8=======>

2022-06-11 · +7d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2443
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.6%
in alpha space · 44.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-33.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2171.1554-5.06%0.788-35.25%0.5308✗2.268.8M2022-06-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.073.9431-3.12%3.423-15.90%0.1576✗0.746.4M2022-06-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.2515.7845-2.86%9.79-39.75%0.3201✗1.97252k2022-06-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.278-2.76%2.618-22.34%0.0800✗0.754.1M2022-06-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7141.674-2.34%1.218-28.94%0.3524✗1.665.0M2022-06-18
PROPropyEthereum0.920.901213-2.04%0.85-7.61%0.2651✗0.80183k2022-06-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.03071.9905-1.98%1.6728-17.62%0.2614✗1.083.5M2022-06-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22051.1968-1.95%0.75523-38.12%0.1394✓0.791,0842022-06-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1026-1.88%2.936-7.15%0.3232✗0.942.9M2022-06-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.594230.583925-1.73%0.50803-14.51%0.7707✗2.253.1M2022-06-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.197.0743-1.61%6.1-15.16%0.1103✗0.642.0M2022-06-18
STEEMSteemnative0.24050.236701-1.58%0.1826-24.07%0.3439✗1.49585k2022-06-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070003-1.40%0.04811-32.24%0.0292✗1.001,7292022-06-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3992.3661-1.37%2.0842-13.12%0.3183✗1.103.5M2022-06-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68452.6489-1.33%2.3544-12.30%0.4673✗1.453.2M2022-06-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4222.3923-1.23%1.56-35.59%0.3034✗1.8199k2022-06-18
FLOWFlownative2.0562.0315-1.19%1.264-38.52%0.0703✓1.00608k2022-06-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64541.6258-1.19%1.2522-23.90%0.2876✗1.361.9M2022-06-18
OPTIMOptimism0.7610.752057-1.18%0.451-40.74%0.1071✓1.007.8M2022-06-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.574.5187-1.12%3.86-15.54%0.2002✗0.881.3M2022-06-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.93.8571-1.10%2.97-23.85%0.1355✗0.981.7M2022-06-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05270.052131-1.08%0.04483-14.93%0.3267✗1.1815k2022-06-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.164.1152-1.08%3.39-18.51%0.1339✗0.811.9M2022-06-18
TRXTRONTron0.0757580.074963-1.05%0.060855-19.67%0.1660✗0.93682k2022-06-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.7980.790024-1.00%0.601-24.69%0.6487✗2.281.9M2022-06-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.218865-0.97%0.233+5.43%0.9185✗2.121.1M2022-06-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5330.527914-0.95%0.338-36.59%0.2728✗1.784,3562022-06-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50035.4481-0.95%5.06-8.01%0.0550✗0.32243k2022-06-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.743.7054-0.93%2.46-34.22%0.0341✗1.10717k2022-06-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.463.4294-0.89%2.82-18.50%0.2188✗1.031.8M2022-06-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07360.072953-0.88%0.0517-29.76%0.1866✗1.31153k2022-06-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0731.0639-0.85%0.798-25.63%0.1167✗1.001.3M2022-06-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.009180.009104-0.83%0.005876-35.99%0.0205✗1.132,4432022-06-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047310.046921-0.82%0.03819-19.28%0.2424✗1.113,6542022-06-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057640.057183-0.79%0.04472-22.41%0.6227✗2.151.9M2022-06-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.89952.4816-0.79%55.298+4.54%0.4754✗1.051.1M2022-06-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.075.0307-0.78%4.18-17.55%0.1576✗0.851.6M2022-06-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0523860.05199-0.76%0.0493-5.89%0.2845✗0.8459k2022-06-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7940.788207-0.73%0.712-10.33%0.6942✗1.972.7M2022-06-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010196-0.72%0.00909-11.49%0.5677✗1.6913.6M2022-06-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.13550.134531-0.71%0.0752-44.50%0.1272✗1.754,0262022-06-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021210.021073-0.65%0.01535-27.63%0.0512✓0.66608k2022-06-18
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7364.7053-0.65%3.615-23.67%0.6416✗2.2417.0M2022-06-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3321520.330003-0.65%0.247565-25.47%0.3441✗1.562.3M2022-06-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.0931.0864-0.60%0.80868-26.01%0.2149✗1.266,0082022-06-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05090.050594-0.60%0.0455-10.61%0.6630✗1.9023k2022-06-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.785534-0.57%0.61-22.78%0.4679✗1.78209k2022-06-18
GTGateEthereum5.28735.2587-0.54%3.6059-31.80%0.1382✓0.592.5M2022-06-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.995.958-0.53%4.4-26.54%0.3416✗1.60411k2022-06-18
FTTFTXEthereum27.4727.3274-0.52%22.79-17.04%0.2236✗1.009.1M2022-06-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1480.147238-0.51%0.1123-24.12%0.4346✗1.752.9M2022-06-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.350940.349235-0.49%0.28073-20.01%0.4184✗1.5815k2022-06-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21950.218445-0.48%0.1405-35.99%0.1930✗1.57696k2022-06-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,488.7028,356.51-0.46%19,116.80-32.90%0.0011✓0.9729k2022-06-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6240.621183-0.45%0.7155+14.66%0.7240✗1.442.9M2022-06-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.29.1588-0.45%8.89-3.37%0.8031✗2.062.8M2022-06-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0245910.024484-0.43%0.02049-16.68%0.3128✗1.2110k2022-06-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.25240.251494-0.36%0.2039-19.22%0.3257✗1.32103k2022-06-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08830.088-0.34%0.0691-21.74%0.5377✗1.93422k2022-06-18
KCSKuCoinnative15.0214.9691-0.34%9.571-36.28%0.0088✓1.085.8M2022-06-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.259073-0.32%0.2227-14.31%0.4764✗1.5531k2022-06-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5971.5919-0.32%1.168-26.86%0.4691✗1.93242k2022-06-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0881.0846-0.31%0.612-43.75%0.1329✓1.091.0M2022-06-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.3051.301-0.31%1.425+9.20%0.8084✗1.77826k2022-06-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.412729-0.31%0.297-28.26%0.2037✗1.3214k2022-06-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0460.045884-0.25%0.0333-27.61%0.2959✗1.52403k2022-06-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7772.7709-0.22%2.377-14.40%0.2954✗1.1172k2022-06-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7721.7684-0.20%1.287-27.37%0.4010✗1.78342k2022-06-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3332.3283-0.20%1.554-33.39%0.4261✗2.053.0M2022-06-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.592.5852-0.19%2.144-17.22%0.6805✗2.1513k2022-06-18
XMRMoneroMonero166.23165.9594-0.16%104.18-37.33%0.0004✓1.151.9M2022-06-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7630.761764-0.16%0.795+4.19%0.5529✗1.261.7M2022-06-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.16080.160547-0.16%0.1228-23.63%0.1412✗1.01277k2022-06-18
XECeCashnative0.000045240.000045182-0.13%0.00003566-21.18%0.4026✗1.583.0M2022-06-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0131590.013144-0.11%0.014203+7.93%0.4243✗0.86291k2022-06-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.36173.3591-0.08%2.5838-23.14%0.2791✗1.3433k2022-06-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697290.069677-0.07%0.052785-24.30%0.2476✗1.301.3M2022-06-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08430.084248-0.06%0.0528-37.37%0.1820✓0.71274k2022-06-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.8992-0.04%1.46-23.16%0.2792✗1.34268k2022-06-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.332970.33291-0.02%0.31116-6.55%0.5393✗1.50105k2022-06-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.21.1998-0.02%2.06+71.67%0.9662✗1.05153k2022-06-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003910.00391-0.00%0.002641-32.46%0.1558✗1.365,7382022-06-18
XEMNEMnative0.04460.044604+0.01%0.037989-14.82%0.4921✓1.6132k2022-06-18
ADACardanoCardano0.55350.55361+0.02%0.4544-17.90%0.4768✓1.6749.8M2022-06-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.14261.1429+0.03%0.93123-18.50%0.3336✓1.3348k2022-06-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024020.02403+0.04%0.01934-19.48%0.2222✓1.09154k2022-06-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.017810.017819+0.05%0.02407+35.15%1.3249✓2.5332.1M2022-06-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,388.6328,403.38+0.05%18,948.89-33.25%0.0005✓1.00582.4M2022-06-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.2318.2443+0.08%13.68-24.96%0.2736✓1.392.6M2022-06-18
DIADIAEthereum0.437270.437706+0.10%0.35701-18.35%0.0760✓0.69249k2022-06-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010130.001014+0.11%0.0007-30.90%0.3308✓1.741.8M2022-06-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.740.740848+0.11%0.48-35.14%0.0516✓1.2063k2022-06-18
ZECZcashZcash79.5879.6791+0.12%59.26-25.53%0.2918✓1.453.6M2022-06-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11590.116049+0.13%0.1102-4.92%0.6699✓1.793.2M2022-06-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27572.2787+0.13%1.728-24.07%0.3363✓1.5258k2022-06-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05780.057882+0.14%0.0485-16.09%0.5774✓1.871.7M2022-06-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.2910.3082+0.18%7.81-24.10%0.1658✓1.10283k2022-06-18
HIVEHivenative0.48540.486301+0.19%0.3505-27.79%0.2776✓1.501.2M2022-06-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1252130.125446+0.19%0.107534-14.12%0.3339✓1.2110.3M2022-06-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.10880.109029+0.21%0.0832-23.53%0.4595✓1.811.1M2022-06-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13320.133498+0.22%0.1042-21.77%0.3943✓1.5951k2022-06-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.695746+0.25%0.552-20.46%0.2683✓1.24365k2022-06-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131570.01319+0.25%0.011617-11.70%0.3783✓1.252.0M2022-06-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21.2031+0.26%0.93-22.50%0.4682✓1.801.2M2022-06-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5410.542491+0.28%0.503-7.02%0.6595✓1.82886k2022-06-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006950.000069692+0.28%0.0000554-20.29%1.1439✓3.402.1M2022-06-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12320.123547+0.28%0.0987-19.89%0.5104✓1.825.6M2022-06-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003620.003631+0.29%0.002612-27.85%0.1822✓1.272.1M2022-06-18
DASHDashDash48.9549.1032+0.31%41.55-15.12%0.3755✓1.34837k2022-06-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.259419+0.32%0.1978-23.51%0.3280✓1.48384k2022-06-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.010460.010494+0.33%0.00847-19.02%0.2672✓1.191.5M2022-06-18
UNIUniswapEthereum4.3794.3936+0.33%3.637-16.94%0.4278✓1.532.6M2022-06-18
ZENHorizenBase16.516.5553+0.34%13.17-20.18%0.4799✓1.7565k2022-06-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.322320.323434+0.35%0.235-27.09%0.2990✓1.53455k2022-06-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.632.6392+0.35%2.17-17.49%0.6498✓2.09294k2022-06-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11140.111799+0.36%0.0869-21.99%0.3074✓1.38781k2022-06-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35040.351695+0.37%0.2955-15.67%0.4133✓1.4514.6M2022-06-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.464.4766+0.37%4.07-8.74%0.7205✓2.021.5M2022-06-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.2916.3513+0.38%12.93-20.63%0.4686✓1.742.4M2022-06-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163330.163945+0.38%0.12089-25.98%0.4607✓1.89276k2022-06-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25440.255456+0.42%0.1531-39.82%0.0470✓1.38196k2022-06-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,531.091,537.60+0.43%993.64-35.10%0.0214✓1.13340.5M2022-06-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44080.44271+0.43%0.3417-22.48%0.4751✓1.82159k2022-06-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.16110.161808+0.44%0.1231-23.59%0.3704✓1.59176k2022-06-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0986.125+0.44%5.103-16.32%0.4710✓1.622.5M2022-06-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1352.3627+0.45%47.13-9.59%0.4422✓1.3517.5M2022-06-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008190.008227+0.46%0.006281-23.31%0.0873✓0.88164k2022-06-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81640.820158+0.46%0.77754-4.76%0.7129✓1.90789k2022-06-18
XTZTezosTezos1.79481.8031+0.46%1.2889-28.19%0.2375✓1.42914k2022-06-18
QNTQuantEthereum5555.2541+0.46%48.77-11.33%0.3733✓1.232.0M2022-06-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30040.301808+0.47%0.2512-16.38%0.4206✓1.496.2M2022-06-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.06260.062898+0.48%0.0534-14.70%0.6901✓2.11142k2022-06-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3940.395896+0.48%0.271-31.22%0.4026✓1.93567k2022-06-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033064+0.50%0.0267-18.84%0.4658✓1.68247k2022-06-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.038.0701+0.50%7.044-12.28%0.5001✓1.5713.5M2022-06-18
AAVEAaveEthereum77.0277.4118+0.51%49.52-35.71%0.3158✓1.897.4M2022-06-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.11.1057+0.52%0.49-55.45%0.3339✗1.1968k2022-06-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062370.062699+0.53%0.04148-33.49%0.1310✓1.3544k2022-06-18
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.55e-7+0.54%7.40e-7-22.11%0.1193✓0.935.7M2022-06-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06870.069086+0.56%0.0572-16.74%0.3797✓1.41396k2022-06-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5350.538008+0.56%0.412-22.99%0.4280✓1.72116k2022-06-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.471610.474344+0.58%0.43006-8.81%0.6008✓1.7363k2022-06-18
SOLSolanaSolana33.9134.1085+0.59%32.01-5.60%0.6025✓1.65104.0M2022-06-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash156.57157.4992+0.59%115.22-26.41%0.2062✓1.284.4M2022-06-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2310.2909+0.60%7.08-30.79%0.1521✓1.30508k2022-06-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007790.007837+0.61%0.00624-19.90%0.2550✓1.19625k2022-06-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11080.111493+0.63%0.0999-9.84%0.4220✓1.327,6092022-06-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0367.0809+0.64%5.918-15.89%0.4560✓1.5732.1M2022-06-18
STXStacksnative0.46760.470614+0.64%0.3371-27.91%0.2324✓1.40165k2022-06-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031830.03204+0.66%0.02514-21.02%0.3963✓1.5817k2022-06-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009320.000009382+0.67%0.00000771-17.27%0.4100✓1.50850k2022-06-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004480.004512+0.71%0.00339-24.33%0.4333✓1.78228k2022-06-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2970.299132+0.72%0.259-12.79%0.3765✓1.29890k2022-06-18
NANOnanopayBase11.0072+0.72%0.758897-24.11%0.2819✓1.40122k2022-06-18
KSMKusamaHydration57.0157.4253+0.73%48.42-15.07%0.3814✓1.371.1M2022-06-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.10450.105263+0.73%0.0868-16.94%0.4197✓1.52795k2022-06-18
XVGVergenative0.003750.003778+0.74%0.00273-27.20%0.3438✓1.65645k2022-06-18
MOVRMoonriverBase17.821717.9565+0.76%10.6122-40.45%0.1225✓1.60222k2022-06-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.9080.914892+0.76%0.583-35.79%0.1502✓1.495.1M2022-06-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.8920.0422+0.77%14.8-25.59%0.3989✓1.7447.8M2022-06-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.725518+0.77%0.578-19.72%0.5169✓1.84578k2022-06-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.5582.5781+0.79%2.376-7.11%0.5078✓1.461.2M2022-06-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.0661.0745+0.79%0.611-42.68%0.2983✓2.13339k2022-06-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4924+0.84%1.33-10.14%0.6985✓2.01575k2022-06-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.557.6137+0.84%6.069-19.62%0.4055✓1.5615.2M2022-06-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.12880.129956+0.90%0.1378+6.99%0.7338✓1.671,7522022-06-18
COMPCompoundEthereum45.2845.6888+0.90%28.98-36.00%0.1936✓1.6130k2022-06-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9666.0213+0.93%5.133-13.96%0.5636✓1.7910.6M2022-06-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.4085+0.94%2.038-14.59%0.5476✓1.77166k2022-06-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.676,415.17+0.97%4,369.27-31.23%0.1545✓1.333.7M2022-06-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4091.4239+1.06%1.063-24.56%0.4133✓1.7576k2022-06-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.17e-73.31e-7+4.35%2.94e-7-7.15%0.3294✓1.10961k2022-06-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.