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2022-08-27 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0343
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 61.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22712.9591-2.03%12.382-6.39%0.0338✓0.486.1M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000131689-1.65%0.0001251-6.57%0.0307✓0.85340k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-77.47e-7-1.54%7.78e-7+2.50%0.0603✗0.82198k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.567787-1.31%0.4996-13.16%0.1080✓0.82625k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.155795-1.16%0.15977+1.36%0.0759✗2.086362022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.023085-0.66%0.022963-1.18%0.0023✓0.12258k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.3639-0.65%1.201-12.51%0.1045✓0.931.6M2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08015.0485-0.62%5.4352+6.99%0.0800✗0.254.6M2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.038044-0.62%0.03732-2.51%0.0007✓0.822,8422022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.218645-0.62%0.2102-4.45%0.0195✓0.823.1M2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1344.1093-0.60%4.106-0.68%0.0230✗0.98245k2022-08-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26554.2443-0.50%4.3886+2.89%0.0578✗1.00158k2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2595.2352-0.45%5.5537+5.60%0.0643✗0.215.2M2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.085085-0.45%0.08638+1.06%0.0167✗0.07613k2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.00671-0.44%0.006708-0.47%0.0103✗0.4458k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.7745-0.44%1.6656-6.55%0.0378✓1.051.2M2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.295.2685-0.41%5.16-2.46%0.0105✓0.422.6M2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.836728-0.39%0.84+0.00%0.0139✗0.414.2M2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2124.1963-0.37%3.998-5.08%0.0393✓0.372.0M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.7214-0.37%3.6555-2.14%0.0035✓0.593.7M2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260251-0.36%0.261-0.08%0.0031✓0.0191k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17311.1335-0.35%10.559-5.50%0.0256✓1.1210.4M2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.33884-0.35%0.36389+7.01%0.0943✗0.94321k2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.062715-0.35%0.061392-2.45%0.0069✓0.59151k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.067952-0.35%0.06712-1.57%0.0076✗0.829142022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.226.1983-0.35%5.87-5.63%0.0440✓0.432.5M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.035869-0.34%0.03552-1.31%0.0147✗1.0031k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.3718-0.34%8.09-3.69%0.0231✓0.462.1M2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,867.40-0.33%19,646.40-1.44%0.0119✗0.9511k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1738.0465-0.32%37.2-2.54%0.0017✓0.851.7M2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024615-0.30%0.0242-1.98%0.0142✗1.283,4352022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.00145-0.30%0.001503+3.37%0.0536✗0.729,7092022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.186.1619-0.29%6.04-2.27%0.0097✓0.421.9M2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.022544-0.29%0.02214-2.08%0.0004✓0.76444k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.16882-0.28%0.1592-5.97%0.0251✓1.382,1742022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4062-0.27%1.39-1.42%0.0125✓-0.04115k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.105358-0.22%0.102736-2.71%0.0045✓0.857.4M2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.2208-0.22%4.096-3.17%0.0267✓0.142.3M2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.934016-0.21%0.916-2.14%0.0103✗1.221.4M2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.044615-0.21%0.042995-3.83%0.0161✓0.8530k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001367-0.21%0.001346-1.74%0.0040✗0.802.1M2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.450.449065-0.21%0.4291-4.64%0.0202✓1.0440.7M2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.5807-0.20%4.34-5.45%0.0425✓0.471.3M2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.750.748545-0.19%0.73-2.67%0.0168✓0.3486k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero145.16144.8836-0.19%146.4+0.85%0.0347✗1.001.2M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5417.5068-0.19%16.67-4.96%0.0317✓0.71965k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.101409-0.19%0.0981-3.44%0.0146✓0.76247k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.509056-0.19%0.488-4.31%0.0143✓1.1488k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000012138-0.18%0.00001177-3.21%0.0079✓0.94895k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.015153-0.18%0.01478-2.64%0.0086✓0.67165k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.352593-0.17%0.32-9.40%0.0694✓1.13152k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.335643-0.17%0.32806-2.43%0.0011✓0.9852k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.220721-0.17%0.2183-1.27%0.0111✗0.91504k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.79e-7-0.17%8.60e-7-2.27%0.0015✓0.8117k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.131985-0.16%0.13172-0.36%0.0275✗1.21210k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007558-0.16%0.00825+8.98%0.1151✗1.13477k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005609-0.16%0.005519-1.76%0.0002✓0.672,5882022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53350.53264-0.16%0.5282-0.99%0.0133✗0.891.6M2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.9843-0.16%9.51-4.90%0.0198✓1.18439k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.267581-0.16%0.2638-1.57%0.0086✗0.94100k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16485.1567-0.16%5.175+0.20%0.0069✗0.14138k2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.7554-0.15%1.733-1.42%0.0102✗0.94143k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.043537-0.15%0.0419-3.90%0.0144✓0.98175k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056818-0.14%0.0554-2.64%0.0034✓0.9099k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.69e-7-0.14%8.50e-7-2.30%0.0024✓0.802.4M2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003885-0.14%0.00393+1.03%0.0359✗1.00152k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.103357-0.14%0.0996-3.77%0.0197✓0.713,4822022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.063335-0.14%0.06175-2.64%0.0000✓1.041.7M2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.356431-0.13%0.34-4.74%0.0202✓1.11175k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.96179-0.13%0.9334-3.07%0.0163✓0.563.6M2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.881739-0.12%0.862501-2.30%0.0024✓0.8184k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.084396-0.12%0.0792-6.27%0.0405✓0.9414k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.1349.123-0.12%8.816-3.48%0.0112✓0.941.6M2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.456155-0.12%0.4349-4.77%0.0205✓1.12386k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum94.3894.2699-0.12%92.31-2.19%0.0001✓0.863.4M2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.118464-0.11%0.1184-0.17%0.0244✗1.0232k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.00869-0.11%0.00848-2.53%0.0058✓0.776.4M2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.525-0.11%12.062-3.80%0.0142✓0.9635k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.7775-0.11%5.809+0.43%0.0150✗0.395.3M2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.06383-0.11%0.0619-3.13%0.0089✓0.90111k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.170816-0.11%0.164-4.09%0.0144✓1.08434k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.288607-0.10%0.2823-2.28%0.0004✓0.927.4M2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.219883-0.10%0.2134-3.04%0.0027✗1.34133k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.411601-0.10%0.412+0.00%0.0251✗0.998,1172022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.54103-0.10%0.52437-3.17%0.0000✓1.2843k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.0478-0.10%1.0384-0.99%0.0118✗0.8551k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum25.825.7758-0.09%25.35-1.74%0.0067✗0.967.4M2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050853-0.09%0.0493-3.14%0.0069✓0.99252k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034769-0.09%0.0345-0.86%0.0144✗0.9186k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.242184-0.09%0.2362-2.56%0.0017✓0.9681k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.145-0.09%1.129-1.48%0.0100✗0.992.1M2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.6686-0.09%2.607-2.40%0.0024✓0.86749k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.04536-0.09%0.044396-2.21%0.0088✓0.5230k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.140282-0.08%0.1337-4.77%0.0244✓0.97624k2022-08-28
DASHDashDash45.1345.0948-0.08%44.14-2.19%0.0025✗0.98486k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4681-0.08%2.33-5.67%0.0451✓0.5189k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.789406-0.08%0.7842-0.73%0.0283✗1.43161k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37452.3349-0.07%51.793-1.11%0.0076✗0.74332k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.329521-0.07%0.31363-4.89%0.0252✓0.99391k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.045148-0.07%0.04418-2.21%0.0048✓0.6916k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.348955-0.07%0.3261-6.62%0.0376✓1.24191k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006595-0.07%0.00642-2.73%0.0112✓0.651.1M2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.101432-0.07%0.1013-0.20%0.0199✗0.87212k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.1388-0.05%2.08-2.80%0.0086✓0.79407k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.2996-0.05%6.275-0.44%0.0189✗0.935.2M2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash61.3661.3292-0.05%61.17-0.31%0.0248✗1.131.9M2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.152337-0.04%0.1381-9.38%0.0716✓1.091,7802022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.12355-0.04%0.1202-2.75%0.0136✓0.573.9M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.141843-0.04%0.1396-1.62%0.0087✗1.01166k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.060377-0.04%0.0582-3.64%0.0088✓1.14252k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.036587-0.04%0.0357-2.46%0.0040✓0.8411k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.6294-0.03%1.511-7.30%0.0461✓1.2093k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.279526-0.03%0.2731-2.32%0.0000✓0.953.3M2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0946.0791-0.02%43.85-4.86%0.0193✓1.2412k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase15.215.1964-0.02%14.8-2.63%0.0007✗1.11125k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.778241-0.02%0.74832-3.87%0.0168✓0.92512k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6920,032.76-0.02%19,554.03-2.41%0.0002✓1.00474.0M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.279946-0.02%0.275-1.79%0.0002✓0.72772k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000036873-0.02%0.00004676+26.79%0.2594✗0.901.7M2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0353.0205-0.02%53.38+0.66%0.0310✗0.9913.0M2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020669-0.02%0.020386-1.39%0.0064✗0.8313k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative3332.9946-0.02%30.93-6.27%0.0295✓1.4415.4M2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0282.0277-0.01%1.944-4.14%0.0142✓1.1549k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.651908-0.01%0.631-3.22%0.0096✓0.94266k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.8984-0.01%11.33-4.79%0.0213✓1.131.9M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.124601+0.00%0.1182-5.14%0.0300✗0.931.9M2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.550007+0.00%0.525-4.55%0.0199✗1.0984k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.0479+0.00%0.9934-5.20%0.0170✗1.494.7M2022-08-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001606+0.00%0.001587-1.18%0.0118✓0.98538k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration45.8445.8424+0.01%45.4-0.96%0.0143✓0.99572k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.023032+0.01%0.02162-6.12%0.0424✗0.8613.0M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.659072+0.01%0.645-2.12%0.0075✓1.195.0M2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.002920.00292+0.01%0.00289-1.03%0.0148✓1.03520k2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.3764.3766+0.01%4.3228-1.22%0.0064✓0.77798k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2902+0.01%1.23-4.65%0.0244✗0.96170k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.296942+0.02%0.291277-1.89%0.0073✓1.09620k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9604+0.02%1.828-6.73%0.0280✗1.7294k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.1276+0.02%2.9825-4.62%0.0229✗1.0127k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7883+0.02%1.7152-4.07%0.0155✗1.0733k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.96637+0.03%0.9332-3.41%0.0053✗1.22999k2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.047414+0.03%0.0455-4.01%0.0175✗0.97843k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.813.8042+0.03%13.16-4.64%0.0177✗1.231.1M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26115.2982+0.03%112.59-2.32%0.0038✓1.134.8M2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.206773+0.04%0.2024-2.08%0.0034✓1.0261k2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.7587+0.04%4.649-2.27%0.0101✓1.379.3M2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.663264+0.04%0.645-2.71%0.0063✗0.89248k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,491.90+0.05%1,426.63-4.33%0.0119✗1.35597.1M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.013184+0.05%0.013002-1.34%0.0018✓0.651.4M2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.282426+0.05%0.29294+3.78%0.0621✓1.0512k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.367932+0.05%0.36304-1.28%0.0101✓0.9651k2022-08-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.195803+0.05%0.1903-2.76%0.0041✗1.00149k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.685708+0.06%0.6463-5.69%0.0242✗1.44257k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.090855+0.06%0.0854-5.95%0.0388✗0.95414k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,788.43+0.07%8,473.37-3.52%0.0032✗1.376.8M2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.103368+0.07%0.0992-3.97%0.0145✗1.093.7M2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6911+0.07%1.6-5.33%0.0324✗0.94704k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.50936+0.07%0.489-3.93%0.0107✗1.242,6092022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4688+0.08%1.426-2.83%0.0026✗1.11336k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana31.5431.567+0.09%30.45-3.46%0.0078✗1.1668.8M2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.790279+0.09%0.7744-1.93%0.0059✓1.082.0M2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.5371+0.09%6.251-4.29%0.0187✗1.0719.3M2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.060859+0.10%0.0604-0.66%0.0223✓1.23984k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1182.191+0.10%78.57-4.31%0.0072✗1.556.7M2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum30.0530.0845+0.11%29.26-2.63%0.0182✓1.89327k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0447.0521+0.12%6.861-2.60%0.0025✗1.0213.7M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.2225+0.12%1.192-2.38%0.0049✓1.24518k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.8945+0.12%2.966+2.59%0.0629✓1.583.8M2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.36380.364287+0.13%0.3529-3.00%0.0033✗1.17432k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.37654+0.14%0.3673-2.31%0.0026✓1.1289k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0627+0.14%1.0043-5.36%0.0260✗1.25981k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.877+0.14%4.82-1.03%0.0091✓0.851.6M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.067606+0.16%0.06897+2.18%0.0492✓1.2028k2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.337.342+0.16%7.2-1.77%0.0076✓1.11592k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.003046+0.17%0.002987-1.78%0.0020✓0.891.1M2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.31494+0.17%0.3044-3.18%0.0058✗1.16112k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.6866+0.17%3.876+44.52%0.3827✓0.66650k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.1144+0.21%1.95-7.58%0.0509✗1.23281k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0903+0.21%2.0034-3.96%0.0127✗1.2213k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.865937+0.22%0.84626-2.06%0.0009✓0.9814k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0420.0855+0.23%18.53-7.53%0.0493✗1.2923.0M2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.0251.0277+0.26%1.054+2.83%0.0678✓1.743.4M2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.846+0.29%5.639-3.26%0.0150✗0.8610.1M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.4087+0.33%1.36-3.13%0.0065✗1.18130k2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.06452+0.37%0.06229-3.10%0.0080✗1.122.4M2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0566.0803+0.40%5.739-5.23%0.0257✗1.3210.1M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8231.8307+0.42%1.692-7.19%0.0463✗1.331.2M2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.