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2022-07-25 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0839
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.9%
in alpha space · 37.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.7552-5.18%3.877-22.69%0.2885✓0.96584k2022-08-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.801446-2.95%1.1398+38.02%0.2102✗1.61214k2022-08-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.769111-2.52%0.831+5.32%0.0585✓1.544,1662022-08-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7817.357-2.38%19.2+7.99%0.0232✓0.882.1M2022-08-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000090157-2.23%0.00010479+13.64%0.0168✓1.90735k2022-08-01
HIVEHivenative0.5190.507638-2.19%0.7745+49.23%0.3173✗1.191.4M2022-08-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5520.1103-2.14%28.44+38.39%0.2122✗1.53440k2022-08-01
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.778582-1.94%1.512+90.43%0.5069✗1.781.1M2022-08-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.26925-1.77%0.3059+11.60%0.0211✗1.21335k2022-08-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.9218-1.56%3.605+21.46%0.0611✗1.693.7M2022-08-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.888873-1.42%0.9388+4.11%0.0283✓0.943.5M2022-08-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.902303-1.39%0.955+4.37%0.1006✓1.79591k2022-08-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.683731-1.34%0.861+24.24%0.0757✗1.765.3M2022-08-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.2728-1.32%6.53+50.81%0.3710✗0.60694k2022-08-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.941358-1.28%1.0779+13.04%0.0483✗0.998,9622022-08-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3925-1.24%1.56+10.64%0.0933✗0.23319k2022-08-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.084.0331-1.15%5.07+24.26%0.1627✗0.75597k2022-08-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8593-1.10%2.39+27.13%0.1561✗1.08157k2022-08-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.6652-1.08%4.919+32.77%0.2457✗0.552.1M2022-08-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.591709-1.05%0.71157+19.00%0.0468✗1.5686k2022-08-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.067118-1.03%0.08419+24.14%0.1129✗1.2928k2022-08-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.498819-1.03%0.519+2.98%0.0642✓1.1811k2022-08-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.024229-1.03%0.0368+50.33%0.2775✗1.6013.4M2022-08-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.385-1.00%14.18+13.35%0.0066✓1.461.2M2022-08-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2523.0308-0.94%35.02+50.62%0.3057✗1.291.3M2022-08-01
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.04431-0.88%0.051446+15.08%0.0435✗1.2021k2022-08-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.018563-0.87%0.019998+6.79%0.0324✗0.48163k2022-08-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.020301-0.87%0.023621+15.34%0.0639✗1.006,1832022-08-01
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.400617-0.85%0.48714+20.56%0.1292✗0.7551k2022-08-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.172517-0.85%0.2106+21.03%0.0738✗1.431,7562022-08-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.425264-0.82%0.471+9.84%0.0297✓1.50208k2022-08-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.356054-0.82%0.41938+16.82%0.0554✗1.23113k2022-08-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.1145-0.77%3.2852+54.16%0.3613✗0.90971k2022-08-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.168591-0.77%0.1925+13.30%0.0834✓2.451,1272022-08-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.9937-0.76%8.365+18.70%0.0606✗1.355.6M2022-08-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2479-0.73%2.859+26.25%0.1022✗1.579,0562022-08-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.8919-0.69%9.85+41.93%0.3149✗0.48670k2022-08-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1687-0.65%1.3062+11.04%0.0189✓1.484.9M2022-08-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.979053-0.64%1.1991+21.69%0.1031✗1.138,4242022-08-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1353.7912-0.63%60.676+12.09%0.0466✗0.84369k2022-08-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3515-0.62%1.42+4.41%0.0785✓1.45856k2022-08-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.9597-0.61%6.644+10.81%0.0428✓1.7211.9M2022-08-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.060134-0.60%0.0674+11.40%0.0276✗0.98156k2022-08-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.834775-0.57%1.0315+22.86%0.1055✗1.211.2M2022-08-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.587-0.57%2.022+26.69%0.1292✗1.29606k2022-08-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.9231-0.56%2.416+24.92%0.1007✗1.45132k2022-08-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,499.29-0.55%23,172.70+7.19%0.0109✓0.9820k2022-08-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.092774-0.55%0.09236-1.00%0.0925✓1.00706k2022-08-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.793626-0.55%1.08+35.34%0.2418✗0.751.1M2022-08-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.122546-0.53%0.1541+25.08%0.1403✗1.013.1M2022-08-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039791-0.52%0.04618+15.45%0.0622✗0.992,0302022-08-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.4048-0.50%2.435+0.74%0.0681✓0.92105k2022-08-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.081199-0.49%0.0858+5.15%0.0522✓1.22172k2022-08-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010638-0.48%0.00001197+11.97%0.0070✗1.261.1M2022-08-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.07066-0.48%0.07898+11.24%0.0468✗0.731,6422022-08-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2332-0.47%2.9451+31.25%0.2074✗0.79895k2022-08-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.9323-0.47%8+34.23%0.1835✗1.31248k2022-08-01
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2450.0064-0.46%58.9+17.24%0.0421✗1.3832k2022-08-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.05316-0.46%0.057234+7.17%0.0194✗0.6218k2022-08-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.342907-0.44%0.30912-10.25%0.2096✓1.20400k2022-08-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.418157-0.44%0.5401+28.60%0.1679✗1.00234k2022-08-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.892-0.44%30.75+13.85%0.0505✗0.9510.6M2022-08-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0641-0.43%5.19+2.04%0.0075✗0.19214k2022-08-01
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.368613-0.43%–pending––1.273902022-08-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.2863-0.42%17.88+16.48%0.0357✗1.381.3M2022-08-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.291847-0.41%0.34549+17.89%0.0507✗1.349,2162022-08-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.2149-0.41%3.934+21.87%0.1340✗0.77488k2022-08-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1971-0.40%3.33+3.74%0.0058✓0.5382k2022-08-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.192232-0.40%0.221+14.51%0.0027✓1.55881k2022-08-01
QNTQuantEthereum87.8787.5354-0.38%103.46+17.74%0.0770✗1.023.2M2022-08-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.767-0.37%4.364+15.42%0.0928✗0.621.2M2022-08-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.97e-7-0.35%9.60e-7+6.67%0.0200✓1.0025k2022-08-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017858-0.34%0.0179-0.11%0.0652✓0.77354k2022-08-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008402-0.33%0.01021+21.12%0.1082✗0.994.5M2022-08-01
KSMKusamaHydration58.4958.2971-0.33%64.23+9.81%0.0090✓1.20227k2022-08-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.183594-0.33%0.207+12.38%0.0038✓1.411,0652022-08-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019306-0.33%0.02156+11.31%0.0175✗1.06129k2022-08-01
METISMetisEthereum27.3727.2805-0.33%33.62+22.84%0.1210✗1.00151k2022-08-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033591-0.32%0.0413+22.55%0.0979✗1.2472k2022-08-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.274816-0.32%0.3238+17.45%0.0634✗1.1465k2022-08-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5522-0.31%1.795+15.29%0.0890✗0.64223k2022-08-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043899-0.30%0.05169+17.40%0.0819✗0.9315k2022-08-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260276-0.28%0.2618+0.31%0.0046✗0.0135k2022-08-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.6217-0.28%2.96+12.59%0.0230✗1.12619k2022-08-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0669-0.26%6.51+28.15%0.1249✗1.43947k2022-08-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.528708-0.24%0.646+21.89%0.0741✗1.4384k2022-08-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2508-0.22%5.81+36.38%0.2576✗0.62504k2022-08-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.405869-0.21%0.4128+1.50%0.1126✓1.47602k2022-08-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.141416-0.20%0.1776+25.34%0.1140✗1.292.8M2022-08-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.146926-0.19%0.172+16.85%0.0445✗1.28379k2022-08-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.0854-0.18%3.849+24.52%0.1661✗0.631.5M2022-08-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.048014-0.18%0.0532+10.60%0.0044✓1.22263k2022-08-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2778-0.18%4.1461+26.27%0.1410✗1.0725k2022-08-01
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063551-0.18%0.069972+9.91%0.0262✗0.80373k2022-08-01
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.5831-0.16%41.67+13.73%0.0103✗1.3680.3M2022-08-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2944-0.15%2.7968+21.71%0.1099✗1.00863k2022-08-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.231782-0.14%0.277+19.35%0.0808✗1.1161k2022-08-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.095571-0.13%0.1236+29.15%0.1363✗1.372.4M2022-08-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5432-0.12%1.89+22.33%0.0753✗1.45212k2022-08-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,266.41-0.12%11,611.32+85.08%0.4978✗1.354.0M2022-08-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.434894-0.12%0.4966+14.06%0.0341✗1.1241k2022-08-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006681-0.11%0.00665-0.58%0.0533✓0.5546k2022-08-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.274538-0.10%0.336+22.27%0.0963✗1.202.7M2022-08-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.061874-0.09%0.068721+10.96%0.0033✗1.151.8M2022-08-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.9651-0.09%10.399+15.89%0.0278✗1.3713.0M2022-08-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.7564-0.07%6.1+28.15%0.1907✗0.66514k2022-08-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.872903-0.06%1.0163+16.35%0.0328✗1.36423k2022-08-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2487-0.06%2.86+27.11%0.1070✗1.52205k2022-08-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003097-0.06%0.003256+5.07%0.0391✓1.011.0M2022-08-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1761-0.04%2.947+35.37%0.1786✗1.4237k2022-08-01
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.230809-0.04%0.2657+15.07%0.0340✗1.21701k2022-08-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038277-0.03%0.00004514+17.89%0.0604✗1.191.9M2022-08-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.11446-0.03%0.1255+9.61%0.0034✗1.015,8712022-08-01
DASHDashDash44.8844.8692-0.02%49.75+10.85%0.0059✗1.11498k2022-08-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.622853-0.02%0.772+23.92%0.1295✗0.97387k2022-08-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0254.0096-0.02%59.47+10.09%0.0048✓1.1513.6M2022-08-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.248-0.00%1.423+14.02%0.0147✗1.322.4M2022-08-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.047941+0.00%0.0805+67.92%0.3897✓1.46712k2022-08-01
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.404+0.00%96.58+18.65%0.0249✓1.668.1M2022-08-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013451+0.01%0.015017+11.65%0.0300✓0.911.2M2022-08-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.824977+0.01%1.0789+30.79%0.1418✓1.441.4M2022-08-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.281049+0.02%0.335+19.22%0.0834✓1.05673k2022-08-01
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.475015+0.02%0.5128+7.98%0.0351✗1.2741.4M2022-08-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.2049+0.03%8.34+34.45%0.1833✓1.285.3M2022-08-01
BANDBandEthereum1.41.4004+0.03%1.718+22.71%0.0764✓1.45317k2022-08-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047616+0.03%0.0612+28.57%0.1334✓1.34787k2022-08-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.58e-7+0.04%3.29e-7-7.87%0.1691✗0.99234k2022-08-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.4439+0.05%11.25+33.29%0.1849✓1.16243k2022-08-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.525845+0.05%0.6196+17.88%0.0583✓1.20642k2022-08-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.3103+0.05%1.5747+20.24%0.0558✓1.46561k2022-08-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.2017+0.06%1.323+10.16%0.0133✗1.241.3M2022-08-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092858+0.06%0.1162+25.22%0.1064✓1.34502k2022-08-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0533+0.07%1.246+18.37%0.0712✓1.1045k2022-08-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006556+0.10%0.00938+43.21%0.2693✓1.01355k2022-08-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.140315+0.10%0.16541+18.01%0.0253✓1.58176k2022-08-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3715+0.11%1.63+18.98%0.0463✓1.44127k2022-08-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.107923+0.11%0.1207+11.97%0.0160✓1.09380k2022-08-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8409+0.12%2.2681+23.36%0.1008✓1.2324k2022-08-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026783+0.12%0.03204+19.78%0.0671✓1.2718k2022-08-01
PROPropyEthereum0.790.791032+0.13%0.78-1.27%0.0748✗0.6983k2022-08-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.119568+0.14%0.1438+20.44%0.0670✓1.3447k2022-08-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.674986+0.15%0.793+17.66%0.0508✓1.25149k2022-08-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.312065+0.15%0.3424+9.88%0.0111✗1.187.5M2022-08-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008463+0.16%0.00842-0.36%0.0868✗0.931.3M2022-08-01
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.2755+0.17%18.16+19.08%0.0509✓1.3997k2022-08-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025754+0.17%0.03001+16.73%0.0338✓1.351,3002022-08-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7698+0.19%8.18+21.06%0.0799✓1.248.6M2022-08-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.955+0.22%23.59+12.82%0.0221✗1.6027.0M2022-08-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000992237+0.22%0.001096+10.71%0.0153✗1.311.7M2022-08-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.82e-7+0.22%9.70e-7+10.23%0.0215✓0.845.9M2022-08-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041492+0.22%0.0483+16.67%0.0327✓1.357,5232022-08-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3715+0.23%2.565+8.41%0.0755✗1.7587k2022-08-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.085707+0.24%0.0641-25.03%0.3641✗0.84148k2022-08-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.7081+0.24%15.1343+19.38%0.0692✓1.2078k2022-08-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.00398+0.25%0.00478+20.40%0.0651✓1.34106k2022-08-01
XVGVergenative0.003450.003459+0.25%0.00375+8.70%0.0374✗1.34566k2022-08-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.363325+0.26%0.4239+16.97%0.0347✓1.3670k2022-08-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.4376+0.26%7.574+17.96%0.0503✓1.2816.7M2022-08-01
STXStacksnative0.40070.401743+0.26%0.4613+15.12%0.0257✓1.28606k2022-08-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.2522+0.27%8.776+67.54%0.4156✓1.111.9M2022-08-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.101685+0.28%0.1494+47.34%0.2874✓1.11617k2022-08-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.04774+0.29%0.0648+36.13%0.1750✓1.48119k2022-08-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.916549+0.31%1.0185+11.47%0.0193✓0.9851k2022-08-01
XMRMoneroMonero144.12144.581+0.32%160.69+11.50%0.0083✓1.111.1M2022-08-01
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6329+0.36%2.025+24.46%0.1042✓1.26332k2022-08-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.216527+0.38%0.2307+6.95%0.0681✗1.4999k2022-08-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.4969+0.39%9.963+5.32%0.0499✗1.112.1M2022-08-01
GTGateEthereum3.96963.9854+0.40%4.4164+11.26%0.0396✓0.72919k2022-08-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.132146+0.42%0.1647+25.15%0.1092✓1.2681k2022-08-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.10645+0.44%0.118304+11.62%0.0170✓1.016.7M2022-08-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.282695+0.44%0.362765+28.89%0.1349✓1.301.1M2022-08-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.223128+0.46%0.2631+18.46%0.0539✓1.26119k2022-08-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001486+0.47%0.001697+14.74%0.0400✓1.0620k2022-08-01
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5155+0.47%1.8199+20.65%0.0703✓1.28492k2022-08-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,448.23+0.52%1,630.82+13.19%0.0093✓1.24344.6M2022-08-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.059326+0.55%0.0602+2.03%0.1113✗1.43328k2022-08-01
ZECZcashZcash54.254.5031+0.56%62.87+16.00%0.0299✓1.281.4M2022-08-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005666+0.67%0.006321+12.30%0.0290✓0.912,9222022-08-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.667581+0.69%0.731+10.26%0.0423✗1.5179k2022-08-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03118.8959+0.73%137.87+16.81%0.0461✓1.164.2M2022-08-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.686032+0.74%0.727+6.75%0.0486✗1.21758k2022-08-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,472.87+0.75%23,273.86+9.20%0.0075✗1.00374.5M2022-08-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064741+0.84%0.0705+9.81%0.0097✗1.08239k2022-08-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.494808+1.23%0.5574+14.03%0.0183✓1.15350k2022-08-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.079486+1.26%0.0951+21.15%0.0714✓1.236,7862022-08-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.