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2022-09-08 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1775
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
88.9%
in alpha space · 9.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000486144-5.84%0.00043064-16.59%0.1936✓0.721.2M2022-09-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.1578-2.83%0.1389-14.47%0.2329✓1.0524k2022-09-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.293106-2.69%0.2765-8.20%0.1549✓0.9683k2022-09-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.091293-1.41%0.0939+1.40%0.0704✓0.9811k2022-09-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.5654-1.33%2.58-0.77%0.0713✓0.77262k2022-09-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.6679-1.15%4.674-1.02%0.0983✓0.99298k2022-09-09
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.321526-1.13%0.382+17.47%0.0752✗0.976202022-09-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.01742-1.13%0.018384+4.34%0.0466✓1.001512022-09-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.010458-0.99%0.011178+5.82%0.0339✓1.005382022-09-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41612.2961-0.97%12.387-0.23%0.0484✓0.5516.0M2022-09-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68227.6085-0.96%7.5152-2.17%0.0490✓0.369.9M2022-09-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.3156-0.88%1.3263-0.08%0.1147✓1.221.1M2022-09-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.388-0.86%1.48+5.71%0.0325✓0.9681k2022-09-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.0435-0.78%1.0805+2.74%0.0512✓0.8637k2022-09-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.136.8256-0.74%39.19+5.63%0.0939✓1.5511.8M2022-09-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.220267-0.74%0.2297+3.52%0.0530✓0.94503k2022-09-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-77.42e-7-0.72%7.32e-7-2.17%0.0989✓0.842.3M2022-09-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.7853-0.70%16.126+16.16%0.0427✗1.1414.8M2022-09-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.110168-0.66%0.1144+3.16%0.0501✓0.87169k2022-09-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.16923.1483-0.66%3.3109+4.47%0.0535✓1.0319k2022-09-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0933.0728-0.65%3.24+4.75%0.0029✓0.56720k2022-09-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.8488-0.65%6.9482+0.79%0.0119✓0.268.4M2022-09-09
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4348.1235-0.63%51.69+6.73%0.0569✓1.289,1802022-09-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.2401-0.63%2.3273+3.23%0.0827✓1.2013k2022-09-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046215-0.61%0.0475+2.15%0.0701✓0.97138k2022-09-09
STXStacksnative0.36210.359907-0.61%0.3813+5.30%0.0596✓1.17365k2022-09-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.129233-0.59%0.1242-4.46%0.1192✓0.79203k2022-09-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.148252-0.57%0.1548+3.82%0.0679✓1.11469k2022-09-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7115.6208-0.57%15.48-1.46%0.1101✓1.011.7M2022-09-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.4493-0.55%4.4753+0.03%0.0572✓0.637.3M2022-09-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.2063-0.55%1.3501+11.31%0.0172✗0.951.3M2022-09-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.498283-0.54%0.561+11.98%0.0104✗1.0857k2022-09-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0324-0.54%1.04+0.19%0.0345✓0.422.9M2022-09-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.402348-0.53%0.4155+2.72%0.0836✓1.15215k2022-09-09
QNTQuantEthereum101.92101.3925-0.52%103.35+1.40%0.0679✓0.873.4M2022-09-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.182-0.51%1.234+3.87%0.0526✓0.951.1M2022-09-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038009-0.50%0.0391+2.36%0.0657✓0.9466k2022-09-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4077.3705-0.49%7.744+4.55%0.0570✓1.0618.0M2022-09-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.024306-0.49%0.02424-0.76%0.0133✓0.11465k2022-09-09
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1724-0.47%1.411+19.78%0.0204✗1.642.8M2022-09-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.379374-0.47%0.4161+9.16%0.0054✓0.97392k2022-09-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.471358-0.47%0.4993+5.43%0.0580✓1.15384k2022-09-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.04877-0.47%0.052+6.12%0.0277✓0.91204k2022-09-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.7638-0.47%1.8421+3.95%0.0525✓0.951.2M2022-09-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.8425-0.46%1.936+4.59%0.0619✓1.1123k2022-09-09
XECeCashnative0.000042190.000042-0.45%0.00004454+5.57%0.0258✓0.842.5M2022-09-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.21255-0.44%0.2217+3.84%0.0596✓1.0157k2022-09-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.7411-0.44%8.88+1.14%0.0361✓0.522.2M2022-09-09
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.5807-0.44%1.6453+3.63%0.0728✓1.12247k2022-09-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,485.26-0.44%1,597.30+7.07%0.0278✓1.003.5M2022-09-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.2601-0.43%2.35+3.52%0.0879✓1.26232k2022-09-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.2973-0.43%5.39+1.32%0.0317✓0.492.0M2022-09-09
HIVEHivenative0.55180.549471-0.42%0.5768+4.53%0.0329✓0.81867k2022-09-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.669,228.13-0.42%10,439.05+12.65%0.0196✓1.424.5M2022-09-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001514-0.41%0.001624+6.84%0.0033✓0.677,1022022-09-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.328978-0.41%0.35417+7.21%0.0264✓1.0035k2022-09-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3817.3084-0.41%18.09+4.09%0.0245✓0.68396k2022-09-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.035007-0.41%0.03907+11.15%0.0083✗1.0159k2022-09-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.377.3415-0.39%7.92+7.46%0.0377✓1.13276k2022-09-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.06581-0.38%0.06733+1.92%0.0726✓0.956022022-09-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62126.1491-0.37%132.9+4.96%0.0661✓1.184.4M2022-09-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.376.3463-0.37%6.47+1.57%0.0305✓0.502.1M2022-09-09
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.2683-0.37%1.38+8.41%0.0368✓1.21429k2022-09-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.828653-0.37%0.8564+2.97%0.1160✓1.4899k2022-09-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.006169-0.36%0.006311+1.94%0.0226✓0.4538k2022-09-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.7526-0.36%12.9714+1.35%0.0822✓0.9925k2022-09-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.155642-0.36%0.1641+5.06%0.0472✓1.001,2532022-09-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.103932-0.35%0.1126+7.96%0.0288✓1.082.7M2022-09-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.037329-0.35%0.03896+4.00%0.0395✓0.822,5652022-09-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0564.0418-0.35%4.223+4.12%0.0063✓0.502.1M2022-09-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.4296-0.35%4.5671+2.74%0.1871✓2.17129k2022-09-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.306727-0.35%0.3246+5.46%0.0348✓0.915.8M2022-09-09
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.477337-0.35%0.5022+4.84%0.0434✓0.9438.4M2022-09-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.139713-0.35%0.1499+6.92%0.0311✓1.01128k2022-09-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.346.3182-0.34%6.39+0.79%0.0400✓0.512.2M2022-09-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.523215-0.34%0.548+4.38%0.0708✓1.1774k2022-09-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.504981-0.34%0.5324+5.07%0.0208✓0.73467k2022-09-09
XMRMoneroMonero152.39151.879-0.34%161.29+5.84%0.0452✓1.051.3M2022-09-09
XVGVergenative0.003160.003149-0.33%0.00328+3.80%0.0617✓1.02483k2022-09-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.872465-0.33%0.927032+5.90%0.0227✓0.8352k2022-09-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.635913-0.33%0.659+3.29%0.0634✓0.99178k2022-09-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.4453-0.32%1.545+6.55%0.0512✓1.1745k2022-09-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.770413-0.31%0.80804+4.55%0.0396✓0.87537k2022-09-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.87e-7-0.31%9.50e-7+6.74%0.0098✓0.7815k2022-09-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007407-0.31%0.00784+5.52%0.0553✓1.12389k2022-09-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.104031-0.31%0.114404+9.63%0.0112✗0.836.5M2022-09-09
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.044184-0.31%0.046222+4.29%0.0394✓0.8429k2022-09-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.1244-0.31%1.2042+6.76%0.0868✓1.554.5M2022-09-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.186426-0.31%0.2053+9.79%0.0097✗0.863.1M2022-09-09
FTTFTXEthereum26.0525.9704-0.31%27.21+4.45%0.0513✓0.976.8M2022-09-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.304368-0.30%0.313944+2.83%0.0788✓1.09514k2022-09-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.098999-0.30%0.1034+4.13%0.0306✓0.742,7842022-09-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.048154-0.30%0.0518+7.25%0.0285✓1.01620k2022-09-09
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003978-0.30%0.00416+4.26%0.0537✓0.98123k2022-09-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.8473-0.30%6.379+8.76%0.0004✓0.876.2M2022-09-09
METISMetisEthereum29.1329.0434-0.30%32.42+11.29%0.0736✓1.83186k2022-09-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.136228-0.29%0.14129+3.41%0.0841✓1.20167k2022-09-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.7578-0.29%1.845+4.65%0.0456✓0.94578k2022-09-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020665-0.29%0.02179+5.13%0.0279✓0.8113k2022-09-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.001331-0.29%0.001388+3.96%0.0383✓0.802.5M2022-09-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.034998-0.29%0.0376+7.12%0.0021✓0.736,2432022-09-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1126.0945-0.29%6.12+0.13%0.0503✓0.543.9M2022-09-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.27889-0.29%0.29001+3.69%0.0663✓1.0514k2022-09-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.41682-0.28%0.444+6.22%0.0421✓1.057,7812022-09-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.8921-0.28%10.69+7.76%0.0510✓1.28281k2022-09-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.067679-0.28%0.07205+6.16%0.0575✗0.05389k2022-09-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3897.3685-0.28%7.759+5.01%0.0539✓1.0510.0M2022-09-09
FLOWFlownative1.9561.9506-0.28%2.111+7.92%0.0593✓1.381.1M2022-09-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.157345-0.28%0.17041+8.00%0.1235✓2.022952022-09-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008836-0.27%0.00972+9.71%0.0212✗0.743.5M2022-09-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.2783-0.27%4.322+0.75%0.0247✓0.352.2M2022-09-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.297594-0.27%0.3091+3.59%0.0719✓1.0997k2022-09-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.467739-0.27%0.497+5.97%0.0641✓1.244,4682022-09-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728044-0.27%0.73+0.00%0.0311✓0.3453k2022-09-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.650255-0.27%0.685+5.06%0.0346✓0.86134k2022-09-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.954-0.27%4.9689+0.03%0.0068✓0.10115k2022-09-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.061636-0.27%0.064+3.56%0.0902✓1.27617k2022-09-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.00589-0.27%0.006215+5.24%0.0175✓0.712,0942022-09-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.096943-0.26%0.0985+1.34%0.0831✓0.99368k2022-09-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.816234-0.26%0.881+7.65%0.0285✓1.041.0M2022-09-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002721-0.25%0.002899+6.27%0.0295✓0.921.2M2022-09-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6808-0.25%1.685+0.00%0.0848✓0.8759k2022-09-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.262349-0.25%0.277+5.32%0.0223✓0.76581k2022-09-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.5288-0.25%4.61+1.54%0.0404✓0.581.3M2022-09-09
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.4916-0.25%16.88+8.69%0.0271✓1.1287k2022-09-09
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.78e-7-0.25%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0441✓0.801.8M2022-09-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.169923-0.24%0.17882+4.98%0.0490✓1.00268k2022-09-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8513.8162-0.24%14.71+6.21%0.0485✓1.11925k2022-09-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.314153-0.24%0.332+5.43%0.0584✓1.1387k2022-09-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0722.0672-0.23%2.192+5.79%0.0588✓1.1734k2022-09-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.130698-0.23%0.1374+4.89%0.0024✓0.523.2M2022-09-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.226278-0.23%0.2292+1.06%0.0702✓0.8366k2022-09-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.4633-0.23%7.1+9.60%0.0090✗0.854.4M2022-09-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.04428-0.23%0.04619+4.08%0.0327✓0.7514k2022-09-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000012202-0.23%0.00001292+5.64%0.0391✓0.96898k2022-09-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.27877-0.23%0.2922+4.58%0.0505✓0.972.7M2022-09-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.040882-0.22%0.042569+3.89%0.0106✓0.5125k2022-09-09
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.124622-0.22%0.1353+8.33%0.0242✓1.061.4M2022-09-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,632.12-0.22%1,719.21+5.10%0.0865✓1.38660.9M2022-09-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.6501-0.22%2.75+3.54%0.0519✓0.88671k2022-09-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.055378-0.22%0.0602+8.47%0.0090✓0.9280k2022-09-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.971984-0.22%1.0469+7.47%0.0214✗0.532.8M2022-09-09
ZECZcashZcash61.1360.9977-0.22%66.01+7.98%0.0405✓1.191.2M2022-09-09
DASHDashDash46.2846.1822-0.21%49.01+5.90%0.0411✓1.00338k2022-09-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.059775-0.21%0.0636+6.18%0.0216✓0.8382k2022-09-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.2779.2576-0.21%9.611+3.60%0.0595✓0.961.2M2022-09-09
KSMKusamaHydration50.2650.1561-0.21%52.65+4.76%0.0520✓1.00409k2022-09-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4171-0.21%1.43+0.70%0.0315✗-0.22124k2022-09-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.176338-0.20%0.1851+4.75%0.0883✓1.361,5202022-09-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9957.8753-0.20%61.15+5.45%0.0469✓1.0113.1M2022-09-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.325982-0.19%0.33379+2.20%0.0587✓0.82327k2022-09-09
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.378356-0.19%0.39753+4.87%0.0490✓0.9832k2022-09-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.892317-0.19%0.962+7.61%0.0543✓1.291.5M2022-09-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.9255-0.19%2.999+2.32%0.1285✓1.533.3M2022-09-09
SOLSolanaSolana33.6233.5597-0.18%34.69+3.18%0.0810✓1.1461.7M2022-09-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.341987-0.18%0.3721+8.61%0.0226✓1.0671k2022-09-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.060872-0.17%0.063921+4.83%0.0591✓1.071.3M2022-09-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.020865-0.17%0.02351+12.49%0.0402✗0.799.2M2022-09-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.8399-0.17%2.01+9.06%0.0815✓1.6965k2022-09-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2753.183-0.16%55.512+4.21%0.0369✓0.79287k2022-09-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012953-0.16%0.013248+2.11%0.0455✓0.68929k2022-09-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.198885-0.16%0.2125+6.68%0.0676✓1.33111k2022-09-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.024052-0.16%0.026+7.93%0.0522✓1.292,9142022-09-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.493-0.16%5.047+12.16%0.0177✓1.336.4M2022-09-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.528857-0.15%0.55787+5.32%0.0791✓1.3241k2022-09-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.070625-0.15%0.07407+4.72%0.0711✓1.1825k2022-09-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.913457-0.15%0.9795+7.07%0.0526✓1.22908k2022-09-09
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.061106-0.14%0.063383+3.58%0.0253✓0.62123k2022-09-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.398754-0.14%0.4513+13.02%0.0067✗1.1775k2022-09-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8719,296.38-0.13%21,364.50+10.57%0.0013✗1.00480.9M2022-09-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.853185-0.13%0.84654-0.91%0.1084✓1.0014k2022-09-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005663-0.12%0.00584+3.00%0.0345✓0.65951k2022-09-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.020858-0.10%0.02126+1.82%0.0604✓0.79241k2022-09-09
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.7952-0.10%5.02+4.58%0.0392✓0.85943k2022-09-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1736.1673-0.09%6.51+5.46%0.0788✓1.326.9M2022-09-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.65273-0.09%0.7844+20.07%0.0431✗1.40210k2022-09-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.642445-0.09%0.691+7.47%0.0442✓1.163.9M2022-09-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001462-0.08%0.001551+6.02%0.0194✓0.78397k2022-09-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.204039-0.08%0.2145+5.04%0.0818✓1.31139k2022-09-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.4139-0.08%1.485+4.95%0.0684✓1.1771k2022-09-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011665-0.04%0.01236+5.91%0.0080✓0.66228k2022-09-09
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2988.2556-0.04%91.14+3.23%0.1228✓1.546.0M2022-09-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1419.1345-0.03%20.4+6.58%0.0637✓1.2719.2M2022-09-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1019,289.80-0.03%21,371.80+10.76%0.0085✗0.9412k2022-09-09
GTGateEthereum4.04594.0451-0.02%4.3137+6.62%0.0140✓0.78724k2022-09-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.060442+0.02%0.06971+15.36%0.0325✓1.101.5M2022-09-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.051712+0.02%0.0531+2.71%0.0826✗1.09234k2022-09-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8405+0.03%1.85+0.54%0.0427✗0.4868k2022-09-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.14018+0.34%0.1358-2.79%0.0362✗0.0490k2022-09-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.915.9677+0.43%17.28+8.68%0.0006✓0.791.6M2022-09-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.