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2022-08-31 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1118
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.2%
in alpha space · 44.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000211611-4.49%0.00027606+24.60%0.2627✗0.74429k2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.5964-3.37%7.8225-0.49%0.0278✓0.367.0M2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-79.03e-7-2.39%8.97e-7-3.04%0.0101✓0.831.3M2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.029649-2.19%0.026903-11.25%0.0977✓0.13280k2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.5054-1.87%6.7053+1.14%0.0293✗0.235.4M2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00512.7775-1.75%12.927-0.60%0.0094✓0.529.7M2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.887374-1.65%0.8971-0.58%0.0047✓1.45167k2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003350.003303-1.39%0.00318-5.07%0.0424✓1.01486k2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.55-1.07%5.79+3.21%0.0404✗0.452.0M2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000044047-1.06%0.00004614+3.64%0.0427✗0.861.7M2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0673-0.99%1.059-1.76%0.0131✓1.261.5M2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5052-0.97%1.53+0.66%0.0168✗-0.13128k2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05164.0137-0.94%4.1452+2.31%0.0297✗0.604.2M2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001547-0.85%0.001534-1.67%0.0113✓0.709,0932022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.7527-0.84%5.5317-4.65%0.0396✓0.10115k2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.6477-0.78%6.91+3.13%0.0367✗0.481.7M2022-09-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.791-0.76%4.8782+1.05%0.0138✗1.00150k2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.21627-0.75%0.2143-1.65%0.0127✓0.843.1M2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.7801-0.68%9.54+7.92%0.0809✗0.491.9M2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.4199-0.65%4.485+0.81%0.0136✗0.242.3M2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7591-0.65%4.79+0.00%0.0042✓0.531.1M2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.3092-0.64%4.31-0.62%0.0019✓0.482.0M2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.3635-0.57%6.87+7.34%0.0745✗0.502.1M2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.05709-0.54%0.0569-0.87%0.0073✓0.9398k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.9069-0.52%2.946+0.82%0.0112✗0.50650k2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.115524-0.50%0.117+0.78%0.0096✗0.73216k2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.1334-0.50%3.1819+1.05%0.0111✗1.0125k2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007951-0.48%0.00795-0.50%0.0049✓1.12477k2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.436885-0.48%0.4267-2.80%0.0285✓1.15100k2022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.769-0.47%12.73+7.65%0.0738✗1.1111.4M2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.141-0.46%1.1541+0.68%0.0049✗1.534.5M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.7264-0.44%3.853+2.94%0.0293✗0.97259k2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.906193-0.42%0.974+7.03%0.0706✗0.374.0M2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.155058-0.40%0.15694+0.81%0.0034✓2.035722022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.004024-0.39%0.00402-0.50%0.0053✓0.99144k2022-09-01
FLOWFlownative2.0722.0642-0.38%2.047-1.21%0.0141✓1.351.3M2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.310574-0.37%0.30195-3.13%0.0326✓1.0512k2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.457714-0.37%0.4685+1.98%0.0184✗1.14383k2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.035063-0.36%0.03497-0.63%0.0069✓1.0140k2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.125-0.36%1.178+4.34%0.0388✗1.713.2M2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.181752-0.36%0.1809-0.82%0.0106✓1.382,2912022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.7216-0.35%1.7801+3.04%0.0293✗0.961.2M2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.348799-0.34%0.3455-1.29%0.0135✓0.94347k2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.081211-0.34%0.08-1.83%0.0152✓0.05451k2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0476.027-0.33%6.087+0.66%0.0079✗0.484.4M2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.416633-0.33%0.414-0.96%0.0107✓1.027,9102022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.51332-0.33%0.514-0.19%0.0035✓1.1483k2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.03833-0.31%0.03845+0.00%0.0003✓0.812,7072022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,927.96-0.31%20,192.40+1.01%0.0092✗0.9415k2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.065978-0.30%0.06737+1.80%0.0172✗0.877702022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1414.098-0.30%14.02-0.85%0.0102✓1.10909k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.136573-0.30%0.13757+0.43%0.0022✓1.20190k2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.6508-0.30%26.91+0.67%0.0055✗0.977.3M2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006476-0.29%0.006401-1.45%0.0134✓0.4158k2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero149.22148.7902-0.29%154.26+3.38%0.0318✗1.021.3M2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.063247-0.28%0.063287-0.22%0.0020✓0.61142k2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.062023-0.28%0.0612-1.61%0.0188✓1.28908k2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8129-0.28%1.789-1.60%0.0171✓0.91121k2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2717.2217-0.28%17.1-0.98%0.0100✓0.69818k2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.55730.555751-0.28%0.5486-1.56%0.0165✓0.841.1M2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022976-0.28%0.02281-1.00%0.0107✓0.81459k2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.228475-0.27%0.2258-1.44%0.0156✓0.90489k2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.345292-0.26%0.346-0.06%0.0033✓1.25176k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.043885-0.26%0.0441+0.23%0.0008✓0.96147k2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.4898-0.26%15.87+2.19%0.0195✗1.11107k2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.504096-0.26%0.5023-0.61%0.0068✓0.75544k2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.661299-0.26%0.669+0.90%0.0079✗0.86228k2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.132069-0.25%0.1398+5.59%0.0547✗0.523.5M2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum96.4796.2326-0.25%95.02-1.50%0.0163✓0.863.5M2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.512.4698-0.24%13.45+7.60%0.0712✗1.061.9M2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.246405-0.24%0.2187-11.46%0.1193✓-0.0091k2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.1367-0.24%1.1439+0.39%0.0026✗0.881.3M2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.44475-0.24%0.4576+2.65%0.0245✗0.9437.1M2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.104122-0.23%0.105077+0.68%0.0057✗0.817.0M2022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0683-0.23%1.047-2.22%0.0238✓0.8644k2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.68e-7-0.23%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0104✗0.7916k2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.04384-0.23%0.044086+0.33%0.0020✓0.8529k2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1447.0334-0.23%48.03+1.89%0.0157✗1.259,8512022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.110.0778-0.22%10.09-0.10%0.0040✓1.22313k2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.333464-0.21%0.34021+1.81%0.0158✗0.9945k2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001339-0.21%0.001346+0.31%0.0018✓0.792.1M2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.079,002.94-0.20%9,216.45+2.17%0.0176✗1.386.0M2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.2026-0.20%1.198-0.58%0.0081✓0.991.6M2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.661696-0.20%0.668+0.75%0.0053✗0.98207k2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.244222-0.20%0.2424-0.94%0.0115✓0.9475k2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum31.0330.9705-0.19%30.57-1.48%0.0211✓1.90288k2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081945-0.19%0.0821+0.00%0.0021✓0.9411k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048309-0.19%0.0486+0.41%0.0018✓0.99781k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.7229-0.19%2.735+0.26%0.0007✓0.87706k2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.02148-0.18%0.021111-1.90%0.0208✓0.8113k2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.78e-7-0.18%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0097✗0.791.9M2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.123377-0.18%0.124+0.32%0.0006✓1.0423k2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.139251-0.18%0.141+1.08%0.0082✗1.01509k2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.770555-0.18%0.78027+1.08%0.0088✗0.88509k2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000012059-0.17%0.00001229+1.74%0.0149✗0.95776k2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2728-0.17%1.292+1.33%0.0099✗1.19460k2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008565-0.17%0.00869+1.28%0.0114✗0.725.5M2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,551.40-0.17%1,586.23+2.07%0.0164✗1.38660.9M2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.89311-0.17%0.9001+0.61%0.0043✗0.8360k2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.951936-0.16%0.9574+0.41%0.0036✗0.493.6M2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.280444-0.16%0.2842+1.17%0.0093✗0.953.1M2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005659-0.16%0.005808+2.46%0.0230✗0.692,1952022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.045856-0.16%0.0454-1.15%0.0130✓0.7115k2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.550296-0.16%0.54872-0.45%0.0085✓1.3135k2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.371121-0.16%0.37505+0.90%0.0065✗0.9540k2022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2620,017.63-0.15%20,133.65+0.43%0.0015✓1.00504.7M2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.050224-0.15%0.0506+0.60%0.0033✗0.97217k2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.281574-0.15%0.276-2.13%0.0231✓0.72668k2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.15287-0.15%0.149-2.68%0.0304✓1.121,5282022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.288074-0.15%0.2936+1.77%0.0152✗0.906.0M2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127413-0.15%0.1272-0.31%0.0061✓1.031.7M2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.103149-0.15%0.1013-1.94%0.0217✓0.86188k2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.03565-0.14%0.0367+2.80%0.0257✗0.799,5472022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.5087-0.14%1.5398+1.92%0.0156✗1.12296k2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.144299-0.14%0.1435-0.69%0.0099✓1.02130k2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.9885-0.14%9.143+1.58%0.0130✗0.951.4M2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.831568-0.14%0.8299-0.34%0.0064✓1.041.7M2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.955-0.14%2.931-0.95%0.0147✓1.543.7M2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.024517-0.13%0.02463+0.33%0.0008✓1.283,4352022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash59.8859.7996-0.13%58.98-1.50%0.0187✓1.161.7M2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.6191-0.13%6.927+4.51%0.0410✗1.0517.4M2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.730.729024-0.13%0.71-2.74%0.0277✓0.2979k2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.061196-0.13%0.062347+1.75%0.0141✗1.061.5M2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3812.3638-0.13%12.1573-1.80%0.0210✓0.9730k2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.167784-0.13%0.171+1.79%0.0149✗0.97324k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013563-0.13%0.01325-2.43%0.0262✓0.67201k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3084-0.13%1.32+0.76%0.0050✗0.91111k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.47442-0.12%0.489+2.95%0.0252✗1.202,7102022-09-01
DASHDashDash44.5544.4967-0.12%44.79+0.54%0.0025✗0.97438k2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4132.3712-0.12%32.92+1.57%0.0104✗1.5112.7M2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.102478-0.12%0.1049+2.24%0.0188✗1.073.1M2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.1275-0.12%2.24+5.16%0.0483✗0.76287k2022-09-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.200767-0.12%0.2038+1.39%0.0107✗1.00116k2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.6513-0.11%7.62-0.52%0.0087✓1.08430k2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.059441-0.10%0.058-2.52%0.0282✓0.87101k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.100202-0.10%0.0996-0.70%0.0091✓0.722,5272022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0122.0101-0.09%2.05+1.89%0.0148✗1.1342k2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034868-0.09%0.0353+1.15%0.0084✗0.9186k2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.072674-0.09%0.07449+2.41%0.0197✗1.1626k2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7924-0.09%1.803+0.50%0.0013✗1.0830k2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.256.2446-0.09%6.313+1.01%0.0073✗0.864.9M2022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.7569-0.09%4.764+0.06%0.0042✓1.348.5M2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.1576-0.08%2.2908+6.09%0.0552✗1.1213k2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8453.7946-0.08%57.56+6.91%0.0635✗0.9812.6M2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91551.8719-0.08%52.447+1.02%0.0079✗0.74302k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.5208-0.08%1.533+0.72%0.0030✗1.1870k2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration47.4247.383-0.08%47.43+0.02%0.0032✓0.99522k2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.9135-0.08%1.955+2.09%0.0143✗1.6883k2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.317697-0.08%0.31561-0.73%0.0100✓0.81340k2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.043095-0.08%0.042711-0.97%0.0112✓0.5227k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.218241-0.07%0.2265+3.71%0.0316✗1.30135k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.006186-0.07%0.00616-0.48%0.0069✓0.641.0M2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16115.0821-0.07%116.73+1.36%0.0094✗1.144.6M2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.672546-0.07%0.674+0.15%0.0030✓1.214.1M2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.303919-0.06%0.3074+1.09%0.0068✗1.07107k2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.3650.364787-0.06%0.3628-0.60%0.0104✓1.16384k2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.351118-0.05%0.3534+0.60%0.0019✗1.07116k2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.211096-0.05%0.2105-0.33%0.0072✓1.0358k2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232396-0.04%0.2309-0.69%0.0103✓0.9076k2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.297959-0.04%0.297461-0.21%0.0063✓1.09547k2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.30084.299-0.04%4.3083+0.17%0.0011✓0.77798k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.013172-0.03%0.013315+1.05%0.0081✗0.63932k2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0337.0311-0.03%7.184+2.15%0.0171✗1.0410.9M2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.672121-0.03%0.6827+1.55%0.0097✗1.39226k2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002993-0.02%0.002879-3.84%0.0428✓0.921.1M2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.942494-0.02%0.9424-0.03%0.0052✓1.21912k2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana31.531.4946-0.02%31.62+0.38%0.0010✓1.1665.9M2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1496-0.02%2.28+6.05%0.0540✗1.14217k2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.527934-0.01%0.527-0.19%0.0062✓1.0576k2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001503-0.01%0.00149-0.86%0.0127✓0.97424k2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.43-0.00%1.461+2.17%0.0165✗1.17116k2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.896557-0.00%0.8799-1.86%0.0230✓1.0113k2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8584.8501+0.00%86.42+1.85%0.0119✓1.526.2M2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6502+0.01%1.693+2.61%0.0217✓0.93579k2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0348+0.01%1.06+2.45%0.0189✓1.22996k2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.089915+0.02%0.0925+2.89%0.0243✓0.95381k2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.057712+0.02%0.0557-3.47%0.0403✗1.13258k2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.320407+0.03%0.3184-0.59%0.0112✗1.17138k2022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.7489+0.05%5.77+0.42%0.0000✓0.869.1M2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.863+0.06%4.91+1.03%0.0060✓0.851.5M2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.020273+0.07%0.02063+1.83%0.0139✓0.8311.1M2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.0317+0.09%1.97-2.96%0.0330✗0.5193k2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1319.156+0.14%19.3+0.89%0.0020✓1.2922.5M2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1426.1506+0.14%6.315+2.82%0.0208✓1.308.9M2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.062253+0.23%0.06427+3.48%0.0273✓1.072.0M2022-09-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0319.1864+0.82%21.47+12.82%0.1095✓0.701.6M2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.