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2022-08-30 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0647
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.2%
in alpha space · 49.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.6066+1.33%19.03-14.70%0.1808✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.335883+0.53%0.3462+3.62%0.0156✓1.24176k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2735+0.44%4.3008+1.08%0.0027✓0.77775k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.311137+0.43%0.3041-1.84%0.0355✗1.07111k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.6992+0.38%84.85+0.56%0.0162✗1.526.3M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.063503+0.37%0.06211-1.83%0.0348✗1.072.1M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.77348+0.37%0.77191+0.16%0.0125✗0.88509k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0531.1618+0.36%31.03-0.06%0.0267✗1.90288k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127998+0.31%0.1276+0.00%0.0152✗1.031.7M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0764+0.31%2.03-1.93%0.0286✗0.5197k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0831+0.31%2.1594+3.98%0.0228✓1.1113k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.003002+0.29%0.002994+0.03%0.0134✗0.921.1M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.089158+0.29%0.0899+1.12%0.0029✗0.95393k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062681+0.29%0.0595-4.80%0.0624✗0.87105k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001552+0.26%0.001503-2.91%0.0437✗0.98433k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006216+0.26%0.00619-0.16%0.0117✗0.631.0M2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.658224+0.25%0.6723+2.39%0.0048✓1.39226k2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0856+0.24%1.129+4.25%0.0186✓1.753.2M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.071254+0.23%0.07274+2.32%0.0068✓1.1726k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.043065+0.23%0.043128+0.38%0.0046✗0.5228k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.149041+0.23%0.1531+2.96%0.0138✓1.111,5282022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.7239+0.23%5.746+0.61%0.0063✗0.869.5M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020425+0.22%0.02026-0.59%0.0180✗0.8411.4M2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.097216+0.22%0.1003+3.40%0.0227✓0.722,7842022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.362093+0.22%0.365+1.02%0.0058✗1.17393k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.292337+0.22%0.2885-1.10%0.0239✗0.916.5M2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.043505+0.21%0.043941+1.21%0.0000✓0.8530k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9831+0.21%2.959-0.60%0.0264✗1.543.8M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,853.58+0.20%20,048.26+1.19%0.0020✗1.00490.8M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.5432+0.20%31.5+0.06%0.0151✗1.1665.9M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.1862+0.20%6.142-0.52%0.0226✗1.309.5M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5591+0.20%1.522-2.19%0.0379✗1.1877k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6352+0.19%1.65+1.10%0.0019✓0.93579k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4327+0.19%1.43+0.00%0.0158✗1.17123k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.103193+0.19%0.1026-0.39%0.0185✗1.083.3M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87149.1479+0.19%149.22+0.24%0.0115✗1.021.3M2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.337085+0.18%0.33416-0.69%0.0205✗1.0046k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0736+0.18%2.15+3.86%0.0227✓1.14232k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.952965+0.18%0.9427-0.90%0.0251✗1.21963k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2351+0.17%1.275+3.41%0.0178✓1.19460k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.284487+0.17%0.282-0.70%0.0173✗0.72686k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.653094+0.17%0.663+1.69%0.0037✓0.97207k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0122.0154+0.17%2.072+2.98%0.0118✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.541093+0.17%0.55118+2.03%0.0029✓1.3237k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.036059+0.16%0.0357-0.83%0.0194✗0.809,5472022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.209235+0.16%0.2112+1.10%0.0029✗1.0459k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013169+0.16%0.013176+0.21%0.0069✗0.631.0M2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.325714+0.16%0.3203-1.51%0.0306✗1.17138k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.9623+0.15%59.88+0.02%0.0150✗1.161.7M2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.671985+0.15%0.663-1.19%0.0236✗0.86228k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,526.95+0.14%1,554.00+1.91%0.0014✓1.37628.3M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.884514+0.14%0.89656+1.50%0.0015✓1.0214k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.96452+0.13%0.9535-1.02%0.0174✗0.503.6M2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046668+0.13%0.04593-1.46%0.0243✗0.7116k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.447654+0.12%0.4594+2.75%0.0125✓1.14364k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5661+0.12%6.628+1.07%0.0031✗1.0617.7M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.03534+0.11%0.0349-1.13%0.0234✗0.9287k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005794+0.11%0.005668-2.05%0.0300✗0.692,3002022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042948+0.11%0.044+2.56%0.0128✓0.97156k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.4017+0.11%19.13-1.29%0.0294✗1.3023.0M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.132644+0.11%0.1324-0.08%0.0081✗0.533.6M2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.376848+0.11%0.3717-1.26%0.0251✗0.9640k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0646+0.11%1.1463+7.79%0.0560✓1.514.5M2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0469+0.10%1.0708+2.39%0.0123✓0.8748k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.139044+0.10%0.1395+0.43%0.0087✗1.01510k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.293622+0.10%0.31172+6.27%0.0475✓1.0412k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.49751+0.10%0.475-4.43%0.0607✗1.222,7102022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.122824+0.10%0.1236+0.73%0.0062✗1.0625k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.3426+0.10%32.41+0.31%0.0157✗1.5012.9M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.5171+0.10%47.42-0.11%0.0137✗0.99543k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8648+0.10%4.86+0.00%0.0111✗0.861.5M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.8137+0.10%4.761-1.00%0.0269✗1.348.7M2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.320127+0.10%0.31794-0.59%0.0169✗0.85350k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002923+0.09%0.00335+14.73%0.1247✓1.00486k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008648+0.09%0.00858-0.69%0.0165✗0.735.6M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0516+0.09%1.0347-1.51%0.0306✗1.23973k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.102505+0.09%0.104365+1.91%0.0084✓0.817.0M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061476+0.09%0.061277-0.23%0.0157✗1.061.6M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.3174+0.09%8.84+6.38%0.0552✓0.481.9M2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.6261+0.09%51.915+0.65%0.0033✗0.75322k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057646+0.08%0.0577+0.17%0.0124✗1.13258k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2619+0.08%6.25-0.11%0.0125✗0.905.0M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.2094+0.08%12.5+2.46%0.0110✓1.061.9M2022-08-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024919+0.08%0.0257+3.21%0.0240✓0.5849k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014231+0.08%0.01358-4.50%0.0547✗0.67174k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.549312+0.08%0.5573+1.53%0.0043✓0.861.3M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.288109+0.07%0.2809-2.43%0.0367✗0.963.1M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1888+0.07%1.205+1.43%0.0018✓0.991.7M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8913+0.07%1.915+1.32%0.0073✗1.6890k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0153.0449+0.07%53.84+1.57%0.0033✓0.9812.7M2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021474+0.06%0.02152+0.27%0.0075✗0.8114k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.246248+0.06%0.2325-5.53%0.0682✗0.9176k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.519304+0.06%0.528+1.73%0.0041✓1.0677k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.057933+0.06%0.0574-0.86%0.0202✗0.9398k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.244339+0.06%0.2447+0.20%0.0101✗0.9881k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.6843+0.06%96.47+0.88%0.0020✗0.863.5M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.3396+0.06%17.27-0.35%0.0122✗0.69880k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.7517+0.05%115.16+0.41%0.0099✗1.144.6M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.425213+0.05%0.418-1.65%0.0291✗1.028,1172022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.356248+0.04%0.3513-1.35%0.0268✗1.09131k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.135255+0.04%0.13698+1.32%0.0015✗1.20200k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.453178+0.04%0.4458-1.59%0.0276✗0.9537.8M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.6104+0.04%26.73+0.49%0.0070✗0.977.3M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064729+0.04%0.063428-1.97%0.0275✗0.61129k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9827+0.03%7.66-4.01%0.0541✗1.09462k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.181159+0.03%0.1824+0.72%0.0095✗1.382,2912022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050717+0.03%0.0503-0.79%0.0198✗0.98237k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.8173+0.03%1.7939-1.26%0.0258✗1.0833k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.5212+0.02%44.55-2.11%0.0330✗0.97438k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.8029+0.02%15.53-1.71%0.0305✗1.1193k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4707+0.02%4.79+7.16%0.0628✓0.531.1M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012182+0.02%0.00001208-0.82%0.0196✗0.95828k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001486+0.01%0.00156+4.98%0.0403✓0.699,0932022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3202+0.01%1.31-0.76%0.0185✗0.91121k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.51505+0.01%0.515+0.00%0.0136✗1.1483k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.832408+0.00%0.8327+0.04%0.0119✗1.041.8M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.80e-7+0.00%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0208✗0.8016k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.260801+0.00%0.247-5.29%0.0545✗0.0191k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.195598-0.00%0.201+2.76%0.0154✗1.00121k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.9993-0.00%47.14+0.30%0.0117✓1.2411k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.225992-0.00%0.2291+1.37%0.0030✗0.91501k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048398-0.00%0.0484+0.00%0.0117✓0.99796k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0894-0.01%10.1+0.10%0.0134✓1.22318k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.10269-0.01%0.1033+0.58%0.0042✓0.86192k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9718-0.01%9.001+0.31%0.0080✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.1153-0.02%3.149+1.06%0.0012✓1.0125k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0596-0.02%2.13+3.40%0.0247✗0.76329k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0486-0.02%2.012-1.81%0.0315✓1.1444k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.146372-0.02%0.1445-1.30%0.0251✓1.03138k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024735-0.02%0.02455-0.77%0.0226✓1.283,3752022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.298902-0.02%0.29809-0.29%0.0156✓1.09549k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0087.0064-0.02%7.033+0.36%0.0085✓1.0411.6M2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.08147-0.04%0.0821+0.74%0.0034✓0.9513k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037975-0.04%0.03845+1.21%0.0028✗0.812,8422022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.668734-0.04%0.673+0.60%0.0078✓1.204.3M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7738-0.04%2.728-1.69%0.0270✓0.88706k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.80e-7-0.04%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0089✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220998-0.05%0.2184-1.22%0.0272✓1.31135k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.90007-0.05%0.894603-0.66%0.0159✓0.8363k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4964-0.06%1.5108+0.90%0.0037✓1.12296k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061658-0.07%0.0622+0.81%0.0062✓1.27908k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,854.69-0.07%19,990.40+0.61%0.0043✓0.9413k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.168874-0.07%0.168-0.59%0.0168✓0.98340k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3877-0.08%5.8014+7.60%0.0729✗0.10115k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,867.63-0.08%9,021.07+1.65%0.0009✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006531-0.09%0.006495-0.64%0.0105✓0.4258k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.8472-0.09%14.14+2.02%0.0080✗1.10909k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.3031-0.11%12.38+0.51%0.0052✓0.9732k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7441-0.12%6.047+5.15%0.0459✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.429545-0.13%0.439+2.07%0.0082✗1.1596k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.511595-0.14%0.5054-1.35%0.0211✓0.76579k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1828-0.14%5.61+8.09%0.0740✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.008048-0.14%0.00799-0.87%0.0205✓1.12477k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.8204-0.15%1.818-0.27%0.0121✓0.91121k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.345291-0.15%0.35+1.21%0.0025✗0.93347k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004014-0.15%0.00404+0.50%0.0053✓1.00152k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.08224-0.16%0.08149-1.07%0.0098✓0.05478k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.992141-0.19%0.91-8.45%0.0909✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022741-0.19%0.030314+33.04%0.2862✗0.10266k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.6069-0.19%1.52-5.59%0.0543✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.9045-0.20%11.825-0.86%0.0199✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0906-0.20%4.337+5.81%0.0531✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.738476-0.21%0.73-1.35%0.0150✓0.2979k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1855-0.22%1.1394-4.10%0.0501✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7263-0.22%1.7276-0.14%0.0106✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.153447-0.22%0.15568+1.23%0.0096✓2.046042022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.036.0162-0.23%6.4+6.14%0.0561✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.1003-0.24%4.449+8.25%0.0790✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1253-0.24%6.7+9.12%0.0841✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066357-0.25%0.06618-0.51%0.0123✓0.829142022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023985-0.27%0.02304-4.20%0.0497✓0.81459k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.1235-0.30%2.922-6.73%0.0727✓0.51650k2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.3055-0.30%4.8276+11.79%0.1027✗1.00147k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0159-0.31%1.078+5.79%0.0446✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001343-0.35%0.001342-0.46%0.0105✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035163-0.36%0.03519-0.28%0.0112✓1.0240k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.19599-0.36%0.2179+10.78%0.0961✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8283-0.38%4.0516+5.43%0.0497✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7798-0.40%3.743-1.37%0.0213✓0.98252k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.110976-0.47%0.1161+4.13%0.0367✗0.71220k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045633-0.56%0.00004452-2.99%0.0350✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.5794-0.70%6.6294+17.98%0.1700✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9396-1.04%7.8611+30.97%0.2766✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.906922-1.34%0.9023-1.84%0.0222✓1.45167k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000156194-1.37%0.00022156+39.90%0.3413✗0.70429k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.3037-1.42%13.005+4.20%0.0493✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001052-3.33%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1386✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.