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2022-09-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0910
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.4%
in alpha space · 51.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000418265-3.80%0.00043138-0.79%0.0267✓0.501.8M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.168794-2.88%0.2611+50.23%0.4294✗0.8324k2022-09-11
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.385149-2.02%0.3501-10.94%0.1042✓1.067402022-09-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018624-1.70%0.01828-3.51%0.0269✓1.006792022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.50851-1.45%0.513-0.58%0.0006✓0.997,7812022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3688-1.31%1.402+1.08%0.0108✓1.582.8M2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21412.0647-1.22%12.594+3.11%0.0393✗0.4416.0M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.561541-1.14%0.595+4.75%0.0490✗1.0763k2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4735-1.10%1.46-2.01%0.0166✓0.8981k2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.280894-1.09%0.285+0.35%0.0086✓0.72563k2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.2909-1.07%6.417+0.91%0.0129✗0.846.2M2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.460103-1.06%0.45678-1.77%0.0150✓0.93392k2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.3374-1.05%7.6094+2.62%0.0345✗0.229.9M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04772.0275-0.99%2.0077-1.95%0.0170✓0.871.2M2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.78e-7-0.97%7.30e-7+6.57%0.0664✗0.832.3M2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098604-0.90%0.0941-5.43%0.0538✓0.8613k2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,349.32-0.88%10,194.93-2.36%0.0266✓1.394.2M2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum32.5532.2656-0.87%31.98-1.75%0.0230✓1.71178k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.279357-0.87%0.3308+17.39%0.1625✗0.7984k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.32-0.86%2.33-0.43%0.0052✓1.14229k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059293-0.85%0.0611+2.17%0.0228✗0.8881k2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.311385-0.83%0.2929-6.72%0.0697✓1.0292k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2338.909-0.82%38.56-1.71%0.0210✓1.4411.7M2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.8653-0.81%15.699-1.85%0.0200✓1.1418.7M2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.112.0933-0.79%2.116+0.28%0.0001✓1.281.1M2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.89495-0.78%0.8885-1.50%0.0185✓1.3694k2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.5342-0.76%4.501-1.49%0.0148✓0.90289k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.9259-0.75%7.1468+2.42%0.0301✗0.158.6M2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.116421-0.75%0.1167-0.51%0.0062✓1.032.5M2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.02288-0.74%0.02332+1.17%0.0122✗0.839.2M2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.6032-0.73%1.648+2.04%0.0185✗1.0943k2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.3155-0.72%1.3145-0.79%0.0083✓0.911.1M2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.5407-0.71%4.6789+2.32%0.0258✗0.517.3M2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.743825-0.70%0.7351-1.87%0.0231✓1.36210k2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.311-0.70%2.3057-0.93%0.0114✓1.0913k2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.3521-0.69%3.3066-2.04%0.0216✓0.9619k2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010899-0.69%0.011314+3.10%0.0291✗1.006082022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.8521-0.68%8.03+1.57%0.0144✗0.9618.0M2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3626-0.68%1.369-0.22%0.0044✓1.09385k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3262-0.67%1.3029-2.41%0.0269✓1.111.1M2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.065444-0.66%0.06521-1.02%0.0127✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.8779-0.66%11.23+2.56%0.0218✗1.22298k2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.037951-0.65%0.03781-1.02%0.0119✓0.9859k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.152311-0.65%0.1545+0.78%0.0060✓1.00361k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.681726-0.62%0.686+0.00%0.0002✓0.78116k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.113787-0.62%0.1156+0.96%0.0094✗0.77169k2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.6299-0.61%14.56-1.09%0.0133✓1.02925k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.927-0.61%1.9241-0.76%0.0102✓1.0523k2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.200405-0.59%0.2083+3.32%0.0317✗0.833.2M2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0281.0219-0.59%1.024-0.39%0.0016✓0.442.8M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.808898-0.59%0.80376-1.22%0.0133✓0.83584k2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.051896-0.58%0.052-0.38%0.0051✓0.86204k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.288675-0.58%0.29146+0.38%0.0016✓0.9614k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.2531-0.58%3.278+0.18%0.0035✓0.50653k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.38460.382382-0.58%0.3903+1.48%0.0115✗1.09335k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.126668-0.57%0.1254-1.57%0.0158✓0.69195k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.7327-0.57%7.702-0.96%0.0121✓0.9810.0M2022-09-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7859-0.56%4.896+1.72%0.0145✗1.001.2M2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.7364-0.56%7.63-1.93%0.0224✓1.03237k2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050718-0.55%0.0501-1.76%0.0201✓0.94546k2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.9704-0.55%8.98-0.44%0.0026✓0.442.2M2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.5957-0.55%2.63+0.77%0.0077✗0.66262k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000044318-0.54%0.00004562+2.38%0.0224✗0.792.5M2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0482.0371-0.53%1.99-2.83%0.0368✓1.6260k2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.867274-0.53%0.8663-0.64%0.0093✓0.99988k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.0377-0.53%0.0372-1.85%0.0195✓0.747,8252022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.6389-0.53%6.491-2.74%0.0328✓1.246.9M2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.441072-0.53%0.4445+0.25%0.0017✓1.1381k2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.549104-0.52%0.543-1.63%0.0202✓1.0877k2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.066653-0.52%0.0662-1.19%0.0168✓1.21608k2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4898-0.52%15.7+0.83%0.0063✗0.871.7M2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.509781-0.51%0.5101-0.45%0.0065✓0.8637.9M2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.513369-0.51%0.515-0.19%0.0063✓1.154,5592022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.2127-0.51%2.202-0.99%0.0140✓1.1033k2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.8703-0.50%18.93+5.40%0.0525✗0.61384k2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047661-0.50%0.0497+3.76%0.0346✗0.88132k2022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,662.10-0.50%1,656.91-0.81%0.0114✓1.003.4M2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.364684-0.50%0.3619-1.26%0.0161✓1.0271k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002897-0.49%0.002904-0.24%0.0045✓0.851.2M2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.35233-0.49%0.35169-0.67%0.0097✓0.9534k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068774-0.49%0.07307+5.73%0.0529✗0.936022022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.114155-0.48%0.114387-0.28%0.0049✓0.836.5M2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021471-0.48%0.021887+1.45%0.0129✗0.7512k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.024075-0.48%0.023973-0.90%0.0046✓0.04454k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.4035-0.48%12.8866-4.31%0.0467✓0.8822k2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.418403-0.47%0.4255+1.21%0.0083✗1.03209k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0652.8083-0.47%55.25+4.13%0.0353✗1.209,0502022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0646-0.47%1.0863+1.55%0.0135✗0.8034k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.522422-0.47%0.5157-1.75%0.0184✓0.66444k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.5593-0.47%27.89+0.72%0.0039✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64132.0143-0.47%130.35-1.73%0.0219✓1.114.4M2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.5889-0.47%6.73+1.66%0.0176✗0.432.1M2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013218-0.47%0.00001299-2.18%0.0248✓0.90951k2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2389-0.46%1.183-4.95%0.0584✓1.484.4M2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.503602-0.45%0.512+1.21%0.0075✗1.09384k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum105.47104.9934-0.45%108.82+3.18%0.0295✗0.763.4M2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.3859-0.45%5.43+0.37%0.0047✗0.412.0M2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0873-0.44%5.1-0.20%0.0043✓0.81943k2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.4314-0.44%6.57+1.70%0.0177✗0.432.2M2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0243.0106-0.44%2.963-2.02%0.0278✓1.433.0M2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.064445-0.44%0.063703-1.59%0.0199✓1.001.3M2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009339-0.44%0.00944+0.64%0.0048✗0.723.3M2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero157.51156.8202-0.44%159.22+1.09%0.0068✗1.011.3M2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.14845-0.44%0.1518+1.81%0.0144✗0.95117k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,639.01-0.43%21,663.60-0.32%0.0067✓0.9413k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.320915-0.43%0.3264+1.27%0.0098✗0.865.9M2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2776-0.43%4.405+2.54%0.0257✗0.442.1M2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.178826-0.43%0.17789-0.95%0.0129✓0.93268k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7814-0.43%1.838+2.74%0.0242✗0.85627k2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1297.0989-0.42%7.173+0.62%0.0034✓0.844.3M2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.7791-0.42%16.47-2.26%0.0275✓1.0885k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007827-0.42%0.00844+7.38%0.0669✗1.03389k2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.161821-0.42%0.168+3.38%0.0299✗0.921,0012022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0525.0311-0.41%5.682+12.47%0.1113✗1.246.2M2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.4329-0.41%4.847+8.89%0.0767✗1.52129k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.219892-0.41%0.2303+4.30%0.0386✗0.9257k2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001375-0.41%0.001367-0.97%0.0112✓0.672.3M2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.138534-0.41%0.1378-0.93%0.0093✓0.482.9M2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004113-0.40%0.00419+1.45%0.0110✗0.90103k2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.338743-0.40%0.3328-2.15%0.0264✓1.0582k2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.065539-0.40%0.0645-1.98%0.0226✓0.8081k2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.796-0.39%2.782-0.89%0.0117✓0.80630k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039246-0.39%0.0393-0.25%0.0056✓0.8584k2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003220.003208-0.38%0.00381+18.32%0.1643✗0.94481k2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.170634-0.38%0.17414+1.66%0.0062✗1.712952022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.103208-0.38%0.1027-0.87%0.0108✓0.712,6892022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.143178-0.38%0.14382+0.07%0.0048✓1.12157k2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash65.3365.0839-0.38%64.27-1.62%0.0223✓1.171.2M2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.2175-0.37%1.251+2.37%0.0194✗0.941.1M2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.045569-0.36%0.046785+2.29%0.0198✗0.7928k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.07e-7-0.36%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0026✓0.7515k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001595-0.36%0.001636+2.19%0.0198✗0.666,5532022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.3382-0.36%4.354+0.00%0.0009✓0.322.2M2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.847101-0.36%0.8518+0.19%0.0019✓0.8913k2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.071712-0.36%0.07414+3.02%0.0322✗0.13389k2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.133123-0.36%0.1333-0.22%0.0075✓1.061.4M2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.984143-0.34%0.9748-1.29%0.0189✓1.13899k2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.57790.575937-0.34%0.5792+0.22%0.0005✓0.74826k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,578.16-0.34%21,831.72+0.83%0.0034✗1.00473.4M2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.042393-0.33%0.042322-0.50%0.0059✓0.5123k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.185479-0.33%0.183-1.67%0.0246✓1.341,5202022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6608-0.33%1.6855+1.15%0.0061✗1.04241k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.293918-0.33%0.2923-0.88%0.0131✓0.922.7M2022-09-11
DASHDashDash48.7748.6096-0.33%48.35-0.86%0.0132✓0.95328k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3263.1118-0.33%62.18-1.80%0.0228✓0.9513.5M2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.654841-0.33%0.649-1.22%0.0166✓0.92178k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.935226-0.33%0.927788-1.12%0.0145✓0.7849k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.228553-0.33%0.235+2.49%0.0208✗0.85503k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration52.3252.1499-0.33%51.9-0.80%0.0125✓0.93363k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.6151-0.32%4.64+0.22%0.0012✓0.501.3M2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.27e-7-0.31%9.10e-7-2.15%0.0249✓0.771.7M2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.7466-0.30%9.755-0.21%0.0067✓0.921.2M2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006282-0.30%0.006537+3.75%0.0341✗0.692,0442022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.31178-0.29%0.313787+0.36%0.0018✓0.99514k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039666-0.29%0.0396-0.45%0.0080✓0.762,2982022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0216.0041-0.28%6.139+1.96%0.0187✗0.423.3M2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075768-0.28%0.07546-0.68%0.0133✓1.1125k2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0313-0.28%1.0275-0.64%0.0079✓0.512.7M2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.975317-0.27%0.974-0.41%0.0114✓1.211.5M2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.046014-0.27%0.04664+1.08%0.0076✗0.7114k2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006211-0.27%0.006309+1.30%0.0120✗0.4433k2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.025404-0.26%0.0255+0.12%0.0079✓1.412,9582022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.9801-0.26%35.01-0.17%0.0077✓1.0458.3M2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.013027-0.25%0.01293-1.00%0.0134✓0.72228k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728162-0.25%0.72-1.37%0.0144✓0.3850k2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6569-0.25%1.655-0.36%0.0073✓0.7544k2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.5103-0.25%1.517+0.20%0.0047✓1.1071k2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,770.33-0.25%1,766.95-0.44%0.0127✓1.30591.2M2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005916-0.24%0.00661+11.47%0.1057✗0.63911k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.402727-0.23%0.40526+0.40%0.0015✓0.9431k2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.4028-0.23%20.69+1.17%0.0043✗1.1718.5M2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.331549-0.23%0.33139-0.27%0.0064✓0.72327k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.098677-0.23%0.0997+0.81%0.0029✗0.89336k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.555166-0.22%0.55506-0.24%0.0103✓1.2239k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.209534-0.22%0.2106+0.29%0.0045✓1.15108k2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.013038-0.22%0.013193+0.97%0.0068✗0.61929k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.427-0.21%1.42-0.70%0.0045✓-0.05124k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23655.1252-0.20%54.454-1.42%0.0183✓0.73284k2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.67873-0.19%0.676-0.59%0.0134✓1.133.7M2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.064469-0.18%0.06419-0.61%0.0094✓0.62129k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001545-0.16%0.001558+0.65%0.0017✗0.77343k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.9375-0.16%5.0627+2.37%0.0243✗0.09115k2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.229552-0.15%0.2312+0.57%0.0008✓0.7767k2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.021031-0.14%0.0213+1.14%0.0066✗0.73223k2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.211315-0.13%0.2141+1.18%0.0034✗1.16139k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.3244.319-0.12%4.3301+0.14%0.0036✓0.75702k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050746-0.11%0.0508+0.00%0.0071✓0.99234k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8888-0.07%1.9+0.53%0.0017✗0.5161k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7492.6823-0.06%91.63-1.20%0.0232✓1.425.6M2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.4797+0.06%16.58-5.09%0.0585✗0.681.6M2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.13087+0.13%0.127-2.83%0.0301✗0.0183k2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.