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2022-08-30 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0484
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 46.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.4613+0.68%19.03-14.70%0.1743✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.063418+0.23%0.06211-1.83%0.0335✗1.072.1M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.1854+0.18%6.142-0.52%0.0224✗1.309.5M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0732+0.15%2.15+3.86%0.0229✓1.14232k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.7192+0.14%5.746+0.61%0.0055✗0.869.5M2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020406+0.13%0.02026-0.59%0.0171✗0.8411.4M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.4046+0.13%19.13-1.29%0.0296✗1.3023.0M2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8649+0.10%4.86+0.00%0.0111✗0.861.5M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0716+0.08%2.03-1.93%0.0263✗0.5197k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.883962+0.07%0.89656+1.50%0.0021✓1.0214k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6331+0.06%1.65+1.10%0.0006✓0.93579k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002995+0.05%0.002994+0.03%0.0111✗0.921.1M2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.656906+0.05%0.6723+2.39%0.0068✓1.39226k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088938+0.04%0.0899+1.12%0.0005✗0.95393k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0776+0.04%2.1594+3.98%0.0255✓1.1113k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.325302+0.03%0.3203-1.51%0.0293✗1.17138k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.51911+0.02%0.528+1.73%0.0045✓1.0677k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0087.0094+0.02%7.033+0.36%0.0089✗1.0411.6M2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057611+0.02%0.0577+0.17%0.0118✗1.13258k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0507+0.01%1.0347-1.51%0.0298✗1.23973k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.4797-0.00%31.5+0.06%0.0131✓1.1665.9M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2548-0.00%4.3008+1.08%0.0016✗0.77775k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.951219-0.01%0.9427-0.90%0.0233✓1.21963k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8898-0.01%1.915+1.32%0.0066✓1.6890k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4971-0.01%1.5108+0.90%0.0042✓1.12296k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.3667-0.02%84.85+0.56%0.0123✓1.526.3M2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.309751-0.02%0.3041-1.84%0.0310✓1.07111k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4298-0.02%1.43+0.00%0.0137✓1.17123k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.361223-0.02%0.365+1.02%0.0034✓1.17393k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013145-0.02%0.013176+0.21%0.0050✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001548-0.02%0.001503-2.91%0.0408✓0.98433k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.496855-0.03%0.475-4.43%0.0594✓1.222,7102022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208834-0.03%0.2112+1.10%0.0010✓1.0459k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.071062-0.04%0.07274+2.32%0.0095✗1.1726k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006198-0.04%0.00619-0.16%0.0087✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.6405-0.04%115.16+0.41%0.0089✓1.144.6M2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.096958-0.04%0.1003+3.40%0.0254✗0.722,7842022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042947-0.04%0.043128+0.38%0.0019✓0.5228k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.8532-0.05%14.14+2.02%0.0075✗1.10909k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.668665-0.05%0.673+0.60%0.0077✓1.204.3M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5546-0.05%6.628+1.07%0.0013✓1.0617.7M2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2324-0.05%1.275+3.41%0.0200✗1.19460k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.9824-0.05%53.84+1.57%0.0045✗0.9812.7M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.245969-0.05%0.2325-5.53%0.0670✓0.9176k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.298809-0.05%0.29809-0.29%0.0153✓1.09549k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.03598-0.06%0.0357-0.83%0.0172✓0.809,5472022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0588-0.06%2.13+3.40%0.0250✗0.76329k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.552-0.06%51.915+0.65%0.0018✓0.75322k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.44-0.06%47.42-0.11%0.0121✓0.99543k2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0823-0.06%1.129+4.25%0.0216✗1.753.2M2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.195473-0.06%0.201+2.76%0.0161✗1.00121k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002918-0.07%0.00335+14.73%0.1263✗1.00486k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.65156-0.07%0.663+1.69%0.0060✗0.97207k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.333871-0.07%0.3462+3.62%0.0216✗1.24176k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.148593-0.07%0.1531+2.96%0.0168✗1.111,5282022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.355843-0.07%0.3513-1.35%0.0257✓1.09131k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.319586-0.07%0.31794-0.59%0.0152✓0.85350k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.8232-0.08%59.88+0.02%0.0127✓1.161.7M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.8051-0.08%4.761-1.00%0.0251✓1.348.7M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102916-0.08%0.1026-0.39%0.0158✓1.083.3M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.2835-0.08%32.41+0.31%0.0138✓1.5012.9M2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3189-0.08%1.31-0.76%0.0175✓0.91121k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5547-0.08%1.522-2.19%0.0351✓1.1877k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2516-0.09%6.25-0.11%0.0109✓0.905.0M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220892-0.09%0.2184-1.22%0.0268✓1.31135k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.3036-0.11%12.38+0.51%0.0052✓0.9732k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0467-0.11%2.012-1.81%0.0305✓1.1444k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061351-0.11%0.061277-0.23%0.0137✓1.061.6M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.539583-0.11%0.55118+2.03%0.0057✗1.3237k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,523.04-0.12%1,554.00+1.91%0.0039✗1.37628.3M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,789.16-0.12%20,048.26+1.19%0.0012✓1.00490.8M2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.0814-0.12%0.0821+0.74%0.0026✓0.9513k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.4533-0.12%44.55-2.11%0.0315✓0.97438k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102572-0.13%0.1033+0.58%0.0031✓0.86192k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.670154-0.13%0.663-1.19%0.0209✓0.86228k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.146214-0.13%0.1445-1.30%0.0240✓1.03138k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.168785-0.13%0.168-0.59%0.0162✓0.98340k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9732-0.13%2.959-0.60%0.0230✓1.543.8M2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9614-0.13%9.001+0.31%0.0069✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.138721-0.13%0.1395+0.43%0.0064✓1.01510k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739024-0.13%0.73-1.35%0.0158✓0.2979k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,862.84-0.13%9,021.07+1.65%0.0015✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0122.0093-0.13%2.072+2.98%0.0148✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127427-0.14%0.1276+0.00%0.0108✓1.031.7M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0531.0077-0.14%31.03-0.06%0.0217✓1.90288k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062413-0.14%0.0595-4.80%0.0581✓0.87105k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.743-0.14%6.047+5.15%0.0461✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.769558-0.14%0.77191+0.16%0.0074✓0.88509k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.831209-0.14%0.8327+0.04%0.0105✓1.041.8M2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035249-0.14%0.0349-1.13%0.0208✓0.9287k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008627-0.15%0.00858-0.69%0.0141✓0.735.6M2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.1111-0.15%3.149+1.06%0.0002✓1.0125k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.287452-0.16%0.2809-2.43%0.0344✓0.963.1M2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024701-0.16%0.02455-0.77%0.0212✓1.283,3752022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.29123-0.16%0.2885-1.10%0.0201✓0.916.5M2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.122502-0.16%0.1236+0.73%0.0035✓1.0625k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1861-0.16%1.205+1.43%0.0041✗0.991.7M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.00001216-0.16%0.00001208-0.82%0.0178✓0.95828k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050616-0.17%0.0503-0.79%0.0178✓0.98237k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.1795-0.17%12.5+2.46%0.0134✗1.061.9M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.961635-0.17%0.9535-1.02%0.0144✓0.503.6M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.772-0.18%15.53-1.71%0.0286✓1.1193k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9656-0.18%7.66-4.01%0.0520✓1.09462k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.898879-0.18%0.894603-0.66%0.0146✓0.8363k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001346-0.18%0.001342-0.46%0.0121✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.78e-7-0.18%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0075✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0616-0.18%1.1463+7.79%0.0589✗1.514.5M2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021421-0.19%0.02152+0.27%0.0050✓0.8114k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.04831-0.19%0.0484+0.00%0.0099✓0.99796k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.1022-0.19%4.449+8.25%0.0785✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.8133-0.19%1.7939-1.26%0.0235✓1.0833k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046521-0.19%0.04593-1.46%0.0212✓0.7116k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3814-0.19%5.8014+7.60%0.0740✗0.10115k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4612-0.20%4.79+7.16%0.0649✗0.531.1M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.243713-0.20%0.2447+0.20%0.0075✓0.9881k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014191-0.20%0.01358-4.50%0.0520✓0.67174k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.102205-0.20%0.104365+1.91%0.0113✗0.817.0M2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,828.95-0.20%19,990.40+0.61%0.0030✓0.9413k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7693-0.20%2.728-1.69%0.0254✓0.88706k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.44617-0.21%0.4594+2.75%0.0158✗1.14364k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0688-0.21%10.1+0.10%0.0113✓1.22318k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283391-0.21%0.282-0.70%0.0135✓0.72686k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.37563-0.22%0.3717-1.26%0.0218✓0.9640k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042806-0.22%0.044+2.56%0.0161✗0.97156k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0435-0.22%1.0708+2.39%0.0155✗0.8748k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.335727-0.22%0.33416-0.69%0.0164✓1.0046k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.043319-0.22%0.043941+1.21%0.0043✗0.8530k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.4131-0.23%96.47+0.88%0.0009✓0.863.5M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.29264-0.23%0.31172+6.27%0.0509✗1.0412k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005774-0.23%0.005668-2.05%0.0266✓0.692,3002022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.513765-0.24%0.515+0.00%0.0111✓1.1483k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.451877-0.25%0.4458-1.59%0.0247✓0.9537.8M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.78e-7-0.25%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0183✓0.8016k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.547503-0.25%0.5573+1.53%0.0076✗0.861.3M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.132151-0.26%0.1324-0.08%0.0044✓0.533.6M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.5289-0.27%26.73+0.49%0.0039✓0.977.3M2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.225388-0.27%0.2291+1.37%0.0056✗0.91501k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.134818-0.28%0.13698+1.32%0.0017✓1.20200k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.036.0129-0.28%6.4+6.14%0.0567✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1846-0.30%1.1394-4.10%0.0494✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.8176-0.30%1.818-0.27%0.0105✓0.91121k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006517-0.30%0.006495-0.64%0.0083✓0.4258k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001481-0.31%0.00156+4.98%0.0435✗0.699,0932022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.51073-0.31%0.5054-1.35%0.0195✓0.76579k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.2746-0.32%17.27-0.35%0.0084✓0.69880k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.082099-0.33%0.08149-1.07%0.0080✓0.05478k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1196-0.33%6.7+9.12%0.0851✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.259932-0.33%0.247-5.29%0.0512✓0.0191k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.423585-0.33%0.418-1.65%0.0253✓1.028,1172022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066296-0.34%0.06618-0.51%0.0114✓0.829142022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2813-0.35%8.84+6.38%0.0596✗0.481.9M2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.724-0.35%1.7276-0.14%0.0093✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.8312-0.36%47.14+0.30%0.0081✓1.2411k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.195973-0.37%0.2179+10.78%0.0962✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87148.3035-0.38%149.22+0.24%0.0058✓1.021.3M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064458-0.38%0.063428-1.97%0.0233✓0.61129k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061461-0.39%0.0622+0.81%0.0030✓1.27908k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037841-0.39%0.03845+1.21%0.0063✗0.812,8422022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035149-0.40%0.03519-0.28%0.0108✓1.0240k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0825-0.40%4.337+5.81%0.0551✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1681-0.42%5.61+8.09%0.0768✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7786-0.43%3.743-1.37%0.0210✓0.98252k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.111015-0.43%0.1161+4.13%0.0364✗0.71220k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004002-0.44%0.00404+0.50%0.0024✓1.00152k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.344291-0.44%0.35+1.21%0.0054✗0.93347k2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.2985-0.46%4.8276+11.79%0.1043✗1.00147k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.180251-0.47%0.1824+0.72%0.0044✓1.382,2912022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8248-0.47%4.0516+5.43%0.0506✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022674-0.49%0.030314+33.04%0.2892✗0.10266k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.8656-0.52%11.825-0.86%0.0166✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.427849-0.52%0.439+2.07%0.0121✗1.1596k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.008017-0.53%0.00799-0.87%0.0167✓1.12477k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.5881-0.55%6.6294+17.98%0.1684✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023917-0.55%0.02304-4.20%0.0469✓0.81459k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.152939-0.55%0.15568+1.23%0.0063✓2.046042022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0119-0.70%1.078+5.79%0.0485✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.985747-0.83%0.91-8.45%0.0845✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5964-0.84%1.52-5.59%0.0478✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.05739-0.88%0.0574-0.86%0.0108✓0.9398k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.1053-0.88%2.922-6.73%0.0669✓0.51650k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9334-1.15%7.8611+30.97%0.2776✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.3352-1.17%13.005+4.20%0.0467✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045273-1.34%0.00004452-2.99%0.0271✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.903001-1.76%0.9023-1.84%0.0179✓1.45167k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000154413-2.50%0.00022156+39.90%0.3528✗0.70429k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001042-4.24%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1291✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.