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2022-08-26 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0289
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.1%
in alpha space · 48.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-77.44e-7-1.70%7.59e-7+0.26%0.0280✗0.82192k2022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000121191-1.52%0.0001339+8.81%0.1085✗0.86340k2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74411.5756-1.43%13.227+12.63%0.1382✗0.484.8M2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.395102-0.80%0.3532-11.32%0.1009✓1.11152k2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,426.74-0.78%19,933.00-3.18%0.0149✓0.9513k2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2254.1933-0.75%4.134-2.15%0.0043✓0.98269k2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.023034-0.71%0.023238+0.17%0.0100✗0.12250k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.153114-0.69%0.15762+2.23%0.0501✗2.086042022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.023185-0.66%0.02261-3.13%0.0172✓0.78444k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.037585-0.65%0.03828+1.19%0.0266✗0.822,8422022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.036676-0.58%0.03599-2.44%0.0087✓1.0031k2022-08-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30274.2782-0.57%4.2655-0.86%0.0072✗1.00169k2022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061229-0.53%0.062935+2.25%0.0335✗0.59151k2022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.206656-0.50%0.22+5.92%0.0709✗0.822.8M2022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.7649-0.48%5.0801+6.10%0.0666✗0.254.2M2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.338424-0.46%0.34004+0.01%0.0143✗0.95321k2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55411.5017-0.45%11.173-3.30%0.0176✓1.1210.4M2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.084878-0.45%0.08547+0.25%0.0076✗0.07637k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006637-0.43%0.00674+1.13%0.0199✗0.4457k2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260042-0.41%0.2612+0.04%0.0045✗0.0191k2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08665.0662-0.40%5.259+3.39%0.0395✗0.215.1M2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.065988-0.39%0.06819+2.93%0.0411✗0.829142022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.924512-0.38%0.84-9.48%0.0917✓0.414.2M2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.6764-0.37%3.7353+1.23%0.0218✗0.593.5M2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.235.211-0.36%5.29+1.15%0.0191✗0.402.8M2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.2444-0.36%1.3728+9.92%0.1077✗0.941.5M2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001481-0.32%0.001454-2.15%0.0112✓0.729,9742022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1244.1109-0.32%4.212+2.13%0.0281✗0.371.9M2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3937.2726-0.31%38.17+2.09%0.0326✗0.871.8M2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.7182-0.31%1.7824+3.42%0.0472✗1.041.2M2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000012393-0.29%0.00001216-2.17%0.0095✓0.94948k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2858-0.29%8.4+1.08%0.0183✗0.452.3M2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.9534-0.28%6.22+4.19%0.0482✗0.432.5M2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.5018-0.27%10-5.03%0.0370✓1.19466k2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3565-0.26%1.41+3.68%0.0383✗-0.04124k2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.103611-0.24%0.105594+1.67%0.0277✗0.867.8M2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0256-0.24%6.18+2.32%0.0296✗0.422.1M2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.922864-0.23%0.936+1.19%0.0265✗1.221.4M2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015825-0.22%0.01518-4.29%0.0349✓0.67171k2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero142.81142.5286-0.20%145.16+1.65%0.0285✗1.001.2M2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.04372-0.19%0.044708+2.06%0.0310✗0.8632k2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.007635-0.19%0.00757-1.05%0.0028✗1.13503k2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.220889-0.19%0.2211-0.09%0.0102✗0.91528k2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.100415-0.18%0.1016+0.99%0.0193✗0.75247k2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003903-0.18%0.00389-0.51%0.0068✗1.00158k2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001372-0.18%0.00137-0.37%0.0062✗0.802.0M2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.063417-0.18%0.063422-0.17%0.0106✗1.041.9M2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.224099-0.18%0.2201-1.96%0.0045✓1.33133k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.430233-0.18%0.412-4.41%0.0333✓0.998,3142022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.555429-0.18%0.54155-2.67%0.0123✓1.2945k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14945.1406-0.17%5.1648+0.30%0.0061✗0.14158k2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1494.1419-0.17%4.23+1.95%0.0224✗0.142.4M2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum98.2398.0694-0.16%94.38-3.92%0.0297✓0.853.5M2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.53430.533435-0.16%0.5335-0.15%0.0091✗0.881.6M2022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728827-0.16%0.75+2.74%0.0322✗0.35105k2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.335513-0.16%0.33622+0.05%0.0120✗0.9870k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.05731-0.16%0.0569-0.87%0.0020✗0.90104k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.120515-0.15%0.1186-1.74%0.0056✓1.0233k2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.085569-0.15%0.0845-1.40%0.0031✓0.9414k2022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2217.1947-0.15%17.54+1.86%0.0271✗0.711.2M2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.035749-0.14%0.0348-2.79%0.0175✓0.9386k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4637-0.14%4.59+2.68%0.0326✗0.461.3M2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7706-0.14%1.758-0.85%0.0025✗0.94145k2022-08-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005531-0.14%0.005618+1.44%0.0225✗0.672,6192022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.264141-0.14%0.268+1.32%0.0240✗0.94106k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.2329.2197-0.13%9.134-1.06%0.0003✓0.951.8M2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.431129-0.13%0.45+4.24%0.0534✗1.0440.7M2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.59e-7-0.13%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0326✗0.8217k2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.043243-0.13%0.0436+0.69%0.0182✗0.98180k2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.2473-0.12%2.14-4.89%0.0409✓0.79451k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.69e-7-0.12%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0093✗0.802.4M2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.9725.9388-0.12%25.8-0.65%0.0043✗0.967.5M2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.045443-0.12%0.0454-0.21%0.0043✗0.5233k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.037757-0.11%0.0366-3.17%0.0226✓0.8411k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.161715-0.11%0.1693+4.57%0.0598✗1.382,1742022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.799242-0.11%0.79-1.26%0.0029✗1.43193k2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.958201-0.10%0.963+0.40%0.0107✗0.563.6M2022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.142852-0.10%0.1419-0.77%0.0036✗1.01190k2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.169831-0.10%0.171+0.59%0.0178✗1.08464k2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9133.8765-0.10%33-2.68%0.0116✓1.4416.0M2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.024577-0.09%0.02469+0.37%0.0176✗1.283,4352022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.15-0.09%1.146-0.43%0.0066✗0.992.1M2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.508543-0.09%0.51+0.20%0.0145✗1.1488k2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.15606-0.09%0.1524-2.43%0.0127✓1.091,8902022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.063345-0.09%0.0639+0.79%0.0179✗0.91116k2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.6977-0.09%2.671-1.07%0.0012✓0.86749k2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0499-0.08%1.0488-0.19%0.0076✗0.8653k2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.4879-0.08%2.47-0.80%0.0020✓0.5193k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.102814-0.08%0.1015-1.36%0.0040✓0.87238k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.139489-0.08%0.1404+0.57%0.0165✗0.98638k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.35533-0.08%0.3569+0.37%0.0157✗1.11175k2022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.243117-0.08%0.2424-0.37%0.0068✗0.9683k2022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.448772-0.07%0.4567+1.69%0.0289✗1.12400k2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.331369-0.07%0.32976-0.56%0.0052✗0.99418k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14752.1121-0.07%52.374+0.44%0.0126✗0.75340k2022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008475-0.06%0.0087+2.59%0.0341✗0.776.4M2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120112.1127-0.06%12.5391+3.46%0.0444✗0.9639k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.124525-0.06%0.1236-0.80%0.0016✓0.584.1M2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2712.2627-0.06%11.9-3.02%0.0186✓1.131.9M2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.006566-0.06%0.0066+0.46%0.0117✗0.651.2M2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.6887-0.06%5.784+1.62%0.0204✗0.385.3M2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.282936-0.06%0.2889+2.05%0.0302✗0.937.6M2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.516706-0.06%0.509-1.55%0.0026✓1.232,6092022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.044555-0.06%0.04518+1.35%0.0210✗0.7016k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.879613-0.06%0.882839+0.31%0.0119✗0.8184k2022-08-27
DASHDashDash44.344.2758-0.05%45.13+1.87%0.0290✗0.98504k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.131416-0.05%0.1322+0.55%0.0184✗1.22210k2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7220,230.93-0.05%20,036.69-1.01%0.0005✗1.00485.5M2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.101155-0.04%0.1035+2.27%0.0302✗0.723,6712022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.059873-0.04%0.0604+0.83%0.0203✗1.14258k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash61.161.0742-0.04%61.36+0.43%0.0161✗1.132.0M2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.5147-0.03%15.2-2.06%0.0092✓1.12130k2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003030.003029-0.03%0.00292-3.63%0.0262✓1.03537k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.279113-0.03%0.2796+0.14%0.0114✗0.963.4M2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.661797-0.03%0.652-1.51%0.0054✓0.94304k2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.062588-0.02%0.0608-2.88%0.0166✓1.221.0M2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020722-0.02%0.020673-0.26%0.0060✗0.8313k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0352.0347-0.02%2.028-0.34%0.0085✗1.1655k2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.6318-0.01%1.63-0.12%0.0111✗1.2196k2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.7738-0.01%1.7879+0.78%0.0189✗1.0838k2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.66991-0.01%0.659-1.64%0.0035✓1.285.2M2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.049796-0.01%0.0509+2.21%0.0321✗1.00251k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.37994.3796-0.01%4.376-0.09%0.0070✗0.77827k2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.127296-0.00%0.1246-2.12%0.0116✓0.971.9M2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.778106-0.00%0.77842+0.04%0.0097✗0.92523k2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000036680.00003668+0.00%0.00003688+0.55%0.0145✓0.901.7M2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7152.7125+0.00%53.03+0.61%0.0161✓0.9913.1M2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9245.9225+0.01%46.09+0.37%0.0162✓1.2414k2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05291.053+0.01%1.0479-0.47%0.0103✓1.494.9M2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.274053+0.02%0.28+2.19%0.0289✓0.73826k2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.6834+0.02%1.69+0.42%0.0135✓0.95782k2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.705461+0.02%0.6853-2.84%0.0144✗1.44258k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration44.5244.531+0.02%45.84+2.96%0.0390✓0.99610k2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.12053.1213+0.03%3.1269+0.21%0.0120✓1.0128k2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.548,984.25+0.03%8,782.65-2.21%0.0089✗1.367.3M2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16116.1954+0.03%115.26-0.77%0.0034✓1.134.9M2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.339805+0.03%0.3492+2.80%0.0398✓1.24191k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2904+0.03%1.29+0.00%0.0094✓0.96182k2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.047217+0.04%0.0474+0.42%0.0138✓0.98843k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.013335+0.04%0.013178-1.14%0.0053✗0.641.4M2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.546203+0.04%0.55+0.73%0.0180✓1.0996k2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.208284+0.04%0.2067-0.72%0.0027✓1.0266k2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,508.64+0.04%1,491.22-1.11%0.0020✓1.34608.4M2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.33244+0.04%0.3144-5.39%0.0441✗1.16112k2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9428+0.04%1.96+0.93%0.0262✓1.72106k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4835+0.05%1.4676-1.03%0.0004✓1.10355k2022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.281128+0.05%0.28228+0.46%0.0147✓1.0512k2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum31.131.1161+0.05%30.05-3.38%0.0158✗1.88348k2022-08-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.001567+0.05%0.001606+2.55%0.0347✓0.98558k2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.958329+0.06%0.9661+0.87%0.0204✓1.221.0M2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.777+0.06%4.757-0.36%0.0097✓1.379.8M2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.289261+0.06%0.296889+2.70%0.0371✓1.09696k2022-08-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.197432+0.07%0.1957-0.81%0.0013✓1.00152k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.368538+0.07%0.36774-0.15%0.0076✓0.9753k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.477719+0.09%0.5753+20.53%0.1942✓0.82625k2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7282.7943+0.09%82.11-0.74%0.0074✓1.556.7M2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana31.7431.7696+0.09%31.54-0.63%0.0045✓1.1670.1M2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.135.1352+0.10%4.87-5.07%0.0443✗0.861.6M2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.088794+0.11%0.0908+2.37%0.0320✓0.95430k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.102514+0.11%0.1033+0.88%0.0187✓1.103.9M2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.070229+0.11%0.0675-3.78%0.0276✗1.1929k2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.5114+0.11%6.531+0.42%0.0138✓1.0719.5M2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.388362+0.12%0.376-3.07%0.0210✗1.1289k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.647774+0.12%0.663+2.47%0.0323✓0.89253k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.776065+0.12%0.7896+1.87%0.0283✓1.092.1M2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.003124+0.13%0.003041-2.53%0.0179✗0.891.1M2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.0699+0.13%1.0612-0.68%0.0045✓1.25981k2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.2247+0.14%1.221-0.16%0.0095✓1.24534k2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.313.3192+0.14%13.8+3.76%0.0479✓1.231.2M2022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.1694+0.15%2.0859-3.71%0.0268✗1.2313k2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.36120.36179+0.16%0.3638+0.72%0.0174✓1.17450k2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.162.1636+0.17%2.11-2.31%0.0126✗1.24299k2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.021897+0.17%0.02303+5.35%0.0590✓0.8513.4M2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6820.7169+0.18%20.04-3.09%0.0202✗1.2923.6M2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.9349+0.19%7.044+1.76%0.0260✓1.0314.0M2022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.6861+0.19%2.682+0.04%0.0052✓0.66653k2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.327.3349+0.20%7.33+0.14%0.0106✓1.11638k2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.869653+0.25%0.86406-0.40%0.0035✓0.9813k2022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.7626+0.25%6.303+9.66%0.0991✓0.935.2M2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.7309+0.29%2.891+6.17%0.0730✓1.594.0M2022-08-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0191.0224+0.33%1.025+0.59%0.0202✓1.743.5M2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.6925+0.38%5.829+2.79%0.0325✓0.8710.1M2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.3914+0.39%1.404+1.30%0.0209✓1.18130k2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1546.1784+0.40%6.056-1.59%0.0067✗1.3110.3M2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8511.8588+0.42%1.823-1.51%0.0060✗1.331.2M2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.063489+0.44%0.06428+1.69%0.0237✓1.122.4M2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.