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2022-08-28 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3134
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 45.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FLOWFlownative1.6921.7014+0.56%1.919+13.42%0.0710✓1.341.2M2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.7665+0.48%6.339+10.45%0.0467✓1.3010.0M2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.062549+0.42%0.06651+6.77%0.0206✓1.112.2M2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.9576+0.39%2.15+10.26%0.0488✓1.22255k2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.3652+0.38%1.495+9.93%0.0477✓1.17128k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.5964+0.36%19.33+4.32%0.0098✗1.3222.5M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.6584+0.34%6.015+6.67%0.0295✓0.8610.1M2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00342.0087+0.26%2.1453+7.08%0.0217✓1.2013k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.848486+0.26%0.87542+3.45%0.0050✗0.9814k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00431.0068+0.25%1.1021+9.74%0.0448✓1.24973k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.305113+0.23%0.3223+5.88%0.0150✓1.08112k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002993+0.20%0.003238+8.40%0.0451✓0.911.1M2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.6031+0.19%1.729+8.06%0.0411✓0.94623k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.8739+0.19%7.276+6.05%0.0185✓1.0413.1M2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.35290.353537+0.18%0.3701+4.87%0.0029✓1.17410k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5778.7107+0.18%85.76+9.15%0.0307✓1.506.5M2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.2618+0.17%6.7+7.18%0.0287✓1.0619.0M2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.320548+0.17%0.3367+5.22%0.0064✓1.16146k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.085542+0.17%0.0924+8.20%0.0419✓0.96409k2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.367883+0.16%0.4238+15.38%0.1001✓1.1289k2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum29.2629.3062+0.16%32.49+11.04%0.0339✓1.88304k2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1939+0.16%1.263+5.96%0.0123✓1.20491k2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0541.0556+0.15%1.174+11.39%0.0426✓1.733.3M2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.27.2108+0.15%7.74+7.50%0.0297✓1.12534k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.64727+0.15%0.6813+5.42%0.0008✓1.41242k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.525763+0.15%0.553+5.33%0.0114✓1.0678k2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.02165+0.14%0.02267+4.86%0.0143✓0.8612.4M2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.48967+0.14%0.525+7.36%0.0235✓1.252,6092022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana30.4530.4905+0.13%32.41+6.44%0.0176✓1.1867.0M2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.099329+0.13%0.1063+7.16%0.0279✓1.093.6M2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.7174+0.13%1.8412+7.35%0.0296✓1.0931k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1613.177+0.13%13.83+5.09%0.0068✓1.131.0M2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.4278+0.13%1.5357+7.69%0.0319✓1.11319k2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.378,483.92+0.12%9,081.72+7.18%0.0180✓1.366.5M2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.826+0.12%5.12+6.22%0.0276✓0.861.6M2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9330.9679+0.12%33.55+8.47%0.0253✓1.4914.6M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.8302+0.12%1.955+6.95%0.0043✓1.6890k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.645773+0.12%0.698+8.22%0.0460✓0.86242k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.775325+0.12%0.8693+12.25%0.0760✓1.041.9M2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.060469+0.11%0.0617+2.15%0.0260✗1.26908k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.138253+0.11%0.164+18.75%0.1324✓1.041,7802022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,428.16+0.11%1,551.65+8.76%0.0332✓1.35597.1M2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2313+0.10%1.33+8.13%0.0423✓0.95154k2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.9854+0.10%3.1823+6.70%0.0267✓1.0126k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.045544+0.10%0.0491+7.91%0.0390✓0.98843k2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.934054+0.09%0.987+5.77%0.0104✓1.22972k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.5123+0.09%1.615+6.88%0.0217✓1.2088k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.06903+0.09%0.07284+5.61%0.0101✓1.1927k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.340292+0.09%0.3664+7.76%0.0344✓1.07170k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.99421+0.08%1.0799+8.71%0.0273✓1.514.6M2022-08-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.190431+0.07%0.2019+6.10%0.0217✓1.00146k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.9453+0.06%2.089+7.46%0.0291✓1.1547k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59112.6625+0.06%119.61+6.24%0.0177✓1.144.7M2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.363273+0.06%0.3855+6.19%0.0238✓0.9745k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.326303+0.06%0.3499+7.30%0.0233✓1.26176k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.01301+0.06%0.013701+5.38%0.0283✓0.641.3M2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.291436+0.05%0.305285+4.81%0.0066✓1.08593k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.118263+0.05%0.1311+10.91%0.0678✓0.961.8M2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3311.3356+0.05%12.6+11.21%0.0668✓1.061.9M2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.645307+0.05%0.684+6.05%0.0132✓1.224.8M2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8543.8702+0.05%48.57+10.76%0.0564✓1.2312k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.020395+0.05%0.020994+2.98%0.0011✗0.8213k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.651+0.04%4.983+7.18%0.0196✓1.348.9M2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,561.59+0.04%20,286.97+3.75%0.0004✗1.00474.0M2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.002890.002891+0.04%0.00301+4.15%0.0028✓1.02508k2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.967+0.03%3.47+16.99%0.1018✓1.493.8M2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.631215+0.03%0.672+6.50%0.0283✓0.93235k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.32284.3243+0.03%4.397+1.72%0.0117✗0.77775k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration45.445.4144+0.03%50.12+10.40%0.0627✓0.98560k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.748548+0.03%0.79536+6.29%0.0277✓0.89509k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.139633+0.02%0.148+6.02%0.0210✓1.01149k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.049309+0.02%0.0525+6.49%0.0261✓1.00249k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.133722+0.02%0.1447+8.23%0.0415✓1.02553k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.273141+0.01%0.291+6.55%0.0280✓0.963.2M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.058208+0.01%0.0576-1.03%0.0531✗1.16252k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase14.814.8007+0.00%16.44+11.08%0.0650✓1.09119k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.275003+0.00%0.283+2.91%0.0018✓0.73710k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.120199-0.00%0.1306+8.65%0.0628✗0.553.8M2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.313619-0.00%0.33586+7.09%0.0355✗0.90378k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035695-0.02%0.0373+4.48%0.0148✗0.7911k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.079185-0.02%0.0843+6.44%0.0274✗0.9614k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.213355-0.02%0.2219+3.98%0.0087✓1.30133k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.04417-0.02%0.04816+9.01%0.0628✗0.6416k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.202351-0.02%0.2102+3.85%0.0005✗1.0261k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006418-0.03%0.00649+1.09%0.0122✓0.631.1M2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.236135-0.03%0.2484+5.17%0.0156✗0.9579k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.044383-0.03%0.044446+0.11%0.0178✓0.5228k2022-08-29
DASHDashDash44.1444.1268-0.03%47.46+7.52%0.0372✗0.97466k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3853.3633-0.03%55.79+4.51%0.0082✗0.9812.8M2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06212.0567-0.04%12.6602+4.96%0.0133✗0.9735k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.487781-0.04%0.527+7.99%0.0352✗1.1486k2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.6058-0.05%2.856+9.55%0.0600✗0.86734k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum25.3525.3385-0.05%27.34+7.85%0.0406✗0.967.3M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.862101-0.05%0.918733+6.52%0.0340✗0.8177k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79351.7677-0.05%54.194+4.64%0.0187✗0.74328k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.099549-0.05%0.101+1.41%0.0124✓0.733,2112022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.163915-0.05%0.174+6.10%0.0205✗1.07399k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.524096-0.05%0.55401+5.65%0.0078✗1.3041k2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.783776-0.05%0.7824-0.23%0.0562✓1.48161k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.28214-0.06%0.2981+5.60%0.0219✗0.907.1M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.061863-0.06%0.0637+2.91%0.0042✓0.91107k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.2712-0.06%6.682+6.49%0.0305✗0.895.2M2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.101237-0.06%0.1045+3.16%0.0004✓0.87200k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.1283-0.06%1.189+5.31%0.0162✗0.981.9M2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.061711-0.06%0.063828+3.37%0.0050✓1.051.7M2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001586-0.06%0.001636+3.09%0.0043✓0.96538k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.434614-0.07%0.4607+5.93%0.0170✗1.12364k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash61.1761.1293-0.07%63.75+4.22%0.0003✓1.131.9M2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008474-0.07%0.00891+5.07%0.0220✗0.766.2M2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0785-0.07%2.13+2.40%0.0047✓0.79384k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.49e-7-0.07%8.90e-7+4.71%0.0180✗0.782.3M2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.809-0.08%9.1+3.22%0.0030✓0.961.5M2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.3281-0.08%2.24-3.86%0.0576✓0.5293k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.02418-0.08%0.02554+5.54%0.0077✗1.283,4352022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.292702-0.08%0.30106+2.77%0.0103✓1.0412k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.502-0.08%10.28+8.10%0.0344✗1.20386k2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.932603-0.09%0.9656+3.45%0.0153✗0.533.6M2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.00001176-0.09%0.00001248+6.03%0.0245✗0.95886k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum92.3192.2293-0.09%101.16+9.59%0.0616✗0.843.3M2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.118291-0.09%0.123+3.89%0.0014✗1.0230k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.730.729301-0.10%0.74+1.37%0.0023✗0.3384k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6716.654-0.10%17.22+3.30%0.0069✗0.72952k2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.03841.0374-0.10%1.0621+2.28%0.0076✓0.8550k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.055342-0.10%0.0606+9.39%0.0566✗0.9399k2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.034463-0.11%0.0365+5.80%0.0231✗0.9386k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.428632-0.11%0.4505+4.99%0.0135✗0.9939.2M2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.097983-0.12%0.1032+5.20%0.0238✗0.76247k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.327657-0.12%0.3476+5.96%0.0230✗0.9850k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.26346-0.13%0.2566-2.73%0.0606✓0.9394k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.59e-7-0.13%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0055✓0.8116k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.042939-0.13%0.044565+3.65%0.0060✗0.8529k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.3343-0.13%4.53+4.38%0.0260✗0.491.3M2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.1676-0.14%5.2836+2.10%0.0174✗0.13119k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.7304-0.15%1.768+2.02%0.0132✓0.94137k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001344-0.15%0.001401+4.11%0.0124✗0.802.1M2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52820.52739-0.15%0.5461+3.39%0.0028✗0.871.3M2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,616.14-0.15%20,303.80+3.35%0.0002✓0.9411k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.022105-0.16%0.02336+5.51%0.0255✗0.81419k2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.00551-0.16%0.005874+6.44%0.0392✗0.672,5882022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.7997-0.16%6.102+5.04%0.0353✗0.425.3M2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.838617-0.16%0.946+12.62%0.1056✗0.404.2M2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.102566-0.17%0.105918+3.10%0.0015✓0.837.1M2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.914457-0.17%0.989+7.97%0.0327✗1.241.4M2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero146.4146.1439-0.17%152.71+4.31%0.0078✗0.981.2M2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0964.0887-0.18%4.266+4.15%0.0367✗0.162.3M2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.217909-0.18%0.2257+3.39%0.0018✗0.90528k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003923-0.19%0.00407+3.56%0.0003✓0.99158k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.061273-0.19%0.063437+3.33%0.0126✗0.60142k2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3873-0.20%1.44+3.60%0.0400✗-0.07105k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.158884-0.20%0.1725+8.35%0.0313✗1.382,2552022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.8579-0.21%6.29+7.16%0.0549✗0.442.1M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.237.1219-0.21%35-5.91%0.0850✓0.711.6M2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.5361-0.22%11.438+8.32%0.0406✗1.1310.4M2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.6619-0.22%1.7099+2.66%0.0079✓0.991.2M2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.1981-0.24%1.2628+5.15%0.0194✗0.901.5M2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0245-0.26%6.38+5.63%0.0412✗0.441.9M2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.035427-0.26%0.03677+3.52%0.0001✓1.0131k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.098.0683-0.27%8.46+4.57%0.0298✗0.482.1M2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.041786-0.27%0.0441+5.25%0.0182✗0.97175k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.9869-0.28%4.177+4.48%0.0324✗0.392.0M2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.131335-0.29%0.13956+5.95%0.0154✗1.23210k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.410734-0.31%0.441+7.04%0.0338✗1.018,1172022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.037198-0.33%0.03792+1.61%0.0105✓0.812,7072022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001498-0.33%0.001529+1.73%0.0054✓0.709,7092022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260072-0.36%0.2615+0.19%0.0052✗0.0191k2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006682-0.39%0.006696-0.18%0.0136✓0.4358k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.497587-0.40%0.523+4.68%0.0193✗0.83625k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.01472-0.40%0.0151+2.17%0.0002✓0.69165k2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.165.1391-0.41%5.31+2.91%0.0165✗0.442.5M2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.2093-0.43%0.2159+2.71%0.0007✓0.822.9M2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.086008-0.43%0.08429-2.42%0.0224✓0.06598k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.638-0.48%3.8811+6.17%0.0429✗0.593.7M2022-08-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.3651-0.54%4.68+6.64%0.0329✗1.00147k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1064.0836-0.54%4.203+2.36%0.0080✓1.00245k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.361662-0.61%0.36085-0.84%0.0369✓0.94321k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.02282-0.62%0.023085+0.53%0.0076✗0.11262k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.15866-0.69%0.15839-0.86%0.0779✓2.076362022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.5133-0.73%5.7778+4.04%0.0395✗0.205.2M2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.066614-0.75%0.06742+0.45%0.0180✓0.829142022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.008186-0.77%0.00853+3.39%0.0002✓1.12477k2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.00012354-1.25%0.0001317+5.28%0.0355✗0.77352k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43525.3632-1.33%6.0774+11.82%0.1161✗0.244.6M2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.67e-7-1.36%8.65e-7+11.23%0.0890✗0.85542k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38212.1833-1.61%12.777+3.19%0.0291✗0.506.1M2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000045622-2.43%0.00004993+6.78%0.0587✗0.861.7M2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.7602-2.99%3.276-15.48%0.1599✓0.60650k2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.