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2022-08-04 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3201
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.1%
in alpha space · 41.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,893.82+1.19%23,944.86+5.84%0.0119✗1.00427.9M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.551254+1.07%0.5937+8.86%0.0097✓1.14333k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,624.98+1.05%1,881.04+16.97%0.0739✓1.28407.7M2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34135.6844+1.00%142.98+6.43%0.0156✗1.204.6M2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.744195+0.84%0.911+23.44%0.1334✓1.21968k2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008277+0.69%0.00834+1.46%0.0437✗0.901.6M2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.114693+0.68%0.125283+9.97%0.0321✓0.996.9M2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.073783+0.66%0.0819+11.73%0.0416✓1.111.1M2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061948+0.57%0.078+26.62%0.1493✓1.43350k2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.65e-7+0.52%0.00000101+5.21%0.0019✓0.846.4M2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.743006+0.41%0.85+14.86%0.1006✓0.6079k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006171+0.40%0.006618+7.67%0.0218✓0.857,1222022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.6244+0.38%79.26+23.11%0.1332✓1.251.6M2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.0728+0.38%10.512+4.75%0.0200✗1.102.0M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5663+0.36%4.9372+8.51%0.0357✓0.75920k2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.729553+0.35%0.74+1.79%0.0693✗1.47121k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.156645+0.35%0.1701+8.97%0.0126✓1.23107k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25159.7815+0.33%160.49+0.78%0.0584✗1.111.2M2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0162+0.32%4.7078-5.84%0.0734✗0.17219k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.1183+0.32%9.201+13.70%0.0560✓1.2211.0M2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1538+0.32%1.2591+9.48%0.0278✓1.0543k2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0181+0.29%1.0862+7.00%0.0113✓0.9460k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067542+0.28%0.070882+5.24%0.0182✗1.171.7M2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.314246+0.28%0.38689+23.46%0.1442✓1.12396k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.226911+0.27%0.2297+1.50%0.0710✗1.4787k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.501029+0.27%0.5306+6.18%0.0109✗1.2040.5M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003077+0.26%0.004951+61.32%0.4194✓0.991.0M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.336963+0.26%0.3613+7.50%0.0055✓1.138.2M2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.4278+0.25%28.54+22.12%0.1077✓1.5826.1M2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.915+0.24%42.8+10.25%0.0176✓1.3781.1M2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.7887+0.23%61.89+3.76%0.0310✗1.1513.6M2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.3573+0.22%21.63+24.88%0.1415✓1.38116k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.249035+0.22%0.2705+8.85%0.0134✓1.22101k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.198+0.20%30.52+4.74%0.0096✗0.9510.0M2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.967+0.20%4.2149+6.46%0.0010✓1.0945k2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.449.4874+0.18%55.61+12.57%0.0544✓1.10574k2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.3765+0.17%8.96+21.67%0.1235✓1.2516.9M2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.52e-7+0.16%0.00000102+7.37%0.0127✓1.0025k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.6001+0.16%2.875+10.75%0.0010✓1.75109k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.160248+0.16%0.17809+11.31%0.0186✓1.53212k2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.597297+0.13%0.6487+8.75%0.0178✓1.14690k2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.08552+0.13%0.08746+2.40%0.0071✓0.271.1M2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.340602+0.11%0.376118+10.55%0.0272✓1.271.0M2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116933+0.11%0.1263+8.13%0.0160✓1.08370k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2984+0.11%1.324+2.08%0.0510✗1.241.1M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.33335+0.11%0.321-3.60%0.0967✗1.041.1M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1261.1787+0.10%60.91-0.34%0.0710✗1.17379k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003773+0.08%0.00393+4.24%0.0327✗1.30551k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006705+0.07%0.006698-0.03%0.0302✗0.5140k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069026+0.06%0.070371+2.02%0.0201✗0.69345k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.826+0.06%1.9022+4.24%0.0311✗1.27530k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.25232+0.05%0.2695+6.86%0.0000✓1.16768k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.3636+0.04%11.749+13.42%0.0486✓1.3513.7M2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.473869+0.04%0.5032+6.23%0.0102✗1.24808k2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.097503+0.00%0.0988+1.33%0.0551✗1.207,1482022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.992303-0.01%1.0527+6.07%0.0146✓1.30532k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.073082-0.02%0.1304+78.39%0.5376✗0.73159k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015587-0.05%0.015949+2.27%0.0277✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.330418-0.06%0.3493+5.66%0.0106✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059266-0.06%0.0621+4.72%0.0324✓1.39172k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054229-0.06%0.057169+5.35%0.0199✗0.5825k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134591-0.08%0.1474+9.43%0.0188✗1.2761k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004536-0.08%0.00517+13.88%0.0566✗1.31112k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.260365-0.09%0.3041+16.69%0.0921✗1.1165k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030351-0.10%0.03187+4.90%0.0250✓1.301,4012022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.56e-7-0.15%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1411✓0.99164k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4998-0.15%1.6643+10.81%0.0248✗1.40594k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0854-0.15%2.93-5.18%0.0797✓0.49109k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053619-0.15%0.0549+2.23%0.0490✓1.28284k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.8112-0.15%5.91+1.55%0.0215✓0.68746k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3496.1876-0.16%107.55+11.64%0.0177✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001087-0.16%0.001521+39.72%0.2657✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008984-0.18%0.00871-3.22%0.1036✓1.28387k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1861-0.18%2.3938+9.31%0.0227✗1.2032k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.415416-0.19%0.458+10.04%0.0230✗1.31127k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.12664-0.20%0.134+5.59%0.0000✓1.004,7012022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.437886-0.21%0.4591+4.63%0.0366✓1.48278k2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109362-0.22%0.1215+10.86%0.0341✗1.25505k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4159-0.22%6.61+2.80%0.0491✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002184-0.23%0.002212+1.05%0.0440✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048087-0.23%0.0488+1.24%0.0591✓1.307,5232022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042833-0.25%0.00004644+8.15%0.0152✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3954-0.25%1.456+4.07%0.0299✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.138825-0.27%0.1646+18.25%0.1165✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085165-0.28%0.0916+7.26%0.0076✗1.15126k2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.779768-0.29%0.924+18.16%0.1014✗1.20225k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.119854-0.29%0.1425+18.55%0.0953✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.5884-0.32%17.0874+16.75%0.0930✗1.1558k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017522-0.33%0.01787+1.65%0.0270✓0.82193k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011809-0.35%0.00001233+4.05%0.0275✓1.25951k2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.327806-0.36%0.4285+30.24%0.2040✗1.1377k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048921-0.36%0.05344+8.84%0.0381✗0.8915k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009753-0.38%0.01006+2.76%0.0190✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.198728-0.39%0.2226+11.58%0.0342✗1.401,2762022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001651-0.39%0.001703+2.78%0.0273✓1.039,0682022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.417845-0.40%0.40616-3.19%0.1066✓1.38583k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260037-0.41%0.2613+0.08%0.0042✗0.0129k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021043-0.41%0.02718+28.63%0.1983✗1.02159k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0711.0242-0.41%11.8+6.59%0.0001✓1.20263k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4638-0.42%1.54+4.76%0.0292✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9693-0.43%3.021+1.31%0.0462✓1.12591k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74103.2977-0.43%124.47+19.98%0.1303✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.217041-0.44%0.228+4.59%0.0366✓1.51782k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7158-0.45%2.849+4.44%0.0333✓1.4349k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.7262-0.49%63.11+12.70%0.0455✗1.3935k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.578287-0.52%0.6302+8.41%0.0188✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4025-0.52%3.611+49.52%0.3569✗0.89110k2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.6564-0.53%18.45+3.94%0.0302✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3214-0.54%1.3595+2.33%0.0563✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6905-0.56%1.91+12.35%0.0473✗1.32122k2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.9306-0.56%61.928+2.75%0.0145✓0.83321k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.6998-0.57%8.57-2.06%0.0427✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.143853-0.59%0.1497+3.46%0.0216✓1.08907k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2386-0.60%2.326+3.29%0.0405✓1.39172k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.9308-0.62%8.186+2.58%0.0376✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.0419-0.62%8.347+3.15%0.0220✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066286-0.62%0.0718+7.65%0.0266✗0.94183k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.744-0.63%1.767+0.68%0.0680✓1.43341k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8199-0.63%4.034+4.94%0.0214✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.957-0.63%4.091+2.74%0.0153✓0.86922k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1201-0.64%1.1274+0.01%0.0713✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0273-0.64%1.4845+43.58%0.3030✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9543-0.65%2.005+1.93%0.0545✓1.41266k2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.401703-0.65%0.4605+13.89%0.0690✗1.19107k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8019-0.67%2.089+15.16%0.1120✗0.63206k2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7592-0.68%8.964+1.64%0.0559✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,342.47-0.68%24,153.10+7.37%0.0223✗0.9813k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8038-0.69%4.044+5.59%0.0219✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.793415-0.70%0.864+8.14%0.0274✗1.02377k2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.04355-0.71%0.04793+9.28%0.0425✗0.942,0262022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7958-0.71%4.8-0.62%0.0389✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.03208-0.71%0.05195+60.79%0.4122✗1.2314k2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.171637-0.73%0.1775+2.66%0.0358✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.4993-0.73%5.8+4.69%0.0197✗0.59873k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022281-0.74%0.024997+11.36%0.0603✗0.9611k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020364-0.79%0.019255-6.19%0.0798✓0.42167k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049814-0.79%0.053086+5.73%0.0043✓1.2035k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5454-0.80%5.28-5.55%0.0838✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0421-0.80%1.2255+16.66%0.1027✗1.0513k2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.162885-0.80%0.1949+18.70%0.1090✗1.24518k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1039-0.81%1.1706+5.18%0.0040✓1.1111k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.07629-0.83%0.08332+8.31%0.0466✗0.739772022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8912-0.90%2.9337+0.56%0.0411✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.452888-0.91%0.47814+4.61%0.0110✗0.7668k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.085359-0.92%0.08708+1.08%0.0574✓1.3629k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5733-0.93%4.683+1.45%0.0082✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041707-0.93%0.0439+4.28%0.0183✓1.2376k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2025-0.95%0.993-18.20%0.2283✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4555-0.99%2.58+4.03%0.0116✓1.08507k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062337-1.05%0.0749+18.89%0.1108✗1.28802k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.186804-1.09%0.1952+3.35%0.0873✓2.311,1512022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0848-1.13%3.13+0.32%0.0716✓1.52211k2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.358601-1.16%0.36776+1.36%0.0488✓1.3013k2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.6737-1.17%15.6-1.64%0.0845✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3496-1.17%6.929-6.83%0.1572✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.898218-1.19%0.967+6.38%0.0263✓1.76496k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.657778-1.22%0.7242+8.75%0.0105✓1.5188k2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1953-1.25%2.184-1.75%0.0772✓1.27626k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.677366-1.26%0.691+0.73%0.0594✓1.4088k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.298064-1.30%0.3078+1.92%0.0311✓1.11300k2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.775299-1.36%0.769-2.16%0.0908✓1.463,1392022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.550127-1.41%0.551-1.25%0.0634✓1.1414k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.079735-1.44%0.09833+21.55%0.1253✗1.49871k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5572-1.44%1.52-3.80%0.0411✓0.30242k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0942-1.51%3.2004+1.87%0.0096✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.214217-1.51%0.2554+17.43%0.1017✗1.311,5612022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,480.49-1.56%11,294.44+6.08%0.0061✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034418-1.58%0.03161-9.61%0.1669✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.832521-1.59%0.889+5.08%0.0331✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.568325-1.61%0.5389-6.70%0.1312✓1.38234k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7135-1.68%4.038+6.91%0.0151✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.0651-1.76%6.256+21.33%0.1813✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.4807-1.82%36.12+29.05%0.1964✗1.36946k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000097416-1.85%0.00009727-1.99%0.1173✓2.04516k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.0291-1.86%10.3+11.96%0.0530✗1.39334k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.1308-1.92%42.06+20.86%0.1292✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.194-1.97%21.14-2.22%0.0505✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3022-2.07%3.3972+0.74%0.0221✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.996894-2.19%1.0027-1.62%0.0914✓1.71241k2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1139-2.24%3.1366-1.53%0.0814✓1.5612k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1573-2.36%1.127-4.92%0.0759✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.551356-2.88%0.5522-2.73%0.0617✓1.1146k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8425-3.94%1.558-18.77%0.2796✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0144.0191-4.33%44.8-2.63%0.0858✓1.82266k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.4648-5.20%2.971+14.27%0.1152✗1.26448k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.