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2022-09-09 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1624
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.2%
in alpha space · 49.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.3706+0.52%17.47+1.10%0.0050✓0.801.6M2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.1364+0.44%0.1307-3.76%0.0429✗0.0187k2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.31374.3284+0.34%4.324+0.24%0.0113✗0.77724k2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.416792+0.31%0.4204+1.18%0.0057✗1.07215k2022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.063788+0.30%0.0658+3.46%0.0203✓0.8082k2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1491.3788+0.26%92.74+1.76%0.0042✗1.426.0M2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001555+0.26%0.001548-0.19%0.0148✗0.77374k2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.074252+0.25%0.07598+2.58%0.0081✓1.1125k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005852+0.20%0.00593+1.54%0.0050✓0.62951k2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012382+0.18%0.01306+5.66%0.0447✓0.65228k2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.063496+0.18%0.064586+1.90%0.0091✓0.59123k2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8532+0.17%1.89+2.16%0.0139✓0.4363k2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.060298+0.16%0.0598-0.66%0.0204✗0.9180k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.013268+0.15%0.013066-1.37%0.0237✗0.63929k2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.558684+0.15%0.55641-0.26%0.0207✗1.2441k2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.103548+0.14%0.1036+0.19%0.0089✗0.702,7842022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.135484+0.14%0.1336-1.26%0.0277✗1.021.4M2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.659896+0.14%0.657-0.30%0.0167✗0.92178k2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.098617+0.12%0.0989+0.41%0.0092✗0.90359k2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero161.29161.4795+0.12%157.51-2.34%0.0383✗1.001.3M2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.229467+0.12%0.2299+0.31%0.0083✗0.7767k2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.4866+0.11%1.514+1.95%0.0036✓1.1071k2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.497519+0.10%0.516+3.82%0.0206✓1.194,5592022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006221+0.10%0.0063+1.38%0.0035✓0.692,0942022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.808763+0.09%0.8137+0.70%0.0049✗0.82537k2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.98035+0.09%0.9875+0.82%0.0082✗1.16899k2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana34.6934.7175+0.08%35.07+1.10%0.0040✗1.0660.5M2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.444347+0.08%0.516+16.22%0.1362✓1.007,7812022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.064047+0.07%0.067+4.69%0.0291✓1.20608k2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.354355+0.05%0.35407-0.03%0.0136✗0.9635k2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51255.5365+0.04%55.236-0.50%0.0155✗0.75287k2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.333935+0.04%0.3323-0.45%0.0151✗0.76332k2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.185173+0.04%0.1861+0.54%0.0123✗1.291,5202022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.499492+0.04%0.5059+1.32%0.0019✗1.10384k2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.221765+0.03%0.2208-0.41%0.0170✗0.9557k2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.039111+0.03%0.0394+0.77%0.0042✗0.8777k2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.164142+0.03%0.1625-0.98%0.0225✗0.931,1642022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.9998+0.03%3.024+0.83%0.0108✗1.413.0M2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012923+0.03%0.00001328+2.79%0.0151✓0.91898k2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.04751+0.02%0.0479+0.84%0.0038✗0.90138k2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,376.10+0.02%21,732.50+1.69%0.0040✓0.9413k2022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.9698+0.02%4.9455-0.47%0.0061✗0.09115k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4302+0.02%1.43+0.00%0.0027✓-0.21128k2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.57680.576862+0.01%0.5779+0.19%0.0085✗0.77867k2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.2127.2128+0.01%27.69+1.76%0.0050✓0.936.8M2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003280.00328+0.01%0.00322-1.83%0.0314✗0.96483k2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1561.1534+0.01%63.32+3.55%0.0220✓0.9613.1M2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5021,365.47+0.00%21,651.52+1.34%0.0000✓1.00480.9M2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.397545+0.00%0.40366+1.54%0.0030✓0.9231k2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.234+0.00%1.222-0.97%0.0220✗0.911.1M2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.5097-0.00%6.674+2.52%0.0084✗1.246.9M2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0468-0.01%1.0341-1.22%0.0193✓0.532.8M2022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.037598-0.01%0.0379+0.80%0.0017✓0.727,8252022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.6097-0.01%4.63+0.43%0.0027✓0.531.3M2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.053093-0.01%0.0508-4.33%0.0576✓1.01234k2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum103.35103.3354-0.01%105.47+2.05%0.0100✗0.793.4M2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.276958-0.02%0.284+2.53%0.0154✗0.73563k2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.023506-0.02%0.02305-1.96%0.0302✓0.809.2M2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.10e-7-0.02%9.30e-7+2.20%0.0119✗0.751.8M2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.8778-0.03%9.02+1.58%0.0096✗0.472.2M2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.50e-7-0.03%9.10e-7-4.21%0.0529✓0.7615k2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.214441-0.03%0.2116-1.35%0.0299✓1.24139k2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.229635-0.03%0.2293-0.17%0.0134✓0.89537k2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.141248-0.03%0.14372+1.72%0.0024✗1.12163k2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.6079-0.03%9.776+1.72%0.0051✗0.921.2M2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.042554-0.04%0.042535-0.08%0.0070✓0.5025k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,718.57-0.04%1,774.69+3.23%0.0148✗1.30617.0M2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.9658-0.04%13.4676+3.83%0.0257✗0.9222k2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001623-0.04%0.001601-1.42%0.0227✓0.667,1022022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.331851-0.04%0.3401+2.44%0.0106✗1.0587k2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.046201-0.05%0.045736-1.05%0.0208✓0.8029k2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.6552.6257-0.05%52.32-0.63%0.0186✓0.96395k2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002898-0.05%0.002911+0.41%0.0072✓0.881.2M2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.038942-0.05%0.03978+2.10%0.0110✗0.772,4552022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.292063-0.05%0.2949+0.92%0.0026✓0.922.7M2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.935-0.05%1.9389+0.15%0.0120✓1.0523k2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.324428-0.05%0.3223-0.71%0.0182✓0.875.8M2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6951.6613-0.06%53.06+2.65%0.0106✗1.219,1802022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.025985-0.06%0.02547-2.04%0.0366✓1.242,9582022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.2035-0.06%1.2446+3.35%0.0142✗1.454.5M2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006307-0.06%0.006228-1.32%0.0184✓0.4336k2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.855878-0.06%0.902+5.32%0.0342✗1.3794k2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.289827-0.06%0.29035+0.12%0.0114✓0.9914k2022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.025.0167-0.07%5.11+1.79%0.0077✗0.81943k2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.420.3864-0.07%20.45+0.25%0.0130✓1.2118.8M2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.845965-0.07%0.85018+0.43%0.0071✓0.9114k2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.748-0.07%2.807+2.07%0.0102✗0.83630k2022-09-10
SGBSongbirdnative0.02710.02708-0.07%0.0266-1.85%0.0260✓0.6047k2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.926343-0.07%0.938309+1.22%0.0021✗0.8052k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.170277-0.08%0.17129+0.52%0.0229✓2.164042022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.13729-0.08%0.1391+1.24%0.0065✗0.503.0M2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.690416-0.08%0.68-1.59%0.0303✓1.133.8M2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.004156-0.09%0.00413-0.72%0.0187✓0.92111k2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.501759-0.09%0.5124+2.03%0.0090✗0.9037.9M2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.212311-0.09%0.21-1.18%0.0264✓1.16111k2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0475.0424-0.09%5.052+0.10%0.0155✓1.316.4M2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.17.0935-0.09%7.129+0.41%0.0063✓0.854.4M2022-09-10
DASHDashDash49.0148.9648-0.09%48.77-0.49%0.0167✓0.95338k2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6834-0.09%1.661-1.42%0.0234✓0.7551k2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.313644-0.10%0.312676-0.40%0.0167✓1.02514k2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0794-0.10%1.0696-1.00%0.0198✓0.8038k2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.06726-0.10%0.06911+2.64%0.0154✗0.886022022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9132.7571-0.11%132.64-0.20%0.0157✓1.114.4M2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.3072-0.11%3.3754+1.95%0.0074✗0.9719k2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.046138-0.11%0.04614-0.11%0.0094✓0.7114k2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.2362-0.12%3.272+0.99%0.0036✗0.55720k2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.735-0.12%7.906+2.09%0.0087✗0.9918.0M2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0918.0678-0.12%17.96-0.72%0.0146✓0.65396k2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.547319-0.12%0.552+0.73%0.0061✓1.0977k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051735-0.13%0.051-1.54%0.0272✓0.97546k2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.021233-0.13%0.02106-0.94%0.0180✓0.73234k2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.114257-0.13%0.114707+0.26%0.0072✓0.836.5M2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.6757-0.13%10.95+2.43%0.0090✗1.22281k2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021761-0.13%0.021575-0.99%0.0189✓0.7813k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.3245-0.13%1.3351+0.66%0.0068✓1.101.1M2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.3241-0.14%2.3273+0.00%0.0132✓1.0913k2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.112447-0.14%0.1173+4.17%0.0283✗1.042.7M2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.8424-0.14%1.789-3.04%0.0412✓0.88627k2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.126.1115-0.14%6.021-1.62%0.0211✓0.473.6M2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.149688-0.14%0.1491-0.53%0.0170✓0.98128k2022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.6428-0.15%1.6664+1.28%0.0002✓1.05247k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007828-0.15%0.00786+0.26%0.0101✓1.06406k2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.9079-0.15%7.78-1.77%0.0307✓1.08255k2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.8534-0.16%16.85-0.18%0.0147✓1.0987k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.093751-0.16%0.0995+5.96%0.0474✗0.9113k2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash66.0165.9046-0.16%65.33-1.03%0.0240✓1.141.2M2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009704-0.16%0.00938-3.50%0.0440✓0.753.5M2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.38130.380688-0.16%0.3846+0.87%0.0046✓1.11348k2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.063817-0.16%0.064731+1.27%0.0007✓1.021.3M2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.53152-0.17%0.5249-1.41%0.0218✓0.69467k2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.071931-0.17%0.07197-0.11%0.0012✓0.13397k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.381.3776-0.17%1.372-0.58%0.0197✓1.17385k2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.5424-0.17%1.615+4.53%0.0312✗1.1143k2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.178509-0.17%0.17959+0.43%0.0065✓0.94268k2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1881-0.18%2.224+1.46%0.0015✓1.1134k2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.3805-0.18%5.41+0.37%0.0004✓0.442.0M2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.051905-0.18%0.0522+0.38%0.0060✓0.88204k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.2146-0.20%4.296+1.73%0.0128✗0.472.1M2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.11417-0.20%0.1145+0.09%0.0080✓0.82169k2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.959885-0.22%0.978+1.66%0.0022✗1.231.5M2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.3124-0.22%4.354+0.74%0.0056✗0.302.2M2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.5742-0.22%2.61+1.16%0.0046✗0.69262k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.450236-0.24%0.4434-1.75%0.0308✓1.1675k2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4815.4434-0.24%15.57+0.58%0.0037✓0.891.7M2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.308368-0.24%0.314+1.59%0.0046✗1.0195k2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.024182-0.24%0.024191-0.20%0.0005✓0.06465k2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.878808-0.25%0.8719-1.03%0.0213✓1.001.0M2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.683283-0.25%0.686+0.15%0.0070✓0.83129k2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.154412-0.25%0.1533-0.97%0.0212✓1.04421k2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728159-0.25%0.73+0.00%0.0015✓0.3052k2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000044425-0.26%0.00004456+0.04%0.0078✓0.812.5M2022-09-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.011149-0.26%0.010974-1.83%0.0291✓1.005862022-09-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,593.06-0.27%1,670.43+4.58%0.0341✗1.003.4M2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.8371-0.27%2.0477+11.16%0.0965✗0.901.2M2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.559481-0.27%0.568+1.25%0.0008✓1.0757k2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.138518-0.27%0.1738+25.13%0.2158✗0.8324k2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7114.6685-0.28%14.72+0.07%0.0105✓1.05925k2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.3718-0.29%6.46+1.10%0.0076✗0.462.2M2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.371008-0.29%0.3665-1.50%0.0260✓1.0471k2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.012.0039-0.30%2.048+1.89%0.0002✓1.6165k2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3424-0.32%2.34-0.43%0.0164✓1.15232k2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.4488-0.33%6.62+2.32%0.0201✗0.462.1M2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.7333-0.33%7.777+0.23%0.0077✓1.0010.0M2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.414703-0.34%0.46503+11.76%0.1019✗0.95392k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001383-0.34%0.001381-0.50%0.0116✓0.752.5M2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.041.0364-0.34%1.028-1.15%0.0132✓0.382.9M2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum32.4232.3078-0.35%32.55+0.40%0.0154✓1.71185k2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.78153-0.37%0.7491-4.50%0.0613✓1.42210k2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.3449-0.38%1.325-1.86%0.0275✓0.941.2M2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.275372-0.41%0.2818+1.92%0.0123✗0.8184k2022-09-10
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.380416-0.41%0.3931+2.91%0.0187✗1.066802022-09-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.548-0.42%4.4513-2.54%0.0421✓1.55129k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12616.0569-0.43%15.995-0.81%0.0192✓1.1515.6M2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4735-0.44%1.49+0.68%0.0011✓0.9181k2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.4527-0.51%4.573+2.18%0.0192✗0.567.3M2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.038867-0.52%0.0382-2.23%0.0306✓1.0072k2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.0510,381.02-0.56%10,440.99+0.02%0.0127✓1.384.5M2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.6477-0.56%4.569-2.25%0.0290✓0.89298k2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.123496-0.57%0.1274+2.58%0.0220✗0.68195k2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.203926-0.67%0.2016-1.80%0.0228✓0.853.2M2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.1112.0968-0.67%2.11-0.05%0.0112✓1.311.1M2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1938.8798-0.79%39.23+0.10%0.0104✓1.4511.8M2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.3993-0.83%1.387-1.70%0.0305✓1.632.8M2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3796.3255-0.84%6.359-0.31%0.0061✓0.856.2M2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.069042-0.96%0.06588-5.49%0.0617✓1.111.5M2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.8801-0.98%6.9782+0.43%0.0113✗0.228.6M2022-09-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.01819-1.06%0.018945+3.05%0.0273✗1.004152022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51527.4315-1.11%7.4153-1.33%0.0061✓0.309.9M2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-77.23e-7-1.23%6.85e-7-6.39%0.0631✓0.702.3M2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38712.1937-1.56%12.214-1.40%0.0048✓0.4816.0M2022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000420763-2.29%0.0004348+0.97%0.0262✗0.501.5M2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.