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2022-08-31 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0489
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.0%
in alpha space · 56.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0319.3145+1.49%21.47+12.82%0.1028✓0.701.6M2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.347891+0.49%0.346-0.06%0.0108✗1.25176k2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.30084.3183+0.41%4.3083+0.17%0.0056✗0.77798k2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.305265+0.38%0.3074+1.09%0.0024✓1.07107k2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8585.159+0.36%86.42+1.85%0.0082✓1.526.2M2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.774523+0.34%0.78027+1.08%0.0037✓0.88509k2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.059698+0.33%0.058-2.52%0.0325✗0.87101k2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.062313+0.33%0.06427+3.48%0.0264✓1.072.0M2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127972+0.29%0.1272-0.31%0.0104✗1.031.7M2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.0357+0.28%1.97-2.96%0.0350✗0.5193k2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum31.0331.1151+0.27%30.57-1.48%0.0257✗1.90288k2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001507+0.27%0.00149-0.86%0.0155✗0.97424k2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.090132+0.26%0.0925+2.89%0.0219✓0.95381k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.006205+0.24%0.00616-0.48%0.0099✗0.641.0M2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.1643+0.23%2.2908+6.09%0.0521✓1.1213k2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.003001+0.23%0.002879-3.84%0.0453✗0.921.1M2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.072895+0.21%0.07449+2.41%0.0167✓1.1626k2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.289108+0.21%0.2936+1.77%0.0116✓0.906.0M2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.0203+0.20%0.02063+1.83%0.0126✓0.8311.1M2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4328+0.19%1.461+2.17%0.0146✓1.17116k2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1426.1538+0.19%6.315+2.82%0.0203✓1.308.9M2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.334773+0.18%0.34021+1.81%0.0119✓0.9945k2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana31.531.5572+0.18%31.62+0.38%0.0030✗1.1665.9M2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.043206+0.18%0.042711-0.97%0.0137✗0.5227k2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.673516+0.18%0.6827+1.55%0.0076✓1.39226k2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero149.22149.4892+0.18%154.26+3.38%0.0271✓1.021.3M2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.5247+0.18%1.533+0.72%0.0004✓1.1870k2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.9641+0.17%2.931-0.95%0.0178✗1.543.7M2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.282482+0.17%0.276-2.13%0.0263✗0.72668k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.10047+0.17%0.0996-0.70%0.0117✗0.722,5272022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2620,082.03+0.17%20,133.65+0.43%0.0017✗1.00504.7M2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.153351+0.16%0.149-2.68%0.0335✗1.121,5282022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.944231+0.16%0.9424-0.03%0.0071✗1.21912k2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.102763+0.16%0.1049+2.24%0.0160✓1.073.1M2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.3650.365565+0.15%0.3628-0.60%0.0125✗1.16384k2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.552023+0.15%0.54872-0.45%0.0116✗1.3135k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.013196+0.15%0.013315+1.05%0.0063✓0.63932k2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035752+0.15%0.0367+2.80%0.0228✓0.799,5472022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.044005+0.14%0.044086+0.33%0.0017✗0.8529k2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.211495+0.14%0.2105-0.33%0.0091✗1.0358k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.47566+0.14%0.489+2.95%0.0225✓1.202,7102022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.320733+0.14%0.3184-0.59%0.0123✗1.17138k2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.663894+0.13%0.668+0.75%0.0020✓0.98207k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6522+0.13%1.693+2.61%0.0205✓0.93579k2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.954736+0.13%0.9574+0.41%0.0007✓0.493.6M2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.372174+0.13%0.37505+0.90%0.0036✓0.9540k2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005676+0.13%0.005808+2.46%0.0201✓0.692,1952022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.045988+0.13%0.0454-1.15%0.0159✗0.7115k2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash59.8859.9533+0.12%58.98-1.50%0.0213✗1.161.7M2022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.7529+0.12%5.77+0.42%0.0007✓0.869.1M2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232779+0.12%0.2309-0.69%0.0119✗0.9076k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013595+0.11%0.01325-2.43%0.0286✗0.67201k2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.897569+0.11%0.8799-1.86%0.0242✗1.0113k2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057463+0.11%0.0569-0.87%0.0138✗0.9398k2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1319.1504+0.11%19.3+0.89%0.0023✓1.2922.5M2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.663701+0.11%0.669+0.90%0.0043✓0.86228k2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.132539+0.11%0.1398+5.59%0.0511✓0.523.5M2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.123728+0.10%0.124+0.32%0.0022✗1.0423k2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,555.60+0.10%1,586.23+2.07%0.0136✓1.38660.9M2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0358+0.10%1.06+2.45%0.0179✓1.22996k2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034935+0.10%0.0353+1.15%0.0065✓0.9186k2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.6674+0.10%7.62-0.52%0.0108✗1.08430k2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration47.4247.4657+0.10%47.43+0.02%0.0050✗0.99522k2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.28117+0.10%0.2842+1.17%0.0067✓0.953.1M2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.063489+0.10%0.063287-0.22%0.0058✗0.61142k2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.418399+0.10%0.414-0.96%0.0149✗1.027,9102022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.7653+0.09%4.764+0.06%0.0060✗1.348.5M2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.6339+0.09%6.927+4.51%0.0388✓1.0517.4M2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.021537+0.08%0.021111-1.90%0.0234✗0.8113k2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.318189+0.08%0.31561-0.73%0.0116✗0.81340k2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91551.9552+0.08%52.447+1.02%0.0063✓0.74302k2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.276+0.08%1.292+1.33%0.0074✓1.19460k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.044033+0.07%0.0441+0.23%0.0026✗0.96147k2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008586+0.07%0.00869+1.28%0.0089✓0.725.5M2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8635+0.07%4.91+1.03%0.0059✓0.851.5M2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.256.2542+0.07%6.313+1.01%0.0057✓0.864.9M2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.139594+0.07%0.141+1.08%0.0057✓1.01509k2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.061316+0.06%0.062347+1.75%0.0122✓1.061.5M2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.1297+0.06%1.178+4.34%0.0346✓1.713.2M2022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0714+0.06%1.047-2.22%0.0267✗0.8644k2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.446063+0.06%0.4576+2.65%0.0216✓0.9437.1M2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.182505+0.06%0.1809-0.82%0.0147✗1.382,2912022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.795+0.06%1.803+0.50%0.0001✓1.0830k2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1447.1667+0.06%48.03+1.89%0.0128✓1.259,8512022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.459646+0.05%0.4685+1.98%0.0142✓1.14383k2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.55730.557598+0.05%0.5486-1.56%0.0198✗0.841.1M2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.2056+0.05%1.198-0.58%0.0106✗0.991.6M2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.104419+0.05%0.105077+0.68%0.0029✓0.817.0M2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.351479+0.05%0.3534+0.60%0.0009✓1.07116k2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8453.8673+0.05%57.56+6.91%0.0621✓0.9812.6M2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.057729+0.05%0.0557-3.47%0.0406✗1.13258k2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.247123+0.05%0.2187-11.46%0.1222✗-0.0091k2022-09-01
DASHDashDash44.5544.5721+0.05%44.79+0.54%0.0008✓0.97438k2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2717.2781+0.05%17.1-0.98%0.0133✗0.69818k2022-09-01
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.02571+0.04%0.0258+0.39%0.0011✓0.5849k2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16115.2018+0.04%116.73+1.36%0.0083✓1.144.6M2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum96.4796.5039+0.04%95.02-1.50%0.0191✗0.863.5M2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.7392+0.03%26.91+0.67%0.0022✓0.977.3M2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.244784+0.03%0.2424-0.94%0.0138✗0.9475k2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000012084+0.03%0.00001229+1.74%0.0129✓0.95776k2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.910252+0.03%0.974+7.03%0.0661✓0.374.0M2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4132.4181+0.02%32.92+1.57%0.0090✓1.5112.7M2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1505+0.02%2.28+6.05%0.0536✓1.14217k2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.311792+0.02%0.30195-3.13%0.0365✗1.0512k2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.5334+0.02%15.87+2.19%0.0167✓1.11107k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.137007+0.02%0.13757+0.43%0.0010✗1.20190k2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.050309+0.02%0.0506+0.60%0.0016✓0.97217k2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.70e-7+0.02%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0079✓0.7916k2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.024554+0.02%0.02463+0.33%0.0023✗1.283,4352022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.062207+0.01%0.0612-1.61%0.0218✗1.28908k2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.528061+0.01%0.527-0.19%0.0065✗1.0576k2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.512.501+0.01%13.45+7.60%0.0687✓1.061.9M2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.144495-0.00%0.1435-0.69%0.0113✓1.02130k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3099-0.00%1.32+0.76%0.0038✗0.91111k2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.9149-0.01%1.955+2.09%0.0136✗1.6883k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048396-0.01%0.0486+0.41%0.0000✓0.99781k2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0122.0118-0.01%2.05+1.89%0.0140✗1.1342k2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.832595-0.01%0.8299-0.34%0.0077✓1.041.7M2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.22907-0.01%0.2258-1.44%0.0182✓0.90489k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.514927-0.01%0.514-0.19%0.0066✓1.1483k2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.110.0986-0.01%10.09-0.10%0.0061✓1.22313k2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.9991-0.02%9.143+1.58%0.0118✗0.951.4M2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.103276-0.02%0.1013-1.94%0.0230✓0.86188k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.218347-0.02%0.2265+3.71%0.0311✗1.30135k2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.298014-0.03%0.297461-0.21%0.0065✓1.09547k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.7273-0.03%2.735+0.26%0.0009✓0.87706k2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.082074-0.03%0.0821+0.00%0.0037✓0.9411k2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.894294-0.03%0.9001+0.61%0.0029✗0.8360k2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.8367-0.04%9.54+7.92%0.0745✗0.491.9M2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.80e-7-0.04%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0083✗0.791.9M2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.038435-0.04%0.03845+0.00%0.0031✓0.812,7072022-09-01
FLOWFlownative2.0722.0712-0.04%2.047-1.21%0.0175✓1.351.3M2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.1459-0.04%1.1541+0.68%0.0007✗1.534.5M2022-09-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.200917-0.04%0.2038+1.39%0.0100✗1.00116k2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.672683-0.05%0.674+0.15%0.0032✓1.214.1M2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0337.0285-0.06%7.184+2.15%0.0175✗1.0410.9M2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.1285-0.07%2.24+5.16%0.0479✗0.76287k2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.5097-0.07%1.5398+1.92%0.0150✗1.12296k2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001559-0.08%0.001534-1.67%0.0190✓0.709,0932022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.16787-0.08%0.171+1.79%0.0144✗0.97324k2022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,973.05-0.09%20,192.40+1.01%0.0069✗0.9415k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.9194-0.09%2.946+0.82%0.0069✗0.50650k2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006489-0.09%0.006401-1.45%0.0154✓0.4158k2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5186-0.09%1.53+0.66%0.0080✗-0.13128k2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3812.3672-0.10%12.1573-1.80%0.0212✓0.9730k2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.504836-0.11%0.5023-0.61%0.0082✓0.75544k2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.438488-0.12%0.4267-2.80%0.0322✓1.15100k2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8158-0.12%1.789-1.60%0.0188✓0.91121k2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.004035-0.12%0.00402-0.50%0.0079✓0.99144k2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.079,008.27-0.14%9,216.45+2.17%0.0170✗1.386.0M2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007978-0.15%0.00795-0.50%0.0083✓1.12477k2022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.8065-0.16%12.73+7.65%0.0706✗1.1111.4M2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.144-0.16%3.1819+1.05%0.0077✗1.0125k2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.081353-0.17%0.08-1.83%0.0170✓0.05451k2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.1374-0.17%1.1439+0.39%0.0019✗0.881.3M2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.023-0.17%0.02281-1.00%0.0117✓0.81459k2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.349387-0.18%0.3455-1.29%0.0152✓0.94347k2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728567-0.20%0.71-2.74%0.0271✓0.2979k2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0476.0348-0.20%6.087+0.66%0.0066✗0.484.4M2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1414.1111-0.20%14.02-0.85%0.0112✓1.10909k2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.155361-0.21%0.15694+0.81%0.0015✓2.035722022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.066042-0.21%0.06737+1.80%0.0162✗0.877702022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.7238-0.22%1.7801+3.04%0.0281✗0.961.2M2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7791-0.23%4.79+0.00%0.0000✓0.531.1M2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.7866-0.25%5.5317-4.65%0.0455✓0.10115k2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.3243-0.29%4.31-0.62%0.0053✓0.482.0M2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.035069-0.34%0.03497-0.63%0.0071✓1.0140k2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0741-0.36%1.059-1.76%0.0195✓1.261.5M2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001337-0.36%0.001346+0.31%0.0033✓0.792.1M2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.5892-0.37%5.79+3.21%0.0334✗0.452.0M2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.3754-0.38%6.87+7.34%0.0726✗0.502.1M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.7279-0.40%3.853+2.94%0.0289✗0.97259k2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.4304-0.42%4.485+0.81%0.0112✗0.242.3M2022-09-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.8071-0.43%4.8782+1.05%0.0104✗1.00150k2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.671-0.43%6.91+3.13%0.0332✗0.481.7M2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000044520.00004432-0.45%0.00004614+3.64%0.0366✗0.861.7M2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.115528-0.49%0.117+0.78%0.0095✗0.73216k2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05164.0298-0.54%4.1452+2.31%0.0257✗0.604.2M2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003350.003328-0.67%0.00318-5.07%0.0497✓1.01486k2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.216364-0.70%0.2143-1.65%0.0132✓0.843.1M2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.893796-0.94%0.8971-0.58%0.0025✓1.45167k2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.02995-1.20%0.026903-11.25%0.1078✓0.13280k2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.5414-1.33%6.7053+1.14%0.0238✗0.235.4M2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-79.11e-7-1.59%8.97e-7-3.04%0.0183✓0.831.3M2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00512.7853-1.69%12.927-0.60%0.0088✓0.529.7M2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.6757-2.36%7.8225-0.49%0.0174✓0.367.0M2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000213937-3.44%0.00027606+24.60%0.2518✗0.74429k2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.