QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · gru_s4

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0198

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0011

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.890745	0.889039	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.88846	0.886933	-0.17%	0.890745	+0.26%	0.0018	✗	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.876012	-0.16%	0.88846	+1.26%	0.0000	✓	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.858999	-0.16%	0.877405	+1.98%	0.0067	✗	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.857351	-0.14%	0.86037	+0.22%	0.0057	✗	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.877337	-0.14%	0.858515	-2.28%	0.0299	✓	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.901684	-0.15%	0.87857	-2.71%	0.0244	✓	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.913172	-0.17%	0.90303	-1.27%	0.0030	✓	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.920693	-0.18%	0.914685	-0.83%	0.0138	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.946051	-0.19%	0.92235	-2.69%	0.0054	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.925663	-0.17%	0.947825	+2.22%	0.0060	✗	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.996466	-0.23%	0.927235	-7.16%	0.0485	✓	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	1.0128	-0.39%	0.998795	-1.77%	0.0232	✓	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.954161	-0.22%	1.0168	+6.32%	0.0591	✗	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.927752	-0.20%	0.95631	+2.87%	0.0199	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.93412	-0.21%	0.929655	-0.69%	0.0145	✗	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.971892	-0.27%	0.936105	-3.94%	0.0111	✓	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.993201	-0.33%	0.97452	-2.21%	0.0167	✓	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.991148	-0.34%	0.996535	+0.20%	0.0140	✗	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.989045	-0.32%	0.99453	+0.23%	0.0146	✓	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.990718	-0.33%	0.992245	-0.17%	0.0012	✓	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.984079	-0.31%	0.99396	+0.69%	0.0140	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.998512	-0.37%	0.987135	-1.50%	0.0267	✓	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.969855	-0.25%	1.0022	+3.08%	0.0338	✗	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.983311	-0.24%	0.97227	-1.36%	0.0134	✓	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	1.0257	-0.23%	0.98568	-4.12%	0.0282	✓	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	1.0298	-0.21%	1.028	-0.38%	0.0022	✓	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.0485	-0.25%	1.0319	-1.83%	0.0196	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.999102	-0.14%	1.0511	+5.06%	0.0541	✗	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.956017	-0.10%	1.0005	+4.55%	0.0454	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	1.0103	-0.10%	0.956945	-5.38%	0.0339	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.996005	-0.08%	1.0114	+1.47%	0.0197	✗	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.949083	-0.15%	0.99676	+4.87%	0.0146	✓	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.954494	-0.17%	0.95048	-0.59%	0.0033	✓	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.950888	-0.24%	0.95615	+0.31%	0.0011	✓	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.870911	-0.14%	0.953185	+9.29%	0.0363	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.874028	-0.13%	0.872145	-0.35%	0.0047	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.861295	-0.08%	0.8752	+1.54%	0.0090	✗	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.924026	-0.10%	0.861965	-6.81%	0.0396	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.962757	-0.24%	0.92496	-4.15%	0.0563	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.92828	-0.15%	0.96504	+3.80%	0.0444	✗	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.876597	-0.10%	0.929715	+5.95%	0.0582	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.855285	-0.07%	0.877485	+2.52%	0.0175	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.888084	-0.05%	0.85591	-3.67%	0.0162	✓	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.889064	-0.09%	0.88856	-0.15%	0.0014	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.879297	-0.02%	0.88987	+1.18%	0.0197	✗	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.882525	-0.02%	0.879515	-0.36%	0.0114	✗	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.871896	+0.07%	0.882675	+1.31%	0.0063	✓	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.863089	+0.11%	0.871245	+1.05%	0.0076	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.862054	+0.22%	0.86216	+0.24%	0.0190	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.819077	+0.25%	0.86012	+5.27%	0.0024	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.826492	+0.18%	0.81706	-0.96%	0.0103	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.824259	+0.21%	0.82502	+0.30%	0.0156	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.798059	+0.21%	0.822535	+3.28%	0.0190	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.824363	+0.13%	0.79638	-3.27%	0.0275	✗	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.817856	+0.11%	0.823295	+0.77%	0.0018	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.853233	+0.07%	0.816995	-4.18%	0.0142	✗	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.893526	-0.16%	0.85261	-4.74%	0.0621	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.846253	-0.02%	0.894995	+5.74%	0.0499	✗	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.872789	-0.19%	0.84638	-3.21%	0.0252	✓	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.877887	-0.42%	0.87443	-0.81%	0.0194	✓	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.83938	-0.29%	0.881595	+4.72%	0.0407	✗	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.860588	-0.65%	0.841845	-2.81%	0.0065	✓	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.791034	-0.55%	0.86618	+8.89%	0.0261	✗	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.715513	-0.22%	0.79543	+10.93%	0.0627	✗	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.682053	-0.15%	0.717075	+4.97%	0.0084	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.680612	-0.13%	0.683095	+0.23%	0.0010	✓	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.675445	-0.17%	0.681495	+0.73%	0.0134	✓	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.673785	-0.16%	0.676565	+0.25%	0.0066	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.683352	-0.19%	0.674895	-1.43%	0.0131	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.664616	-0.19%	0.684685	+2.82%	0.0360	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.651916	-0.13%	0.6659	+2.01%	0.0210	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.63237	-0.09%	0.65275	+3.13%	0.0334	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.646071	-0.08%	0.632945	-2.11%	0.0152	✓	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.666455	-0.06%	0.646575	-3.05%	0.0174	✓	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.665786	-0.06%	0.666885	+0.10%	0.0025	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.654292	-0.06%	0.666195	+1.75%	0.0178	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.647386	-0.08%	0.654705	+1.05%	0.0023	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.643128	-0.07%	0.647925	+0.68%	0.0123	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.650277	-0.09%	0.64355	-1.13%	0.0184	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.648967	-0.12%	0.650875	+0.17%	0.0057	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.651052	-0.16%	0.64975	-0.36%	0.0015	✓	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.644866	-0.19%	0.652095	+0.93%	0.0002	✓	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.640294	-0.20%	0.646105	+0.70%	0.0100	✗	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.6414	-0.22%	0.641585	-0.19%	0.0290	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.643567	-0.21%	0.642835	-0.33%	0.0135	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.655147	-0.26%	0.64495	-1.81%	0.0164	✓	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.647052	-0.27%	0.65683	+1.24%	0.0127	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.6799	-0.33%	0.64881	-4.89%	0.0229	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.679319	-0.38%	0.682155	+0.03%	0.0111	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.678705	-0.49%	0.681935	-0.02%	0.0016	✓	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.711134	-0.82%	0.68205	-4.88%	0.0278	✓	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.711562	-0.37%	0.717005	+0.39%	0.0224	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.70726	-0.41%	0.714225	+0.57%	0.0159	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.710282	-0.54%	0.71017	-0.55%	0.0186	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.715852	-0.60%	0.714125	-0.84%	0.0100	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.698284	-0.49%	0.7202	+2.63%	0.0326	✗	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.676133	-0.30%	0.701725	+3.47%	0.0240	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.66952	-0.20%	0.67816	+1.09%	0.0110	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.685761	-0.26%	0.670865	-2.42%	0.0078	✓	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.684369	-0.24%	0.68752	+0.22%	0.0086	✗	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.669305	-0.21%	0.686005	+2.28%	0.0178	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.68275	-0.08%	0.670695	-1.84%	0.0055	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.687402	-0.10%	0.683295	-0.69%	0.0055	✓	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.69218	-0.10%	0.688075	-0.69%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.692483	-0.10%	0.69289	-0.04%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.702491	-0.10%	0.693145	-1.43%	0.0284	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.686522	-0.03%	0.70322	+2.40%	0.0418	✗	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.709765	-0.03%	0.686755	-3.27%	0.0219	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.713137	-0.05%	0.709955	-0.50%	0.0112	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.717134	-0.01%	0.713515	-0.52%	0.0131	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.71629	-0.02%	0.71721	+0.10%	0.0079	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.696477	-0.03%	0.71646	+2.84%	0.0114	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.685236	-0.03%	0.69666	+1.64%	0.0090	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.677605	-0.04%	0.685435	+1.11%	0.0140	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.690745	-0.08%	0.677905	-1.94%	0.0105	✗	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.689347	-0.13%	0.69129	+0.15%	0.0100	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.674047	-0.16%	0.690225	+2.23%	0.0325	✗	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.678515	-0.03%	0.675145	-0.53%	0.0037	✓	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.654684	-0.00%	0.67875	+3.67%	0.0304	✗	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.680399	+0.04%	0.6547	-3.74%	0.0147	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.690817	+0.05%	0.680135	-1.50%	0.0155	✓	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.708528	+0.06%	0.690495	-2.49%	0.0022	✗	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.70948	+0.04%	0.7081	-0.16%	0.0148	✗	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.737097	+0.02%	0.709205	-3.76%	0.0207	✗	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.725916	+0.03%	0.73695	+1.55%	0.0015	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.72705	+0.04%	0.72568	-0.15%	0.0129	✗	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.762827	-0.00%	0.726765	-4.73%	0.0199	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.746677	+0.05%	0.762855	+2.22%	0.0426	✓	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.753204	+0.08%	0.74631	-0.83%	0.0027	✓	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.745311	+0.10%	0.75257	+1.07%	0.0006	✓	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.736609	+0.09%	0.744585	+1.18%	0.0124	✗	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.717025	+0.09%	0.73593	+2.73%	0.0093	✓	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.718765	+0.06%	0.71637	-0.27%	0.0029	✗	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.684449	+0.11%	0.71831	+5.07%	0.0080	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.701078	+0.08%	0.683675	-2.41%	0.0205	✗	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.710875	+0.04%	0.70054	-1.41%	0.0117	✓	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.710967	+0.03%	0.71057	-0.03%	0.0039	✓	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.68589	+0.12%	0.71076	+3.75%	0.0108	✗	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.691238	+0.13%	0.6851	-0.76%	0.0054	✗	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.76206	-0.01%	0.69036	-9.42%	0.0490	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.809736	-0.09%	0.76215	-5.96%	0.0565	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.803317	-0.10%	0.81049	+0.79%	0.0554	✗	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.857859	-0.19%	0.80413	-6.44%	0.0106	✗	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.869494	-0.20%	0.85952	-1.34%	0.0240	✗	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.86159	-0.20%	0.871225	+0.92%	0.0141	✗	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.858592	-0.19%	0.86329	+0.35%	0.0007	✓	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.865241	-0.21%	0.86026	-0.78%	0.0035	✓	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.86964	-0.19%	0.86704	-0.49%	0.0092	✗	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.881481	-0.19%	0.87128	-1.34%	0.0111	✗	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.905147	-0.18%	0.883135	-2.61%	0.0029	✓	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.894814	-0.20%	0.906795	+1.14%	0.0092	✗	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.927928	-0.23%	0.89659	-3.60%	0.0392	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.89934	-0.27%	0.930025	+3.13%	0.0153	✗	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.921845	-0.28%	0.90177	-2.45%	0.0098	✗	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.891405	-0.39%	0.924435	+3.30%	0.0353	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.880972	-0.22%	0.89491	+1.36%	0.0051	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.896356	-0.21%	0.882935	-1.70%	0.0124	✓	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.884433	-0.19%	0.89824	+1.37%	0.0224	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.907156	-0.22%	0.88611	-2.54%	0.0131	✓	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.927651	-0.26%	0.909195	-2.24%	0.0060	✓	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.981071	-0.30%	0.930055	-5.49%	0.0244	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.981255	-0.39%	0.984055	-0.10%	0.0231	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.0265	-0.45%	0.98506	-4.47%	0.0242	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.0267	-0.53%	1.0312	-0.10%	0.0213	✗	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0366	-0.81%	1.0322	-1.23%	0.0022	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.96628	-0.17%	1.0451	+7.98%	0.0578	✗	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.965532	-0.22%	0.96792	+0.03%	0.0038	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.920196	-0.20%	0.96765	+4.95%	0.0478	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.920424	-0.10%	0.922025	+0.07%	0.0197	✗	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.894423	-0.08%	0.921375	+2.93%	0.0228	✗	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.8733	-0.09%	0.89518	+2.42%	0.0110	✗	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.869519	-0.11%	0.87405	+0.41%	0.0118	✓	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.879215	-0.11%	0.87045	-1.11%	0.0084	✓	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.872448	-0.12%	0.8802	+0.77%	0.0029	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.860407	-0.15%	0.87351	+1.37%	0.0109	✓	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.872854	-0.15%	0.86168	-1.43%	0.0205	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.885244	-0.16%	0.8742	-1.41%	0.0047	✓	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.88994	-0.15%	0.88667	-0.52%	0.0107	✗	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.90725	-0.14%	0.89128	-1.89%	0.0001	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.894684	-0.10%	0.90848	+1.44%	0.0015	✗	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.903228	-0.09%	0.8956	-0.93%	0.0111	✓	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.906748	-0.02%	0.90403	-0.32%	0.0082	✗	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.903275	+0.01%	0.906965	+0.42%	0.0031	✓	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.910565	-0.04%	0.90316	-0.85%	0.0339	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.915223	-0.05%	0.910885	-0.53%	0.0116	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.884423	-0.07%	0.915695	+3.46%	0.0056	✗	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.918311	-0.03%	0.88507	-3.65%	0.0096	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.9586	-0.04%	0.918605	-4.21%	0.0236	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.920656	-0.06%	0.95899	+4.10%	0.0138	✗	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.908662	-0.04%	0.921225	+1.34%	0.0091	✗	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.900818	-0.06%	0.90905	+0.86%	0.0004	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.922514	-0.10%	0.90133	-2.39%	0.0193	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.881158	-0.14%	0.92342	+4.64%	0.0086	✓	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.917239	-0.15%	0.882435	-3.94%	0.0034	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.915679	-0.11%	0.918595	+0.21%	0.0019	✗	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.921127	-0.12%	0.916705	-0.60%	0.0229	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.90824	-0.10%	0.922265	+1.44%	0.0045	✗	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.953634	-0.15%	0.90918	-4.80%	0.0352	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.924727	-0.18%	0.95507	+3.09%	0.0152	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.967002	-0.24%	0.92641	-4.42%	0.0405	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.957072	-0.33%	0.969285	+0.94%	0.0152	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.965508	-0.42%	0.96028	-0.96%	0.0109	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.878202	-0.23%	0.96962	+10.16%	0.0979	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.934218	-0.42%	0.88023	-6.17%	0.0397	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.885697	-0.49%	0.93812	+5.40%	0.0593	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.80845	-0.14%	0.89006	+9.94%	0.0726	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.771706	-0.10%	0.80961	+4.81%	0.0355	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.816922	-0.13%	0.77248	-5.56%	0.0501	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.81802	-0.12%	0.818	-0.12%	0.0005	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.848937	-0.10%	0.81898	-3.62%	0.0020	✗	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.907386	-0.10%	0.84978	-6.44%	0.0276	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.928582	-0.11%	0.90831	-2.29%	0.0335	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.882845	-0.07%	0.92962	+5.22%	0.0567	✗	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.827019	-0.02%	0.88349	+6.80%	0.0205	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.846905	-0.02%	0.82721	-2.34%	0.0073	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.885459	-0.01%	0.84707	-4.35%	0.0208	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.878287	+0.01%	0.885555	+0.84%	0.0003	✗	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.894438	+0.02%	0.87821	-1.79%	0.0014	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.94773	+0.02%	0.89425	-5.62%	0.0195	✗	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.952633	+0.04%	0.94753	-0.49%	0.0081	✓	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.93691	+0.03%	0.95221	+1.67%	0.0131	✗	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.881809	+0.06%	0.9366	+6.28%	0.0372	✓	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.910207	+0.03%	0.88128	-3.14%	0.0366	✗	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.876391	+0.07%	0.90989	+3.90%	0.0314	✓	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.894595	+0.06%	0.87576	-2.05%	0.0261	✗	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.879574	+0.06%	0.8941	+1.71%	0.0127	✓	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.868307	+0.06%	0.87908	+1.30%	0.0110	✗	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.849879	+0.07%	0.86781	+2.18%	0.0183	✗	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.863839	+0.08%	0.84932	-1.60%	0.0038	✓	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.893748	+0.09%	0.86311	-3.34%	0.0215	✗	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.934133	+0.10%	0.89296	-4.31%	0.0025	✗	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.942895	+0.11%	0.93319	-0.92%	0.0165	✓	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.91376	+0.07%	0.94185	+3.15%	0.0380	✗	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.93253	+0.05%	0.91313	-2.03%	0.0130	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.894193	+0.05%	0.93206	+4.29%	0.0097	✗	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.913045	+0.06%	0.89376	-2.06%	0.0007	✗	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.909633	+0.06%	0.91254	+0.38%	0.0159	✗	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.927162	+0.08%	0.90907	-1.87%	0.0084	✓	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.953676	+0.06%	0.926435	-2.80%	0.0205	✗	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.869899	+0.11%	0.95313	+9.69%	0.0246	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.881069	+0.11%	0.86893	-1.27%	0.0043	✗	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.915142	+0.09%	0.880105	-3.74%	0.0111	✓	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.941894	+0.11%	0.91432	-2.82%	0.0242	✗	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.962483	+0.11%	0.940855	-2.14%	0.0223	✗	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.938628	+0.13%	0.961455	+2.56%	0.0076	✓	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.94697	+0.15%	0.937415	-0.86%	0.0193	✗	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.965609	+0.16%	0.94552	-1.92%	0.0039	✗	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.986863	+0.15%	0.964055	-2.16%	0.0010	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.985158	+0.17%	0.98535	+0.19%	0.0009	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	1.0268	+0.12%	0.98353	-4.11%	0.0274	✗	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.996099	+0.12%	1.0256	+3.09%	0.0139	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.953279	+0.16%	0.994905	+4.53%	0.0008	✓	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.917503	+0.21%	0.951765	+3.96%	0.0498	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.901086	+0.28%	0.915535	+1.89%	0.0444	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.928711	+0.24%	0.89853	-3.02%	0.0127	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.927062	+0.30%	0.92647	+0.24%	0.0021	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.945959	+0.33%	0.924285	-1.97%	0.0395	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.956499	+0.35%	0.942885	-1.07%	0.0057	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.877775	+0.73%	0.953125	+9.38%	0.0524	✗	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0423	+0.30%	0.871405	-16.14%	0.0052	✓	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0737	+0.23%	1.0391	-3.00%	0.0112	✓	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.1042	+0.14%	1.0712	-2.86%	0.0186	✓	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0673	+0.27%	1.1027	+3.60%	0.0052	✓	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0648	+0.24%	1.0644	+0.20%	0.0281	✓	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1428	-0.10%	1.0623	-7.13%	0.0132	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.1653	-0.12%	1.1439	-1.95%	0.0123	✓	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2517	-0.19%	1.1667	-6.96%	0.0013	✓	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2789	-0.22%	1.2541	-2.16%	0.0203	✓	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2543	-0.22%	1.2817	+1.96%	0.0090	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.2186	-0.20%	1.2571	+2.94%	0.0063	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.2728	-0.23%	1.2211	-4.28%	0.0047	✓	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2778	-0.20%	1.2757	-0.36%	0.0040	✗	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2893	-0.22%	1.2804	-0.91%	0.0071	✓	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.3225	-0.23%	1.2921	-2.52%	0.0247	✓	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.3004	-0.19%	1.3255	+1.74%	0.0039	✗	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.3656	-0.17%	1.3028	-4.77%	0.0141	✗	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3976	-0.17%	1.368	-2.29%	0.0064	✓	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.473	-0.22%	1.4	-5.16%	0.0307	✓	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4516	-0.19%	1.4762	+1.50%	0.0221	✗	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4312	-0.16%	1.4544	+1.46%	0.0172	✗	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.5655	-0.32%	1.4334	-8.73%	0.0702	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4653	-0.16%	1.5706	+7.01%	0.0492	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.3878	-0.14%	1.4677	+5.61%	0.0000	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.4343	-0.17%	1.3898	-3.27%	0.0359	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4822	-0.23%	1.4367	-3.29%	0.0381	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4847	-0.31%	1.4856	-0.25%	0.0026	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4754	-0.30%	1.4893	+0.64%	0.0168	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.459	-0.32%	1.4799	+1.10%	0.0187	✗	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.5064	-0.57%	1.4637	-3.39%	0.0133	✗	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4551	-0.44%	1.5151	+3.67%	0.0430	✗	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3895	-0.28%	1.4615	+4.89%	0.0086	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3709	-0.29%	1.3934	+1.34%	0.0001	✓	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3774	-0.35%	1.3749	-0.53%	0.0134	✓	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.334	-0.25%	1.3822	+3.36%	0.0134	✗	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.3319	-0.42%	1.3373	-0.02%	0.0189	✓	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.2756	-0.10%	1.3375	+4.75%	0.0641	✗	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2919	-0.13%	1.2769	-1.30%	0.0358	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.2685	-0.06%	1.2937	+1.92%	0.0341	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2993	-0.12%	1.2693	-2.42%	0.0246	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.2001	+0.03%	1.3008	+8.43%	0.0712	✓	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.2123	+0.03%	1.1997	-1.01%	0.0128	✗	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2546	-0.00%	1.2119	-3.40%	0.0265	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2599	-0.03%	1.2547	-0.44%	0.0075	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2526	-0.02%	1.2602	+0.59%	0.0271	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.249	-0.04%	1.2528	+0.27%	0.0046	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2917	-0.11%	1.2495	-3.37%	0.0391	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.3068	-0.15%	1.2931	-1.20%	0.0149	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.2288	-0.07%	1.3088	+6.43%	0.0128	✗	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.2768	-0.17%	1.2297	-3.85%	0.0231	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3629	-0.11%	1.279	-6.27%	0.0325	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3735	-0.09%	1.3645	-0.75%	0.0340	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.4214	-0.13%	1.3748	-3.40%	0.0002	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.5209	-0.26%	1.4232	-6.67%	0.0282	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.4015	+0.03%	1.5249	+8.84%	0.0848	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4448	+0.04%	1.401	-2.99%	0.0099	✓	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.482	+0.01%	1.4442	-2.53%	0.0348	✗	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.508	-0.00%	1.4817	-1.74%	0.0060	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.4481	-0.00%	1.508	+4.13%	0.0047	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.4113	+0.02%	1.4482	+2.63%	0.0213	✓	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4342	+0.01%	1.411	-1.61%	0.0368	✗	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.4343	+0.03%	1.4341	+0.02%	0.0013	✓	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4943	+0.03%	1.4338	-4.02%	0.0080	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5684	+0.02%	1.4938	-4.73%	0.0249	✗	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.524	+0.04%	1.568	+2.93%	0.0091	✗	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.4147	+0.10%	1.5234	+7.79%	0.0188	✗	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.5404	+0.05%	1.4132	-8.21%	0.0110	✗	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.5973	+0.04%	1.5396	-3.57%	0.0286	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.6151	+0.08%	1.5966	-1.07%	0.0102	✗	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.6074	+0.08%	1.6139	+0.49%	0.0114	✓	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.602	+0.09%	1.606	+0.34%	0.0125	✗	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.6076	+0.05%	1.6006	-0.38%	0.0624	✗	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.5771	+0.08%	1.6068	+1.96%	0.0363	✓	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5349	+0.08%	1.5759	+2.75%	0.0005	✓	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.54	+0.09%	1.5337	-0.32%	0.0440	✗	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.5417	+0.11%	1.5386	-0.10%	0.0049	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.6048	+0.07%	1.5401	-3.97%	0.0155	✗	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6911	+0.01%	1.6038	-5.16%	0.0303	✓	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.7399	-0.03%	1.691	-2.84%	0.0055	✓	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.703	-0.02%	1.7404	+2.17%	0.0087	✗	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.713	-0.03%	1.7034	-0.59%	0.0280	✗	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.7531	-0.06%	1.7135	-2.32%	0.0012	✓	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.7224	-0.04%	1.7541	+1.81%	0.0018	✗	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7717	-0.05%	1.723	-2.80%	0.0555	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.8386	-0.06%	1.7726	-3.65%	0.0048	✓	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.8514	-0.07%	1.8397	-0.69%	0.0152	✗	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.9509	-0.08%	1.8526	-5.12%	0.0067	✓	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.9253	-0.11%	1.9526	+1.31%	0.0055	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.936	-0.16%	1.9274	-0.60%	0.0426	✓	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.975	-0.26%	1.9391	-2.08%	0.0029	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.737	-0.19%	1.9803	+13.79%	0.1012	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.7641	-0.15%	1.7402	-1.50%	0.0252	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6798	-0.11%	1.7668	+5.06%	0.0148	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.7113	-0.08%	1.6816	-1.81%	0.0615	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.9039	-0.12%	1.7127	-10.15%	0.0486	✓	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.9183	-0.14%	1.9062	-0.77%	0.0132	✓	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.8521	-0.11%	1.9209	+3.60%	0.0294	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.8211	-0.09%	1.8542	+1.73%	0.0000	✓	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.9639	-0.11%	1.8227	-7.30%	0.0503	✓	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.966	-0.09%	1.9662	-0.08%	0.0408	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	2.0125	-0.10%	1.9677	-2.33%	0.0061	✓	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	2.0534	-0.13%	2.0146	-2.02%	0.0127	✓	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.9995	-0.14%	2.0561	+2.68%	0.0130	✓	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.999	-0.16%	2.0024	+0.01%	0.0073	✓	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.9786	-0.16%	2.0022	+1.03%	0.0016	✓	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.9079	-0.13%	1.9817	+3.74%	0.0008	✓	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.9509	-0.15%	1.9103	-2.23%	0.0095	✓	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	2.0015	-0.20%	1.9539	-2.57%	0.0086	✗	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.9709	-0.23%	2.0054	+1.52%	0.0102	✓	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.9462	-0.25%	1.9754	+1.25%	0.0069	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.8994	-0.23%	1.951	+2.48%	0.0157	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.9418	-0.27%	1.9039	-2.21%	0.0061	✗	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.9901	-0.33%	1.9469	-2.49%	0.0161	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	2.0751	-0.39%	1.9967	-4.16%	0.0063	✓	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.1316	-0.54%	2.0833	-2.79%	0.0079	✗	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	2.062	-0.56%	2.1431	+3.35%	0.0358	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.8599	-0.23%	2.0736	+11.24%	0.0523	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.8525	-0.21%	1.8642	+0.42%	0.0362	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.4084	-0.42%	1.8564	-23.24%	0.1880	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.3482	-0.54%	2.4184	+2.43%	0.0426	✗	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.1091	-0.13%	2.361	+11.79%	0.0980	✗	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.2437	-0.11%	2.1119	-5.97%	0.0358	✓	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.1985	-0.13%	2.2461	+2.03%	0.0126	✗	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.2155	-0.16%	2.2013	-0.80%	0.0144	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.2858	-0.19%	2.219	-3.11%	0.0307	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2699	-0.26%	2.2901	+0.63%	0.0041	✓	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.2429	-0.36%	2.2757	+1.09%	0.0012	✓	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.1202	-0.24%	2.2512	+5.92%	0.0235	✗	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.1639	-0.27%	2.1253	-2.04%	0.0154	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.1733	-0.30%	2.1696	-0.47%	0.0213	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.1394	-0.29%	2.1798	+1.60%	0.0051	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.184	-0.30%	2.1455	-2.06%	0.0176	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	2.049	-0.23%	2.1906	+6.67%	0.0605	✗	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.23	-0.31%	2.0536	-8.19%	0.0455	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.1511	-0.29%	2.2369	+3.69%	0.0279	✗	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.1662	-0.25%	2.1573	-0.66%	0.0018	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.3376	-0.25%	2.1717	-7.33%	0.0544	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.3844	-0.24%	2.3435	-1.95%	0.0133	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.396	-0.22%	2.3902	-0.46%	0.0030	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.4791	-0.22%	2.4013	-3.36%	0.0198	✓	0.99

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.