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2022-09-04 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1515
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.3%
in alpha space · 65.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000248498-2.08%0.00040493+59.57%0.4965✗0.78640k2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-79.13e-7-1.25%8.55e-7-7.51%0.0563✓0.861.7M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53913.3837-1.15%13.008-3.92%0.0229✓0.5315.8M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0383.0066-1.04%2.972-2.17%0.0060✓0.53650k2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.3729-0.93%7.3781-0.86%0.0044✓0.357.6M2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.6347-0.77%4.9518+6.02%0.0725✗0.604.7M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.9684-0.70%7.2089+2.72%0.0363✗0.236.5M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001509-0.70%0.001468-3.42%0.0205✓0.698,3412022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.421081-0.69%–pending––1.048,1172022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.145247-0.65%0.1398-4.38%0.0270✓1.06409k2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0534.0271-0.64%4.075+0.54%0.0221✗0.97259k2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.035623-0.63%0.03562-0.64%0.0106✗1.0151k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.6234-0.59%6.361-4.53%0.0358✓0.444.4M2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.766-0.59%5.7-1.72%0.0067✓0.452.3M2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.025525-0.58%0.025549-0.49%0.0022✓0.12315k2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.269.2065-0.58%9.21-0.54%0.0056✓0.502.0M2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.212177-0.57%0.2073-2.86%0.0144✓0.843.1M2022-09-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13625.1069-0.57%4.7997-6.55%0.0515✓1.00141k2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.3592-0.55%16.1-2.13%0.0042✓1.11107k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.7751-0.51%6.72-1.32%0.0031✓0.482.1M2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.3047-0.51%2.3084-0.35%0.0136✗1.1313k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3879-0.50%4.31-2.27%0.0129✓0.472.3M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000044098-0.50%0.00004372-1.35%0.0002✓0.841.8M2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.9822-0.49%12.633-3.17%0.0154✓1.1312.3M2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.120708-0.49%0.1303+7.42%0.0839✗0.70208k2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.9007-0.48%1.8663-2.28%0.0068✓1.0927k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.501098-0.48%0.4987-0.95%0.0050✗0.9339.1M2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.977385-0.47%1.056+7.54%0.0812✗0.372.9M2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005952-0.47%0.00602+0.68%0.0188✗0.702,1662022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.6993-0.46%6.64-1.34%0.0040✓0.462.2M2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2656.2368-0.45%6.141-1.98%0.0065✓0.857.6M2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1687-0.45%1.199+2.13%0.0434✗1.693.0M2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.844752-0.44%0.8257-2.69%0.0070✓1.49116k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.577-0.43%4.501-2.09%0.0142✓0.242.4M2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.359209-0.43%0.35378-1.94%0.0068✓0.80332k2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4837-0.42%1.45-2.68%0.0244✓-0.13128k2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.499,397.46-0.42%9,493.61+0.59%0.0250✗1.405.6M2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.314383-0.42%0.3145-0.38%0.0119✗1.0999k2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.5003-0.41%14.28-1.92%0.0037✓1.101.0M2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.102478-0.41%0.1025-0.39%0.0079✗0.732,7842022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.102886-0.40%0.104+0.68%0.0199✗0.86150k2022-09-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,437.03-0.40%1,477.28+2.39%0.0382✗1.003.3M2022-09-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010824-0.39%0.010516-3.22%0.0183✓1.005602022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.311544-0.37%0.3046-2.59%0.0131✓0.905.8M2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007901-0.37%0.00785-1.01%0.0055✗1.13428k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1557.1291-0.36%7.382+3.17%0.0460✗1.0517.4M2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.8626-0.36%4.72-3.28%0.0241✓0.541.3M2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.355733-0.35%0.3741+4.79%0.0637✗1.26194k2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6805-0.35%1.6684-1.07%0.0031✓0.981.1M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146113.1001-0.35%12.9054-1.83%0.0045✓0.9932k2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.302-0.35%2.31+0.00%0.0115✗0.76262k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012796-0.34%0.00001261-1.79%0.0045✓0.96861k2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6728-0.34%14.53+5.90%0.0718✗1.041.7M2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.347948-0.34%0.34064-2.44%0.0108✓0.9940k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.077874-0.34%0.07583-2.96%0.0261✓0.05397k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.057506-0.34%0.0571-1.04%0.0029✓0.9497k2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0553-0.33%1.0444-1.36%0.0013✓0.8641k2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004007-0.33%0.00402+0.00%0.0137✗0.99127k2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3917.3327-0.33%17.32-0.40%0.0065✗0.69503k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.552066-0.33%0.55546+0.28%0.0201✗1.3239k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.003110.0031-0.33%0.00309-0.64%0.0076✗1.02486k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.037617-0.33%0.03742-0.85%0.0034✗0.822,6312022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero155.77155.2666-0.32%157.52+1.12%0.0254✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.532287-0.32%0.533-0.19%0.0134✗1.1476k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.6646-0.32%6.734+0.72%0.0192✗0.844.4M2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.3026-0.32%2.34+1.30%0.0284✗1.16217k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.352692-0.32%0.35-1.08%0.0024✓0.95392k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.1142-0.32%2.117-0.19%0.0135✗1.1538k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.2265-0.32%3.3484+3.45%0.0478✗1.0119k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.366238-0.32%0.355-3.38%0.0200✓1.0575k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.082539-0.32%0.0818-1.21%0.0010✓0.9410k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.044261-0.31%0.0446+0.45%0.0180✗0.98132k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.138088-0.31%0.13844-0.06%0.0153✗1.21183k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.050443-0.31%0.0496-1.98%0.0063✓1.00739k2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.051441-0.31%0.0508-1.55%0.0028✓0.92204k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.105997-0.31%0.10507-1.18%0.0000✓0.836.8M2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.1199-0.31%1.1375+1.26%0.0251✗0.891.1M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.804108-0.31%0.7895-2.12%0.0091✓0.87519k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.0418-0.30%1.044-0.10%0.0154✗1.271.5M2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.332-0.30%1.307-2.17%0.0064✓1.19449k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.5083-0.30%10.8+2.47%0.0405✗1.24277k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.670995-0.30%0.663-1.49%0.0029✓0.86199k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006436-0.29%0.00635-1.63%0.0088✓0.4444k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001558-0.29%0.001564+0.06%0.0134✗0.93413k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.502833-0.29%0.5193+2.97%0.0403✗0.77496k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.138198-0.29%0.1447+4.40%0.0514✗0.513.4M2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008895-0.28%0.00891-0.11%0.0096✗0.744.7M2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.288326-0.28%0.28593-1.11%0.0028✓1.0512k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.044009-0.28%0.043718-0.94%0.0023✓0.8429k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.7188-0.27%7.53-2.71%0.0132✓1.09317k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7572-0.27%1.752-0.57%0.0066✗0.91108k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.066898-0.27%0.06802+1.40%0.0262✗0.917702022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum95.2995.0341-0.27%93.14-2.26%0.0111✓0.863.5M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001336-0.27%0.00133-0.65%0.0046✗0.802.4M2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.242-0.27%5.0514-3.89%0.0360✓0.10115k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5688-0.27%1.573+0.00%0.0152✗1.1856k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.104223-0.26%0.104-0.48%0.0093✗1.082.8M2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.433755-0.26%0.4308-0.94%0.0053✗1.1591k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.7716-0.26%60.36-0.94%0.0037✗0.9912.7M2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum30.1130.0319-0.26%30.53+1.39%0.0363✗1.88241k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.154778-0.26%0.158+1.82%0.0420✗2.033442022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash63.863.6347-0.26%63.41-0.61%0.0087✗1.161.3M2022-09-05
DASHDashDash47.5947.4697-0.25%47.59+0.00%0.0128✗0.98419k2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3466-0.25%1.37+1.48%0.0269✗0.9295k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.7643-0.24%2.722-1.77%0.0061✓0.88682k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.290096-0.24%0.2822-2.96%0.0175✓0.952.8M2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.468364-0.24%0.4722+0.58%0.0203✗1.15384k2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.54390.54259-0.24%0.5388-0.94%0.0018✓0.83953k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.426.3366-0.24%26.62+0.83%0.0210✗0.976.8M2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.06235-0.24%0.0625+0.00%0.0160✗1.28713k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0899-0.24%1.1527+5.51%0.0722✗1.534.4M2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.044704-0.24%0.0442-1.36%0.0036✓0.7415k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1555-0.23%1.2398+7.05%0.0832✗1.21949k2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4632.3863-0.23%39.67+22.21%0.2190✗1.539.5M2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration50.6150.4959-0.23%51.33+1.42%0.0268✗0.99459k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.130.129707-0.23%0.1279-1.62%0.0030✓1.041.5M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.15196-0.22%0.1562+2.56%0.0386✗1.051,4472022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.705522-0.22%0.6925-2.06%0.0039✓1.40210k2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4748.3619-0.22%48.36-0.23%0.0134✗1.279,0502022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.03642-0.22%0.0367+0.55%0.0174✗0.9266k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.97645-0.22%0.9784-0.02%0.0073✗0.503.1M2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.224612-0.22%0.222-1.38%0.0018✓0.94468k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative1.951.9458-0.22%1.919-1.59%0.0005✓1.361.3M2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073601-0.22%0.07261-1.56%0.0012✓1.1725k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.3737-0.22%9.414+0.21%0.0145✗0.971.2M2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.02067-0.21%0.020653-0.29%0.0078✗0.8112k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.843491-0.21%0.8473+0.24%0.0154✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.143394-0.21%0.1448+0.77%0.0205✗1.0199k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.177821-0.21%0.1872+5.05%0.0660✗1.382,0092022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.036323-0.21%0.0367+0.82%0.0185✗0.788,1752022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.669581-0.21%0.662-1.34%0.0011✓0.98196k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.022213-0.21%0.02235+0.40%0.0148✗0.82459k2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.898747-0.21%0.898557-0.23%0.0086✗0.8454k2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9749-0.21%3.005+0.81%0.0263✗1.533.6M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.122648-0.21%0.1229+0.00%0.0131✗1.0525k2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.88e-7-0.20%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0105✗0.8015k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063417-0.20%0.062937-0.96%0.0011✓0.62123k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021527-0.20%0.02134-1.07%0.0007✓0.769.8M2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.386017-0.19%0.38052-1.62%0.0040✓0.9834k2022-09-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.204205-0.19%0.2046+0.00%0.0158✗1.32111k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.063098-0.19%0.062695-0.83%0.0049✗1.071.3M2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002937-0.19%0.002935-0.27%0.0089✗0.921.1M2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9564-0.19%1.916-2.24%0.0030✓1.6974k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.239456-0.18%0.2373-1.08%0.0011✓0.9681k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.36780.367125-0.18%0.3681+0.08%0.0149✗1.16335k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.78e-7-0.18%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0217✗0.811.7M2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,576.17-0.18%1,618.01+2.47%0.0409✗1.39628.3M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.3617-0.18%7.368-0.09%0.0119✗1.0510.0M2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.970868-0.18%0.9577-1.53%0.0008✓1.22841k2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728723-0.17%0.72-1.37%0.0085✓0.3369k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.173698-0.17%0.173-0.57%0.0063✗0.98268k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5536-0.16%1.546-0.65%0.0070✗1.12253k2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7903-0.16%4.75-1.00%0.0057✗1.346.8M2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.685907-0.16%0.676-1.60%0.0017✓1.214.0M2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36118.1724-0.16%125.75+6.24%0.0743✗1.154.2M2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1643-0.15%1.17+0.34%0.0151✗0.971.3M2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7265-0.14%1.69-2.26%0.0116✓0.93540k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024985-0.14%0.02511+0.36%0.0185✗1.283,2982022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.042126-0.14%0.041483-1.66%0.0100✓0.5125k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,977.02-0.14%19,794.58-1.05%0.0014✗1.00480.9M2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.527288-0.13%0.522-1.14%0.0012✓1.0768k2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27353.2059-0.13%53.71+0.82%0.0174✗0.76302k2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4962-0.12%1.465-2.20%0.0087✓1.1784k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.006073-0.12%0.00599-1.48%0.0071✓0.63977k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.4806-0.11%6.576+1.36%0.0284✗1.316.9M2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.095698-0.11%0.0939-1.98%0.0088✓0.97375k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.268714-0.11%0.271+0.74%0.0164✗0.75627k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232263-0.10%0.2337+0.52%0.0157✗0.9067k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.868162-0.10%0.85582-1.52%0.0037✓1.0113k2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.21079-0.10%0.2097-0.62%0.0054✗1.0058k2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1732.1411-0.09%32.18+0.03%0.0133✗1.1461.7M2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.298741-0.09%0.298688-0.11%0.0113✗1.08514k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.01316-0.09%0.013125-0.36%0.0042✗0.65929k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012849-0.09%0.01272-1.09%0.0032✓0.65220k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.056953-0.08%0.0558-2.11%0.0086✓1.12220k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.499595-0.08%0.487-2.60%0.0127✓1.223,8602022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.312261-0.08%0.307-1.76%0.0047✓1.17111k2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.9064-0.07%4.93+0.41%0.0138✗0.851.3M2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.056164-0.06%0.0559-0.53%0.0046✗0.8891k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.204003-0.05%0.209+2.40%0.0384✗1.34140k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.8203-0.03%91.3+2.76%0.0439✗1.555.2M2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.21214.2109-0.03%4.0071-4.87%0.0413✓0.78724k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,862.83-0.01%19,866.30+0.00%0.0101✗0.9413k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.06472-0.01%0.06402-1.10%0.0006✗1.081.9M2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9799-0.00%1.97-0.51%0.0003✗0.5175k2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.180337+0.02%0.1628-9.71%0.1022✗0.0193k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0119.0209+0.06%19.44+2.26%0.0353✓1.2820.1M2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9219.0143+0.50%18.31-3.22%0.0303✗0.711.7M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.