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2022-09-10 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3061
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000364365-16.20%0.00028839-33.67%0.1718✓0.501.8M2022-10-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3595.5109-13.34%5.154-18.95%0.0369✓0.846.2M2022-10-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.3053-12.40%1.11-25.50%0.0516✓0.8981k2022-10-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21410.8282-11.35%13.805+13.03%0.2970✗0.4416.0M2022-10-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.058417-11.33%0.05695-13.55%0.1098✓1.091.4M2022-10-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.434-11.21%1.305-19.20%0.0403✓1.0943k2022-10-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.10e-7-10.94%5.04e-7-26.47%0.0889✓0.832.3M2022-10-10
FLOWFlownative2.111.8827-10.77%1.573-25.45%0.0210✓1.281.1M2022-10-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.097-10.33%3.921-14.18%0.0672✓0.90289k2022-10-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.671767-10.32%0.6445-13.96%0.1268✗1.36210k2022-10-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41536.6505-10.31%5.1074-31.12%0.2363✓0.229.9M2022-10-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.616383-10.15%0.573-16.47%0.0239✓0.78116k2022-10-10
METISMetisEthereum32.5529.2768-10.06%25.01-23.16%0.0536✓1.71178k2022-10-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.511362-9.97%0.472-16.90%0.0523✓1.0763k2022-10-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.265-9.88%11.97-18.68%0.0240✓1.02925k2022-10-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.157347-9.47%0.137-21.17%0.0359✓0.8324k2022-10-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.3217-9.41%4.5127-35.33%0.3183✓0.158.6M2022-10-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.1554-9.13%3.325-27.29%0.1599✓0.517.3M2022-10-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2335.7053-8.98%24.25-38.19%0.2083✓1.4411.7M2022-10-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.425286-8.55%0.30405-34.62%0.2206✓0.93392k2022-10-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9616.4321-8.51%14.59-18.76%0.0432✓0.61384k2022-10-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.116645-8.44%0.0751-41.05%0.3549✓0.69195k2022-10-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2722.9994-8.33%2.91-11.06%0.0311✓0.50653k2022-10-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.10763-8.24%0.0913-22.17%0.0371✓1.032.5M2022-10-10
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0648.6952-8.23%57.34+8.07%0.3117✗1.209,0502022-10-10
STXStacksnative0.38460.352983-8.22%0.3199-16.82%0.0364✓1.09335k2022-10-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.148-8.20%1.72-26.50%0.0809✓1.14229k2022-10-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.48238-8.10%0.3899-25.72%0.1308✓0.66444k2022-10-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.312685-8.06%0.2837-16.58%0.0326✓1.0582k2022-10-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99514.7061-8.06%12.445-22.19%0.0259✓1.1418.7M2022-10-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.803139-7.89%0.6906-20.79%0.0286✓0.99988k2022-10-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.4053-7.84%1.98-24.14%0.1135✓0.66262k2022-10-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.832368-7.72%0.8294-8.05%0.1649✗1.3694k2022-10-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.149964-7.71%0.1577-2.95%0.1635✗0.921,0012022-10-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.2329-7.66%1.2607-5.57%0.1591✗1.111.1M2022-10-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.338582-7.62%0.2763-24.61%0.0767✓1.0271k2022-10-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.061963-7.52%0.0565-15.67%0.0568✓1.21608k2022-10-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.999,657.90-7.50%7,851.69-24.80%0.0348✓1.394.2M2022-10-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.675335-7.49%0.59-19.18%0.0883✓0.3850k2022-10-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.2705-7.40%1.118-18.51%0.0072✓1.09385k2022-10-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.6004-7.36%2.188-22.05%0.0734✓0.80630k2022-10-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.166434-7.33%0.14541-19.03%0.0202✓0.93268k2022-10-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.1569-7.32%1.7409-25.20%0.0790✓1.0913k2022-10-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.01756-7.31%0.014562-23.14%0.0635✓1.006792022-10-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.047278-7.30%0.0369-27.65%0.1314✓0.94546k2022-10-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.511812-7.28%0.435-21.20%0.0285✓1.0877k2022-10-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.269251-7.27%0.2216-23.68%0.0755✓0.9614k2022-10-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.290337-7.14%0.258723-17.26%0.0073✓0.99514k2022-10-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.142409-7.10%0.1384-9.72%0.0953✗1.00361k2022-10-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.3882-7.00%7.19-20.29%0.0993✓0.442.2M2022-10-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.956732-6.93%0.85-17.32%0.0640✓0.442.8M2022-10-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.329615-6.91%0.2881-18.63%0.0175✓0.9534k2022-10-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.2459-6.87%6.21-20.18%0.0270✓1.03237k2022-10-10
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.366238-6.83%0.3174-19.26%0.0117✓1.067402022-10-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2349-6.80%1.1707-11.65%0.0590✓0.911.1M2022-10-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.481235-6.74%0.4-22.48%0.0624✓0.997,7812022-10-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.0747-6.71%1.602-27.97%0.1227✓1.1033k2022-10-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.1611-6.71%0.8515-31.58%0.1277✓1.484.4M2022-10-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.1529-6.70%3.7704-15.30%0.0913✗1.52129k2022-10-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.0314-6.63%5.09-21.21%0.1163✓0.432.2M2022-10-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.00129-6.61%0.0009418-31.79%0.2320✓0.672.3M2022-10-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007346-6.54%0.00625-20.48%0.0339✓1.03389k2022-10-10
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.5578-6.51%1.3702-17.77%0.0001✓1.04241k2022-10-10
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000041667-6.49%0.00003879-12.95%0.0256✓0.792.5M2022-10-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.188692-6.40%0.1892-6.15%0.1056✗0.833.2M2022-10-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.29392-6.39%0.1964-37.45%0.2770✓1.0292k2022-10-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.9175-6.37%1.526-25.49%0.0276✓1.6260k2022-10-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467612.6114-6.36%10.738-20.27%0.0514✓0.8822k2022-10-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.022658-6.34%0.025041+3.51%0.1054✗0.04454k2022-10-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.008789-6.30%0.00578-38.38%0.3297✓0.723.3M2022-10-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.020228-6.24%0.018973-12.06%0.0290✓0.7512k2022-10-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.6467-6.22%4.65-22.77%0.1422✓0.423.3M2022-10-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.266362-6.21%0.242-14.79%0.0073✓0.72563k2022-10-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.134834-6.18%0.12369-13.94%0.0518✓1.12157k2022-10-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.035587-6.10%0.0363-4.22%0.1116✗0.747,8252022-10-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8208-6.09%1.644-15.21%0.0276✓1.0523k2022-10-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,568.77-6.09%1,251.04-25.11%0.1026✓1.003.4M2022-10-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4219-6.09%1.473-2.71%0.1715✗1.1071k2022-10-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.6342-6.01%16.13+3.60%0.2052✗0.871.7M2022-10-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.3102-6.00%6.253-19.60%0.0345✓0.9810.0M2022-10-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.8431-5.98%2.119-29.93%0.1173✓1.433.0M2022-10-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.093574-5.96%0.0801-19.50%0.0496✓0.8613k2022-10-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.003885-5.94%0.00343-16.95%0.0133✓0.90103k2022-10-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.7058-5.94%5.318-25.40%0.1277✓0.844.3M2022-10-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000012493-5.93%0.00001021-23.12%0.0908✓0.90951k2022-10-10
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.37975-5.92%0.38835-3.79%0.1381✗0.9431k2022-10-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.0427-5.90%3.324-22.63%0.1419✓0.442.1M2022-10-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.021715-5.79%0.02172-5.77%0.1026✗0.839.2M2022-10-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.265517-5.78%0.2643-6.21%0.0928✗0.7984k2022-10-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9314-5.68%1.0487-48.79%0.5032✓0.871.2M2022-10-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.049245-5.66%0.0399-23.56%0.1042✓0.86204k2022-10-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.3321-5.64%9.1-16.89%0.0237✓1.22298k2022-10-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.6926.1291-5.64%23.56-14.92%0.0163✓0.976.8M2022-10-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.108061-5.62%0.0951-16.94%0.0322✓0.77169k2022-10-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.062104-5.62%0.0602-8.51%0.0683✗0.8081k2022-10-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.278365-5.61%0.2601-11.80%0.0454✓0.922.7M2022-10-10
ZECZcashZcash65.3361.6984-5.56%52.65-19.41%0.0134✓1.171.2M2022-10-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.7734-5.51%5.134+1.62%0.2268✗1.246.2M2022-10-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0107-5.51%0.956518-10.58%0.0438✓0.8034k2022-10-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.036114-5.46%0.02885-24.48%0.1030✓0.9859k2022-10-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.131519-5.45%0.1217-12.51%0.0179✓0.482.9M2022-10-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010379-5.43%0.010135-7.65%0.0999✗1.006082022-10-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64125.4448-5.42%111.62-15.85%0.0209✓1.114.4M2022-10-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.621444-5.41%0.576-12.33%0.0373✓0.92178k2022-10-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.126384-5.40%0.1203-9.96%0.0819✗1.061.4M2022-10-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8515.9407-5.40%13.12-22.14%0.0613✓1.0885k2022-10-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.003047-5.38%0.00326+1.24%0.1839✗0.94481k2022-10-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.068153-5.30%0.06817-5.28%0.0166✓0.13389k2022-10-10
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.5607-5.24%3.218-33.14%0.2250✓1.001.2M2022-10-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.771109-5.23%0.66749-17.97%0.0415✓0.83584k2022-10-10
DASHDashDash48.7746.2281-5.21%41.83-14.23%0.0175✓0.95328k2022-10-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.00276-5.19%0.002108-27.59%0.1646✓0.851.2M2022-10-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.061394-5.15%0.059392-8.25%0.0907✗1.001.3M2022-10-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.3329-5.11%6.391-4.24%0.1626✗1.246.9M2022-10-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1317-5.11%3.411-21.66%0.1516✓0.322.2M2022-10-10
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3163-5.10%0.752-45.78%0.3639✓1.582.8M2022-10-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23652.4212-5.10%48-13.10%0.0019✓0.73284k2022-10-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.04039-5.04%0.036464-14.27%0.0389✓0.5123k2022-10-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.3249.6846-5.04%41.93-19.86%0.0552✓0.93363k2022-10-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.645913-5.01%0.559-17.79%0.0047✓1.133.7M2022-10-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.14168-4.98%0.125-16.16%0.0075✓0.95117k2022-10-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.306416-4.93%0.3195-0.87%0.1482✗0.865.9M2022-10-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020036-4.86%0.01855-11.92%0.0137✓0.73223k2022-10-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.1636-4.78%1.035-15.30%0.0003✓0.941.1M2022-10-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.201497-4.77%0.1844-12.85%0.0553✗1.16139k2022-10-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001525-4.75%0.001375-14.12%0.0225✓0.666,5532022-10-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.893863-4.74%0.772633-17.66%0.0491✓0.7849k2022-10-10
HIVEHivenative0.57790.550542-4.73%0.5363-7.20%0.0650✗0.74826k2022-10-10
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.043612-4.64%0.040114-12.29%0.0141✓0.7928k2022-10-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.219222-4.64%0.161-29.97%0.2139✓0.7767k2022-10-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.00594-4.63%0.006179-0.79%0.0939✗0.4433k2022-10-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7061-4.63%1.635-8.61%0.0625✗0.85627k2022-10-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.045685-4.62%0.0397-17.12%0.0310✓0.88132k2022-10-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.488888-4.59%0.4012-21.70%0.0907✓0.8637.9M2022-10-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006012-4.58%0.006061-3.80%0.0930✗0.692,0442022-10-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005661-4.53%0.00482-18.72%0.0834✓0.63911k2022-10-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.483156-4.50%0.4416-12.71%0.0454✓1.09384k2022-10-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.3225-4.49%5.83-11.93%0.0283✓0.432.1M2022-10-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.423556-4.48%0.3444-22.33%0.0665✓1.1381k2022-10-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.5522-4.48%7.34-7.16%0.0906✗0.9618.0M2022-10-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.044114-4.39%0.03912-15.21%0.0325✓0.7114k2022-10-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.7321-4.31%4.0725-17.65%0.1384✓0.09115k2022-10-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.944918-4.31%0.8062-18.36%0.0187✓1.13899k2022-10-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.23-4.31%2.7499-18.53%0.0420✓0.9619k2022-10-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.71e-7-4.28%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0306✓0.7515k2022-10-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048648-4.24%0.0551+8.46%0.2470✗0.99234k2022-10-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.1835-4.19%4.35-19.59%0.1242✓0.412.0M2022-10-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3702-4.18%1.59+11.19%0.1425✗-0.05124k2022-10-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3260.7133-4.12%52.63-16.88%0.0252✓0.9513.5M2022-10-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.094829-4.12%0.1072+8.39%0.2328✗0.89336k2022-10-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.066296-4.07%0.06086-11.94%0.0294✓0.936022022-10-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.178533-4.07%0.1562-16.07%0.0321✓1.341,5202022-10-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.038187-4.00%0.03408-14.33%0.0200✓0.762,2982022-10-10
BTTCBTTC9.30e-78.93e-7-4.00%7.70e-7-17.20%0.0532✓0.771.7M2022-10-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.939184-3.97%0.844-13.70%0.0426✗1.211.5M2022-10-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03410.994508-3.83%0.9327-9.81%0.0013✓0.512.7M2022-10-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5020,902.38-3.82%19,152.00-11.87%0.0290✓0.9413k2022-10-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.6708-3.81%16.22-20.68%0.0481✓1.1718.5M2022-10-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.51151.5576-3.78%142.31-9.65%0.0619✗1.011.3M2022-10-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.114.919-3.74%4.88-4.50%0.0926✗0.81943k2022-10-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.818847-3.69%0.78289-7.91%0.0652✗0.8913k2022-10-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012589-3.65%0.010998-15.83%0.0597✓0.61929k2022-10-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5220,867.47-3.62%19,132.83-11.63%0.0369✓1.00473.4M2022-10-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.165167-3.57%–pending––1.712952022-10-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6021-3.54%1.54-7.28%0.0529✗0.7544k2022-10-10
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7489.4802-3.52%73.6-20.64%0.0195✓1.425.6M2022-10-10
SOLSolanaSolana35.0733.8501-3.48%31.95-8.90%0.0706✗1.0458.3M2022-10-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.21315-3.46%0.1907-13.63%0.0030✓0.9257k2022-10-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.4386-3.45%8.752-10.47%0.0380✗0.921.2M2022-10-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.405923-3.44%0.3127-25.62%0.1334✓1.03209k2022-10-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001495-3.41%0.00151-2.45%0.1046✗0.77343k2022-10-10
GTGateEthereum4.3244.1774-3.39%4.3574+0.77%0.1350✗0.75702k2022-10-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.057841-3.28%0.048-19.73%0.0782✓0.8881k2022-10-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.4792-3.26%3.91-15.55%0.0740✓0.501.3M2022-10-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.321651-3.20%0.34896+5.01%0.1702✗0.72327k2022-10-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.111152-3.10%0.123692+7.83%0.2097✗0.836.5M2022-10-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.100395-3.09%0.0821-20.75%0.1139✓0.712,6892022-10-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.47102.2232-3.08%151.15+43.31%0.4846✗0.763.4M2022-10-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.222273-3.06%0.2229-2.79%0.1074✗0.85503k2022-10-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.539695-3.00%0.4444-20.13%0.0431✓1.2239k2022-10-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.024757-2.80%0.02272-10.80%0.0879✗1.412,9582022-10-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.204274-2.73%0.1511-28.05%0.1589✓1.15108k2022-10-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012707-2.70%0.01132-13.32%0.0268✓0.72228k2022-10-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038386-2.57%0.0329-16.50%0.0496✓0.8584k2022-10-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.074103-2.47%0.06087-19.89%0.0592✓1.1125k2022-10-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.063151-2.22%0.06275-2.84%0.0697✗0.62129k2022-10-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8515-2.04%2.42+28.04%0.3303✗0.5161k2022-10-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.507537-1.64%0.347-32.75%0.2383✓1.154,5592022-10-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.128739-1.50%0.1201-8.11%0.0686✓0.0183k2022-10-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,753.34-1.20%1,290.06-27.31%0.1456✓1.30591.2M2022-10-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.3691-0.58%15.09-13.62%0.0566✓0.681.6M2022-10-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.