8=======>

2022-09-05 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1902
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.5%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3118.3924+0.45%15.93-13.00%0.1067✗0.711.7M2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.163036+0.15%0.1539-5.47%0.0563✗0.0393k2022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.00714.0074+0.01%3.9648-1.06%0.0302✓0.79748k2022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4419.4408+0.00%18.21-6.33%0.0010✓1.2819.6M2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,867.03+0.00%18,917.90-4.77%0.0002✗0.9413k2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.064021+0.00%0.05773-9.83%0.0470✗1.081.8M2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9697-0.02%1.96-0.51%0.0215✗0.5168k2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.486875-0.03%0.439-9.86%0.0402✓1.223,8602022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.055783-0.03%0.052-6.81%0.0118✓1.12220k2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.306814-0.06%0.3016-1.76%0.0435✗1.17105k2022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum91.391.2348-0.07%83.58-8.46%0.0073✓1.545.2M2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.093829-0.08%0.0892-5.01%0.0003✓0.97372k2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.055857-0.08%0.0592+5.90%0.1038✗0.8885k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.9255-0.09%4.52-8.32%0.0412✓0.861.2M2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012708-0.09%0.01183-7.00%0.0379✓0.65220k2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana32.1832.1494-0.10%30.87-4.07%0.0187✗1.1461.7M2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.854999-0.10%0.80255-6.22%0.0110✓1.0113k2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.013112-0.10%0.012145-7.47%0.0428✓0.65929k2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.4635-0.10%1.395-4.78%0.0132✗1.1779k2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.005983-0.11%0.00551-8.01%0.0495✓0.63951k2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.233435-0.11%0.2418+3.47%0.0819✗0.9066k2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.209459-0.11%0.1963-6.39%0.0131✓1.0058k2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.688-0.12%1.597-5.50%0.0072✓0.93540k2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.675207-0.12%0.614-9.17%0.0313✓1.223.9M2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.298334-0.12%0.272462-8.78%0.0344✓1.08514k2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.270673-0.12%0.25-7.75%0.0404✓0.75597k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.208747-0.12%0.2009-3.88%0.0314✗1.34142k2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.544-0.13%1.433-7.31%0.0162✓1.12252k2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.52133-0.13%0.475-9.00%0.0376✓1.0763k2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,768.76-0.13%18,790.91-5.07%0.0013✓1.00480.9M2022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.041426-0.14%0.040185-3.13%0.0040✓0.5125k2022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.9133-0.14%1.774-7.41%0.0124✗1.6972k2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.691481-0.15%0.6322-8.71%0.0170✓1.40210k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1682-0.15%1.103-5.73%0.0069✓0.971.2M2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7153.6279-0.15%49.549-7.75%0.0398✓0.76302k2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.7425-0.16%4.301-9.45%0.0279✓1.346.8M2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.02507-0.16%0.02333-7.09%0.0055✓1.283,2982022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.072494-0.16%0.06801-6.34%0.0029✓1.1725k2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.236913-0.16%0.2232-5.94%0.0099✓0.9681k2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.021305-0.17%0.01917-10.17%0.0659✓0.769.8M2022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.35441-0.17%0.3263-8.08%0.0278✓1.0573k2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.062832-0.17%0.060766-3.45%0.0014✓0.62123k2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.062588-0.17%0.058897-6.06%0.0051✓1.071.3M2022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.720.718764-0.17%0.71-1.39%0.0050✗0.3363k2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.956017-0.18%0.8793-8.19%0.0204✓1.22865k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.66083-0.18%0.608-8.16%0.0325✓0.98187k2022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.564-0.18%5.829-11.36%0.0507✓1.317.2M2022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.036632-0.18%0.0348-5.18%0.0032✓0.9266k2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.122671-0.19%0.116-5.61%0.0015✓1.0425k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.281673-0.19%0.2593-8.11%0.0332✓0.952.8M2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05145.0419-0.19%5.1426+1.81%0.0251✗0.10115k2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.379798-0.19%0.36615-3.78%0.0145✗0.9833k2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.537.5154-0.19%6.8-9.69%0.0431✓1.09290k2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.062378-0.20%0.0605-3.20%0.0362✗1.28713k2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative1.9191.9152-0.20%1.772-7.66%0.0068✓1.361.3M2022-09-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.022305-0.20%0.02171-2.86%0.0155✗0.82459k2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.896743-0.20%0.84826-5.60%0.0120✓0.8454k2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.88e-7-0.20%8.70e-7-2.25%0.0206✗0.7915k2022-09-06
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.204177-0.21%0.1894-7.43%0.0069✓1.31111k2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001561-0.21%0.001603+2.49%0.0750✗0.93413k2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.127629-0.21%0.1191-6.88%0.0149✓1.041.5M2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.044105-0.21%0.04195-5.09%0.0118✓0.7414k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.03662-0.22%0.0358-2.45%0.0176✗0.776,8072022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.429856-0.22%0.3885-9.82%0.0414✓1.1585k2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.716-0.22%2.544-6.54%0.0194✓0.88682k2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.9984-0.22%2.791-7.12%0.0081✗1.533.5M2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,614.44-0.22%1,559.28-3.63%0.0377✗1.39628.3M2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.020607-0.22%0.019706-4.59%0.0025✓0.8112k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative9.4149.393-0.22%9.033-4.05%0.0111✗0.961.2M2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.221496-0.23%0.2072-6.67%0.0181✓0.93468k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3648.2493-0.23%45.35-6.22%0.0043✗1.278,9662022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.976158-0.23%0.938-4.13%0.0140✓0.503.0M2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.845346-0.23%0.7744-8.60%0.0339✓1.031.3M2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001327-0.23%0.001265-4.89%0.0060✓0.802.4M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.144462-0.23%0.1322-8.70%0.0359✓1.0199k2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.88e-7-0.23%8.70e-7-2.25%0.0217✗0.811.7M2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.53880.537537-0.23%0.5213-3.25%0.0127✗0.83924k2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.787649-0.23%0.73689-6.66%0.0211✓0.87509k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3660.2177-0.24%54.12-10.34%0.0551✓0.9912.8M2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash63.4163.2589-0.24%57.93-8.64%0.0275✓1.161.3M2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3687.3503-0.24%6.874-6.70%0.0126✓1.0510.0M2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.471046-0.24%0.4434-6.10%0.0006✓1.15384k2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum93.1492.9116-0.25%90.03-3.34%0.0130✗0.863.4M2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.8736-0.25%12.1746-5.66%0.0042✓0.9930k2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.17257-0.25%0.15955-7.77%0.0275✓0.98268k2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum26.6226.5537-0.25%25.64-3.68%0.0155✗0.976.8M2022-09-06
DASHDashDash47.5947.4704-0.25%42.68-10.32%0.0557✓0.97419k2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.186721-0.26%0.1824-2.56%0.0482✗1.382,0092022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.661272-0.26%0.624-5.88%0.0132✓0.86183k2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3664-0.26%1.23-10.22%0.0574✓0.9283k2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.36810.367137-0.26%0.3401-7.61%0.0162✓1.16348k2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000012577-0.26%0.00001199-4.92%0.0022✓0.96861k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.3038-0.26%0.2855-6.27%0.0155✓0.905.8M2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.553983-0.27%0.5036-9.34%0.0267✓1.3239k2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5688-0.27%1.457-7.37%0.0124✓1.1851k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.04441.0416-0.27%0.977259-6.43%0.0193✓0.8639k2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.043601-0.27%0.041181-5.80%0.0132✓0.8427k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration51.3351.1917-0.27%45.56-11.24%0.0653✓0.98442k2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.056946-0.27%0.0558-2.28%0.0287✗0.9490k2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002927-0.27%0.002767-5.72%0.0084✓0.921.2M2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.081577-0.27%0.0785-4.03%0.0107✗0.9510k2022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.103716-0.27%0.0977-6.06%0.0034✓1.082.8M2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.7471-0.28%1.727-1.43%0.0356✗0.9195k2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.104777-0.28%0.099872-4.95%0.0048✓0.836.7M2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.339675-0.28%0.31421-7.76%0.0266✓0.9937k2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.067827-0.28%0.06355-6.57%0.0178✓0.916062022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.037313-0.28%0.03561-4.84%0.0041✓0.822,5882022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.102207-0.29%0.0961-6.24%0.0237✓0.732,7842022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.4458-0.29%1.47+1.38%0.0105✗-0.12128k2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.157543-0.29%0.15332-2.96%0.0783✗2.033162022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.348979-0.29%0.33208-5.12%0.0000✓0.95392k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008884-0.29%0.00852-4.38%0.0031✓0.744.1M2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.050651-0.29%0.0473-6.89%0.0205✓0.92190k2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003090.003081-0.30%0.00295-4.53%0.0098✗1.02481k2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.303-0.30%2.26-2.16%0.0207✗0.76262k2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.04945-0.30%0.0453-8.67%0.0355✓1.00739k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.7057-0.30%4.37-7.42%0.0459✓0.541.3M2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006331-0.30%0.006199-2.38%0.0021✓0.4441k2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.138016-0.31%0.13097-5.40%0.0106✗1.21175k2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.303-0.31%1.182-9.56%0.0357✓1.19429k2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.285051-0.31%0.26857-6.07%0.0049✓1.0513k2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0441.0408-0.31%0.907-13.12%0.0717✓1.271.5M2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1172.1104-0.31%1.947-8.03%0.0206✓1.1538k2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.044461-0.31%0.0433-2.91%0.0247✗0.98132k2022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.8604-0.32%1.6996-8.93%0.0336✓1.0925k2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.075587-0.32%0.07402-2.39%0.0181✓0.06389k2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.1489-0.33%1.0359-10.13%0.0240✓1.534.4M2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.352624-0.33%0.31667-10.49%0.0659✓0.80332k2022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004007-0.33%0.00379-5.72%0.0042✓0.99127k2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.1337-0.33%1.0186-10.45%0.0605✓0.891.1M2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.531219-0.33%0.482-9.57%0.0378✓1.1476k2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.3372-0.33%2.9851-10.85%0.0589✓1.0118k2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.006-0.34%0.005724-4.92%0.0108✓0.702,1662022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.2317-0.34%13.11-8.19%0.0249✓1.101.1M2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase16.116.0452-0.34%14.54-9.69%0.0407✓1.1193k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero157.52156.9804-0.34%144.79-8.08%0.0269✓1.041.4M2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.6626-0.35%1.6782+0.59%0.0603✗0.981.1M2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007823-0.35%0.00747-4.84%0.0128✗1.13406k2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.7624-0.35%9.48-12.22%0.0622✓1.24277k2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.7106-0.35%6.22-7.63%0.0323✓0.844.4M2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.4853-0.35%4.174-7.27%0.0594✓0.242.3M2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75125.2995-0.36%112.17-10.80%0.0510✓1.154.2M2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.822703-0.36%0.8135-1.48%0.0666✗1.50105k2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1416.1184-0.37%5.599-8.83%0.0443✓0.857.2M2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.3313-0.37%2.1-10.26%0.0442✓1.16217k2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3217.2557-0.37%16.78-3.12%0.0077✗0.69454k2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum30.5330.4132-0.38%28.84-5.54%0.0445✗1.88219k2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3616.3363-0.39%5.919-6.95%0.0451✓0.444.4M2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.139252-0.39%0.1307-6.51%0.0080✓1.06409k2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.372625-0.39%0.431+15.21%0.2111✗1.26202k2022-09-06
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.010474-0.40%0.009954-5.34%0.0011✓1.004902022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.496698-0.40%0.4626-7.24%0.0229✓0.9339.1M2022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.155571-0.40%0.1524-2.43%0.0336✗1.041,4472022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.619,454.29-0.41%8,612.34-9.28%0.0203✓1.405.2M2022-09-06
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,471.14-0.42%1,420.83-3.82%0.0172✗1.003.2M2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.103567-0.42%0.1014-2.50%0.0237✗0.86169k2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.6119-0.42%6.09-8.28%0.0581✓0.462.2M2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.313155-0.43%0.296-5.88%0.0006✓1.0999k2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001462-0.43%0.001469+0.07%0.0407✗0.697,6332022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.2984-0.43%2.136-7.47%0.0143✓1.1313k2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63312.5767-0.45%11.775-6.79%0.0072✓1.1312.5M2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.2906-0.45%3.962-8.07%0.0551✓0.472.3M2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3827.3485-0.45%6.659-9.79%0.0438✓1.0518.0M2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.516917-0.46%0.5082-2.14%0.0229✗0.77496k2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.4625-0.46%14.19-2.34%0.0347✗1.031.6M2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.14402-0.47%0.1271-12.16%0.0982✓0.513.4M2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.6882-0.47%6.26-6.85%0.0414✓0.482.1M2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000043720.000043513-0.47%0.00004054-7.27%0.0270✓0.841.9M2022-09-06
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.7768-0.48%4.3813-8.72%0.0267✗2.17141k2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.1932-0.48%1.095-8.67%0.0018✓1.682.9M2022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.336187-0.51%0.3-11.22%0.0664✓0.916202022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.2334-0.52%1.1464-7.53%0.0102✓1.21973k2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.035435-0.52%0.03333-6.43%0.0085✓1.0151k2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.20622-0.52%0.185-10.76%0.0648✓0.843.1M2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.9562-0.53%2.889-2.79%0.0046✓0.53653k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.219.1586-0.56%8.6-6.62%0.0372✓0.502.1M2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.668-0.56%5.2-8.77%0.0626✓0.452.3M2022-09-06
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.017511-0.57%0.01586-9.94%0.0470✓1.00492022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.0254-0.58%0.025115-1.70%0.0053✓0.12386k2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.1295-0.61%0.1124-13.74%0.1054✓0.70203k2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0754.0489-0.64%3.885-4.66%0.0093✗0.97259k2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0561.0486-0.70%0.94-10.98%0.0904✓0.362.9M2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20897.1497-0.82%6.6193-8.18%0.0653✓0.236.9M2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37817.3071-0.96%7.2344-1.95%0.0083✓0.357.7M2022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-78.46e-7-1.06%7.89e-7-7.66%0.0242✓0.861.8M2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00812.8689-1.07%11.915-8.40%0.0493✓0.5315.8M2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.8925-1.20%4.417-10.80%0.0713✓0.595.6M2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6739.1393-1.34%34.44-13.18%0.0489✓1.529.5M2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000379748-6.22%0.00037885-6.44%0.0366✓0.75679k2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.