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2022-08-26 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0252
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 49.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.0191.0272+0.81%1.025+0.59%0.0155✓1.743.5M2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8511.8652+0.77%1.823-1.51%0.0094✗1.331.2M2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.063656+0.71%0.06428+1.69%0.0211✓1.122.4M2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum31.131.3029+0.65%30.05-3.38%0.0218✗1.88348k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.334084+0.54%0.3144-5.39%0.0490✗1.16112k2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.7002+0.51%5.829+2.79%0.0311✓0.8710.1M2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.737+0.51%2.891+6.17%0.0708✓1.594.0M2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.341432+0.51%0.3492+2.80%0.0351✓1.24191k2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3926+0.47%1.404+1.30%0.0201✓1.18130k2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7283.089+0.45%82.11-0.74%0.0038✓1.556.7M2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.127811+0.40%0.1246-2.12%0.0156✗0.971.9M2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1546.1785+0.40%6.056-1.59%0.0068✗1.3110.3M2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.36120.362575+0.38%0.3638+0.72%0.0152✓1.17450k2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.781056+0.38%0.77842+0.04%0.0059✓0.92523k2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.6909+0.37%2.682+0.04%0.0034✓0.66653k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.37994.3955+0.36%4.376-0.09%0.0033✓0.77827k2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.3446+0.34%7.33+0.14%0.0093✓1.11638k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.10274+0.33%0.1033+0.88%0.0165✓1.103.9M2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.088978+0.31%0.0908+2.37%0.0299✓0.95430k2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.06359+0.30%0.0639+0.79%0.0141✓0.91116k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.648918+0.30%0.663+2.47%0.0305✓0.89253k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.274782+0.29%0.28+2.19%0.0262✓0.73826k2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.6366+0.28%1.63-0.12%0.0082✓1.2196k2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.283877+0.27%0.2889+2.05%0.0269✓0.937.6M2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,511.85+0.25%1,491.22-1.11%0.0001✓1.34608.4M2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana31.7431.8196+0.25%31.54-0.63%0.0029✓1.1670.1M2022-08-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.00157+0.25%0.001606+2.55%0.0327✓0.98558k2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9133.9947+0.25%33-2.68%0.0151✗1.4416.0M2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.003128+0.25%0.003041-2.53%0.0191✗0.891.1M2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.021914+0.25%0.02303+5.35%0.0582✓0.8513.4M2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.226+0.25%1.221-0.16%0.0084✓1.24534k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.7618+0.24%6.303+9.66%0.0992✓0.935.2M2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.070315+0.24%0.0675-3.78%0.0288✗1.1929k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.124893+0.23%0.1236-0.80%0.0046✗0.584.1M2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2712.2979+0.23%11.9-3.02%0.0215✗1.131.9M2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.0553+0.23%1.0479-0.47%0.0081✓1.494.9M2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2217.2588+0.23%17.54+1.86%0.0234✓0.711.2M2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.04468+0.22%0.04518+1.35%0.0182✓0.7016k2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1709+0.22%2.0859-3.71%0.0275✗1.2313k2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero142.81143.1138+0.21%145.16+1.65%0.0244✓1.001.2M2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.776708+0.21%0.7896+1.87%0.0275✓1.092.1M2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.959767+0.21%0.9661+0.87%0.0189✓1.221.0M2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.706689+0.20%0.6853-2.84%0.0162✗1.44258k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.336703+0.19%0.33622+0.05%0.0085✓0.9870k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.131732+0.19%0.1322+0.55%0.0160✓1.22210k2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.7831+0.19%4.757-0.36%0.0084✓1.379.8M2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006582+0.19%0.0066+0.46%0.0092✓0.651.2M2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.5163+0.19%6.531+0.42%0.0131✓1.0719.5M2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9246.0061+0.19%46.09+0.37%0.0144✓1.2414k2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.449939+0.19%0.4567+1.69%0.0263✓1.12400k2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.043884+0.18%0.044708+2.06%0.0273✓0.8632k2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.663139+0.17%0.652-1.51%0.0074✗0.94304k2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7220,274.90+0.17%20,036.69-1.01%0.0017✓1.00485.5M2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.3689+0.17%0.36774-0.15%0.0066✓0.9753k2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.208548+0.17%0.2067-0.72%0.0014✓1.0266k2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.960798+0.17%0.963+0.40%0.0080✓0.563.6M2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.868918+0.16%0.86406-0.40%0.0043✓0.9813k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash61.161.1981+0.16%61.36+0.43%0.0141✓1.132.0M2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.517821+0.16%0.509-1.55%0.0047✗1.232,6092022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.388501+0.16%0.376-3.07%0.0213✗1.1289k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.156433+0.15%0.1524-2.43%0.0151✗1.091,8902022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.101351+0.15%0.1035+2.27%0.0282✓0.723,6712022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.162125+0.14%0.1693+4.57%0.0573✓1.382,1742022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005546+0.14%0.005618+1.44%0.0197✓0.672,6192022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6820.7078+0.13%20.04-3.09%0.0197✗1.2923.6M2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.279575+0.13%0.2796+0.14%0.0098✓0.963.4M2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008491+0.13%0.0087+2.59%0.0321✓0.776.4M2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.043358+0.13%0.0436+0.69%0.0155✓0.98180k2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0699+0.13%1.0612-0.68%0.0045✓1.25981k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration44.5244.578+0.13%45.84+2.96%0.0380✓0.99610k2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9445+0.13%1.96+0.93%0.0253✓1.72106k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.013347+0.13%0.013178-1.14%0.0062✗0.641.4M2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.557083+0.12%0.54155-2.67%0.0153✗1.2945k2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6849+0.12%1.69+0.42%0.0126✓0.95782k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.139758+0.11%0.1404+0.57%0.0145✓0.98638k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.537+0.11%15.2-2.06%0.0106✗1.12130k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.3186+0.10%8.4+1.08%0.0143✓0.452.3M2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057456+0.10%0.0569-0.87%0.0006✓0.90104k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.047246+0.10%0.0474+0.42%0.0132✓0.98843k2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.53430.5348+0.09%0.5335-0.15%0.0065✓0.881.6M2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.1234+0.09%3.1269+0.21%0.0114✓1.0128k2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.1521+0.09%1.146-0.43%0.0047✓0.992.1M2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.045538+0.09%0.0454-0.21%0.0022✓0.5233k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.509461+0.09%0.51+0.20%0.0127✓1.1488k2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16116.2646+0.09%115.26-0.77%0.0028✓1.134.9M2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0518+0.09%1.0488-0.19%0.0058✓0.8653k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.120798+0.08%0.1186-1.74%0.0080✗1.0233k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4736+0.08%4.59+2.68%0.0304✓0.461.3M2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.049839+0.08%0.0509+2.21%0.0312✓1.00251k2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.1617+0.08%2.11-2.31%0.0117✗1.24299k2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.432024+0.08%0.45+4.24%0.0513✓1.0440.7M2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum98.2398.3034+0.07%94.38-3.92%0.0321✗0.853.5M2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.331855+0.07%0.32976-0.56%0.0037✓0.99418k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7152.7469+0.07%53.03+0.61%0.0154✓0.9913.1M2022-08-27
DASHDashDash44.344.3307+0.07%45.13+1.87%0.0278✓0.98504k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.43129+0.07%0.412-4.41%0.0357✗0.998,3142022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.281175+0.07%0.28228+0.46%0.0145✓1.0512k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2908+0.07%1.29+0.00%0.0091✓0.96182k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,987.28+0.06%8,782.65-2.21%0.0093✗1.367.3M2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7751+0.06%1.7879+0.78%0.0181✓1.0838k2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.926+0.06%7.044+1.76%0.0273✓1.0314.0M2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.037822+0.06%0.0366-3.17%0.0243✗0.8411k2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003030.003032+0.06%0.00292-3.63%0.0271✗1.03537k2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.135.1329+0.06%4.87-5.07%0.0439✗0.861.6M2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.313.3074+0.06%13.8+3.76%0.0488✓1.231.2M2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.062632+0.05%0.0608-2.88%0.0173✗1.221.0M2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.035818+0.05%0.0348-2.79%0.0194✗0.9386k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14752.1727+0.05%52.374+0.44%0.0114✓0.75340k2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.221403+0.05%0.2211-0.09%0.0079✓0.91528k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.243407+0.04%0.2424-0.37%0.0056✓0.9683k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.9813+0.04%25.8-0.65%0.0027✓0.967.5M2022-08-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.197385+0.04%0.1957-0.81%0.0016✓1.00152k2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.103904+0.04%0.105594+1.67%0.0248✓0.867.8M2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020734+0.04%0.020673-0.26%0.0054✓0.8313k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.477493+0.04%0.5753+20.53%0.1947✓0.82625k2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000036693+0.04%0.00003688+0.55%0.0141✓0.901.7M2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4908+0.03%2.47-0.80%0.0032✗0.5193k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.355715+0.03%0.3569+0.37%0.0146✓1.11175k2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061561+0.01%0.062935+2.25%0.0281✓0.59151k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.289097+0.01%0.296889+2.70%0.0377✓1.09696k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.102892-0.01%0.1015-1.36%0.0048✓0.87238k2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3599-0.01%1.41+3.68%0.0358✗-0.04124k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.60e-7-0.01%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0314✗0.8217k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0352.0348-0.01%2.028-0.34%0.0084✗1.1655k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.06352-0.02%0.063422-0.17%0.0090✗1.041.9M2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.6995-0.02%2.671-1.07%0.0019✓0.86749k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4825-0.02%1.4676-1.03%0.0011✗1.10355k2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.927796-0.02%0.84-9.48%0.0952✓0.414.2M2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.545868-0.02%0.55+0.73%0.0186✗1.0996k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.70e-7-0.03%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0084✗0.802.4M2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000012426-0.03%0.00001216-2.17%0.0121✓0.94948k2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.169942-0.03%0.171+0.59%0.0172✗1.08464k2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.059878-0.04%0.0604+0.83%0.0202✗1.14258k2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.142945-0.04%0.1419-0.77%0.0029✗1.01190k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.2329.2283-0.04%9.134-1.06%0.0006✓0.951.8M2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015853-0.04%0.01518-4.29%0.0366✓0.67171k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.879726-0.04%0.882839+0.31%0.0117✗0.8184k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120112.1133-0.06%12.5391+3.46%0.0443✗0.9639k2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.264344-0.06%0.268+1.32%0.0232✗0.94106k2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024585-0.06%0.02469+0.37%0.0172✗1.283,4352022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.669588-0.06%0.659-1.64%0.0030✓1.285.2M2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.085644-0.07%0.0845-1.40%0.0040✓0.9414k2022-08-27
SGBSongbirdnative0.02590.025881-0.07%0.0242-6.56%0.0609✓0.6144k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.5219-0.08%10-5.03%0.0389✓1.19466k2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.6875-0.08%5.784+1.62%0.0207✗0.385.3M2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001485-0.08%0.001454-2.15%0.0137✓0.729,9742022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007643-0.09%0.00757-1.05%0.0018✗1.13503k2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.235.2254-0.09%5.29+1.15%0.0164✗0.402.8M2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7714-0.09%1.758-0.85%0.0020✗0.94145k2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260859-0.09%0.2612+0.04%0.0014✗0.0191k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14945.1442-0.10%5.1648+0.30%0.0054✗0.14158k2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55411.5415-0.11%11.173-3.30%0.0211✓1.1210.4M2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003906-0.11%0.00389-0.51%0.0061✗1.00158k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.224213-0.13%0.2201-1.96%0.0050✓1.33133k2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.2469-0.14%2.14-4.89%0.0407✓0.79451k2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1244.1182-0.14%4.212+2.13%0.0263✗0.371.9M2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.923691-0.14%0.936+1.19%0.0256✗1.221.4M2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.037775-0.15%0.03828+1.19%0.0216✗0.822,8422022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006654-0.16%0.00674+1.13%0.0172✗0.4457k2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.339382-0.18%0.34004+0.01%0.0115✗0.95321k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.153899-0.18%0.15762+2.23%0.0450✗2.086042022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.958-0.20%6.22+4.19%0.0474✗0.432.5M2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0278-0.20%6.18+2.32%0.0292✗0.422.1M2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.7199-0.21%1.7824+3.42%0.0462✗1.041.2M2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.085068-0.23%0.08547+0.25%0.0054✗0.07637k2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1494.139-0.24%4.23+1.95%0.0231✗0.142.4M2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.100353-0.25%0.1016+0.99%0.0200✗0.75247k2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.798072-0.25%0.79-1.26%0.0043✗1.43193k2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.2455-0.27%1.3728+9.92%0.1068✗0.941.5M2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.023133-0.28%0.023238+0.17%0.0057✗0.12250k2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.6796-0.28%3.7353+1.23%0.0210✗0.593.5M2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727909-0.29%0.75+2.74%0.0335✗0.35105k2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.066057-0.29%0.06819+2.93%0.0401✗0.829142022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3937.2584-0.35%38.17+2.09%0.0329✗0.871.8M2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,510.04-0.38%19,933.00-3.18%0.0190✓0.9513k2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001369-0.38%0.00137-0.37%0.0082✗0.802.0M2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.023239-0.43%0.02261-3.13%0.0196✓0.78444k2022-08-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.2835-0.45%4.2655-0.86%0.0059✗1.00169k2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000122494-0.46%0.0001339+8.81%0.0978✗0.86340k2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.206682-0.49%0.22+5.92%0.0707✗0.822.8M2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.036709-0.49%0.03599-2.44%0.0096✓1.0031k2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2254.2021-0.54%4.134-2.15%0.0064✓0.98269k2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.395912-0.60%0.3532-11.32%0.1029✓1.11152k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08665.0533-0.65%5.259+3.39%0.0420✗0.215.1M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.7561-0.67%5.0801+6.10%0.0685✗0.254.2M2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74411.594-1.28%13.227+12.63%0.1366✗0.484.8M2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-77.46e-7-1.42%7.59e-7+0.26%0.0252✗0.82192k2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.