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2022-08-29 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0543
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.2%
in alpha space · 54.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.35154+0.47%0.3341-4.52%0.0209✗1.27176k2022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.3974.4122+0.35%4.2549-3.23%0.0182✗0.77765k2022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9191.9252+0.32%2.012+4.85%0.0764✓1.361.3M2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7686.0268+0.31%84.38-1.61%0.0164✓1.516.3M2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.323272+0.30%0.3098-3.88%0.0169✗1.09112k2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.797504+0.27%0.77064-3.11%0.0129✗0.90509k2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.063858+0.25%0.0625-1.88%0.0001✓0.91105k2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.131419+0.24%0.1276-2.67%0.0062✗0.991.7M2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.1502+0.23%2.0768-3.19%0.0065✗1.2013k2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.066654+0.22%0.06327-4.87%0.0259✗1.112.1M2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum32.4932.5535+0.20%31.05-4.43%0.0024✗1.90288k2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.2442+0.19%2.07-7.59%0.0690✗0.5097k2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.092573+0.19%0.0889-3.79%0.0177✗0.97404k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.006502+0.18%0.0062-4.47%0.0327✗0.631.1M2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.072963+0.17%0.07109-2.40%0.0021✓1.1927k2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001639+0.17%0.001548-5.38%0.0341✗0.97484k2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.68239+0.16%0.6566-3.63%0.0050✗1.42226k2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.10116+0.16%0.097-3.96%0.0248✗0.732,9872022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.283426+0.15%0.284+0.35%0.0193✓0.73686k2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.298532+0.14%0.2917-2.15%0.0017✗0.916.9M2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana32.4132.4569+0.14%31.48-2.87%0.0024✗1.1965.9M2022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.044505+0.13%0.042966-3.33%0.0230✗0.5228k2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9720,313.40+0.13%19,813.17-2.34%0.0013✓1.00485.5M2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.210464+0.13%0.2089-0.62%0.0166✓1.0260k2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.022698+0.12%0.02038-10.10%0.0872✗0.8711.8M2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3319.3526+0.12%19.38+0.26%0.0326✓1.3222.5M2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero152.71152.8833+0.11%148.87-2.51%0.0033✗0.981.3M2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.044615+0.11%0.043415-2.58%0.0072✗0.8530k2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.37010.370513+0.11%0.3613-2.38%0.0024✓1.17398k2022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.876391+0.11%0.88331+0.90%0.0311✓0.9815k2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3396.3459+0.11%6.174-2.60%0.0037✓1.329.9M2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.672717+0.11%0.652-2.98%0.0090✗0.94217k2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.554597+0.11%0.5402-2.49%0.0044✓1.3039k2022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.6166+0.10%1.556-3.65%0.0099✗1.2085k2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2217.2363+0.09%17.33+0.64%0.0225✓0.72921k2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.1064+0.09%0.103-3.10%0.0066✗1.093.4M2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.347919+0.09%0.33647-3.20%0.0101✗0.9947k2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.172655+0.09%0.1811+4.99%0.0807✓1.392,2552022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.987884+0.09%0.9513-3.62%0.0089✗1.22963k2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.966463+0.09%0.9633-0.24%0.0094✓0.533.6M2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.130705+0.08%0.1325+1.45%0.0270✓0.573.7M2022-08-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1749+0.08%1.083-7.75%0.0402✗1.743.3M2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,552.81+0.08%1,524.81-1.73%0.0140✓1.36608.4M2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0156.0194+0.07%5.711-5.05%0.0320✗0.879.9M2022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061741+0.07%0.0617+0.00%0.0288✓1.25851k2022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.2638+0.07%1.233-2.38%0.0037✓1.20471k2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.123079+0.06%0.1227-0.24%0.0211✓1.0227k2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.013709+0.06%0.013148-4.04%0.0264✗0.651.3M2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.037323+0.06%0.036-3.49%0.0172✗0.8010k2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0806+0.06%1.0635-1.52%0.0199✓1.514.5M2022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.021007+0.06%0.021461+2.22%0.0407✓0.8213k2022-08-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005878+0.06%0.005787-1.48%0.0006✓0.682,4852022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.060634+0.06%0.0579-4.46%0.0238✗0.9598k2022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.03652+0.05%0.0353-3.29%0.0117✗0.9486k2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.7036+0.05%6.558-2.12%0.0033✓1.0718.5M2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.460944+0.05%0.4471-2.95%0.0038✗1.13364k2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.06347+0.05%0.064705+2.00%0.0335✓0.60129k2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.336874+0.05%0.3252-3.42%0.0077✗1.17146k2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0627+0.05%1.0458-1.53%0.0040✓0.8448k2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.54610.546363+0.05%0.5489+0.51%0.0251✓0.871.3M2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057623+0.04%0.0576+0.00%0.0264✓1.14258k2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.743+0.04%7.98+3.10%0.0567✓1.13504k2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.468.4631+0.04%8.31-1.77%0.0067✗0.492.0M2022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.335979+0.04%0.31982-4.78%0.0279✗0.91366k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.044115+0.03%0.0429-2.72%0.0050✗0.97166k2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1894+0.03%1.188-0.08%0.0222✓0.991.8M2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.9845+0.03%4.809-3.49%0.0039✗1.358.8M2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.003239+0.03%0.002993-7.57%0.0571✗0.931.2M2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1506+0.03%2.07-3.72%0.0092✗1.23238k2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5748.5791+0.02%47-3.23%0.0035✗1.2511k2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.450564+0.01%0.453+0.55%0.0287✓0.9837.9M2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008911+0.01%0.00864-3.03%0.0127✗0.775.8M2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.10593+0.01%0.102411-3.31%0.0142✗0.837.0M2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.291032+0.01%0.2879-1.07%0.0121✓0.973.2M2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.301089+0.01%0.29332-2.57%0.0015✗1.0412k2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003010.00301+0.01%0.00292-2.99%0.0063✗1.02498k2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19454.1981+0.01%51.582-4.82%0.0319✗0.74322k2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash63.7563.7539+0.01%59.87-6.09%0.0360✗1.131.9M2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.698015+0.00%0.671-3.87%0.0187✗0.88234k2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.256605+0.00%0.2461-4.09%0.0204✗0.9185k2022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5533.5495-0.00%32.31-3.70%0.0022✓1.5013.5M2022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7955.7891-0.00%53.01-4.98%0.0278✓0.9912.8M2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.163988-0.01%0.1487-9.33%0.0721✓1.091,7282022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.144679-0.01%0.1389-4.01%0.0165✓1.03535k2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.5293-0.02%4.47-1.32%0.0013✓0.501.1M2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.225652-0.02%0.226+0.13%0.0229✗0.90501k2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.8408-0.02%1.8168-1.33%0.0128✗1.1031k2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.1019-0.02%1.0506-4.67%0.0181✓1.25973k2022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum5.125.1188-0.02%4.86-5.08%0.0315✓0.861.6M2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration50.1250.1055-0.03%47.47-5.29%0.0305✓1.00560k2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61119.5751-0.03%114.69-4.11%0.0146✓1.154.6M2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.385375-0.03%0.37644-2.35%0.0004✓0.9845k2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.015095-0.03%0.01422-5.83%0.0434✓0.69165k2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.048143-0.03%0.04661-3.22%0.0166✓0.6716k2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.612.5956-0.03%12.2-3.17%0.0063✓1.081.9M2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.9543-0.04%1.89-3.32%0.0062✗1.6890k2022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.248306-0.04%0.2442-1.69%0.0059✗0.9679k2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7283-0.04%1.632-5.61%0.0349✓0.95604k2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.261396-0.04%0.2608-0.27%0.0021✓0.0191k2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.0957-0.05%8.973-1.40%0.0091✗0.961.5M2022-08-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.201789-0.05%0.1956-3.12%0.0075✓1.00133k2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.80e-7-0.06%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0197✗0.8116k2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.6782-0.06%6.257-6.36%0.0438✓0.905.0M2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.104439-0.06%0.1027-1.72%0.0038✗0.87196k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.049071-0.06%0.0484-1.43%0.0098✗1.00814k2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000012472-0.06%0.00001218-2.40%0.0011✓0.96828k2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.06379-0.06%0.06142-3.77%0.0130✓1.051.6M2022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum27.3427.322-0.07%26.6-2.71%0.0037✓0.987.3M2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.440709-0.07%0.425-3.63%0.0121✓1.028,3142022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3291-0.07%1.32-0.75%0.0158✗0.96142k2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.052463-0.07%0.0507-3.43%0.0104✓1.00248k2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.552613-0.07%0.519-6.15%0.0375✓1.0777k2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.89e-7-0.07%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0080✗0.792.1M2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.526613-0.07%0.515-2.28%0.0049✗1.1583k2022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.001528-0.07%0.001486-2.81%0.0112✓0.709,4152022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.524592-0.08%0.497-5.33%0.0243✓1.262,6092022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0892.0874-0.08%2.049-1.91%0.0088✗1.1646k2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.03789-0.08%0.03799+0.18%0.0216✗0.802,7072022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2810.2718-0.08%10.09-1.85%0.0109✗1.22339k2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.305038-0.08%0.298969-2.07%0.0055✗1.08560k2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum101.16101.078-0.08%95.63-5.47%0.0351✓0.863.4M2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.084228-0.09%0.0815-3.32%0.0101✓0.9614k2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.221708-0.09%0.2211-0.36%0.0280✗1.30133k2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.279-0.09%5.3918+2.05%0.0243✗0.14117k2022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4387-0.09%1.61+11.81%0.1112✗-0.06105k2022-08-30
DASHDashDash47.4647.4164-0.09%45.51-4.11%0.0179✓0.98458k2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.128-0.09%2.06-3.29%0.0138✓0.79368k2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.683357-0.09%0.669-2.19%0.0080✗1.244.6M2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase16.4416.4244-0.10%15.8-3.89%0.0125✓1.11107k2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.139415-0.10%0.1352-3.12%0.0016✓1.23210k2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.147841-0.11%0.1464-1.08%0.0143✗1.02149k2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.4933-0.11%1.43-4.35%0.0153✓1.19128k2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.5339-0.12%1.4973-2.50%0.0024✗1.12308k2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8313.8135-0.12%13.86+0.22%0.0301✗1.13959k2022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006688-0.13%0.006537-2.37%0.0128✓0.4258k2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.917562-0.13%0.900508-1.98%0.0005✓0.8270k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.025505-0.14%0.02474-3.13%0.0002✓1.283,3752022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3534.9521-0.14%22.31-36.26%0.4327✓0.691.5M2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2767.2657-0.14%7.008-3.68%0.0113✓1.0512.5M2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660212.6419-0.14%12.3167-2.71%0.0031✓0.9733k2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.365867-0.15%0.3561-2.81%0.0014✓1.09155k2022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.729,068.33-0.15%8,874.58-2.28%0.0107✗1.376.5M2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.18233.1775-0.15%3.1158-2.09%0.0045✗1.0226k2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.7653-0.15%1.823+3.11%0.0542✗0.93121k2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.8513-0.16%2.775-2.84%0.0063✓0.88734k2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43811.419-0.17%11.928+4.28%0.0706✗1.1410.4M2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.173705-0.17%0.169-2.87%0.0027✓1.05363k2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.315.2999-0.19%5.19-2.26%0.0104✓0.452.3M2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.084123-0.20%0.08237-2.28%0.0201✓0.04535k2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.422885-0.22%0.4301+1.49%0.0443✗1.1689k2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.780682-0.22%0.9192+17.48%0.1978✗1.46161k2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1026.0881-0.23%5.751-5.75%0.0468✓0.434.9M2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1774.1674-0.23%4.099-1.87%0.0072✓0.401.9M2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.740.738238-0.24%0.74+0.00%0.0102✗0.3384k2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.7058-0.24%1.7301+1.18%0.0375✗0.991.1M2022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.023304-0.24%0.02405+2.95%0.0508✗0.82419k2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.521742-0.24%0.5123-2.05%0.0011✓0.82586k2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.867196-0.24%0.8324-4.24%0.0156✓1.071.8M2022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.023028-0.25%0.022785-1.30%0.0081✓0.11262k2022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.986551-0.25%1.019+3.03%0.0620✗1.251.4M2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8020,250.93-0.26%19,869.30-2.14%0.0032✗0.9413k2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.94311-0.31%0.994+5.07%0.0629✗0.444.2M2022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.067212-0.31%0.06652-1.33%0.0087✗0.819142022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.008503-0.32%0.00806-5.51%0.0271✓1.12477k2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2664.2525-0.32%4.11-3.66%0.0301✓0.172.3M2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.386.3595-0.32%6.14-3.76%0.0244✓0.451.7M2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.359671-0.33%0.34582-4.17%0.0174✓0.92339k2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.2692-0.33%6.03-4.13%0.0280✓0.462.1M2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.2585-0.34%1.1881-5.92%0.0361✓0.911.4M2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.458-0.35%2.977-14.21%0.1137✓1.533.8M2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.102821-0.37%0.1115+8.04%0.0992✗0.77235k2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.004054-0.39%0.00402-1.23%0.0151✗1.00158k2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.8651-0.41%3.8429-0.98%0.0086✗0.613.3M2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001395-0.44%0.001348-3.79%0.0152✓0.802.1M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.157684-0.45%0.15379-2.90%0.0232✗2.046362022-08-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.6583-0.46%4.3186-7.72%0.0521✓1.00150k2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.00013108-0.47%0.00015837+20.25%0.2077✗0.79366k2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.1783-0.59%3.795-9.71%0.0728✓0.99245k2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.036547-0.61%0.03529-4.03%0.0112✓1.0140k2022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.214531-0.63%0.1967-8.89%0.0674✓0.823.1M2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.2504-0.78%3.133-4.37%0.0242✓0.53650k2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.7308-0.81%5.6189-2.75%0.0148✓0.215.2M2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07746.0079-1.14%6.0023-1.24%0.0056✓0.275.2M2022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000049267-1.33%0.00004589-8.09%0.0505✓0.871.7M2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77712.5881-1.48%12.481-2.32%0.0034✓0.507.6M2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-78.50e-7-1.82%0.000001089+25.81%0.2685✗0.87930k2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.