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2022-08-27 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0508
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.7%
in alpha space · 31.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FLOWFlownative1.8231.8371+0.77%1.692-7.19%0.0498✗1.331.2M2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum30.0530.2623+0.71%29.26-2.63%0.0123✓1.89327k2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.316502+0.67%0.3044-3.18%0.0107✗1.16112k2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.0251.0316+0.64%1.054+2.83%0.0640✓1.743.4M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.064661+0.59%0.06229-3.10%0.0102✗1.122.4M2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.350895+0.49%0.3261-6.62%0.0431✗1.24191k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1182.4779+0.45%78.57-4.31%0.0107✗1.556.7M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.125115+0.41%0.1182-5.14%0.0341✗0.931.9M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.4096+0.40%1.36-3.13%0.0072✗1.18130k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.852+0.39%5.639-3.26%0.0160✗0.8610.1M2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.78142+0.39%0.74832-3.87%0.0209✗0.92512k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0566.0786+0.37%5.739-5.23%0.0254✗1.3210.1M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.3764.3922+0.37%4.3228-1.22%0.0028✓0.77798k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.36380.365008+0.33%0.3529-3.00%0.0052✗1.17432k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.6907+0.33%3.876+44.52%0.3811✓0.66650k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.9003+0.32%2.966+2.59%0.0609✓1.583.8M2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.003051+0.32%0.002987-1.78%0.0005✓0.891.1M2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0921+0.30%2.0034-3.96%0.0136✗1.2213k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative3333.0977+0.30%30.93-6.27%0.0326✗1.4415.4M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.067694+0.29%0.06897+2.18%0.0479✓1.2028k2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.337.351+0.29%7.2-1.77%0.0063✓1.11592k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.064079+0.28%0.0619-3.13%0.0128✗0.90111k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.103584+0.27%0.0992-3.97%0.0166✗1.093.7M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.091042+0.27%0.0854-5.95%0.0409✗0.95414k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,494.96+0.25%1,426.63-4.33%0.0140✗1.35597.1M2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.123906+0.25%0.1202-2.75%0.0164✗0.573.9M2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana31.5431.6177+0.25%30.45-3.46%0.0094✗1.1668.8M2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.9293+0.25%11.33-4.79%0.0239✗1.131.9M2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.686975+0.24%0.6463-5.69%0.0260✗1.44257k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.289603+0.24%0.2823-2.28%0.0031✗0.927.4M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.2239+0.24%1.192-2.38%0.0037✓1.24518k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.280661+0.24%0.275-1.79%0.0028✗0.72772k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.664508+0.23%0.645-2.71%0.0082✗0.89248k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.6337+0.23%1.511-7.30%0.0487✗1.2093k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.045279+0.22%0.04418-2.21%0.0077✗0.6916k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.152715+0.21%0.1381-9.38%0.0741✗1.091,7802022-08-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001609+0.21%0.001587-1.18%0.0098✓0.98538k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.37677+0.20%0.3673-2.31%0.0020✓1.1289k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.05+0.20%0.9934-5.20%0.0190✗1.494.7M2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.336889+0.20%0.32806-2.43%0.0026✗0.9852k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6920,075.77+0.20%19,554.03-2.41%0.0019✗1.00474.0M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006612+0.19%0.00642-2.73%0.0138✗0.651.1M2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero145.16145.4299+0.19%146.4+0.85%0.0310✓1.001.2M2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.967858+0.18%0.9332-3.41%0.0068✗1.22999k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.653184+0.18%0.631-3.22%0.0115✗0.94266k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.207072+0.18%0.2024-2.08%0.0020✓1.0261k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.5421+0.17%6.251-4.29%0.0194✗1.0719.3M2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0946.1674+0.17%43.85-4.86%0.0212✗1.2412k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.368355+0.17%0.36304-1.28%0.0089✓0.9651k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0420.0734+0.17%18.53-7.53%0.0486✗1.2923.0M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.7647+0.16%4.649-2.27%0.0088✓1.379.3M2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.841348+0.16%0.84+0.00%0.0084✓0.414.2M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.509804+0.16%0.489-3.93%0.0115✗1.242,6092022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.964511+0.16%0.9334-3.07%0.0192✗0.563.6M2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.023066+0.16%0.02162-6.12%0.0439✗0.8613.0M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5417.5673+0.16%16.67-4.96%0.0352✗0.71965k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.542389+0.15%0.52437-3.17%0.0025✗1.2843k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.790812+0.15%0.7744-1.93%0.0053✓1.082.0M2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.1131+0.15%1.95-7.58%0.0503✗1.23281k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.412609+0.15%0.412+0.00%0.0226✓0.998,1172022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.044774+0.15%0.042995-3.83%0.0197✗0.8530k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.060889+0.15%0.0604-0.66%0.0218✓1.23984k2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.013197+0.14%0.013002-1.34%0.0009✓0.651.4M2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.457353+0.14%0.4349-4.77%0.0231✗1.12386k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.8769+0.14%4.82-1.03%0.0091✓0.851.6M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase15.215.2215+0.14%14.8-2.63%0.0010✓1.11125k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.865268+0.14%0.84626-2.06%0.0017✓0.9814k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.132384+0.14%0.13172-0.36%0.0245✓1.21210k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.03665+0.14%0.0357-2.46%0.0057✗0.8411k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6923+0.14%1.6-5.33%0.0331✗0.94704k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash61.3661.4432+0.14%61.17-0.31%0.0230✓1.131.9M2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.279966+0.13%0.2731-2.32%0.0016✗0.953.3M2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0626+0.13%1.0043-5.36%0.0259✗1.25981k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005625+0.13%0.005519-1.76%0.0027✗0.672,5882022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.118744+0.12%0.1184-0.17%0.0220✓1.0232k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.103625+0.12%0.0996-3.77%0.0223✗0.713,4822022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.045455+0.12%0.044396-2.21%0.0109✗0.5230k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.043651+0.12%0.0419-3.90%0.0170✗0.98175k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056966+0.12%0.0554-2.64%0.0060✗0.9099k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum94.3894.4892+0.12%92.31-2.19%0.0024✗0.863.4M2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.002920.002923+0.11%0.00289-1.03%0.0138✓1.03520k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034838+0.11%0.0345-0.86%0.0124✓0.9186k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.0498+0.10%1.0384-0.99%0.0099✓0.8551k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.140539+0.10%0.1337-4.77%0.0263✗0.97624k2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53350.534023+0.10%0.5282-0.99%0.0107✓0.891.6M2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1471+0.10%1.129-1.48%0.0082✓0.992.1M2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020692+0.09%0.020386-1.39%0.0053✓0.8313k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008708+0.09%0.00848-2.53%0.0079✗0.776.4M2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration45.8445.882+0.09%45.4-0.96%0.0135✓0.99572k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.282536+0.09%0.29294+3.78%0.0617✓1.0512k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9617+0.09%1.828-6.73%0.0286✗1.7294k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26115.3559+0.08%112.59-2.32%0.0033✓1.134.8M2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.330033+0.08%0.31363-4.89%0.0267✗0.99391k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,789.90+0.08%8,473.37-3.52%0.0033✗1.376.8M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.4068+0.08%8.09-3.69%0.0273✗0.462.1M2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.047436+0.08%0.0455-4.01%0.0180✗0.97843k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.129+0.07%2.9825-4.62%0.0234✗1.0127k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2908+0.07%1.23-4.65%0.0249✗0.96170k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.242553+0.06%0.2362-2.56%0.0032✗0.9681k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.169406+0.06%0.1592-5.97%0.0285✗1.382,1742022-08-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.02420.024215+0.06%0.025+3.31%0.0471✓0.6252k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum25.825.8157+0.06%25.35-1.74%0.0052✓0.967.4M2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0353.0606+0.06%53.38+0.66%0.0302✓0.9913.0M2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7888+0.05%1.7152-4.07%0.0158✗1.0733k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4712+0.05%2.33-5.67%0.0464✗0.5189k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.510238+0.05%0.488-4.31%0.0167✗1.1488k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37452.3984+0.05%51.793-1.11%0.0064✓0.74332k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050923+0.05%0.0493-3.14%0.0083✗0.99252k2022-08-28
DASHDashDash45.1345.1472+0.04%44.14-2.19%0.0013✓0.98486k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.105632+0.04%0.102736-2.71%0.0071✗0.857.4M2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.062957+0.03%0.061392-2.45%0.0107✗0.59151k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum1010.0031+0.03%9.51-4.90%0.0217✗1.18439k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.3048+0.03%6.275-0.44%0.0180✓0.935.2M2022-08-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.195754+0.03%0.1903-2.76%0.0039✗1.00149k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.353289+0.03%0.32-9.40%0.0714✗1.13152k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000036889+0.03%0.00004676+26.79%0.2590✓0.901.7M2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.356978+0.02%0.34-4.74%0.0217✗1.11175k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.450.450094+0.02%0.4291-4.64%0.0225✗1.0440.7M2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.221134+0.02%0.2183-1.27%0.0093✓0.91504k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.5907+0.02%4.34-5.45%0.0447✗0.471.3M2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0447.045+0.01%6.861-2.60%0.0015✗1.0213.7M2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0282.0283+0.01%1.944-4.14%0.0145✗1.1549k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.101512+0.01%0.1013-0.20%0.0191✓0.87212k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.063428+0.01%0.06175-2.64%0.0014✗1.041.7M2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000012161+0.01%0.00001177-3.21%0.0098✗0.94895k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.01518+0.00%0.01478-2.64%0.0104✗0.67165k2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.141898-0.00%0.1396-1.62%0.0083✗1.01166k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.671-0.00%2.607-2.40%0.0033✓0.86749k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001454-0.01%0.001503+3.37%0.0507✗0.729,7092022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4674-0.02%1.426-2.83%0.0016✓1.11336k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.296808-0.03%0.291277-1.89%0.0078✗1.09620k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.65881-0.03%0.645-2.12%0.0079✗1.195.0M2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.549836-0.03%0.525-4.55%0.0196✓1.0984k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.060382-0.03%0.0582-3.64%0.0089✓1.14252k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.1349.1313-0.03%8.816-3.48%0.0121✓0.941.6M2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.80e-7-0.03%8.60e-7-2.27%0.0029✓0.8117k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.70e-7-0.03%8.50e-7-2.30%0.0034✓0.802.4M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4094-0.04%1.39-1.42%0.0148✓-0.04115k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.813.794-0.04%13.16-4.64%0.0170✓1.231.1M2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.1391-0.04%2.08-2.80%0.0087✓0.79407k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.084459-0.05%0.0792-6.27%0.0413✓0.9414k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.88237-0.05%0.862501-2.30%0.0031✓0.8184k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.261039-0.06%0.261-0.08%0.0000✓0.0191k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.170889-0.07%0.164-4.09%0.0148✓1.08434k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007565-0.07%0.00825+8.98%0.1141✗1.13477k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.267813-0.07%0.2638-1.57%0.0077✗0.94100k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17311.1647-0.07%10.559-5.50%0.0284✓1.1210.4M2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.219935-0.07%0.2134-3.04%0.0025✗1.34133k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003887-0.08%0.00393+1.03%0.0353✗1.00152k2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.7565-0.08%1.733-1.42%0.0096✗0.94143k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16485.1598-0.10%5.175+0.20%0.0063✗0.14138k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.038243-0.10%0.03732-2.51%0.0045✓0.822,8422022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.5259-0.10%12.062-3.80%0.0143✓0.9635k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.7772-0.12%5.809+0.43%0.0150✗0.395.3M2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.02466-0.12%0.0242-1.98%0.0124✗1.283,4352022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.295.2824-0.14%5.16-2.46%0.0132✓0.422.6M2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.934582-0.15%0.916-2.14%0.0097✗1.221.4M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.00673-0.15%0.006708-0.47%0.0074✗0.4458k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.33951-0.16%0.36389+7.01%0.0923✗0.94321k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2124.2042-0.19%3.998-5.08%0.0412✓0.372.0M2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.085295-0.20%0.08638+1.06%0.0142✗0.07613k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.788307-0.21%0.7842-0.73%0.0297✗1.43161k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.02256-0.22%0.02214-2.08%0.0003✓0.76444k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,887.44-0.23%19,646.40-1.44%0.0109✗0.9511k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.186.165-0.24%6.04-2.27%0.0102✓0.421.9M2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.023179-0.26%0.022963-1.18%0.0063✓0.12258k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.101335-0.26%0.0981-3.44%0.0139✓0.76247k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.226.2033-0.27%5.87-5.63%0.0448✓0.432.5M2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.7775-0.28%1.6656-6.55%0.0395✓1.051.2M2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.750.747921-0.28%0.73-2.67%0.0159✓0.3486k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.2182-0.28%4.096-3.17%0.0261✓0.142.3M2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.067981-0.31%0.06712-1.57%0.0072✗0.829142022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.7237-0.31%3.6555-2.14%0.0041✓0.593.7M2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.157042-0.37%0.15977+1.36%0.0680✗2.086362022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1738.0253-0.38%37.2-2.54%0.0011✓0.851.7M2022-08-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26554.2491-0.38%4.3886+2.89%0.0567✗1.00158k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001364-0.39%0.001346-1.74%0.0058✗0.802.1M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.035843-0.41%0.03552-1.31%0.0154✗1.0031k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.3669-0.43%1.201-12.51%0.1067✓0.931.6M2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1344.1121-0.53%4.106-0.68%0.0223✗0.98245k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.218699-0.59%0.2102-4.45%0.0197✓0.823.1M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000133092-0.60%0.0001251-6.57%0.0413✓0.85340k2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2595.2218-0.71%5.5537+5.60%0.0669✗0.215.2M2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08015.039-0.81%5.4352+6.99%0.0819✗0.254.6M2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.570119-0.90%0.4996-13.16%0.1121✓0.82625k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-77.48e-7-1.43%7.78e-7+2.50%0.0592✗0.82198k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22712.9945-1.76%12.382-6.39%0.0365✓0.486.1M2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.