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2022-09-08 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1331
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.7%
in alpha space · 63.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.140958+0.90%0.1358-2.79%0.0418✗0.0490k2022-09-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.916.0295+0.81%17.28+8.68%0.0045✓0.791.6M2022-09-09
GTGateEthereum4.04594.0656+0.49%4.3137+6.62%0.0190✗0.78724k2022-09-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.060123+0.37%0.0636+6.18%0.0274✗0.8382k2022-09-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001468+0.36%0.001551+6.02%0.0238✗0.78397k2022-09-09
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2988.6025+0.35%91.14+3.23%0.1267✗1.546.0M2022-09-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011709+0.34%0.01236+5.91%0.0118✗0.66228k2022-09-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8458+0.32%1.85+0.54%0.0456✗0.4868k2022-09-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.775267+0.31%0.80804+4.55%0.0459✗0.87537k2022-09-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.405767+0.31%0.4155+2.72%0.0920✗1.15215k2022-09-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005686+0.28%0.00584+3.00%0.0385✗0.65951k2022-09-09
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.12524+0.27%0.1353+8.33%0.0291✗1.061.4M2022-09-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.070906+0.25%0.07407+4.72%0.0750✗1.1825k2022-09-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002734+0.23%0.002899+6.27%0.0344✗0.921.2M2022-09-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.916792+0.22%0.9795+7.07%0.0562✗1.22908k2022-09-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.654716+0.22%0.7844+20.07%0.0400✓1.40210k2022-09-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8719,362.54+0.21%21,364.50+10.57%0.0021✓1.00480.9M2022-09-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.263551+0.21%0.277+5.32%0.0269✗0.76581k2022-09-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.4179+0.21%1.485+4.95%0.0712✗1.1771k2022-09-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.530689+0.19%0.55787+5.32%0.0826✗1.3241k2022-09-09
XMRMoneroMonero152.39152.6814+0.19%161.29+5.84%0.0505✗1.051.3M2022-09-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012998+0.19%0.013248+2.11%0.0489✗0.68929k2022-09-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.051794+0.18%0.0531+2.71%0.0842✗1.09234k2022-09-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.097374+0.18%0.0985+1.34%0.0875✗0.99368k2022-09-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.639123+0.18%0.659+3.29%0.0684✗0.99178k2022-09-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.055596+0.17%0.0602+8.47%0.0129✗0.9280k2022-09-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.035161+0.17%0.0376+7.12%0.0067✗0.736,2432022-09-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.330909+0.17%0.35417+7.21%0.0322✗1.0035k2022-09-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.099468+0.17%0.1034+4.13%0.0353✗0.742,7842022-09-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.041038+0.16%0.042569+3.89%0.0144✗0.5125k2022-09-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.061895+0.15%0.064+3.56%0.0944✗1.27617k2022-09-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.9353+0.15%2.999+2.32%0.1318✗1.533.3M2022-09-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.061066+0.14%0.063921+4.83%0.0623✗1.071.3M2022-09-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1736.1817+0.14%6.51+5.46%0.0812✗1.326.9M2022-09-09
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.061277+0.14%0.063383+3.58%0.0281✗0.62123k2022-09-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.213783+0.13%0.2217+3.84%0.0654✗1.0157k2022-09-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.020928+0.13%0.02351+12.49%0.0372✓0.799.2M2022-09-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.156401+0.13%0.1641+5.06%0.0520✗1.001,2532022-09-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.227082+0.12%0.2292+1.06%0.0738✗0.8366k2022-09-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.30817+0.12%0.3246+5.46%0.0395✗0.915.8M2022-09-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.298753+0.12%0.3091+3.59%0.0758✗1.0997k2022-09-09
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.044373+0.12%0.046222+4.29%0.0437✗0.8429k2022-09-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.399767+0.12%0.4513+13.02%0.0041✓1.1775k2022-09-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.005912+0.12%0.006215+5.24%0.0214✗0.712,0942022-09-09
SOLSolanaSolana33.6233.6591+0.12%34.69+3.18%0.0840✗1.1461.7M2022-09-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.469517+0.11%0.497+5.97%0.0679✗1.244,4682022-09-09
FTTFTXEthereum26.0526.078+0.11%27.21+4.45%0.0554✗0.976.8M2022-09-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.131135+0.10%0.1374+4.89%0.0057✗0.523.2M2022-09-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.279965+0.10%0.29001+3.69%0.0701✗1.0514k2022-09-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.418397+0.09%0.444+6.22%0.0458✗1.057,7812022-09-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.975+0.09%1.0469+7.47%0.0183✓0.532.8M2022-09-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.5041+0.09%5.047+12.16%0.0202✗1.336.4M2022-09-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.315184+0.09%0.332+5.43%0.0617✗1.1387k2022-09-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.04442+0.09%0.04619+4.08%0.0359✗0.7514k2022-09-09
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.379417+0.09%0.39753+4.87%0.0518✗0.9832k2022-09-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020744+0.09%0.02179+5.13%0.0317✗0.8113k2022-09-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000012241+0.09%0.00001292+5.64%0.0422✗0.96898k2022-09-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1019,311.09+0.08%21,371.80+10.76%0.0074✓0.9412k2022-09-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.787+0.08%8.88+1.14%0.0414✗0.522.2M2022-09-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.104383+0.08%0.1126+7.96%0.0331✗1.082.7M2022-09-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.854968+0.08%0.84654-0.91%0.1104✗1.0014k2022-09-09
ZECZcashZcash61.1361.1779+0.08%66.01+7.98%0.0435✗1.191.2M2022-09-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.47397+0.08%0.4993+5.43%0.0636✗1.15384k2022-09-09
HIVEHivenative0.55180.552227+0.08%0.5768+4.53%0.0379✗0.81867k2022-09-09
XVGVergenative0.003160.003162+0.08%0.00328+3.80%0.0658✗1.02483k2022-09-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.7643+0.08%1.845+4.65%0.0493✗0.94578k2022-09-09
METISMetisEthereum29.1329.1519+0.08%32.42+11.29%0.0773✗1.83186k2022-09-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.5434+0.07%4.61+1.54%0.0436✗0.581.3M2022-09-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.326845+0.07%0.33379+2.20%0.0613✗0.82327k2022-09-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1889+0.07%1.234+3.87%0.0585✗0.951.1M2022-09-09
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.8034+0.07%5.02+4.58%0.0409✗0.85943k2022-09-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.279599+0.07%0.2922+4.58%0.0535✗0.972.7M2022-09-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.204344+0.07%0.2145+5.04%0.0833✗1.31139k2022-09-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.176823+0.07%0.1851+4.75%0.0911✗1.361,5202022-09-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2753.3063+0.07%55.512+4.21%0.0393✗0.79287k2022-09-09
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4348.4608+0.06%51.69+6.73%0.0639✗1.289,1802022-09-09
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.2738+0.06%1.38+8.41%0.0411✗1.21429k2022-09-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.501303+0.06%0.561+11.98%0.0044✓1.0857k2022-09-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.104409+0.05%0.114404+9.63%0.0076✓0.836.5M2022-09-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046523+0.05%0.0475+2.15%0.0768✗0.97138k2022-09-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,636.53+0.05%1,719.21+5.10%0.0892✗1.38660.9M2022-09-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.024101+0.05%0.026+7.93%0.0542✗1.292,9142022-09-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.90e-7+0.05%9.50e-7+6.74%0.0133✗0.7815k2022-09-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.136684+0.04%0.14129+3.41%0.0874✗1.20167k2022-09-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.657+0.04%2.75+3.54%0.0545✗0.88671k2022-09-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.2553+0.04%2.3273+3.23%0.0894✗1.2013k2022-09-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.818712+0.04%0.881+7.65%0.0315✗1.041.0M2022-09-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001521+0.04%0.001624+6.84%0.0012✗0.677,1022022-09-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.377.3727+0.04%7.92+7.46%0.0419✗1.13276k2022-09-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038214+0.04%0.0391+2.36%0.0711✗0.9466k2022-09-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.1283+0.04%1.2042+6.76%0.0902✗1.554.5M2022-09-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.4505+0.03%1.545+6.55%0.0548✗1.1745k2022-09-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008863+0.03%0.00972+9.71%0.0182✓0.743.5M2022-09-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.9228+0.03%10.69+7.76%0.0541✗1.28281k2022-09-09
KSMKusamaHydration50.2650.2733+0.03%52.65+4.76%0.0544✗1.00409k2022-09-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.8435+0.03%2.01+9.06%0.0834✗1.6965k2022-09-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.342679+0.02%0.3721+8.61%0.0246✗1.0671k2022-09-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1419.144+0.02%20.4+6.58%0.0642✗1.2719.2M2022-09-09
STXStacksnative0.36210.36216+0.02%0.3813+5.30%0.0658✗1.17365k2022-09-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9957.9995+0.02%61.15+5.45%0.0490✗1.0113.1M2022-09-09
DASHDashDash46.2846.2874+0.02%49.01+5.90%0.0434✗1.00338k2022-09-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4202+0.01%1.43+0.70%0.0293✓-0.22124k2022-09-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.140219+0.01%0.1499+6.92%0.0347✗1.01128k2022-09-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.0518+0.01%1.0805+2.74%0.0592✗0.8637k2022-09-09
QNTQuantEthereum101.92101.9316+0.01%103.35+1.40%0.0732✗0.873.4M2022-09-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.4785+0.01%7.1+9.60%0.0066✓0.854.4M2022-09-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.9676+0.01%4.9689+0.03%0.0095✗0.10115k2022-09-09
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.5307+0.00%16.88+8.69%0.0296✗1.1287k2022-09-09
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.479003+0.00%0.5022+4.84%0.0469✗0.9438.4M2022-09-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.048999-0.00%0.052+6.12%0.0324✓0.91204k2022-09-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.851-0.00%1.936+4.59%0.0665✓1.1123k2022-09-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.006191-0.00%0.006311+1.94%0.0262✓0.4538k2022-09-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0933.0928-0.01%3.24+4.75%0.0094✓0.56720k2022-09-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.037457-0.01%0.03896+4.00%0.0429✓0.822,5652022-09-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3817.3782-0.01%18.09+4.09%0.0286✓0.68396k2022-09-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.2779.2758-0.01%9.611+3.60%0.0615✓0.961.2M2022-09-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.6519-0.02%0.685+5.06%0.0371✓0.86134k2022-09-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.875208-0.02%0.927032+5.90%0.0259✓0.8352k2022-09-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.642884-0.02%0.691+7.47%0.0448✓1.163.9M2022-09-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.524901-0.02%0.548+4.38%0.0740✓1.1774k2022-09-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0722.0716-0.02%2.192+5.79%0.0609✓1.1734k2022-09-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4077.4055-0.02%7.744+4.55%0.0617✓1.0618.0M2022-09-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.067851-0.03%0.07205+6.16%0.0550✗0.05389k2022-09-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.221837-0.03%0.2297+3.52%0.0601✓0.94503k2022-09-09
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.80e-7-0.03%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0463✓0.801.8M2022-09-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.048285-0.03%0.0518+7.25%0.0312✓1.01620k2022-09-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6844-0.03%1.685+0.00%0.0870✓0.8759k2022-09-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.170265-0.04%0.17882+4.98%0.0510✓1.00268k2022-09-09
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003988-0.05%0.00416+4.26%0.0563✓0.98123k2022-09-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.060402-0.05%0.06971+15.36%0.0332✗1.101.5M2022-09-09
FLOWFlownative1.9561.955-0.05%2.111+7.92%0.0616✓1.381.1M2022-09-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.199086-0.06%0.2125+6.68%0.0687✓1.33111k2022-09-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007426-0.06%0.00784+5.52%0.0578✓1.12389k2022-09-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.831197-0.06%0.8564+2.97%0.1191✓1.4899k2022-09-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.2686-0.06%2.35+3.52%0.0916✓1.26232k2022-09-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.16923.1671-0.07%3.3109+4.47%0.0594✓1.0319k2022-09-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.148994-0.07%0.1548+3.82%0.0729✓1.11469k2022-09-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.506327-0.07%0.5324+5.07%0.0235✓0.73467k2022-09-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.893332-0.07%0.962+7.61%0.0554✓1.291.5M2022-09-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.305067-0.08%0.313944+2.83%0.0811✓1.09514k2022-09-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.7885-0.08%12.9714+1.35%0.0850✓0.9925k2022-09-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62126.5167-0.08%132.9+4.96%0.0690✓1.184.4M2022-09-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1126.1069-0.08%6.12+0.13%0.0523✓0.543.9M2022-09-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.157642-0.09%0.17041+8.00%0.1254✓2.022952022-09-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.3147-0.10%5.39+1.32%0.0350✓0.492.0M2022-09-09
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1768-0.10%1.411+19.78%0.0167✗1.642.8M2022-09-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8513.8355-0.10%14.71+6.21%0.0499✓1.11925k2022-09-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0564.0517-0.11%4.223+4.12%0.0087✓0.502.1M2022-09-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0369-0.11%1.04+0.19%0.0388✓0.422.9M2022-09-09
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.5857-0.13%1.6453+3.63%0.0759✓1.12247k2022-09-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,489.81-0.13%1,597.30+7.07%0.0308✓1.003.5M2022-09-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.020852-0.13%0.02126+1.82%0.0601✓0.79241k2022-09-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.3254-0.14%1.3263-0.08%0.1221✓1.221.1M2022-09-09
XECeCashnative0.000042190.000042128-0.15%0.00004454+5.57%0.0289✓0.842.5M2022-09-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3897.3781-0.15%7.759+5.01%0.0552✓1.0510.0M2022-09-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.2829-0.17%4.322+0.75%0.0257✓0.352.2M2022-09-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.065948-0.17%0.06733+1.92%0.0747✓0.956022022-09-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.7691-0.17%1.8421+3.95%0.0555✓0.951.2M2022-09-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.669,250.67-0.17%10,439.05+12.65%0.0220✓1.424.5M2022-09-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.380499-0.18%0.4161+9.16%0.0084✓0.97392k2022-09-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.346.3286-0.18%6.39+0.79%0.0416✓0.512.2M2022-09-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.72868-0.18%0.73+0.00%0.0320✓0.3453k2022-09-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.110697-0.18%0.1144+3.16%0.0549✓0.87169k2022-09-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.024379-0.19%0.02424-0.76%0.0163✓0.11465k2022-09-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7115.6796-0.19%15.48-1.46%0.1139✓1.011.7M2022-09-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.376.3576-0.19%6.47+1.57%0.0323✓0.502.1M2022-09-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.186628-0.20%0.2053+9.79%0.0086✗0.863.1M2022-09-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3971-0.20%1.48+5.71%0.0390✓0.9681k2022-09-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.8527-0.21%6.379+8.76%0.0014✓0.876.2M2022-09-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.01054-0.21%0.011178+5.82%0.0418✓1.005382022-09-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.2103-0.22%1.3501+11.31%0.0139✗0.951.3M2022-09-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.4353-0.22%4.5671+2.74%0.1884✓2.17129k2022-09-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.851-0.23%16.126+16.16%0.0380✗1.1414.8M2022-09-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.001332-0.24%0.001388+3.96%0.0388✓0.802.5M2022-09-09
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.324378-0.25%0.382+17.47%0.0664✗0.976202022-09-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.035052-0.28%0.03907+11.15%0.0070✗1.0159k2022-09-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.092317-0.31%0.0939+1.40%0.0816✓0.9811k2022-09-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.5903-0.37%2.58-0.77%0.0810✓0.77262k2022-09-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.136.9534-0.40%39.19+5.63%0.0974✓1.5511.8M2022-09-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.4541-0.44%4.4753+0.03%0.0583✓0.637.3M2022-09-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.12936-0.49%0.1242-4.46%0.1202✓0.79203k2022-09-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.6953-0.56%4.674-1.02%0.1042✓0.99298k2022-09-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.017519-0.57%0.018384+4.34%0.0523✓1.001512022-09-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.8346-0.86%6.9482+0.79%0.0098✓0.268.4M2022-09-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-77.40e-7-1.00%7.32e-7-2.17%0.0961✓0.842.3M2022-09-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68227.5969-1.11%7.5152-2.17%0.0474✓0.369.9M2022-09-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41612.2644-1.22%12.387-0.23%0.0458✓0.5516.0M2022-09-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.160193-1.36%0.1389-14.47%0.2479✓1.0524k2022-09-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.297052-1.38%0.2765-8.20%0.1682✓0.9683k2022-09-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000493483-4.42%0.00043064-16.59%0.2086✓0.721.2M2022-09-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.