-10-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001298-5.96%0.0009418-31.79%0.2389✓0.672.3M2022-10-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.3002-5.97%3.325-27.29%0.1941✓0.517.3M2022-10-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.3249.1666-6.03%41.93-19.86%0.0448✓0.93363k2022-10-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.1701-6.08%2.7499-18.53%0.0233✓0.9619k2022-10-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.3038-6.08%6.253-19.60%0.0336✓0.9810.0M2022-10-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.1688-6.09%0.8515-31.58%0.1343✓1.484.4M2022-10-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9226-6.11%1.0487-48.79%0.4986✓0.871.2M2022-10-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.685235-6.13%0.59-19.18%0.1029✓0.3850k2022-10-10
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3019-6.13%0.752-45.78%0.3529✓1.582.8M2022-10-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.067489-6.23%0.06817-5.28%0.0264✓0.13389k2022-10-10
HIVEHivenative0.57790.541836-6.24%0.5363-7.20%0.0810✗0.74826k2022-10-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.035807-6.26%0.02885-24.48%0.0945✓0.9859k2022-10-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.415549-6.28%0.3444-22.33%0.0475✓1.1381k2022-10-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.1683-6.36%3.7704-15.30%0.0876✗1.52129k2022-10-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.16813-6.38%0.14541-19.03%0.0303✓0.93268k2022-10-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.048857-6.40%0.0399-23.56%0.0962✓0.86204k2022-10-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4167-6.43%1.473-2.71%0.1751✗1.1071k2022-10-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.491158-6.43%0.3899-25.72%0.1489✓0.66444k2022-10-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.815318-6.49%0.6906-20.79%0.0436✓0.99988k2022-10-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.723-6.51%5.134+1.62%0.2374✗1.246.2M2022-10-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.143317-6.51%0.1384-9.72%0.0889✗1.00361k2022-10-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.1885-6.52%5.83-11.93%0.0069✓0.432.1M2022-10-10
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.367428-6.53%0.3174-19.26%0.0149✓1.067402022-10-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.434402-6.59%0.30405-34.62%0.2418✓0.93392k2022-10-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.699529-6.62%0.6445-13.96%0.0863✗1.36210k2022-10-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.640584-6.62%0.573-16.47%0.0146✓0.78116k2022-10-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.342148-6.64%0.2763-24.61%0.0872✓1.0271k2022-10-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.118927-6.65%0.0751-41.05%0.3742✓0.69195k2022-10-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.7177-6.81%11.97-18.68%0.0096✓1.02925k2022-10-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.0563-6.84%3.411-21.66%0.1332✓0.322.2M2022-10-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.2513-6.95%3.921-14.18%0.0302✓0.90289k2022-10-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.2765-6.96%1.118-18.51%0.0025✓1.09385k2022-10-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.999,713.52-6.97%7,851.69-24.80%0.0405✓1.394.2M2022-10-10
STXStacksnative0.38460.357796-6.97%0.3199-16.82%0.0228✓1.09335k2022-10-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.2368-6.98%6.21-20.18%0.0257✓1.03237k2022-10-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.316275-7.01%0.2837-16.58%0.0212✓1.0582k2022-10-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.187373-7.06%0.1892-6.15%0.1126✗0.833.2M2022-10-10
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.5484-7.08%1.3702-17.77%0.0059✓1.04241k2022-10-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.3249-7.28%13.805+13.03%0.2521✗0.4416.0M2022-10-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.290748-7.41%0.1964-37.45%0.2662✓1.0292k2022-10-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.108534-7.47%0.0913-22.17%0.0455✓1.032.5M2022-10-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1522-7.52%1.7409-25.20%0.0768✓1.0913k2022-10-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.3769-7.59%1.11-25.50%0.1050✓0.8981k2022-10-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.160599-7.60%0.137-21.17%0.0564✓0.8324k2022-10-10
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0649.0064-7.64%57.34+8.07%0.3053✗1.209,0502022-10-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.159-7.74%1.72-26.50%0.0859✓1.14229k2022-10-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.5238-7.78%0.472-16.90%0.0282✓1.0763k2022-10-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.531-7.82%1.54-7.28%0.0983✗0.7544k2022-10-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.946107-7.97%0.85-17.32%0.0528✓0.442.8M2022-10-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.061628-8.02%0.0565-15.67%0.0622✓1.21608k2022-10-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9616.4903-8.18%14.59-18.76%0.0468✓0.61384k2022-10-10
METISMetisEthereum32.5529.8626-8.26%25.01-23.16%0.0338✓1.71178k2022-10-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000397603-8.56%0.00028839-33.67%0.2591✓0.501.8M2022-10-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.3746-9.02%1.98-24.14%0.1007✓0.66262k2022-10-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4673-9.15%1.305-19.20%0.0173✓1.0943k2022-10-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3595.7762-9.16%5.154-18.95%0.0101✓0.846.2M2022-10-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.3377-9.18%4.5127-35.33%0.3208✓0.158.6M2022-10-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2335.2681-10.10%24.25-38.19%0.1960✓1.4411.7M2022-10-10
FLOWFlownative2.111.8902-10.42%1.573-25.45%0.0250✓1.281.1M2022-10-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41536.62-10.73%5.1074-31.12%0.2317✓0.229.9M2022-10-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.10e-7-10.96%5.04e-7-26.47%0.0887✓0.832.3M2022-10-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.057964-12.02%0.05695-13.55%0.1176✓1.091.4M2022-10-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.