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2022-09-05 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2368
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.8%
in alpha space · 48.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3118.478+0.92%15.93-13.00%0.1113✗0.711.7M2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.163786+0.61%0.1539-5.47%0.0608✗0.0393k2022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.00714.0273+0.50%3.9648-1.06%0.0252✓0.79748k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.056131+0.41%0.0592+5.90%0.0989✓0.8885k2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.375636+0.41%0.431+15.21%0.2031✓1.26202k2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.791933+0.31%0.73689-6.66%0.0265✗0.87509k2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum91.391.5793+0.31%83.58-8.46%0.0111✗1.545.2M2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001568+0.27%0.001603+2.49%0.0702✓0.93413k2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.128227+0.26%0.1191-6.88%0.0196✗1.041.5M2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012752+0.25%0.01183-7.00%0.0413✗0.65220k2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.006004+0.24%0.00551-8.01%0.0530✗0.63951k2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.094119+0.23%0.0892-5.01%0.0034✗0.97372k2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.072778+0.23%0.06801-6.34%0.0068✗1.1725k2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9743+0.22%1.96-0.51%0.0191✓0.5168k2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,831.89+0.19%18,790.91-5.07%0.0019✗1.00480.9M2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.4677+0.18%1.395-4.78%0.0103✓1.1779k2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.959451+0.18%0.8793-8.19%0.0240✗1.22865k2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.271477+0.18%0.25-7.75%0.0434✗0.75597k2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.013148+0.17%0.012145-7.47%0.0456✗0.65929k2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.04155+0.16%0.040185-3.13%0.0070✗0.5125k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.663055+0.16%0.608-8.16%0.0359✗0.98187k2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana32.1832.2308+0.16%30.87-4.07%0.0162✓1.1461.7M2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.69358+0.16%0.6322-8.71%0.0200✗1.40210k2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002939+0.15%0.002767-5.72%0.0126✗0.921.2M2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.286365+0.15%0.26857-6.07%0.0095✗1.0513k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero157.52157.7583+0.15%144.79-8.08%0.0318✗1.041.4M2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.341153+0.15%0.31421-7.76%0.0309✗0.9937k2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.21+0.14%0.1963-6.39%0.0156✗1.0058k2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.020682+0.14%0.019706-4.59%0.0062✗0.8112k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.305034+0.14%0.2855-6.27%0.0196✗0.905.8M2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.043779+0.14%0.041181-5.80%0.0173✗0.8427k2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.102641+0.14%0.0961-6.24%0.0280✗0.732,7842022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6923+0.13%1.597-5.50%0.0097✗0.93540k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.036746+0.13%0.0358-2.45%0.0142✓0.776,8072022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.856863+0.12%0.80255-6.22%0.0131✗1.0113k2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.062576+0.12%0.0605-3.20%0.0330✓1.28713k2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.233979+0.12%0.2418+3.47%0.0796✓0.9066k2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.021365+0.12%0.01917-10.17%0.0688✗0.769.8M2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0053.0085+0.12%2.791-7.12%0.0047✓1.533.5M2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.04425+0.11%0.04195-5.09%0.0151✗0.7414k2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.057164+0.11%0.0558-2.28%0.0248✓0.9490k2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.307335+0.11%0.3016-1.76%0.0418✓1.17105k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3648.4127+0.11%45.35-6.22%0.0009✓1.278,9662022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.063004+0.11%0.060766-3.45%0.0041✗0.62123k2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.044646+0.10%0.0433-2.91%0.0205✓0.98132k2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.156353+0.10%0.1524-2.43%0.0286✓1.041,4472022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.53880.539322+0.10%0.5213-3.25%0.0094✓0.83924k2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.123018+0.10%0.116-5.61%0.0044✗1.0425k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1711+0.09%1.103-5.73%0.0093✗0.971.2M2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.237523+0.09%0.2232-5.94%0.0125✗0.9681k2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.006026+0.09%0.005724-4.92%0.0151✗0.702,1662022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.555966+0.09%0.5036-9.34%0.0303✗1.3239k2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.582+0.09%5.829-11.36%0.0535✗1.317.2M2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum93.1493.2235+0.09%90.03-3.34%0.0097✓0.863.4M2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.05585+0.09%0.052-6.81%0.0130✗1.12220k2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.380846+0.09%0.36615-3.78%0.0117✓0.9833k2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.036731+0.08%0.0348-5.18%0.0059✗0.9266k2022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.979221+0.08%0.938-4.13%0.0171✗0.503.0M2022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.104084+0.08%0.0977-6.06%0.0069✗1.082.8M2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.36810.368382+0.08%0.3401-7.61%0.0196✗1.16348k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.282411+0.07%0.2593-8.11%0.0358✗0.952.8M2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003090.003092+0.07%0.00295-4.53%0.0061✓1.02481k2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.314714+0.07%0.296-5.88%0.0044✗1.0999k2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum26.6226.637+0.06%25.64-3.68%0.0123✓0.976.8M2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.7528+0.06%4.301-9.45%0.0301✗1.346.8M2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7153.7404+0.06%49.549-7.75%0.0419✗0.76302k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.04441.045+0.06%0.977259-6.43%0.0225✗0.8639k2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.06273+0.06%0.058897-6.06%0.0073✗1.071.3M2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.487262+0.05%0.439-9.86%0.0410✗1.223,8602022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.105126+0.05%0.099872-4.95%0.0081✗0.836.7M2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.209099+0.05%0.2009-3.88%0.0297✓1.34142k2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.472422+0.05%0.4434-6.10%0.0036✗1.15384k2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001469+0.05%0.001469+0.07%0.0360✓0.697,6332022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.3076+0.05%1.182-9.56%0.0392✗1.19429k2022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.3095+0.05%2.136-7.47%0.0191✗1.1313k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration51.3351.3526+0.04%45.56-11.24%0.0685✗0.98442k2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum30.5330.543+0.04%28.84-5.54%0.0403✓1.88219k2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash63.4163.4368+0.04%57.93-8.64%0.0303✗1.161.3M2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000012615+0.04%0.00001199-4.92%0.0009✗0.96861k2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.138496+0.04%0.13097-5.40%0.0071✓1.21175k2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.537.5327+0.04%6.8-9.69%0.0454✗1.09290k2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative1.9191.9197+0.04%1.772-7.66%0.0091✗1.361.3M2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.430942+0.03%0.3885-9.82%0.0440✗1.1585k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.9315+0.03%4.52-8.32%0.0424✗0.861.2M2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,872.23+0.03%18,917.90-4.77%0.0005✗0.9413k2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.9729+0.03%2.889-2.79%0.0011✗0.53653k2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.139837+0.03%0.1307-6.51%0.0122✗1.06409k2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.22204+0.02%0.2072-6.67%0.0206✗0.93468k2022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4419.4434+0.02%18.21-6.33%0.0009✓1.2819.6M2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3660.3695+0.02%54.12-10.34%0.0576✗0.9912.8M2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,618.25+0.01%1,559.28-3.63%0.0353✓1.39628.3M2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.7223+0.01%2.544-6.54%0.0217✗0.88682k2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.353818+0.01%0.31667-10.49%0.0693✗0.80332k2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.8665+0.01%1.6996-8.93%0.0369✗1.0925k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.7204+0.01%4.37-7.42%0.0490✗0.541.3M2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.522044+0.01%0.475-9.00%0.0390✗1.0763k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.00891+0.00%0.00852-4.38%0.0061✗0.744.1M2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.90e-7+0.00%8.70e-7-2.25%0.0186✓0.7915k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.219.2101+0.00%8.6-6.62%0.0428✗0.502.1M2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.355004+0.00%0.3263-8.08%0.0295✗1.0573k2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05145.0515+0.00%5.1426+1.81%0.0232✓0.10115k2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.7339-0.00%6.22-7.63%0.0358✓0.844.4M2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3217.3191-0.01%16.78-3.12%0.0041✗0.69454k2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.847199-0.01%0.7744-8.60%0.0361✓1.031.3M2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.9158-0.01%1.774-7.41%0.0111✗1.6972k2022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.4498-0.01%1.47+1.38%0.0078✗-0.12128k2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3827.3809-0.02%6.659-9.79%0.0482✓1.0518.0M2022-09-06
DASHDashDash47.5947.5817-0.02%42.68-10.32%0.0580✓0.97419k2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.1525-0.02%1.0359-10.13%0.0271✓1.534.4M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.144766-0.02%0.1322-8.70%0.0380✓1.0199k2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase16.116.096-0.02%14.54-9.69%0.0438✓1.1193k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative9.4149.4116-0.03%9.033-4.05%0.0091✗0.961.2M2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.662831-0.03%0.624-5.88%0.0155✓0.86183k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.144662-0.03%0.1271-12.16%0.1027✓0.513.4M2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5726-0.03%1.457-7.37%0.0148✓1.1851k2022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.498545-0.03%0.4626-7.24%0.0266✓0.9339.1M2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.90e-7-0.03%8.70e-7-2.25%0.0197✗0.811.7M2022-09-06
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.204536-0.03%0.1894-7.43%0.0087✓1.31111k2022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.037408-0.03%0.03561-4.84%0.0066✓0.822,5882022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.049584-0.03%0.0453-8.67%0.0382✓1.00739k2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.298588-0.03%0.272462-8.78%0.0352✓1.08514k2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.675712-0.04%0.614-9.17%0.0321✓1.223.9M2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.025099-0.05%0.02333-7.09%0.0067✓1.283,2982022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.337743-0.05%0.3-11.22%0.0711✓0.916202022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.081762-0.05%0.0785-4.03%0.0085✗0.9510k2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006347-0.05%0.006199-2.38%0.0005✓0.4441k2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.187103-0.05%0.1824-2.56%0.0461✗1.382,0092022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.3466-0.05%2.9851-10.85%0.0618✓1.0118k2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.532697-0.06%0.482-9.57%0.0406✓1.1476k2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.05077-0.06%0.0473-6.89%0.0229✓0.92190k2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1172.1157-0.06%1.947-8.03%0.0231✓1.1538k2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.10393-0.07%0.1014-2.50%0.0202✗0.86169k2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.897924-0.07%0.84826-5.60%0.0133✓0.8454k2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.2389-0.07%1.1464-7.53%0.0147✓1.21973k2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75125.6568-0.07%112.17-10.80%0.0538✓1.154.2M2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.7918-0.08%9.48-12.22%0.0650✓1.24277k2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.825043-0.08%0.8135-1.48%0.0637✗1.50105k2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.063962-0.09%0.05773-9.83%0.0461✓1.081.8M2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.518826-0.09%0.5082-2.14%0.0192✗0.77496k2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.5446-0.09%1.433-7.31%0.0165✓1.12252k2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.17283-0.10%0.15955-7.77%0.0290✓0.98268k2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.157837-0.10%0.15332-2.96%0.0764✗2.033162022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.8919-0.10%12.1746-5.66%0.0057✓0.9930k2022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004015-0.11%0.00379-5.72%0.0064✓0.99127k2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3684-0.11%1.23-10.22%0.0589✓0.9283k2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007841-0.11%0.00747-4.84%0.0105✗1.13406k2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3616.3533-0.12%5.919-6.95%0.0477✓0.444.4M2022-09-06
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.010503-0.12%0.009954-5.34%0.0017✓1.004902022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.3071-0.13%2.26-2.16%0.0190✗0.76262k2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.7497-0.13%1.727-1.43%0.0341✗0.9195k2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3687.3585-0.13%6.874-6.70%0.0137✓1.0510.0M2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.3369-0.13%2.1-10.26%0.0465✓1.16217k2022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.349532-0.13%0.33208-5.12%0.0016✓0.95392k2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.2605-0.14%13.11-8.19%0.0269✓1.101.1M2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.075723-0.14%0.07402-2.39%0.0199✓0.06389k2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.6659-0.15%1.6782+0.59%0.0583✗0.981.1M2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.1972-0.15%1.095-8.67%0.0016✓1.682.9M2022-09-06
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,475.04-0.15%1,420.83-3.82%0.0146✗1.003.2M2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.508-0.15%14.19-2.34%0.0316✗1.031.6M2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63312.6124-0.16%11.775-6.79%0.0100✓1.1312.5M2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0561.0542-0.17%0.94-10.98%0.0957✓0.362.9M2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.3024-0.18%3.962-8.07%0.0579✓0.472.3M2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.6898-0.18%5.2-8.77%0.0664✓0.452.3M2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.067897-0.18%0.06355-6.57%0.0189✓0.916062022-09-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.02231-0.18%0.02171-2.86%0.0153✗0.82459k2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000043720.000043632-0.20%0.00004054-7.27%0.0297✓0.841.9M2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.720.718533-0.20%0.71-1.39%0.0054✗0.3363k2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.619,474.17-0.20%8,612.34-9.28%0.0224✓1.405.2M2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.1352-0.21%1.0186-10.45%0.0618✓0.891.1M2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0441.0417-0.22%0.907-13.12%0.0726✓1.271.5M2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.4899-0.25%4.174-7.27%0.0604✓0.242.3M2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1416.1257-0.25%5.599-8.83%0.0455✓0.857.2M2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.6228-0.26%6.09-8.28%0.0598✓0.462.2M2022-09-06
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.017565-0.26%0.01586-9.94%0.0501✓1.00492022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.025481-0.27%0.025115-1.70%0.0084✓0.12386k2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.7011-0.28%6.26-6.85%0.0433✓0.482.1M2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001327-0.29%0.001265-4.89%0.0055✓0.802.4M2022-09-06
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.7849-0.31%4.3813-8.72%0.0250✗2.17141k2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.035481-0.39%0.03333-6.43%0.0098✓1.0151k2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.206353-0.46%0.185-10.76%0.0655✓0.843.1M2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0754.0543-0.51%3.885-4.66%0.0080✗0.97259k2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.129585-0.55%0.1124-13.74%0.1060✓0.70203k2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.9163-0.72%4.417-10.80%0.0762✓0.595.6M2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6739.2836-0.97%34.44-13.18%0.0526✓1.529.5M2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20897.136-1.01%6.6193-8.18%0.0634✓0.236.9M2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37817.2887-1.21%7.2344-1.95%0.0108✓0.357.7M2022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-78.43e-7-1.37%7.89e-7-7.66%0.0211✓0.861.8M2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00812.8167-1.47%11.915-8.40%0.0452✓0.5315.8M2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000381595-5.76%0.00037885-6.44%0.0318✓0.75679k2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.