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2022-08-21 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1000
187 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.5%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1761.1946+1.58%1.054-10.37%0.0391✓1.723.6M2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,749.398,882.82+1.52%8,473.37-3.15%0.0829✓1.367.3M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5621.5779+1.02%1.36-12.93%0.0347✗1.19156k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38410.387547+0.90%0.32-16.69%0.0692✗1.28182k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1743.1933+0.61%3.876+22.12%0.2542✓0.63803k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022630.022719+0.39%0.02162-4.46%0.0347✓0.8813.4M2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4136.4368+0.37%5.639-12.07%0.0508✗0.8510.1M2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.3950.395617+0.16%0.3529-10.66%0.0044✗1.15492k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.46923.4743+0.15%2.9825-14.03%0.0578✗0.9943k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.02481.0261+0.13%0.9934-3.06%0.1087✓1.474.7M2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum34.7634.7998+0.11%29.26-15.82%0.0054✓1.87365k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1813.1829+0.02%11.33-14.04%0.0435✗1.132.4M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum5.195.1902+0.00%4.649-10.42%0.0194✓1.3510.9M2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143850.143852+0.00%0.13172-8.43%0.0304✓1.24246k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7241.7231-0.05%1.511-12.35%0.0166✓1.20121k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1113.1086-0.08%2.966-4.66%0.1037✗1.575.0M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068490.068383-0.16%0.06229-9.05%0.0135✗1.122.4M2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.172.1663-0.17%1.828-15.76%0.0056✓1.72115k2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33660.335995-0.18%0.3044-9.57%0.0109✗1.15110k2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05121.0484-0.26%–pending––1.1112k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2117.192-0.26%5.739-20.41%0.1017✓1.2910.7M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85690.853531-0.39%0.7842-8.48%0.0561✗1.47214k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0462330.046044-0.41%0.042995-7.00%0.0112✗0.8333k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.047096-0.43%0.0419-11.42%0.0233✓0.98192k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059150.005881-0.58%0.005519-6.69%0.0011✓0.672,6422022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51330.510242-0.60%0.4996-2.67%0.0570✗0.82694k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8760.870578-0.62%0.84-4.11%0.0055✓0.434.4M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075220.074712-0.68%0.06897-8.31%0.0335✗1.1929k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87370.867289-0.73%0.7744-11.37%0.0102✓1.082.2M2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301990.299752-0.74%0.29294-3.00%0.0766✗1.0413k2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05140.051012-0.75%0.0455-11.48%0.0213✓0.97798k2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13930.138242-0.76%0.1182-15.15%0.0604✓1.002.1M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.28.1368-0.77%7.2-12.20%0.0152✓1.12638k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04120.040877-0.78%0.0357-13.35%0.0495✓0.9011k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1090.108136-0.79%0.0996-8.62%0.0139✓0.713,8252022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4596.4062-0.82%6.275-2.85%0.0681✗0.935.3M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2880.285597-0.83%0.275-4.51%0.0322✗0.73878k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative2.1632.1439-0.88%1.692-21.78%0.1116✓1.311.2M2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48960.485202-0.90%0.4349-11.17%0.0029✓1.11400k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.67118.5735-0.92%112.59-5.92%0.0548✗1.114.9M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase16.7316.576-0.92%14.8-11.54%0.0075✓1.11125k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum50.9150.4323-0.94%43.85-13.87%0.0219✓1.2315k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39180.388061-0.95%0.3261-16.77%0.0540✓1.25239k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.8985.07-0.95%78.57-8.52%0.0687✗1.556.3M2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.211.1984-0.96%1.0043-17.00%0.0567✓1.251.0M2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2292.2075-0.96%1.944-12.79%0.0170✓1.1560k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.605079-0.97%0.489-19.97%0.0960✓1.223,1462022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.70.692986-1.00%0.631-9.86%0.0056✓0.92324k2022-08-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21190.209764-1.01%0.1903-10.19%0.0016✓1.00149k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.470.465189-1.02%0.412-12.34%0.0254✓1.009,5622022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.3179-1.05%13.16-9.05%0.0331✗1.231.4M2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.963870.953735-1.05%0.84626-12.20%0.0270✓0.9712k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.20e-7-1.06%8.60e-7-7.53%0.0107✗0.8218k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4782.4516-1.07%2.0034-19.15%0.0859✓1.2113k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046740.04624-1.07%0.04418-5.48%0.0192✗0.6816k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.915.8463-1.08%4.82-18.44%0.1124✓0.841.6M2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1109770.109773-1.09%0.102736-7.43%0.0163✗0.867.4M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8761.8555-1.09%1.733-7.62%0.0229✗0.95151k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.565717-1.10%0.488-14.69%0.0396✓1.1390k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana36.4836.0786-1.10%30.45-16.53%0.0589✓1.1675.2M2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.6855.0666-1.10%53.38-4.13%0.0643✗1.0013.1M2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.852550.842993-1.12%0.74832-12.23%0.0311✓0.92524k2022-08-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017780.001758-1.13%0.001587-10.74%0.0173✓0.89790k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.4110.2918-1.14%9.51-8.65%0.0331✗1.17318k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.370860.366644-1.14%0.32806-11.54%0.0189✓0.9690k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash64.6263.8832-1.14%61.17-5.34%0.0639✗1.122.0M2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7280.719621-1.15%0.645-11.40%0.0245✓0.89263k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.6289.5167-1.16%8.816-8.43%0.0144✗0.951.9M2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30620.302657-1.16%0.2823-7.81%0.0184✗0.928.2M2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.399-1.16%25.35-8.55%0.0137✗0.958.5M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.413340.408528-1.16%0.36304-12.17%0.0290✓0.9370k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000039550.000039089-1.17%0.00004676+18.23%0.2644✗0.891.8M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146590.014487-1.17%0.013002-11.30%0.0458✓0.651.8M2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1080.106729-1.18%0.0992-8.15%0.0293✗1.073.7M2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12430.122826-1.19%0.1184-4.75%0.0601✗1.0139k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088290.305137-1.20%0.291277-5.68%0.0571✗1.08843k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.94841.9249-1.21%1.7152-11.97%0.0136✓1.0636k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021910.021645-1.21%0.020386-6.96%0.0182✗0.8213k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.11855.0558-1.22%5.175+1.10%0.0371✗0.14171k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.7633.3446-1.23%30.93-8.38%0.0630✗1.4416.5M2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.09121.0777-1.23%1.0384-4.84%0.0454✗0.8655k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.89e-7-1.24%8.50e-7-5.56%0.0321✗0.803.0M2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0659240.0651-1.25%0.061392-6.87%0.0023✓0.59179k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04020.039696-1.25%0.03732-7.16%0.0173✗0.832,6252022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,617.841,597.40-1.26%1,426.63-11.82%0.0143✗1.33548.6M2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.291173-1.26%0.2731-7.39%0.0268✗0.953.5M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.007180.007089-1.27%0.00642-10.58%0.0371✓0.651.3M2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,518.6221,242.81-1.28%19,554.03-9.13%0.0129✓1.00463.8M2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07791.0641-1.28%0.9334-13.41%0.0781✓0.553.9M2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9277620.91563-1.31%0.862501-7.03%0.0154✗0.7970k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06960.068682-1.32%0.0619-11.06%0.0166✓0.91121k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.164090.161924-1.32%0.15977-2.63%0.1893✗2.126362022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38480.37964-1.34%0.34-11.64%0.0046✓1.10175k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.762.7229-1.35%2.33-15.58%0.1083✓0.5093k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06750.066588-1.35%0.0604-10.52%0.0187✗1.211.2M2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2431.226-1.37%1.129-9.17%0.0115✓0.982.2M2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.46240.456062-1.37%0.4291-7.20%0.0390✗1.0442.0M2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.27050.266786-1.37%0.2638-2.48%0.0828✗0.98132k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.23750.234216-1.38%0.2183-8.08%0.0154✗0.90528k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3333-1.39%1.192-11.83%0.0059✓1.23518k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0721.0569-1.41%0.9332-12.95%0.0087✓1.211.1M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9718.6979-1.43%16.67-12.12%0.0475✓0.701.7M2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.382.3458-1.44%2.08-12.61%0.0398✓0.84833k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.109898-1.44%0.1013-9.15%0.0011✓0.86259k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.099644-1.44%0.0854-15.53%0.0640✓0.94414k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9722.6315-1.47%18.53-19.33%0.0763✓1.2924.5M2022-08-28
DASHDashDash46.846.1087-1.48%44.14-5.68%0.0497✗0.98493k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.086.975-1.48%6.251-11.71%0.0074✓1.0719.5M2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0692790.068251-1.48%0.06175-10.87%0.0024✓1.021.9M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.56934.5014-1.49%4.3228-5.39%0.0336✗0.77827k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.26280.25888-1.49%0.2362-10.12%0.0010✓0.9584k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0510480.050284-1.50%0.044396-13.03%0.0740✓0.5330k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.058802-1.50%0.0554-7.20%0.0284✗0.92112k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.088444-1.51%0.0792-11.80%0.0164✓0.989,9252022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.0540.053183-1.51%0.0493-8.70%0.0201✗1.00253k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4347.32-1.53%6.861-7.71%0.0333✗1.0214.0M2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30191.2817-1.55%1.201-7.75%0.0262✗0.951.2M2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.8841-1.56%1.6-16.41%0.0770✓0.90657k2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.56380.55498-1.56%0.5282-6.31%0.0356✗0.891.9M2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.256894-1.61%0.261-0.04%0.0168✗0.0187k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.63271.6061-1.63%1.426-12.66%0.0124✓1.11494k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.17680.173915-1.63%0.1381-21.89%0.1302✓1.051,7442022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2240.220336-1.64%0.2024-9.64%0.0113✓1.0067k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3672-1.64%1.23-11.51%0.0144✓0.95182k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.098922-1.67%0.0981-2.49%0.0578✗0.69234k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1870.183881-1.67%0.164-12.30%0.0120✓1.07608k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02710.026647-1.67%0.0242-10.70%0.0251✗1.273,2032022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003260.003205-1.68%0.00289-11.35%0.0040✓1.04537k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17590.172919-1.69%0.1592-9.49%0.0464✗1.351,5232022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070570.069373-1.70%0.06712-4.89%0.0451✗0.829772022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.64410.462-1.71%10.559-0.80%0.1151✗1.1110.4M2022-08-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.02590.025456-1.71%0.025-3.47%0.0427✗0.6437k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.938.777-1.71%8.09-9.41%0.0401✓0.432.4M2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15560.152875-1.75%0.1337-14.07%0.0407✓0.97616k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015010.001475-1.76%0.001503+0.13%0.0876✗0.729,7092022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero154.56151.8386-1.76%146.4-5.28%0.0594✗1.001.1M2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22980.225748-1.76%0.2134-7.14%0.0727✗1.35111k2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.147246-1.77%0.1396-6.87%0.0425✗1.00149k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.107113.8566-1.78%12.062-14.50%0.0467✓0.9644k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022570.022167-1.79%0.02214-1.91%0.0817✗0.87444k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42860.42082-1.82%0.3673-14.30%0.0298✓1.1175k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009450.009274-1.86%0.00848-10.26%0.0173✓0.756.4M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3543-1.87%1.39+0.72%0.0211✗-0.05105k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.588840.577815-1.87%0.52437-10.95%0.0260✗1.2945k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370780.363829-1.87%0.31363-15.41%0.0504✓1.02418k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.95853.9217-1.89%51.793-5.76%0.0314✗0.75340k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4329-1.90%1.95-21.37%0.1044✓1.22281k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum110.77108.6591-1.91%92.31-16.67%0.0823✓0.843.4M2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.730.716087-1.91%0.73+0.00%0.0558✗0.38105k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.6449.6696-1.92%45.4-10.35%0.0052✓0.99543k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004210.004129-1.93%0.00393-6.65%0.0459✗0.99152k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036962-1.96%0.0345-8.49%0.0222✗0.9581k2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067710.006636-2.00%0.006708-0.93%0.0537✗0.4555k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,631.3021,197.55-2.01%19,646.40-9.18%0.0150✓0.957,5932022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.320010.31355-2.02%0.36389+13.71%0.2371✗0.92353k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9190.900109-2.06%0.916-0.33%0.1335✗1.211.2M2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.8040.787263-2.08%0.6463-19.61%0.0607✓1.43373k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9142.8528-2.10%2.607-10.54%0.0098✓0.84749k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06540.064012-2.12%0.0582-11.01%0.0146✓1.15289k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6360.622417-2.14%0.525-17.45%0.0630✓1.1296k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.044.9308-2.17%4.34-13.89%0.0869✓0.431.3M2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.945.8097-2.19%5.16-13.13%0.0829✓0.373.1M2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.37150.363344-2.20%–pending––0.911922022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.705975-2.22%0.645-10.66%0.0401✗1.364.8M2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13810.134983-2.26%0.1202-12.96%0.0609✓0.584.4M2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.356.2051-2.28%5.87-7.56%0.0191✓0.382.1M2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.4431-2.29%5.809-11.90%0.0780✓0.274.9M2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4794.3758-2.30%3.998-10.74%0.0596✓0.321.6M2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091060.088962-2.30%0.08638-5.14%0.0213✓0.09972k2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000090380.000088248-2.36%0.0001251+38.42%0.4282✗0.83327k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.566.3947-2.52%6.04-7.93%0.0208✓0.381.5M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038180.037176-2.63%0.03552-6.97%0.0491✗0.9923k2022-08-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.13534.0261-2.64%4.3886+6.13%0.1819✗1.00171k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.016898-2.66%0.01478-14.86%0.0699✓0.67159k2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.68123.5821-2.69%3.6555-0.70%0.0725✗0.551.8M2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037420.003641-2.71%0.002987-20.18%0.1166✓0.851.0M2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.79081.7408-2.79%1.6656-6.99%0.0587✗1.07698k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.18720.181953-2.80%0.2102+12.29%0.2224✗0.821.5M2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013092-2.88%0.00001177-12.69%0.0190✓0.91827k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015180.001474-2.88%0.001346-11.35%0.0175✓0.771.6M2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234270.022752-2.88%0.022963-1.98%0.0196✓0.11240k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum44.3642.8448-3.42%37.2-16.14%0.0559✓0.891.8M2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1014.9124-3.70%4.096-19.70%0.1741✓0.082.2M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.91985.685-3.97%5.5537-6.18%0.0074✓0.172.4M2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.009067-4.25%0.00825-12.88%0.0145✓1.14456k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.12e-76.81e-7-4.46%7.78e-7+9.19%0.2064✗0.76170k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.96864.7298-4.81%5.4352+9.39%0.1567✗0.192.1M2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.73812.0774-5.19%12.382-2.79%0.0669✗0.441.6M2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0944.8251-5.28%4.106-19.40%0.0687✓0.97133k2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.