FLOW

Flow · native · gru_s4

token id: #519
symbol: FLOW
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-05-19
predictions: 4,809

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

47.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0329

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0014

actual -0.0046

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03052	0.030422	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-20	oos	0.03033	0.030254	-0.25%	0.03052	+0.63%	0.0111	✗	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.029545	0.029485	-0.20%	0.03033	+2.66%	0.0178	✗	0.79
2026-10-18	oos	0.02973	0.029676	-0.18%	0.029545	-0.62%	0.0028	✓	0.79
2026-10-17	oos	0.03082	0.030751	-0.22%	0.02973	-3.54%	0.0398	✓	0.79
2026-10-16	oos	0.03204	0.031959	-0.25%	0.03082	-3.81%	0.0352	✓	0.79
2026-10-15	oos	0.031225	0.031158	-0.21%	0.03204	+2.61%	0.0340	✗	0.79
2026-10-14	oos	0.031835	0.031766	-0.22%	0.031225	-1.92%	0.0226	✓	0.80
2026-10-13	oos	0.033	0.032929	-0.21%	0.031835	-3.53%	0.0191	✓	0.79
2026-10-12	oos	0.033565	0.033463	-0.30%	0.033	-1.68%	0.0271	✓	0.80
2026-10-11	oos	0.03507	0.034935	-0.38%	0.033565	-4.29%	0.0222	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.03262	0.032558	-0.19%	0.03507	+7.51%	0.0674	✗	0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.03107	0.031031	-0.13%	0.03262	+4.99%	0.0466	✗	0.75
2026-10-08	oos	0.029575	0.029563	-0.04%	0.03107	+5.05%	0.0420	✗	0.74
2026-10-07	oos	0.03244	0.032404	-0.11%	0.029575	-8.83%	0.0781	✓	0.69
2026-10-06	oos	0.033785	0.033728	-0.17%	0.03244	-3.98%	0.0210	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.032175	0.032146	-0.09%	0.033785	+5.00%	0.0514	✗	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.03216	0.032139	-0.07%	0.032175	+0.05%	0.0071	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.03306	0.033007	-0.16%	0.03216	-2.72%	0.0404	✓	0.70
2026-10-02	oos	0.03149	0.031463	-0.09%	0.03306	+4.99%	0.0475	✗	0.70
2026-10-01	oos	0.031235	0.031211	-0.08%	0.03149	+0.82%	0.0118	✗	0.70
2026-09-30	oos	0.03115	0.031112	-0.12%	0.031235	+0.27%	0.0070	✓	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.03061	0.030594	-0.05%	0.03115	+1.76%	0.0187	✗	0.72
2026-09-28	oos	0.030525	0.030523	-0.01%	0.03061	+0.28%	0.0013	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.03293	0.032896	-0.10%	0.030525	-7.30%	0.0664	✓	0.70
2026-09-26	oos	0.03301	0.032977	-0.10%	0.03293	-0.24%	0.0018	✓	0.71
2026-09-25	oos	0.03108	0.031092	+0.04%	0.03301	+6.21%	0.0571	✓	0.71
2026-09-24	oos	0.03185	0.031868	+0.06%	0.03108	-2.42%	0.0226	✗	0.71
2026-09-23	oos	0.03132	0.031353	+0.11%	0.03185	+1.69%	0.0157	✓	0.71
2026-09-22	oos	0.03238	0.032417	+0.11%	0.03132	-3.27%	0.0193	✗	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.03329	0.033293	+0.01%	0.03238	-2.73%	0.0248	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.03005	0.030113	+0.21%	0.03329	+10.78%	0.0649	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.030465	0.030526	+0.20%	0.03005	-1.36%	0.0152	✗	0.54
2026-09-18	oos	0.03017	0.030227	+0.19%	0.030465	+0.98%	0.0054	✓	0.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.02955	0.029625	+0.25%	0.03017	+2.10%	0.0141	✗	0.56
2026-09-16	oos	0.026595	0.026737	+0.53%	0.02955	+11.11%	0.0986	✓	0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.02647	0.026625	+0.59%	0.026595	+0.47%	0.0053	✓	0.56
2026-09-14	oos	0.028065	0.028212	+0.52%	0.02647	-5.68%	0.0472	✗	0.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.028855	0.028983	+0.44%	0.028065	-2.74%	0.0412	✗	0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.027755	0.02793	+0.63%	0.028855	+3.96%	0.0357	✓	0.52
2026-09-11	oos	0.027655	0.027847	+0.69%	0.027755	+0.36%	0.0037	✓	0.53
2026-09-10	oos	0.027375	0.027585	+0.77%	0.027655	+1.02%	0.0021	✓	0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.027995	0.028219	+0.80%	0.027375	-2.21%	0.0186	✗	0.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.028685	0.028903	+0.76%	0.027995	-2.41%	0.0308	✗	0.53
2026-09-07	oos	0.028545	0.028766	+0.78%	0.028685	+0.49%	0.0014	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.0296	0.029792	+0.65%	0.028545	-3.56%	0.0348	✗	0.51
2026-09-05	oos	0.02887	0.02906	+0.66%	0.0296	+2.53%	0.0152	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	0.02792	0.028114	+0.69%	0.02887	+3.40%	0.0255	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.02751	0.027707	+0.72%	0.02792	+1.49%	0.0184	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.02683	0.026962	+0.49%	0.02751	+2.53%	0.0089	✗	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.02635	0.026468	+0.45%	0.02683	+1.82%	0.0143	✓	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.02667	0.026784	+0.43%	0.02635	-1.20%	0.0082	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.026865	0.026943	+0.29%	0.02667	-0.73%	0.0175	✗	0.64
2026-08-29	oos	0.028495	0.02855	+0.19%	0.026865	-5.72%	0.0563	✗	0.62
2026-08-28	oos	0.02863	0.028693	+0.22%	0.028495	-0.47%	0.0100	✗	0.62
2026-08-27	oos	0.02935	0.029436	+0.29%	0.02863	-2.45%	0.0089	✗	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.02944	0.029506	+0.22%	0.02935	-0.31%	0.0150	✗	0.62
2026-08-25	oos	0.029235	0.029307	+0.25%	0.02944	+0.70%	0.0006	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.02954	0.029614	+0.25%	0.029235	-1.03%	0.0092	✗	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0306	0.030652	+0.17%	0.02954	-3.46%	0.0474	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.03004	0.030093	+0.18%	0.0306	+1.86%	0.0110	✓	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.03165	0.031631	-0.06%	0.03004	-5.09%	0.0412	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.028925	0.028956	+0.11%	0.03165	+9.42%	0.0502	✓	0.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.02876	0.028746	-0.05%	0.028925	+0.57%	0.0258	✓	0.61
2026-08-18	oos	0.027425	0.027382	-0.16%	0.02876	+4.87%	0.0080	✗	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.02764	0.027609	-0.11%	0.027425	-0.78%	0.0086	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.02939	0.029336	-0.19%	0.02764	-5.95%	0.0770	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.029835	0.029779	-0.19%	0.02939	-1.49%	0.0112	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.030775	0.030713	-0.20%	0.029835	-3.05%	0.0295	✓	0.67
2026-08-13	oos	0.03158	0.031515	-0.21%	0.030775	-2.55%	0.0189	✓	0.68
2026-08-12	oos	0.03271	0.032634	-0.23%	0.03158	-3.45%	0.0330	✓	0.70
2026-08-11	oos	0.032795	0.032704	-0.28%	0.03271	-0.26%	0.0015	✓	0.69
2026-08-10	oos	0.03063	0.030574	-0.18%	0.032795	+7.07%	0.0744	✗	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.029505	0.029465	-0.13%	0.03063	+3.81%	0.0497	✗	0.75
2026-08-08	oos	0.02922	0.029149	-0.24%	0.029505	+0.98%	0.0128	✗	0.75
2026-08-07	oos	0.02765	0.027617	-0.12%	0.02922	+5.68%	0.0562	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.02766	0.027615	-0.16%	0.02765	-0.04%	0.0060	✓	0.75
2026-08-05	oos	0.02612	0.026095	-0.10%	0.02766	+5.90%	0.0622	✗	0.76
2026-08-04	oos	0.0258	0.025776	-0.09%	0.02612	+1.24%	0.0070	✗	0.73
2026-08-03	oos	0.0264	0.026359	-0.15%	0.0258	-2.27%	0.0282	✓	0.74
2026-08-02	oos	0.02815	0.028075	-0.27%	0.0264	-6.22%	0.0611	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02865	0.028548	-0.36%	0.02815	-1.75%	0.0225	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.030795	0.030575	-0.72%	0.02865	-6.97%	0.0643	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	0.028555	0.028404	-0.53%	0.030795	+7.84%	0.1051	✗	0.82
2026-07-29	oos	0.02788	0.02775	-0.46%	0.028555	+2.42%	0.0188	✗	0.76
2026-07-28	oos	0.02588	0.025811	-0.26%	0.02788	+7.73%	0.0765	✗	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.02385	0.02387	+0.08%	0.02588	+8.51%	0.0790	✓	0.77
2026-07-26	oos	0.02539	0.025402	+0.05%	0.02385	-6.07%	0.0453	✗	0.69
2026-07-25	oos	0.025085	0.025097	+0.05%	0.02539	+1.22%	0.0003	✓	0.70
2026-07-24	oos	0.025005	0.025019	+0.06%	0.025085	+0.32%	0.0004	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02502	0.025039	+0.08%	0.025005	-0.06%	0.0090	✓	0.69
2026-07-22	oos	0.02577	0.025791	+0.08%	0.02502	-2.91%	0.0197	✗	0.67
2026-07-21	oos	0.02587	0.025899	+0.11%	0.02577	-0.39%	0.0006	✓	0.67
2026-07-20	oos	0.02543	0.025458	+0.11%	0.02587	+1.73%	0.0032	✓	0.65
2026-07-19	oos	0.025425	0.025455	+0.12%	0.02543	+0.02%	0.0064	✗	0.66
2026-07-18	oos	0.025895	0.025926	+0.12%	0.025425	-1.82%	0.0182	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.02588	0.025911	+0.12%	0.025895	+0.06%	0.0116	✗	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.02601	0.026047	+0.14%	0.02588	-0.50%	0.0080	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.026465	0.02651	+0.17%	0.02601	-1.72%	0.0076	✗	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.026635	0.026685	+0.19%	0.026465	-0.64%	0.0050	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.02615	0.02619	+0.15%	0.026635	+1.85%	0.0179	✗	0.81
2026-07-12	oos	0.02655	0.026591	+0.15%	0.02615	-1.51%	0.0024	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.02706	0.02711	+0.19%	0.02655	-1.88%	0.0204	✗	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.02717	0.027223	+0.19%	0.02706	-0.40%	0.0008	✓	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.027045	0.027095	+0.19%	0.02717	+0.46%	0.0112	✗	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.02717	0.027219	+0.18%	0.027045	-0.46%	0.0204	✗	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.027035	0.027097	+0.23%	0.02717	+0.50%	0.0190	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.0281	0.028166	+0.23%	0.027035	-3.79%	0.0311	✗	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.028255	0.028321	+0.23%	0.0281	-0.55%	0.0139	✗	0.93
2026-07-04	oos	0.028715	0.028782	+0.23%	0.028255	-1.60%	0.0258	✗	0.93
2026-07-03	oos	0.02836	0.028427	+0.24%	0.028715	+1.25%	0.0020	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.02723	0.027304	+0.27%	0.02836	+4.15%	0.0231	✓	0.89
2026-07-01	oos	0.02689	0.026963	+0.27%	0.02723	+1.26%	0.0126	✗	0.89
2026-06-30	oos	0.02683	0.026903	+0.27%	0.02689	+0.22%	0.0224	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	0.028195	0.028257	+0.22%	0.02683	-4.84%	0.0275	✗	0.88
2026-06-28	oos	0.026935	0.027003	+0.25%	0.028195	+4.68%	0.0330	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.026725	0.026792	+0.25%	0.026935	+0.79%	0.0122	✓	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.0271	0.027166	+0.24%	0.026725	-1.38%	0.0153	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.02798	0.02804	+0.21%	0.0271	-3.15%	0.0386	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.02904	0.029097	+0.20%	0.02798	-3.65%	0.0204	✗	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.027805	0.027877	+0.26%	0.02904	+4.44%	0.0659	✓	0.93
2026-06-22	oos	0.028205	0.028276	+0.25%	0.027805	-1.42%	0.0026	✓	0.94
2026-06-21	oos	0.028135	0.028212	+0.27%	0.028205	+0.25%	0.0110	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.02852	0.028603	+0.29%	0.028135	-1.35%	0.0014	✓	0.98
2026-06-19	oos	0.02845	0.028537	+0.30%	0.02852	+0.25%	0.0116	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.029555	0.029636	+0.27%	0.02845	-3.74%	0.0499	✗	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.03039	0.030473	+0.27%	0.029555	-2.75%	0.0072	✗	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.02945	0.029541	+0.31%	0.03039	+3.19%	0.0455	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.029725	0.029818	+0.31%	0.02945	-0.93%	0.0020	✓	1.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.02911	0.029203	+0.32%	0.029725	+2.11%	0.0086	✓	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.0286	0.028696	+0.34%	0.02911	+1.78%	0.0056	✗	1.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.02849	0.028589	+0.35%	0.0286	+0.39%	0.0129	✗	0.95
2026-06-11	oos	0.02918	0.029274	+0.32%	0.02849	-2.36%	0.0268	✗	0.93
2026-06-10	oos	0.02848	0.028577	+0.34%	0.02918	+2.46%	0.0105	✗	0.93
2026-06-09	oos	0.026555	0.026667	+0.42%	0.02848	+7.25%	0.0694	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.02713	0.027236	+0.39%	0.026555	-2.12%	0.0053	✗	0.91
2026-06-07	oos	0.02696	0.02707	+0.41%	0.02713	+0.63%	0.0062	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.02595	0.026082	+0.51%	0.02696	+3.89%	0.0174	✗	1.28
2026-06-05	oos	0.0261	0.026233	+0.51%	0.02595	-0.57%	0.0070	✗	1.29
2026-06-04	oos	0.02754	0.027647	+0.39%	0.0261	-5.23%	0.0014	✓	1.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.02959	0.029674	+0.28%	0.02754	-6.93%	0.0711	✗	0.96
2026-06-02	oos	0.02908	0.029166	+0.30%	0.02959	+1.75%	0.0551	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.0319	0.031928	+0.09%	0.02908	-8.84%	0.0383	✗	0.82
2026-05-31	oos	0.032075	0.03209	+0.05%	0.0319	-0.55%	0.0199	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.031935	0.031954	+0.06%	0.032075	+0.44%	0.0058	✓	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.031555	0.031584	+0.09%	0.031935	+1.20%	0.0066	✓	0.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.031505	0.031535	+0.10%	0.031555	+0.16%	0.0022	✓	0.80
2026-05-27	oos	0.0323	0.032314	+0.04%	0.031505	-2.46%	0.0173	✗	0.74
2026-05-26	oos	0.03359	0.033578	-0.04%	0.0323	-3.84%	0.0241	✓	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.03456	0.034533	-0.08%	0.03359	-2.81%	0.0135	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.03348	0.033477	-0.01%	0.03456	+3.23%	0.0292	✗	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.0352	0.03517	-0.08%	0.03348	-4.89%	0.0526	✓	0.78
2026-05-22	oos	0.0342	0.034186	-0.04%	0.0352	+2.92%	0.0168	✗	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	0.03602	0.035971	-0.14%	0.0342	-5.05%	0.0294	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.035705	0.035665	-0.11%	0.03602	+0.88%	0.0092	✗	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.035315	0.03529	-0.07%	0.035705	+1.10%	0.0045	✗	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	0.03621	0.036173	-0.10%	0.035315	-2.47%	0.0222	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.03628	0.036247	-0.09%	0.03621	-0.19%	0.0039	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.035815	0.035808	-0.02%	0.03628	+1.30%	0.0204	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.03699	0.036981	-0.02%	0.035815	-3.18%	0.0220	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.03854	0.038534	-0.01%	0.03699	-4.02%	0.0202	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.03832	0.038314	-0.02%	0.03854	+0.57%	0.0095	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.040305	0.040275	-0.07%	0.03832	-4.92%	0.0390	✓	0.72
2026-05-11	oos	0.04214	0.042098	-0.10%	0.040305	-4.35%	0.0332	✓	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.04214	0.042106	-0.08%	0.04214	+0.00%	0.0047	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.041	0.040978	-0.05%	0.04214	+2.78%	0.0154	✗	0.66
2026-05-08	oos	0.04174	0.041702	-0.09%	0.041	-1.77%	0.0208	✓	0.66
2026-05-07	oos	0.041645	0.041608	-0.09%	0.04174	+0.23%	0.0016	✗	0.68
2026-05-06	oos	0.04017	0.040175	+0.01%	0.041645	+3.67%	0.0528	✓	0.95
2026-05-05	oos	0.0402	0.040208	+0.02%	0.04017	-0.07%	0.0068	✗	0.89
2026-05-04	oos	0.04096	0.040955	-0.01%	0.0402	-1.86%	0.0304	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.0417	0.041678	-0.05%	0.04096	-1.77%	0.0322	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04207	0.042052	-0.04%	0.0417	-0.88%	0.0070	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.04252	0.042492	-0.07%	0.04207	-1.06%	0.0152	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.044155	0.043991	-0.37%	0.04252	-3.70%	0.0581	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.04066	0.040573	-0.21%	0.044155	+8.60%	0.0776	✗	0.96
2026-04-28	oos	0.04214	0.041992	-0.35%	0.04066	-3.51%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03822	0.038211	-0.02%	0.04214	+10.26%	0.1117	✗	1.01
2026-04-26	oos	0.03923	0.039245	+0.04%	0.03822	-2.57%	0.0094	✗	1.02
2026-04-25	oos	0.040545	0.040506	-0.10%	0.03923	-3.24%	0.0454	✓	1.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.039045	0.039026	-0.05%	0.040545	+3.84%	0.0356	✗	1.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.03834	0.038357	+0.04%	0.039045	+1.84%	0.0288	✓	1.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.03829	0.038293	+0.01%	0.03834	+0.13%	0.0003	✓	1.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.03864	0.038547	-0.24%	0.03829	-0.91%	0.0320	✓	1.05
2026-04-20	oos	0.03701	0.036932	-0.21%	0.03864	+4.40%	0.0386	✗	1.05
2026-04-19	oos	0.03353	0.033472	-0.17%	0.03701	+10.38%	0.0723	✗	1.03
2026-04-18	oos	0.035945	0.035913	-0.09%	0.03353	-6.72%	0.0424	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.03705	0.037023	-0.07%	0.035945	-2.98%	0.0113	✓	1.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.036985	0.036905	-0.22%	0.03705	+0.18%	0.0223	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.03524	0.035186	-0.15%	0.036985	+4.95%	0.0454	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.03429	0.034221	-0.20%	0.03524	+2.77%	0.0204	✗	1.02
2026-04-13	oos	0.03428	0.034169	-0.32%	0.03429	+0.03%	0.0072	✗	1.01
2026-04-12	oos	0.0308	0.030709	-0.30%	0.03428	+11.30%	0.0614	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.03191	0.031801	-0.34%	0.0308	-3.48%	0.0007	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.032635	0.032501	-0.41%	0.03191	-2.22%	0.0195	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.03269	0.032529	-0.49%	0.032635	-0.17%	0.0126	✓	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.032375	0.032208	-0.51%	0.03269	+0.97%	0.0053	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03209	0.031917	-0.54%	0.032375	+0.89%	0.0253	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.03091	0.030784	-0.41%	0.03209	+3.82%	0.0003	✓	0.96
2026-04-05	oos	0.03084	0.030728	-0.36%	0.03091	+0.23%	0.0080	✗	0.97
2026-04-04	oos	0.03185	0.031746	-0.33%	0.03084	-3.17%	0.0536	✓	0.98
2026-04-03	oos	0.03024	0.030174	-0.22%	0.03185	+5.32%	0.0493	✗	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.02956	0.029515	-0.15%	0.03024	+2.30%	0.0233	✗	0.98
2026-04-01	oos	0.02958	0.029531	-0.17%	0.02956	-0.07%	0.0183	✗	0.96
2026-03-31	oos	0.02998	0.029928	-0.17%	0.02958	-1.33%	0.0101	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.028605	0.028597	-0.03%	0.02998	+4.81%	0.0256	✗	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.02847	0.028481	+0.04%	0.028605	+0.47%	0.0072	✗	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.02947	0.02947	-0.00%	0.02847	-3.39%	0.0291	✓	0.99
2026-03-27	oos	0.03062	0.030605	-0.05%	0.02947	-3.76%	0.0373	✓	0.99
2026-03-26	oos	0.0315	0.031446	-0.17%	0.03062	-2.79%	0.0085	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.0325	0.032429	-0.22%	0.0315	-3.08%	0.0067	✗	0.99
2026-03-24	oos	0.0315	0.031445	-0.17%	0.0325	+3.17%	0.0223	✗	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.034	0.033861	-0.41%	0.0315	-7.35%	0.0675	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.032	0.031933	-0.21%	0.034	+6.25%	0.0207	✗	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.0295	0.029494	-0.02%	0.032	+8.47%	0.0969	✗	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.0305	0.030502	+0.01%	0.0295	-3.28%	0.0111	✗	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0315	0.031526	+0.08%	0.0305	-3.17%	0.0412	✗	0.99
2026-03-18	oos	0.031	0.031066	+0.21%	0.0315	+1.61%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2026-03-17	oos	0.035	0.035085	+0.24%	0.031	-11.43%	0.0877	✗	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.039	0.039076	+0.19%	0.035	-10.26%	0.0977	✗	0.97
2026-03-15	oos	0.0405	0.040588	+0.22%	0.039	-3.70%	0.0674	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.044	0.044074	+0.17%	0.0405	-7.95%	0.1070	✗	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.0505	0.05048	-0.04%	0.044	-12.87%	0.1415	✓	1.02
2026-03-12	oos	0.0535	0.053402	-0.18%	0.0505	-5.61%	0.0619	✓	1.03
2026-03-11	oos	0.0575	0.057182	-0.55%	0.0535	-6.96%	0.0713	✓	1.04
2026-03-10	oos	0.065	0.063653	-2.07%	0.0575	-11.54%	0.1054	✓	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.0515	0.051225	-0.53%	0.065	+26.21%	0.2166	✗	0.98
2026-03-08	oos	0.0395	0.039627	+0.32%	0.0515	+30.38%	0.2303	✓	0.87
2026-03-07	oos	0.042	0.042101	+0.24%	0.0395	-5.95%	0.0471	✗	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.046	0.04591	-0.20%	0.042	-8.70%	0.0784	✓	0.85
2026-03-05	oos	0.0345	0.034691	+0.55%	0.046	+33.33%	0.3226	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.035	0.035203	+0.58%	0.0345	-1.43%	0.0053	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.036	0.036198	+0.55%	0.035	-2.78%	0.1003	✗	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.035	0.035208	+0.59%	0.036	+2.86%	0.0302	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0355	0.035711	+0.59%	0.035	-1.41%	0.0714	✗	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.039	0.039209	+0.53%	0.0355	-8.97%	0.0794	✗	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.039	0.039204	+0.52%	0.039	+0.00%	0.0237	✗	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.0365	0.036716	+0.59%	0.039	+6.85%	0.0881	✓	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.037	0.03722	+0.59%	0.0365	-1.35%	0.0111	✗	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.0345	0.034743	+0.70%	0.037	+7.25%	0.0037	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.0345	0.034742	+0.70%	0.0345	+0.00%	0.0027	✓	1.12
2026-02-22	oos	0.0365	0.036733	+0.64%	0.0345	-5.48%	0.0120	✗	1.12
2026-02-21	oos	0.0385	0.038734	+0.61%	0.0365	-5.19%	0.0538	✗	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.0385	0.038741	+0.63%	0.0385	+0.00%	0.0058	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0355	0.035758	+0.73%	0.0385	+8.45%	0.0576	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.0365	0.036764	+0.72%	0.0355	-2.74%	0.0441	✗	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.0395	0.039765	+0.67%	0.0365	-7.59%	0.0693	✗	1.05
2026-02-16	oos	0.0405	0.040771	+0.67%	0.0395	-2.47%	0.0103	✗	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.0425	0.042786	+0.67%	0.0405	-4.71%	0.0559	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.045	0.045297	+0.66%	0.0425	-5.56%	0.0487	✗	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.044	0.044327	+0.74%	0.045	+2.27%	0.0004	✓	1.04
2026-02-12	oos	0.05	0.050338	+0.68%	0.044	-12.00%	0.1783	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.0575	0.057819	+0.56%	0.05	-13.04%	0.1319	✗	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.056	0.056329	+0.59%	0.0575	+2.68%	0.0497	✓	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.057	0.057316	+0.55%	0.056	-1.75%	0.0024	✓	1.11
2026-02-08	oos	0.053	0.053363	+0.68%	0.057	+7.55%	0.0687	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.0525	0.052898	+0.76%	0.053	+0.95%	0.0145	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.055	0.055372	+0.68%	0.0525	-4.55%	0.0331	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.045	0.045619	+1.38%	0.055	+22.22%	0.0795	✓	0.92
2026-02-04	oos	0.0505	0.051009	+1.01%	0.045	-10.89%	0.0479	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.053	0.053498	+0.94%	0.0505	-4.72%	0.0167	✗	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	0.0555	0.056006	+0.91%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0099	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.0555	0.056095	+1.07%	0.0555	+0.00%	0.0364	✗	1.13
2026-01-31	oos	0.0605	0.06103	+0.88%	0.0555	-8.26%	0.0692	✗	1.15
2026-01-30	oos	0.067	0.067292	+0.44%	0.0605	-9.70%	0.0306	✗	1.13
2026-01-29	oos	0.064	0.064393	+0.61%	0.067	+4.69%	0.0451	✓	1.14
2026-01-28	oos	0.073	0.073128	+0.18%	0.064	-12.33%	0.0767	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.077	0.077118	+0.15%	0.073	-5.19%	0.0554	✗	1.06
2026-01-26	oos	0.0755	0.075695	+0.26%	0.077	+1.99%	0.0070	✓	1.04
2026-01-25	oos	0.074	0.074267	+0.36%	0.0755	+2.03%	0.0034	✓	1.03
2026-01-24	oos	0.082	0.082214	+0.26%	0.074	-9.76%	0.0770	✗	0.98
2026-01-23	oos	0.0835	0.083751	+0.30%	0.082	-1.80%	0.0167	✗	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.082	0.082308	+0.38%	0.0835	+1.83%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.086	0.086353	+0.41%	0.082	-4.65%	0.0529	✗	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.086	0.086397	+0.46%	0.086	+0.00%	0.0166	✗	1.01
2026-01-19	oos	0.093	0.093387	+0.42%	0.086	-7.53%	0.0364	✗	0.98
2026-01-18	oos	0.098	0.098309	+0.32%	0.093	-5.10%	0.0444	✗	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0995	0.09977	+0.27%	0.098	-1.51%	0.0027	✗	0.97
2026-01-16	oos	0.098	0.098284	+0.29%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0163	✓	0.98
2026-01-15	oos	0.101	0.101231	+0.23%	0.098	-2.97%	0.0316	✗	0.98
2026-01-14	oos	0.099	0.099231	+0.23%	0.101	+2.02%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	0.099	0.099268	+0.27%	0.099	+0.00%	0.0190	✗	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.099	0.09934	+0.34%	0.099	+0.00%	0.0510	✗	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.091	0.091469	+0.52%	0.099	+8.79%	0.0755	✓	1.04
2026-01-10	oos	0.103	0.103396	+0.38%	0.091	-11.65%	0.1336	✗	1.07
2026-01-09	oos	0.1025	0.102921	+0.41%	0.103	+0.49%	0.0025	✓	1.13
2026-01-08	oos	0.099	0.099485	+0.49%	0.1025	+3.54%	0.0360	✓	1.09
2026-01-07	oos	0.105	0.105465	+0.44%	0.099	-5.71%	0.0590	✗	1.52
2026-01-06	oos	0.114	0.114325	+0.28%	0.105	-7.89%	0.0455	✗	1.50
2026-01-05	oos	0.109	0.109403	+0.37%	0.114	+4.59%	0.0435	✓	1.51
2026-01-04	oos	0.107	0.107477	+0.45%	0.109	+1.87%	0.0249	✗	1.52
2026-01-03	oos	0.112	0.112448	+0.40%	0.107	-4.46%	0.0648	✗	1.54
2026-01-02	oos	0.105	0.105564	+0.54%	0.112	+6.67%	0.0484	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.117	0.117498	+0.43%	0.105	-10.26%	0.1339	✗	1.57
2025-12-31	oos	0.106	0.106645	+0.61%	0.117	+10.38%	0.0711	✓	1.53
2025-12-30	oos	0.131	0.131491	+0.38%	0.106	-19.08%	0.2001	✗	1.50
2025-12-29	oos	0.129	0.129583	+0.45%	0.131	+1.55%	0.0113	✗	1.51
2025-12-28	oos	0.137	0.137589	+0.43%	0.129	-5.84%	0.0512	✗	1.51
2025-12-27	oos	0.1505	0.15102	+0.35%	0.137	-8.97%	0.0986	✗	1.50
2025-12-26	oos	0.1725	0.172949	+0.26%	0.1505	-12.75%	0.1479	✗	1.52
2025-12-25	oos	0.1705	0.170989	+0.29%	0.1725	+1.17%	0.0066	✓	1.52
2025-12-24	oos	0.1715	0.171996	+0.29%	0.1705	-0.58%	0.0011	✓	1.53
2025-12-23	oos	0.1685	0.169055	+0.33%	0.1715	+1.78%	0.0112	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.17	0.170585	+0.34%	0.1685	-0.88%	0.0072	✓	1.52
2025-12-21	oos	0.1725	0.173098	+0.35%	0.17	-1.45%	0.0166	✗	1.52
2025-12-20	oos	0.1765	0.177072	+0.32%	0.1725	-2.27%	0.0317	✗	1.54
2025-12-19	oos	0.1765	0.177088	+0.33%	0.1765	+0.00%	0.0074	✗	1.54
2025-12-18	oos	0.171	0.171642	+0.38%	0.1765	+3.22%	0.0191	✗	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.1765	0.177091	+0.33%	0.171	-3.12%	0.0214	✗	1.55
2025-12-16	oos	0.188	0.188482	+0.26%	0.1765	-6.12%	0.0365	✗	1.54
2025-12-15	oos	0.1875	0.188004	+0.27%	0.188	+0.27%	0.0256	✗	1.55
2025-12-14	oos	0.1895	0.189987	+0.26%	0.1875	-1.06%	0.0182	✓	1.56
2025-12-13	oos	0.198	0.198424	+0.21%	0.1895	-4.29%	0.0097	✗	1.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.197	0.197478	+0.24%	0.198	+0.51%	0.0030	✓	1.56
2025-12-11	oos	0.209	0.209396	+0.19%	0.197	-5.74%	0.0227	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.2165	0.216843	+0.16%	0.209	-3.46%	0.0454	✗	1.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.2225	0.222788	+0.13%	0.2165	-2.70%	0.0176	✗	1.55
2025-12-08	oos	0.212	0.212369	+0.17%	0.2225	+4.95%	0.0124	✓	1.54
2025-12-07	oos	0.214	0.21439	+0.18%	0.212	-0.93%	0.0155	✗	1.54
2025-12-06	oos	0.219	0.219356	+0.16%	0.214	-2.28%	0.0444	✗	1.56
2025-12-05	oos	0.219	0.219431	+0.20%	0.219	+0.00%	0.0006	✓	1.55
2025-12-04	oos	0.228	0.228455	+0.20%	0.219	-3.95%	0.0050	✓	1.56
2025-12-03	oos	0.235	0.235461	+0.20%	0.228	-2.98%	0.0094	✗	1.56
2025-12-02	oos	0.2265	0.227041	+0.24%	0.235	+3.75%	0.0018	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.216	0.21663	+0.29%	0.2265	+4.86%	0.0473	✗	1.62
2025-11-30	oos	0.2275	0.228089	+0.26%	0.216	-5.05%	0.0218	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.2305	0.231058	+0.24%	0.2275	-1.30%	0.0073	✗	1.62
2025-11-28	oos	0.2345	0.235051	+0.24%	0.2305	-1.71%	0.0182	✗	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.2355	0.236148	+0.28%	0.2345	-0.42%	0.0003	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.2355	0.23618	+0.29%	0.2355	+0.00%	0.0183	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.2335	0.234226	+0.31%	0.2355	+0.86%	0.0560	✗	1.74
2025-11-24	oos	0.2335	0.234243	+0.32%	0.2335	+0.00%	0.0155	✓	1.74
2025-11-23	oos	0.234	0.234735	+0.31%	0.2335	-0.21%	0.0346	✗	1.76
2025-11-22	oos	0.2375	0.238231	+0.31%	0.234	-1.47%	0.0631	✗	1.82
2025-11-21	oos	0.238	0.238798	+0.34%	0.2375	-0.21%	0.0028	✓	1.82
2025-11-20	oos	0.255	0.255565	+0.22%	0.238	-6.67%	0.0404	✗	1.80
2025-11-19	oos	0.2595	0.259947	+0.17%	0.255	-1.73%	0.0888	✓	1.95
2025-11-18	oos	0.2625	0.262888	+0.15%	0.2595	-1.14%	0.0178	✓	1.95
2025-11-17	oos	0.252	0.252518	+0.21%	0.2625	+4.17%	0.0216	✓	1.95
2025-11-16	oos	0.2565	0.256962	+0.18%	0.252	-1.75%	0.0242	✓	1.96
2025-11-15	oos	0.2635	0.263868	+0.14%	0.2565	-2.66%	0.0002	✓	1.96
2025-11-14	oos	0.256	0.256489	+0.19%	0.2635	+2.93%	0.0055	✓	1.96
2025-11-13	oos	0.264	0.264398	+0.15%	0.256	-3.03%	0.0767	✓	2.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.268	0.268357	+0.13%	0.264	-1.49%	0.0255	✓	2.08
2025-11-11	oos	0.274	0.274273	+0.10%	0.268	-2.19%	0.0047	✓	2.08
2025-11-10	oos	0.284	0.284099	+0.04%	0.274	-3.52%	0.0235	✓	2.10
2025-11-09	oos	0.28	0.280054	+0.02%	0.284	+1.43%	0.0118	✗	2.12
2025-11-08	oos	0.286	0.285614	-0.13%	0.28	-2.10%	0.0705	✓	2.17
2025-11-07	oos	0.279	0.278616	-0.14%	0.286	+2.51%	0.0471	✗	2.15
2025-11-06	oos	0.236	0.236543	+0.23%	0.279	+18.22%	0.1246	✓	2.08
2025-11-05	oos	0.241	0.241427	+0.18%	0.236	-2.07%	0.0299	✓	2.10
2025-11-04	oos	0.235	0.235621	+0.26%	0.241	+2.55%	0.0267	✗	2.11
2025-11-03	oos	0.243	0.243498	+0.20%	0.235	-3.29%	0.0727	✓	2.21
2025-11-02	oos	0.269	0.269265	+0.10%	0.243	-9.67%	0.0223	✗	2.19
2025-11-01	oos	0.2665	0.266814	+0.12%	0.269	+0.94%	0.0015	✗	2.20
2025-10-31	oos	0.26	0.260419	+0.16%	0.2665	+2.50%	0.0132	✓	2.19
2025-10-30	oos	0.259	0.259479	+0.19%	0.26	+0.39%	0.0231	✗	2.19
2025-10-29	oos	0.269	0.269391	+0.15%	0.259	-3.72%	0.0049	✗	2.18
2025-10-28	oos	0.27	0.270314	+0.12%	0.269	-0.37%	0.0527	✓	2.23
2025-10-27	oos	0.2735	0.273728	+0.08%	0.27	-1.28%	0.0095	✓	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.282	0.282097	+0.03%	0.2735	-3.01%	0.0219	✗	2.23
2025-10-25	oos	0.271	0.271308	+0.11%	0.282	+4.06%	0.0189	✗	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.276	0.276334	+0.12%	0.271	-1.81%	0.0322	✗	2.27
2025-10-23	oos	0.274	0.274387	+0.14%	0.276	+0.73%	0.0131	✗	2.27
2025-10-22	oos	0.2695	0.270011	+0.19%	0.274	+1.67%	0.0386	✗	2.29
2025-10-21	oos	0.27	0.270526	+0.19%	0.2695	-0.19%	0.0127	✓	2.29
2025-10-20	oos	0.2765	0.27689	+0.14%	0.27	-2.35%	0.0217	✓	2.33
2025-10-19	oos	0.2755	0.275952	+0.16%	0.2765	+0.36%	0.0377	✗	2.30
2025-10-18	oos	0.27	0.270617	+0.23%	0.2755	+2.04%	0.0135	✗	2.30
2025-10-17	oos	0.2685	0.269232	+0.27%	0.27	+0.56%	0.0132	✗	2.30
2025-10-16	oos	0.2745	0.275132	+0.23%	0.2685	-2.19%	0.0129	✓	2.31
2025-10-15	oos	0.285	0.285373	+0.13%	0.2745	-3.68%	0.0162	✓	2.31
2025-10-14	oos	0.2995	0.299481	-0.01%	0.285	-4.84%	0.0028	✓	2.31
2025-10-13	oos	0.3065	0.306213	-0.09%	0.2995	-2.28%	0.0228	✗	2.33
2025-10-12	oos	0.2935	0.29347	-0.01%	0.3065	+4.43%	0.0394	✗	2.28
2025-10-11	oos	0.27	0.270722	+0.27%	0.2935	+8.70%	0.0060	✗	2.28
2025-10-10	oos	0.255	0.255994	+0.39%	0.27	+5.88%	0.0999	✓	2.35
2025-10-09	oos	0.3585	0.358614	+0.03%	0.255	-28.87%	0.2088	✗	1.78
2025-10-08	oos	0.3715	0.371639	+0.04%	0.3585	-3.50%	0.0126	✗	1.76
2025-10-07	oos	0.358	0.358082	+0.02%	0.3715	+3.77%	0.0093	✓	1.73
2025-10-06	oos	0.3795	0.379748	+0.07%	0.358	-5.67%	0.0121	✗	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.371	0.371286	+0.08%	0.3795	+2.29%	0.0051	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.3725	0.372751	+0.07%	0.371	-0.40%	0.0196	✗	1.73
2025-10-03	oos	0.3835	0.38362	+0.03%	0.3725	-2.87%	0.0314	✗	1.73
2025-10-02	oos	0.38	0.379936	-0.02%	0.3835	+0.92%	0.0149	✓	1.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3725	0.372285	-0.06%	0.38	+2.01%	0.0083	✓	1.76
2025-09-30	oos	0.3495	0.349398	-0.03%	0.3725	+6.58%	0.0057	✓	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.3535	0.353359	-0.04%	0.3495	-1.13%	0.0063	✓	1.80
2025-09-28	oos	0.3555	0.355212	-0.08%	0.3535	-0.56%	0.0402	✓	1.85
2025-09-27	oos	0.3485	0.348292	-0.06%	0.3555	+2.01%	0.0221	✓	1.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.353	0.352711	-0.08%	0.3485	-1.27%	0.0117	✓	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.339	0.338941	-0.02%	0.353	+4.13%	0.0293	✗	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.3585	0.358173	-0.09%	0.339	-5.44%	0.0191	✗	1.91
2025-09-23	oos	0.3575	0.357238	-0.07%	0.3585	+0.28%	0.0192	✓	1.93
2025-09-22	oos	0.3615	0.361277	-0.06%	0.3575	-1.11%	0.0017	✗	1.91
2025-09-21	oos	0.3895	0.389088	-0.11%	0.3615	-7.19%	0.0319	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.397	0.396579	-0.11%	0.3895	-1.89%	0.0104	✓	1.87
2025-09-19	oos	0.3985	0.398	-0.13%	0.397	-0.38%	0.0035	✓	1.89
2025-09-18	oos	0.419	0.418154	-0.20%	0.3985	-4.89%	0.0251	✓	1.88
2025-09-17	oos	0.411	0.410164	-0.20%	0.419	+1.95%	0.0111	✗	1.88

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.