8=======>

2022-09-09 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1530
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.3%
in alpha space · 40.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000411894-4.35%0.0004348+0.97%0.0475✗0.501.5M2022-09-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.018045-1.84%0.018945+3.05%0.0353✗1.004152022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.3876-1.66%1.387-1.70%0.0221✓1.632.8M2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.136825-1.49%0.1738+25.13%0.2281✗0.8324k2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.553066-1.41%0.568+1.25%0.0123✓1.0757k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.9199-1.28%15.995-0.81%0.0106✓1.1515.6M2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.273011-1.26%0.2818+1.92%0.0209✗0.8184k2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3796.2994-1.25%6.359-0.31%0.0019✓0.856.2M2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.0510,313.09-1.21%10,440.99+0.02%0.0061✓1.384.5M2022-09-10
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.377408-1.20%0.3931+2.91%0.0266✗1.066802022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38712.2391-1.19%12.214-1.40%0.0085✓0.4816.0M2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.775749-1.10%0.7491-4.50%0.0539✓1.42210k2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51527.4368-1.04%7.4153-1.33%0.0068✓0.309.9M2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.038664-1.04%0.0382-2.23%0.0254✓1.0072k2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-77.25e-7-0.94%6.85e-7-6.39%0.0660✓0.702.3M2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1938.8201-0.94%39.23+0.10%0.0089✓1.4511.8M2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.6307-0.93%4.569-2.25%0.0253✓0.89298k2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4664-0.92%1.49+0.68%0.0038✓0.9181k2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.1112.0916-0.92%2.11-0.05%0.0088✓1.311.1M2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.09306-0.89%0.0995+5.96%0.0548✗0.9113k2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.069093-0.89%0.06588-5.49%0.0624✓1.111.5M2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.023303-0.88%0.02305-1.96%0.0216✓0.809.2M2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.071-0.88%1.0696-1.00%0.0119✓0.8038k2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.3383-0.88%1.325-1.86%0.0225✓0.941.2M2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum32.4232.1379-0.87%32.55+0.40%0.0101✓1.71185k2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3301-0.85%2.34-0.43%0.0111✓1.15232k2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.41273-0.81%0.46503+11.76%0.1066✗0.95392k2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.2138-0.81%3.272+0.99%0.0106✗0.55720k2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.220008-0.76%0.2208-0.41%0.0091✓0.9557k2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.3098-0.75%2.3273+0.00%0.0070✓1.0913k2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.896-0.75%6.9782+0.43%0.0090✗0.228.6M2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.5607-0.75%2.61+1.16%0.0099✗0.69262k2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.2864-0.74%3.3754+1.95%0.0137✗0.9719k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.3166-0.73%1.3351+0.66%0.0008✓1.101.1M2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.306844-0.73%0.314+1.59%0.0096✗1.0195k2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.111783-0.73%0.1173+4.17%0.0342✗1.042.7M2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.051638-0.70%0.0522+0.38%0.0009✓0.88204k2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.6901-0.70%7.906+2.09%0.0145✗0.9918.0M2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.203884-0.69%0.2016-1.80%0.0226✓0.853.2M2022-09-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.011101-0.69%0.010974-1.83%0.0249✓1.005862022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.680309-0.68%0.686+0.15%0.0027✓0.83129k2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7114.6109-0.67%14.72+0.07%0.0066✓1.05925k2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.4452-0.67%4.573+2.18%0.0209✗0.567.3M2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.15377-0.67%0.1533-0.97%0.0170✓1.04421k2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000044247-0.66%0.00004456+0.04%0.0037✓0.812.5M2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.44e-7-0.66%9.10e-7-4.21%0.0466✓0.7615k2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero161.29160.2404-0.65%157.51-2.34%0.0306✓1.001.3M2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.35191-0.64%0.35407-0.03%0.0067✓0.9635k2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.5352-0.64%1.615+4.53%0.0359✗1.1143k2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.38130.378901-0.63%0.3846+0.87%0.0001✓1.11348k2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009659-0.62%0.00938-3.50%0.0393✓0.753.5M2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.7768-0.61%16.85-0.18%0.0102✓1.0987k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.041.0336-0.61%1.028-1.15%0.0105✓0.382.9M2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.9978-0.61%2.048+1.89%0.0033✓1.6165k2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.113713-0.60%0.1145+0.09%0.0040✓0.82169k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.381.3717-0.60%1.372-0.58%0.0154✓1.17385k2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.369903-0.59%0.3665-1.50%0.0231✓1.0471k2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.11373-0.59%0.114707+0.26%0.0026✓0.836.5M2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0917.9839-0.59%17.96-0.72%0.0100✓0.65396k2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.7145-0.57%7.777+0.23%0.0052✓1.0010.0M2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.047228-0.57%0.0479+0.84%0.0021✓0.90138k2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1795-0.57%2.224+1.46%0.0054✓1.1134k2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6951.3965-0.57%53.06+2.65%0.0157✗1.219,1802022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.03888-0.56%0.0394+0.77%0.0017✓0.8777k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.448797-0.55%0.4434-1.75%0.0276✓1.1675k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.169467-0.55%0.17129+0.52%0.0181✓2.164042022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.496559-0.55%0.5059+1.32%0.0040✓1.10384k2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.876165-0.55%0.8719-1.03%0.0182✓1.001.0M2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.288423-0.55%0.29035+0.12%0.0065✓0.9914k2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9132.1808-0.54%132.64-0.20%0.0114✓1.114.4M2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.123529-0.54%0.1274+2.58%0.0218✗0.68195k2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.529532-0.54%0.5249-1.41%0.0181✓0.69467k2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.8323-0.54%9.02+1.58%0.0148✗0.472.2M2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.803743-0.53%0.8137+0.70%0.0013✓0.82537k2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.545108-0.53%0.552+0.73%0.0020✓1.0977k2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.149109-0.53%0.1491-0.53%0.0131✓0.98128k2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4815.3996-0.52%15.57+0.58%0.0009✓0.891.7M2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021678-0.52%0.021575-0.99%0.0151✓0.7813k2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.8792-0.51%7.78-1.77%0.0271✓1.08255k2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0475.0214-0.51%5.052+0.10%0.0113✓1.316.4M2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051539-0.50%0.051-1.54%0.0235✓0.97546k2022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.037411-0.50%0.0379+0.80%0.0033✓0.727,8252022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001616-0.50%0.001601-1.42%0.0181✓0.667,1022022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.102882-0.50%0.1036+0.19%0.0024✓0.702,7842022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.8329-0.50%2.0477+11.16%0.0988✗0.901.2M2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.41343-0.50%0.4204+1.18%0.0024✓1.07215k2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.063605-0.49%0.064731+1.27%0.0040✓1.021.3M2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,267.95-0.49%21,732.50+1.69%0.0090✗0.9413k2022-09-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,589.55-0.48%1,670.43+4.58%0.0363✗1.003.4M2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.323055-0.48%0.3223-0.71%0.0140✓0.875.8M2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.92265-0.47%0.938309+1.22%0.0061✗0.8052k2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002885-0.47%0.002911+0.41%0.0029✓0.881.2M2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001381-0.47%0.001381-0.50%0.0103✓0.752.5M2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.024126-0.47%0.024191-0.20%0.0019✓0.06465k2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.927-0.47%1.9389+0.15%0.0078✓1.0523k2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.4398-0.47%6.62+2.32%0.0215✗0.462.1M2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.2283-0.46%1.222-0.97%0.0173✓0.911.1M2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.2127.0838-0.46%27.69+1.76%0.0097✗0.936.8M2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.852428-0.46%0.902+5.32%0.0382✗1.3794k2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.499875-0.46%0.5124+2.03%0.0128✗0.9037.9M2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum103.35102.8724-0.46%105.47+2.05%0.0144✗0.793.4M2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.3653-0.46%5.41+0.37%0.0024✓0.442.0M2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.8366-0.46%1.789-3.04%0.0380✓0.88627k2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.17.0677-0.45%7.129+0.41%0.0027✓0.854.4M2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1987-0.45%1.2446+3.35%0.0181✗1.454.5M2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.22866-0.45%0.2293-0.17%0.0091✓0.89537k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007805-0.45%0.00786+0.26%0.0072✓1.06406k2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.3615-0.45%6.46+1.10%0.0092✗0.462.2M2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.17803-0.44%0.17959+0.43%0.0038✓0.94268k2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003280.003266-0.44%0.00322-1.83%0.0269✓0.96483k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.2046-0.44%4.296+1.73%0.0152✗0.472.1M2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.046023-0.43%0.045736-1.05%0.0169✓0.8029k2022-09-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.5475-0.43%4.4513-2.54%0.0420✓1.55129k2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.442113-0.42%0.516+16.22%0.1412✗1.007,7812022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.4824-0.42%6.674+2.52%0.0126✗1.246.9M2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.071748-0.42%0.07197-0.11%0.0013✓0.13397k2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012866-0.42%0.00001328+2.79%0.0195✗0.91898k2022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.6384-0.42%1.6664+1.28%0.0029✓1.05247k2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.042392-0.42%0.042535-0.08%0.0032✓0.5025k2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash66.0165.7373-0.41%65.33-1.03%0.0215✓1.141.2M2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5021,276.73-0.41%21,651.52+1.34%0.0041✗1.00480.9M2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.9867-0.41%3.024+0.83%0.0064✓1.413.0M2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.004143-0.41%0.00413-0.72%0.0155✓0.92111k2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.330652-0.41%0.3401+2.44%0.0142✗1.0587k2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.6472-0.40%10.95+2.43%0.0117✗1.22281k2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.57680.574536-0.39%0.5779+0.19%0.0045✓0.77867k2022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.025.0005-0.39%5.11+1.79%0.0109✗0.81943k2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.063752-0.39%0.067+4.69%0.0337✗1.20608k2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.067071-0.38%0.06911+2.64%0.0182✗0.886022022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.1844-0.38%0.1861+0.54%0.0081✓1.291,5202022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006191-0.38%0.0063+1.38%0.0083✗0.692,0942022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.163482-0.38%0.1625-0.98%0.0185✓0.931,1642022-09-10
DASHDashDash49.0148.828-0.37%48.77-0.49%0.0139✓0.95338k2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.134801-0.37%0.1336-1.26%0.0226✓1.021.4M2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.136894-0.37%0.1391+1.24%0.0094✗0.503.0M2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.656597-0.36%0.657-0.30%0.0117✓0.92178k2022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.025906-0.36%0.02547-2.04%0.0336✓1.242,9582022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.3066-0.36%4.354+0.74%0.0070✗0.302.2M2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.140788-0.36%0.14372+1.72%0.0057✗1.12163k2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.059987-0.35%0.0598-0.66%0.0152✓0.9180k2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.843562-0.35%0.85018+0.43%0.0043✓0.9114k2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0432-0.35%1.0341-1.22%0.0158✓0.532.8M2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.276031-0.35%0.284+2.53%0.0188✗0.73563k2022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.063383-0.34%0.0658+3.46%0.0267✗0.8082k2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.6552.4702-0.34%52.32-0.63%0.0156✓0.96395k2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.312877-0.34%0.312676-0.40%0.0142✓1.02514k2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.7407-0.34%2.807+2.07%0.0128✗0.83630k2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.291243-0.33%0.2949+0.92%0.0002✓0.922.7M2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.556057-0.32%0.55641-0.26%0.0160✓1.2441k2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.5953-0.32%4.63+0.43%0.0004✓0.531.3M2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.07e-7-0.32%9.30e-7+2.20%0.0149✗0.751.8M2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.038838-0.31%0.03978+2.10%0.0136✗0.772,4552022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.046046-0.31%0.04614-0.11%0.0074✓0.7114k2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.976463-0.31%0.9875+0.82%0.0042✓1.16899k2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.126.1012-0.31%6.021-1.62%0.0195✓0.473.6M2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006292-0.31%0.006228-1.32%0.0159✓0.4336k2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.5821-0.30%9.776+1.72%0.0078✗0.921.2M2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.934-0.29%13.4676+3.83%0.0282✗0.9222k2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.959293-0.28%0.978+1.66%0.0028✗1.231.5M2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1560.9782-0.28%63.32+3.55%0.0248✗0.9613.1M2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.426-0.28%1.43+0.00%0.0057✗-0.21128k2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana34.6934.5958-0.27%35.07+1.10%0.0005✓1.0660.5M2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.495671-0.27%0.516+3.82%0.0243✗1.194,5592022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,714.71-0.26%1,774.69+3.23%0.0171✗1.30617.0M2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51255.3736-0.25%55.236-0.50%0.0125✓0.75287k2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6808-0.25%1.661-1.42%0.0219✓0.7551k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.013216-0.24%0.013066-1.37%0.0198✓0.63929k2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728244-0.24%0.73+0.00%0.0016✓0.3052k2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.420.3511-0.24%20.45+0.25%0.0112✓1.2118.8M2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.332989-0.24%0.3323-0.45%0.0123✓0.76332k2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.212-0.24%0.21-1.18%0.0250✓1.16111k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005827-0.22%0.00593+1.54%0.0092✗0.62951k2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.073905-0.22%0.07598+2.58%0.0128✗1.1125k2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.39666-0.22%0.40366+1.54%0.0052✗0.9231k2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.689491-0.22%0.68-1.59%0.0290✓1.133.8M2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.09829-0.21%0.0989+0.41%0.0059✓0.90359k2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.4819-0.21%1.514+1.95%0.0068✗1.1071k2022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.9584-0.21%4.9455-0.47%0.0038✓0.09115k2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.228735-0.20%0.2299+0.31%0.0051✓0.7767k2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.053002-0.18%0.0508-4.33%0.0559✓1.01234k2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001548-0.17%0.001548-0.19%0.0105✓0.77374k2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.063279-0.16%0.064586+1.90%0.0125✗0.59123k2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.021227-0.15%0.02106-0.94%0.0177✓0.73234k2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.214203-0.14%0.2116-1.35%0.0288✓1.24139k2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.31374.3078-0.14%4.324+0.24%0.0065✓0.77724k2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012349-0.09%0.01306+5.66%0.0474✗0.65228k2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1491.0855-0.06%92.74+1.76%0.0010✓1.426.0M2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8494-0.03%1.89+2.16%0.0160✗0.4363k2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.3053+0.15%17.47+1.10%0.0012✓0.801.6M2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.135999+0.15%0.1307-3.76%0.0399✗0.0187k2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.