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2022-08-29 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0973
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.3%
in alpha space · 83.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000048676-2.51%0.00004589-8.09%0.0385✓0.871.7M2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-78.48e-7-1.98%0.000001089+25.81%0.2702✗0.87930k2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.2244-1.57%3.133-4.37%0.0161✓0.53650k2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77712.6032-1.36%12.481-2.32%0.0022✓0.507.6M2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.9951-1.35%6.0023-1.24%0.0077✓0.275.2M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.156456-1.22%0.15379-2.90%0.0310✗2.046362022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000130193-1.14%0.00015837+20.25%0.2145✗0.79366k2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.008436-1.10%0.00806-5.51%0.0192✓1.12477k2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.937491-0.90%0.994+5.07%0.0689✗0.444.2M2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.357857-0.83%0.34582-4.17%0.0124✓0.92339k2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.4422-0.80%2.977-14.21%0.1091✓1.533.8M2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.036479-0.79%0.03529-4.03%0.0093✓1.0140k2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.004038-0.78%0.00402-1.23%0.0190✗1.00158k2022-08-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.6473-0.70%4.3186-7.72%0.0497✓1.00150k2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.7381-0.69%5.6189-2.75%0.0161✓0.215.2M2022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.022934-0.66%0.022785-1.30%0.0040✓0.11262k2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.1755-0.65%3.795-9.71%0.0721✓0.99245k2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.438204-0.63%0.425-3.63%0.0064✓1.028,3142022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.21458-0.61%0.1967-8.89%0.0676✓0.823.1M2022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4314-0.60%1.61+11.81%0.1162✗-0.06105k2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8020,191.84-0.55%19,869.30-2.14%0.0061✗0.9413k2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.8607-0.52%3.8429-0.98%0.0097✗0.613.3M2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.138856-0.50%0.1352-3.12%0.0024✓1.23210k2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.315.2857-0.46%5.19-2.26%0.0077✓0.452.3M2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.383737-0.46%0.37644-2.35%0.0039✓0.9845k2022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.067121-0.44%0.06652-1.33%0.0101✗0.819142022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43811.3881-0.44%11.928+4.28%0.0733✗1.1410.4M2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero152.71152.071-0.42%148.87-2.51%0.0020✓0.981.3M2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.2576-0.42%1.1881-5.92%0.0354✓0.911.4M2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.386.3536-0.41%6.14-3.76%0.0235✓0.451.7M2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1774.1601-0.40%4.099-1.87%0.0054✓0.401.9M2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.520917-0.40%0.5123-2.05%0.0027✓0.82586k2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.265-0.40%6.03-4.13%0.0274✓0.462.1M2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.468.4269-0.39%8.31-1.77%0.0024✓0.492.0M2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.083968-0.38%0.08237-2.28%0.0182✓0.04535k2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.015043-0.38%0.01422-5.83%0.0400✓0.69165k2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.4894-0.37%1.43-4.35%0.0126✓1.19128k2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.422239-0.37%0.4301+1.49%0.0459✗1.1689k2022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.001523-0.36%0.001486-2.81%0.0083✓0.709,4152022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006672-0.35%0.006537-2.37%0.0105✓0.4258k2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum101.16100.8044-0.35%95.63-5.47%0.0324✓0.863.4M2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.8461-0.35%2.775-2.84%0.0045✓0.88734k2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.047997-0.34%0.04661-3.22%0.0135✓0.6716k2022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum27.3427.248-0.34%26.6-2.71%0.0010✓0.987.3M2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.18233.1718-0.33%3.1158-2.09%0.0063✗1.0226k2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.260651-0.32%0.2608-0.27%0.0008✓0.0191k2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.037797-0.32%0.03799+0.18%0.0241✗0.802,7072022-08-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1702-0.32%1.083-7.75%0.0363✓1.743.3M2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.7044-0.32%1.7301+1.18%0.0383✗0.991.1M2022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.98586-0.32%1.019+3.03%0.0627✗1.251.4M2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.866546-0.32%0.8324-4.24%0.0149✓1.071.8M2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.043964-0.31%0.0429-2.72%0.0015✓0.97166k2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.060416-0.30%0.0579-4.46%0.0202✓0.9598k2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum32.4932.3929-0.30%31.05-4.43%0.0026✓1.90288k2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.77e-7-0.30%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0221✗0.8116k2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.34658-0.29%0.33647-3.20%0.0063✓0.9947k2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001397-0.28%0.001348-3.79%0.0168✓0.802.1M2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1026.0849-0.28%5.751-5.75%0.0463✓0.434.9M2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2664.2545-0.27%4.11-3.66%0.0306✓0.172.3M2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.523588-0.27%0.497-5.33%0.0224✓1.262,6092022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.023297-0.27%0.02405+2.95%0.0511✗0.82419k2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.102923-0.27%0.1115+8.04%0.0982✗0.77235k2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.612.5665-0.27%12.2-3.17%0.0040✓1.081.9M2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.459498-0.26%0.4471-2.95%0.0007✓1.13364k2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.300289-0.26%0.29332-2.57%0.0011✓1.0412k2022-08-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005859-0.25%0.005787-1.48%0.0037✗0.682,4852022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.10565-0.25%0.102411-3.31%0.0115✓0.837.0M2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.172065-0.25%0.1811+4.99%0.0841✗1.392,2552022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.044453-0.25%0.043415-2.58%0.0036✓0.8530k2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.365482-0.25%0.3561-2.81%0.0003✓1.09155k2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.163594-0.25%0.1487-9.33%0.0697✓1.091,7282022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.525706-0.25%0.515-2.28%0.0067✗1.1583k2022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2810.2551-0.24%10.09-1.85%0.0125✗1.22339k2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.449441-0.24%0.453+0.55%0.0312✗0.9837.9M2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.54610.544826-0.23%0.5489+0.51%0.0279✗0.871.3M2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.7639-0.23%1.823+3.11%0.0550✗0.93121k2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.696425-0.23%0.671-3.87%0.0164✓0.88234k2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000012452-0.22%0.00001218-2.40%0.0005✓0.96828k2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.6671-0.22%6.257-6.36%0.0421✓0.905.0M2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase16.4416.4048-0.21%15.8-3.89%0.0113✓1.11107k2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.5203-0.21%4.47-1.32%0.0007✓0.501.1M2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2217.1833-0.21%17.33+0.64%0.0256✗0.72921k2022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.247873-0.21%0.2442-1.69%0.0077✗0.9679k2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008891-0.21%0.00864-3.03%0.0104✓0.775.8M2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.916806-0.21%0.900508-1.98%0.0014✓0.8270k2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.144399-0.21%0.1389-4.01%0.0146✓1.03535k2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.225232-0.21%0.226+0.13%0.0247✗0.90501k2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.063306-0.21%0.064705+2.00%0.0361✗0.60129k2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.130337-0.20%0.1325+1.45%0.0298✗0.573.7M2022-08-30
DASHDashDash47.4647.367-0.20%45.51-4.11%0.0169✓0.98458k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.02549-0.19%0.02474-3.13%0.0004✓1.283,3752022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036429-0.19%0.0353-3.29%0.0093✓0.9486k2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.173663-0.19%0.169-2.87%0.0024✓1.05363k2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.297522-0.19%0.2917-2.15%0.0017✓0.916.9M2022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3534.9333-0.19%22.31-36.26%0.4322✓0.691.5M2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.14772-0.19%0.1464-1.08%0.0151✗1.02149k2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.06371-0.18%0.06142-3.77%0.0118✓1.051.6M2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.052405-0.18%0.0507-3.43%0.0093✓1.00248k2022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.6122-0.18%1.556-3.65%0.0071✓1.2085k2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28365.2744-0.18%5.3918+2.05%0.0252✗0.14117k2022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5533.4914-0.17%32.31-3.70%0.0005✓1.5013.5M2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.06359-0.17%0.0625-1.88%0.0043✗0.91105k2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash63.7563.6407-0.17%59.87-6.09%0.0343✓1.131.9M2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.88e-7-0.17%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0090✗0.792.1M2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0781-0.17%1.0635-1.52%0.0222✗1.514.5M2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.963968-0.17%0.9633-0.24%0.0119✗0.533.6M2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.084161-0.16%0.0815-3.32%0.0093✓0.9614k2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.8382-0.16%1.8168-1.33%0.0142✗1.1031k2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.104335-0.16%0.1027-1.72%0.0048✗0.87196k2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.794108-0.16%0.77064-3.11%0.0086✓0.90509k2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.290543-0.16%0.2879-1.07%0.0138✗0.973.2M2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration50.1250.0416-0.16%47.47-5.29%0.0292✓1.00560k2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.130896-0.16%0.1276-2.67%0.0022✓0.991.7M2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1872-0.15%1.188-0.08%0.0240✗0.991.8M2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.049025-0.15%0.0484-1.43%0.0107✗1.00814k2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.122817-0.15%0.1227-0.24%0.0232✗1.0227k2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,549.43-0.14%1,524.81-1.73%0.0162✗1.36608.4M2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.55322-0.14%0.5402-2.49%0.0069✗1.3039k2022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.729,068.78-0.14%8,874.58-2.28%0.0107✗1.376.5M2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.003233-0.14%0.002993-7.57%0.0554✓0.931.2M2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.740.738986-0.14%0.74+0.00%0.0092✗0.3384k2022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7955.7153-0.13%53.01-4.98%0.0264✓0.9912.8M2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.671109-0.13%0.652-2.98%0.0066✓0.94217k2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.106159-0.13%0.103-3.10%0.0044✓1.093.4M2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9720,260.13-0.13%19,813.17-2.34%0.0013✗1.00485.5M2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.013683-0.13%0.013148-4.04%0.0245✓0.651.3M2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0607-0.13%1.0458-1.53%0.0058✗0.8448k2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.037252-0.13%0.036-3.49%0.0153✓0.8010k2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19454.1237-0.13%51.582-4.82%0.0305✓0.74322k2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5748.5079-0.13%47-3.23%0.0021✓1.2511k2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.349457-0.13%0.3341-4.52%0.0150✓1.27176k2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.0885-0.13%8.973-1.40%0.0099✗0.961.5M2022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.335438-0.13%0.31982-4.78%0.0263✓0.91366k2022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0892.0864-0.12%2.049-1.91%0.0093✗1.1646k2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003010.003006-0.12%0.00292-2.99%0.0049✓1.02498k2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660212.6447-0.12%12.3167-2.71%0.0033✓0.9733k2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.9771-0.12%4.809-3.49%0.0024✓1.358.8M2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.731-0.12%7.98+3.10%0.0583✗1.13504k2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.321929-0.12%0.3098-3.88%0.0127✓1.09112k2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.7815-0.12%0.9192+17.48%0.1968✗1.46161k2022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3285-0.11%1.32-0.75%0.0163✗0.96142k2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001634-0.11%0.001548-5.38%0.0313✓0.97484k2022-08-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.201683-0.11%0.1956-3.12%0.0070✓1.00133k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.006483-0.10%0.0062-4.47%0.0298✓0.631.1M2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61119.4885-0.10%114.69-4.11%0.0138✓1.154.6M2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.1279-0.10%2.06-3.29%0.0137✓0.79368k2022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.2618-0.09%1.233-2.38%0.0052✗1.20471k2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.221699-0.09%0.2211-0.36%0.0280✗1.30133k2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.072775-0.09%0.07109-2.40%0.0046✗1.1927k2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.10091-0.09%0.097-3.96%0.0223✓0.732,9872022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.044406-0.09%0.042966-3.33%0.0208✓0.5228k2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.282751-0.09%0.284+0.35%0.0217✗0.73686k2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.256387-0.08%0.2461-4.09%0.0195✓0.9185k2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.683447-0.08%0.669-2.19%0.0079✗1.244.6M2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.6949-0.08%6.558-2.12%0.0046✗1.0718.5M2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.5346-0.07%1.4973-2.50%0.0020✗1.12308k2022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.98628-0.07%0.9513-3.62%0.0073✓1.22963k2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.210048-0.07%0.2089-0.62%0.0186✗1.0260k2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7278-0.07%1.632-5.61%0.0346✓0.95604k2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2767.2709-0.07%7.008-3.68%0.0120✓1.0512.5M2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.305073-0.07%0.298969-2.07%0.0054✗1.08560k2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.022655-0.07%0.02038-10.10%0.0853✓0.8711.8M2022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.02098-0.07%0.021461+2.22%0.0420✗0.8213k2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.336478-0.07%0.3252-3.42%0.0065✓1.17146k2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.37010.36987-0.06%0.3613-2.38%0.0042✗1.17398k2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.9539-0.06%1.89-3.32%0.0065✗1.6890k2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.552698-0.05%0.519-6.15%0.0377✓1.0777k2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana32.4132.3948-0.05%31.48-2.87%0.0005✓1.1965.9M2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.09236-0.04%0.0889-3.79%0.0154✓0.97404k2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.1017-0.03%1.0506-4.67%0.0180✓1.25973k2022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum5.125.1183-0.03%4.86-5.08%0.0314✓0.861.6M2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8313.8255-0.03%13.86+0.22%0.0293✗1.13959k2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.2395-0.02%2.07-7.59%0.0669✓0.5097k2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7685.7438-0.02%84.38-1.61%0.0197✗1.516.3M2022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.3974.3962-0.02%4.2549-3.23%0.0145✓0.77765k2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.681184-0.02%0.6566-3.63%0.0033✓1.42226k2022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061696-0.01%0.0617+0.00%0.0295✗1.25851k2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057602+0.00%0.0576+0.00%0.0268✓1.14258k2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.1456+0.01%2.0768-3.19%0.0043✗1.2013k2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0156.0179+0.05%5.711-5.05%0.0317✗0.879.9M2022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9191.9201+0.06%2.012+4.85%0.0790✓1.361.3M2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1515+0.07%2.07-3.72%0.0096✗1.23238k2022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.876306+0.10%0.88331+0.90%0.0312✓0.9815k2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.066593+0.12%0.06327-4.87%0.0249✗1.112.1M2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3396.3485+0.15%6.174-2.60%0.0033✓1.329.9M2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3319.3612+0.16%19.38+0.26%0.0321✓1.3222.5M2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.